The Volokh Conspiracy
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NYT: EPA Embarking on Endangerment Finding Fool's Errand
A new report suggests the Trump EPA is not content with cutting off stationary source regulation of greenhouse gases.
The New York Times is reporting that the Environmental Protection Agency is preparing to propose rescinding the "endangerment finding"--the conclusion that greenhouse gas emissions contribute to climate change and associated risks--as a way of shutting off all regulation of greenhouse gases under the Clean Air Act. I have previously explained why this is a fool's errand that is unlikely to withstand judicial review (while noting the EPA has other options to roll back GHG regulation).
The report is somewhat sketchy on the precise argument the EPA plans to make.
The Trump administration has drafted a plan to repeal a fundamental scientific finding that gives the United States government its authority to regulate greenhouse-gas emissions and fight climate change, according to two people familiar with the plan.
The proposed Environmental Protection Agency rule rescinds a 2009 declaration known as the "endangerment finding," which scientifically established that greenhouse gases like carbon dioxide and methane endanger human lives. . . .
The E.P.A. proposal, which is expected to be made public within days, also calls for rescinding limits on tailpipe emissions that were designed to encourage automakers to build and sell more electric vehicles. . . .
The E.P.A. intends to argue that imposing climate regulations on automakers poses the real harm to human health because it would lead to higher prices and reduced consumer choice, according to the two people familiar with the administration's plan. . . .
In calling to repeal the endangerment finding, the draft E.P.A. rule does not appear to focus on the science or try to make the case that fossil fuels aren't warming the planet.
Instead, it argues that the E.P.A. overstepped its legal authority under the Clean Air Act by making a broad finding that greenhouse gas emissions endanger the public welfare. It makes the case that the E.P.A. administrator has limited power that apply only to specific circumstances.
Not trying to challenge existing climate science directly is wise, for reasons I noted in my initial post on this subject, as it relieves the EPA of the obligation of explaining away decades of the agency's own statements. The EPA still faces a serious problem insofar as it wants to adopt a new interpretation of the relevant Clean Air Act provisions, and reject interpretations long embraced by the agency and federal courts.
Further, insofar as the agency wants to argue that the resulting regulations are unwise or ineffectual, it will be courting even more legal trouble. The relevant CAA provisions (like those at issue in American Trucking) separate the question of whether or not emissions cause or contribute to pollution from the question of what sort of regulations must be adopted. Nothing in the CAA allows the Administrator to forego adopting vehicle emission standards due to concerns about cost or consumer choice. There are strong arguments this is a bad way to approach environmental regulation, as it can obligate an agency to adopt welfare-reducing regulations, but that's a complaint about the Clean Air Act, not EPA regulations, and as such it is a question that needs to be addressed by Congress.
It is also worth noting that automakers are not clamoring for repeal of vehicle emission standards, as they've already designed compliant vehicles. This makes the Administration's prioritization of challenging endangerment and the vehicle emission rules an odd choice, as there are other areas in which deregulatory efforts would be welcomed by the regulated community and would be more likely to unleash investment and innovation.
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"It is also worth noting that automakers are not clamoring for repeal of vehicle emission standards, as they've already designed compliant vehicles."
And fully expect the next administration to reimpose the regulations, so they see no point in having just a couple years' respite from them.
Democratic regulatory preferences are becoming a floor, on account of the fact that even if their regulations get rolled back, people have to plan on the basis of their getting reimposed the moment Democrats are back in office.
If Trump were actually planning ahead and making some kind of stability seem plausible, he might have a chance, but he seems completely oblivious to any kind of long range planning.
That's just the thing: Maybe reversing the finding is a long shot, but it's basically the only way of rolling back the standards with any sort of stability, by establishing that they're not within the agency's authority to begin with.
There's a fundamental asymmetry here, in that if your goal is to enable economic activity, you need to assure a sustained positive environment, while if your goal is to suppress it, you only need the threat of an occasionally negative environment; For the people trying to block activity, just creating uncertainty is sufficient.
Technically, it's not the only way, but effectively it is.
Congress could legislate. Of course, that won't happen with the filibuster in existence. I just saw something interesting in a National Review Corner entry by Charles C.W. Cooke (making the point I did in my first sentence) about the EPA attempting this: he said that the Inflation Reduction Act gave the EPA some statutory authority over carbon dioxide. I had never seen mention of that before now. Seems rather significant, since some of the historic controversy was whether CO2 was even under the EPA's purview to regulate.
https://www.nationalreview.com/corner/if-youre-upset-about-executive-discretion-blame-congress/
Right now this is not paywalled. I've noticed that new Corner posts sometimes are not, but end up being after some time passes. YMMV
This shows one of the big problems with Trump's executive orders, how easily they can be rescinded by the next President. He's not following through on passing legislation to make these changes as long-lasting as possible, and his window for doing so is shrinking.
He's made his base happy but the independent voters are the one's he's offending, and he's almost certainly going to lose the House in 2026, foreclosing all legislative changes. He's going to be a lame duck with nothing except transient executive orders to show for his second term. And if he keeps screwing around and offending the independents, the Dems might just possibly wise up and field an acceptable candidate for those independents. Trump won by only 1.5% against the worst candidate I can remember who never won a single primary vote in two runs, with a platform full of the same woke that most voters had been pissed about for years. Thinking Rubio or Vance is a shoo-in in 2028 is crazy, but them Dems seem to be giving themselves all the rope they need to make it possible.
Trump couldn't rescind the DACA executive order issued by Obama.
The E.P.A. intends to argue that imposing climate regulations on automakers poses the real harm to human health because it would lead to higher prices and reduced consumer choice,
This is one of the dumbest things I've read lately.
Actually, poverty IS sufficiently correlated with bad health outcomes that anything that makes people marginally poorer is a pretty strong candidate for causing harm to human health.
So, then you have to establish that there's some stronger countervailing health benefit from whatever would be making them poorer, and that's really hard to do when it comes to CO2, because CO2 actually is not toxic at the levels we're talking about, it's a normal atmospheric constituent.
You need to make indirect arguments about health impacts from global warming, (Which given the relative numbers of people dying of excess cold vs excess heat is difficult.) but that's like regulating H20 emissions on the basis that too much humidity is bad; It really is outside the sort of thing the clean air act was meant to address.
You see no other health impacts from increased auto emissions, and from burning fossil fuels in general?
If the US achieved zero emissions by tomorrow, other that one time drop, global emissions will continue to rise due to increased coal usage by China, India, and others.
"China’s coal output increased by 3.9% in June 2025 compared to the previous year, continuing a steady upward trend."
"Coal Mining Investment: Investment surged by 20% in early 2025, suggesting continued expansion of domestic capacity."
US GHG emissions have fallen since the turn of the century, while global emissions have risen.
There is no evidence that the continued drop in US GHG emissions has any beneficial result, whatsoever.
Sometimes the US Constitution is a suicide pact.
The US Constitution doesn't require the US to do anything about GHG.
It does when Congress has passed laws and subsequent executive branch regulations require it, and that regulatory scheme remains in place and is legally uncontestable.
Scientific consensus is not something you can just "repeal". It is not a policy or law. Is is nature.
This is also illegal under the APA.
What does scientific consensus have to do with the EPA?
Given we're talking Leftist climate science preferences, what does science have to do with anything?
Right. Scientific consensus is something that gets manufactured top down and then bullied into with a large censorship regime punishing wrongthink.
It absolutely is a policy, which can be repealed. It is not "nature".
All science can do is create models for future CO2 in the atmosphere, and the potential warming that might result. That is "science" in its purest form. Whether the possible warming that might result is "too much" absolutely is policy, and subjective. How much is too much is exactly a political question. Since the ideal answer is zero, an impossibility, it becomes a matter of policy trade-offs. That's why I've always thought it idiotic when the climate activists say "the science is settled!". Sure, okay. Science cannot tell us what the correct amount of warming is. That's an ethical question for politics to decide.
Do you think administrators who even have the skill set to neutrally evaluate an external source of authority like what Congress intended when it wrote the EPA, and could even form the idea that Congress intended something different from what the administration now has wants, could survive in this regime? It’s a crimethink idea. And this administration seems pretty good at identifying and purging crimethink and those whose psychological makeup renders them prone to it from its ranks. While it is still far from having control of all the levers of power, it has made huge inroads at internal control. Top people are picked precisely for their inability to think independently or form any independent idea of what is going on, and troublemakers who might be prone to are rapidly being fired.
While such people still exist in the courts, this administration has made it pretty that it regards crimethink as treason and is looking for ways to get around or get rid of judges prone to it.
This administration seems to attract the kind of people good at the sorts of things Stalin’s intellectuals were good at, explaining why our holy Constitution and Laws are fully behind our Leader. And hence this is the kind of argument we should expect to get from them.
Judges don’t yet have to face administration people simply not paying any attention to what they do, let alone consequences like being strung up by lynch mobs while authorities twiddle their thumbs, followed a sincere public apology and a we’ll look into it and a very private thank-you gift for the lynchers.
Yet.
But I don’t expect this regime to continue the charade that it gives a shit about legal technicalities, or what radical traitor Democrat judges think, for long.
This is a $trillion hit to the US economy by lawyer quackery. The toxic lawyer profession must be cancelled to save our nation. I don't know if the scumbag lawyer profession is working for anyone but itself, to enrich itself off litigation. Their garbage, quack regulations is a huge, organized crime. Arrest them. Deter them. The best would be incapacitation by fast-track death penalties to save our nation from this organized crime network.
Silly Jonathan. You think this is about law and environmental regulation. It's partly donor/lobbyist service. And that works whether they succeed in rescinding standards or not, they're still the party in power and still preferred by oil/gas over Ds. But mostly it's kayfabe. They've been pretending for years that AGW isn't real, they can't break kayfabe by failing to act as though they believe it. Given the extent to which conservatives come to believe their own bullshit, maybe they even do believe it, like many of the commenters here.