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GOP Should Take a Stand on Debt Ceiling

Make the case for limiting government spending.

According to reports, House Budget Committee Chairman Paul Ryan has been urging his colleagues to back off on the budget fight and focus on a debt ceiling showdown. In exchange for an increase in the legal limit on federal government borrowing, Ryan believes that the GOP can demand a series of items, starting with a delay of Obamacare, the construction of the Keystone XL pipeline and other spending reforms.

It's still doubtful Republicans will be able to extract any meaningful concessions on Obamacare, but the president's "I will not negotiate" over the debt ceiling position is undermined by the inconvenient fact that he already did, in 2011. And at the very least, depicting conservative opponents as crazed nihilists becomes slightly more precarious for Democrats because of public opinion.

An NBC News/Wall Street Journal poll released last week finds that 44 percent of respondents are against raising the debt ceiling and that only 22 percent believe it should be raised so the U.S. avoids "going into bankruptcy and defaulting on its obligations." A third of those who answered are unsure.

A Reason-Rupe poll finds that 55 percent of Americans say they do not support raising the debt ceiling even if it causes the U.S. to default. With dollar-to-dollar spending cuts, 45 percent say they'd support raising it, and 46 percent would still oppose.

ABC News has a poll out that finds voters nearly split on the debt ceiling, with 46 percent saying raise it and 43 percent saying no. Among independents, 48 percent support raising it, and 46 percent oppose raising it.

Certainly, there is some truth to the notion that Americans don't bother with specifics. In this case, pollsters have gone out of their way to make sure those polled understand the consequences of their answer. The NBC poll's question explained that the U.S. must pass it "to avoid going into bankruptcy and defaulting on its obligations"; that seems to be a fair way to characterize the outcome, even if some of us may quibble a bit. In the ABC poll, respondents even verify that they would be willing to risk hurting the economy in the short term for long-term sanity on debt.

If pollsters only polled economic issues that everyone fully understood, they'd be out of work quickly. As Barack Obama knows well, in politics it doesn't matter whether voters comprehend the intricacies of the bond market or default (or private equity and venture capital firms or creative destruction, for that matter); it only matters that they think they do.

Moreover, the supposed consequences aren't so important as many in the media would have you think. When congressional liberals opposed additional funding for Iraq, no one was under the impression that troops were going to have to hitchhike home from Fallujah. You may believe failing to hike the debt ceiling would be "calamitous" for everyone -- as one GOP aide told National Review -- but no one seriously expects a calamity. The only question is: What will be the parameters moving forward? That's hardly an unprecedented political position or as destructive as the left-wing punditry would have voters believe.

In general, voters like the idea of embedded limits on government spending. So it's no surprise that hiking debt limits perfunctorily, every single time we hit them (and without extraordinary measures, we would have been there in May), isn't an especially popular position. What's so crazy about a dollar-for-dollar match in spending moving forward? What's so crazy about delaying an expensive and unpopular program for a year? Do Dems believe in any limits on future debt? Whatever questions the GOP comes up with, they'll be more productive than defending a shutdown. It's still not ideal, of course. But it's better than many of the alternatives.

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  • Winston||

    Yeah but a shutdown will be bad for the GOP. So sez Suderman.

  • carol||

    Why would it be bad for Republicans? Among the actual voting population X number of voters always vote Republican and X number of vogters always vote Democrat come Hell or high water. Factor those people out of the equation. What evidence is there that among the voters who go either way that those voters would vote against the more fiscally responsbile of the two parties?

  • Winston||

    What evidence is there that among the voters who go either way that those voters would vote against the more fiscally responsbile of the two parties?

    2012.

  • Troglodyte Rex||

    Why would it be bad for Republicans?

    Because the ass hats in the media will tell the low information voters that the republican party is to blame for everything. Not all the low info types vote straight party line.

  • Pro Libertate||

    Whatever works to cut spending, reduce the debt, and shrink government. A lot.

  • Winston||

    Considering a shutdown will benefit Obama...

  • Anders||

    Lord O has already said that if he doesn't get his way old people will be murdered, the military and police will spontaneously turn to dust, roads will melt, and more children will have to be sold to Mexico.

    He also said "The US government is not a "Banana Republic"" which has sent the clothing retailer's shares to a new 400 ear high.

  • Rich||

    “This is the United States of America — we’re not some banana republic, this is not a deadbeat nation, we don’t run out on our tab. We just can’t pay our bills.”

    "We're *Gumby*, dammit!" 8-(

  • Far Striker||

    "GOP Should Take a Stand on Debt Ceiling"

    For a minute, I thought I accidentally logged on to The Onion.

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  • setTHEline||

    "The NBC poll's question explained that the U.S. must pass it "to avoid going into bankruptcy and defaulting on its obligations"; that seems to be a fair way to characterize the outcome..."

    Not sure that's really accurate. After all, our overlords could just make massive cuts to spending programs and still pay our legitimate bills. That would keep us out of default. Paul Krugman would never stand for it though, and I should probably go stand in a corner for mentioning it.

  • rudehost||

    In fact based on their own "constitutional" arguments they would have to cut other things to pay the debt.

    Remember the 14th amendment says the debt can't be questioned and nothing quite questions the debt like stiffing bondholders in order to keep the raisin administrative committee up and running and stocked with 7 dollar asiago bagels for their meetings.

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