Washoe County GOP Chair: A Paul Upset?

Polling data in Nevada shows Ron Paul's support in the state hovering around 7 percent. Those polls, predicts Washoe County GOP Chair Heidi Smith, will prove "wrong." "If all of their people show up tomorrow," Smith says, Paul will finish much higher than current polls suggest. "They are very organized in Washoe County [Nevada's second largest]…I think you will see a surprise [tomorrow]."

"I know what the polls say," Smith told me, "but I also know what the people say." And in Washoe they are lining up behind Ron Paul's candidacy. While Smith claims not to "do predictions," she nevertheless offers the following result in her county: "Ron Paul, Mitt Romney and then Duncan Hunter and John McCain." In that order? "Yeah. Mitt Romney could overtake Paul…Romney's putting in a big push, he's here today and people are coming out for him. Ron Paul's been here, people are supporting him. I really think that those two will make a big difference." In Nevada, she says, the issue voters are most concerned with "more than anything [is] immigration" and Paul, along with Duncan Hunter and Mitt Romney, has done a better job than most responding.

RealClearPolitics averages here.