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D.C. Circuit Upholds Energy Department Ban on Non-Condensing Furnaces and Water Heaters
After this decision, rescinding this Biden Administration rule may be more difficult.
In American Gas Association v. U.S. Department of Energy, a divided panel of the U.S. Court of Appeals for the D.C. Circuit rejected a legal challenge to a regulation adopting energy efficiency standards for natural gas-powered consumer furnaces and commercial water heaters that effectively bans non-condensing units from the market. This regulation had been adopted in 2023, and the court heard oral argument in November 2024, but only released its opinion in November of this year.
According to the panel opinion, written by Judge Wilkins and joined by Judge Pillard, the regulation did not exceed DOE's authority under the Energy Policy and Conservation Act (EPCA) and was not arbitrary and capricious. Judge Rao dissented (and, in my view, had the better of the argument).
Here is how Judge Rao describes the issues and why the DOE rule should have been held unlawful.
This case concerns Department of Energy regulations that effectively ban a class of common and affordable gas-powered appliances. Millions of homes and commercial buildings are equipped with traditional, "non-condensing" gas furnaces and water heaters. These reliable appliances vent their exhaust up a standard chimney. A more efficient "condensing" technology exists, but it is incompatible with traditional chimneys. Instead, it requires a different venting mechanism. In its quest for greater efficiency, the Department has issued new efficiency standards that effectively ban the sale of non-condensing appliances. As a result, any consumer seeking to replace a traditional gas furnace or commercial water heater will be forced to install a condensing model, a switch that often requires disruptive and expensive renovations to a building's venting and plumbing systems.
These standards run afoul of the careful balance Congress struck in the Energy Policy and Conservation Act ("EPCA") between improving energy efficiency and preserving consumer choice. While EPCA empowers the Department to set efficiency standards, the statute also imposes a critical limit on that authority. The agency is prohibited from imposing an efficiency standard that will result in the "unavailability" of a product with a "performance characteristic" that consumers value.
No one doubts that the challenged regulations make non-condensing appliances unavailable. The central question in this case is whether a non-condensing appliance's venting mechanism is a protected "performance characteristic." Because these appliances utilize a chimney common to many older homes and buildings, installing a condensing appliance will often require complex and costly renovations that may reduce a building's useable space. The ability to vent through a traditional chimney is exactly the kind of real-world feature Congress protected from elimination in the marketplace. The Department's efficiency standards, which make non-condensing appliances unavailable, are therefore contrary to law.
Independent of this legal error, the Department failed to demonstrate that the regulations are "economically justified," as mandated by EPCA, by showing their "benefits … exceed [their] burdens." 42 U.S.C. § 6295(o)(2)(B)(i); see also id. § 6313(a)(6)(B)(ii). The Department utilized an economic model that we have previously held to be irrational and inconsistent with EPCA's requirements. The flawed model fares no better here. Because the regulations are contrary to law and predicated on an arbitrary economic analysis, I respectfully dissent.
As Judge Rao's opinion indicates, it is difficult to square the majority's approach to the statute with Loper Bright. The statutory question in the case is what counts as a "performance characteristic." The majority thinks the statute is ambiguous on this point, and thus turns to legislative history and suggests the challengers face an evidentiary burden to prove that non-condensing appliances have such characteristics. Yet as Judge Rao notes, any such evidentiary burden "applies only to the factual question of whetehr a standard will cause a protected product to become available, not to the legal question of what qualifies as a 'performance characteristic.'" As she explains:
The central disagreement turns on the legal question of what counts as a "performance characteristic" under EPCA. The majority largely ducks this question by declaring that EPCA is ambiguous as to the meaning of "performance characteristic" and "utility." Majority Op. 16–18. The majority takes this ambiguity as a license to defer to the Department. But this Loper Bright avoidance is inconsistent with the Supreme Court's directive that a court must "use every tool at [its] disposal to determine the best reading of the statute and resolve the ambiguity." 144 S. Ct. at 2266.
Judge Rao further explains why the Department failed to provide an adequate justification for the rule, but this is a lesser concern that the question of statutory authority.
This rule would seem to have been a good candidate for quick rescission under the Trump Administration's directive that agencies identify and rescind regulations that lack adequate statutory warrant under the best interpretation of the applicable statute. Judge Rao's statutory arguments are more persuasive than those offered by the majority, particularly in a post-Chevron world in which the agency does not receive deference and the best reading of a given statute is supposed to govern. The problem now, however, is that the D.C. Circuit has upheld the regulation as consistent with the the statute.
Given this ruling, were the Department to rescind the rule on these grounds it would face a likely reversal (unless it were able to get further review in the Supreme Court). This means that we may be stuck with this rule. Failing to rescind the rule earlier, or even to ask the D.C. Circuit to delay issuing an opinion so the Administration could review the rule, seems to have been an oversight, and a costly one at that.
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This "ratchet" effect on regulation is really becoming a serious problem. But it's probably something that requires a statutory fix at this point.
A $5k furnace becomes a $20k furnace that reduces gas bill over its life by $2k.
For approximately one half of the country, due to the few months furnaces are used, its not economical to upgrade to 95% efficiency furnace from a 80% efficiency furnace with the cost difference of only $1k (ish). How much additional efficiency is going to be gained with the additional efficiency of a condensing furnace?
That's one of the basic problems of having national standards for, well, almost anything. But certainly for appliances and fixtures that get permanently installed.
In my case, back in the 90's I was building a house, and I'd ordered a nice toilet with an insulated tank, (So as to avoid condensation on humid days.) and they promulgated an efficiency regulation after I'd placed the order, and before it arrived.
A different and vastly inferior toilet eventually showed up, which theoretically saved water, except that it required multiple flushes to get the job done.
But, why would I need to save water? I was surrounded by the Great Lakes, had a well that was sufficient to irrigate a farm field, and was flushing into a septic field, so neither water shortages nor burden on sewage processing were at stake. I had to have a crappy toilet because somebody in Arizona needed to economize on water?
National standards for things like this simply don't make sense.
correct - lots of differences in building needs in different parts of the country due to differences in climate.
High efficiency furnaces are very economical in parts of the country and total waste of money in other parts of the country. Southern US, its almost impossible to recover the extra cost of a high efficiency furnace. In the northern states, mt, dakota's MN, the UP, etc., its the same with recovering the added cost of a high efficiency AC unit.
It's almost as if the market, through price signals, could allow the most efficient allocation of these changes.
Dave Barry has been fighting against government toilets for decades.
It's more a case of the OLD furnace not being replaced, and then a certain percentage of those leaking CO into the building or setting it on fire, a certain percentage of people (both occupants and firefighters) dying as a result, etc. None of this being considered...
And another thing -- a certain percentage of the heat going up the chimney warms it and thus warms the building. This is why the Colonial-era fireplaces, on paper only 10% efficient, warmed houses more than people realized.
Conversely, that blower motor is consuming more electricity than you might think.
"Conversely, that blower motor is consuming more electricity than you might think."
1)I dunno about yours, but ours was a pretty negligible wattage.
2)Whatever watts it consumes ... leak into the house, not outside.
3)Speaking of efficiency, you know what doesn't happen? You don't take nice room temp air, add fuel, burn it, and send the preheated and now quite hot air up the flue. You pull in frigid outside air, add fuel, extract almost all the heat added by combustion, and vent that. There is a reason non-condensing furnaces have metal flues, while condensing ones use PVC for the exhaust.
You can argue expense or complexity, but you can't argue efficiency.
condensing furnaces cannot be installed in unheated areas of the home which means attics and crawlspaces are out, installing a replacement furnace of this type or new into such a space will lead to trouble in very cold environments because as their damn suggests, they created water and it has to drain off and will likely freeze in an unheated space
I live in Wisconsin and I'm replacing my furnace right now. I did the calculations and a high-efficiency furnace would save me about $100-$120/year. The furnace is a minimum of $2,500 more expensive than a traditional furnace and has a warranty half as long. Everything I've read suggests maintenance on the HE device is about twice as much per year and it is likely to last about half as long.
Total waste of money all in the name of lower energy bills.
One big problem in this case was a majority that failed to follow the Supreme Court's directive in Loper Bright and deferred to the DOE.
Another problem seems to be that they were actually deferring to the Biden DOE because the Trump administration apparently allowed this bad policy Biden DOE reg to persist. I don't fully understand why this error happened.
Hopefully SCOTUS will enforce limits on the legislative authority of unelected and unaccountable bureaucratic nobility. How long before Ilya writes an article informing us all how fortunate the uninformed masses are to have the guidance of such an enlightened bureaucratic nobility.
That is literally the opposite of Prof. Somin's position. Prof. Somin writes about rational ignorance, whereas you're just demonstrating irrational stupidity.
I'm a fan of condensing furnaces - when we replaced the furnace in our previous house we installed one.
But when we asked an HVAC guy about doing the same in our current house, he said no can do. There are specific routing requirements for the intake/exhaust plumbing that could not be accomplished in this house (sorry, don't remember the chapter and verse). I hope that either better options become available, or he's wrong, or future regulations have an infeasibility exception.
The basic problem is that with condensing gas appliances, they wring so much heat out of the exhaust that it won't draft up a chimney. The exhaust is actively driven by a fan, and generally routed through CPVC sewer pipe, not metal.
And if you plumbed it into a regular chimney that was used by some other, non-condensing appliance, you'd cool the exhaust from that enough that it probably wouldn't draft, either.
So you end up having to run a separate exhaust line. Not much of an issue in a new build, but a nightmare in an already existing house.
Now, if you happen to be in an area with an extended heating season, and maybe out in a rural area where you rely on expensive propane rather than cheap natural gas, condensing appliances can make economic sense, at least for new builds.
But with short heating seasons, affordable fuel, and existing houses? No, they don't make economic sense, unless MAYBE the appliance is located next to an exterior wall you could vent through.
Typical example of a regulation that makes sense in some applications, but not others, but gets mandated uniformly. And so actually makes things worse for a large fraction of the population.
It's nice because you can go out sideways through the wall -- but the problem is that snow and/or a snowbank can bury the exhaust at which point your furnace doesn't exhaust. Or a child fills it full of dirt.
CO builds up....
"CO builds up...."
That's why they have very sensitive pressure sensors on the intake and exhaust. If air isn't flowing the furnace won't light.
It's not supposed to light.
You're also not supposed to bypass those switches.
You're also not supposed to wire down the pressure relief valve on your hot water heater, but I've seen that done more than once...
Propane to HEAT?
#2 Heating Oil is usually cheaper, particularly if you have a new chimney and hence can have your burner tuned to high efficiency.
Unless you are in the south where heat pumps probably are better, particularly because they include air conditioning.
A lot of retro fitting is required in many cases.
Fwiw - the EPA has lost sight of the difference in cost benefit analysis vs the much better metric of marginal cost vs marginal benefit. Similarly with the higher efficiency appliances, without acknowledging the shorter life span, higher repair costs. Same with reduction in voc in paint to reduce ground level ozone which reduces adhesion and hardness of paint requiring more frequent painting and thus creating higher solid waste. Short sighted analysis.
I think some of it is driven by the need to justify your upkeep by continuing to do new things, even after all the low hanging fruit have been picked, and the law of diminishing returns has set in.
But a freaking big issue is the ratchet effect. That once you push out a new regulation, you can't easily decide that it was a mistake and just cancel it, because the system treats canceling a regulation as equivalent to imposing a new one.
understanding diminishing returns is helpful, though the purpose of marginal costs vs marginal benefit is finding the point that you begin incurring negative returns. You can still have large total positive cost benefit, yet be very deep in the negative marginal cost v margin benefit territory.
Its a well known concept in construction and manufacturing arena, along with most every engineer.
Fascinating. I suppose that's one benefit of the otherwise nonsensical practice of putting water heaters in attics. They already have their own dedicated vent through the roof.
It also prevents thermosiphonning. If your hot water tank is at the highest point in the system the hot water passively remains in it. If you place it at a lower point, you can get temperature driven flow in the supply line that wastes heat.
I agree that from an energy usage standpoint, its better the have hot water heaters in the attic. However, water heaters tend to leak after 10-12 years. Thus increasing area of damage when leaks happen (interior ceilings are pain to repair).
I had a house with a boiler heating a hot water tank through a heat exchanger. Hot water tanks last forever. The house came that way and I don't know the relative cost compared to a traditional hot water heater.
Hot water tanks do not last forever, but they are good for a very long time if all they are is hot water tanks, as the one you're describing would have been.
Hot water *heaters*, OTOH, do not last nearly so long. Too many places they can go wrong, and people don't realize they should be periodically replacing the sacrificial anode.
Thermosiphoning is indeed a thing, but there's a $13 pair of fittings that solves this problem. https://www.homedepot.com/p/Everbilt-3-4-in-Dielectric-Heat-Trap-Nipple-EBDN-HT-07/331674301 . I've used a pair twenty years ago when I had a water heater with a tank and they do what they're supposed to do.
-dk
If you're drawing off the top of the tank and filling in the bottom, that shouldn't happen. Are you sure you don't have a cross connection?
As much as I disagree with the result and hate these types of regulations, I agree that calling this a "performance characteristic" is a linguistic stretch.
They perform differently by venting air differently at a minimum. Even if they were identical in all other aspects, they would perform differently in different houses because of that feature.
I'm no expert on admin law, but even if the rule is consistent with the statute, why is a future administration required to keep it? Consistent with the statute only means that the executive had the right to implement the rule, not the requirement to do so.
As I understand it, if you repeal a regulation you have to jump through a bunch of hoops required by the Administrative Procedures Act. You can't just say "we don't want this regulation anymore." They could probably repeal it, but it would take years.
The fact that Wilkins is an Obama judge raised by a single mother is enough reason that he has no business being on the court.
I've never known anyone who has grown up with no father figure to be a decent human being.
Agreed...