When Skrmetti was decided, I was critical of Justice Barrett's concurrence. She rehabilitated Footnote 4, gave credence to Justice Kennedy's animus jurisprudence, and all but wrote that gays who were affected by a "legacy of de jure discrimination" are a suspect class. None of these doctrines are consistent with original meaning. Yet, Justice Barrett seemed intent on fitting the transgender case into Justice Kennedy's framework. As I wrote in Civitas, "the Court remains in the shadow of Justice Anthony Kennedy." And regrettably, Justice Thomas joined this opinion, even as he previously joined Justice Scalia in repudiating the Footnote 4 dictum.
Regrettably, like a groundhog, the Justices in Hecox appear to still be hiding in Justice Kennedy's shadow. Let's start with Justice Gorsuch.
JUSTICE GORSUCH: There's another way to think about the case that your friends on the other side posit, and that is that transgender status should be conceived of as a discrete and insular class subject to scrutiny, heightened scrutiny, in and of itself given the history of de jure discrimination against transgender individuals in this country over history in immigration and family law, cross-dressing statutes, they get a long laundry list. And I'd like you to respond to that.
Justice Gorsuch seems absolutely intent on recognizing transgender people as a suspect or quasi-suspect class. He said nothing at all about the issue in Skrmetti, because he didn't have to. The Chief dodged the status issue altogether by finding non-suspect classifications based on age and medical treatment. It was a typical Robertsian dodge, that merely postponed the day of reckoning.
Perhaps the best conservative defense of Bostock is that Gorsuch was simply persuaded by the hyper-technical textualist argument he adopted (I was not), but he was agnostic about the underlying merits issue. But this question suggest that Gorsuch was also moved by the LGBT policy arguments underlying the case. Remember, an argument that cut against Gorsuch's Bostock analysis was that it would be preposterous for the Congress in 1964 to have inadvertently prohibited discrimination against transgender people. Here, Gorsuch states clearly there is a history of de jure discrimination against those people. If governments banned cross-dressing, then would Congress prohibit employers from firing cross-dressers? Wouldn't that argument undermine Gorsuch's reading of Title VII?
Alan Hurst, the Idaho Solicitor General, responded to the de jure discrimination point:
MR. HURST: Certainly, the de jure discrimination point specifically. There has been some discrimination against transgender people, significant discrimination against transgender people in the history of this country. The same can be said of many groups. The same could have been said of the mentally disabled in Cleburne, et cetera, et cetera. I think Justice Alito's concurrence in Skrmetti is helpful to this in saying this quasi-suspect class or suspect class process, what we're really looking for is classes that look like race or like sex. And if you compare the discrimination in this case, where not one of the laws they cite actually classifies expressly on the basis of transgender status, if we look at that history and we compare it to the history of African Americans and women who were not able to vote, who were not able to own property, who had express classifications based on their status written into the law for most of this country's history, these things don't compare. They're just not alike.
The simple answer is Hecox does not require the Court to address whether transgender status is a suspect class. The statute at issue makes no reference to transgender status at all. It is a sex-based classification, and sex is defined based on biology. But even if the Court were to go down that road, this status would not be quasi-suspect or suspect. Discrimination against transgender people is not comparable to racial discrimination and sex-based discrimination.
Prior to the ratification of the Nineteenth Amendment, biological males who may have identified as women were still allowed to vote. Prior to the ratification of the Fourteenth Amendment, biological females who may have identified as men were still able to own property. Jim Crow and the laws of coverture did not discriminate on the basis of gender identity. America fought a civil war over racial oppression. The suffrage movement spread from coast-to-coast to persuade people that women deserved the vote.
Moreover, as Justice Kennedy's opinion in Lawrence demonstrates, it is not even clear how vigorously sodomy laws were enforced against consensual gay relations. (That's not to say such relations were a "fundamental" right protected by law, anymore than abortion was a "fundamental" right.) Even in 2003 when Lawrence was decided, the number of sodomy prosecutions nationwide was close to zero. There is good reason why racial discrimination is subject to strict scrutiny and sex-based discrimination is subject to intermediate scrutiny. Of course, none of these tiers of scrutiny are supported by original meaning. The Court really needs to let this doctrine go, and stop trying to apply it in new contexts.



