2018 Midterm Election Results Include a Lot for Libertarians to Like: Reason Roundup
Amash and Massie will return. Michigan will have legal weed. No Nevada brothels will be banned. And more...


There's a little bit for everybody—even libertarians—to love in last night's election results. And a little for everyone to hate, too, of course. For now, let's focus mostly on the good, which includes a once-again divided government, the ousting of some truly terrible legislators, the passage of pro-marijuana and criminal justice reform ballot measures, the failure of an attempt to take down Nevada brothels, and the re-election of the few friends of liberty we have in Washington.
U.S. House and Senate Races
The big election night news is that Democrats regained control of the U.S. House of Representatives while Republicans grew their ranks and held on to their majority in the Senate.
"As election results go, that's about the best possible outcome," suggests Eric Boehm. "Not only that, but it's an outcome that allows, for one night at least, the faintest hope that the crazy train of American politics over the past two years may be slowing to a more sensible pace."
On the federal front, the 2018 midterm elections also brought us…
• the re-election of Kentucky Rep. Thomas Massie and Michigan Rep. Justin Amash, both part of the Republican Party but the closest thing we've got to libertarian leaders in Congress
• the ousting of some of the worst Congressional voices pushing for sex-trafficking panic, Sens. Claire McCaskill (D-Mo.) and Heidi Heitkamp (D-N.D.). Both Democrats in deeply conservative districts, there are a number of reasons why they lost—and almost certainly none having to do with their support for bad anti-prostitution and anti-speech legislation like FOSTA. Still, it's good to see them go. Even if their Republican replacements are no better—McCaskill defeater Josh Hawley is definitely awful in all sorts of ways; I'm less familiar with Heitkamp replacement Kevin Cramer—they'll join without the fancy committee appointments and clout that both McCaskill and Heitkamp had and thus be capable of less damage.
• the "Bigfoot Erotica guy," a.k.a. Republican Denver Riggleman, defeating actress Olivia Wilde's mom in Virginia to replace outgoing Republican Rep. Tom Garrett.
• Ted Cruz keeping his seat—but barely.
Beating the drum again - but Cruz's race was WAY tighter than it ought to have been. And the map tells at least one obvious story.
Republicans need to try in cities, or, as I've been saying for years, Texas WILL be purple one day. pic.twitter.com/mYh7Zi28GI
— Shoshana Weissmann, Regulatory Reform Muse (@senatorshoshana) November 7, 2018
Libertarian Candidates
Libertarian Party politics saw some wins last night, even if most individual candidates were defeated.
• In New York, LP gubernatorial candidate Larry Sharpe got more than 50,000 votes, securing Libertarians automatic ballot access in the state for the first time.
Good news for @LarrySharpe & the Libertarian Party: He has crossed the 50,000 threshold with just over half of precincts reporting, given the party automatic ballot access in the state for the first time HISTORY. Bad news: He's at 1.57%, in 4th place. https://t.co/kguMCjxMb7
— Matt Welch (@MattWelch) November 7, 2018
• In D.C., the LP roster was able to get enough votes to keep ballot access next year.
• In Wyoming, LP candidate Bethany Baldes came within 53 votes of beating out the incumbent Republican for a seat in the state House.
Marijuana Legalization
Alas, not enough North Dakotans voted in favor of recreational marijuana legalization in their state.
However, the majority of this year's ballot initiatives liberalizing marijauna laws passed. Missouri voters approved Amendment 2 and Utah voters approved Proposition 2, thereby becoming the 32nd and 33rd U.S. states to approve of medical marijuana.
And Michigan yesterday became the first Midwestern state (and the 10th state in total) to legalize recreational cannabis use. "The state's Marijuana Legalization Initiative, a.k.a. Proposal 1, was favored by 57 percent of voters with two-thirds of precincts reporting," noted Jacob Sullum. It "allows adults 21 or older to possess 2.5 ounces or less of marijuana in public, transfer that amount to other adults 'without remuneration,' possess up to 10 ounces at home, and grow up to 12 plants for personal consumption." It also "charges the Michigan Department of Licensing and Regulatory Affairs with creating a licensing system for commercial production and distribution, subject to a 10 percent tax on retail sales."
Criminal Justice Reform
State ballot measures promising criminal justice reform and respect for civil liberties got mixed results at the polls this year. Ohioans failed to pass a good sentencing reform measure (Issue 1). And voters in Arkansas and North Carolina approved measures to require an ID in order to vote.
But Lousiana approved a measure to require unanimous jury verdicts in order to convict someone of a felony. (Oregon is now the only state that requires this.)
And, in Florida, "voters approved a ballot measure Tuesday night that will restore voting rights to an estimated 1.4 million people with felony records in the critical swing state," notes C.J. Ciaramella.
Floridians also voted in Amendment 11, which allows for retroactive reduction of criminal sentences should laws change in the future.
Utah voted in a pro-criminal justice reform district attorney, along with medical marijuana legalization.
Weldon here got sentenced to a 55-year mandatory minimum sentence for a nonviolent drug crime. He was freed in 2016 and now works on criminal justice reform. https://t.co/VJPCGoCUTj
— CJ Ciaramella (@cjciaramella) November 7, 2018
In Alabama:
Over 85% of voters in Alabama's Cullman and Morgan Counties approved referendums that ban their sheriffs from pocketing funds designated for feeding prisoners in the county jail. This issue blew up when it was revealed that a sheriff used the money to buy himself a beach house.
— Sister Helen Prejean (@helenprejean) November 7, 2018
And in Nashville:
Nashville has approved Amendment 1, creating a community oversight board for the Metro police department, by a wide margin. Quite a victory for a movement led by black Nashvillians and black women in particular. https://t.co/8dZEVB2pFL
— Steven Hale (@iamstevenhale) November 7, 2018
Miscellaneous Measures and Candidates
Voters in Lyon County, Nevada—one of just a few places nationwide where prostitution in brothels is legal—overwhemingly said no to a measure to ban brothels from the county.
With only 557 absentee ballots outstanding, Lyon County votes to ban legal brothels: 3,916. Votes to keep brothels legal: 16,206. F-ing a!!!!
— SaveOurBrothels (@SaveOurBrothels) November 7, 2018
Famous multi-brothel owner and Republican candidate Dennis Hof, who died in October, was still elected to a seat in Nevada's state legislature. This isn't as crazy as it sounds, though—a vote for Hof counted as a vote toward Republicans more broadly. Since Hof won, county commissioners will be tasked with choosing another local Republican to fill the seat.
A major Democratic Socialists of America (DSA) or leftist wave failing to materialize. "Progressive groups argued that candidates should unapologetically run on economic populist policies like Medicare for All and debt-free college in red and purple districts across the country," notes Buzzfeed. "On Tuesday night — in Midwestern states like Nebraska, Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, and Kansas — that strategy didn't work."
Bunch of high-profile progressive Dems going down in tough races: Eastman (#NE02), Bryce (#WI01), Balter (#NY24), Watson (#IN09). Not to mention Jealous (#MDGov), Garcia (#AZGov), etc.
Good House election for Dems, not a good election for the high-profile lefty groups.
— Dave Weigel (@daveweigel) November 7, 2018
But yesterday did see the landslide election of 29-year-old Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez to a House seat representing New York's 14th Congressional District—she'll be the youngest woman ever to serve in Congress—and the election of DSA-endorsed Michigan candidate Rashida Tlaib.
And while we're on firsts:
• Tlaib and Minnesota's Ilhan Omar, of the Democratic-Farmer-Labor Party, will become the first Muslim women to serve in Congress. They replace Michigan Democratic Rep. John Conyers and Minnesota Rep. Keith Ellison, respectively. Omar came here as a refugee from Somalia* in the 1990s.
• Rep. Jared Polis (D-Colorado) was elected as governor of Colorado, becoming the first openly gay person to be elected governor of a state (and a right-leaning one like Colorado at that!) in American history.
• Democrat Sharice Davids defeated Republican Rep. Kevin Yoder in Kansas, becoming one of the first Native American woman in Congress along with newly elected New Mexico Democrat Debra Haaland.
• Republican Rep. Marsha Blackburn won a Senate seat, making her the first woman senator from Tennessee.
CORRECTION: Representative-elect Ilhan Omar, not Rashida Tlaib, will be the first Somali-American member of Congress. Tlaib was born in Detroit to Palestinian immigrant parents.
Editor's Note: As of February 29, 2024, commenting privileges on reason.com posts are limited to Reason Plus subscribers. Past commenters are grandfathered in for a temporary period. Subscribe here to preserve your ability to comment. Your Reason Plus subscription also gives you an ad-free version of reason.com, along with full access to the digital edition and archives of Reason magazine. We request that comments be civil and on-topic. We do not moderate or assume any responsibility for comments, which are owned by the readers who post them. Comments do not represent the views of reason.com or Reason Foundation. We reserve the right to delete any comment and ban commenters for any reason at any time. Comments may only be edited within 5 minutes of posting. Report abuses.
Please
to post comments
The big election night news is that Democrats regained control of the U.S. House of Representatives...
Has the president tweeted his concession speech yet? The coward probably hasn't.
Hello.
Democracy and decency is saved!
Happy you big babies?
Funny how Literally Hitler and the Russian Bots allowed this to happen, eh?
The racism narrative will displace those without skipping a beat.
Ah, but it's part of their dastardly plan! They let the Democrats win to lull people into a false sense of security! Just wait! Bwuhahahahaha!
Below is the first midterm after a new president takes office going back to 1910.
First column is House seats won/lost.
The last column is what I see as the dominant issue(s) of that midterm.
+9 1934 Franklin D. Roosevelt Great Depression
+8 2002 George W. Bush 9/11
-4 1962 John F. Kennedy Cuban Missile Crisis
-8 1990 George H. W. Bush USSR Falls, Operation Desert Shield
-9 1926 Calvin Coolidge 1st Midterm in 2nd Term (Death of Harding)
-12 1970 Richard Nixon Vietnam, Kent State
-15 1978 Jimmy Carter Energy Crisis, Inflation
-18 1954 Dwight D Eisenhower McCarthyism
-22 1918 Woodrow Wilson Broken Promise not to Enter WWI
-26 1982 Ronald Reagan Recession
-27+ 2018 Donald Trump Trade, Immigration, TBA
-47 1966 Lyndon B. Johnson Great Society, Civil Rights Act
-48 1974 Gerald Ford Nixon Pardoned
-52 1930 Herbert Hoover Smoot?Hawley Tariff, Great Depression
-54 1946 Harry S Truman Labor Unrest, End of Wartime Price Controls
-54 1994 Bill Clinton Gun Control, HillaryCare
-57 1910 William Taft Strife within the Republican Party (Progressives)
-63 2010 Barack Obama TARP, ObamaCare
-77 1922 Warren Harding Strife within the Republican Party (Progressives)
"The most important vote in history ".
I don't see how you don't look at that performance honestly as anything but a big victory for Trump.
The purpose of that analysis was to show various trends--to show the shape of the dice being tossed, not to predict the numbers that would come up. That being said, the median was -26 before Trump, and that's about where he landed. In a referendum on Trump, whom the Democrats thought would perform somewhere south of Clinton or Obama, Trump performed at the median. This suggests that he has a depth of support across the country, and it's bad news for the Democrats in 2020.
If the economy tanks between now and then, all bets are off, but otherwise, Trump is performing more or less as Reagan did--and Trump has the same demographic supporting him for the same reasons. They used to call the white, blue collar, middle class in the rust belt "Reagan Democrats", and that's what we're talking about here. I wouldn't expect Trump to win 49 of 50 states like Reagan did in 1984, but unless the economy tanks, expect Trump to win by the biggest margin we've seen in a long time.
The bottom line is this, despite two years of endless histrionics and the most hostile press any President has faced in living memory, the Democrats ended up with what is historically a well below average showing in the midterms. They picked up just about the average pick up for a party totally out of power in the House and lost from three to five senate seats, which is an enormous loss.
That combined with their failure to win the governorships in Florida and Georgia make it a pretty lousy night for them. It would be one thing if they had won a huge majority in the House or had at least stayed close in the Senate. But their majority in the House is going to be so small that it will be nearly impossilble to keep Democrats from swing districts from cutting deals and forming a working majority with the Republicans. That combined with the larger Senate majority ensuring that Trump will now get pretty much any appointee he wants, puts them in a pretty lousy spot all things considered.
But BETO!!!!
What does his butler call him?
I love the "now that he list he can run for President talk", completely deranged.
lost - dammit
Will vote for a candidate that promises an edit button.
Absurd. Obama hadn't completed anywhere near a full term in the Senate before he started campaigning for president, the same as O'Rourke would. He's not in a better position to run and by precedent he wouldn't have been precluded by convention from running.
Yeah, if RBG kicks the bucket in the next two years the Lefties will have conniption fits that will put them into orbit.
And Murkowsky and Collins will no longer be the swing votes. Without the power to filibuster, the Democrats will be powerless to stop Trump from replacing her.
Barrett! Barrett! Barrett!
I don't see how you don't look at that performance honestly as anything but a big victory for Trump.
I don't think last night was a victory for anybody. Both sides seem to be claiming victory from what I can tell, which means nobody won. The Democrats didn't get the blue wave they thought they would. The Republicans lost the house despite a roaring economy.
People know that the "roaring economy" is the same goddamn economy we've had for 6-7 years - with gradually lower UE and erratic GDP. Trump's best GDP of 4.1% would have been only fifth best 2011-2016.
Yeah 2% growth, no wage growth, and declining labor force participation is really a booming economy. You are such a lying sack of shit.
"People know that the "roaring economy" is the same goddamn economy we've had for 6-7 years"
Scumbag liar.
Did you expect Trump to perform as if he were less controversial than Obama or Bill Clinton?
All things being equal, I would have expected the Republicans to outperform the Midterms in 1982. The economy was a mess in 1982. Don't get me wrong, the results were not a win for Democrats either. But a Republican party that can't keep a majority with a good economy is baffling to me.
One reason is that it would seem that not all Republican registered voters voted for some reason.
But they lost the house by a very small margin and didn't lose any more seats than average for an off year election. Overall, it was a win for the Republicans though not a complete rout, which is what it would have been had they held the House.
"If the economy tanks between now and then, all bets are off, but otherwise, Trump is performing more or less as Reagan did--and Trump has the same demographic supporting him for the same reasons."
True, but I don't recall the economy quite ticking up with Reagan in 82 as it clearly has for Trump. I would have accordingly thought he'd have done better. I was predicting about a 15 seat loss, so 25-30 isn't too out of line. But, as I wrote in another thread here, "It is more than a little concerning though that the Democrats basically took off the mask the last two years, and have pretty much come out as the party of genitals, race, and socialism, and still did as well as they did."
The Democrats should have been roundly spanked, and instead held their own.
Oh, please. Losing is losing.
We talk about progressives redefining words ? "victory" has a clear meaning, and it ain't losing.
When a fund matches the performance of the S&P 500, it isn't considered a loss--especially if it's a hedge fund that's only expected to outperform the market in a crisis.
Trump was expected to tank, but he matched the performance of the index. There's this thing called "context" and not considering it is blindness.
Oh, please. We aren't talking about investing. The word, victory, has a clear meaning and losing the House is clearly not Republican victory.
So, are you saying that the Democrats were victorious in their campaign against Trump?
. . . so much so that they should try the same tactics again in 2020?
No, nobody was truly victorious yesterday.
"Moral victory" is what the losers call it.
While the final results haven't been examined, it seems that Trump's policies - presented by a president who thought a bit more before speaking and kept a civil tongue in is head -- could have cut the expected mid-term losses to a small enough figure to have kept control of the House. Trump's persona has been devastating to Republicans in Penna. and I would expect Penna. to stay a blue state for some time to come.
I think McCain torpeoding the Obamacare repeal is what lost the Republcans the House. If they had repealled Obamacare, the Republicans in the House would have had more to run on than just the tax cut. I hope that old bastard is proud of himself as he rots in hell.
That's just, like, your opinion, man.
I think not repealing ObamaCare did cost GOP seats too.
The Democrats were going to rally no matter what the GOP did.
Technically this cleaned out a bunch of RINOs out of the GOP.
Yeah... In fact, a great many of those RINOs were among the 40 House Republicans retiring from their seats this year, most of whom were also never-Trumpers. Note also that Manchin and some of the incoming Democrats were pretending to run to the party's right; so the squishy Democrats-in-all-but-name got replaced by squishy Democrats-in-name-as-well.
This is the exact reason why I didn't vote this election. The Republicans utterly failed to do any of the things I wanted.
And, obviously, I can't vote for a Democrat because they promise to do the exact opposite of what I want instead of just fucking around and doing nothing of substance like the Republicans tend to do.
Gary got 15.5% in the Senate race here in NM! So that's kinda cool. Not as cool as actually winning, of course, but it's better than his 10% in the Presidential race.
Of course, making sure that a Democrat won the seat means that he conceivably hurt New Mexico by running in the first place. Not that I think that way, but that's the appeal of a former governor not the appeal of libertarian values in the empty desert of New Mexico.
Even if Johnson hadn't been in the race, it would have been 53% to 45%. Heinrich was winning no matter what. Though, I do agree that it's annoying that the LP only pulls voters from one side of things.
If Hillary Clinton were in the White House, the Democrats would be rolling the same dice, with a median loss of -26 seats.
It probably doesn't matter what the issues are.
You're arguing with success. If the election results were really about Trump not keeping a civil tongue, the Republicans probably would have lost more seats.
I'd also point to one point that everybody seems to understand intuitively, but doesn't get enough attention. Why does the white, blue collar, middle class in the rust belt identify so thoroughly with Donald freaking Trump? He's a billionaire casino magnate! He has no commonality of experience with them at all!
The reason they identify with Trump is that the media is constantly bashing him for being misogynist, racist, etc., and you know who else gets accused of that by the media?
No, not Hitler.
It's the white, blue collar, middle class. They're constantly hated on for being racist (white), stupid (blue collar idiots don't believe in climate change), middle class (despise immigrants), Christian (homophobic), heterosexual and male (misogynist) etc., etc. When they saw Trump getting blasted by the media for the same things they're blasted for--they came to believe he was one of them.
Trump's vicious rhetoric seems to have helped him, not hurt him. Otherwise, why in the hell would the blue collar, rust belt identify with a billionaire casino magnate at all? Because of the Koch brothers? Who is giving him good coverage?
Indeed, identity politics hasn't gone away. It just keeps getting louder and more absurd.
Trump is a billionair but unlike other billionairs Trump works with the people who build his buildings so people think he is closer to them unlike stock market billionairs who never associated with anyone outside of their little circler
Also, during his campaign, he never said "I feel your pain," or "I'm one of you," or "I'm a man of the people," or anything else that might sound like he was pretending to identify with them or share their experiences. What he said was more like "What have Hillary and the Democrats ever done for you? Your jobs are gone and your economy's in the toilet. What have you got to lose by voting for me?"
While I agree the Democrats' racism against whites, misandry, and bigotry toward Christians and heterosexuals (are "Christophobia" and "heterophobia" going to get to be more of those fake words people start accepting as real?) is helping Trump and Republicans in general, I don't think very many of his voters are "identifying" with him or seeing him as "one of them" at all; the sentiment is more "Whether you're a blue collar guy in the rust belt or a billionaire real estate magnate, I think we can all agree these identity politicians hate us and want to hurt us, and they've got to be stopped."
Don't blame Trump for PA. Blame your Supreme Court for writing their own, heavily pro-Democratic Party gerrymandered redistricting map. What utter fraudulent garbage that was. And it worked.
Trump could have channeled Mary Poppins, and you still would have lost those seats.
I forgot about that.
The 2020 census will fuck up the Lefties and their Congressional Districts.
The GOP controls 34 state legislatures and get to redo the congressional districts.
Unless of course their supreme courts do the same thing as PA. Of course, that assumes they have the same boneheaded wording in their law that PA did that allowed this.
The American judiciary is pretty fucking out of control.
I was thinking more of close GOP loses such as Rohrabacher in California. Yes, the rogue Supreme Court in Penna. caused most of those GOP House loses and the GOP didn't have the guts to challenge the unconstitutional nature of the Court's new district maps.
"I was thinking more of close GOP loses such as Rohrabacher in California."
I'd look to see how, if at all, the demographics of his district changed. Rohrabacher really surprised me. If anything I thought Hunter would get the ax rather than him. Nice to see that Leon Panetta's son has inherited the family Congressional seat, after Sam Farr got done keeping it warm.
What a sack of corrupt crap he turned out to be. Proof that Washington warps everyone, I guess.
By sack of crap, I mean Panetta. I've never dealt with or met Rohrabacher.
^this
I was going to say despite all the crap the left hurled with help of the media-celebrity armada and still the GOP did better than Obama in 2012. And let's not talk about 2014. Obama is a loser who got very lucky.
All the Bullshit Lefties hurled this election cycle, Trump did extremely well holding the line against Democrats.
I think American population shifts since the last Census cycle helped Democrats. Blue states get to keep House seats while lefties flooded into red states which have not been re-districted yet.
I didnt think about this until I saw the election map and where the new Democrat gains were.
Ken, we need Part II which is the seat win/loss for parties on a presidential re-election cycle.
It's all over the board.
At that point, it probably is about issues.
I didnt see a good list like you have for midterms wins/loses.
...Republicans grew their ranks and held on to their majority in the Senate.
Does this mean Hillary doesn't get to be president?
No, he actually declared victory. He's like the ultimate poster boy for the power of positive thinking. Believe in yourself and you could be President someday!
Well, in fairness it seems to have worked for him even if he seems crazy.
I guess it's time for Donald to suggest the Senate introduce a bill to amend the Constitution to limit the number of Supreme Court Justices to nine.
And then to take Avenatti up on his idea of packing the court, if the Democrat controlled House won't pass it. There's 24 more names on that list. It could be SCOTUS confirmations for the next two years straight.
Tlaib came here as a refugee from Somalia in the 1990s.
THEN WHY ISN'T SHE A LIBERTARIAN? It was probably all the sudden exposure to paved roads.
Thank God, now the Democrats can raise our taxes and we'll finally be able to fix the budget deficit once and for all!
Rep. Jared Polis (D-Colorado) was elected as governor of Colorado, becoming the first openly gay person to be elected governor of a state (and a right-leaning one like Colorado at that!) in American history.
Reefer madness. Don't say they didn't warn you.
I think we can expect that he is an authoritarian, corporatist, progressive culture warrior.
And fuckin' LOL at ENB thinking that Colorado is "right-leaning". It's been Dem-leaning for about ten years now.
Just moved to the north part of the state this year. I had no idea Polis was gay and would have been glad to never know that (who cares really, should be his politics). I knew he was a politician already with some pretty dumb ideas like free preschool for all. But he even went against his party on the enviro-nutso Prop 112 which would limit any new oil/gas extraction to 2500 ft from living structures, lakes, streams, and waterways (even if they are dry 3/4 of the year). I mean you are putting a 1 mile buffer around every dried up stream around the entire state, basically banning it. Strategically I am sure he knew if he went with the party on that one he would have taken a big hit. Plus, he knows where the money is.
Colorado is like California the state is now controlled by Denver. i think its time to no longer service the cities so that they will quite burdening the rest of thir states with taxes
All someone needs to look at is the NYT election map and see a red state with a tiny blue capitol area. As those blue dots grow in size or have more congressional districts, so goes the state.
Democrat Sharice Davids defeated Republican Rep. Kevin Yoder in Kansas, becoming one of the first Native American woman in Congress along with newly elected New Mexico Democrat Debra Haaland.
You should have said House of Representatives. You've opened the door to a joke plenty will be making here.
Are you making an unWarrented dog-whistle reference to (((Members of the Tribe)))?
So if they say 'one of the first' that mean's that she isn't actually a first, and therefore nobody cares right? ^_-
Under Obama, the CIA Suffered a 'Catastrophic' Disaster
A former senior intelligence official with direct knowledge of the compromise said it had global implications for the CIA. "You start thinking twice about people, from China to Russia to Iran to North Korea," said the former official. The CIA was worried about its network "totally unwinding worldwide."
Yahoo News' reporting on this global communications failure is based on conversations with eleven former U.S. intelligence and government officials directly familiar with the matter who requested anonymity to discuss sensitive operations. Multiple former intelligence officials said that the damage from the potential global compromise was serious ? even catastrophic ? and will persist for years.
They had a ISI mole sitting in a position to see everything that crossed the desks of several members of the Senate and House Intelligence Committees. They cleverly decided to give root access to the database that held the SF-86 questionnaires, to an account in China. And we all know about Hillary's server that pretty much had a "Come rape me," sticker on it to every foreign intelligence server with a script kiddie.
At this point, shouldn't the intelligence apparatus just assume that the U.S.'s enemies already know everything?
Meh - - the CIA has been an inept clown show for decades now. Read Legacy of Ashes to see how they routinely manage to screw up everything they touch. During the Clinton administration they routinely had covert agents and sources murdered in Russia.
"Hey boss, should we look for those agent-killing leaks at the fucking office drunk's office, who despite being a midlevel government bureaucrat running the Eastern Europe desk, still managed to buy his wife a new house and Jaguar?
No, because he's your drinking buddy? Well, O.K. then..."
I'm at the point of 'disband the CIA and FBI, fire everyone, and make them re-apply for their jobs at DIA and the Federal Marshal's Office, respectively.'
I agree - - - and there has been so much failure at the FBI, they should be rolled up too. FBI, NSA, CIA, ATF, DHS should all be combined, and then 80% of the jobs eliminated.
For over sixty years tens of thousands of clandestine service officers have gathered only the barest threads of truly important intelligence?and that is the CIA's deepest secret.
For now, let's focus mostly on the good, which includes a once-again divided government
Gridlock, sweet gridlock.
A one-party GOP in power is harmful to liberty.
(Same for Democrats).
Sarah Palin's Buttplug|11.6.18 @ 12:33PM|#
Arizona early & absentee vote turnout by group, compared to 2014:
18-29: +186%
30-39: +148%
40-49: +91%
50-64: +45%
65+: +40%
Hispanics: +115%
Caucasian: +53%
Unmarried: +92%
Never voted: +121%
Dems: +70%
Repubs: +54%
John guaranteed a GOP win in this AZ Senate race yesterday.
Sarah Palin's Buttplug|11.6.18 @ 12:18PM|#
D Claire McCaskill (I) 44.3%, R Josh Hawley 43%, Campbell 2%, Green Party's Jo Crain 1.4% (8 polls)
John says this is a fake poll.
Hey Dipshit, tells more about how McCaskill is safe and how it was impossible that the Democrats were going to lose four seats in the Senate. Come on retard, own it.
You lying mother-fucker Trump-Nut - I never said McSally was "safe" - I said the race was a "toss-up".
As for McCaskill I said nothing - I just quoted a poll from RCP.
Like Trump - you are just a fucking liar.
Hey hockey fans, Palin thinks hockey should do away with the blue line!
Palin: You shoot the puck. You don't eat it.
Blue lines are just shitty regulations. Libertarians don't like regulations.
Open the game up to fast breaks, you dumb Canuck. Do you know why Americans don't like hockey/soccer? No fast breaks.
But the NHL is still awesome
It is to prevent goal hanging.
And in hockey they are called breakaways or rushes.
Reasonable reply. Thanks.
For Rufus (who does not understand Americans) - we are into fast breaks, long TD passes, fast cars, home runs, etc.
I prefaced all this with this:
"I AM NO HOCKEY PURIST", but.....
You don't know a fucking thing about the sport, so just shut up about it. You could just not say anything about subjects you know nothing about, rather than bloviating and showing what an absolutely, galactically ignorant and smarmy douchebag you are.
Without the blue lines, it is (as someone noted in another thread) a street hockey game. i.e. It encourages and rewards lazy assholes to stand in front of the opposing net and cherry-pick, waiting there for their hard-working, defense-playing teammates to do the grunt work of defending.
Oh, wait... now this makes perfect sense why you would advocate for it.
You want a game w/o offsides? Gaelic or Australian football. Boring, no strategy.
Or the game American intercollegiate football was for a few yrs. before they wised up & replaced it by rugby. They even had a position name for the goal-hanger: peanutter.
As for McCaskill I said nothing - I just quoted a poll from RCP.
Sarah Palin's Buttplug|11.6.18 @ 12:18PM|#
D Claire McCaskill (I) 44.3%, R Josh Hawley 43%, Campbell 2%, Green Party's Jo Crain 1.4% (8 polls)
John says this is a fake poll.
John guaranteed a GOP win in this AZ Senate race yesterday.
You lie when the evidence is right in front of your face. And you were so sure that it was impossible for the Demcorats to lose four seats you tried to get me to bet on it. Of course you never took me up on my offer for you to leave forever if they did.
You were as you always are completely wrong and lying. It is what you do. But the best part of this election had to be you claiming you never predicted Hillary would win in a landslide in 2016. You are literally incapable of doing anything but lying. It would be funny if you were not so derranged.
You're a fucking liar. You can't produce a quote where I say Hillary would win - much less in a landslide.
You're retarded lack of reality is Trump-like.
And you can't produce evidence you ever paid off any previous bets made here, so maybe you should dial it back a bit yourself.
PB truly is an authority on alternate reality, from lived experience. The rest of us have to rely on conjecture.
William Rodriguez|11.7.18 @ 10:01AM|#
fuck you, you conservative cocksucker.
I don't owe you shit. I donate to Reason and they know it.
Donating the change you collected one afternoon in front of the 7-11 is not really what was meant by the bet Shreek.
"I donate to Reason and they know it"
You just can't prove it.
I really have better things to do than spend hours scrolling through reason's search engine finding your ravings about the wonders of Hillary. But you expect anyone to believe your claim that you didn't think Hillary was going to win, you are dumber and crazier than even I think you are.
Because you are a Trumptard liar, John.
Then show me where you said she wasn't going to win. That shoudl be easy enough.
I'll give you credit, John. I didn't think FL or AZ, and maybe MT would come through.
OTOH, I did think NV would go GOP and jeez was that an ass-kicking. Still a big GOP Senate win though.
I never had any faith in Montana. The only one that surprised me was Manchin winning in West Virginia. Democrats loath West Virginians with a red hot passion. Most Democrats would at lest not object and many of them would be happy if the federal government locked everyone in West Virginia up in camps. How they can vote for someone from a party that hates them that much is beyond me.
The James guy in Michigan almost won. That would have been a big deal and he almost pulled it off. That was the one Senate race I really wish had turned out differently.
Manchin survived because he didn't vote against Kavanaugh. That's really all it came down to.
I'll give you credit, John. I didn't think FL or AZ, and maybe MT would come through.
OTOH, I did think NV would go GOP and jeez was that an ass-kicking. Still a big GOP Senate win though.
John is like Dick Morris. He just predicts GOP wins all the time and sometimes he is right.
And he guaranteed a Romney win in 2012.
He may actually be Dick Morris.
I never guaranteed Romney would win anything. But tell us more about how Hillary is going to cruise to victory and how the Republicans were never going to pick up four seats in the Senate last night. They were going to maybe pick up one.
"And he guaranteed a Romney win in 2012"
link?
I still can't believe Romney lost that one.... terrible economy for 4 straight years. He just was too afraid to go hard for the prize.
Which, of course, resulted in Trump, the only (R) who didn't cower when ordered to perform kowtows to the alter of PC.
So we have 4 years of Obama and the Trump phenomenon to thank Romney for. Well, him and Hillary. And the DNC colluding with the media to push Trump to the front in the primaries.
Oh, and Putin. Don't forget Putin. Odd that Putin and Hillary were working on the same side in the period that supposedly got the Obama administration suspicious that Trump was being infiltrated by the Russians. But still... it all goes back to Romney being too afraid to give the middle finger to the PC police scare tactics of the left. And now we have Trump vs Waters.
"I still can't believe Romney lost that one.... terrible economy for 4 straight years. He just was too afraid to go hard for the prize."
He had it too, after that first debate where he actually went after Obama and attacked. It was great. His poll numbers rose, people got confident in him; he probably went home afterwards and fucked the ass off his wife.
And then he turned around and went milquetoast for every debate and public appearance thereafter. I don't get it.
Of course, the GOP would nominate the one fucking guy in the country who couldn't go after Obama for O-Care.
Ooh, SALT in the wound! Thread breaks down money WASTED per Beto O'Rourke vote and the Left FLIPS OUT
US Senate for Texas
2012, Paul Sadler
Raised: $705,027
Votes: 3,194,927
$/Vote: $0.22 each
2018, Beto O'Rourke
Raised: $69,240,350+
Votes (11:33pm ET): 3,413,259+
$/Vote: $20.29 each
Allllllll that money for just 200K+ more votes?
The multiplier effect means he's done more for individual Texans as a candidate than he ever would have in the Senate.
He managed to lose to the least likable guy in politics. The Democrats spent $69 million and still coundn't beat a guy that even Republicans don't really like very much.
I don't think Texas is going blue anytime soon.
The analysis on this has been pretty weak, IMHO. Every talking head group I watched said that the "surge" of Beto in Texas was a reaction to Trump and a sign that Texas is excited about Progressive ideas.
But nobody mentioned the fact that Texas has had more people moving to the state than any other state for quite a few years now. So the cities are moving into alignment with all of that imported political attitude. How could you leave that out of your analysis?
And as a Floridian, I say "welcome to the club". We have a southern state with a chunk of New York or New Jersey clamped to the tip. This is due to millions of immigrants from the northeast, and they have brought the worst of New York politics with them. (do not read as an endorsement of other teams... I just have to live among the worst of the NY types)
The thing is that Greg Abbot won re-election with 55% of the vote last night. That tells you that Texas is not Florida and Cruz being a little closer is mostly to do with a lot of people on both sides not liking him very much.
The state Dems run awful candidates. They routinely lag national candidates (Clinton, Obama, Beto) by double digits.
"But nobody mentioned the fact that Texas has had more people moving to the state than any other state for quite a few years now. So the cities are moving into alignment with all of that imported political attitude. "
This. It's not blue yet, but it's certainly bruised up. As far as Florida, I'm stunned that both DeSantis and Scott won. I thought the double hurricane whammy of Panhandle voters having more important things to do than vote, and most of Puerto Rico deciding to pull up stakes and live in Florida, would blue up that state.
It was really, really close.
And once again, my home county was the last to report in. Broward county still has the same supervisor of elections from the 2000 election.... Brenda C. Snipes.
Every single election, we are the last to report results.
Our ballots are "fill in the oval" paper ballots that are scanned by the voter as they leave.
Once the polls close, the machines are shut down, reports printed and the results are sent in by modem.
Yet somehow Broward and Snipes are always bringing up the rear. Even though the panhandle is in another time zone and the polls close an hour later.
It really, really makes me suspect shenanigans. That, and reporting is always "The (D) campaign is in Broward County looking to find another X thousand votes". Which would be an odd turn of phrase for a reporter to use if the election supervisor was simply reporting in results from the precincts.
It did make for an exciting evening though.
I was at the watch party for our new Mayor. He was behind for the entire night, with a handful of precincts not reporting - including my precinct.
The last 5 precincts all reported in at the same time and it was enough to flip the result...
So everyone was refreshing state election results web page on their cell phones all night waiting for the results to come in.... and suddenly people all over the place started shouting... "we won!".... But you couldn't be sure that they knew what they were talking about, so it took a few seconds to pervade the room...
It was pretty exciting... because our local elections were about whether we will encourage new development and businesses or we will try to roll back new development and return to being a sleepy retirement community with decaying facades and closing businesses.
Our pier and associated businesses were destroyed in Wilma in 2005 and have only just started being rebuilt... purely due to politics. Voters elected pretty much the entire slate of candidates who were working together to make our city more business friendly and attract new investment and development.
Local politics is vastly different from regional and national politics. But it still has a huge impact on quality of life.
"It really, really makes me suspect shenanigans. That, and reporting is always "The (D) campaign is in Broward County looking to find another X thousand votes". Which would be an odd turn of phrase for a reporter to use if the election supervisor was simply reporting in results from the precincts."
It seems to have gotten really bad as time goes by. Though I remember hijinks like Cantwell in WA and a MN Senate race where they kept looking until they found enough votes to elect the D, then stopped looking. The WI Governor's race was particularly bad this year. Walker is ahead by some trivial amount, and then, when Milwaukee County supposedly had all precincts report in, they find magically 50,000 votes or so, nearly all for Walker's opponent. No way! The GA Governor's race is about as bad.
I'm at the point of advocating shit-canning mail-in voting, and maybe early voting. Show up, in person, for a race where your registration is already proven, show ID, sign on the line, and vote. Dipping thumb in indelible ink is optional. The tech exists to get an anonymous receipt where you could go back to the registrar's records post election, input your receipt into a hash function, and get proof of how you voted.
We have to get rid of the fraud. Things like FL felon eligibility law are just going to be used to expand the list of people that will magically submit absentee ballots in favor of the D candidate.
"The (D) campaign is in Broward County looking to find another X thousand votes"
Cruising the cemeteries I imagine. The party of Tammany Hall has never forgotten its old tricks.
That's why I'm glad we use voter ID and paper ballots here in Canada. Fraud happens, but it can't occur to the extent it does in the US, because of those measures.
It's as if Medicare for all and banning guns isn't a winning strategy.
All he had to do was not be Ted Cruz. Instead he campaigned on mandatory government service.
My new representative ran on exactly that platform.
She's all in.
Her campaign ads were "my opponent promised to protect our community. Then he accepted thousands of dollars from the NRA. And he wants to cut medicare and social security"
It was a really strange tactic. Still, she was able to flip red to blue... even though it was only red by a fluke. The voter rolls are pretty solidly democrat.
He's keeping the money. (Well, that money that didn't get funneled to logistics underwriting the migrant caravan.) Not that he needed it, with his wife being the sole heir to a literally tens of billions of dollars fortune.
You're going to see this asshole in 2024. Maybe he'll run against Cornyn before then. He isn't going anywhere.
You can make the argument that, without Trump coming to Texas and stumping for Cruz, Cruz loses. Or if the Senate Democrats didn't go Full Retard during the Kavanaugh hearings.
This election shouldn't have been this close, and yet it was.
I don't see how a white male can ever win the Democratic nomination or if he did, could ever get the black turnout needed for a Democrat to win.
Beto's appeal stems from a cult of personality that pretentious little shits in the rich white urban communities can point to and say 'that's a guy that looks like he fucks', and this is essentially all that this type of voter cares about. At all. Sure, an issue may arise that gains attention but most of them are essentially voting 'hot or not'.
I spoke with a lot of people this cycle about what, specifically, appeals to them regarding Beto and what his positions were. Not a single fucking one of them knew, and I asked dozens of people at least across the age spectrum here in Dallas. Amazingly, I know people that were working in the Beto campaign and they also did not know. Think about that for just a few seconds and be amazed.
It's the Obama Empty Suit Effect all over again, where it's a young hip guy that says the nice feeling words and that is exactly all it takes for them. In Beto's case, he wasn't a minority and didn't have the Chicago political machine working in his favor.
I predicted years ago that the Democrat party will shift more and more to running people with no track record, with no real views, and that this is how they will cinch elections. Without a track record or real opinions, they are basically bulletproof politically.
Progressive groups argued that candidates should unapologetically run on economic populist policies like Medicare for All and debt-free college in red and purple districts across the country...
Honesty is never the best policy for socialists.
Why are border towns blue in Texas? You'd think they'd be red given the illegal immigration issue.
Texas purple in the future? Well, if people flow in from New England and California....makes sense.
Progressivism is a virus. There's nothing you can do about it. It comes in, destroys, eventually eats itself and you start over.
Why are border towns blue in Texas? You'd think they'd be red given the illegal immigration issue.
Who do you think is hiring all the immigrants?
Who do you think is voting in those counties?
People in those border areas are accustomed to people (usually family and workers) being able to move back and forth across that border at will.
Why would you expect a predominately Hispanic population to be in favor of border restrictions that make it difficult for Grandma to come over (either direction) for dinner or Dad to go over (either direction) to work?
Yeah, border areas become prosperous with reasonably free trade and exchange across the border, not walls and protectionism.
In the case of places like Loredo, they become crime infested hell holes that Americans cannot safely visit despite it being inside of the US.
In late 90s you used to be able to go to the Texas border downs and shop and party and they were generally good fun. By they early 2000s that was no longer possible. By the late 00s, the American sides were no longer safe outside of the cities like El Paso.
I know it is all racist and everything to point out, but Mexico is a really fucked up place right now and the violence that goes on there absolutely spills over the border and has made all but the largest border towns extremely unsafe.
They didn't become "twisted hellholes" because of the ability of people to move freely back and forth. People had been doing that freely ever since there was a border there with only isolated issues.
The primary contributor to the decay of civilization in northern Mexico is our War on Drugs. Sure, people are getting beheaded and strung up on bridges down there, but at least it's slightly more difficult for Johnny and Suzy to get their hands on a joint, so that makes it totally worth it.
The War on Drugs is bad but you sound crazy when you claim it somehow causes individuals to become bloodthirsty psychopaths.
"The War on Drugs is bad but you sound crazy when you claim it somehow causes individuals to become bloodthirsty psychopaths."
Yeah, the War on Alcohol (aka Prohibition) sure didn't have that same effect in places like Chicago and New York. Oh, wait...??.
Sure. But now that it has decayed, letting people come across the border just allows that decay to come here. I am all for ending the war on drugs. But until that happens, we have to deal with Mexico as it is not how we wished it would be.
^This. The crime in border towns is 100% due to USA's war on drugs.
It's still a thing. The town of Los Algodones, right across the border from Yuma caters to "snowbird" RV'ers who hop across the border for inexpensive dentists and pharmacies.
Yes, for some border areas, things have gotten bad for various reasons, not the least being drug war. But I think my point still stands. And there is some reason those areas are leaning more away from Republicans.
http://www.washingtonexaminer......nics-agree
51% of Hispanics want troops on the border to stop the migrant caravan. A lot of Hispanics are not for open borders. Reason treats Hispanics in the most patriotizing and racist way. Dalmia once said that Hispanics were going to "stop putting up sheet rock and come out and vote against Trump". They really view them as subhuman menial laborers to be protected by their noble betters.
The truth of course is entirely contrary to that. But paternalistic racism is quite seductive to some people.
Hispanics know why they left and they don't want that reason coming here and they know that is why many want to come here.
They really view them as subhuman menial laborers to be protected by their noble betters.
As opposed to subhuman murderers and rapists just waiting to jump the border in order to leech off welfare and rape white women.
As opposed to actual human being who have a variety of views on things and a variety of interests and values.
In late 90s you used to be able to go to the Texas border downs and shop and party and they were generally good fun. By they early 2000s that was no longer possible. By the late 00s, the American sides were no longer safe outside of the cities like El Paso.
This is actually just about correct. We used to go to Mexico all the time in the early 90's but by the late 90's it was no longer safe enough to consider doing it anymore. And Laredo is a shithole, although it always kind of was one. In fairness I refuse to ever go back, so it could be better or worse and I wouldn't know.
Illegals voting.
Why are border towns blue in Texas? You'd think they'd be red given the illegal immigration issue.
No, man. The Rio Grande Valley is majority Hispanic.
Alas, not enough North Dakotans voted in favor of recreational marijuana legalization in their state.
Why do we even bother having a North Dakota?
Because South Dakota is a bottom.
Power bottom?
So we can set TV shows there about a fucked up faraway place with brutal winters where no one wants to willingly live.
Scratching Minot from my future vacation plans.
So is the "most important election of our time" over or is it the 2020 election now?
2019 is the most important election of all time. Vote Kovalensky II for Dog Catcher, district 4.
Just how many dogs have you caught in your career?
The (ethnic group omitted) restaurants never had any complaints.
Evidently the "Senate popular vote" is a thing, despite CA not having any Republicans on the ballot, only 1/3 of the Senate being voted on, and the fact that different people are running in different states: if Dem A beats Rep A in a landslide in NY, and Rep B barely squeaks by Dem B in FL, you cannot add those vote totals together and get anything meaningful.
Tlaib and Minnesota's Ilhan Omar, of the Democratic-Farmer-Labor Party, will become the first Muslim women to serve in Congress.
Democrat Sharice Davids defeated Republican Rep. Kevin Yoder in Kansas, becoming one of the first Native American woman in Congress
The two states I have called home for the longest time proving that flyover folks can virtue signal just as well as you coastal elites! So there!
When are we going to run out of " first time" race / gender combinations?
now that we have Ancestry tests and as many genders as stars in the sky, probably never
The first time we have no "first time" elected officials, all the elected officials will be "first time". And the second time it happens will be the first time it's ever happened a second time. And so on.
The House will be under the control of the insane Democrat party with morons like Cortez being their rising stars under the daft lich Pelosi. The crazy train is just getting up to steam.
It also "charges the Michigan Department of Licensing and Regulatory Affairs with creating a licensing system for commercial production and distribution, subject to a 10 percent tax on retail sales."
A bureaucratic contact high.
Michigan now sells weed and Nevada still sells pussy. Were there any other core libertarian issues at stake in this election that I should know about? Maybe a trans birth certificate initiative or something?
I didn't see any ass sex votes, but maybe I wasn't paying attention.
Listening to a couple of minutes of NPR this morning, they were trumpeting the approval of an innitiative in Vermont, I believe, to retain a bill protecting "the rights of Trans people in public spaces".
It was one of their top stories about the election. That, and something about Global Warming and something about Evil Oil Companies using unions to defeat additional protections for salmon habitat in Alaska.
If it was an initiative to enshrine in law the right of trans people to frack in public spaces I have no greater joy on this day.
Yeah, they were pretty unclear as to what the actual law was. But I took it to mean you can pee in the restroom of your choice.
In public spaces? Or "public spaces"?
It was Massachusetts
"Question 3 asked voters to reconsider a state law passed in 2016 that bans discrimination of transgender individuals in places of public accommodation, including restaurants, stores and restrooms. As of press time, 69 percent of voters chose to uphold the law, while 31 percent voted to repeal it, according to the Associated Press."
Maybe pubic spaces.
Good news for @LarrySharpe & the Libertarian Party: He has crossed the 50,000 threshold with just over half of precincts reporting, given the party automatic ballot access in the state for the first time HISTORY. Bad news: He's at 1.57%, in 4th place. https://t.co/kguMCjxMb7
? Matt Welch (@MattWelch) November 7, 2018
Any libertarian who takes one for the team is no true libertarian in my book.
Put another way, the Libertarian and Green Party candidates both lost to Blank and Void ballots. And they barely edged out Stephanie A. Miner of the SAM party, which I'm going to guess is the Sandwich Party.
Not sure which way that one cuts though... is it a follow-on to Bloomberg's soda ban, banning all sandwiches (but exempting certain ethnic staples like the Reuben and the Meatball Sub)? Or is it the "go make me a sammich" party, which certainly would have a lot of appeal?
Nashville has approved Amendment 1, creating a community oversight board for the Metro police department, by a wide margin. Quite a victory for a movement led by black Nashvillians and black women in particular. https://t.co/8dZEVB2pFL
? Steven Hale (@iamstevenhale) November 7, 2018
Yeah, community of active police and former prosecutors.
Actually, if you read the Amendment, it bars actives and their spouses from serving, but it still requires the mundanes serving to go through something called the Civilian Police Training Academy or some such and have a working knowledge of the Criminal Justice system, i.e., be sympathetic to what a tough job our Brave Heroes face every day. And it's still one of those "oversight" boards that only has the power to make recommendations. "Somebody should really do something about this" is an advisory board, not an oversight board.
Last night was a major victory for the progressive / libertarian alliance. We'll be more effective #Resisting Putin's Puppet with a Democratic House.
#LibertariansForPelosi
Just not feeling it with this one. C-
"#LibertariansForPelosi"
Pretty sure you could make that singular.
she'll be the youngest woman ever to serve in Congress
And quite possibly the stupidest.
The lowest bar, possibly ever?
I've grown impatient with opinionated illiterates and people who vote for them.
However, the competition for that honor is fierce.
And voters in Arkansas and North Carolina approved measures to require an ID in order to vote.
Are we considering that good or bad?
How could it be bad?
Virginia has required ID to vote for some time, and it hasn't stopped it from turning blue. So whenever a prog complains about it, mention this and tell them to STFU.
CA requires that I certify who I am on my mail-in ballot, 'under penalty of law', so CA seems to require it, and CA is nothing if not blue.
all you have to do is sign it in private without a notary so its useless
Well it will finally eliminate dead people from voting, since dead people can't sign their names (except in Illinois)
Oh yee of little faith.
Tester is going to win. He is damn close and there are tons of outstanding votes in Missoula and almost none in red areas. Late breaking developments all over the place have been strongly favoring the Democrats.
It's actually far worse than that.
Missoula County: 65% Tester; 73% in = abt. 30,000 total votes in so far
Hill County: 54% Tester; 88% in = abt. 8,500 total votes in so far
Cascade County; 54% Tester, 83% in = abt. 21,000 total votes in so far
Gallatin County; 60% Tester, 81% in = abt. 19,000 total votes in so far
There are no outstanding precincts anywhere else in the state. Tester currently trails by 2,000 votes. Basically there's no way he loses.
And like that, Tester is in the lead at 10:40 central. 210.6 to 211.6. 73-ish percent precincts reporting.
What bullshit. 12 hours and they're still dicking around with this. Are they counting the fucking ballots with a 10-key adding machine? Are they using the Pony Express to bring news of the results from the frontier to Billings?
In what possible reality does having Maxine Waters heading an investigative committee and impeachment drive, along with several other committee chairs committed to politically motivated investigations offer hope that "the crazy train of American Politics over the past two years may be slowing"?
Because the reason staff actually believes that the only crazy people in politics are Trump and other Republicans. And they think Russian collusion is real.
They really are that stupid.
Why do you pollute the Reason website, you TEAM RED hack?
Go to fucking Bratfart you shithead. You fit in there.
Sarah Palin's Buttplug|11.7.18 @ 10:04AM|#
"Why do you pollute the Reason website, you TEAM RED hack?"
This from turd whose complete list of posts which are not lies is:
Tell me more about how the Democrats were going to win in Missouri and Arizona last night. Enlighen us with your amazing predictive skills.
Buttplugger will never admit being wrong and the reason why he was wrong.
I was wrong about the GOP gaining House seats overall.
The election still has over 20 seats too close to call and the MSM factored those into their claim that the Democrats have more than 218 seats to rule the House. It might not work out how the Democrats would like. It looks like a 5 or less seat majority in the House for Democrats.
The GOP looks to have 34 (2/3 of the states) state Legislatures to convene an Article V Constitutional Convention. There is nothing the House could do to stop it. 38 states (3/4 of the states) do need to ratify the amendments.
Because if Maxine Waters is spending all her time on impeachment, she is not spending her time on other, quite possibly more destructive things.
Yeah, I don't think that's ending the crazy train he was talking about.
Divided government is great, but with the NeverTrump guys holding so much power, we really have already had a divided government for the last 2 years.
Like inciting her base to attack people?
You have more faith in that proposal than I do. Isn't she slated to be the new head of the House Committee on Financial Services? Jesus, the bitch can't even spell "bank" without cheating, and she's going to spearhead new regulations for the industry.
But those regulations will never get passed by the Senate and will never be implemented by Trump. She is not going to accomplish anything.
This assumes that the majority of the Republican party are not themselves less transparent progressives that their Democratic counterparts.
But Lousiana approved a measure to require unanimous jury verdicts in order to convict someone of a felony. (Oregon is now the only state that requires this.)
(Do you mean doesn't require this?)
+1 Same question.
Ted Cruz keeping his seat?but barely.
But he's got it for the next six years.
And he'd better enjoy them, because if the Democrats run anybody but a drunken buffoon the blacks, Mexicans and bougies will drop kick his Cuban ass back to Canada. Texas is purple now, as is Georgia.
Georgia is not purple. Not even close.
Everyone who wanted to vote Democrat in Georgia did and they still lost.
Handel won her race this election after winning the special election she won in 2017.
Metro ATL is getting flooded with Lefties though.
A nice 2020 Census adjustment should fix that. Georgia will gain House seats and knock other Lefty states down a notch. Lefties in the Metro ATL area will get a few Congressional districts and the rest of those districts will go to non-Lefties.
If you don't think an unapologetic Black Lives Matter, gun-confiscating far-leftist getting 49% statewide for governor is "purple" I don't know what to tell you. That state is there for the taking if the Democrats choose to run anyone even slightly more mainstream.
That doesn't make any sense. "More mainstream" would make it less blue, i.e. not purple.
what? Help me out here because I don't parse what you're saying.
Georgia is purple because it is blue enough that even the most extreme leftist candidate can very nearly win.
But Leftiest candidates DONT win in Georgia, in the last 20 years.
Maybe someday.
No, but a far-left candidate today has come within 1% of becoming governor. If that is your standard of being "not a purple state"--that as long as the Republicans can defeat an extreme-left candidate by one percent there is nothing purple about the state no sir--than I think we are using the phrase very very differently.
What I am saying is a full blue candidate can't win, as was proven, so the Democrats will have to run someone less blue i.e more red to win.
Getting a blue candidate elected in a red state by going more red is in fact an indicator that the state is not purple.
That analysis fails in the face of team politcs. There is a very good chance the votes she got were about her team before anything else.
"Blue" just means Democrat. More mainstream Democrats are still blue.
Not really, especially when they have to adopt Red policies to win.
Abrams was considered by her supporters "mainstream".
She is a gun grabbing socialist and she lost.
Every Democrat who wanted to vote for Abrams did. Not every Republican got out and voted.
Brian Kemp (R) 1,962,547
Stacey Abrams (D) 1,887,161
Ted Metz (L) 36,706
Election 2012 Georgia presidential:
Romney (R) 2,078,688
Obama (D) 1,773,827
Election 2016 Georgia presidential:
Trump[ (R) 2,089,104
Hillary (D) 1,877,963
See the trend?
There are a lot of Lefties loving here to Georgia, so maybe someday.
The trend where the Democrats get more and more of the two-party vote with each election? Yes I do.
The Census will adjust Georgia's congressional districts after 2020.
Georgia will pick up more House seats because our population grew and we got a shitload of people from other states.
The heavy Democrat districts will be packed and outlier districts will be padded, to dilute Democrat votes. Its how all states do their re-districting.
You need to flip that. Brian Kemp was a very tepid candidate for Republicans, unchrarismatic, seemingly phony, looking like a guy who had to drive out of the city to find a place that sells flannel so he could wear it for campaign ads. His campaign was massively outspent and his opponents were energized by the chance to have both the first female governor AND the first black governor.
Even then they fell short, not even able to force a runoff.
NH passed some constitutional amendments that seem pretty good: http://www.concordmonitor.com/.....l-21386686
"In all fairness, Nancy Pelosi deserves to be chosen Speaker of the House by the Democrats. If they give her a hard time, perhaps we will add some Republican votes. She has earned this great honor!"
----Donald Trump
http://twitter.com/realDonaldTrump /status/1060162807960870913?
This is Trump at his most sarcastic.
He's sarcastic and he's serious. He'd rather have such an unpopular House Speaker, and suggesting that he's behind her does more to undermine her support for Speaker than anything else could.
When you see Democrats responding to this tweet today as if it were meant to be taken at face value, consider yourself superior. You are. Anybody who takes it at face value is gullible as fuck.
That's pretty brilliant stuff. Apparently, not only has Trump studied his Agrippa, but he also studied his Uncle Remus.
Br'r Fox, please don't throw me into that briar patch! Anything but that!
The thought of having Waters and Pelosi as foils has to make Trump laugh his ass off.
Girl scouts sues Boy scouts.
Sad. Pathetic. Awful.
https://reut.rs/2JJKc0N
In this legal environment, can the Girl Scouts argue that there is a legal distinction to only serve "girls"? Whatever "girl" means in this political environment.
As if "means" meant anything.
As long as the BSA Scouts, or whatever it is now, doesn't start selling cookies, I think their brand is safe.
They should sell cannabis instead!
Wedding cakes. But nothing gay.
Recruitment is up - - interesting that thousands of girls actually don't like Girl Scouts, and thought the Boy Scouts would be more fun.
I read that article and still can't understand what trademark they think they're defending.
The BSA didn't change it's name to "Girl Scouts".
Aw, fuck, that means my friend's daughter Samantha didn't have to change into their son Samuel!
Florida voters approved just about every ballot initiative placed before them. Most are horrible, like Amendment 3 - which was sold as "putting voters in charge" of gambling, but in reality was just a form of regulatory capture designed to create an impossible barrier to entry for competitors to the Miccosukee Indian Tribe (who combined with Disney to spend over $40 million to pass their protectionist amendment).
But there was one good item for civil libertarians... voters moved to restore voting rights to felons who have served their sentence.
On the down side of that - the democrat candidate for governor explicitly mentioned this amendment as a reason that democrats are going to be growing in power during his concession speech, acknowledging that Democrats support for this civil liberty issue is simply as a means to gain political power by minting extra voters, just as others have acknowledged their similar goals in supporting illegal immigration amnesties.
Worse than that, it acknowledges Democrats are criminals!
youngest woman ever to serve in congress
the Democrats needed some fresh, I mean new blood
Nancy needed a blood girl.
"Been a long time since I've seen my blood."
oops, wrong Necromonger Lord
Rent control and the SEIU's attempt to make dialysis more expensive failed in CA. That raises the number of times I've voted for the winning outcome to, oh, five or six.
I was in shock this happened. And only 3 or 4 bond measures passed. I'm confused how a bond measure could fail in CA something must be up.
OTOH, most CA voters decided we need to tax gasoline for bike lanes, so the sanity was limited.
State ballot measures promising criminal justice reform and respect for civil liberties got mixed results at the polls this year. ... And voters in Arkansas and North Carolina approved measures to require an ID in order to vote.
I've never understood why requiring proof of who you are in order to vote (on things like civil liberties!) is considered bad for civil liberties
Thank you America for (mostly) rejecting communism. Next step - embrace libertarianism. #progressnotperfection
And while we're on firsts:...
Good grief. Can we leave identity politics behind here at Reason? who cares about the color and genitals of these people? I certainly don't.
Lots of people on the news trumpeting how happy we should all be about all the people of various groups entering public office. I try to be generous about these kinds of sentiments, though they are clearly carried to extents offensive to anyone dedicated to humanism over tribalism. I can see that people might be proud of American society today, that no one particularly cares about those things that superficially divide us enough for them to keep these people out of office; whereas so many countries to this day very much do; and we ourselves did not long ago. Of course, again, make too much of this and you are the one doing the dividing.
I try to be generous about these kinds of sentiments
You shouldn't, it's a BS tactic meant to guilt people into voting for someone with terrible policies
I see Reason is still riding the Democrats won the House schtick.
Over 20 of the House seat races are too close to call for states to even informally certify.
NYT election race results still pending
LOL
Stop living in denial. Democrats won big last night. It was a huge victory for #TheResistance and a clear repudiation of Orange Hitler.
Democrats only have a 2 seat majority in the House, per NYT.
More GOP House victories rolling in!
Tlaib and Minnesota's Ilhan Omar, of the Democratic-Farmer-Labor Party, will become the first Muslim women to serve in Congress.
She is also the first person ever to have been married to her brother to serve in Congress. Funny reason doesn't find that fact worth mentioning.
Diversity is our strength.
She believes in Sharia law as well. But since she is a sacred brown person, reason is totally down with that too.
Al Franken probably changed legal residence to have the privilege of voting for her.
Don't forget Keith Ellison won in Minnisota too. America needs a guy who beats his girlfriends as a state AG.
#BelieveAllMuslims
Did we mention that she and her fellow Nazi terrorist whore female Muslim Representative in Michigan both hate Israel and want to murder all the Jews?
that is an incredible fact! I'm going to refer to that all the time. Love it.
Ilhan Omar married her brother in 2009. The two are currently divorced.
http://www.freerepublic.com/fo.....8749/posts
Now I'm sad.
Incestual divorce is particularly hard on the family.
Yeah, it makes me sad that John is such a liar too.
All that link says is she denies it. Okay.
The campaign would not make either Omar or Hirsi available for comment, releasing a statement from Omar instead: "A number of baseless, absurd rumors that don't bear repeating have been made recently about my personal life and family. Let me be clear: They are categorically false."
She denies that the guy who is not the father of her children but whom she is legally married to is her brother. But her campaign refuses to make the guy available to the media or offer any proof of exactly who he is.
Yeah, its not her borther that she married for immigration fraud. No way.
Cathy you are as big of a lying sack of shit as Shreek.
The campaign would not make either Omar or Hirsi available for comment, releasing a statement from Omar instead: "A number of baseless, absurd rumors that don't bear repeating have been made recently about my personal life and family. Let me be clear: They are categorically false."
http://www.startribune.com/mar.....390247381/
Go you are a fucking liar.
What about the allegation that Elmi was Omar's brother? Where does that come from?
Well, we should reiterate that Omar has unequivocally stated that Ahmed Nur Said Elmi is not her brother, calling the allegation "absurd and ridiculous."
The nature of the charge is easy to trace, however, and stems from the fact that immigration authorities give priority to U.S. citizens who request to bring in their noncitizen spouses to the United States. In practical terms, the immigration process for nonresidents can be cut by years if they are sponsored by citizen spouses.
Not surprisingly, there are examples of those who misuse the law. Instead of using the visa to bring their spouses, they fabricate marriage to get their siblings or other relatives living in foreign countries into the U.S.
That's illegal, of course, and carries the potential for serious criminal consequences for both the sponsored immigrant and the petitioner. "Any individual who knowingly enters into a marriage for the purpose of evading any provision of the immigration laws shall be imprisoned for not more than five years, or fined not more than $250,000, or both," writes Ilona Bray of Nola, a California-based company that specializes in immigration law and real estate.
So she's married to her brother and she can be deported because she lied on her immigration application.
Incest is not a crime in Minnesota?
cold limits activities
Sounds like "activities" are continuing but the desire to find non-blood to do that with are limited.
Surely that marriage was annulled. Divorce only applies to a valid marriage.
The media is covering for her.
They are blaming common immigrant tricks to falsify immigration applications as the culprit.
If she committed immigration fraud, deport her ass. One less Democrat in the House.
That would be pretty goddamned hilarious.
Florida also voted to end dog racing.
Which made me wonder... what happens when your entire industry is outlawed overnight by government fiat?
There are huge facilities for dog racing in Florida. Big tracks, gambling parlors with bars and restaurants, training facilities, kennels, veterinary offices... all put out of business overnight with essentially no recourse.
And lots of people have life-long careers that are suddenly over, with no possible comparable work. Dog trainers, track managers, owners, etc. Businesses making supplies for the industry - training supplies, track parts, etc....
All gone based only on the whim of voters who have no idea what they are actually voting for (if you live in a ballot initiative state, you know what I'm talking about).
I'm no supporter of dog racing... I've never been to a track. But it strikes me as odd that hundreds of people can suddenly be wiped out through the threat of government force based on such a process.
It wil get a bunch of greyhounds killed in the name of saving them.
I was sure that would actually find a surprise defeat, even with having millions of out of state $ poured into it and almost nothing trying to save it. State Republicans supported the ban for the most part, but I thought the Cuban vote would save the doggies. (Latinos are not known for our animal rights militance, to put it mildly.) Instead it wasn't close.
I loathe bans, loathe animal rights, and loathe lies such as the ones being told about dog racing, but at the same time I knew this was not exactly a picture perfect libertarian cause. I do think this, even more than horse racing, is simply a nearly dead form of entertainment/gambling. Like jai-alai, which is also essentially limited to Florida at this point, they hold these events sometimes to empty stands simply because gaming laws require them to in order to hold the events that really earn them money. Like a racino law, except with even fewer 90-year-olds there than with the horses. State gambling law is so far away from a market activity that it's often hard to find the libertarian position. This industry could have been destroyed in a way that a libertarian could not possibly object to. But in fact it was destroyed by a ban.
...Nearly every intiative passed with almost 70% (the needed 60), which shocked me. There were so many, which normally bodes poorly, and an organized campaign to get everyone to vote no on everythiing because they were unnaturally bundled, logrolled by insiders, and so forth in a rather corrupt horribly corrupt fashion; and because they were usually stupid things to have in the Constitution. Very disappointed, Florida.
Yeah, I went around preaching "just vote no on all of it" because of how horrible they were - unless you really understand the issue... just vote no.
Apparently I am way, way, way in the minority.
And by "unnaturally bundled" he means there were constitutional amendments doing things like "restricting offshore drilling and vaping". No, really. Offshore drilling and vaping in one amendment.
That should have been a "no" at the court approval level.
There were a lot of bad amendments this time around, and they all passed easily.
I couldn't believe that virtually everything passed. I voted for maybe three. It's our constitution, after all. And I have a big issue with these multi-issue amendments.
So for those of you who do not have ballot initiatives... do not look upon California and Florida with jealousy. It might sound like a good idea as a way to break the political logjam and get things done... but direct democracy kind of sucks.
And as the electorate gets used to them, they proliferate like weeds. Our constitution is going to look like the Encyclopedia Britannica before too long.
People have gotten very sophisticated about crafting Amendments and, more importantly, the description of the amendments to make it look like you are saving puppies when you are really killing them.
We had an initiative to raise the sales tax by 1% to pay for some transportation stuff... they listed off some new buses, etc. But read the fine print and they want the 1% for 30 years and can spend it on a ton of stuff.... it is just a slush fund. To the tune of billions of dollars. I cannot believe we passed that. a 1% increase sounds small... but it really is a 15% increase in the amount of taxes we are paying. Locked in for 30 years. Nicely done, idiots.
Democrats are gonna shit a brick when 2020 census comes around and their migrations from Commifornia get gerrymandered into less House seats.
I was noticing some trends but a real pro detailing the population shifts in the last 10 would be interesting.
Frisco voted for the giant business tax (Prop C) to raise money that will 'solve homelessness' HA! What a bunch of fools. I look forward to new founded startups choosing Oakland and other nearby locations going forward.
Pretty sure it was Boxer who made the claim that no company would move out of SF because of taxes. I was just too pretty.
It must have been her; CA congress critters aren't noted for intelligence, but it takes one of singular stupidity to make that claim, and Babs sure fits that description.
Yup. And a little farther south, my town of Mountain View voted to tax employers per head count. They might as well call it the "extract some more cash from Google" tax.
Anybody know what the handicap was on "The Blue Wave"? 30 seats?
I would think more like 50. Thirty seats in an average midterm election for the party out of power.
There was plenty of "Blue Wave" noise, but none of the lefties bothered to put a number on it.
I can tell you the best the Chron could stir up was 'Pelosi Likely to Return as Speaker', as if that's a win for the Ds.
I wish them luck with that.
"Anybody know what the handicap was on "The Blue Wave"? 30 seats?"
Sabato kept yammering on about 30 seats or so for awhile, both pre and post election. Unlike Nate Silver's "the House is definitely Dem! Oh wait, it's maybe Dem? No! I was right, it's definitely Dem!" What an ass clown.
No idea what prediction markets had as their +110/-110 inflection point. I thought it was going to be 15 seats switching, and I was definitely an outlier from what I was reading. And if polls had held to their +2-ish Dem sampling bias, I might've been right.
Giant dicks in the sky.
By far the biggest topic, the one I don't see anyone talking about, is CJ's fucking radical Screaming for Vengeance icon for his Twitter account.
No mention of the most important issue in the election: Californians voted to get rid of f'ing Daylight Saving.
Make that *3* issues where I ended up on the winning side!
Now, will the Republicans block updating the Federal time law just to spite California?
Florida voted the same way last time around. Still hasn't happened.
Apparently you don't get to just do it. You have to get a federal vote too.
They will let you opt out of it--like Hawaii and Arizona. But that is not what California (or Florida) did.
Lies. To the contrary, they voted to make it permanent. Don't make me start that shit up again.
Ugh. I misunderstood the initiative. I want to stay off DST, not stay on it all the time.
DST is pretty sweet in the fall, when the bar closes at 2:00am one night, and all of the sudden magically it is 1:00am again. DST in the Spring is horridly evil.
A government divided between tax-and-spend Democrats and borrow-and-spend Republicans is probably as good as it will ever get.
T wins.
"Hey Beto, Collin Allred on line 2 ... wants to know if a big fat thank you blowjob will help your morning."
>>Republicans need to try in cities, or, as I've been saying for years, Texas WILL be purple one day.
Possibility of more people ever *in* Texas cities than not, zero.
"Possibility of more people ever *in* Texas cities than not, zero."
I wrote this in last night's midterm results thread. Seems to be apt here too:
"As far as the population goes, Wiki says that Texas has 28.3 million. It further says that the Metropolitan Service Areas of DFW, Houston, San Antonio, and Austin have populations of 7.4, 6.9, 2.5 and 2.1 million respectively. Adding those together gives you 18.9 million people. Out of 28.3 million, that's about 2/3 of the population. And they nowadays vote blue for the most part. Go see the Beto votes, or even the Abbott returns. We haven't even counted places like El Paso or the Valley."
Now, you can argue about whether people in MSAs are "in cities" or not. For places like Montgomery County, I'd say they don't vote like their city brethren at all. (And you used to be able to say the same thing about Williamson County, sigh.) But Beto won a whole lot of suburban votes too. Texas is just becoming a lot like every other big state: hives and pastures. The pastures look good on a county by county map, but it's the hives that have the people, and people are the ones that vote in our system. Not land.
>>> But Beto won a whole lot of suburban votes too.
i like your analysis. i would add only Beto got *sub*urban votes on sex appeal - not substance so the next candidates need to be sexier or substantive for the trend if any to continue
i.e. Wendy Davis and her stupid pink shoes was going to take over the world, got all the money from all over the nation, and like 14 people voted for her
I agree with you on how Beto got those suburban votes. It sure as hell wasn't because they were listening to his proposed policies. As I heard it, from someone in the entertainment industry, his image was deliberately crafted to give him the look of a rock star: the way he was photographed, the sound bites that were used, the utterly unfathomable lack of any media outlet to mention the fact that he's married to the HEIR OF A TEN BILLION DOLLAR REAL ESTATE FORTUNE. I had to learn about that tidbit from alt-media, because the regular media was too busy bitching about Trump being born with a silver spoon in his mouth, and no empathy for the working man.
I mean, they at least bothered to mention family money a few times when John Kerry ran.
I was expecting this to be Abortion Barbie 2.0. It wasn't. O'Rourke came awfully damned close to winning. Abbott only won by 13 points or so, for a race that in the 90s or 00s he'd have won by 30. Texas is changing. The cities growing much faster than the countryside is a large part of that.
Finally someone willing to face the truth. Texas is a purple state now. Republicans--who will henceforth distantly trail Democrats in money--will have to fight hard for it in the future. Their national prospects are grim. I'm not going to say 2020 will be the last time they win the presidency, but it will be the twilight of their heyday. Trump is helping them put off the inevitable, but there is only so much he can do.
Let's not get too carried away. The Texas House is still GOP majority, 83-67 after this election. I think the State Senate even picked up a seat for the GOP, which would make it 21-10 GOP. All statewide offices are held by Republicans, even after this election. And they have been for the last 20 years. The House went 23-13 GOP (I'm counting Hurd as a win for the GOP), with only two seats changing hands. We all know how Beto did.
I'm just saying the trendlines really aren't good for Texas staying a Red state in the near future. But it unquestionably is a red state right now.
The GOP is focusing on statewide and federal elections while Democrats can only pull some majorities at the federal level.
Its why the GOP looks to have 34 states to convene an Article V Constitutional Convention to amend the Constitution.
2019 is not going to the be the year for Democrats. They are going to flip out when the Convention starts. A House controlled by Democrats cannot do shit about it.
DiegoF is forgetting redistricting after the 2020 census.
That tends to make purple states back to their Red/Blue colors.
The thing people need to admit is this:
It's ALL demographics people. All of it. The Hispanic vote is what turned the entire west coast either blue or purple, depending on the state.
YES, white shit libs moved to various places too. And that's a chunk of it. But not a single state would have swung like this without the massive demographics shift. Whites are voting more conservative than ever before on average.
People may not like the "demographics is destiny" phrase... But it's true. Minorities in the ENTIRE western world vote as ethnic blocks, with almost zero exceptions. And they also tend to vote hard left, with almost zero exceptions. This is probably because it's usually in their self interests to vote for monetary transfers to their people at the expense of the majority population.
There are no signs of this changing anytime soon... So unless it does, we're done as a nation.
Republicans need to try in cities, or, as I've been saying for years, Texas WILL be purple one day.
It's hard to compete against the party of the wealthy in the land of the wealthy.
Voter ID has fuck all to do with criminal justice reform.
I feel like I need to mention that the reason why Cruz did so badly is because Cruz is a shitty candidate. The fact he won at all should tell you exactly how red Texas is, and it absolutely doesn't mean jack shit in terms of the future 'purple' status of the state. O'Rourke did as well as he did because Cruz is a shitty conservative and because fuck-tons of out of state cash poured into his 'dreamy' candidacy.
Yes, Republicans do need to 'try' in the cities but it's hard when our cities are full of people from Chicago and California since those places are incredibly hostile to anyone actually making money.
The current election doesn't mean shit about shit. Cruz did badly because he's Cruz.
But the state turning purple is for sure, because of demographics and people moving there from shit lib states. It is a DONE DEAL.
I would be moving to Texas instead of Idaho if it weren't for this fact... I'd LOVE to live in Texas if it were going to stay Texas, but it isn't. Current trends show it going purple in 10 years or less, and probably solid blue not long after that. Unless something massive changes, it is unstoppable. Demographics is destiny unfortunately.
I'll be real happy when we stop having "Firsts'".
"First openly gay Cabbage elected to Congress."