Polymarket's Alleged Fake Trades Don't Justify a Crackdown on Prediction Markets
A Wall Street Journal investigation uncovered $1.9 million in fake bets to market the platform. Punishing the prediction market industry isn't the answer.
Commodities markets
The Federal Government Once Tried To Restrict Prediction Markets. Now It's Suing States To Save Them.
In a bid to “reaffirm its exclusive jurisdiction” over prediction markets such as Kalshi, the Commodity Futures Trading Commission is suing six states for interfering in federally regulated financial markets.
Trump Can't TACO His Way Out of Iran
The president is good at backing out of a losing bet—but this time, it's out of his hands.
Markets Are Smart Even When They Seem To Panic
The stock market may look irrational, but it's repricing risk faster than ever. Sometimes, that's a feature, not a bug.
Contra J.D. Vance and Tim Walz, Housing Should Be a 'Commodity'
Housing is unaffordable because regulations have prevented its commodification.
Julian Simon Was Right: Ingenuity Leads to Abundance
We live in a world of abundance (when politicians don’t screw it up).
Review: Rosewood Restrictions Riled U.S. Guitar Makers
In 2017, a bizarre amendment to an international treaty threw American guitar makers into a panic.
The CFTC Velociraptor Has Escaped the Fence That Dodd–Frank Built to Contain It
“Can an independent federal agency that is supposed to regulate commodity futures assert power over every single purchase or sale of a commodity?”
Resources Are Almost 5 Times as Abundant as They Were in 1980
New Simon Abundance Index elegantly refutes primitive zero-sum intuitions with respect to population and resource availability trends.
Even Where Weed Is Legal, Government Regulation Makes Advertising It a Nightmare
"You can't post pictures of buds. You can't post pictures of selfies of a bong hit."
Changes in Commodities Prices Since 1960 Show a Richer World
The World Bank recently updated the "Pink Sheet."
China's Rare Earth Minerals Mercantilism Totally Fails: I Told You So Six Years Ago
Wall Street Journal has nice op-ed on China's rare earth bust.
Humans Innovate Their Way Out of Scarcity
Decline in commodities prices since the 1960s illustrates the enduring wisdom of Julian Simon
$20 Oil Soon? Resource Depletionists Go Hide Your Heads in Shame!
How low can the slide downward from the peak of the most recent commodity super-cycle go?
Oil Price Super-Cycle Collapse: Party Like It's 1998?
Never bet against human ingenuity operating in free markets.
What Global Food Crisis?: Ronald Bailey's Wall Street Journal Review of The Reproach of Hunger
Neo-Malthusians still get it wrong: Markets and science will feed 9 billion if not blocked.
Oil Prices to Fall to $20 Per Barrel?
Surprise: Oil production did not peak on Thanksgiving Day 2005
Venessa Hughes of Buffalo, NY Hates The End of Doom, But You Might Like It
Library Journal reviews my new book, published today.
Mistaking Peak Prices for "Peak Everything"
Economic Super-cycles and Falling Commodity Prices
Lawsuit Against USDA Says Authoritarian Cherry Board Is the Pits
A lawsuit shines a light on a USDA-created board that controls supply, says you can't sell tart cherries without board permission.
Goldman Sachs Fined for Failing to Block Trade
Will pay $1.5 million for trader who hid $8.3 billion position
Gold Value Reaches Four-Month High
Twenty-nine of 35 analysts surveyed by Bloomberg expect prices to rise next week.
Peregrine CEO Indicted for Lying to Regulators
Move follows botched suicide attempt, confession of bilking customers.
