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OSHA (Finally) Issues Emergency Standard Mandating Large Employers Require Vaccination or Testing (Updated)
The federal standard contains some carve outs that were not part of the White House announcement, likely to help insulate rule from legal challenge. (Updated with a response to Ilya Somin.)
This morning, the Occupational Health and Safety Administration has finally released its Emergency Temporary Standard (ETS) requiring COVID-19 testing or vaccination in private workplaces. As the White House instructed, the ETS requires all employers with 100 or more employees, firm-wide, to either require employees receive COVID-19 vaccinations or submit to weekly COVID testing and wear masks in the workplace. Significantly, the ETS also contains a carve out for employees not at the workplace that could narrow the rule's scope significantly. I suspect this carve out was adopted to blunt the expected legal challenges to the rule, and may explain why it took OSHA two months to adopt an "emergency rule."
I provided extensive background on OSHA's authority to adopt such a rule, and the likely legal complications, back when the ETS was announced in September. OSHA's lawyers (with an assist from OIRA) have clearly spent much of the time since working through the legal issues in an attempt ensure the standard may be imposed. The result is a 490 page rule with preamble. (The ETS itself is only 17 pages, and is at the end.) These issues include whether COVID can be considered a "grave danger" to employees in the workplace (not merely a "significant risk"), and whether these requirements can be considered "necessary" (as opposed to merely "reasonably necessary or appropriate") to address the danger.
As I noted in my September post, one problem OSHA faced is that imposing the requirement on employers based upon the total number of employees would not fit well with OSHA's authority to address workplace risks and would be legally vulnerable as the size of an employer is a poor proxy for the risk of COVID to unvaccinated employees. This is particularly so because the ETS covers all employers with 100 or more employees firm wide, so is not based upon the risks posed by, for instance, the existence of workplaces in which large numbers of employees congregate or interact.
The OSHA ETS addresses this issue not by narrowing the scope of covered employers, but rather by exempting employees who do not report to a workplace where other individuals are present, who work from home, or who work exclusively outdoors. OSHA apparently realized that COVD exposure in the workplace cannot be considered a "grave danger" to such employees, and that a vax-or-test requirement could not be deemed "necessary" to those employees. After all, OSHA's authority only extends to dangers in the workplace. So while OSHA may regulate to address risks that are also present outside of the workplace, it only has authority to regulate insofar as the risk is present in the workplace, and its measures are only necessary insofar as they address the workplace risk. Put another way, the language of the statute does not allow OSHA to use workplaces as a means of addressing risks more broadly (although some suspect that is part of what the Biden Administration is trying to do).
While employees are exempt from the requirements if they are not in the workplace, employers are covered if they have 100 or more employees. OSHA justifies this on administrability concerns. It is confident firms with 100 or more employees will be able to administer and comply with the requirement, but not sure that this is so for smaller firms. Yet because this is an ETS, OSHA is beginning a notice and comment period for a final, permanent standard, and it has indicated that it will consider lowering the threshold for the rule's applicability.
Legal challenges to the rule are certain to be filed. One potential vulnerability is OSHA's claim that the ETS is "necessary" to address a "grave danger." Given declining COVID mortality and morbidity, OSHA's rationale here will be questioned. Recall that OSHA must show that the risk of COVID in the workplace is greater than the "significant risk" required for regular OSHA standards. OSHA addresses this in part by focusing on the risk posed to unvaccinated employees, but there is a question as whether this will be enough to reach the "grave danger" threshold. (In this regard, waiting so long to issue the rule, while not necessarily of legal relevance, does not help OSHA's case.)
Another vulnerability may be the broad sweep of the mandate, which takes little account of the nature of individual workplaces and the extent to which workplace structure, firm policies, and other precautionary measures may reduce the likelihood of COVID spread to unvaccinated employees. It is one thing to impose a vax-or-test requirement in a meat-packing plant or factory floor, where lots of employees congregate. It is another to impose such a requirement at a home office in which employees are rarely in large meetings or have extended face-to-face interactions. While exempting employees who work alone elsewhere, at home, or outdoors helps, I suspect some employer groups will challenge OSHA's assumption that these are the only contexts in which OSHA's requirements are not necessary. I suspect part of OSHA's response will be that this is an ETS, that the nature of such a standard is that it will (of necessity) be somewhat imprecise, and that OSHA will adopt a more narrowly tailored final rule later on. There's some force to this argument, but its also in some tension with the relevant statutory text.
While many vaccine mandates are challenged on religious liberty grounds, I do not expect that to be a fruitful line of attack here. The ETS requires vaccination or testing, and exempts employees who do not come to an indoor workplace where they interact with other employees, so those with a religious objection to vaccination have an alternative which should accommodate such objections.
On additional note (added after post first published), the ETS expressly preempts any state or local laws or regulations that would limit an employers ability to adopt a comprehensive vaccination requirement or a vax-or-test requirement (unless the state is operating under an OSHA-approved OSH plan). As is often the case with federal regulations, if a regulated firm cannot comply with both federal and state requirements, the federal rule trumps. OSHA is pushing on this a little bit, as it seeks to preempt state laws that would allow a vax-or-test rule, but that would not allow an across-the-board vaccination requirement. As the vax-or-test option also requires that unvaccinated employees wear masks in the workplace, OSHA is seeking to preempt state laws that bar mask requirements as well.
The rule takes effect 30 days after publication in the Federal Register (so 30 days from tomorrow), and testing must begin within 60 days of publication. These delays -- like the two months it took OSHA to write the ETS after it was announced -- will be pointed to as evidence that this is not much of an "emergency." On the other hand, trying to impose something like this on a shorter timeline would have been an administrative disaster and would have prompted howls of protest from regulated firms. So these delays are good twitter points, but not likely to be very relevant legally.
I might have more when I've fully digested the preamble, and I'll likely comment on suits as they are filed.
UPDATE: I thought it worth noting that I have a different take on the legal vulnerabilities of the ETS than does my co-blogger Ilya Somin. Several aspects of the rule be believes make it legally vulnerable are in line with OSHA's historic practice and with other OSHA rules that have been upheld by appellate courts.
First, The OSH Act has long been interpreted to cover biological agents to which employees may be exposed in the workplace. The best example is OSHA's bloodborne pathogen rule. Further, the OSH Act has always been interpreted to cover hazards beyond those created by chemical agents. Accordingly, OSHA has long regulated machinery and physical workplace conditions.
I also do not think it matters that employees may voluntarily take actions to protect themselves. OSHA has long adopted rules that, in effect, work to protect employees from their own carelessness or failure to take protections. See, for instance, the lockout/tagout rule, which aims to protect employees from energy and machine-related hazards during maintenance activities (i.e. the risk a machine might turn on while being cleaned or repaired). Invalidating the COVID ETS on any of these grounds would thus call into question decades of OSHA practice that has been repeatedly upheld by the courts. This does not mean the COVID ETS will (or should) withstand legal challenge. It just means the vulnerabilities lie elsewhere.
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These issues include whether COVID can be considered a "grave danger" to employees in the workplace (not merely a "significant risk"), and whether these requirements can be considered "necessary" (as opposed to merely "reasonably necessary or appropriate") to address the danger.
The last time I looked the age structure of the Covid fatality risk was such that the Covid infection fatality rate did not exceed the normal flu infection fatality rate until you hit the age cohorts of 70 and above. However the Covid figures are always all over the place, and anyway what I looked at was based on numbers only up to this time last year. Anyone aware of the current scorekeeping on Covid v flu IFR by age ?
It seems to me that it's going to be somewhat difficult to show "grave danger" and "necessary" unless you can point to an IFR significantly above flu, in age groups to be found in working age cohorts.
Half the infected people had no symptoms. This is a weak virus hyped up by the tech billionaire media to enrich themselves. That is likely over 100 million people.
The infected have antibodies to the nucleus, not to the spike, as the vaccinated do. That is a superior form of immunity. They should be exempted from this standard.
That's another place this rule falls down. It doesn't take into account natural immunity, which at the very least is just as good as the jab.
Hopefully it is also struck down on that point.
Immunologists are not as sure as you are about the effects of natural immunity.
The team from Israel certainly is as sure.
The team from Israel, whose results, unless I've missed something, still aren't peer reviewed, tested one of the vaccines only.
A spike protein is a spike protein. They produce the same type of response, the Moderna is just effectively a higher dose variant. There are no real vaccines(As evidenced by the fact that the FOIA'd CDC emails show they changed the fucking definition of vaccine on their website in a purely political move) out on the market in the US. It's spike proteins all the way down.
Yeah, I'd think the same thing.
But experts say that our immune system is not so simple.
When those who make this their profession are not as confident as randos posting on the Internet, I think that means maybe back off on your confidence, even if the story you tell yourself matches your intuition.
Plus: how many systems in the human body turn out to be a lot more complicated than we thought? Basically all of them.
David,
Read the paper. Analyze the data.
Peer review is not a divine blessing, but a human process that can be through or cursory, careful or careless. The data and the raw statistics from Irrael are convincing and completely consistent with the NYT article last week about the breakthrough in the UK.
"Children Drive Britain’s Longest-Running Covid Surge." Oct 29, 2021
You know better than to rely on a single paper, Don.
1) I should have written Israel.
2) The study did not test one vaccine. It reported on the results of the use of one vaccine made by Pfizer. As the immunity producing mechanism of the Moderna is the same, one should expect very similar results.
3) The "study" is a report of the results of the vaccination of 25% of the Israeli population, not just some small lab small.
4) During the breakthrough, the fraction of the population that was vaccinated exceeded 59% and yet the reproduction rate, Ro, rose above 1.0 to nearly 2.4. Therefore the virus was transmitted through the "immune" population.
Actual immunologists are generally comfortable that the eons-old and extremely well-understood immune response has not suddenly and magically turned on its head for This One Big Scary Thing.
Political activists wearing white coats, not so much.
BINGO.
I love how its all about "FOLLOWING THE SCIENCE" but we also should throw out decades or more of clear understanding about natural immunity because SCARY REASONS.
Actual immunologists have a simplistic view that agrees with you, and anyone else is just lying?
OK, chief.
POLITICAL immunologists are not.
SCIENTIFIC immunologists are.
This virus isn't any different than the other ones out there bub.
You know who gets to define what's political and what's scientific?
Not you.
The flu disappeared in 2020. That is because, say, flu, on the death certificate of 60000 people, get nothing. Say, COVID, get $35000 each.
The biggest, single factor in the high number of COVID deaths, is the dumbass lawyer enacted payment for it. Get shot in the head, or toss your motorcycle, be heard to cough. COVID is the primary cause of death, same reason, $35000.
"Traumatic Head Injury w/COVID" listed as Cause of Death on the Death Certificate for a friend's Son. He had gotten tested before he went to work. On the way home he swerved his motorcycle to avoid a deer and slid into a tree. Yes. He WAS wearing a helmet Karen.
"Yes. He WAS wearing a helmet Karen."
And still dead. Too stupid to live, one might say.
Be more kind, Rev,
Jimc's true or made-up anecdote is not helpful to his argument, just as "my friend got a gun and later killed himself with it" is not particularly persuasive as an overall reason to ban guns.
But let's assume J was not lying, and his friend's son did die. That's a sad thing, and you can make your same point without apparent schadenfreude re some kid's death.
What is wrong with you? You're making fun of someone's death and not even making a coherent point while doing it.
Lee,
I think that any quotation of an IFR is subject to very large uncertainties especially now that a significant fraction of national populations have been vaccinated. The number of asymptomatic cases per reported cases is easily uncertain by a factor of 2.
If one looks at the case fatality rate, it has fluctuated over the past year in the US from 2.5% to 0.8 percent but always a factor of a few times greater than the comparable rate for influenza.
If one prefers looking at the reproduction rate, Ro, the present value is 0.9
(All data are from Oxford University, Our World in Data)
In any case it seems rather a stretch to call those rates "grave danger."
Don Nico, today's daily rate of Covid fatalities in the U.S. shows it killing Americans at a rate about five times faster than WW II killed Americans. What danger administered by OSHA has ever been comparably grave?
Stephen,
My stupid sophistry of the sort you revel in.
You make an apples to oranges comparison.
Then you ask a question based on an irrelevant criterion.
When you have facts and figures to discuss or some medical science, I'll answer your objection.
"What danger administered by OSHA has ever been comparably grave?"
Simple answers: Radiation safety. Safety from intense laser light, oxygen deficiency in confined spaces, high voltage electrical hazards. It is easy to go on.
Don Nico, and according to you, each of those health threats is now (or has ever been) killing Americans at the rate of 1,300 per day?
Wow, just as the Biden Administration needed another distraction from bad political news too. Remember this was announced when Biden needed a distraction from being routed by the Taliban.
Waiting two months is what these guys do in emergency situations.
No doubt. Biden just said 'crank out the rule tomorrow' and the administrative agency just dropped the text they'd been totally holding back.
That's totally how it works.
he said, without offering any other explanation for the timing or any details on how he thinks it might actually work instead. We had all come to expect that sort of content-free messaging from him, so seeing it yet again came as no surprise.
You want me to walk you through the agency rulemaking process to prove it cant be don in a jiffy?
Nah, I'm pretty sure you know but don't care.
Two months.
If, after 10+ months of deployment of the vaccines, Biden really did just stride out to the podium one day and announce an OSHA mandate without having had some substantial level of discussions with OSHA about things like what OSHA was authorized to do and what that regulatory framework would look like, this administration is even more of a clown car than I could have imagined.
[And as I posted in Josh's parallel article, in a true-blue "emergency" scenario, there would be no call for OSHA to create the ~500-page suffocating juggernaut it did. So that part is purely self-imposed (and self-serving).]
If you don't believe there are any requirements on how deliberately agencies need to make rules, then look at Trump - he tried to get agencies to publish stuff on direct order immediately. How did that work out for him?
We have other mechanisms than an agency rule if you need something done immediately.
But they won't bind private citizens. Which I'd think you would recognize is a good thing.
States need to stop passing laws that prohibit mandates, and just pass laws that make employers liable for any and all negative effects of emergency use medications forced upon workers.
States should pass laws making it a felony for OSHA personnel to enforce regulations upon any company doing business entirely inside the state. Time to start pushing back on unconstitutional Federal meddling and dare courts to hold to their dishonest definitions of interstate commerce.
Employers cant fire everyone. Labor market is tight, so a coordinated vaccine resistance has the leverage here. I am looking forward to how Biden administration handles the further supply disruptions and ensuing inflation.
The administration will blame the racists supporting Trump.
Supply chain disruptions during Christmas shopping season will be epic. Then the Dems will spend trillions creating demand when there is no supply. One wonders if they will ever be allowed to govern again.
Just for the record; democrats don't govern, they rule.
Democrats rule. Republicans comply.
The natural order. Until replacement.
I am content.
"Supply chain disruptions during Christmas shopping season will be epic. "
If long distance truck drivers are covered, the disruptions are going to increase.
If their trucking companies are either Federal contractors or sub-contractors to Federal contractors, then they are covered.
yep https://thehill.com/homenews/house/580085-officials-warn-vaccine-mandates-could-exacerbate-truck-driver-shortage
Look at the timeline for enforcement. Goes into force after 30 days (early December) and requires testing 60 days later (February). "Miraculously," OSHA will spare Christmas.
30 and 60 day implementation timelines are not some sinister political plot.
But they are are extremely problematic for the "grave threat" justification.
The 40,000 ballots that were found after they fell off the back of a truck overnight in Jersey indicates they will.
Trump got his vaccine as soon as he could. He has nothing to do with this.
But since most people aren't anti-science selfish dumbasses, only a tiny number of people refuse to get vaccinated when their employers tell them that they have to. Employers don't need to fire everyone. Just the 1% of their workforce who are self-identifying as too stupid to do their jobs well anyway.
Meanwhile, on planet Earth, "Defense has affirmed that less than half of the department’s 760,000 civilian employees have been vaccinated.". https://www.govexec.com/workforce/2021/10/meet-federal-employees-who-will-refuse-covid-19-vaccine/186180/
This is dated Oct 18, more than a month after being told by their employer that they have to.
…and more than a month before the deadline. We've seen repeatedly large companies and government agencies talking about massive projected refusal rates, and then when the deadline comes it's down to 1% or less.
https://www.npr.org/2021/11/02/1051577631/around-12-000-air-force-personal-refuse-to-get-covid-vaccinate-upon-the-deadline
Counting your noncompliant chickens before they hatch?
How did that work out with the thousands of NYPD cops who were going to resign?
The infuriating portion of this "Emergency Temp Standard" is the stupidity of those writing this Temporary Standards., Only the Unvaccinated employees are forced to test weekly and wear a mask, whereas those that made the choice to get the Vaccine don't have to test weekly or wear a mask. Even though there is clear evidence showing that even if you are vaccinated you can still get COVID and still spread COVID!!!! Now lets ponder on this for a minute. If the unvaccinated are testing weekly and are wearing a mask then why is COVID continue to spread to the Vaccinated? If you truly wanted to defeat COVID, then unmask everyone to restore everyone's natural immunity to all types of viruses such as the Cold, the Flu...oh wait I mean to "COVID" and then test EVERYONE on a weekly basis.
It’s not about Covid. The goal is to divide people and give finger-pointers someone to point at besides Biden. In this case, the others are the unvaccinated instead of a racial or religious minority.
Disaffected, irrelevant, valueless clingers are among my favorite culture war casualties.
Another thought to think about, have you noticed anytime when you are around people who are vaccinated for extended periods of time, how those who are Unvaccinated starts to feel ill, like cold like symptoms. So maybe this is no longer an issue because you are Unvaccinated, maybe just maybe this "Delta Variant" is a direct cause from those who are Vaccinated.
Yes, why don't you go away and have a good, long think about that. Maybe get one of those pin boards, and pin loads of pictures and documents to it. And then use some wool thread to show the connections...
The emergency is over.
We now about the Communist Chinese Virus, and are able to deal with it like all others.
Edit function 2.0
We now about = We now know about
Pandemic management pointers from half-educated, superstitious, backwater clingers are always a treat.
The number-of-employees thing is most likely designed to avoid a commerce-clause challenge.
The number of intrastate (vs interstate) employers with more than 100 employees, that aren't state or municipal governments, is essentially nonexistent....
Dave,
The mandate digs more deeply as it also applies to sub-contractors (no matter how small) to Federal contractors
Don Nico, I have a couple of family members who work for defense contractors. Not Raytheon size, but smaller. Those companies are positively freaking out. This is going to put a serious 'hurt-lock' on a lot of defense oriented companies.
I simply do not see where OSHA has the legal authority to mandate a protective* biologic therapeutic treatment (*since the CDC changed the definition of vaccine, I will use their definition).
Fewer people sucking on the public teat at defense contractors sounds like a winner to me -- especially if the departures involve precisely the type of self-selected employees who won't be missed.
Well Arthur, I won't argue with you about whether we can cut defense spending or not (we can). But I have a real problem with the federal government trying to expand its authority inappropriately.
C_XY,
I sometimes work through a small company whose business is concentrated on a couple of the National Labs. To them I am an independent contractor. Tuesday I got an email that I must sign an attestation under penalty of perjury, that I am vaccinated. This mandates will reach much deeper than 100 employee companies.
Curious. If the unvaccinated are currently a grave threat to their fellow employees, why are they given until December 5 to start wearing masks? I can understand the delay in the vaccination deadline in order to give them the opportunity to become fully vaccinated. But why aren’t they required to start wearing masks immediately if they truly are a “grave threat” to everybody else?
Also, if I have two employees in 50 different locations, they are subject to vaccination and masking requirements because they pose a grave threat to each other. But if I have 99 employees working in a single poorly ventilated location, no precautions are necessary. They apparently pose no grave threat to one another.
Yes, I can see all kinds of challenges to this rule.
Nope. This is a "grave danger" according to OSHA. It shouldn't matter whether they've had an opportunity - if there is truly a "grave danger" then the employees need to be sent home immediately if they are not in compliance, and can come back when they are. Just like if they catch you cutting bread with a double-bladed chainsaw, they don't just say "ok, you can keep using that until you have the chance to buy a bread knife."
Now, if this isn't really about workplace hazards and is really about trying to bully individuals into getting vaccinated, THEN it makes sense to delay implementation.
My employer has a bit under a hundred employees in the US, but considerably more than that world-wide, so might, might not, come under it.
After a couple cases last year, we haven't had any employees catch Covid where it wasn't traceable to outside exposure. Probably because we wash contact surfaces regularly, and propped open most of the doors. So I don't see how it could possibly be described as a grave threat.
Brett,
Washing surfaces probably did not help much as there are no substantiated examples of formite transmission. BUT propping the doors open almost certainly helped.
I must have missed the part in the US Constitution where it says the federal government has the power to make you inject emergency use substances into your body if you're in a business with an arbitrary number of employees.
A family member is a state trooper in a blue state. In the course of a murder investigation, the doctor identified COVID-19 as a cause of death on the death certificate. The investigator asked, "Doc, why did you put COVID on his death certificate? The guy as a bullet hole right through his heart." The doctor said basically, that's the rule/policy, claimed the government requires it, if there's a positive test we count it, then mentioned it's required to get money. Seems consistent with what Dr. Birx said at one point early on, we are not counting deaths from COVID, we are counting deaths with COVID.
I believe this story to be 100% true. Also, M L has a girlfriend. But she's in Canada, so you wouldn't know her.
Believe it or not, it is. I intend to ask for more details on what the doctor said specifically to my family member.
Do the Green Bay Packers have more than 100 employees?
Just asking. No reason.
https://www.workplacefairness.org/blog/2010/12/03/nfl-lockout-could-cost-160-million-115000-jobs/#:~:text=The%2032%20NFL%20teams%20employ,concession%20workers%20and%20office%20staff.
The whole thing is ridiculous. “Survivors” with natural immunity mostly can’t get the virus, and rarely pass it on, while the vaccinated do both with great regularity. Probably as much as the unvaccinated who don’t yet have natural immunity. So, those with natural immunity need to get vaccinated. Why? Moreover, for most of the workforce, the risk of COVID-19 is minimal, given the significant age relationship to risk of death. Almost all of the risk is born by the portion of the population who are retired.
What actually is the purpose of the vaccine in the first place. It doesn’t prevent infection by the virus, and doesn’t even seem to reduce it. It thus provides little, if any, benefit towards herd immunity. It’s one advantage seems to be through reducing the severity of the disease - in a population that mostly isn’t going to get that sick with it anyway. As I noted above, most of those who the vaccines might keep alive are already retired, or very nearly retirement age.
Then there are the likely side effects of the vaccines. ERs across the country are full - but not with COVID-19 patients, but rather with heart issues. The incidence of heart attacks is apparently up substantially, and many of them are happening in populations that usually face almost none. As with COVID-19, but not as significantly, the risk profile for having heart attacks is age related/correlated. But recent trends seen in ERs are not following this age old trend - many of them are happening in otherwise healthy young adults, and even adolescents, demographics that almost never, otherwise, face this risk.
“Survivors” with natural immunity mostly can’t get the virus, and rarely pass it on, "
There is no convincing evidence for that statement. It is just your imagination.
There's no actual logic to this, so of course it's foolish to give this the benefit of any real analysis. The legal scholars will have fun playing with the implications, but in the real, working world it's obvious this is just a diktat.
One suspects that if a mere trifling of the Fortune 500 sent nasty-grams to their US representatives and sicced their lobbyists on them, this thing would die tomorrow. That they apparently don't want to do this must mean they see some advantage here. Maybe put more regulatory burden on the little guys? Stress them some more to clear the field even more than the C-monster already has? Peut-être...