Trump Is Taking Credit for D.C.'s Crime Drop. Here's What the Data Say.
Crime in D.C. had already fallen 29 percent before the National Guard showed up, yet the Pentagon plans to keep at least 2,500 troops in the city through 2029.
proactive policing
Empire State Police State
Plus: Microaggression discourse, AI espionage, housing policy wins, and more...
Explaining the Great 2020 Homicide Spike
While a new report released today by the Council on Criminal Justice downplays the role anti-police protests played in last year's unprecedented homicide spike, a decline in pro-active policing following the protests remains the most likely cause.
Wall Street Journal Op-Ed: Homicide Stats Show "Minneapolis Effect"
My op-ed summarizes my new research paper, which explains how a decline in proactive policing following anti-police protests is producing the startling rise in homicides around the country.
What Explains Why Homicides Are Increasing Significantly Across the Country Since Late May?
A "Minneapolis effect" from lack of policing is a possible explanation for the startling 37% increase in murders in major cities in recent weeks.
Are Minneapolis Crime Increases Evidence of a "Ferguson Effect"?
Recent data from Minneapolis show an increase in shooting crimes but not other crimes, the same pattern as in Chicago in 2016. The likely reason is a reduction in police street stops, just as in Chicago in 2016.
The 2016 Chicago Homicide Spike - Further Explained
Some additional thoughts about how a 2015 ACLU consent decree with the Chicago Police Department contributed to the 2016 homicide spike--responding to tweets from Professor John Pfaff and to comments from the ACLU.
The 2016 Chicago Homicide Spike - Explained
After an ACLU consent decree with the Chicago Police Department dramatically reduced the number of stop and frisks, homicides significantly increased as a result.
