The Volokh Conspiracy

Mostly law professors | Sometimes contrarian | Often libertarian | Always independent | Est. 2002

The Volokh Conspiracy

The New York Times's Latest Analysis of Trump Judges

The truth may be that the judges actually believe what they are writing. For the left, that truth is too hard to process, so they rely on the "auditioning" charge.

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A little knowledge is a dangerous thing. This maxim comes to mind when journalists who lack any legal background attempt to engage in complicated empirical studies of judicial decisions.

The latest headline from the New York Times is titled "Trump's 'Superstar' Appellate Judges Have Voted 133 to 12 in His Favor."

But the data suggests that in the 13 appellate courts, there is increasingly such a thing as a Trump judge. The president's appointees voted to allow his policies to take effect 133 times and voted against them only 12 times. . . .

The Times analyzed every judicial ruling on Mr. Trump's second-term agenda, from Jan. 20 to Dec. 31 of last year, or more than 500 orders issued across 900 cases. About half of rulings at the appellate level were in Mr. Trump's favor — better than his performance with the district courts, though worse than his record at the Supreme Court, where the rulings on his agenda have almost all been on a preliminary basis in response to emergency applications.

My immediate reaction concerned not the numerator, but the denominator. How many Trump circuit appointees were actually able rule on Trump cases? For starters, the authors do not define what it means to rule "in Mr. Trump's favor." Does that include a random APA challenge to a regulation passed in a prior administration? Or do they count a mundane Title VII case against a federal agency? The authors do not actually share their data set, which makes scrutinizing it impossible. At least academics share their data, which makes it possible to dissemble the studies.

Let's assume the data set is limited to litigation against Trump executive actions. The majority of the anti-Trump litigation has been filed in the First Circuit, where until recently, there were zero Trump appointees. Then there is the D.C. Circuit, where Judges Katsas, Rao, and Walker are the only ones. I can think of a smattering of Fourth and Ninth Circuit opinions where Trump appointees would up on the panels, but that is a small number.

If you read about three-quarters of the way down, you get to what might be called a selection bias in the data set:

Mr. Trump's success on appeal has also been driven by the influence that his appointees have wielded in specific judicial circuits, especially the U.S. Court of Appeals for the D.C. Circuit. The court has jurisdiction over federal matters in the nation's capital, and its three Trump appointees have exercised outsized influence, repeatedly sitting on panels hearing key cases.

Combined, Judges Gregory G. Katsas, Neomi Rao, and Justin R. Walker voted 75 times in favor of the administration — slightly more than half of the pro-Trump votes from Mr. Trump's appointees logged by the Times analysis — and only three times against.

Again, the authors found a total of 133 total votes for Trump, and they attributed 75 to these three judges. Again, I was still perplexed by the denominator. Were these three judges really on that many panels with Trump-related cases?

If you keep reading further, the authors describe their methodology. You learn that the authors count separately a vote for an administrative stay, a stay pending appeal, and the merits:

When Mr. Trump's policies are temporarily blocked by district court judges, appeals courts can issue "administrative stays," temporary rulings that effectively reverse the lower court's orders and let contested policies take effect. Administrative stays are supposed to be temporary but can remain in place for weeks or even months. In many cases, they are replaced by a more lasting stay, known as a "stay pending appeal," that remains in place while the appellate court considers the case.

The Times analysis tracked both kinds of stays, as well as the final rulings that appellate courts made after considering arguments from both sides.

Mr. Trump's nominees sided with him consistently across all three kinds of rulings, voting in his favor 97 percent of the time on administrative stays, 88 percent of the time on stays pending appeal, and 100 percent of the time on final rulings.

So it seems the number of rulings is inflated triply: 75 rulings may break down to 20-something cases. Even on the Supreme Court, a vote to grant interim relief will usually predict the same vote on the merits.

Let's dig a bit deeper. In many of these cases, as I recall, the vote to grant the administrative stay was unanimous. In other cases, the justification to issue a stay pending appeal was made based on Supreme Court precedent. Indeed, Judge Rao dissented in Slaughter, arguing that the majority failed to follow Wilcox and Boyle.  The Times also fails to mention that Judges Katsas and Rao disagreed concerning Judge Boasberg's contempt proceeding. Moreover, how many of these conservative votes were vindicated on appeal--especially by Justices Alito and Thomas, who were not Trump appointees. This limited analysis proves very, very little.

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Executive Power

Justice Barrett, Trump v. Slaughter, and Presidential Removal Power from 1969 to 1989

Humphrey's Executor from 1969 to 1989.

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At oral argument in Trump v. Slaughter much discussion focused on the propriety of the Supreme Court today, in 2026, overturning a 90-year-old decision like Humphrey's Executor. In fact, as my immediately preceding blog posts show, since 1937 Presidents Franklin Roosevelt, Harry Truman, Dwight Eisenhower, and John Kennedy have all said that Humphrey's Executor is either bad constitutional law, bad policy, or both. Far from being a venerated precedent like Swift v. Tyson, which was nonetheless overruled, Humphrey's Executor has been controversial ever since the opinion was handed down. In making this argument, I am drawing on Steven G. Calabresi & Christopher S. Yoo, The Unitary Executive: Presidential Power from Washington to Bush (Yale University Press 2008). Christopher Yoo gets all the credit for this series of blog posts while I will take any blame there is for them.

Richard M. Nixon served as President of the United States from 1969 to 1974. President Nixon was a committed believer in the frequent use of the removal power. "[D]uring his five-year tenure in office, he in fact appointed thirty cabinet heads, breaking the old record held by Ulysses S. Grant…. [T]he median length of tenure of cabinet secretaries fell from forty months to eighteen. Nixon was not afraid to make removals, as the frequent turnover in his cabinet secretaries illustrates. Indeed, he began his second term by asking for the resignations of all his cabinet secretaries so he could decide which ones to retain. He noted that in doing so that once a cabinet official has been in place for a while, the bureaucracy starts to run him instead of the other way around." Calabresi & Yoo at 346.

"Nixon protected the president's removal power when he successfully resisted Congress's attempt to remove his Office of Management and Budget Director Roy Ash and his Deputy OMB director Fred Malek by abolishing their positions and reestablishing them subject to Senate confirmation…. [Congress backed down and settled for] "legislation the next year to require Senate confirmation only of future OMB directors and deputy directors." Id. at 347.

Nixon transformed the Bureau of the Budget, which was renamed the Office of Management and Budget (OMB), so that "instead of just clearing all budgets except for those of the Central Intelligence Agency and the Department of Defense before they were sent to Congress, the OMB would be concerned with policy and operations management. This was another way for the White House to exert more control over the departments. This was a crucial step in reinforcing the unitary executive, because the power of OMB could be centrally harnessed by the president to bring recalcitrant cabinet departments and agencies into line." Id. Nixon began having OMB do a cost benefit analysis only of proposals from the Environmental Protection Agency, an executive branch agency, which Nixon himself created. Eventually, under Ronald Reagan and his successors, such OMB cost-benefit analysis of all agency regulations would greatly enhance presidential power.

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Professor's Lawsuit, "Focused on Discrimination Related to Positionality Across Multiple Marginalized and Vulnerable Communities," Fizzles

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I wrote about the case in July (the quote in the title of this post, as of the previous one, is from one of plaintiff's motions):

The plaintiff in Schoene v. Rice Univ. filed the complaint (alleging sexual orientation discrimination, disability discrimination, breach of contract, and constructive discharge) under his own name, but then moved to retroactively pseudonymize it five days later. The problem is that longstanding Fifth Circuit precedent is quite clear that employment discrimination plaintiffs generally must sue under their own names, notwithstanding the argument that this can cause them professional harm. And while plaintiff claims that he's facing not just "professional harm" and "stigmatization," but also unspecified "privacy, safety, and serious health consequences as case implicated medical diagnosis, as well as personal issues of both sexuality and disability," that too is generally not enough for pseudonymity.

Plus retroactive pseudonymity is generally even harder to get. And even when courts are potentially open to pseudonymity claims, for instance when there's real evidence of risk of physical or mental harm, or unusually strong privacy claims, they generally require some pretty specific, concrete evidence: General claims of "discrimination related to positionality across multiple marginalized and vulnerable communities" usually don't cut it.

The court unsurprisingly denied the motion to proceed under a pseudonym, though without a detailed opinion. Note that plaintiff, a humanities professor, is pro se; but his faculty web site says he studied law at a leading Canadian university, he was the editor-in-chief of his law school's journal, his teaching and scholarly interests include some law-related subjects (such as "Queer Ecojustice" and "Law and Literature").

I've since followed the case, and can report that the complaint was dismissed, but on the most banal of grounds—timeliness. From Judge Kenneth Hoyt's order Friday:

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Executive Power

Justice Barrett, Trump v. Slaughter, and Presidential Removal Power from 1945 to 1969

Almost every president since 1945 has refused to accept Humphrey's Executor as having been correctly decided.

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Fourteen men have served as President of the United States since Franklin D. Roosevelt left office, and almost all of them have been imperial presidents in the FDR mode. This is true of Presidents Truman, Eisenhower, Kennedy, Johnson, Reagan, Bush the Elder, Clinton, Bush the Younger, Obama, Trump, Biden, and now Trump again. All of them except for Presidents Carter, Obama, and Biden have endorsed unlimited presidential removal power and/or have read the Vesting Clause of Article I, together with the Take Care Clause as a constitutional grant of the power to execute the laws to the president. Steven G. Calabresi & Christopher S. Yoo, The Unitary Executive: Presidential Power from Washington to Bush (Yale University Press 2008).

In today's blog post, I will describe the ways in which FDR's four immediate successors, Presidents Truman, Eisenhower, Kennedy, and Johnson either challenged Humphrey's Executor and/or insisted that the Vesting Clause of Article II, together with the Take Care Clause, is a grant of the power to execute the laws to the president. In doing this, I rely on my above-cited book with Professor Christopher S. Yoo, who deserves all the credit and none of the blame for this blog post.

President Harry S. Truman began his presidency by dropping atomic bombs on Hiroshima and Nagasaki. It's hard to believe that fourteen presidents since Truman, each of whom has had the power to blow up the world unilaterally, could not be trusted to fire a Federal Trade Commissioner.

President Truman was famous for having a sign on his desk saying: "The Buck Stops Here," and he meant it. Truman fired his Secretary of Defense, Louis A. Johnson; his Attorney General, J. Howard McGrath; and, most famously of all, General Douglas MacArthur, who was a national war hero who became insubordinate. "This highly visible removal illustrates dramatically why the removal power is so important for the president if he or she is to be in charge of the executive branch." Id. at 308.

Truman appealed a Court of Claims case that he won on statutory grounds, the FDR-inherited case of United States v. Lovett, hoping for a ruling from the Supreme Court that a congressional defunding of the salaries of three named state department officials violated unilateral presidential removal power. Truman won the case again in the Supreme Court, but on Bill of Attainder grounds and not the revival of Myers v. United States, which he had sought.

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immunity

What Kind of Immunity for ICE Agents?

A guest post by Prof. Michael Mannheimer.

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Professor Michael Mannheimer (Northern Kentucky University) is the author of an important new article on "Unpacking Supremacy Clause Immunity." The issue of federal officer immunity from state prosecution is of obvious importance, given recent events. Thus, I am pleased to present this guest post by Prof. Mannheimer. What follows is written by him, not me (Ilya Somin):

The recent killing of Minneapolis resident Renee Good by an agent of federal Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) has raised some questions, and some massive confusion, about the extent of immunity from state-law prosecution for federal agents. At one extreme, Vice President J.D. Vance, a Yale Law School graduate, proclaimed that federal agents enjoy "absolute immunity" from such a prosecution, a notion I described to a CNN reporter as "absolutely ridiculous" (yes, it is that kind of clever wordplay on my part that keeps CNN coming back for more). Even standing on its own, without guidance from the federal courts, such a claim makes no sense. First, the U.S. Supreme Court just decided recently that the President himself enjoys absolute immunity but only when exercising his "core constitutional powers," leaving for another day whether the same is true for the President's other official actions, And that was a close question, generating much disagreement over the Court's decision. It is preposterous to suggest that the President's mere underlings enjoy absolute immunity where that might not even be true of the President himself. True, the Court held that the President was immune from all prosecution for some types of official acts, while the question here is whether an ICE agent is immune only from state prosecution. But that brings me to my second point: for all intents and purposes, absolute immunity from state prosecution would ordinarily be the same as absolute immunity, full stop. Federal law does not cover most crimes potentially committed by federal agents. For example, I am unaware of any federal crime an ICE agent commits "merely" by murdering someone. A prosecution could be brought for a violation of civil rights under 18 U.S.C. § 242, but such a prosecution requires a showing beyond a reasonable doubt that the agent violated Good's rights willfully, meaning that he killed her with the specific purpose of violating her civil rights. That's a tall order. And, more to the point, a law criminalizing a deprivation of civil rights simply does not protect the same interest as a law criminalizing murder. Finally, in a regime of absolute immunity, the Federal Officer Removal Statute makes no sense either. What would be the point of Congress authorizing removal to federal court of state prosecutions of federal officers if the invariable result would be dismissal on the ground of absolute immunity? Why not just grant absolute immunity directly?

Fortunately, we do have at least some guidance from the federal courts, going back 120 years in fact. In United States ex. rel. Drury v. Lewis, two U.S. soldiers were prosecuted by Pennsylvania for murder after shooting a man suspected of stealing copper from their Army base. They sought federal habeas corpus relief, claiming immunity from state prosecution. The Supreme Court unanimously held that denial of relief was proper because of a factual dispute over whether the soldiers had shot the victim as he was fleeing, which would make the shooting justified under state law, or, instead, had shot him after he gave himself up, which would obviously be murder. Such factual disputes, the Court said, are for state court juries, not federal court judges.

Whence Vance's claims of immunity, then? For that, we have to go back even further, to 1890 and the Court's pathmarking case of Cunningham v. Neagle. There, the Court upheld the grant of habeas relief to Deputy U.S. Marshall David Neagle who was charged with murder in California state court. Neagle had killed someone who was in the process of attacking Supreme Court Justice Stephen Field. The Court held that if Neagle's conduct "was authorized . . . by the law of the United States . . . and if, in doing that act, he did no more than what was necessary and proper for him to do, he cannot be guilty of a crime under the law of the state of California." There have been only a few dozen lower federal court cases applying the doctrine of what has become known as "Supremacy Clause immunity." Courts typically view the doctrine as authorizing a federal judge to decide for themselves whether the federal agent's conduct was "necessary and proper": that is, whether the agent actually and reasonably believed that their conduct was necessary and appropriate in the exercise of their federal duties. But where there is a factual dispute, as in Drury, federal relief is barred and the case must go to a jury. That is a far cry from Vance's farcical notion of "absolute immunity." His claim that he had "never seen anything like" a state prosecution of a federal agent speaks more to his own lack of preparation before coming to the podium than to the state of the law. The cases are few and far between but they are easy to locate. Indeed, as recently as 2008, a federal district court in Minnesota itself denied immunity to a federal Border Patrol agent – held, in fact, that the claim of immunity was not even "colorable."

As I argue here, even the more limited immunity many courts have recognized is too broad, based on my close reading of the record, briefs, and decision in Neagle. For, in that case, California never disputed that Neagle's act was justified under state law. Instead, it relied solely on the contention that the federal court lacked jurisdiction on the ground that Neagle's conduct was not, as the habeas statute put it, "in pursuance of a law of the United States." Indeed, in the lower court, California's attorneys, having deemed the facts of the case irrelevant, boycotted the evidentiary hearing! Once the Court decided that Neagle's conduct was indeed authorized by federal law, even though not by a specific statute, the case was over. Thus, Neagle and Drury together stand for the modest proposition that it is for a federal court to make an initial determination whether the federal agent's conduct was indisputably lawful; if so, they cannot be charged with a state-law crime.

Neagle's protections, while very narrow, are not insubstantial. First, it allows a federal agent defendant to require court review of the state's evidence against them, as well as any evidence the defendant might proffer. In a case such as Neagle, where the defendant's conduct was indisputably justified, such a review means dismissal of the charges at an early stage. Second, Neagle authorized that review to be conducted in a friendly federal forum, an innovation largely mooted by the expansion many decades later of the Federal Officer Removal Statute, which now allows removal to federal court of virtually any state prosecution against a federal agent.

Viewed properly, "Supremacy Clause immunity" is not immunity at all. And the Neagle Court never used that word to describe what it was doing. Immunity, after all, applies irrespective of the guilt or non-guilt of the defendant, as with Presidential or diplomatic immunity. Neagle used the word "immunity" exactly once, in discussing diplomatic immunity. Neagle relief, as I prefer to call it, can be granted only when there is no dispute over the defendant's non-guilt. As Neagle itself put it, in the very next sentence after the "necessary and proper" language quoted above: "When these things are shown, it is established that he is innocent of any crime against the laws of the state."

So why does everyone mistakenly refer to Neagle relief as "immunity?" The answer, I believe, is that Neagle-type cases have been conflated with a related but different line of precedent. In Ohio v. Thomas and Johnson v. Maryland, the Court held that federal defendants could not be prosecuted under state law for conduct specifically authorized by federal statute or regulation. In Thomas, it was the use of oleomargarine in a federal veterans' home without a display of a placard identifying it as such, as required by state law. In Johnson, it was operation of a U.S. mail truck by someone without a driver's license issued by the State. In the former case, Congress had specifically authorized the provision of oleomargarine in such facilities with no mention of any disclaimer. In the latter case, federal law provided for the requirements for operation of a mail truck without specifying a driver's license from the State in which it was operated. (Presumably, some driver's license was required but Justice Holmes's characteristically terse opinion does not tell us). Such cases bestowed on the federal defendant immunity properly so-called: Thomas really did display oleomargarine without the requisite disclaimer; Johnson really did drive his truck without a Maryland license. These cases are specific instances of implied conflict preemption. The fact that the defendant was a federal agent was merely happenstance: had the Congressional authorization in Thomas applied to private nursing homes or the federal regulations in Johnson applied to private couriers, the result would have been the same.

As the Thomas Court itself recognized, Neagle is a related but distinct doctrine. Same genus, different species. And the bulk of cases in this area fall under Neagle. That is true of the killing of Ms. Good. No federal regulation specifically governed the ICE agent's conduct under these circumstances. And to whatever extent ICE regulations govern use of force more generally, there is no conflict between state and federal requirements. (If there were, I would argue that that would raise Fourth Amendment issues, but I need not get into that here).

Based on the limited evidence that we have at this point, a reasonable jury could come to differing conclusions as to whether Ms. Good was killed in self-defense. In such a case, as in any other, Neagle dictates that a jury gets to make that determination.

Free Speech

Court Refuses to Seal Case Involving Government's Motion to Authorize Disclosure of Tax Returns

"The substantial public interests implicated by questions of the proper scope of Executive power and the statutory limits on access to tax information warrant public disclosure. While this case, and ... this decision, are now unsealed, the underlying Application and its supporting materials will remain under seal, at least while the investigation remains active ...."

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From In the Matter of Application for Ex Parte Order to Authorize Disclosure of Tax Returns (N.D.N.Y.), decided yesterday by Judge Lorna Schofield (S.D.N.Y., sitting by designation):

On October 2, 2025, the United States Attorney's Office for the Northern District of New York (the "Government") applied for a court order directing the Internal Revenue Service to disclose tax return information (the "Application"). John A. Sarcone III authorized the Application as Acting United States Attorney for the Northern District of New York ("NDNY"). This request invokes 26 U.S.C. § 6103(i)(1)(A)(i), a statute that permits such disclosure [including disclosure within the Executive Branch] only under narrow, specified conditions. One critical condition is that only certain designated officials are authorized to make the request—the Attorney General, the Deputy Attorney General, the Associate Attorney General, Assistant Attorneys General, United States Attorneys and other officials not relevant here.

The Application is denied because Mr. Sarcone was not lawfully serving as Acting United States Attorney and therefore lacked authority to authorize the Application. [For more details, see this opinion from Judge Schofield, also handed down yesterday, and this story from CBS News (Jacob Rosen). -EV]

The Government's request to seal this matter is also denied. The substantial public interests implicated by questions of the proper scope of Executive power and the statutory limits on access to tax information warrant public disclosure. While this case, and with it, this decision, are now unsealed, the underlying Application and its supporting materials will remain under seal, at least while the investigation remains active, to protect law enforcement interests and the taxpayer's privacy interests, including the confidentiality of the taxpayer's identity and other sensitive information disclosed in the Application….

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Free Speech

First Amendment Protects Islam Expert's Post-Sept. 11 Speech Urging People to Join Taliban

So a Fourth Circuit panel held today, vacating the defendant's convictions from 2005.

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An excerpt from today's long opinion in U.S. v. Al-Timimi, by Fourth Circuit Judge James Wynn, joined by Judges Stephanie Thacker and Pamela Harris:

Ali Al-Timimi was convicted based entirely on words he spoke in the immediate aftermath of the September 11, 2001 attacks—words that were inflammatory, disturbing, and deeply offensive, but that urged no concrete criminal plan and did not provide operational assistance for the commission of any particular offense. For two decades, Al-Timimi has been imprisoned or confined to his home while his criminal case has made its way through appeals, remands, motions, and delays.

Because the Constitution forbids criminal punishment for protected advocacy—however odious the content of that advocacy—we conclude that Al-Timimi's speech remained protected under the First Amendment….

The court concluded that the speech (some details of which are quoted below) wasn't unprotected incitement:

Plenty of speech encouraging criminal activity is protected under the First Amendment. Abstract "advocacy of lawlessness" is protected speech. "[M]ere encouragement" of unlawful activity "is quintessential protected advocacy." The "teaching of the moral propriety or even moral necessity for a resort to force and violence" retains First Amendment protection.

But such speech loses First Amendment protection when it bears certain additional characteristics: Speech advocating lawlessness or the use of force is unprotected when it is "directed to inciting or producing imminent lawless action and is likely to incite or produce such action." Brandenburg v. Ohio (1969). In this context, the Supreme Court has distinguished between "mere abstract teaching" of the "moral propriety" or "necessity" of violence, on the one hand, and "preparing a group for violent action and steeling it to such action," on the other. The state may criminalize speech that is aimed at accomplishing the latter without running afoul of the First Amendment…. Putting this all together, incitement under Brandenburg requires speech that is intended and likely to produce lawless action, quite soon, and in a definite (rather than abstract) way….

Turning to the facts of the case before us: {Well before September 11, 2001, Ali Al-Timimi helped found an Islamic Center called "Dar al-Arqam" in Falls Church, Virginia, and served as a lecturer there. Though not a cleric, Al-Timimi was viewed as a respected elder and a person knowledgeable about Islam, and adherents of Islam looking to learn more about their faith would attend his lectures. Numerous young Muslim men came to know Al-Timimi, and each other, through Dar al-Arqam.}

Al-Timimi's speech [to those men that formed the basis for the prosecution] urged criminal activity that was neither sufficiently imminent nor sufficiently definite to lose First Amendment protection under Brandenburg. He encouraged those gathered at Kwon's home on September 16 [2011] to "leave the United States," "[j]oin the mujahideen" to "fight the Indians or the Russians or the Americans," and "defend Afghanistan." He advised them to go to Pakistan, "join the LET [Lashkar-e-Taiba] and get some training from the LET camps." He said they should "go through Royer" to connect with LET. [Kwon and Royer were among the men in the group that turned to Al-Timimi for advice. -EV]

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Executive Power

Justice Barrett, Trump v. Slaughter, and Presidential Removal Power from 1933 to 1945

President Franklin D. Roosevelt did his best to defend presidential removal power at will notwithstanding the Supreme Court’s lawless decision in Humphrey’s Executor v. United States.

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In three previous blog posts, I argued that every President from 1881 to 1933 had successfully defended the President's power to remove at will all officers exercising executive power and that no independent agencies in the modern sense of the term had been created between 1881 and 1933. In this blog post, I will argue that President Franklin D. Roosevelt did his best and his utmost to defend unilateral presidential power to remove officers exercising executive power both prior to and after Humphrey's Executor v. United States (1935). My argument grows out of my co-authored book with Professor Christopher Yoo, who deserves all the credit and none of the blame for anything in this blog post. Steven G. Calabresi & Christopher S. Yoo, The Unitary Executive: Presidential Power from Washington to Bush (Yale University Press 2008).

Franklin D. Roosevelt served as President from 1933 to 1945. The unitary executive has had no better friend in history than FDR. Roosevelt transformed the office of the presidency by making it much more powerful than ever before. His personal charisma and domination of the new medium of radio, with his fireside chats, helped him to accomplish this. FDR was the first in line of a whole series of imperial presidents.

Early in his Administration, FDR "issued an executive order transferring all of the government's legal authority to the Justice Department…. Roosevelt also transferred the Bureau of the Budget from the Treasury Department to the newly created Executive Office of the President, so that it could become the president's principal means for his asserting control over the entire executive branch." Id. at 280. The Bureau is today called the Office of Management and Budget, and it continues to function to this day as the President's principal tool in controlling the Executive Branch.

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Supreme Court

Justice Sotomayor Authors First Opinion of Supreme Court's October 2025 Term

Contrary to widespread speculation, the Court's first opinion of an argued case concerned neither Trump's tariffs nor voting rights.

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This morning the Supreme Court issued its first decision of the October 2025 term in an argued case. Contrary to widespread speculation, today's decision was was not in Learning Resources v. Trump (the challenge to the Trump Administration's tariffs) nor Louisiana v. Callais (a timely Voting Rights Act case). Instead, the Supreme Court decided Bowe v. United States (an AEDPA case) by a 5-4 vote.

When the Supreme Court announced that it would be issuing one or more opinions today, many leapt to the conclusion that it would be deciding a particularly time-sensitive case, perhaps on the assumption that it is unusual for the Court to issue opinions in early January. This assumption is unfounded, however. The Court routinely issues a handful of opinions in December or January, although usually in unanimous or relatively straight-forward cases. Bowe is thus unusual in that it split the Court 5-4, divided the conservative majority, and generated 60 pages of opinions.

Justice Sotomayor wrote the opinion for the Court in Bowe joined by the Chief Justice, and Justices Kagan, Kavanaugh, and Jackson. Justice Gorsuch dissented, joined by Justices Alito and Thomas, and Justice Barrett in part. Justice Jackson also wrote a concurrence.

Here is the introduction to Justice Sotomayor's opinion for the Court:

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New in Civitas Outlook: "Eliminating Liberal International Asymmetries"

"The effect, if not purpose, of modern international law is to obstruct American conservative foreign policy."

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In November, Civitas Outlook published my column titled "Eliminating Liberal Institutional Asymmetries." I explained that the single greatest opportunity of our current political moment is to eliminate entrenched institutional asymmetries permanently.

Today, Civitas Outlook published the sequel: "Eliminating Liberal International Asymmetries." Here, I focus on the entrenched liberal biases in international law.

Here is the introduction:

Over the course of the twentieth century, progressives captured many American institutions. Regardless of which way popular opinion shifted, there was a persistent left-wing tilt. During his second term, President Trump has taken steps to eliminate many of these liberal institutional asymmetries, including in the civil service, the judiciary, the academy, the legal profession, and more. However, these liberal imbalances do not exist only at home. Modern international law is structured around progressive idealism that will always oppose conservative principles. President Trump is now taking steps to eliminate liberal international asymmetries. He has announced that the United States will withdraw from scores of global progressive entities that embolden small countries to push back against American foreign policies. And Trump continues to negotiate peace deals for Gaza, Ukraine, and other hotspots with the important parties, without engaging international institutions. Trump's actions make plain the reality: the effect, if not purpose, of modern international law is to obstruct American conservative foreign policies. Once internationalism is viewed as merely another form of progressive politics, it can be treated accordingly.

And from the conclusion:

Thus, there is an asymmetry. A Democrat in the White House will find these international institutions to support his progressive agenda. If anything, international liberal groups are further to the left than their American counterparts in many regards. But a Republican in the White House will always be at odds with these international entities. Thankfully, President Trump is eliminating these liberal international asymmetries.

This essay, which I started working on before recent events, has become quite timely.

Politics

Allegedly Calling Ex "Fat Fuck Iranian" Stemmed from "Desire to Be Left Alone," not "Anti-Iranian Sentiment"

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From the First Circuit's decision Tuesday in Radfar v. Covino, written by Judge Seth Aframe, joined by Judges Kermit Lipez and Jeffrey Howard:

We present [the] facts in the light most favorable to Radfar…. In June 2015, Radfar, a George Mason University ("GMU") police officer, met Covino, a sergeant with the Revere Police Department, at a police event in Virginia. At that time, Covino and Radfar began a romantic relationship. After Covino returned to Massachusetts, he stayed in contact with Radfar.

Radfar visited Covino in the Boston area in August 2015, but during the visit, Covino said that he wanted to end the relationship. The two reconciled, and Radfar visited again two months later. Covino again told Radfar that he wanted to discontinue the relationship. Nevertheless, their communications continued. Radfar testified that in one phone call, Covino called her a "fat fuck Iranian" and stated that he hoped she would be "shot in [her] face with [her] service weapon."

In July 2016, Radfar returned by car to the Boston area. On that trip, she went uninvited to the Revere Police Department, Covino's place of employment, although he was not there at the time.

In January 2017, Radfar called Covino hundreds of times from over one hundred different phone numbers and sent him pictures of her that had been spliced with pictures of him. During that month, Covino called the GMU Public Safety Office and spoke to Lieutenant David Ganley. Covino informed Ganley about Radfar's conduct and said that he wanted a "clean break" from her. Ganley told Covino that Radfar's behavior was consistent with her past relationships. Covino stated that his "only concern [in contacting GMU] was having [Radfar] stay away from [him]."

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