Tax Consumers and Political Spectrum Analysis
If you are ready for another detailed take on so-called red state/blue-state divides, over in the Winter 2005 issue of Manhattan Institute's City Journal, Steven Malanga says there are no blue states, only blue cities. And why? Because cities are full of tax-consumers whose very livelihoods depend on Democratic activism, he says:
The electoral activism of this New New Left coalition--public-employee unions, hospitals and health-care worker unions, and social-services agencies--has reshaped the politics of many cities. As the country's national political scene has edged rightward, thwarting their ambitions in Washington, these groups have turned their attention to urban America, where they still have the power to influence public policy.
….In New York, for instance, more than two-thirds of city council members are former government employees or ex-workers in health care or social services…..One reason that these politicians have succeeded electorally is that those who work in the public sector have different voting priorities from private-sector workers or business owners. An exit poll conducted by City Journal of the 2001 New York mayoral election found that private-sector workers heavily backed Michael Bloomberg, the businessman candidate who had been endorsed by Rudy Giuliani and had run on a pledge of no new taxes (which he broke after his first year in office), while those who worked in the public/health-care/social-services sectors favored his Democratic opponent, who ran on a promise of raising taxes to fund further services. In the race, Bloomberg won among private-sector voters by 17 percentage points, while the Democrat won by 15 points among those who worked in the public/nonprofit sectors.
And of course public-sector workers, who know they are going to the polls to elect their bosses, make sure to remember to vote. Though they make up about one-third of New York City's workforce, public/nonprofit-sector voters made up 37 percent of the electorate in the 2001 mayoral race….With so much of their economic future at stake in elections, the tax eaters have emerged as the new infantry of political campaigns, replacing the ward captains and district leaders of old-time political clubs.
One thing the article doesn't spend much time on, and would be helpful in making his case, is explaining exactly how and in what ways GOP policies--which aren't exactly shrinking the public sector--are stymieing or harming these interest groups, however Democrat-leaning they might be in their political culture and loyalties.
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The elephant in the room is race. The "blue cities" also happen to be places with large minority populations. Race becomes an even more obvious factor when you look at the South. There is a blue strip that runs through central Alabama and Mississippi. Now, as it happens, this isn't an urban area at all. Indeed, it is the most rural area of the region. But it also happens to be an area with majority black counties.
Bloomberg sucks. Sorry, I just had to say it one more time before I move out of NY.
What we need is another David Dinkins: higher taxes, higher crime, white flight, a fiscal crisis, leading to lower property values. I can dream, anyway.
Are there any large cities nowadays with libertarian leanings? I used to live in Charlotte, which was very pro-business, but in a creepy conservative way. The closest one I can think of is Las Vegas. (Portsmouth doesn't count, hedgehogs.)
a 17% advantage for bloomberg among the private sector, a 15% advantage for his opponent in the public sector... this is supposed to show something about Democratic strength in the public sector?
This seems as good of an argument as any to break public unions. What are they good for anyway, except making union "leaders" wealthy while lobbying politicos for more public service spending?
And of course public-sector workers, who know they are going to the polls to elect their bosses, make sure to remember to vote.
But do they shit where they eat? NYC has millions of daily commuters, some coming from as far as Philadelphia. Where public or private workers live and vote, assuming they vote but once, may skew the numbers.
D'A:
Many city pols are hip to the defecate/dine dilemma. That's one of the reasons many municipalities enacted residency requirements for civil service and teaching jobs. These cities and counties are scared to let their employees live elsewhere, first because they want to shore up local real estate values, and second to have a group of voters invested in the statist status quo. While a lot of these unionized voters may be reliably Democratic, some, especially law enforcement personnel, may be less liberal than an SEIU rank and filer, and willing to vote for a Giuliani-style Republican. If the city is essentially a one-party enclave, these voters may back the more moderate candidate in a Dem primary.
Kevin
This seems simple and unsurprising - people will vote for the candidate that supports their interests. But I think it's simplistic to say it's simply to protect their jobs.
Most (not all) people that go into public sector work are left-leaning anyway and they do this kind of work because they believe in it.
Is this like how red states get massive amounts of farm subsidies and defense spending? What a shock.
kevrob,
Mayor Blueburg and others are trying to reinstate a "commuter tax" in NYC. NYC residents pay a city income tax and the commuter tax extends that with a partial income tax on non-residents who earn their dine in NYC. Don't know if other municipalities have gone that far.
"...and defense spending? What a shock."
Do red states get massive amounts of defense spending? How does that work?
<offtopic>
David Rollins,
If you mean Las Vegas, NV, not Las Vegas, NM, I wouldn't get my hopes up for libertarian leanings. It is pretty solidly Democratic, without the tolerance for drug users. The sales tax is 7.5%, except on grocery-store food and medicine (where it's 0). Gas prices are usually on the high side of the national average. Because I'm older than 35, married, and live in a relatively newer area of town, the auto insurance and registration for my 5 year old light pickup truck is only about $100/month. Property tax on a 1500 sq. ft. new house on a 0.12 acre lot is currently running about $175/month, but that will go up to about $300/month in the near future unless the rate is changed. It is also becoming more difficult to avoid living in a homeowner's association.
For all the marketing that the city has done to project itself as an adult playground, there are plenty of bluenoses and busybodies looking to impose their idea of the "right" way to live on everyone around them. Some of the more annoying of them tend to get elected to the boards of homeowner's associations.
Can you live a relatively libertarian lifestyle here? Probably, but you need a bunch of money, and either the ability to tolerate the running-clothes dryer-like summer heat or a lot of traveling.
</offtopic>
"Is this like how red states get massive amounts of farm subsidies and defense spending?"
How much farm subsidies and defense spending go to California?
It's not only "red" states that get farm subsidies and defense spending.
I don't know about farm subsidies, but in the study that showed how a state's share of the federal pie (minus taxes paid) correlates with support for the GOP, removing defense spending from the equation made the correlation even stronger. Which sort of makes sense: The Navy obviously spends the vast majority of its money in coastal states, which (mostly) lean Democrat. And a good chunk of the high tech industries are in blue states (although most certainly not all).
Amber Pawlik, an Objectivist Geolibertarian (of all things) argues that the cities are Blue because site rent is highest in the cities. Since so much of working people's income is funnelled off as rent, they are more likely to turn to the government for subsistence.
It is easier to vote if you work for NYC. NYC teachers get a professional day on election day. They attend workshops until 2 pm, and then have the day off.
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