Lie Detectors Are Junk Science, but We Keep Using Them
Amit Katwala’s Tremors in the Blood explores how unreliable technologies have been used in our criminal justice system.

You've probably seen a lie detector in a movie or TV show, its stylus scratching an ink line across a scrolling page and jumping when the subject lies. Sometimes the polygraph is presented as infallible; sometimes its scrutiny can be evaded. In a spy thriller, the hero might put a pin in his shoe: Stepping down on a sharp point, the theory goes, will cause sufficient stress to spike his blood pressure, disguising false statements. In other tales, talented operatives can simply meditate their way down to a state of calmness and therefore appear not to be lying.
Even in the early days of the lie detector, the device's advocates seemed dimly aware that simply being questioned by the police might make a suspect flustered or nervous and, thus, perhaps give the impression of being untruthful. Whose blood pressure wouldn't spike when faced with criminal charges? Sure enough, police quickly found that people who were given polygraphs tended to panic. They also tended to confess: to all sorts of offenses, from card games to illegal alcohol, separate from the crimes under investigation.
Amit Katwala, a reporter at Wired, tackles the lie detector's early history in Tremors in the Blood. He focuses on its origins in Berkeley, California, in the 1920s and on some cases that both brought it to prominence and raised questions about its validity..
The machine attracted controversy right from the start. Katwala covers the case of Henry Wilkens, who was (probably) guilty of killing his wife but managed to get away with it. This was a front-page news story in San Francisco in 1923, and it was an opportunity for the lie detector to prove its value. Unfortunately for the prosecution, when he was subjected to a test in front of a crowd of onlookers, Wilkens passed. In the eyes of the polygraph boosters, the device had failed—or was failed, in being applied incorrectly. Wilkens was acquitted and the San Francisco Police Department swore off lie detectors.
The Wilkens case shows more about why police forces (and the public) wanted the lie detector, or something like it. A young woman had been shot to death. It was the sort of violent crime that was on the rise in the early 1920s, panicking suburbanites and leading authorities to grasp at any technique to catch perpetrators. People wanted answers and security.
In the preceding decades, new policing techniques had become standard (from mug shots to fingerprints) and the "science" of law enforcement had been growing apace. The lie detector looked like yet another leap forward. The era had already brought the telephone and the radio; what new magic would be next? It was the same mindset that led people to embrace the eugenic ideas of the Italian criminologist Cesare Lombroso—that there were criminal "types," detectable by their appearance. If some people were just undesirables, the thinking went, wouldn't it be all the better to flush them out with scientific proof?
The only "lie detector" available up to that point was a sharply wielded nightstick, so the mirage of an accurate, efficient, and peaceful truthfinder held an understandable appeal. The same impulse led investigators to try and then abandon various versions of "truth serum" over the decades.
But the lie detector is just the 20th-century version of witch pricking, revealing a "truth" that isn't there. The National Academy of Sciences has dismissed the polygraph's validity, and the American Psychological Association says there is "little evidence" that it works.
The technology also quickly faced legal challenges. In Frye v. United States (1923), the Court of Appeals of the District of Columbia held that any scientific methods deployed in the courtroom had to be widely accepted by experts, which polygraphs were not. But this inadmissibility didn't stop it from catching on, or from gaining acceptance in the public mind. Millions of tests are given in the United States every year, and it is used on anyone from suspected criminals by the FBI to suspected baby daddies by Maury Povich.
Those who use the test clearly believe it has some probative value—and at one remove, the threat of a polygraph might at least lead suspects to be forthcoming. In his 1991 book Homicide: A Year on the Killing Streets, David Simon detailed how Baltimore police fooled suspects by claiming a Xerox machine was a lie detector: They preloaded it with paper saying TRUTH or LIE and just hit the print button when their target answered a question. The rattled suspect thought the jig was up.
False confessions were an issue even in the earliest days of polygraphs, and nothing its developers tried could remove the risk. Disillusionment both with the technology's limits and with law enforcement's ability to solve crime is a thread through the lives of three major figures in Katwala's book: Berkeley police chief August Vollmer, Berkeley physiologist turned police officer John Larson (who invented the device), and Larson's teenaged assistant Leonarde Keeler (who later developed it further). Keeler became the machine's keenest advocate, eventually hoping to patent and market it to law enforcement and civilian organizations. Nonetheless, even he came to see its flaws and potential for abuse.
That leaves the lie detector in a kind of gray area. Its advocates believe that it has now been sufficiently tweaked to be effective. Critics regard it as junk science. One of those critics is Katwala, who states firmly that the polygraph "does not work." In the final chapter, he explores modern lie-detecting variants, based on eye movement tracking or fMRI scans. None of these can be shown to really work either, but the market for them continues.
The underlying problems here extend well beyond the polygraph, affecting even legitimate technologies. Attorneys today talk of the "CSI effect," with fictional high-tech detectives shaping how the public expects the police to work with advanced, completely accurate technology. Juries like blue light photos and DNA evidence, the more "sciency" the better. As forms of supposedly scientific proof—such as handwriting analysis—have come under suspicion for being more speculative than we were told, the desire persists for a technique that reveals the truth in the human heart. The polygraph and its modern variants won't be going away any time soon.
Tremors in the Blood: Murder, Obsession and the Birth of the Lie Detector, by Amit Katwala, Crooked Lane Books, 352 pages, $18.99
Editor's Note: As of February 29, 2024, commenting privileges on reason.com posts are limited to Reason Plus subscribers. Past commenters are grandfathered in for a temporary period. Subscribe here to preserve your ability to comment. Your Reason Plus subscription also gives you an ad-free version of reason.com, along with full access to the digital edition and archives of Reason magazine. We request that comments be civil and on-topic. We do not moderate or assume any responsibility for comments, which are owned by the readers who post them. Comments do not represent the views of reason.com or Reason Foundation. We reserve the right to delete any comment and ban commenters for any reason at any time. Comments may only be edited within 5 minutes of posting. Report abuses.
Please
to post comments
Trust the science
Lie detectors are not science.
Isn't their "Success" rate not appreciably higher than just guessing?
I think they are mostly tools to scare people into admitting their lies.
Bingo!
It's the sciency version of voodoo dolls - it only works on those that believe in it.
77
I AM Making a Good Salary from Home $6580-$7065/week , which is amazing, under a year ago I was jobless in a horrible economy. I thank God every day I was blessed with these instructions and now it's my duty to pay it forward and share it with Everyone. go to home media tech tab for more detail reinforce your heart ..
See this article for more information————————>>>GOOGLE AT WORK
The "fake" part in the fake science of lie detectors is that they are reliable. They are not.
Correct. At best, they're only accurate about 50% of the time. You might as well flip a coin. It would be just as accurate, requires no special training, and costs nothing.
I without a doubt have made $18,000 inside a calendar month through operating clean jobs from a laptop. As I had misplaced my ultimate business, I changed into so disenchanted and thank God I searched this easy haf task accomplishing ewes this I’m equipped to reap thousands of bucks simply from my home. All of you could really be part of this pleasant task and will gather extra cash on-line……. https://Www.topoffer1.com
The National Academy of Sciences has dismissed the polygraph's validity, and the American Psychological Association says there is "little evidence" that it works.
That's a mischaracterization of the link cited, of course. What the link says, and what I will confirm, is that polygraphs perform better than random chance at discovering untruthfulness. But they have significant error rates of both false positives and false negatives. There are strategies that can be used to defeat them, as well.
So they shouldn't ever be used as evidence, either in a court or any type of hearing where consequences may be attached. They're not sufficiently reliable, the error rates are too high. Does that make them useless? Not necessarily; there may be uses for them, if people are aware of the limitations and use them in good faith.
The underlying problems here extend well beyond the polygraph, affecting even legitimate technologies. Attorneys today talk of the "CSI effect," with fictional high-tech detectives shaping how the public expects the police to work with advanced, completely accurate technology.
I think this is legitimately a concern, where juries expect all sorts of sciency-things shown to them. They expect someone to look at tread marks and tell you exactly which tire on which vehicle made the tread mark, when it's going to be consistent with literally thousands of vehicles. They expect to glean absolute certainty from where bullet casings landed to tell them where a shooter was standing, as if casings don't bounce around or ever get kicked. They expect a pathologist to tell them the precise range of the shot based on the activity of the bullet or something, when the best they can do is narrow down if it was less than 3 feet or probably more than that.
"They expect a pathologist to tell them the precise range of the shot based on the activity of the bullet or something, when the best they can do is narrow down if it was less than 3 feet or probably more than that."
I encountered this exact scenario while serving on a jury during a murder trial: a ballistics expert brought in by the prosecution spent quite a bit of time explaining that the science is limited to exactly this.
What the link says, and what I will confirm, is that polygraphs perform better than random chance at discovering untruthfulness.
The validity of the results also depend a lot on the person reading the polygraph, correct? Which can open the door to quite a bit of human error.
The results are the results, it's not about operation. But sure, there's potentially some borderline cases where the interpretation of the results can lead to fuzzy answers. That much isn't unique to polygraphs, fingerprints and ballistics can put up borderline results where the person interpreting them may consider something consistent where another examiner may call it inconsistent.
What's unique to polygraphs is what the individual results mean-someone can have a stress response even when answering truthfully, or someone can have the same stress responses to the control questions as they do to the target questions. Or maybe there's a convincing liar who has limited physiological responses to both control and target questions.
They're not consistent or reliable enough to claim they're evidence of anything. But they might have other uses, perhaps as the first step in an investigation to find a suspect to look at, or perhaps as part of a job interview process for certain positions. It relies upon people considering them to be aware of their limitations, however, and not to lend them too much weight.
The two biggest tests of lying are:
1) Biden is speaking and says "you think I'm joking, im not" or any childhood story from Kamala.
2) Shrike starts typing.
Anything you claim that someone else said or did is guaranteed to be a lie.
Awww. You lied about me being muted then you make a lie about it. How cute.
Do you have a cite for your assertion?
Here is my favorite. You calling me a liar for having the same disagreement you had with shrike. Comment?
https://reason.com/2023/01/25/doj-antitrust-suit-seeks-to-end-google-ad-dominance-the-market-is-already-taking-care-of-that/?comments=true#comment-9895670
Another classic. You defending Biden against sexual assault accusers claiming women lie. But you never defend Biden.
https://reason.com/2022/10/06/did-murders-rise-in-2021-no-one-knows/?comments=true#comment-9734584
sarcasmic 5 months ago
Flag Comment Mute User
All I’m saying is that lots of women make shit up. Instead of assuming guilt because they’re on the other team, maybe some sober analysis is warranted.
.
sarcasmic 5 months ago
Flag Comment Mute User
If the allegations are true, then yes the guy is even more of a slimeball than I thought.
.
However, women lie about this shit all the time.
The entire thread of you defending Biden against claims and then attacking others as trump apologists was hilarious.
But you never defend Biden.
Working part-time, I bring in more than $13,400 every month. I made the decision to research it after hearing a lot of people talk about how much money they could make online. All of it was real, and it completely 10 altered my life. You can read this article for
additional information……………………. https://www.join.hiring9.com
My father got a job guarding some local nuclear missile silos, and was laughing as he discussed the lie detector tests and how he fooled them. Whether he really fooled them, or the tests were shoddy, I do not know. But as a kid, I figured it didn't really matter why they were unreliable, just that they were.
If the police ask you anything, say "lawyer."
professor used to tell us "say only two words to cops: law. yer."
There was some legal thriller streaming on Netflix or Amazon where a lawyer had a large mouth bass mounted on his wall, with the caption "If I'd kept my mouth shut, I wouldn't be here"
Police officers (and sheriffs, et al) are human beings, and as such are as prone to believe in crankery and woo as much as the next guy. Thus they can get caught up in the whole fake science stuff. Not just lie detectors, but shit like bite mark analysis (fake), handwriting analysis (fake), drug sniffing dogs (mostly fake), hiring psychics, dowsing for evidence, etc.
So don't automatically believe the cops. They are human beings as well, but with the yuuge incentive to find the perp.
"...but with the yuuge incentive to find the perp."
And you'll do quite nicely. Job done.
Not just lie detectors, but shit like bite mark analysis (fake), handwriting analysis (fake), drug sniffing dogs (mostly fake), hiring psychics, dowsing for evidence, etc.
So you hold drug sniffing dogs as a more empirical science, incriminating or exculpatory, than looking at bite mark evidence?
With friends who follow The Science like you, who needs cops?
Dogs are probably a bit more accurate than the other items listed, but they're highly prone to false positives. Doggies want to please their humans, so they often give the result their handler wants whether they smell anything or not. It's not even necessarily deliberate on the handler's part. Dogs have spent at least 20k years learning to live with humans, so they can pick up clues so subtle the human may not be aware of them. Long story short, if the cop is convinced you have drugs, the dog is highly likely to confirm this whether you actually do or not.
And cops frequently suffer from massive confirmation bias. Once they decide a suspect is guilty, they latch onto any tiniest bit of evidence that favors their case, while downplaying or flat out ignoring anything that might cast doubt.
If police want to use a polygraph but the accused correctly refuses, can his refusal be brought up in court? I'd think it would be prejudicial, but that doesn't mean a judge wouldn't allow it.
It may depend. You have a right not to speak. However, if you're talking with the police (big mistake), they're probably going to record your interrogation, and if they get up to the point where they ask you to take a polygraph and you refuse, they will absolutely play that in court. Ask for a lawyer, assert your fifth, and shut up.
"...if they get up to the point where they ask you to take a polygraph and you refuse, they will absolutely play that in court."
That cannot be right.
I'm pretty sure refusal to take a polygraph is not admissible as evidence. (Disclaimer: I have never attended law school or passed the bar. The only legal advice I can give with absolute confidence is that you probably shouldn't rely on me as your sole source of legal advice.) For that matter, merely refusing to answer questions is not supposed to be considered as evidence of guilt, due to that whole 5A thing. Unfortunately, there's no guarantee that jurors will recognize or respect this principle, due to ignorance and/or poor instructions.
there is no we here. They keep using them.
used in the same vein as they're allowed to lie straight to our faces
Polygraphs only work if you think they work. They detect “guilt” as in “I feel bad” vice guilt as in “I did it.” If you are a sociopath who does feel bad about your actions, you will probably pass. If you are someone who questions himself about everything, you will probably fail. I have taken and passed five or six polygraphs for both private industry and USG. I had a friend who failed all the control questions such as his name, and the day of the week. They are pretty much useless.
I hope you meant "a sociopath who doesn't feel bad..."
In my experience, sociopaths aren't even aware of the difference between truth and lies. The way to detect a sociopath's lies: compare his story to physical evidence, or compare what he said now to what he said before. Anyone who thinks he can detect lies directly is an enabler of sociopaths.
Lie Detectors Are Junk Science
Lie Detectors as detectors of truth are junk science but that’s not really the issue. As 2019 indicated, journalists as propagators of scientific truth are no better and, in many ways, far worse. If people believe journalists more than they believe lie detectors objectively measure HR, BP, respiration, and skin conductivity, then the truthiness of lie detectors is immaterial. If the jury is convinced of guilt because of orange hair and party affiliation before the trial begins it doesn’t matter if a lie detector, bite mark, or handwriting analysis exculpates them.
This can be seen by how Brandybuck, above, places the completely subjective not-science of drug sniffing dogs above objectively comparing bites and handwriting, even going so far as to relegate such objective comparisons to the realm of psychics and divination.
Some people are conceptually wired to assume clumps of human cells are guilty at the point of conception and some people rightly recognize that you have to at least have a crime where someone is bitten and teeth before you can be convicted.
If you believe bite mark and handwriting evidence are objective, you're sadly mistaken. They're highly subjective, and there's mounting evidence that they're wildly unreliable. When multiple examiners can't come to consistent conclusions, that's not objective. If I measure a rope and say it's five feet long, and everyone else who measures the rope comes up with very similar results, that's objective. Neither bite mark nor handwriting analysis can meet this standard. Bite marks are especially poor evidence. Different "experts" frequently can't agree on the identification, or even on whether the damage was actually caused by a bite. Another sign of objectivity is that different ways of examination should produce similar results. If I measure the speed of a car by radar, a fifth wheel and the car's own speedometer and they all produce similar results, that's objective. Bite mark analysis can't meet this test, either. People have gone to prison based mostly on bite marks, only to have DNA testing implicate someone else. Until some far more rigorous and reliable standards can be established, bite mark analysis is pretty firmly in the realm of woo.
Handwriting analysis is somewhat more reliable, but still far from perfect. It's come under increasing legal scrutiny in recent years. Even if it does have some solid scientific basis, it's still highly vulnerable to abuse. Prosecutors don't always use it rigorously, which would require blinded confirmation by at least two analysts. Even if they do, they may only offer analyses that support their case as evidence.
There are increasing doubts about forensic science in general. Many techniques may actually produce reliable, objective evidence, but have never faced rigorous tests to prove that they do. As a result, judges and juries may be putting a lot more faith in this evidence than it really deserves, and attributing greater precision and accuracy than it can actually deliver. Even long-used techniques such as fingerprint and ballistic analysis are increasingly being called into question do to high degrees of subjectivity. Hair analysis is also looking increasingly like bunk. Finally, there's the minor problem that forensic labs are either run by the government, or get most of their business from law enforcement. This creates obvious incentives to produce the conclusions the cops want, even if it's not solidly supported.