Coronavirus

A New Study Confirms That Reopening Texas '100 Percent' Had No Discernible Impact on COVID-19 Cases or Deaths

Critics said Gov. Greg Abbott's decision was "extraordinarily dangerous" and reflected "Neanderthal thinking."

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After Texas became the first state to eliminate both its face mask mandate and its business occupancy limits in early March, President Joe Biden said the decision reflected "Neanderthal thinking." Gilberto Hinojosa, chairman of the Texas Democratic Party, described Gov. Greg Abbott's order as "extraordinarily dangerous," warning that it "will kill Texans."

Anthony Fauci, Biden's top COVID-19 adviser, said lifting mask mandates "is really quite risky," because "when you pull back on measures of public health, invariably you've seen a surge" in cases and deaths. Rochelle Walensky, director of the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, said she had a "recurring feeling" of "impending doom," warning that premature relaxation of "public health prevention strategies" could lead to a "fourth surge."

More than two months later, the public health disaster predicted by Abbott's critics has not materialized. A new analysis by three economists confirms that his decision had no discernible impact on COVID-19 cases or deaths in Texas.

"We find no evidence that the Texas reopening led to substantial changes in social mobility, including foot traffic at a wide set of business establishments in Texas," Bentley University economist Dhaval Dave and his two co-authors report in a National Bureau of Economic Research working paper. "We find no evidence that the Texas reopening affected the rate of new COVID-19 cases during the five weeks following the reopening." They say their findings "underscore the limits of late-pandemic era COVID-19 reopening policies to alter private behavior."

Dave, San Diego State University economist Joseph Sabia, and SDSU graduate research fellow Samuel Safford looked at smartphone mobility data from SafeGraph and COVID-19 data collected by The New York Times. They compared trends in Texas before and after Abbott's order took effect on March 10 to trends in a composite of data from other states that retained their COVID-19 restrictions but were otherwise similar.

"We find that the Texas reopening had little impact on stay-at-home behavior or on foot traffic at numerous business locations, including restaurants, bars, entertainment venues, retail establishments, business services, personal care services, and grocery stores," Dave et al. write. "We find no evidence that the reopening affected the rate of new COVID-19 cases in the five-week period following the reopening. In addition, we find that state-level COVID-19 mortality rates were unaffected by the March 10 reopening."

Those "null results" were essentially the same in a separate analysis that excluded Austin and Travis County, which maintained local face mask mandates after Abbott lifted the statewide requirement. They also persisted when the researchers compared more urban to less urban counties and when they compared counties where most voters supported Biden in the 2020 election to counties where most voters supported former President Donald Trump, based on prior research indicating that Trump supporters are less likely to wear face masks and follow other COVID-19 safeguards.

Dave et al. suggest several possible reasons why the Texas reopening did not have the impact that its opponents anticipated. First, increasing vaccination (a trend that Abbott's critics surely were aware of) "may have mitigated the contagion effects of interactions" between members of different households. Second, "it may be that there was limited compliance with and enforcement of mask mandates or capacity constraint requirements prior to the March 10 reopening." Third, removing occupancy limits, which were previously 75 percent of capacity for most businesses and 50 percent for bars and professional sports, may have been too minor a change to "affect net population-based social mobility and statewide spread of COVID-19."

Finally, the authors say, "it may be that the types of individuals who
were affected by the policy" were "those least likely to affect the trajectory of COVID-19 growth." Or perhaps "any increase in social mobility or COVID-19 caused by such individuals was offset by others in the community who engaged in risk avoiding behaviors in response to the reopening."

It should have been clear when Abbott announced the reopening on March 2 that the changes he planned were unlikely to have much of a direct impact on virus transmission. While he said face masks would no longer be legally required, he urged Texans to continue wearing them in public, and businesses remained free to require them. In Dallas (which may or may not be representative of the state as a whole in this respect), I have not observed any change in business mask policies or customer compliance. And it seemed implausible that removing the 75 percent occupancy cap (the one that applied to most businesses) would have a medically significant effect even in businesses that were frequently butting up against that limit.

Still, it was possible that Abbott's announcement would affect people's behavior by changing their risk perceptions. That apparently did not happen either, or at least the effect was not large enough to measurably increase virus transmission. "Even if the initial adoption of restrictions is effective and elicits a population response," Dave et al. note, "as individuals update their risk assessment and amass information about the pandemic, their behaviors can become highly inelastic over time."

This study does not prove that lockdowns or less severe COVID-19 restrictions had no initial impact on risky behavior. But it underlines the primacy of private decisions by individuals and businesses.

While there is evidence that stay-at-home orders and mask mandates "were effective in curbing COVID-19 spread early in the U.S. pandemic," Dave et al. say, "a number of studies have documented that [such interventions] account for a relatively small share of the total variation in individuals' COVID-19 mitigation behavior." Those studies indicate that "most of the variation can be attributed to voluntary (non-policy-related) private demand-side responses, likely due to (i) new or updated information on the novel coronavirus, or (ii) changes in individuals' assessments of contagion risk and developing serious COVID-19 symptoms."

When it comes to the debate about the costs and benefits of legal restrictions, that observation cuts both ways. "There is evidence that much of the variation in local unemployment during the pandemic is not attributable to lockdown policies, but rather to voluntary demand-side responses," Dave et al. note. Even without lockdowns, in other words, businesses would have suffered as consumers afraid of catching COVID-19 reduced their excursions and spending.

Likewise, Abbott's remaining COVID-19 restrictions were hardly the only obstacle to a full economic recovery in Texas. "Too many Texans have been sidelined from employment opportunities," Abbott said when he announced the reopening. "Too many small business owners have struggled to pay their bills. This must end. It is now time to open Texas 100 percent." Contrary to the implication that the March 10 reopening would reduce unemployment, Dave et al. found no evidence that it did.

NEXT: Louisiana Troopers Claimed Ronald Greene Died in a Car Crash. Body Cam Footage Shows a Deadly Beating.

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  2. If Texas didn’t experience the disaster predicted by experts, it just means the state got lucky because Biden was so effective at shutting down the virus. We have his administration to thank for the vaccine, after all.

    #LibertariansForBiden

    PS — Andrew Cuomo still had the best pandemic response in the country and Ron DeSantis had the worst. Nothing will change my mind on that.

    1. I hope you are being sarcastic. If not you need your head examined. 🙂

    2. Thank you for putting it in the proper perspective.

      It’s all so clear to me now, I don’t know why I didn’t see it before.

      /jk

    3. Texas needs a selfless whistle-blower like Rebekka Jones.

    4. Texas didn’t get the disaster predicted, but it got the disaster it deserved.

      #wrathofuri
      #godhatestexas

      1. That may be true, but it’s still better than the leftist shithole states in this rotten country.

    5. “They also persisted when the researchers compared more urban to less urban counties and when they compared counties where most voters supported Biden in the 2020 election to counties where most voters supported former President Donald Trump, based on prior research indicating that Trump supporters are less likely to wear face masks and follow other COVID-19 safeguards.”

      Dee and the socks hardest hit

  3. https://twitter.com/robbysoave/status/1395804669751005194?s=19

    I’m glad our 15 days to slow the spread is finally over. It felt a lot longer for some reason.

    1. As we see, Reason mandarins like everyone else in the MSM, are going to start pretending they weren’t 100% on team hysteria and ackshually opposed the ridiculousness

    2. You know what looks real silly now?
      People in commercials wearing masks.

      1. morons in their cars ALONE wearing them.

        So they go into China Mart. Their mask gets contaminated and they continue to wear it. Make any sense?

        1. Every one of them is probably a democrat. So sense doesn’t enter the equation.

  4. “Dave et al. suggest several possible reasons why the Texas reopening did not have the impact that its opponents anticipated…”

    I noticed that they didn’t suggest one possible reason which is also by far the most likely: none of those restrictions have ever had any positive effect whatsoever on COVID-19, and there is some evidence that some of them (such as masks) make things worse, so getting rid of them will at worst have no effect.

    1. Yeah, but then politicians would have to admit that they were wrong and we can’t have that.

      1. The Science is never wrong. It just evolves into the preferred political outcome.

        1. Have you been following the replicability crisis in science journal publications?

          I was just reading that non replicable studies are around 300x more likely to be reported by mass media than replicable studies.

          1. No sarc; link please?

          2. Replication IS much more important than peer review…that’s for sure.

      2. “Yeah, but then politicians would have to admit that they were wrong and we can’t have that.”

        Do politicians in other countries admit to being wrong?

        1. Who cares what other countries do?

          1. It let’s him avoid what the left did so he can focus his rage on the right.

          2. intelligent people do…

            1. Do what?

            2. Yea so why are we letting all their unskilled vagrants in?

        2. Do politicians in other countries admit to being wrong?

          It’s amusing how desperate Sarcasmic is to deflect attention as if drawing a line between politicians here and elsewhere matters.

          It must be like when Data was getting instructions:

          Directive Engaged: Must Protect Democrats!

          1. Deflector shields at maximum, Captain!”

          2. Or he just wants to know.

    2. Your reasoning has a flaw. The obvious reason the reopening had no effect on COVID rates is people did not change their behavior in response. To validate your theory that those mitigation efforts have no effect you would need a scenario where people started socializing more and wore masks less.

      1. “…The obvious reason the reopening had no effect on COVID rates is people did not change their behavior in response…”

        Cite missing from your bullshit claim

      2. I live in TX, and you are completely and utterly full of weapons-grade shit.

  5. Amazing how the actual real world never seems to line up with the unvalidated models built on aprilri assumptions.

      1. Aprilri, aperio, apostolus, a priori… it all works.

    1. …especially when theyre lying about the models!

  6. So all those people being shitty to Abbot and DeSantis are going to apologize now right?
    I’ll keep criticizing them for having restrictions in the first place and then not doing this a year ago.

    1. It would be nice to see Biden do a mea culpa for his “neanderthal thinking” crack”.

      1. For that to happen biden would require a conscience and a functioning brain. All he’s got is cold and lumpy oatmeal in that corrupt mushy skull of his.

        1. He’d have to remember that he said it in the first place.

        2. for that to happen someone merely has to write it into the script they prepare for him whenever he needs to open his mouth in public.
          ..whether it comes out right is, of course, a different story

      2. I’m sure he’ll apologize for that right after he apologizes for claiming Mitt Romney Republicans want to but blacks “back in chains”.

        Or maybe all Americans will realize he’s every bit the asshole every other left winger is.

  7. Critics said Gov. Greg Abbott’s decision was “extraordinarily dangerous” and reflected “Neanderthal thinking.”

    Joe Biden would know. All the great thinkers of his youth were Neanderthals.

    1. All the great thinkers of his youth were Neanderthals.

      That’s why the ‘progressive’ primate, homo sapiens, killed them off.

    1. Why aren’t you on Karlyn’s channel playing unwoke bingo?

        1. Every Friday she goes through a Critical Race Theory training video, with an “unwoke bingo” card

          https://youtu.be/n0oteBz4brE

          The link for a bingo card is below the feed.

          1. Or am I confusing you with someone else?

            1. You do seem to be confused.

              1. I’ve been dazed and confused for so long it’s not true.

            2. I didn’t know that, but could be fun.

              Karlyn is one of many Twitter accounts I read from and occasionally link to.

    2. The bitches at Bloomberg don’t let up do they? Problem is they’re influential. Mike sure loves to swallow CCP cum.

      And why compulsory when vaccination rates are apparently high?

      1. Actually, Chiberg is what they should change their name to.

  8. Democrats, again, were caught flat out lying. They media never holds them accountable of course.

    1. Oh man, the perpetual snowflake victim.

      1. Wow! Snappy response. Well done.

      2. That word, I don’t think you know what it means.

        1. I thought snowflake meant “My child deserves special treatment because he/she is unique, like a snowflake.”

          1. So you do see yourself as a child. Makes sense now.

            1. I have to ask, if you dislike someone that comments on the same topic as you, why the personally attacks? I am guessing you are a grown ass man or maybe woman but you are acting like a child on a playground who is the biggest bully to make yourself feel good.
              You are mean and it’s sad that the only way you can get off is putting someone else down. Please grow up. I do hope you have not had any kids because they would be a reason another kid kills themselves.
              Have a good night bring an asshole with all your Reason friends.

              1. Shut the fuck up and mind your own business you bitch ass faggot.

                1. Do you feel better attacking a stranger?? The really sad part about you and your elementary friends is attacking people on a magazine site is the only way you get a hard on. You and your FOLLOWERS are bullies, jerks, assholes, trolls and a waste of skin.

                  1. Dramaqueen107

                    Do you feel better attacking a stranger??

                    Screen name checks out.

                    1. You still didn’t answer the question. The whole point of a comment section is to comment on the topic you just read about, not attacking people that don’t share your point of view. You go after someone’s personal life and that makes you a piece of shit. Karma bitch

                  2. Do you feel better attacking a stranger??
                    I do hope you have not had any kids because they would be a reason another kid kills themselves.

                    LOL.

                    Figures that you live in some rural whiteopia. Philly too diverse for you?

                  3. Dickhead attacks a stranger by calling them a bully and when someone retaliates he cries like a little bitch pleading for a reason why, lol. You can’t be this dense and lack this much self awareness. Shut the fuck up and put your mouth burka back on. Go for a walk you whiny fucking dummy.

                    1. So much love. Go for a walk??? Good come back.
                      Do you ever comment on the topic at hand or just have a need to push people down over a news article?? Big man hiding behind words. You should be so proud that you mom raised you right.

                  4. “…The really sad part about you and your elementary friends is attacking people on a magazine site is the only way you get a hard on…”

                    Why is it that self-righteous piles of lefty shit *ALWAYS* have to inform us of their erotic fantasies.
                    Nobody here gives a shit, asshole. Fuck off and die.

              2. Learn English you stupid foreigner

                1. Born and raised in the USA. Once a bully always a bully. Thought people grew out of being a bully but thank you for showing me once as ass hole always an ass hole.

                  1. “Born and raised in the USA…”
                    And failed English grammar from grade one.

                    “…Once a bully always a bully…”
                    Once an ignoramus, always an ignoramus.

                2. I am guessing you are perfect and don’t make any mistakes. I know me English good. Got me 9th grade. And by reading your comment you are a racist motherfucker. Have a wonderful day you racist dick

                  1. Why is it every progressive that comments on here turns out to be a slack-jawed hicklib?

              3. “I have to ask, if you dislike someone that comments on the same topic as you, why the personally attacks?…”

                Because steaming assholes like you deserve it.

                1. , really need to do better than that. I mean you are the king of bully’s and can only feel good about yourself when you are “attacking” people on a personal level!!
                  Should stick to the facts of the article and not someone’s personal life.
                  I am guessing you must have a grave yard in your closet. #1 troll.

                  1. Steaming piles of shit like you STILL deserve it and nothing more.
                    Fuck off and die.

                    1. Do you feel better about yourself now?? Telling someone to die must make you feel like true adult!
                      You are a bully and a hater. Troll ass bitch.

                    2. Steaming piles of shit like you STILL deserve it and nothing more.
                      Fuck off and die.

                  2. Why are you still responding, then? Just leave, man.

              4. Seems like a pretty reasonable question. And one I wonder about often. Why behave like this? What’s the point?

          2. That is one connotation.

            Pointing out that the Democrats lie and the media never holds them accountable, as buckle up did, is objectively true (I’d probably say hardly ever, but I try avoid absolutes), so not a “snowflake” position.

      3. You really should be tried and executed for your Marxism. Marxists have no right to exist.

  9. 1) Good.
    2) If people didn’t change their normal routine (masking, distancing, etc.) then I’d say that’s likely why case trajectory remained the same.
    3) Let’s not forget the only reason he did it was to deflect from his state’s pathetic and absolutely asinine response to 150 of their citizens dying when the power grid failed.

    1. So what? It was the right thing to do. If people do the right thing for the wrong reason, I’m good with that.

    2. Don’t worry: we won’t forget that you still hate Texas no matter how right they were and how wrong their critics were.

    3. LOL! My mockery above was less asinine than your serious post.

      Never change, RD.

      1. I want him to cho. I want his life to end. If enough leftists died, we wouldn’t have all these problems.

    4. Take your False Concern to an abortion clinic, Troll.

  10. /rubs temples waiting for Tony.

    Gee, what a surprise. We all knew by simple observation and following the data this was one of the great mass medical hysteria in history where opportunistic snakes and assholes like Gates cashed in.

    Fauci is one big unethical fraud. How this guy even still gets air time is beyond me. They should have a mask bang where everyone gets to shove their masks up his ass.

    1. It should be apparent to everyone now that Gates was just trying to get in tight with the socialists and assorted lefties before his own #metoo moments came to light.

      He never was capable of understand social cues. They mean it when they say ‘eat the rich’.

      Fauci would have been welcomed in hell for his AIDS fiasco. This is his proverbial TSA Precheck ID for the Mobius strip security line where devils search your rectum for contraband with a pitchfork.

    2. “/rubs temples waiting for Tony…”

      See far down-thread; shitstain doesn’t disappoint.

    3. Millions of people are dead.

      You’re whining about being asked not to rub your feces on other people’s faces.

      1. “You’re whining about being asked not to rub your feces on other people’s faces.”

        Shitstain is not capable of posting without lying, and too stupid to recognize that he is.

      2. Every bullshit thing you’ve advocated for has been completely useless. You’re kind of crippled or economy and caused the deaths of many people unnecessarily over the last 15 months.

    4. As in, Bill? What does he have to do with, well, anything these days? I think he donated money to develop some vaccines. Some newspapers ran some quotes from him early in the pandemic. Overall, though, he seems totally irrelevant. But people still like to talk about him for some reason. I’d blame just about everyone at CDC, HHS, WHO, the media, and Big Tech ahead of blaming the nerd who happened to strike it rich, and hasn’t run anything other than an attempt to eradicate malaria in over a decade.

  11. >>After Texas became the first state to eliminate …

    the panic in the air was palpable lol … the sky was literally falling … then crickets

  12. This political interpretation of everything covid is fucking tiresome Sullum.

    Dave et al. suggest several possible reasons why the Texas reopening did not have the impact that its opponents anticipated.

    Missing one big reason – the weather. But of course that doesn’t make for some BS article.

    The earliest research on this virus indicated that over 50 F transmission slows sharply (unless/until there is are local mutations in that virus that transmit more readily in warmer weather). Hey presto TX warms up earlier than states further north (as evidenced by college students tending to go to TX rather than MN for spring break).

    And just as shown last summer, the southern tier of states ends up with a mini-wave during ‘air-conditioning season’ as people go back indoors. By summer, whatever happens then will happen then (rather than now) – and with presumably (or maybe) high-enough-by-then levels of vaccination/previnfected rates by then.

    1. How many masks were you wearing when you wrote this?

    2. Sounds pretty sciencey to me.

    3. Lol. Youre still repeating earliest research?

    4. Then why didn’t the critics who assured us that Texas would be a disaster remember that they have warm weather?

      Is that your point? It was supposed to be obvious that Texas would be ok? That’s not what I remember hearing.

      1. JFree is a statist apologist. Nothing he posts is honest or makes sense.

      2. Ding ding.

        Go slob more lefty knob jfree. You’re getting almost as dumb as dee.

    5. Now do India.

    6. missing the entire point. masks do not wirk.

      They are simply ” rubbing incense on the altar to the Emperor” in ancient Rome.

      CDCs and NIH published research say masks dont work.

      They are 1984 – esque signs of media programming and political compliance.

    7. “…Missing one big reason – the weather. But of course that doesn’t make for some BS article…”

      “Texas sees one of its coldest winters in decades as temperatures drop”
      https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2021/feb/14/texas-weather-latest-freezing-ice-winter

  13. It’s pretty hard to believe we were still in full apocalypse mode just 30 days ago.

  14. On May 10, this happened. I’m surprised it didn’t get any coverage outside the boxing scene. Assuming there’s no big surge in the next few weeks, this really ought to put an end to all the lockdowns in this country.
    ++++++
    The world title fight between Saul ‘Canelo’ Alvarez and Billy Joe Saunders was watched by 73,126 fans at AT&T Stadium in Texas, an all-time attendance record for an indoor boxing event held in the US.

  15. Misleading headline. The key takeaway is that the governor’s action didn’t change mask-wearing behavior, and didn’t change local or retail-business policies. It seems that GOP governors are free to issue dumb proclamations without consequences because they have no actual effect on what people do. It’s all political theater — a wink at the far-right base. It also indicates that the hit businesses took when the pandemic hit had more to do with people acting in their own immediate self interest. Most of us didn’t want to put ourselves, our families and our communities in danger.

    1. The key takeaway is that the governor’s action didn’t change mask-wearing behavior

      I split my time between two states, one predominantly red, the other predominantly blue. The red state dropped all covid mandates a month ago. The blue just now said people who are vaccinated don’t need to wear masks. The vast majority of businesses and employees in both states are choosing to unmask.

    2. Lying tonite? Interesting how you shouted ” no it isnt,” didnt prove that it didnt change mask wearing, are posting negatives and then change topics to Partidan hate and personal attacks

      Troll. Piss poor one too!

    3. “Misleading headline. (followed by unsupported pile of lefty bullshit)…”
      Fuck off and die, slaver.

      1. All the Lefty Trolls use the same template. They think it works?

        There havent been any good Trolls to play handball with since O’ Blomme stopped paying them back about 2012.

    4. “It also indicates that the hit businesses took when the pandemic hit had more to do with people acting in their own immediate self interest.”

      No it was the forced closure of their stores. What this article states, for you idiots, is that reopening Texas didn’t lower Texas unemployment numbers… BECAUSE THEY WERE ALREADY LOW. Texas never went down to 10-25% capacity indoors like some retarded leftist states did. Most indoor businesses were at 50-75% and were actually able to maintain a semblance of normalcy and business as usual.

      This is why leftys like the idiot I’m replying to will never get it. They’re dumber than the kids raised in city schools.

    5. “It also indicates that the hit businesses took when the pandemic hit had more to do with people acting in their own immediate self interest.”

      No it was the forced closures. What idiots like you fail to understand is Texas unemployment rate didn’t go down much… BECAUSE IT WAS ALREADY LOW STILL. Texas remained at 50-75% indoor capacity for most of the pandemic. They never went down to. 10-25% capacity indoors like all the retarded democrat governed states did. That allowed their businesses to maintain a semblance of business as usual and not require mass layoffs like Democrat governors literally forced on their states.

      Idiots like you are too dumb to grasp reality though. You’re dumber than a kid raised in city school.

      1. Reason your comment section is still wonkier than Tony’s moms hip after last Saturday.

    6. Yes, as the story indicates to anyone who read it, which apparently the people who are denigrating your comment did not.

      1. It’s almost as if the government didn’t need to get involved with mask mandates at all. Hmm. But that key takeaway is lost on partisan eyes, I imagine.

    7. Well, I drove through Texas a week or two after Abbott dropped the mask mandate, we went in stores and restaurants without masks, and while some people at for example WalMart were masked, more than half were not.

    8. “” The key takeaway is that the governor’s action didn’t change mask-wearing behavior, and didn’t change local or retail-business policies.””

      I doubt that’s true. I’m seeing less mask wearing in NYC after Cuomo dropped the mandate.

      Plus, as more people are vaccinated the virus will spread less. Vaccinations probably had more to do with the reduction of viral transmission than the people who continued to wear masks.

  16. Sullum could have written this article any time in the past year, as it was clear to all rational Americans more than a year ago that Democrat governors’ lockdowns and mask mandates were unscientific political weapons that were intended destroy small businesses owned by Republicans and rig the 2020 election from Trump by scaring/controlling/manipulating the sheeple in America as a pretext for imposing more Marxist policies.

    1. In the past 15 months, I’ve posted >100 comments on this website pointing facts about the Chinese virus (and lies about it by WHO, Fauci, CDC, left wing media and many other Democrats).

      But Sullum was too busy trashing Trump every day to bother to find out and expose the facts about the viris or the disastrous and the totalitarian policy response by Democrats.

    2. All this shutdown for nothing, when over 4 calendar years, (Fall ’18 to now in ’21) 5% of the US population got sick (CDC data 1/5/2021), is right in the UNs Agenda 21 playbook- to de- industrialize the US bc. we just spend too much of the worlds resources…

      …feeding, clothing, housing, defending and trying to build up economies of Third World turd -receptacle Nations.

      We should keep our soybeans and tell China to get bent.

  17. “Hinojosa, chairman of the Texas Democratic Party, described Gov. Greg Abbott’s order as “extraordinarily dangerous,” warning that it “will kill Texans.”

    Golly. People in the Democrat party focused on killing babies suddenly get a conscience….

    Isnt aborting a disproportionate number of bkack babies Ray- ciss?

    And its not possible to kill biden, hes a Zombie already.

  18. “Critics said Gov. Greg Abbott’s decision was “extraordinarily dangerous” and reflected “Neanderthal thinking.””

    Lefties tend to be cowardly shits, don’t they?

  19. BTW, the bay area is still getting oh, so artsy and ‘diverse’ TV ads telling us to mask-up. And the images are indoors and out.
    My mask goes on when entering a business which requires it, comes off when seated at a restaurant and as soon as I walk out the door otherwise.
    Really haven’t gotten any karen-calls.

  20. “Covid vaccine profits mint 9 new pharma billionaires” CNN

    Let me see if I can find my surprised face!

    Yep, Count de Money!

    1. *De Monet*! Monet! Say it! Say it, you provincial putz!

      1. hahahaaaaaa!!!!!

        “Serfs up!”

  21. Not only does “a study” show it, the actual data on the ground proves it. Just like there were no spikes in any of the states that lifted their mask mandates.

    1. Most of the spikes happened after mask mandates started.

  22. nobody gets their medical advice from this guy. might as well listen to trump. i live in tx and he will face the electorate soon enough and likely a trumpian outcome also.

    1. Nobody needed tio get medical advice; all we have to do is look at the results, and lefty shits like you become irrelevant.
      Asshole, there is no medical treatment for TDS, except for you to stuff it up your ass so your head has some company.

    2. Is he paying you to live in your head? Rent free unfurnished?

    3. As a progressive, let’s hope your outcome involves your demise.

      Getting rid of your kind the only way to save this country. No more traitors.

  23. I’ll tell you what “Neanderthal” is. Judging from how the stores smell, nobody bathed for the entire duration of the lockdowns! Maybe that is the new public health disaster! We’ll see new outbreaks of Mideaval skin diseases once thought gone from the face of the Earth!

    1. IOW well become France!

  24. Social mobility? Isn’t that a matter of changing social classes, or levels? What would that have to do with lockdowns?

  25. Orwell wrote that the most powerful lie is the lies of omission, for what is omitted, tho critical, is unseen. This article commits such a lie, for it omits that Texas opened once before on October 8, 2020, when the number of deaths from Covid was 37.
    And the deaths began to climb: by Jan 13, 2021, the deaths were average 300 a day, and peaked on Feb 3 at 433 deaths. Had Texas not re-opened, it is entirely logical to think that the deaths would not have climbed 10 fold but remained in single digits.
    The latest re-opening co-incides with the vaccination program and so it is not nearly as dangerous as the first, which caused thousands of preventable deaths.

    1. Now that just sounds like it’s chock full of science.

    2. And you’re omitting the fact that keeping their state open allowed their employment and businesses to do much better than Democrat governed states. And that, as many article state, lock downs had no impact slowing the disease so Texas first reopening wasnt really a health crisis. . Texas ended up havingthe same medical crisis every other state had (even faring better than many comparable blue states like Cali) but avoided the financial and unemployment crisis the blue states are now having.

      Still seems like Texas did it right.

      1. Keep in mind as I stated above, this study basically says Texas unemployment rate didn’t drop much after 100% reopening, because the state never really closed. Operating at 50-75% capacity for much of the pandemic allowed Texas businesses to operate fairly regularly, especially compared to Democrat governed states.

    3. “Orwell wrote that the most powerful lie is the lies of omission,..”

      Possibly, but the most powerful stupidity is that of a lefty when called on lefty lies.
      Fuck off and die.

    4. “Had Texas not re-opened, it is entirely logical to think that the deaths would not have climbed 10 fold but remained in single digits.”

      No, it is not entirely logical. It is entirely gratuitous, however, for your preferred political narrative.

    5. NYC had a few spikes without reopening anything.

  26. If mobility data didn’t change, then lockdowns weren’t harming business. The pandemic ad individual decisions were. The fact of the matter is that Texas had most of its fatalities when it should have known better. Stupid people doing stupid, selfish things not caring if others die.

    1. then lockdowns weren’t harming business
      LOL. Tell that to all the mom and pops that closed down.

    2. It didn’t help them either – so they shouldn’t have been done.

      If a neutral action removes liberty then its still a bad thing to do.

  27. The discussion was very interesting and entertaining. Thank you for sharing with us

  28. People were probably locked into their patterns. Those diligent about masks aren’t going to trust their lives to Gregg fucking Abbott.

    But this is all beside the point. Reason is not espousing any principles by taking a maximally risky stance in a pandemic. It can only be in favor of taking the fewest precautions during a global pandemic because a) it allows for government to swoop in and do shit people like, like give them checks, or b) they are whores for commercial interests who like their labor cheap and afraid.

    Either way I don’t see any principles, so there’s no excuse for the bad ideas.

    1. So everyone was doing something they hated because they were told to, then when they didn’t have to do it, they kept doing it?
      Sounds legit.

      1. Can you people not grow the fuck up?

        You demand an infinite supply of privileges and concessions from the rest of us and then do nothing but whine the moment someone asks you to take responsibility for not killing other people.

        Jesus Christ get a better media diet.

        1. “Can you people not grow the fuck up?”

          Shitstain called on bullshit, tries more bullshit.
          Fuck off and die; leave the adults alone, slimy piece of lefty shit.

        2. Tony, you’re too stupid and dishonest for any kind of debate. Just die.

    2. “Either way I don’t see any principles, so there’s no excuse for the bad ideas.”

      Poor pile of lefty shit finds out his religion is false, lies about it.

    3. cant resist hate can you Troll?

      1. I hate people who support a regime of death because they’re stupid.

        I try to think of you as victims, because that’s what you are, but at some point I run out of bandwidth and start thinking of ways to lure you into the ocean so I can have some peace and fucking quiet.

        1. “I hate people who support a regime of death because they’re stupid.”

          Shitstain is trying to find someplace to gripe, and seems to end up here by mistake.

        2. Why not just stop reading the Reason comment section? Are you a glutton for punishment?

    4. You can just come out and admit you were wrong. It’s ok. You don’t have to demonize the people who were right by suspicions of their motives for being right.

    5. “People were probably locked into their patterns.”

      Science!

    6. People are either making choices for themselves, or they follow the Governor’s dictates.
      You can’t have it both ways. Either the public mandates affected peoples behavior, or they didn’t.
      You can’t say that the mandates were necessary when taking them away have no discernible effect.

      1. ^ this.

  29. It’s a nice sign. Thanks for sharing this info.
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  30. A New Study Confirms That Reopening Texas ‘100 Percent’ Had No Discernible Impact on COVID-19 Cases or Deaths

    Lol….as if that will change the mind of any karens. I know because I’m related to some of them. They want mask mandates forever because they don’t feel safe knowing that Trump voters are still out there with their insurrections and vaccine conspiracy theories, plus they’re just poor and icky. Legally mandated masks give them a sense of security from those unwashed Trumptards and that’s what they call “science”

    1. Looks like you didn’t get past the headline and actually read the article. What the study actually showed was that Greg Abbott’s decision didn’t change people’s behavior. In other words, the people who were being responsible continued to do that, the less responsible people continued to act that way also.

      1. You got a real problem, lefty shit:
        IF the behavior was not affected and the infections weren’t serious, that says most Texans were ignoring the mandates prior to the order and TX was doing just fine.
        Or IF you’re wrong regarding behavior, which is likely since masking and ‘social distancing’ weren’t mentioned, than the change in behavior had no effect.
        Either way, you are (still) full of shit.

  31. Neanderthal thinking?

    No, 1957 flu outbreak thinking where the general trajectory was same/ similar with no masks, distancing or media panic. No CDC guidance blown out of proportion as ” rules”.
    No hysteria by a Lying Media.

    That was the topic of a recent WSJ story..

    https://www.wsj.com/articles/how-a-more-resilient-america-beat-a-midcentury-pandemic-11619794711

    1. Still killed millions of people and hundreds of thousands in the US. Also, a different virus.

      People did wear masks during the 1918 flu pandemic, and if I crunch the numbers, it looks like COVID will overtake that as the biggest mass death event in American history.

      I’m sure you did your part.

      1. Shitstain’s still here; someone fell down on the job of infecting him.

      2. First, he was speaking of the 1957 flu, not 1918. Stay focused, my friend.

        But yes, perhaps deaths _with_ COVID detected by improper PCR testing (see cycle thresholds) will be the biggest mass death event in American history.

      3. Only if you are massively dishonest and pretend that all deaths are equal and all of the covid deaths are actually people who died of (as opposed to with).

  32. Don’t these people know a psyop when they see one? There is no virus – it hasn’t been proven to exist, if you actually look at the science. There is not pathogen – all you have is a mass delusion of reclassifying existing illness as “caused” by an unvalidated PCR test artifact. And I daresay, this was pre-planned by the intelligence agencies and has nothing to do with health and everything to do with international currency and globalism. The continued insult to people who know how to think is a real detriment to innovation or the professional class.

  33. Progressives make commitments to policies, not as facts, and once those commitments are made, no facts will change them.

    Don’t expect them to learn and adapt. In fact, they will still consider themselves intellectually superior as they fail to adapt to facts. Progressives entire trade is ignoring facts that disagree with their policy preferences. They believe that’s what makes them smart.

    Expect excuses and as hominems. But understand their nature. You don’t want people like that in charge of you.

  34. The forgot the fifth possibility. The bear patrol.
    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fm2W0sq9ddU

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  38. I’m almost certain that Sullum was gleefully bleating doom and mask shaming along with the rest of the MSM flock. Now that almost every MSM/deep state virus narrative has been proven false or wildly distorted, they are fleeing the disaster like rats from a sinking ship.

  39. “Contrary to the implication that the March 10 reopening would reduce unemployment, Dave et al. found no evidence that it did.”

    difficult to interpret without context — did labor force increase? did revenue increase? were UE benefits still a better deal for some workers?

    1. Some of it is psychological as well. There is a known disability syndrome where some people will never go back to work even when they can. They find other ways to get by.

  40. And now Fauci is saying the virus could have come from the lab…waiting for the NYT or WAPO or the woke Reason editors/writers who all seem to live in NYC or DC to weigh in…

  41. Sometimes I wonder if I really can. But then I think to myself, maybe I can’t. But if I could, that would be good. Maybe it’s all a lie? Semrush vs Similarweb thanks ….

  42. Will the doomsayers follow the science?

    1. It has been my experience that one of the most reliable indicators of scientific ignorance is virtue signaling via phrases like, “Follow the science”, “Those guys are anti-science”, “I fucking love science”, etc.

  43. Looks like a lot of Reason readers got duped by the headline and made the assumption that Texas’s lockdown had no effect on the spread of Covid. That’s an embarrassingly incorrect assumption since the article makes very clear that Abbott’s “reopening” had no discernable impact on people’s behavior.

    1. That’s an embarrassingly incorrect assumption since the article makes very clear that Abbott’s “reopening” had no discernable impact on people’s behavior.

      The only embarrassing assumption being made here is yours…namely, that “stay-at-home behavior or on foot traffic at numerous business locations” constitute the sum-total of “people’s behavior” with regard to Covid precautions. There has been a LOT less mask wearing going on, which is a not insignificant part of the mandates that were lifted.

      1. Your anecdote is not data

        1. You didn’t even bother with an anecdote, just spouted some lefty bullshit.
          As expected.

    2. That’s rich considering sheep like you are duped about practically everything in life. Everything.

    3. The point is that even without totalitarian government fiats free people tend to make reasonable choices.

  44. https//www.wapexclusive.com/opinion/articles/2021-05-16/compulsory-covid-19-vaccinations-may-be-unpalatable-but-necessary?srnd=opinion-politics-and-policy&sref=ZtdQlmKR&utm_content=view&utm_campaign=socialflow-organic&utm_source=twitter&utm_medium=social&cmpid%3D=socialflow-twitter-view

  45. “Absolutely reckless.”

    Gavin Newsom, 3/2/21

  46. Trial and error. I was sure the numbers in Texas were going to go a lot up this Spring after they opened up early, but they didn’t get crazy. I agreed with Newsom in that quote above. I was dead wrong. So now we know. This is another reason that truth matters.

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