Gun Control

The Right to Carry Concealed Arms is Winning, in One Chart



Via Instapundit comes this Volokh Conspiracy blog post at The Washington Post. David Kopel of Colorado's Indenpendence Institute writes:

As of 1986, slightly less than 10% of the U.S. population lived in states where there were objective and fair procedures for the issuance of concealed handgun carry permits. About a third of the population lived in states where there was not even a process to apply for a permit. The majority of the population lived in states where issuance in permits was highly discretionary, and many issuing authorities refused to issue to ordinary law-abiding citizens.

By 2014, the percentage of people living in the Red states, with no possibility of even applying for a permit, has declined to zero. Illinois' 2013 reforms ended the problem of states not even having an process theoretically available. (The problem persists in DC, but this chart is only for states.)

As of January 2014, about 2/3 of the population lived in a Green state, with a Shall Issue licensing statute.

Note: Green "shall issue" shading gets a big bump at the far left because Kopel assumes that a recent federal ruling by the Ninth Circuit will be upheld.

Read the whole thing.

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  1. Yay! We’re free to ask permission and obey orders! USA! USA!

    1. Oh shut up. The article makes it clear that on guns we’re getting freer and freer.

  2. Gun control is never going away. Liberals just get too excited about it. They are just going to regroup and start over.

    1. Why don’t they just all get together and voluntarily rid themselves of their guns and the guns of their bodyguards?

      1. Nobody does anything voluntarily. People only do anything when coerced by government. Tony said so, so it must be true.

      2. Because mean old racist bigoted knuckle dragging red staters would still have them, and the thought of that makes them pee their pants.

        1. Huh. That’s my opinion, only with regard to agents of the State. They disarm first, then me.

          1. My terms are – they disarm, and I don’t.

    2. I get excited when I can legally buy a select-fire FAL from overseas and have it shipped to my door. Until then I don’t think we’ve won on gun control just yet.

      1. Is it the principle of the thing? Because I can’t figure out why you’d want a FAL.

        1. As opposed to what? an inaccurate AK made for sister humping Russian peasants? A G3 thats a bitch to take apart to clean? or some sort of tacticool AR favored by mall ninjas everywhere?

          1. What’s your issue with the M-14, too heavy?

            1. Ah so a modernized M-1 Garand that costs twice as much as a FAL and shoots exactly the same?

              1. Are you really that full of hate for other models, or just defensive of your belgian boomstick?

                1. No just pointing out that you can find fault in anything if you try. So whats you problem with the “right arm of the free world” or “belgian boomstick” as you call it?

                  1. It’s Belgian.

                    That’s about it.

                    1. Would you prefer a commonwealth inch FAL?

              2. So…too heavy.

                “I cannot lift this!”
                “Grow stronger.”

  3. “Note: Green “shall issue” shading gets a big bump at the far left because Kopel assumes that a recent federal ruling by the Ninth Circuit will be upheld.”

    Is that your left or my left? (looks to the right)

    Its creepy when you do that, and I realize that you’re on the other side of the screen.

  4. While New York is a de jure ‘may issue’ state, it is a de facto ‘no issue’ state without connections, or a sufficiently rural sheriff. For those of us with reasonable commute times, we’re still trapped under the hoplophobic thumb of an ill-intended law.

    1. Hey, they “may issue”…if you’re sufficiently rich and famous.

      But seriously, yeah, if a place is “may issue” in theory but “does not issue” in practice, it shouldn’t even go in the “may issue” category.

  5. I’d like to see more states adopt the Vermont/Alaska “no permit required” model, to be honest. My Washington permit is ultra easy to get, but I still have to have it on me or I get fucked.

    1. Slightly related- why do you need to have your driver’s license on you? I can see 80 years ago when a cop didn’t have a computer or even a radio, but now? Other than FYTW, the physical license is meaningless. All that matter is what the computer tells the cop. If it says suspended or not valid, that’s it.

      1. Because not having the physical license is an excuse to write a ticket and generate revenue.

      2. Kids will always need fake licenses to buy liquor.

        1. Dammit! Another thing that pisses me off about driver’s license- why is an expired license no good for age verification? My birthdate remains the same regardless of the status of the license.

          1. Because Obviously, you threw it out and some lookalike child master of disguise is trying to buy booze with your card.

      3. Because papers, please. Seriously, that’s completely why.

        If your license is suspended and you get caught driving without a license, they’ll arrest you in a heartbeat. Thirty years ago the cop would send you home. Control is its own reward, it seems.

      4. I got pulled over by Texas DPS, while on a trip with my now-wife. Had dropped my license the night before while buying (more) beer. (I know because someone mailed it to me a week later.) Anyway, I was doing 80 on 290 between Houston and Austin and the guy pulled me over — I think out of habit because the limit had just gone from 65 to 75. Anyhow, I pull over as soon as I see him make the U-turn and hit the lights.

        He takes my name, DOB, and licensing state and comes back 2 minutes later, “here’s your warning, have a nice day.”

        So yeah, you don’t NEED it. Its just a convenient reason to elevate from discussion to probable cause for detainment.

      5. This. Same with insurance.

        I imagine they’re not alone, but NV requires insurance companies to update the DMV on a regular (possibly daily now) basis with insurance status.

        Police with computers can easily look this up, and agencies like NHP which don’t have MDTs (Mobile Data Terminals) regularly request that info over the radio. They can quickly get carrier, begin/end date, and policy number.

        Why exactly is it a citable offense to not have proof of insurance?

        1. Why exactly is it a citable offense to not have proof of insurance?

          Reapeat after me: Re-ve-nue.

    2. Next I bet you want to see free speech without a government-issued press permit.

    3. The only bad thing about the Vermont model is that since I never had a permit for my guns in Vermont, I couldn’t get reciprocation from states with permits once I moved out.

  6. Look for CA to go the way of Illinois, $150 permit after 16 hour training class.

    IL’s nonresident permit setup was great. They require a comparable home permit and rigged it in such a way that only Hawaii’s permit counted. Hat’s off to the IL legislature – The only people who can get IL non-res permits are in a state that doesn’t issue.

    MA isn’t terribly better, the non-res permit is valid for 1 year, costs $100 and has to be renewed in person each year.

    I’ve got to fill out my renewal and send it in, wait for the email, then fly out and visit Chelsea and be fingerprinted, then sit while the intern/staff member goes over my entire application with me.

    I’m actually surprised Illinois didn’t add that to their non-res process.

    1. I’m not familiar with the MA non-res permit, but the resident permitting process was so onerous I gave up and now just enjoy my guns when I visit my parents’ house. So success, they managed to keep a gun out of the hands of a responsible, law abiding citizen!

  7. When did Volokh move to WaPo?

    Is this part of the Bezos Effect? 2 years ago I wouldn’t have dreamed that a libertarian law blog and a libertarian opinion journalist would be featured at a place like WaPo, but here we have Volokh and Balko.

    1. A couple months ago and probably yes. We are seizing control of the WP. This is the dawn of our time.

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