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National Debt

How Did America Get $40 Trillion in Debt?

Plus: Trump's trade war with Canada, the growing backlash against data centers, and calls to censor journalists in Britain

Peter Suderman, Katherine Mangu-Ward, Nick Gillespie, and Robby Soave | 8.24.2026 6:44 PM

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How Did America Get $40 Trillion in Debt?

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This week, editors Peter Suderman, Katherine Mangu-Ward, and Nick Gillespie are joined by Reason Senior Editor Robby Soave to discuss the national debt hitting $40 trillion and whether decades of fiscal irresponsibility are finally beginning to have consequences. They examine how the debt doubled in less than a decade, why federal spending continues to outpace revenue, and whether turmoil in the bond market could force politicians to take deficits seriously. They also consider why both parties abandoned the fiscal restraint that helped produce balanced budgets in the 1990s and what it would take to reverse course.

The editors also discuss President Donald Trump's escalating trade war with Canada and his administration's refusal to return tariff revenue collected illegally, the growing bipartisan backlash against AI data centers, and whether economic growth can realistically help America escape its debt problem. They examine the government's case against Meta and the latest effort to blame social media for harms to children, then turn to calls for restrictions on journalists following the death of Cambridge professor Jason Arday. Finally, a listener asks whether AI could shrink the federal workforce and dramatically reduce the cost of government.

 

0:00—National debt hits $40 trillion

15:26—Canadian trade war intensifies

26:37—Backlash to data centers

41:52—Listener question on AI and the federal workforce

53:27—Jason Arday and speech regulations

1:03:08—Weekly cultural recommendations

 

Upcoming Reason Events

The Reason Roundtable's 10th Anniversary—Live in NYC! October 7

 

Mentioned in the podcast:

"$40 Trillion and Parents' Night Out," by Liz Wolfe

"Why We Need To Shrink the National Debt, and Fast!" by Nick Gillespie

Nick Gillespie on X: "For those of us concerned about national debt, here is federal spending and revenue expressed as pct. of GDP and per capita in 2017 dollars. We are spending too much, not taxing too little."

"How many civilian jobs are in the US federal government?" by USA Facts

"Trump Imposes Harmful and Illegal Section 338 Tariffs Against Many Canadian Imports," by Ilya Somin

"Bad Reasons and Worse Reasons to Hate Data Centers," by Robby Soave

"Data Centers Are Doing Your Dirty Work for You," by Christian Britschgi

"Sen. Ed Markey doesn't know what AI he is using," by Taylor Lorenz

"Censors Seize on Jason Arday's Death as Excuse To Demand More Censorship," by Reem Ibrahim

"Tony Is an Anthony Bourdain Origin Story," by Peter Suderman

"Travel Shows Were Boring as Fuck. Then Came Anthony Bourdain," by Todd Krainin

What are we consuming this week?

Peter Suderman

  • Tony

Katherine Mangu-Ward

  • Proto: How One Ancient Language Went Global by Laura Spinney

Nick Gillespie

  • Restoring Childhood: How To Set Kids Free in the Age of Anxiety, by Peter Gray

Robby Soave

  • Spider-Man: Brand New Day

NEXT: Jason Arday's Downfall, Lindsay Clancy Case, and the Surveillance State

Peter Suderman is features editor at Reason.

Katherine Mangu-Ward is editor in chief of Reason.

Nick Gillespie is an editor at large at Reason and host of The Reason Interview With Nick Gillespie.

Robby Soave is a senior editor at Reason.

National DebtGovernment SpendingCanadaFree TradeTariffsData CentersSocial MediaPlagiarismFree Speech
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  1. MWAocdoc   2 months ago

    "discuss ... whether decades of fiscal irresponsibility are finally beginning to have consequences."

    I cannot recall what the logical fallacy where the wording negates itself is called, but decades of fiscal irresponsibility are not BEGINNING to have consequences just because the national debt happened to reach that particular number recently. The consequences were already starting when the first dollar of deficit spending starting the ball rolling.

  2. Eeyore   2 months ago

    A burrito will cost $80 by 2030.

    1. Don't look at me! ( Is the war over yet?)   2 months ago

      Is that with DoorDash or by DoorDash?

      1. Eeyore   2 months ago

        Oh, with the $100 minimum wage after inflation it will be $140 delivered.

        The service DoorDash should provide - I want to be able to order a burrito and a ride. They show up with my food order and I eat it in the car while they drive me to my destination. In places where it is legal, hooker and a ride. For the true multitasker, burrito and a hooker and a ride.

  3. TJJ2000   2 months ago

    I can't believe I just heard a 20 minute discussion about the Debt and not a single mention of the Cares, CAA, ARP, ARRA bills total spending of $8T. Add interest on that and there's 1/4 of the debt right there.

    And every single one written, pushed and passed by [D]emon-craps.
    Instead I hear about Bush and Trump with no mention of bills at all.

    Maybe the debt is absurd because Blame-Shifting isn't a solution?

    1. Fu Manchu   2 months ago

      * CARES Act: passed basically unanimously by Congress & signed by Trump
      * Consolidated Appropriations Act, 2021: passed by large margins in Congress & signed by Trump
      * American Rescue Plan Act of 2021: passed by Democrats in Congress & signed by Biden
      * American Recovery and Reinvestment Act of 2009: passed by wide margins in Congress & signed by President Obama
      not to mention:
      * wars in Afghanistan and Iraq: led by President W. Bush and costing a total of $4.7 trillion
      Doesn't seem to be primarily a Democratic problem, does it.

      1. TJJ2000   2 months ago

        "primarily a Democratic problem" - Yes. Entirely No.
        Your case resides in...
        "but, but, but the [R]epublicans didn't STOP us!".

      2. JesseAz (RIP CK)   2 months ago

        What happens when congress passes a bill by 90%+ buddy?

        Why do you continue to ignore the 2 buden covid related bills? Just forget about them? Why ignore the majority of government spending is for mandatory programs passed under dem presidents?

        Almost like youre retarded.

        1. Templeton Ferrari the 3rd (The Commentariat member formerly known as SCOTUS)   2 months ago

          When someone consumes alcohol at the rate Sarc Fu does for over forty years, it literally crises the Brian to shrivel, which leads to compromised cognitive functions, emotional dysfunction, delusions, and other neurological and psychological problems.

          The logical course of action is to crate him up and have him sent directly to a Canadian euthanasia center for immediate termination.

          I’ll even pay the freight.

        2. Fu Manchu   2 months ago

          LOL really? Trump championed and passed the biggest spending bill ever. Trump could have vetoed and/or campaigned against the bills that passed by wide margins, and prob could have gotten support under the required 2/3 to override. Trump admin pushed for a $1T military budget and now is pushing for $1.5T. Your guy loves huge spending.

          1. TJJ2000   2 months ago

            Indeed for Trump; not for [R] Massie or [R] Paul.
            And you know who loves big spending even MORE-SO. So much there is no objection?
            Or should I refine that and say the only objection ever seen is it isn't enough spending?
            That's right. Every [D]emon-crap in D.C.
            And what purpose do you think a Union of States Gov is suppose to serve?

    2. TJJ2000   2 months ago

      AI - Biden Admin versus Trump Admin
      Admin Primary Deficit (interest removed)
      Biden ~$2.0–2.5T/year
      Trump ~$1.7–1.85T/year

  4. Fu Manchu   2 months ago

    How'd it happen? Under Trump we've added $10.9T in debt and climbing fast, under Biden we added $8.5T, under Obama we added $8.3T (including continuing costs of Bush's wars), and under Bush we added $4.9T. And everything before that is basically nothing.

    1. TJJ2000   2 months ago

      Needless to mention....
      Trump $10.9T / 6yrs = $1.82T/yr
      Biden $8.5T / 4yrs = $2.13T/yr

    2. JesseAz (RIP CK)   2 months ago

      How much of that spending is from welfare programs prior to trump buddy? You've credited trump with 1T for a 98% congress bill above. What about the other 9T?

      Also reminder... you raged against DOGE and you've defended every lawsuit against trump for trying to cut spending. Discuss.

      1. chemjeff radical individualist   2 months ago

        Reminder: Jesse thinks the president has the power to not spend money Congress appropriates.

        By Jesse's own logic, then, if Trump spends money on welfare programs approved by prior Congresses, then the blame should fall on Trump for choosing to do that.

        But of course, Jesse isn't logical or consistent or principled, he simply gravitates towards whatever is the most convenient argument available to defend his guy.

        1. DesigNate   2 months ago

          The Executive Branch should absolutely be able to not spend every dollar that was appropriated, as long as they can justify it and whatever wasn’t spent is immediately returned to Congress (a huge caveat, to be sure).

          Part of the bloat is exactly because departments have less than 0 reason to not spend every dollar and then some.

        2. GOD OF PENGUIN ISLAND   2 months ago

          So dishonest.

        3. TJJ2000   2 months ago

          “I do solemnly swear (or affirm) that I will faithfully execute the Office of President of the United States, and will to the [[best of my Ability]], preserve, protect and defend the Constitution of the United States.”

          Which money are you talking about UN-Constitutional spending or Constitutional spending?

      2. Fu Manchu   2 months ago

        So Trump and his minions in Congress can do nothing about that spending? You guys are such whiners. "It's everyone else's fault! Waah!" Take some fucking responsibility.

        How much did DOGE cut, a handful of billion? And now we have screwworms, cyclospora, and recalls left and right. And still have the highest annual federal spending in history. Dumbest case of penny wise, pound foolish. Because it was retarded as fuck and illegal too.

        1. TJJ2000   2 months ago

          Self-Projecting your Self-Projection now are we?

        2. DesigNate   2 months ago

          1. Not with the margins they have, and definitely not when Republicans vote against cuts too.

          2. Maybe you should look into who has been proposing cuts, freezes, recessions, etc. (hint, it ain’t Democrats).

      3. B G   2 months ago

        Mediacare D, enacted by W has caused tens or hundreds of $Billions in "mandatory" spending that's not funded by Medicare taxes

        1. DesigNate   2 months ago

          That’s because “compassionate conservatives” like W are just Progressives with a veneer.

    3. Templeton Ferrari the 3rd (The Commentariat member formerly known as SCOTUS)   2 months ago

      You e historically fought against all spending cuts attempted by republicans. And now you bitch and whine that they spend too much,

      Fuck off. Just fuck off.

    4. DesigNate   2 months ago

      Blaming the president, instead of the people that control the purse, continues to be fucking dumb.

  5. chemjeff radical individualist   2 months ago

    Don't blame me, I voted for Chase Oliver.

    1. Templeton Ferrari the 3rd (The Commentariat member formerly known as SCOTUS)   2 months ago

      He would’ve spent far more. Plus, did you know that he pretended to be gay?

      1. Don't look at me! ( Is the war over yet?)   2 months ago

        Does sarc fu know?

    2. GOD OF PENGUIN ISLAND   2 months ago

      Because he’s ok with chemically castrating kids.

  6. Mickey Rat   2 months ago

    It is fascinating with how much this site rails against the "Imperial Presidency", it the presidents they blame for federal debt. Congress is the body that sets the budgets, and it is not incentivized to control spending, Indeed, its incentives are to increase spending as that pleases more voters than it displeases, as spending support is strong, if concentrated in a few beneficiaries, while cutting spending gets broad support in general, but weak support in specifics.

    1. Zeb   2 months ago

      While that is all true, the president has a role to play as well. And Trump just doesn't seem interested in budget cutting. He may not have the power to do it on his own, but he could at least have some concern about the issue and try to rally his base around making actual cuts where it matters. He may not be able to control congress, but he has a lot of influence among the people who elect them.

      1. Social Justice is neither   2 months ago

        Why should he want to cut spending when even "libertarian" sites like Reason get all up in arms if any penny is cut, like Suderman whining about proposed cuts to Obamacare or their hatred of DOGE. If you're guaranteed concentrated and loud vitriol for any cut but only silent support why do it?

      2. Mickey Rat   2 months ago

        And you miss my point. It is not that the presidency has nothing to do with the budget, but that Congress bears primary responsibility for the budget, and they have little incentive to rein it in.

      3. Rick James   2 months ago

        While that is all true, the president has a role to play as well. And Trump just doesn't seem interested in budget cutting.

        He cut massive amounts of spending.

        I mean, either that or someone is lying.

      4. Rick James   2 months ago

        The cuts were so deep, the Republic may not survive, especially our zero-cost, win-win immigration system! In fact, he didn't just cut spending, he slashed it!

        I mean, either that or someone is lying.

  7. JFree   2 months ago

    They examine how the debt doubled in less than a decade,

    The debt was $9 trillion (66% of GDP) in 2007. So $31 trillion since the financial crisis and the post-crisis decisions to keep asset bubbles inflated and to subsidize the cost of money for those who keep asset bubbles inflated.

    why federal spending continues to outpace revenue,

    Revenue and tax games is a major part of the problem. Spending (except for wars - and Reason/commentariat really doesn't give a shit about that spending) has actually been extremely predictable. With asset bubbles as the primary driver of the economy, tax timing can be deferred for decades (or maybe forever) - and tax losses can be taken well ahead of income to shelter it. Our tax structure however is built entirely on the assumption that asset bubbles cannot happen and have no impact and purely annual accounting covers all contingencies. We assume no differential impact by income level.

  8. MWAocdoc   2 months ago

    "Kick the Can Down the Road" should be declared (by Congress) to be the national sport.

    1. B G   2 months ago

      I can't rememer the name of it, but there was some TV show that centered on a submarine crew in some kind of apocalypse or something which had a great line.

      Politics is the art of postponing a decision until it no longer matters.

  9. Luxie   2 months ago

    How did it happen? I wonder, maybe not having a single fiscal conservative left in power and instead we have different faces claiming to be different parties who just spend money without care. Biden sucks, trump sucks, Obama sucks and bush sucks. (iPhone only auto corrects dems names apparently oddly enough) it's all over kids, glad I am close to 60 and almost done. and really happy Nick is back to tell suddy "that's not true" several times instead of repeat of last weeks suddy-fest where no one called him on his crap and was like a child in a mall shouting and blathering.

    1. middlefinger   2 months ago

      Nick literally took a government employee per capita statistic without including pre and post Obamacare per capita healthcare employee and pre and post open borders per capita grant recipient employee. I’d add per student per public school employee.

      Maoist jobs programs

      We should just start building ghost cities

  10. middlefinger   2 months ago

    The bond vigilantes have arrived, Sound the alarms they are armed and dangerous.

  11. Flaco   2 months ago

    Nick and Robbie both said "Taylor Lorenz our friend" in this episode with no sense of sarcasm. Unbelievable.

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