Medieval Geopolitics Help Explain Modern Russia and Ukraine
The events of 2022 can be seen as another chapter in a very long story: Ukraine looking westward and seeking freedom while Russia slides deeper into autocracy.

Explanations for Russia's 2022 war in Ukraine often go back to 2014, when the Revolution of Dignity replaced Kremlin ally Viktor Yanukovych with a pro-Western government and Vladimir Putin responded by annexing Crimea and sponsoring separatist enclaves in Eastern Ukraine. Others focus on 2005, when the Orange Revolution first brought a Western-oriented leadership to power in Kyiv. Some analysts look further back to the messy history of Ukrainian nationalism in the 1930s and '40s, including the anti-Soviet fighters who collaborated with the Nazis.
But the history of Russia and Ukraine goes all the way back to the Middle Ages. It raises fascinating questions about the role that different visions of liberty and the state played in their development.
Russian and Ukrainian medieval and early modern history is sufficiently relevant that last summer, Putin produced an essay titled "On the Historical Unity of Russians and Ukrainians," which was posted on the Kremlin website in Russian, Ukrainian, and English. Putin's main thesis was that Russians and Ukrainians are part of the same family, united by language and religion but separated in the 13th century, when the northeastern part of Kievan Rus was conquered by Batu Khan's Golden Horde, while most of its southwest became part of the Grand Duchy of Lithuania. In later centuries, Putin wrote, the northeastern Russians freed themselves from the Horde's yoke, while their southwestern Orthodox Christian brethren found themselves increasingly subjugated to Polish-Lithuanian Catholic rule, which eventually pushed them to seek the Russian czar's patronage.
After that, in Putin's narrative, everything was basically fine until the czarist empire ended with the Russian Revolution. In 1921, the Soviet Union was born, and Ukraine became one of its republics after a brief period of independence, its territory padded with lands that had previously belonged to Russia. Seventy years later, the Soviet Union broke up, and Ukraine went off on its own, taking rightfully Russian lands with it.
The gist of this supposedly learned treatise, ridiculed by Russian and Ukrainian scholars outside Putin's court, was threefold: 1) Ukrainians can fulfill their national identity only in an alliance with Russia, 2) Ukrainians were never oppressed by the czarist empire or by the Bolsheviks, and 3) Russia was robbed of land (although Ukraine actually lost more land than it gained when the Bolsheviks drew the republic's borders). The real point of the essay seems especially clear in retrospect: to justify Russian aggression against Ukraine.
In a July 2021 discussion on the Russian-language BBC News website, historian Andrei Zubov—who was booted from the Moscow State Institute of International Relations in 2014 after criticizing the annexation of Crimea—agreed that the separation of Golden Horde–occupied eastern Russia and the proto-Ukrainian west was the beginning of the Ukrainians' development as a distinct people with far stronger "Western" values than Russia. (Ukraine, which originally meant "borderlands," became a name for that specific region in the 17th century.) Its European imports included university education, self-organizing artisans' guilds, and "Magdeburg rights" of self-government for cities and towns.
In a March 2022 essay published by Novaya Gazeta, an independent outlet that has since gone on hiatus due to censorship, Moscow State University historian Yuri Pivovarov offered a more extensive analysis of this history. Pivovarov writes that the collapse of Kievan Rus after the Mongol invasion eventually led to the emergence of two major states: the Grand Duchy of Muscovy and the Grand Duchy of Lithuania, whose sovereigns were sometimes styled grand duke of Lithuania and Ruthenia. Ruthenians, or Rusyns, was a term for the Western populations of Rus, who would later become Ukrainians and Belarussians. These two duchies vied for political and cultural supremacy as the dominant Eastern Slavonic state—essentially, the "real" Rus—from the late 14th century until the late 16th century, when Muscovy won.
The Grand Duchy of Lithuania, Pivovarov says, was in many ways a typical European feudal state, featuring "division of power among aristocratic landowners" and a hierarchy of vassalage with the grand duke as the supreme suzerain. In some ways, it was more "liberal" than most of Western Europe in that era: Instead of a hereditary monarch, it had a hospodar (sovereign) chosen by an assembly of nobles. By contrast, the Grand Duchy of Muscovy was highly centralized, with the grand duke—later the czar—not just at the pinnacle of the aristocratic hierarchy but "soaring above it like an earthly god."
With time, the czars' power became even more concentrated, culminating in the 16th century reign of Ivan IV, whose bloody terror against the boyar nobility relied on a special guard—the roughly 6,000-strong oprichnina—drawn primarily from the lower orders and given broad license to stamp out "treason." While the oprichnina (which Pivovarov sees as replicating Horde rule with a domestic oppressor) was the product of Ivan's paranoia, it also served to equalize all of his subjects as the czar's de facto slaves. Meanwhile, the Grand Duchy of Lithuania, which became part of the Polish-Lithuanian Commonwealth, moved toward more regional autonomy and more limitations on the powers of the monarchy.
A binary framing of Ukrainian and Russian history as "liberty vs. autocracy/slavery" would be too simplistic. The franchise in the Grand Duchy of Lithuania was limited to nobles. Moscow State University historian Fyodor Gaida, who has defended Putin's treatise, argues that the privileges of townsfolk were enjoyed by about one-tenth of the population, while the peasantry on lands that fell to Poland was subjected to a serfdom that was in some ways harsher than Russia's. In the 16th and 17th centuries, for example, enserfed peasants in Russia—but not in Poland—could petition the sovereign about mistreatment by their masters. The Orthodox suffered repression under Polish-Lithuanian Catholic rule, although Pivovarov notes that, from the start of the 17th century, Ukrainians pushed back by creating their own Orthodox institutions: schools and seminaries, charities, hospitals, printing shops, etc.
Eastern Ukraine's unification with Russia is a complicated story. The Cossack warlord who spearheaded it, Bohdan Khmelnitsky, was not so much seeking brotherly union as craftily playing the czar, the king of Poland, and the Ottoman sultan against one another for a better deal. But Pivovarov argues that Ukraine—officially known from the late 18th century on as Malorossiya or Little Russia—remained a thorn in the side of the czarist empire because of its freedom-loving culture. This culture likely was not limited to elites: It is notable that, while Catherine the Great enserfed Ukrainian peasants in 1783, subsequent edicts (which did not apply in Russia) severely curbed landowners' ability to sell them.
The events of 2022 can be seen as another chapter in a very long story: Ukraine looking westward and seeking freedom while Russia slides deeper into autocracy. Some predict this conflict could lead to the end of Russia's existence as a unified central state. But even without such a drastic turn, a victory for Ukraine will be, in a sense, a triumph for the Slavic heritage of freedom.
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Authoritarian rule. How Medieval. Oh wait...castrating little boys and their appendages, excising the breasts of girls, decapitating newly born babies, inciting mobs to violently threaten SCOTUS Justices, and thugs hurling Molotov cocktails at dwellings where people are located. You sure this article isnt a review of a film on Vikings?
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=oMSdFM12hOw
How do any of the things you list connect to Putin’s invasion of an independent country?
They don't. The list is, as you rightly sense, a shiny-thingy.
The proper response is False Binary Fallacy, Both/And, Walk-And-Chew-Gum.
Well, at least Russia's invasion of Ukraine gave us Koch / Reason libertarians an excuse to promote open borders like our benefactor Charles Koch instructed us to do long before Russia invaded Ukraine. Fiona has gotten like a dozen columns out of this by now.
Furthermore, Putin attacking Ukraine after Drumpf had been out of office for a year proves Putin is terrified of Biden.
#BidenIsAsSharpAsEver
It also allowed Reason libertarians to openly join hands with the Neocons because Putin/Orange Man bad. They schilled for a a candidate who war mongered for forty years.
Good article. There is indeed a lot of history undergirding the present conflict today.
If you haven't already seen it, I would recommend A History of Eastern Europe, streaming on Amazon Prime.
https://www.amazon.com/exec/obidos/ASIN/B01J2A1S1I/reasonmagazinea-20/
It is 24 lectures that goes over how Eastern Europe developed, starting basically from the early Middle Ages to the modern day. It was produced after the Crimean invasion so it talks a little bit about the current conflict between Russia and Ukraine. It is well worth your time if you want to know a deeper history of how the region developed and what has gone into the conflicts that we see today.
Ha, that's funny. The link I copied from Amazon doesn't have the "reasonmagazinea-20" suffix on it. I guess Reason's web code automatically put that on.
Agree.Excellent article. One way of seeing how actual lives differed over the centuries is to look at the two languages. The same language branch so most words are quite similar. But the loanwords if Russian are mostly Turkic in origin (which would include Mongol). Ukrainian loanwords are mostly Latin, German, Polish in origin.
This is interesting history and I appreciate it, but far as I'm concerned, irrelevant to the current situation. Every nation on earth has a twisted history. Even the Americas go back way before 1492 as far as conflicting control of different territories, but we don't know the details because there was little writing.
No, the only thing which really matters to me is that in 1994, Russia agreed by treaty to honor the existing Ukraine borders in exchange for getting Ukraine's nuclear weapons after the dissolution of the USSR. The 2014 annexation of Crimea, the Russia-sponsored "guerrilla" warfare since then, and the current invasion are clear betrayals and naked aggression by Putin. History from USSR and pre-USSR days is utterly immaterial.
"History from USSR and pre-USSR days is utterly immaterial."
Evidently to you and the readers of Reason. To Russians and Ukrainians, it's very material. As the good book says, you may be finished with the past, but it's not finished with you.
1994 reset it. I am talking from that point of view. Try reading next time. Of course the history is still relevant in a zillion ways.
Gadz you are dumb.
Yea, fuck the people of Crimea and Donbass!
Where in the United States is Donbass located?
How does history manage to be utterly immaterial yet simultaneously be relevant in a zillion ways?
"1994 reset it."
History is reset everyday. Privileging one event over all others is what a partisan does. Historians try to take in the bigger picture.
Well, we're not bound by the so-called "Good Book" (which wasn't, just read it some time,) any m9re than we're bound by Putin and his historic, histrionic Horde-mongering.
Now go polish your rickshaw, Watermelon!
"Well, we're not bound by the so-called "Good Book" (which wasn't, just read it some time,) any m9re than we're bound by Putin and his historic, histrionic Horde-mongering."
Maybe so, but at least some thanks are in order. Thanks to Putin, NATO has been rejuvenated with possible expansion into heretofore neutral Sweden and Finland being bruited about, cheaper Russian sources of fossil fuel spurned in favor of more expensive US approved alternative. Foot dragging NATO members like Germany finally cajoled into bumping up defense spending beyond even Trump's targets. Sanctions against Russian food that threaten the lives of hundreds of millions of the world's poorest. Glory days for the empire!
It could be a cheaper American alternative if only we were free to "Drill, Baby, Drill!"
"It could be a cheaper American alternative"
Who needs a cheaper alternative when you're an empire with a military bigger than the rest of the planet's combined at your back.
Any Rational Economic Animal needs cheaper, dummy.
Haven't you got a rickshaw fare to haul?
The Germans, goaded by the empire, just chose more expensive. To be clear, Russian sourced fossil fuels, eschewed by Germany, are cheaper than the US approved alternatives. I'll repeat a third time if you like.
Thank you.
Should be immaterial but Putin is revanchist so he will be misusing history to justify his imperial aims
A "win" for Ukraine is being allowed to continue to exist. They will not get Crimea or the Donbas "republics" back. They simply do not have the manpower and heavy weapons - even with Western supplies - to shove the Russians out.
I agree that getting Crimea and Donbas back won't happen. That will have to involve partisan and insurgency.
But imo the only win for Ukraine will be for a peace/ceasefire/armistice to last long enough for Ukraine's development path to produce hugely different outcomes than Russia's. Basically the Korea outcome. And since that westernizing is the source of Putin's/siloviki anger at Ukraine, that sort of armistice is a long way away
You're both mistaken. Yet a third option would be a coup against Putin or suicide by Putin, followed by Putineers retreating and borders going back to their original spots.
As Larry of The A-rabs put in the movie: "Nothing is written."
If Putin is overthrown, it is more likely that he will be replaced by someone more hawkish and warlike. Not that they'll be successful but - if at first you don't succeed, then you're not trying hard enough
How can anyone be worse than a former KGB Officer? And if Michail Kasyanov is correct, Putin wants to slaughter even more of the cream of Russia's youth, along with innocent lives in the Baltic region, Europe, and even the United States:
Putin Nemesis Warns of Sinister Twist in Russian Attack Plan
https://www.thedailybeast.com/vladimir-putin-rival-mikhail-kasyanov-warns-of-sinister-twist-in-russias-master-plan-of-war
No Russian General who prizes his Military and no Bqbushka,who loves her Husband or Son is going willfully put up with that. Putin is jonesing for mutiny and overthrow if he persists!
Kiev was once the capitol of Russia - those who ignore the historical links between Russia and Ukraine fail to understand Putin's motivation - even as he had made it perfectly clear, that steps towards admitting Ukraine to NATO were an absolute red line for Putin.
The USA in part pushed Putin into this action to attack Ukraine, and the USA had been warned repeatedly not to move towards NATO membership for Ukraine. This war did not have to happen!
The US was not pushing Ukraine to join NATO, it was nothing but a pipe dream for a few.
New York city and Philadelphia used to be US capitols. Should Pennsylvania and New York state go to war over the insults from moving the capitol to Virginia and Maryland? The Normans transplanted Vikings and took over England while still retaining control of large parts of France; should Britain or the Scandinavian countries now lay claim to all these parts? Lithuanian kinds ruled over large parts of modern day Ukraine; should they now claim to own Russia, since Russia now claims to own Ukraine?
This ancient history is utterly irrelevant to modern history. All that matters is that Russia has broken its 1994 commitment to honor the post-USSR borders.
You are a Russian stooge at best, a Putin propaganda puppet.
LOL
Going full WaPo commenter
"All that matters is that Russia has broken its 1994 commitment to honor the post-USSR borders."
What matters more to Putin and the Russians was the Ukrainian application to join NATO in 2008. That set Putin to drawing red lines and promising a harsh response. I don't think Bolsheviks, who drew up the borders for Ukraine, ever envisaged it joining an anti-Russian military alliance.
And even if Ukraine had wanted to join NATO, Ukraine is a sovereign country and it is none of Putin's business. Speaking of history you ignore, the USSR got Ukraine and Belarus admitted as founding members of the UN as independent countries. How does that jibe with your cracked history?
Cuba was a sovereign country back in 1962 yet their were strong objections to Castro's installing nuclear capabilities. Big countries act when they perceive threats from smaller countries close by.
London was once the capital of most of North America but that doesn’t justify us bombing England.
Very good point. As The Declaration said: "at war, enemies, at peace, friends."
Not that bombing England wouldn't be a good idea.
Umm, Ukraine has never applied for admission into NATO. And if they had, NATO would not have allowed them in. (yes, Ukraine has done some exercises and started some programs that NATO supports, but that doesn't take the place of an actual formal application, which Ukraine has not done)
" Ukraine has never applied for admission into NATO."
That's true. It's more accurate to say they applied to apply. Apparently Putin and company never really appreciated the distinction.
Kiev was NOT the capital of Russia. It was the capital of Rus. Russia didn't exist until the 1600's. Before then it was Muscovy, etc.
What Putin is doing is trying to steal Kiev's history and pretend that it is Russian property
"What Putin is doing is trying to steal Kiev's history and pretend that it is Russian property"
Donbas and Crimea seem to be his aims. It was Russia, not Ukraine, who stole Crimea fair and square from the Turks some 200 years ago.
His aims are way broader. Donbas and Crimea were the expressed goals for this round. Kherson, Zaporizhe are currently occupied by Russia and they will not give those up in any negotiation.
His longer term goal re Ukraine is that Ukraine cease to exist. The 1991 agreement between Russia SSR, Belarus SSR, and Ukraine SSR to disband the USSR is what Putin wants to reverse. Anything less than that is just an opportunity to lie and play games.
"Kherson, Zaporizhe are currently occupied by Russia and they will not give those up in any negotiation."
I think this territory is necessary for Russia to control if electrical power and water for the Crimea is to be guaranteed. Perhaps I'm wrong, but didn't Ukraine cut supplies to Crimea in the months prior to invasion? In for a penny, in for a pound.
All of Ukraine is necessary for Russia to control if what Russia wants is to control everything that they have ever controlled. And bluntly that is what they are dreaming (and not just idly)
Russia nibbled off a few chunks of Russian enclaves in northern Georgia back in summer 2008 without going to the bother of controlling everything they once controlled. Perhaps they'll be happy with annexing the donbas, perhaps not. We'll have to wait and see.
"His longer term goal re Ukraine is that Ukraine cease to exist. "
This is all idle psychological speculation, but Putin's getting old. I think he'll be satisfied with annexing the donbas and surrounding regions, and disarming Ukraine. The invasion has caused a lot of bad blood between Russia and Ukraine so it will be up to other, future leaders to reunite the three SSRs, not Putin.
That's the kind of neo-con bullshit that is responsible for the current situation. Putin drew a line in the sand a couple of decades ago. The US and Europe ignored it and have incorporated more and more of the former Soviet bloc into the EU while giving Russia the finger. Meanwhile, life in Russia has deteriorated more and more. And none of that is accidental either: Western corporations are profiting handsomely from these policies.
In any case, Putin's long term goals are not our concern as long as they don't involve North America. Period.
So the Capitalist, Neo-Liberal American Running Dog ate Putin's homework and Putin's agency too?
What do you think is wrong with Putin's agency? He needs access to the Black Sea, he wants the oil/gas reserves in Ukraine, he doesn't want NATO on a border he can't defend, and he feels threatened by a series of US-sponsored color revolutions on his doorstep.
To Russian military leaders, the color revolutions are new US and European approach to warfare that focuses on creating destabilizing revolutions in other states as a means of serving their security interests at low cost and with minimal casualties. The Chinese leadership holds similar views.
All the Putineers and Dugin Hooligans think Putin has no agency in how he responds to the acts of other nations. What nons3nse.
Also, Realz come hefore Feelz, including Putin's Feelz, and no one in their wildest dreams is wanting to try and conquer Russia.
Cathy Young
So Reason is printing press releases (propaganda) straight from the State Department now
.Nope, Just the facts, Ma'am. (I'll co-opt that, since Joe Friday isn't worthy of it.)
Is Dugin even promising you an enslaved Babushka wife for all your shilling for Putin and the Putineers?
You mean when a violent insurrection supported by the president of the United States overturned the 2010 election?
How does something that happened 8 years ago justify Putin’s invasion?
It doesn't. Again, shiny-thingy.
Because the neocons installed an anti Russia government? On Russia's border? Pretty sure if Russia organized a coup in Mexico and made it a puppet state we'd be cool with that.
Russia would also have to co-op or conquer the Cartels to do that completely. Not the best example.
Wow, do you really not get that point? Or just obfuscating because you have no counter?
The new Ukraine government started forging economic and military alliances with the West, and that threatens Russia's security and economic interests.
Russia's leaders felt their interests were threatened and so they weighed the costs and benefits and acted. This is how nations and their leaders act. It's how they have to act. It's how the US acts. Whether you approve of their actions morally is irrelevant.
And other nations can decide to oppose them.
Of course they can. But it's you who is talking about it in terms of "justification", as opposed to realpolitik.
And let's be clear what "opposing them" actually mean: it means the West spending hundreds of billions on military hardware, it means supply chain problems, it means high gas prices, it means food shortages. It means millions of refugees, and hundreds of thousands of deaths in Ukraine. Those are the consequences of our choice to oppose Russia.
That's what "opposing Russia" over the last 20 years has led us to. A bit more diplomatic finesse and analysis instead could have led to a much more positive outcome both for the West and for Russia.
A bit more diplomatic finesse and a bit less crowing may have had better results but I doubt it in this case.
Germany has,since the 1970's, had almost a libertarian foreign policy toward USSR and Russia. Called Wandel durch Handel - change through trade. The notion being that robust trade makes for good neighbors. It totally collapsed. Russia views Germany as a totally dependent pussy. And the SPD in particular as Russian agents (cf Schroeder). That encouraged the Ukraine invasion.
Similarly France has, since de Gaulle, played 'we are the trustworthy intermediary between Russia and US'. They weren't even full members of NATO from the early 1960's to 2009. That hs built no trust or goodwill with Putin or Russia.
You aren't understanding Russia as it is.
I grew up thinking my grandfather emigrated from Poland. Turns out he came from a place called Salesia that became a part of Poland when the Soviets redrew the maps after he was long gone. My wife is "half" Ukrainian. At least that's what it was called when here grandparents got here. They all eat pretty much the same food and they can communicate In something like the same language. I don't think borders that were drawn decades or centuries ago are etched in stone. Obviously they are not. If Finland and Sweden join NATO they are as a practical matter redrawing their borders from the Russian perspective. When the West organized a coup in Ukraine they did the same thing. Formerly neutral nations are now openly hostile. None of this enhances the lives and livelihoods of the American people. In fact quite the opposite unless you own Raytheon stock. We are being dragged into what is at best a cold war and at worst WW3. The people pulling the levers and feeding us the propaganda do not have your best interests at heart.
Russia wants Ukraine primarily for economic reasons: Ukraine has massive oil and gas reserves, and it is an important route for delivering oil, gas, and other goods to Europe. Furthermore, Russia is supremely vulnerable to a military invasion/attack from Ukraine so they can't allow it to become incorporated into another military alliance.
What Russia sees is what the US would see if Canada had been taken over by China and now China also wants to take over Mexico. How do you think the US would react?
Do independent countries have a right to remain independent?
No. Countries don't have rights.
No, in general, "independent countries" do not automatically have a right to remain exactly and unchanged within their current borders. Countries are not an end in itself, they exist to serve the interests of the people living in them. Many modern nation states were created based on considerations that are no longer valid and do not serve their populations very well in their current form. Furthermore, countries split, merge, and change their borders all the time, often peacefully, to adjust to new realities.
I think the best thing to do would actually be for people to reaffirm membership in bigger political entities once a generation. In US terminology, every 50 years, every county should vote which state it wants to belong to, and every state should vote whether it wants to stay in the union or not.
If both Mexico and Canada choose to ally with China that would be a massive failure of AMERICAN foreign policy. It would not be China's fault. Nor would it serve America to play some whiny victim card.
So, my take from this propaganda is (1) Russia sucks; (2) Russia has always sucked; and (3) the only good thing to ever come out of Russia is Ukraine. Yes, I thank my Asherah Pole every day for Journalism majors...sigh.
Look to history to understand the past. However history clearly demonstrates that borders are evolving. It is fashionable to pick a period of time that suits your argument and then claim that we must return to the "True" borders. One could easily claim that Ukraine has a better claim of portions of Russia than Putin is claiming. That Ukrainians are more Rus than Russians are.
I support self determination of peoples in their local areas. Best case scenario would be that the regions of Ukraine and Russia would break up into independent nations.
This would also apply to Canada, United States, Australia and China. I would apply it to North and South America, Europe, Asia and Africa. Smaller governments all around.
So for example, I would support the independence of Donetsk, Crimea and Luhansk, but also Chechenia, Dagestan, Karelia, Tuva and Yakutia.
In North America, Minnesota, Alberta and Oaxaca would be independent countries, likewise In South America Salta, Chubut, Amazonas and Aysen would also be independent.
China would become at least 23 separate independent countries, Australia becomes 7, United States become 50, and Russia becomes 22 or more for any of them.
I do not support increasing the size of Russia and particularly by violence. I do not support the provoking of the conflict by the United and Western powers. I do not support the bullying tactics of Russia, United States and China.
If forced to say that one side is worse than the other, I have to place more blame with the country that lobs bombs and missiles. This does not remove blame from the other side of the conflict. Many times the instigator is not the side that lashes out in violence.
NATO and the West are instigators and Russia lashed out. Putin resorted to violence so it's really, really bad, but we cannot pretend that this was unprovoked.
Not sure how so many of the world's governments have failed the citizens of the world and their respective countries. It is however very clear that large nation states do not represent their populations, but rather their respective ruling elites.