Recent upward trends in cases and deaths seem to reflect virus transmission tied to holiday gatherings.
Good news from the latest Cancer Statistics 2021 report
Ramp up the vaccinations now!
It's not clear how long those hopeful trends will continue.
Centralization makes sense only if you ignore differences in local conditions—and trust the feds to make the right choices.
The evidence is limited and mixed, but data from New York, Minnesota, and California suggest that restaurants there account for a small share of infections.
We could double the number of Americans vaccinated against COVID-19.
California's Health Secretary Concedes There Is No Empirical Basis for the State's Ban on Outdoor Dining
The ban is "not a comment on the relative safety of outdoor dining," Mark Ghaly says, but part of the effort to keep people from leaving home.
The vaccines are great news, but the winter still looks bleak.
Everyone has a right to dissent from the epidemiologists' contentment with the way things are now.
Especially if the COVID-19 inoculations are deployed speedily and accepted widely.
Blood test study finds that only about 10 percent of Americans are immune to the virus.
A New Prevalence Estimate Suggests the COVID-19 Infection Fatality Rate in Texas Is Roughly 0.4 Percent
That makes the disease much deadlier than the seasonal flu but not nearly as deadly as modelers initially assumed.
Arbitrary COVID-19 Control Measures Will Not Make Americans More Likely To 'Hang in There' Until Vaccines Are Available
Legal responses to this fall's surge in new cases, like last spring's lockdowns, are frequently illogical and unscientific.
So far the president-elect's "expectation" is off by a factor of more than three, which does not bode well for his approach to the pandemic.
Peaks and valleys, a fall peak, or a slow burn?
Even after adjusting for age and comorbidities, researchers in New York and England found large improvements in patient survival.
That claim is wildly implausible and contradicted by the president's suggestion that COVID-19 was never much of a threat.
COVID-19 Cases are increasing faster than is testing, and that's not "fake news."
The president claims success based on a completely implausible worst-case scenario, while his opponent projects more than 3,700 deaths a day.
That is much lower than the toll from unintentional injuries, cancer, or heart disease but higher than the loss attributed to suicide or homicide.
The findings suggest that people infected in Connecticut were 10 times as likely to die as people infected in Utah or Oregon.
Both sides in the debate about face masks make claims that are not justified by the scientific evidence.
In younger age groups, the estimated risk is substantially lower than the overall IFR for the seasonal flu.
And is their luck running out?
Suggesting That Face Masks Are More Effective Than Vaccines, the CDC's Director Exemplifies the Propaganda That Discourages People From Wearing Them
Government officials think Americans can't handle the truth, an assumption that tends to backfire.
The COVID-19 Death Toll Is Rising Much Faster in the U.S. Than in Sweden, Which Now Has Fewer Deaths Per Capita
The trends suggest that Sweden's less restrictive policy has been more successful at reducing fatal outcomes.
If the goal is minimizing the death toll over the long run, it is too soon to say.
The risk for the elderly is much higher, probably largely because of preexisting medical conditions.
The New York Times thinks so, but the data do not fit that hypothesis very well.
The coronavirus pandemic has ushered in an age of sloppy, inaccurate journalism and a heightened need for media literacy.
Without 'Much More Aggressive Shutdowns,' The New York Times Warns, COVID-19 Could Kill 'Well Over a Million' Americans
That scenario seems highly implausible based on what we know about the epidemic.
The trend means we should see declining daily deaths in the coming weeks.
The wide range of estimates reflects real variations as well as methodological differences.
Michigan Gov. Gretchen Whitmer Wants President Donald Trump To Impose a Nationwide Face Mask Mandate
Whitmer's argument is short on facts and legal reasoning.
Meanwhile, the case fatality rate is still falling.
We are starting to see the fatal consequences of the recent infection surge.
Expanded testing, a younger mix of patients, and improved treatment help explain the seemingly contradictory trends.
If the findings are true, that's really great news.
Trends in Massachusetts highlight the importance of voluntary changes in behavior.
The difference implies that the virus is much less deadly than it looks, but it also makes contact tracing a daunting challenge.
The trend, which may reflect growing defiance of social distancing in some age groups, implies a lower death rate.
The downward trend continued after states began lifting their lockdowns.