Why Polls Don't Work
After decades of gradual improvement, the science of predicting election outcomes has hit an accuracy crisis.
Polls
Is the Bernie Sanders Poll Surge Real?
Some reasons to be skeptical the Vermonter has what it takes to win the Democratic nomination
Americans Overwhelmingly Support Police Body Cameras, Understand They're for Both Sides
Poll also shows people think the 'war on police' is actually real.
Despair at the Number of Americans Who Choose Security over Liberty, Privacy
Poll shows citizens fine with warrantless snooping to fight terrorism.
It's Probably Safe to Start Paying Attention to the Polls Now
Trump is still winning but it's far from over.
6 Fictional Lands We Should Bomb Once We're Done With Agrabah
In a new poll, 30 percent of Republican voters said we should bomb Agrabah-a land you might remember from the Disney movie Aladdin.
Stop Playing Fallout 4 a Moment and Read About This Gamer Survey
Industry-funded poll shows gamers as likely voters, party members.
Polls Fail Again in Predicting Outcome of Ohio Pot Referendum, Kentucky Governor's Race
Election Day 2015 did not go smoothly for pollsters.
Yesterday's Election: A Challenge for Democrats—and a Crisis for Politics
Matt Bevin's big surprise win the Kentucky governor's hints at trouble for both Democrats and the larger political system.
Americans Got Only 8 Out of 12 Answers Right on This Very Basic Science Quiz
I am sure that Reason readers will do much better
Carly Fiorina Takes Rand Paul's Place in Republican Top 10
But Donald Trump continues to dominate the GOP field, with Ben Carson capturing second place.
North Carolina Poll Shows 40 Percent for Trump, 38 Percent for Clinton, and 9 Percent Supporting Deez Nuts
Trolls within trolls, Bendreth.
Two-Thirds of Americans Favor Citizenship for Illegal Immigrants
Donald Trump calls voters "stupid."*
Why the GOP Sucks at Courting Millennials: 'The Selfie Vote' Author Kristen Soltis Anderson
The Republican pollster talks to Nick Gillespie about how to win the hearts and minds of a generation that has yet to realize its own political power.
The Public Prefers Both Planned Parenthood and the NRA to Any Major Presidential Candidate
According to an NBC/Wall Street Journal poll
Worried About Rand Paul Falling in the Polls? Don't Be.
Numbers this far out mean little under the best of circumstances. And these are not the best of circumstances.
Donald Trump Is Leading in the Polls. He's Still Not Going to Win the Nomination.
Primary polling taken this far out tells us virtually nothing about who will ultimately triumph.
Lindsey Graham Slams Presidential Debate Qualifications, Polling Cut-off
Say it's silly to base who attends a debate this early based on national polling
Gallup: Trump "Not A Serious Candidate" Say 75 Percent of Americans
Trump's campaign is "a tale told by an idiot, full of sound and fury, signifying nothing"
What Can We Learn From National Primary Polling? Virtually Nothing.
Who's up? Who's down? Who cares?
The FCC Might Have Just Killed Polling as We Know It—and That's OK
Pollsters like Nate Silver are understandably freaked out, but it's not the government's job to protect their business model.
Gallup: Trust in Police Reaches Its Lowest Level Since 1993
But the cops are still among the country's most respected institutions.
5 Things to Know About Jeb Bush's Campaign for President
Get up to speed while you wait for his official announcement to begin.
Americans Getting Increasingly Pro-Choice on Abortion
'Pro-choice' identification is back up to late 1990s levels.
Premarital Sex Is 'Not Wrong at All,' Say 58 Percent of Americans
On the other hand, fewer approve of extramarital sex.
Fewer Christians in the United States: Fourth Great Awakening Over
Just as I predicted seven years ago
Yet Another Set of Pre-Election Polls Gets It Wildly Wrong. Here Are Some Reasons That Keeps Happening.
Polling is hard and getting harder.
Transgender Free Market Economist Offers Sage Advice to Bruce Jenner and the Rest of Us
Deirdre McCloskey: Love is never in excess supply.
Republicans Evenly Split on Iran Deal
The party elites may hate the agreement, but rank-and-file Republicans aren't sure.
Polls Show More and More Support for Gay Marriage. Will GOP Candidates Let It Go?
Rand Paul continues trying to thread the needle with "private contract" argument.
Beltway Bubble Alert: Americans Split on Whether Being Gay Is a Choice
Equal numbers say it is and isn't. Whether that will help Ben Carson remains to be seen.
Gay Weddings Prepare to Crash GOP Primaries
Latest poll has more Republicans saying opposition to same-sex marriage unacceptable.
Growing Unhappiness With U.S. Abortion Laws
Support for abortion policies in the United States is at its lowest level since 2001.
Americans May Support Gay Marriage, But Not Demands for Cake, Flowers
Majority believes businesses should not be required to provide goods, services.
Really Depressing Survey of What Scientists and the Public Think About Science and Society
Disinformation specialists are everywhere
Polling Fail: Democrats, Even More Than Libertarians, Underperformed in 2014 Midterms
An unexpectedly strong showing for the GOP shows pollsters still have work to do.
Crime Is Down, But Americans Are Convinced It's Rising
Also, some of you are scared of clowns.
Both Gay and Heterosexual Marriages Are Equally Stable
It's past time for gays and lesbians to be given the opportunity to wed. The evidence suggests that they will do no worse in marriage than their fellow heterosexual citizens have done.
