Global Warming Trend Is 'Only One-Half of the Climate Model Simulations,' Says New Paper
A new satellite global temperature data series bolsters the case that climate models are running way too hot.
Computer modeling
Is the 'Climate Time-Bomb' Really Ticking Toward Imminent Catastrophe?
Climate change is a problem, but the IPCC AR6 Synthesis Report is wrong to suggest that humanity is on the brink of catastrophic warming.
Does Google's LaMDA Artificial Intelligence Program Have a Soul?
The future of techno-animism in a world filled with machine intelligence.
Stop Using 'Too Hot' Climate Models, Says Nature Commentary
And avoid implausible, worst-case scenarios for greenhouse gas emissions too.
Has the Pandemic Finally Peaked in the U.S.?
Recent modeling scenarios cautiously suggest yes.
The Worst-Case COVID-19 Predictions Turned Out To Be Wrong. So Did the Best-Case Predictions.
An argument for humility in the face of pandemic forecasting unknown unknowns
Amazing New Chinese A.I.-Powered Language Model Wu Dao 2.0 Unveiled
It's ten times more powerful than the current U.S. effort.
Will the COVID-19 Vaccines Soon Crush the Pandemic?
The vaccines are great news, but the winter still looks bleak.
Is the COVID-19 Herd Immunity Threshold as Low as 15 Percent?
Social connectivity, prior immunity, and behavior changes may all contribute.
Is the COVID-19 Pandemic Self-Flattening, or Will It Grind Relentlessly on?
Stanford epidemiological model predicts self-flattening while MIT forecasts continued epidemic growth.
Quarantine Fatigue and the Social End to the Coronavirus Pandemic
What might learning to live with COVID-19 look like?
Trump Administration Projects 200,000 American COVID-19 Deaths by June 1
The leaked documents also expect nearly 200,000 people to be infected daily by the end of the month.
COVID-19 Modeling: How Many Coronavirus Deaths by the End of Summer?
Benchmarks for determining accuracy of projections are set.
What Percentage of COVID-19 Patients Are Likely To Die?
A new study in Lancet Infectious Diseases makes a somewhat lower estimate
Half of United Kingdom Already Infected With Coronavirus, Says Oxford Model
Great news if true, but only massive population testing can tell us if that's really so.
Are We Battling an Unprecedented Pandemic or Panicking at a Computer-Generated Mirage?
A close look at the new study from Imperial College which models worst-case scenarios and makes the case for social distancing.
How Badly Could the Novel Coronavirus Epidemic Whack the U.S. Economy?
Looking at better and worse projections.
Worst-Case 'Climate Porn' Is Counterproductive to Addressing Real Climate Change
"Stop using the worst-case scenario for climate warming as the most likely outcome"
The Market Says Climate Change Is Happening
When money is on the line, it is hard to find parties willing to bet against the scientific consensus on climate change.
How Big of a Deal Is an Extra Half Degree of Global Warming?
New report declares world must be off fossil fuels entirely by 2050.
Unlimited Growth and Climate Change Economists Win Nobel Prize
Paul Romer overturns limits-to-growth nonsense, and William Nordhaus projects climate change damages.
Gerrymandering Is Out of Control
Computers could be the key to resolving partisan fights over congressional boundaries.
Economic Impacts of Climate Change Likely Limited in This Century, Says New Study
Combining econometric and climate models: How lucky do you feel?
Global Warming Less Likely to Be Catastrophic, Says New Nature Study
That would mean more time to address whatever problems man-made climate change may cause
Global Temperature Increases Are Lower and Slower, Says New Study
"We calculated that value as 1.1 C (almost 2° Fahrenheit), while climate models estimate that value as 2.3 C (about 4.1° F)"
Climate Models Run Too Hot: Settled Science Again
A Nature Geoscience study finds that humanity has more time to avert dangerous man-made warming.
Climate Change Will Reduce Incomes in 2100 from $97,000 to $95,000
Global per capita income now is $10,000. How much should we spend to prevent climate change losses in 2100?
Scott Pruitt Refuted on 'Leveling Off' of Global Temperature Trends?
It depends on what the meaning of the word "hiatus" is.
Cory Doctorow on Cyber Warfare, Lawbreaking, and His New Novel 'Walkaway'
The novelist, activist, and BoingBoing founder on cyber warfare, Uber-style reputation economics, and what he's likely to get arrested for someday.
Climate Computer Models Right After All: What Global Warming Hiatus?
Does new study reconcile controversies about the 'global warming hiatus'?
Climate Change, Scientism, and the Politics of Certitude
New York Times columnist notes the uncertainties in climate science; progressives want him fired.
Harvard Study Promising Huge Health Benefits From Soda Tax Clashes With Reality
Models versus reality.
Send Around This XKCD Climate Change Web Cartoon, But Really Look at It First
You'll see the average global temperatures now are about where they were 9,000 years ago
Welcoming Our New Algorithmic Overlords?
Algocracy and the moral and political legitimacy of government decision-making
What Did 'Climate Hero' James Hansen Actually Predict Back in 1986?: New at Reason
And has the temperature signal for man-made global warming finally emerged?
Climate Change Prediction Fail?
What did 'climate hero' James Hansen actually predict back in 1986?
Global Warming Prediction 30 Years Later: How Is It Faring?
If you preach to choir, at least try to be fair in your sermon.
Ronald Bailey Comments on The Age of Em at Cato Tomorrow
Come by at 11 am Tuesday, June 7 to hear author Robin Hanson and me.
Global Warming Scaled Back, Say Two New Studies
Climate models may be running 2 to 4 times too hot
Washington DC Washed Away by 2100 by Melting Antarctic Ice Cap?
Actually, no. The Capitol is in no danger.
Meters of Sea Level Rise and MegaBoulder-Heaving Superstorms Thanks to Global Warming
Also carbon emissions rate highest in 66 million years
A U.S. Department of the Future Is a Really Bad Idea: New at Reason
Shooting down Kurt Vonnegut's proposal for a Secretary of the Future
A U.S. Department of the Future Is a Really Bad Idea
Unfortunately, there is no shortage of would-be Secretaries of the Future.
Department of Pre-Crime Is Becoming a Reality
Civil liberties and the pitfalls of predictive policing
World Could Still Keep Future Man-Made Warming Below 2 Degrees Celsius
So says the new U.N. analysis of national climate plans from 146 countries
Would You Buy A Self-Driving Car That Would Kill You To Save Others?
The problem of programming ethics into autonomous vehicles
Hurricane Joaquin: The Great East Coast Hurricane Drought Likely Continues
No sign yet that global warming is making hurricane damage worse
John Holland, 'Father of Complexity,' Dies at 86
Pioneer in complex adaptive systems passed away earlier this month
