A New Pain Medication Could Reinforce the Disastrous Crackdown on Prescription Opioids
When the government is systematically interfering with medical decisions, a non-opioid alternative may not actually increase treatment options.

Vertex Pharmaceuticals is trumpeting the results of clinical trials indicating that VX-548, its new, non-opioid analgesic, is effective at relieving post-surgical pain. While there is nothing wrong with offering patients and doctors another option for treating acute pain, the Phase 3 trials found that VX-548 was no more effective than a combination of hydrocodone and acetaminophen in relieving pain after tummy tucks and less effective for patients who had bunions removed.
As a new drug under patent, VX-548 is bound to be much more expensive than generic versions of Vicodin, and its main selling point seems to be based on a gross exaggeration of that familiar drug's addictive potential. The introduction of VX-548 therefore could reinforce myths about the risks of prescription opioids and encourage the government's misguided and heavy-handed crackdown on those medications.
"People who are suffering from severe pain but don't want to risk addiction to an opioid are closer to a new option for treatment," The Wall Street Journal reports. The Journal claims "opioids are highly addictive," which is not true by any reasonable measure.
A 2018 BMJ study of 568,612 patients who took prescription opioids following surgery found that 5,906, or 1 percent, showed documented signs of "opioid misuse" during the course of the study, which included data from 2008 through 2016. The outcome measure that the researchers used, "opioid dependence, abuse, or overdose," is a broad category that includes patterns of use falling short of what most people would recognize as addiction. That suggests the actual addiction rate in this study probably was less than 1 percent, although it's not clear how much less. The authors noted that "overall rates of misuse were low."
Estimates of addiction rates among patients who take opioids for longer periods of time tend to be higher but still lower than the phrase "highly addictive" suggests. A 2010 analysis in the Cochrane Database of Systematic Reviews found that less than 1 percent of patients taking opioids for chronic pain experienced addiction. A 2012 review in the journal Addiction likewise concluded that "opioid analgesics for chronic pain conditions are not associated with a major risk for developing dependence."
In a 2016 New England Journal of Medicine article, Nora Volkow, director of the National Institute on Drug Abuse, and A. Thomas McLellan, a former deputy director of the Office of National Drug Control Policy, reported that "rates of carefully diagnosed addiction" in chronic pain patients averaged less than 8 percent. In general, they observed, "addiction occurs in only a small percentage of persons who are exposed to opioids—even among those with preexisting vulnerabilities." In 2021, a California judge who examined the relevant evidence likewise estimated that the addiction rate among patients was "less than 5%."
Even a low risk is still a risk, of course, and doctors might prefer to avoid it by prescribing a drug like VX-548. But they should not pretend there are no tradeoffs in terms of cost and effectiveness. The problem is that the government has systematically biased such decisions by discouraging doctors from prescribing opioids in the name of preventing substance abuse.
In response to an increase in opioid-related deaths during the first decade of this century, state and federal officials sought to reduce the prescription of analgesics like hydrocodone and oxycodone. Those efforts included increased scrutiny of doctors' prescribing practices, raids of clinics identified (rightly or wrongly) as "pill mills," federal pain treatment guidelines, statutory and regulatory limits, and restrictive policies imposed by insurers, pharmacists, and medical facilities under government pressure.
That campaign succeeded in reducing opioid prescriptions, which fell by 44 percent from 2011 to 2020. But it left many patients to suffer needlessly as doctors became increasingly reluctant to prescribe the medication they needed to relieve their pain, and it did not succeed in reducing the number of opioid-related deaths.
To the contrary, the upward trend that prompted the anti-opioid campaign not only continued but accelerated. The opioid-related death rate, which doubled between 2001 and 2010, nearly tripled between 2011 and 2020. In 2021, the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention counted more than 80,000 opioid-related deaths, nearly four times the number in 2010.
What went wrong? Restrictions on opioid prescribing pushed nonmedical users toward black-market substitutes that were much more dangerous because their composition was highly variable and unpredictable. That hazard was compounded by the rise of illicit fentanyl, which likewise was driven by efforts to enforce drug prohibition. Fentanyl, which is 30 to 50 times more potent than heroin, appeals to drug traffickers because it is much cheaper to produce and much easier to conceal. Nowadays it is showing up not just in powder sold as heroin but also in ersatz pain pills that resemble the medications that the government has made harder to obtain, with predictably deadly consequences.
Bona fide pain patients, meanwhile, were left in the lurch as physicians began to see them as a threat to their licenses, livelihoods, and liberty. The horrifying fallout included undertreatment, abrupt dose reductions, patient abandonment, and unrelieved pain severe enough to result in suicides. This is what happens when the government insists that doctors prioritize prevention of opioid abuse above patient welfare and their own medical judgments. Patients paid the price of policies that manifestly failed to reduce opioid-related deaths and instead had the opposite effect.
The availability of non-opioid analgesics like VX-548 should expand pain treatment choices. But in the current political context, it is apt to limit choices instead, reinforcing propaganda and policies that discourage the use of opioids even when they are medically appropriate.
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Patients paid the price of policies that manifestly failed to reduce opioid-related deaths and instead had the opposite effect.
Was Fauci in charge of this? Seems like his style.
you don't want that opioid induced constipation ... kale smoothies are gross as shit
Add Magnesium Citrate to your medication regimen and you won't suffer constipation. It worked for me when I took methadone for a few years.
No doubt the Big Disimpaction Lobby kept this simple solution from millions of OIC sufferers for financial gain!
When the government is systematically interfering with medical decisions
Ok, so I'm just scribbling this down so I can keep the narratives straight, here.
And which organ does this new medicine dissolve? You know, like acetaminophen does to the liver. Interesting that newer formulations of the hydrocodone blends offer less hydrocodone and more acetaminophen. It's almost like the government is trying to knock people off like they did during prohibition with the whole "denaturing" bit.
With a name like VX-548 - I'm guessing it also causes the user to commit murder.
I don't know which "newer formulations" you have in mind, but my prescription is for the same 5mg of hydrocodone as ever, with the acetaminophen reduced from 500mg to 350mg.
Yes. Mine is 10mg hydrocodone and 325 Acetaminophen. I'd be happy with no Acetaminophen, but we check liver function every so often.
Effective for tummy tuck pain? Pussies don't know what pain is.
If they want to know if it is effective they need to trial it for dual femur open reduction pain.
Pain is personal and very relative. I broke my arm/wrist last year. I put on an ice pack thinking it was a sprain, went to sleep and visited the doctor the next day to shut my wife up. Didn't notice that I had shattered the innermost bone of the forearm.
Of course I was on dialysis for 6 years and getting stabbed in the arm by what most people would consider nails did a lot for my ability to blow off pain. Then the kidney transplant redefined pain for me.
I can take vicodin like candy and get almost no relief from them. I need some serious strong fuckitall or damnitall before I start to feel relief from serious pain. It's not a good thing because when I do injure myself I don't have a reasonable scale to judge pain by. My 10 is a 35 for most people.
I can take vicodin like candy and get almost no relief from them.
That is why opioids are not recommended for relief of anything but strong, acute pain.
And he is dealing with strong, acute *and* chronic pain. Plus, people have different metabolisms for processing opioids. Some people metabolize it as much as three times faster than the average person. Vicodin isn't all that strong.
Probably it was just easiest to arrange clinical trials for elective surgeries.
I can't bring myself to read anything that Sullum writes whatever the subject.
Oh. Remember that day the people Amended their law over their government and gave them authority to regulate the food and drug markets?????
Yeah... Me neither.
F'En [Na]tional So[zi]alist[s].
Reason's argument for the legalization of drugs amounts to "there is a giant conspiracy between government and corporations to pretend that these harmless drugs are harmful."
This is, of course, both utter bullshit and it is not a libertarian argument. It is, in fact, the argument teenage radical socialists make for the legalization of drugs.
The libertarian argument would be "it doesn't matter whether these drugs are harmful are not, people should be able to take them, provided they bear the cost of their choices."
Fine for libertarians, but what if you also need to convince teenage socialists to get a majority? Make all the arguments you can that might convince someone regardless of their ideology or lack thereof.
(1) Libertarians aren't winning any elections with this messaging.
(2) If you consistently misrepresent your ideology as something else, then that "something else" becomes your ideology as far as the rest of the world is concerned.
This is what happens when the government insists that doctors prioritize prevention of opioid abuse above patient welfare and their own medical judgments.
Prevention of opioid abuse is a big part of patient welfare and good medical judgment. That is why opioid use has been regulated.
Of course, it hasn't even actually been restricted; opioids are easily available for in-patient settings. The only thing doctors have to do is justify it for long term pain management, for the simple reason that good medical judgment by default says they shouldn't be used in such settings.
Tell it to my once active, extremely productive friend whose life was ruined -- he's now bedridden and suicidal -- by the de-facto prohibition on opioids. Generalized best practices are great, but when the threat of de-licensure or even criminal prosecution hangs over the head of every doctor, particularizing general advice to the individual needs of each patient goes out the window. A lot of patients are suffering needlessly. My friend never abused his medications, but in retrospect he wishes he had. He'd at least qualify for methadone now, and as miserable as methadone treatment is, his quality of life would be orders of magnitude better than it is currently.
Tell it to my once active, extremely productive friend whose life was ruined — he’s now bedridden and suicidal — by the de-facto prohibition on opioids. ... A lot of patients are suffering needlessly.
Let's say you have a drug that cures 10% of the patients, kills 10% of the patients, and mildly hurts the remaining 80% of the patients while making them feel really good for a few weeks; you don't know which one it is until you take it.
You may disagree with the special government requirements for prescribing such a drug, fine. But claiming that "government insists that doctors prioritize prevention of opioid abuse above patient welfare and their own medical judgments" is bullshit.
Other than known post-op needs, they generally take you up slowly to see what is the minimum dose that will relieve enough pain you can deal with the rest. What that level is varies with the person and the cause. But the government (CDC) decided that anything over 90mme (milligram morphine equivalent) unless you were dying of cancer was too much. So the VA put it in as a hard limit. Various states wrote laws putting that in as a hard limit. A few years later, after the consequences could no longer be ignored, they claimed it was never supposed to be a hard limit and everyone had just misunderstood that. But those limits haven't been removed under the laws of many states, leaving pain sufferers in a horrible condition.
But the government (CDC) decided that anything over 90mme (milligram morphine equivalent) unless you were dying of cancer was too much.
The government imposes a risk/benefit analysis on every drug. At 90 MME, you have an eightfold increase in risk of overdose death compared to 20 MME.
Mind you, I'm not justifying the particular limits (or any limits). I'm simply pointing out that this isn't some crazy drug warrior stuff, it's the government doing what it does with all drugs.
The only thing [medically trained expert] doctors [chosen by “free citizens”] have to do is justify it [to the state, run by political grifters, paid for by corruption with big business; a state in which an individual has no freedom to opt out] for long term pain management, for the simple reason that good medical judgment [as determined by politicians with no medical training] by default says they shouldn’t be used in such settings[or you will be prosecuted].
I added some context so you can imagine how someone that is not an authoritarian statist sees your justification of the government determining what you can put in your own body.
I didn't "justify" the government policy. I simply pointed out that this is not a case of "government insist[ing] that doctors prioritize prevention of opioid abuse above patient welfare and their own medical judgments."
Furthermore, "doctors" in general aren't using their best medical judgment in making these decisions; a substantial subset of US doctors are greedy "grifters" and prescribe opioids because of incentives of their healthcare systems, big pharma incentives, laziness, and incompetence. That is why government is acting: medical malfeasance.
I take it you have never had to deal with severe and chronic pain.
No, there aren't many pill mills out there anymore. All prescriptions are now recorded at pharmacies by prescribing doctor. It's hard to not get found out.
I have had opioids available to me on an as needed basis for about 40 years now. Some days I don't need any and other days I need several. But my GP used to give me a year's prescription at a time. He knew me and knew I needed them and wasn't abusing them. Then I moved around the same time all these crackdowns were starting up. My GP in the new city stayed doing that on a six month basis for about 18 months. Then he quit prescribing them altogether. Didn't want the risk. So he transferred me to a different GP that still would. A year later he quit and there were no more GPs that would do it.
Now you have to go to a special "pain" clinic with appointments every two months and blood and urine tests every time along with an annual psychological workup every year. That costs a lot of money and a lot of time for something that used to cost me nothing extra. And if you wait too long to go back in (as I found out the hard way early in COVID) even they will cut you off cold.
No, there aren’t many pill mills out there anymore. All prescriptions are now recorded at pharmacies by prescribing doctor. It’s hard to not get found out.
You are missing the point: the entire US medical system is a “pill mill”, using prescription drugs and (in particular) opioids to a degree that is harmful and medically absurd. That is at the root of poor US health outcomes and high opioid addiction rates. The restrictions on opioids we are discussing now are a band-aid to try to deal with the consequences. I’m not justifying those restrictions, I’m simply explaining how we got here.
I have had opioids available to me on an as needed basis for about 40 years now. Some days I don’t need any and other days I need several.
Well, you don’t say what your condition is, and you might be the exception, but statistically, there is a good chance that someone like you could have avoided severe chronic pain altogether with the right interventions 40 years ago. The rate of opioid use for chronic pain in places like German is one tenth of what it is in the US (and usually involves less potent opioids). So, obviously, 90% of Americans currently on opioids for chronic pain wouldn’t have to be if they had been treated properly.
Look, I’m not trying to take your drugs away. You’re screwed, just like millions of other Americans, and nothing is going to fix that.
What I am saying is that the US medical system is fundamentally broken in that it prioritizes symptomatic relief and medication over treatment and healing. And I am saying that the underlying reasons are cultural expectations together with economic incentives for insurance companies and doctors.
To nyob2,
The anti narcotic hysteria is hurting patients.
I see it every day in my practice.
Post surgery narcotic prescriptions are limited to 3 days.
Surgeons can declare an exemption and give a 5 day supply.
5 days is not enough for the painful surgeries.
I hear many patients complain that post op pain is inadequately treated.
The anti narcotic hysteria has even ushered in narcotic free anesthesia.
This is by far the worst thing I have seen in my 30 years of medical practice.
I counsel my patients to hoard any pain pills they have.
They will need them as doctors are so terrified of the DEA that pain is under treated
I hear many patients complain that post op pain is inadequately treated.
Yes, that is the problem, isn't it.
In most of the world, the objective is to heal patients. In the US, the objective is to satisfy the feelings and desires of patients.
Let's compare the US and Germany. Germany has strong regulations, physician training emphasizing non-opioid alternatives, and a cultural preference for conservative pain management. Prescription opioid consumption is 6.3 times higher per capita in the US than Germany. Rates of opioid addiction are three times higher in America compared to Germany.
At the root of the problem is that Americans are taught from birth not to tolerate normal levels of pain and to treat everything with pills. And for American doctors/nurses, pushing drugs on patients is easy and profitable: it makes the patients happy and quiet, it generates revenue, it saves time, and it generates follow-up business.
The question most doctors in the world ask is: "does the level of pain seven days after surgery physiologically interfere with healing"; if the answer is "no", opioids are stopped. That is the standard that leads to the best medical outcomes. Obviously, that's not the standard you use.
What about when my back goes out in me and I’m in enough pain I can’t sleep without opiates? Like for a few weeks at a time?
What about when my back goes out in me and I’m in enough pain I can’t sleep without opiates? Like for a few weeks at a time?
Opioids mask the pain and give a false sense of functionality or wellness. So, not only are you risking tolerance, dependence, and addiction by taking opiates, you risk further injury and deterioration.
If you have severe back pain, the underlying causes need to be addressed through physical therapy, NSAIDs, steroids, weight loss, possibly surgery. Such treatments take time and effort, but they are almost always successful if adhered to. That's how other nations operate when dealing with chronic pain. Pumping patients full of opiates for chronic back pain is a cost cutting measure by doctors and insurance companies and medically irresponsible.
Common sense should tell you that repeatedly masking pain without treating the underlying condition is a really bad idea.
Your information is a combination of two decades out of date, false, and some of it is pure bigotry.
I hope you do not work in the medical field or have a loved one with pain. Regardless, please find primary sources to correct this misinformation and stop spreading it. Misinformation is killing people suffering from addiction as well as people suffering from pain. We need correct information in the public sphere that will promote health.
The FDA apparently reduced the allocation of prescription narcotics by 5% for 2022, and another 5% for 2024. The result is that suppliers are shorting pharmacies for common pain meds. Meanwhile, they allow 30 day prescriptions, and are pushing for 7 day ones. Narcotics cannot be counted and prepared to be the dispensed until the day that they are. So, the pharmacies often don’t know that they are going to be shorted until the day that they are supposed to dispense the pain meds. Compounding this, they require that all narcotics be dispensed through electronic scripts, the FDA tracks how often prescribers cancel and represcribe pain meds at a different pharmacy, and without paper prescriptions, patients can’t shop their pain prescriptions around town to find someone who has them available. Oh, and some chains, like Walgreens, get shipments in twice a week, which means that when their suppliers short them, instead of their patients going without for 2 days, their patients may have their pain meds delayed for much of a week.
And imagine when you have a long-term chronic pain patient like my wife -- we are already tethered to her neurologist's office for an appointment every four weeks at nearly $200 a pop for what amounts to "How is your pain level? I'll call in your prescription. Stop and pee in the bottle on the way out."
What happens when that becomes a weekly appointment? Will she and I be able to travel any distance or for any amount of time if she must be seen in order to get her medications refilled? As we approach retirement, will we be able to take that two-week cruise to Alaska? Will we be able to visit my nephew and his wife and toddler without having to schedule it around her weekly appointment? Why must she be treated like a probationer or parolee? She is a patient, not a criminal!
The saying "never attribute to malice that which can be adequetly explained by stupidity" may be applicable in many areas of politics but I don't think it applies in this area, particularly those CDC guidelines on opiate prescribing. When your english teacher determines that you failed to "carefully justify" something in your essay you loose a few percentage points on something that doesn't impact your life post school. When the DEA determines a doctor failed to "carefully justify" a single script out of the thousands they write a year they loose a few decades to prison, and have no life if they ever do get out.
Hey, Portland just declared a "fentanyl state of emergency".
My wife is a chronic pain patient suffering from a degenerative spinal condition. She is a long-term opioid user who will hopefully be on these medications for another 25-30 years, provided she meets the actuarial statistics for a woman of her age.
Is she likely addicted to her medications? In the sense that she has a physical dependency on them, almost certainly. But is she abusing them? Certainly not. She merely needs them in order to go about her day-to-day life in a fashion that resembles a normal person who does not suffer from her medical condition.
Several years ago, she was on a medication that the FDA ordered off the market. Why was it removed? Because a relative handful of individuals were obtaining that medication illegally, crushing it to a powder, and either snorting it or injecting it to get high. Those deaths were deemed to make it too dangerous to prescribe, despite the fact that those taking it according to medical direction were suffering from no ill effects. The result was that she was moved onto medications that were less effective and required a higher dosage to approach where she was before.
Sorry, but I have to say it -- let those abusing these drugs die. Quit criminalizing doctors and patients.
As for VX-584, I welcome its approval. If my wife is offered the option of using that medication instead of one or both of her opioids, I hope she finds her pain relief to be equal or superior to her current regimen, But the notion that she should be forced off an effective treatment for one that might be less effective in the name of "preventing addiction" is highly offensive to me -- and potentially deadly to her,
The government does not even allow research into the use Vicodin Norco as an anti-depressant. They've know from at the the 1950's, the Vicodin, at dosage e.g. 1/2 an EX Vicodin, is an extremely effective anti-depressant. The side effects seem limited to constipation. People with Major Depressive Disorders are candidates for suicide.
For people with Major Depressive Disorder, Vicodin is similar to Insulin. They may have to take it for the rest of their lives, but they do not take more and more -- either to get high or because they get habituated. However, admitting that Vicodin is highly effective anti-depressant does play into the DEA lies that it is extremely dangerous. In fact, people who use Vicodin as an anti-depressant do want to get since that defeats the purpose of an anti-depressant, i.e., functioning like a normal person.
Thanks for a very illuminating article. I write widely as a subject matter expert in this area of public health policy, including one article here on Reason. From this background, I would suggest that the incidence (aka "risk") of drug addiction or overdose mortality attributable to medical treatment may be substantially lower than reported in some studies.
Elizabeth M. Oliva led a team of Veterans Administration analysts in a major study of year-to-year risk of opioid overdose, suicide-related events or deaths in 2010 to 2011. They developed a highly predictive model for future bad outcomes using electronic health records of 1,135,601 "opioid naive" veterans. The incidence of such events was 2.1% overall (23,850). But the factors associated with the highest risks in this population were even more revealing.
Among the top 11 risk factors associated with suicide attempts or successful suicides, opioid overdoses or deaths, only one was related to past treatment for pain -- a history of co-prescription for multiple sedating drugs. All other risk factors were related to past suicide attempts, clinical depression, anxiety, alcoholism, mental health disorders or admissions for drug detox. In other words, treatment of pain with opioids was much less important than ongoing mental health issues.
Another study by Eric C Sun, Baker L C, Mackey et al analyzed the likelihood of extended opioid prescribing following post-surgical treatment for pain, in ~642,000 opioid-naive patients treated with opioids, versus 18,011,137 opioid-naive nonsurgical patients over 13 years. Eleven different kinds of surgery were examined. Sun et al found that extended prescribing was much more closely related to the type of surgery than to opioid dose or duration in treating pain.
From these studies and others, we may reasonably conclude the following. Risk of opioid overdose or mortality in clinical patients is so small and is affected by so many different factors, that we cannot accurately measure any relationship between prescribing and deaths from drug overdose.
See https://esmed.org/MRA/mra/article/view/4379/99193547246
Thanks for your good work here. Many here apparently have loved ones with chronic pain, very often from situations that were not of their causing. My loved one has had repeated back (cervical and lumbar) surgeries over the last decade and a half, since they were hit in an auto accident, by another driver cutting across multiple lanes of traffic.
I'm not sure what your point is. Opioid prescriptions are legal and will remain legal.
The debate is on how easy it should be to prescribe opioids for long term management of chronic pain. Medically, the argument is that they are used for chronic pain when alternative treatments would be better, and that therefore doctors should have to justify their prescriptions and keep closer tabs on patients. That's it.
There should be no limit, beyond the safety of the patient, to how much of any medication should be prescribed. Let doctors, together with their patients, prescribe as much or as little as they want.
We already have a system to prevent harm, in pharmacists and malpractice lawyers. We don’t need a bureaucracy to criminalize medical decisions, too.
sda