Tags: Predictions
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Global Extinction Rates Have Likely Been Exaggerated
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Predictions Are Hard, Especially About the Future, and Especially About Estimating the Excesses of Government Debt
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Intrade Prediction Market Targeted by Our Commodity Futures Trading Commission (For Absolutely No Good Reason)
In a press release strangely devoid of any mention of anyone being victimized or defrauded, the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) announces it is suing Intrade, the famous "prediction market" business, based in Ireland.
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NSA 1990s Report Showcases Wildly Inaccurate Predictions About Computing's Future
But the government is good at forecasting everything else
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Third Summer of Recovery Is Already Over
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It's Hard to Make Predictions, Especially About the Future
The new book Future Babble explains why dart-throwing monkeys are better at predicting the future than most pundits.