New York's Pot Legalization 'Disaster' Was Entirely Predictable
The state’s policies and practices seemed designed to strangle the legal cannabis supply.

Three years after New York legalized marijuana, unauthorized pot shops outnumber licensed retailers by more than 20 to 1. Legislators and regulators could have avoided this "disaster," as Gov. Kathy Hochul rightly calls it, if they had learned from the mistakes of other states that have struggled to displace the black market.
Disregarding those lessons, New York politicians somehow did not anticipate what would happen after people could legally use marijuana but could not obtain it from legal sources. Legislators did not allow home cultivation, and they initially did not allow medical dispensaries to serve the recreational market.
The state created a complicated, expensive, and painfully slow licensing process that sacrificed efficiency on the altar of "equity" and "diversity." It imposed burdensome fees, taxes, and regulations that made it difficult for legal dispensaries to compete with the unlicensed stores that sprang up to fill the supply gap.
New York City alone has "more than 2,000 rogue head shops," The New York Times reports. They occupy "every other storefront," Hochul complains. "It's insane."
By comparison, 99 legal dispensaries were serving New York's recreational market as of Tuesday. That amounts to 0.5 per 100,000 residents, compared to about six in Massachusetts, 10 in Maine, 11 in Colorado, 19 in Oregon, and 48 in New Mexico.
Times reporter Ashley Southall notes that legislators "did not anticipate these rogue shops cropping up." But the insanity that Hochul perceives was an entirely predictable result of policies and practices that seemed designed to strangle the legal supply of recreational marijuana.
The state did not allow medical dispensaries to enter the market until last December. Even then, it charged companies $20 million for the privilege of operating up to three outlets.
New businesses faced fees up to $300,000, and regulators gave priority to retail applicants who were deemed disadvantaged, including people with marijuana conviction records and their relatives. While the state arguably does owe compensation to people who suffered as a result of the crusade against cannabis, license preferences never made much sense as a way of accomplishing that.
Those preferences are limited to people who are currently interested in selling cannabis, illogically excluding many others who were injured by enforcement of the state's marijuana laws. They provoked lawsuits that further delayed the licensing process, and they disadvantaged applicants who might have been better equipped to run a successful business.
Such "social equity" programs "are failing because they are fundamentally ill conceived and flawed," cannabis industry consultant Avis Bulbulyan argues in a recent report. "They are failing because the core requirements necessary to qualify individuals to participate in the program are exactly what is preventing social equity applicants from participating in the business."
Although Hochul remains proud of New York's social equity program, she has ordered a bureaucratic shakeup that aims to accelerate retail license approvals. She also supports a reduction in the state's marijuana taxes, which currently include a three-tiered excise tax based on THC content as well as a 13 percent retail tax.
Hochul favors replacing the THC tax with a 9 percent wholesale excise tax. But since any tax collected from distributors has a compounding impact on retail prices, legislators should scrap the wholesale tax altogether, keeping in mind that licensed shops are competing with a black market where the tax rate is zero.
New York also should reexamine the onerous regulations that make legal weed more expensive and less accessible. As Bulbulyan notes, "the way to clean up the black market is by cleaning up the regulated market."
Although Hochul has promised to "shut down illicit operators," any such crackdown is apt to inflict precisely the sort of injury that New York is trying to ameliorate, punishing entrepreneurs for filling the yawning gap left by the state's misguided policies and administrative incompetence. Nor is enforcement likely to succeed, given the abysmal track record of the war on weed that legislators supposedly ended three years ago.
© Copyright 2024 by Creators Syndicate Inc.
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This is why you can’t have chicks in charge of stuff.
"This is why you can’t have chicks in charge of stuff."
... but it's ok if someone runs your life, as long as it's not a chick??
"It imposed burdensome fees, taxes, and regulations that made it difficult"
MORE 'armed-theft'! It's always MORE 'armed-theft' for your own good!
...or maybe 'armed-theft' just isn't good for anyone.
unauthorized pot shops outnumber licensed retailers by more than 20 to 1
Speaking of entirely predictable, I’ve said this before and I’ll say it again, if the libertarian fevered dream of full drug legalization and/or deregulation (emphasis on *full*) were realized at midnight tonight, at 12:01 (and that would probably already be too late) the LP would need to mount an unimaginable damage control campaign to clarify the “Unforeseen but entirely predictable” outcomes of armed cartels and drug dealers handling the collapse of their market.
Now, that is certainly not a means to continue prohibition but, please, for the love of God and anyone who might be involved in such a massacre, please have a better plan than just “legalize it” and “borders are just figments of our imagination”.
Like all those Al'Capone gangs the nation has today????
Sometimes the believed effect is actually the cause.
You don’t think they would continue to sell if was legal?
Sullum is missing the point again. The whole reason that Democrats in New York legalized pot was for the TAX REVENUE. This is from the State where a man was killed for selling single cigarettes.
It's amazing how all these states that have authorized themselves to steal in the name of the people are so shitty at it.
It's not a disaster unless it's worse than it was before. And it's not.
This is the least surprising thing I've read recently. This seems to mirror California's experience, with no end in sight. In fact, their solution to the over-regulation that has helped illegal dealers flourish is to spend a ton of money to "train" potential legal pot dealers how to navigate the insane bureaucracy they've created. I'm positive it never occurred to anyone in CA government to simplify the process.
Are people injured by the crackdown then eligible for preferences in the next round of licensing?
I read where the Oregon governor either will or has signed a bill making hard drugs illegal again.
I'm sure that will reduce drug addiction just like prohibition reduced people getting drunk.
"The state’s policies and practices seemed designed to strangle the legal cannabis supply."
This is a feature not a bug. New York State Government was never gonna legalize cannabis without an expensive, extensive regulatory and licensing process with a boatload of taxes. To the extent that they believe in markets, it's how those markets will serve them. And look now government has a problem that it created and that will need more spending and more government involvement in order to fix it. Funny how that works?
"Ashley Southall notes that legislators "did not anticipate these rogue shops cropping up.""
It's called willful ignorance. All of it is bad faith on the part of the legislators.
Most state governments sabotage legal weed. Hell, they sabotage medical weed. Sure the people vote for legal weed, the governments do what they can to complicate the process to where illegal supplies are easier to get.
New York is governed by woke toddlers.
This is what happens EVERY TIME the government sticks its big fat nose into something: resulting distortions to the market cause huge and cascading problems, which are usually met by the government sticking its big fat nose in even more.
America was founded on a great premise, liberty with self-responsibility; too bad it has been lost in the intervening years.
Given that the free market on cannabis is booming in New York, it seems to me that it's a rousing success!
The only people who are complaining are those in government who aren't getting what they consider their proper "taste" of the revenue!