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Supreme Court

Transgender Athletes, Guns, and the Federal Reserve: 3 SCOTUS Cases To Watch in January

The Supreme Court’s January docket is packed with big cases.

Damon Root | 1.8.2026 7:00 AM

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Supreme Court building | Illustration: Eddie Marshall | Midjourney
(Illustration: Eddie Marshall | Midjourney)

Greetings and welcome to the latest edition of the Injustice System newsletter.

You’re reading Injustice System from Damon Root and Reason. Get more of Damon’s commentary on constitutional law and American history.

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After a short winter break, the U.S. Supreme Court returns next week to the business of hearing oral arguments. And the January docket is already packed full of high-profile cases that deal with some of the most controversial topics in American law. Here are the big cases that I'll be watching most closely this month.

Transgender Athletes

First up on January 13 is a doubleheader that features not one but two cases about government bans on transgender women and girl athletes competing in women's and girls' sports. In Little v. Hecox, the justices will consider the following question: "Whether laws that seek to protect women's and girls' sports by limiting participation to women and girls based on sex violate the Equal Protection Clause of the Fourteenth Amendment."

Then, after the arguments wrap in Hecox, the justices will spend the rest of the same day's session hearing arguments in West Virginia v. B.P.J., which presents a separate yet related question: "Whether Title IX prevents a state from consistently designating girls' and boys' sports teams based on biological sex determined at birth."

Guns

Our next big case arrives on January 20. It is Wolford v. Lopez. At issue is the constitutionality of a Hawaii law that says that licensed concealed carry permit holders may only carry a handgun on private property that is open to the public if they have the express permission of the property owner.

The current Supreme Court has generally been pretty hawkish in defense of gun rights in those cases that it agrees to hear, and that pattern is likely to continue in this case. Still, it is worth paying attention to whether any of the Court's Republican appointees refer or allude to Justice Antonin Scalia's famous statement in District of Columbia v. Heller (2008), in which he observed that "nothing" in the Court's recognition of the individual right to keep and bear arms "should be taken to cast doubt on longstanding prohibitions on the possession of firearms by felons and the mentally ill, or laws forbidding the carrying of firearms in sensitive places such as schools and government buildings, or laws imposing conditions and qualifications on the commercial sale of arms."

In other words, keep an eye out for whether any of the conservative justices might take a page from Scalia and view the Hawaii law as a permissible "sensitive places" restriction or as some other kind of acceptable gun regulation.

The Federal Reserve

Our last big oral argument of the month comes on January 21, when the justices are scheduled to hear Trump v. Cook. This is the case arising from President Donald Trump's efforts to fire Lisa Cook from her position as a member of the Federal Reserve's Board of Governors.

According to the Federal Reserve Act, the president may only remove a member of the Fed's Board of Governors "for cause." According to Trump, he has cause to fire Cook because there is "sufficient reason to believe [Cook] may have made false statements on one or more mortgage agreements." Cook has not, however, been formally charged or convicted of any such wrongdoing.

Back in September, Cook prevailed before the U.S. Court of Appeals for the District of Columbia Circuit, which blocked her firing from going into effect while the case played out, stating that Cook was "likely to succeed" in showing "that she did not receive sufficient process prior to her removal in violation of the Due Process Clause of the Fifth Amendment." The Supreme Court will now review that D.C. Circuit ruling. At the same time, the justices will also weigh Trump's argument that the allegations of wrongdoing that he has leveled against Cook are sufficient to satisfy the "for cause" firing requirement. To fully weigh Trump's argument, however, the justices will also need to consider whether the allegations against Cook are merely a pretext designed to hide the fact that her firing is unlawful.

Tariffs?

We may also be getting some major legal news as early as tomorrow. The Supreme Court has indicated that one or more opinions in argued cases may be released on the morning of January 9. Does that mean the justices spent their winter break finalizing their respective arguments for or against the legality of Trump's tariffs? We'll see.

Start your day with Reason. Get a daily brief of the most important stories and trends every weekday morning when you subscribe to Reason Roundup.

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NEXT: The Trump Administration Says It's Illegal To Record Videos of ICE. Here's What the Law Says.

Damon Root is a senior editor at Reason and the author of A Glorious Liberty: Frederick Douglass and the Fight for an Antislavery Constitution (Potomac Books). His next book, Emancipation War: The Fall of Slavery and the Coming of the Thirteenth Amendment (Potomac Books), will be published in June 2026.

Supreme CourtDonald TrumpSecond AmendmentGunsSportsConstitutionEqual ProtectionFederal ReserveExecutive Power
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  1. Don't look at me! ( Is the war over yet?)   1 day ago

    Cook is a crook.

    Log in to Reply
    1. SCOTUS gave JeffSarc a big sad   22 hours ago

      Yes, the crook is Cook.

      Log in to Reply
  2. Mickey Rat   1 day ago

    ""Whether laws that seek to protect women's and girls' sports by limiting participation to women and girls based on sex violate the Equal Protection Clause of the Fourteenth Amendment."

    If you cannot segregate women's sports from men's sports on the basis of sex, then there is no rational reason to segregate women's sports from men's and all women only sports leagues must be dissolved. You cannot have segregation based on subjective identity which eliminates physiological differences as the basis for the separation.

    Log in to Reply
  3. TJJ2000   1 day ago

    "Whether laws that seek to protect women's and girls' sports by limiting participation to women and girls"

    Alright. Who's the d*psh*t that invited the Gov-'Guns' to the game?

    Log in to Reply
  4. Longtobefree   1 day ago

    " . . . transgender women and girl athletes competing in women's and girls' sports."

    There is no such thing as "transgender".
    Men are men.
    Women are women.
    The earth is not flat.

    There ARE men who pretend to be women, but they are still men.
    They may just be cheaters, or they may be delusional and incapable of dealing with reality, or they can't handle the truth, but they are still men.
    The real world does not have to participate in their fantasy.

    Log in to Reply
    1. mad.casual   1 day ago

      Also, SSDD, it's interesting that this is a/these are "Transgender Athletes" cases and not (yet another) "14A public accommodations vs. 1A free association" cases.

      Especially given the near carbon-copy parallels to Bostock. The court either winds up reversing themselves or the law winds up painted into a retarded corner 4 dimensionally(? sex, gender identity, orientation, and protected status?) where it's OK for public/private schools to discriminate against straight and trans people, but not gay people or women... but legal for private employers to discriminate against straight people and women, but not gays or trans.

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  5. Fu Manchu   1 day ago

    Transgender athletes: this is 100% not a federal issue. Get the feds the fuck out.
    Guns: what about these four words do you not understand: "shall not be infringed".
    The federal reserve: probably shouldn't exist.
    Tariffs: no new taxes, and it should have to go through Congress.

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    1. JesseAz (RIP CK)   1 day ago

      This is the one post a month where sarc pretends to be libertarian. Ignore that in prior posts he has defended transing of children, often citing WPATH and federal involvement. Just a month ago he was defending the Fed as well, calling it corrupted by Trump and even blaming Trump for forcing bad data despite pushing known bad data under Biden.

      Also a reminder. Sarc wanted to raise income taxes by allowing the 2017 tax cuts to expire. He wants every citizen to pay more in taxes. He ignores decades of consumption tax over income tax in libertarian discussion. He also continues to ignore who is paying the tariffs.

      Log in to Reply
      1. Fu Manchu   1 day ago

        Funny how sarc's different accounts also have different opinions and writing styles. Hmm...

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        1. JesseAz (RIP CK)   1 day ago

          No they dont. You have the same styles and views on every account dumdum.

          Stop drinking and you'd notice you aren't that clever.

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          1. SCOTUS gave JeffSarc a big sad   22 hours ago

            I’m not sure that would be enough. He’s pretty stupid even sober, and the alcohol has done it’s damage already.

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          2. Fu Manchu   21 hours ago

            Pretty sure Sarc, who is a Dem and likes Biden, both unlike me, would disagree with me on 3 of the 4 positions I described above.

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    2. Mickey Rat   1 day ago

      The state laws are being challenged on 14th Amendment claims, and we have Title IX considerations. The federal government is inextricably involved in this issue.

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      1. Fu Manchu   1 day ago

        I understand but fuck Title IX. If the feds have no legal authority to regulate something directly, they should have no authority to regulate it via withholding funds.

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        1. Mickey Rat   1 day ago

          Well, perhaps, but that is not the question to be adjudicated in this case.

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      2. mad.casual   1 day ago

        Not just Title IX. The EEOC specifically ruled that discrimination on the basis of gender identity constitutes sex discrimination under Title VII. This despite the fact that no derivative or declension of the word 'identity' appears anywhere in the Title and within the definitions of the Title itself, pregnancy, childbirth, and abortion are summarized with "women".

        It's a policy decision that makes the ATF's ruling on bump stocks look narrow and well-reasoned.

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    3. Anastasia Beaverhausen   23 hours ago

      Re transgender athletes - it's the purview of the league or association in question to decide on it. It's none of the government's business.

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      1. Rossami   22 hours ago

        If it's a private league, you're absolutely right. If it's a public-school league, the government is involved no matter what.

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      2. Mickey Rat   13 hours ago

        Perhaps, but that does not make segregating divisions on the basis of subjective gender identity any less irrational.

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  6. Fist of Etiquette   1 day ago

    In Little v. Hecox, the justices will consider the following question: "Whether laws that seek to protect women's and girls' sports by limiting participation to women and girls based on sex violate the Equal Protection Clause of the Fourteenth Amendment."

    Hecox? Really? Isn't that a little on the nose?

    Log in to Reply
    1. Minadin   1 day ago

      Just the tip.

      Log in to Reply
    2. Quicktown Brix   1 day ago

      Hecox is on the nose? Well if the sport is wrestling, it can be.

      Log in to Reply
    3. Zeb   24 hours ago

      It's not "shecox".

      Log in to Reply
  7. Fist of Etiquette   1 day ago

    Whether Title IX prevents a state from consistently designating girls' and boys' sports teams based on biological sex determined at birth.

    "No person in the United States shall, on the basis of sex, be excluded from participation in, be denied the benefits of, or be subjected to discrimination under any education program or activity receiving Federal financial assistance."

    Even this one time that single sentence act is applied credibly correctly, it would be a bad outcome. Everyone, stop taking federal money.

    Log in to Reply
    1. Minadin   1 day ago

      Also, sex isn't 'determined' at birth. It might be identified or recorded at birth, if the parents choose to wait to find out, but it's usually identified well before that, and as far as when it's 'determined', conception would be more accurate.

      Log in to Reply
      1. Mickey Rat   1 day ago

        "Determined" is at least better than the execrable "assigned".

        Log in to Reply
      2. Rick James   1 day ago

        Sex is "observed at birth". There literally is no other way of saying it.

        Log in to Reply
    2. Rick James   1 day ago

      Gonna disagree with your police work there...

      No dude is being denied or excluded from participation, or being subjected to discrimination.

      He can play with the boys until the cows come home.

      Log in to Reply
    3. Neutral not Neutered   1 day ago

      That means public school, college and university sports programs are illegal since men and women are separated based on biological sex.

      Log in to Reply
      1. Rick James   1 day ago

        And further, that the so-called "trans" athletes are fully depending on that area of segregation to remain in place, otherwise their cause is null and void.

        Log in to Reply
        1. Michael Ejercito   1 day ago

          How so?

          Log in to Reply
          1. Zeb   24 hours ago

            Then they can't force as many people to acknowledge their "gender identity".

            Log in to Reply
          2. Rick James   22 hours ago

            If there was no segregation in sports by biological sex, then what door would the so-called 'trans athlete' knock on to affirm his identity?

            Log in to Reply
  8. Rick James   1 day ago

    "Whether Title IX prevents a state from consistently designating girls' and boys' sports teams based on biological sex determined at birth."

    "Determined at birth"

    el oh el.

    As if sex can in some magickal way change after birth.

    Log in to Reply
  9. mad.casual   1 day ago

    Ctrl+f "IX": 1 result.
    Ctrl+f "VII": 0 results.

    Once again, dishonestly disregarding your own "This is just about bathrooms" argument. Title VII is the article by which employers (even the ones who don't receive federal funding) were, are, mandated to provide women restrooms (and couldn't be fired for pregnancies, and provided maternity leave, and insure their childbirth and even "medically necessary abortions") and by which the EEOC said that discriminating against a trans woman is the same thing as discriminating against a cis woman.

    As indicated, there is no way by which the court can say, that isn't an utter torturing science and logic, it's not OK for schools to discriminate against women because of federal dollars but it's OK for private employers to discriminate against women.

    There is possibly a conception that the law says or should say, "All public bathrooms or sports and other programs are always available to everyone.", but that (ignores the fact that most "Men's Activities" are actually, originally just "activities" and) effectively and explicitly obliterates the torturing of logic required to create the special protections in the private sector codified by the CRA.

    For a political ideology that recognizes "You can't simply litigate Prohibition through force of will.", this an odd hill to intentionally bleed out after sterilizing and cutting each others' gonads off on.

    Log in to Reply
  10. Z Crazy   1 day ago

    Since male and female have nothing to do with the presence or absence of a cock, tits, or pussy, what's the point of sex segregated anything?

    Log in to Reply
    1. Zeb   24 hours ago

      I guess it's so that men pretending to be women can have a place where they can dominate in sports.

      Log in to Reply
    2. Rick James   22 hours ago

      Since male and female have nothing to do with the presence or absence of a cock, tits, or pussy, what's the point of sex segregated anything?

      Because cutting something off, sewing something on or sewing something closed doesn't change the biological reality of male and female.

      Log in to Reply
    3. Mickey Rat   13 hours ago

      Check your premises. That one is wrong on its face.

      Log in to Reply
  11. Yuno Hoo   23 hours ago

    At issue is the constitutionality of a Hawaii law that says that licensed concealed carry permit holders may only carry a handgun on private property that is open to the public if they have the express permission of the property owner.

    "... may only carry a sign on private property that is open to the public if they have the express permission of the property owner."

    "... may only carry a water bottle on private property that is open to the public if they have the express permission of the property owner."

    ...

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