The Volokh Conspiracy

Mostly law professors | Sometimes contrarian | Often libertarian | Always independent | Est. 2002

The Volokh Conspiracy

Antonin Scalia

AEI's Conference on Scalia's Legacy

Video of the panels available on YouTube

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As Steven Calabresi notes, this is the tenth anniversary of Justice Antonin Scalia's death. The American Enterprise Institute hosted a two-day conference on his work and his legacy featuring scholars, judges, former clerks, and family members. On the second day, I participated in a panel focused on originalism and textualism. Other panels focused on such topics as the separation of powers, religious liberty, and administrative law.

The video of the first day can be found here.

The second day can be found here.

The overall agenda is here. The event was co-hosted by the Ethics and Public Policy Center.

Free Speech

Journal of Free Speech Law: "John Stuart Mill and Colonial India: Liberalism, 'Barbarism,' and Free Speech," by Randy Robertson

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The article is here; from the Introduction:

John Stuart Mill continues to stir trouble in the twenty-first century. Nowhere is Mill's liberal legacy more fiercely contested than in academia, where scholarly opinion ranges from something approaching idolatry to icy disapproval. Heterodox Academy invokes Mill as a leading light, with Jonathan Haidt and Richard Reeves publishing an abridged version of On Liberty (entitled All Minus One) as a manifesto for the movement. Other scholars have tried to "update" Mill for a new era by adapting his notion of "harm" to include psychological and civic harm. Still others dismiss Mill as an engineer of and apologist for empire, another hypocritical nineteenth-century liberal who supported freedom for the metropole while advocating despotism for the colonial other.

How to reconcile the various versions of Mill—liberal apostle, Romantic utilitarian, faithful servant of the East Indian Company? The volume of Mill scholarship may hinder any effort to answer the question more than it helps: It is now so vast that it seems impossible to master without the help of artificial intelligence: Even if we restrict the topic to Mill and freedom of expression, JSTOR alone houses some 6,000 books and articles that mention Mill and free speech, enough to intimidate even the most energetic reader. The prospect of saying something new about Mill is perhaps yet more daunting.

To their credit, Drs. Christopher Barker and Fara Dabhoiwala have recently paved a fresh pathway through Mill's oeuvre, attempting to explain why Mill did not extend his full-throated support for free speech to what he termed "barbarous" countries. Why, they ask, did Mill insist that colonial Indians, for instance, did not deserve the right (or privilege) of free speech? While copious research has been devoted to Mill's arguments on free speech and to his opinions on empire, surprisingly little has been written on the intersection of the two.

The problem, however, is that the query on India, as posed, est une question mal posée, a complex question that assumes the conclusion and then seeks to explain it. Barker's claim, for instance, that "Mill consistently supports East India Company (EIC) policy restricting publicity and debate in British India" is belied by a more sensitive examination of the evidence. Dabhoiwala's forays down the documentary trail in his new book, What Is Free Speech?, are even more misleading. The real question is how two respected scholars could have limned such skewed portraits of Mill.

Free Speech

Journal of Free Speech Law: "Cancel Culture and the Constitution: Three Reasons Why We Should Embrace Free Speech," by Judge James Ho

Based on a Constitution Day Lecture delivered at Wofford College last September 11.

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The article is here; some excerpts:

One of the greatest privileges of being a federal judge is the honor of presiding over a naturalization ceremony. I do it every year in May, to celebrate the anniversary of my own naturalization in May 1982.

I wasn't born in the United States. I didn't enter this world as an American. But I wake up every morning thanking God that I will leave this world as an American.

I like to say that I'm Taiwanese by birth, Texan by marriage. But most importantly, I'm American by choice.

If you've never attended a naturalization ceremony, there's nothing more inspiring. People from all around the world come together in one room, for one purpose—to become Americans….

In a nation of over 300 million Americans, we're bound to disagree on virtually every issue under the sun. And that's okay. There's nothing wrong with that….

We've all heard the maxim, "I disapprove of what you say, but I will defend to the death your right to say it." … [But i]f you truly detest what someone says, why on Earth would you want to defend their right to say it—never mind defend it to the death?

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February 13, 2016

One decade since Justice Scalia's death.

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Today is the ten year anniversary of Justice Scalia's passing. At the time, I could not have fathomed what the ensuing ten years would bring. To commemorate that day, I quote at length from my 2016 book, Unraveled. There are some good nuggets here, a few that I had forgotten!

The news of Scalia's passing broke on Saturday, February 13, 2016, at about 4:30 PM. Within minutes, through what Adam Smith would call the invisible hand , a Republican strategy spontaneously organized on social media: no confirmation until after the election, regardless of who the nominee is. At 4:56 PM, Conn Carroll, a spokesman for Senator Mike Lee (R- UT), tweeted, "What is less than zero? The chances of Obama successfully appointing a Supreme Court Justice to replace Scalia." Conservative pundits quickly reinforced the message. Sean Davis, who writes at The Federalist , posted at 4:52, "If Scalia has actually passed away, the Senate must refuse to confirm any justices in 2016 and leave the nomination to the next president."

One hour later, before consulting his caucus, Majority Leader McConnell released a statement: "The American people should have a voice in the selection of their next Supreme Court Justice. Therefore, this vacancy should not be filled until we have a new President." Senator John Cornyn (R- TX) warned that whoever the President nominated had no chance of confirmation, and would "bear some resemblance to a piñata."

Almost immediately all eyes turned to an octogenarian from Iowa. Chuck Grassley, Chairman of the Senate Judiciary Committee, held almost unfettered discretion over whether Obama's nominee would even be considered by the Senate. The New York Times reported that Grassley "arguably" has "more power than any other individual senator in deciding if the process will move forward."

Before a nominee was even named, pressure mounted on the folksy Iowan to hold a hearing. The Des Moines Register called on Grassley to proceed with Obama's nominee. "This could have been a 'profile in courage' moment for Senator Grassley. This was an opportunity for our senior senator to be less of a politician and more of a statesman. It was a chance for him to be principled rather than partisan." In the immediate aftermath of Scalia's passing, Grassley was somewhat noncommittal. He told Radio Iowa , "I would wait until the nominee is made before I would make any decisions."

He called for patience. "One step at a time." The Times observed that early on the Iowan "has given off conflicting signals about his intentions." Republicans defended their opposition to a hearing, citing Democratic filibusters of President Bush's nominees a decade earlier. Democrats countered that they filibustered lower- court nominees, who were at least afforded a hearing, even if they did not receive a vote. Further, the Supreme Court, they argued, was different. Denying a nominee a hearing was the next level up from blocking a nominee's floor vote. Michael Barone's observation is still evergreen: "In politics . . . all procedural arguments are insincere."

In 2010, the Chief Justice lamented the politicization of the confirmation process. "Each political party has found it easy to turn on a dime," Roberts observed, "from decrying to defending the blocking of judicial nominations, depending on their changing political fortunes." Senator Grassley charged that Roberts had it "exactly backwards." The "confirmation process doesn't make the Justices appear political," the Iowan said. Rather, "the confirmation process has gotten political precisely because the court has drifted from the constitutional text, and rendered decisions based instead on policy preferences." Grassley specifically targeted Roberts's Obamacare decisions. "In fact, many of my constituents believe, with all due respect, that the Chief Justice is part of this problem. They believe that a number of his votes have reflected political considerations, not legal ones." To the extent that the Chief's ACA opinions were designed to keep the Court out of the political arena, the plan backfired in ways that were impossible to anticipate.

After some vacillation, the Republican leadership solidified its position. McConnell and Grassley coauthored an editorial in the Washington Post expressing their shared strategy. "Given that we are in the midst of the presidential election process," the Kentuckian and Iowan wrote, "we believe that the American people should seize the opportunity to weigh in on whom they trust to nominate the next person for a lifetime appointment to the Supreme Court." As for a question of duty, they wrote that the "Constitution grants the Senate the power to provide, or as the case may be, withhold its consent." The Senate leadership held firm and refused to schedule a hearing for Garland. Many declined to even meet with the nominee.

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AI in Court

Kenosha County (Wisconsin) DA Sanctioned for AI Hallucinations

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Wisconsin Public Radio (Sarah Lehr) reported Monday:

A judge has sanctioned Kenosha County District Attorney Xavier Solis over his use of artificial intelligence in court filings.

Circuit Court Judge David Hughes called out Solis on Friday for using AI in a response to a defense attorney's request to have a burglary case dismissed [without disclosing this, as Kenosha County court policy required].

Hughes also blasted Solis for using "hallucinated and false citations," online court records show….

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Antonin Scalia

The Scalia Revolution

Antonin Scalia's legacy ten years after his death.

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Justice Antonin Scalia died ten years ago today, and he left an extraordinary legacy to the American people. Justice Scalia single-handedly revived legal formalism and textualism, which had been dead in the legal world since the Legal Realist Revolution of the 1920's.

Justice Scalia's revival of textualism and rejection of legislative history and original intent remains dominant today on the Supreme Court and in the lower federal courts, and it is increasingly important in legal academic writing. Justice Scalia taught all of us that words matter and that it is the original public meaning of a text which is the law, and not the intentions of those who wrote it.

In championing formalism and textualism, Scalia built on Attorney General Ed Meese's emphasis on originalist history, and Judge Robert H. Bork's insistence on the rule of law as a constraint on judges. Each of these three great men revolutionized American constitutional law and the law of statutory interpretation in their own distinctive way.

But the job of harmonizing his own textualism with Meese's emphasis on history and Bork's emphasis on the rule of law for judges fell to Justice Scalia because he was the one of these three men who was on the Supreme Court from September 26, 1986, until his death on February 13, 2016. Scalia, through his sheer brilliance, the force of his personality, and the energy and passion that he poured into doing his job as a Supreme Court justice transformed American law.

U.S. Supreme Court opinions in 2026 are far more formalist, more textualist, more historical, and more conscious of the rule of law because of Justice Scalia. All nine of the current justices have been profoundly shaped by Scalia's legacy even if only two of the justices, Clarence Thomas and Neil Gorsuch, view themselves as always being bound by the original public meaning of texts. Justice Thomas, but not yet Justice Gorsuch, has said essentially that he never feels bound by precedent. Justice Scalia did follow longstanding precedents that were non-originalist, but which were deeply rooted in American history and tradition.

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Carrie Prejean Boller Refuses To Address Candace Owens's Anti-Semitic Comments

Owens: "Jewish people were in control of the slave trade." Boller declines to comment.

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The Atlantic interviewed Carrie Prejean Boller, the recently removed commissioner of the White House Religious Liberty Commission. (Boller insists that only President Trump can fire her, and not the Chairman; I'm sure she will sue.) Boller maintains that her Catholic faith is inconsistent with (how she perceives) Zionism, and that it is "anti-Christian" to accuse her of anti-semitism.

Yair Rosenberg, who wrote about the Volokh Conspiracy back in 2014, asked Boller to address blatantly anti-semitic comments from Candace Owens. I'll let the interview speak for itself:

As it happens, Owens has said many deranged things about Jews, plenty of which have nothing to do with Israel. So I was surprised to hear her so vigorously defended at a hearing ostensibly devoted to combatting anti-Jewish bigotry. I raised the subject with Boller, who regularly reposts content from Owens on social media, and I quoted several recent claims that the podcaster had made.

On February 2, for instance, Owens praised the decision of General Ulysses S. Grant to expel all Jews from his military district in 1862, during the Civil War. The move was soon reversed by President Abraham Lincoln, and Grant later disavowed it—but Owens did not. "Jewish supremacists," she said, "had everything to do with the Civil War in America. They excel at creating the false dialectic, the North versus the South, the left versus the right. Ulysses S. Grant notoriously expelled Jews from his military district: Tennessee, Mississippi, Kentucky. You think he just—he was just, like, what? Another white supremacist? Everyone's just a white supremacist," she said. "Well, they would have called him a white supremacist" or said that "he was anti-Semitic."

I read this monologue to Boller and asked her if she thought it was anti-Semitic to defend expelling American Jews. "I'm not going to get involved in any of that," she said. "I watched her show, and I have never heard anything out of her mouth that is anti-Semitic. So I'm not gonna make a statement on something that I haven't heard the full context of." I offered to play Boller the audio of this remark in its full context. She declined to listen. So I moved on to another of Owens's greatest hits: blaming American Jews for the African slave trade. This canard has been repeatedly debunked by historians and repeatedly invoked by Owens. "Jewish people were the ones that were trading us," she said in December. "Jewish people were in control of the slave trade. They've buried a lot of it, but it's there and you can find it."

Was this anti-Semitic? "From what I've heard from my ears, from her mouth, I have not heard anything that is anti-Semitic," Boller repeated. Okay, but if someone such as Owens did say such things, it would be anti-Semitic, right? "I'm not playing the 'What if?' game," she said, her previous moral clarity abruptly turning into cagey ambiguity.

I had hoped to ask Boller for her opinion about other claims made by Owens—that "Talmudic Jews" think "that we're animals, that they have a right to own us, that they have a right to make us worship them," and that Israel was complicit in the 9/11 attacks and the assassination of President John F. Kennedy—but she refused to engage and eventually ended the call. Rather than reckon with anti-Semitic statements from those she had defended at a hearing intended to confront anti-Semitism, she repeatedly attempted to reroute our conversation back to the safer ground of criticizing Israel. She either did not realize that she was using anti-Zionism as a pretext to launder vulgar anti-Semitism and its purveyors into the public square, or she did not care.

I think there is enough here for a fifteen minute video.

Anti-semitism is as anti-semitism does. Please do not believe the canard that the fixation on Israel is because of Zionism. The hatred of Jews predates Christianity. It has existed since before the beginning of recorded history. My Christian friends often ask me why have Jews always been persecuted in every civilization. I wish I had an answer. When I was about 10 years old, I asked my Uncle, a Holocaust survivor, that question. He did not have a good answer, though he suggested that it took something like the Holocaust for the Jewish people to return to the land of Israel, and fulfill the biblical covenant. For a very brief moment, the world saw with clarity the need for a Jewish home state in Israel. That moment was far too brief.

More Christians need to speak up to prevent Boller and others like her from hijacking their faiths. I appreciate the support from Kelly Shackelford of First Liberty and Bill Donohue of the Catholic League:

Kelly Shackelford, who is president, CEO and Chief Counsel for First Liberty Institute and a member of the Commission, said Ms. Prejean Boller's "attempt to hijack the Commission meeting … was intended to promote an antisemitic agenda, and that was disgusting."

"First Liberty Institute proudly represents synagogues and other Jewish clients, and we will continue to represent their cause as a core part of our mission to defend all people of faith in America," he said.

Ms. Prejean Boller defended her actions on Tuesday, saying on social media that the commission was threatening to remove her over her Catholic faith, which she had converted to in April.

"Can you even imagine this? A Religious Liberty Commission prepared to fire a commissioner for her Catholic faith?" she wrote. "If that happens, it proves their mission was never religious liberty, but a Zionist agenda. I refuse to resign."

Bill Donohue, president of the Catholic League, crowed in a statement Wednesday that the dismissal came just minutes after he called for it.

"At 9:57 a.m. I called for the ouster of Carrie Prejean Boller from President Trump's Religious Liberty Commission. I just learned that the Commission chairman, Dan Patrick, gave her the boot at 10:03 a.m. Kudos to him," he said.

This issue is not going away.

Staten Island Goes To SCOTUS

The New York nomination process begins on February 24, and the maps have still not been settled.

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In 2010, the Daily Show had a segment on how there were Supreme Court Justices from four of the five boroughs of New York City: Justice Scalia was from Queens, Justice Ginsburg was from Brooklyn, Justice Sotomayor was from the Bronx, and Justice Kagan was from Manhattan. But as Jon Stewart pointed out, there was no Justice from my home borough of Staten Island. I quipped at the time I was available, but I suppose I was delusional even back then.

If SCOTUS won't go to Staten Island, then Staten Island should go to SCOTUS. And so it has come to pass. I have blogged twice about a case that would splice the boundaries of Staten Island's congressional district. Since then, the New York Appellate Division has declined to impose a stay, and the New York Court of Appeals (the highest court in New York) found it lacked jurisdiction. Nicole Maliotakis, the Representative from New York has filed an emergency petition in the Supreme Court.

Here is the summary of the argument:

Congresswoman Nicole Malliotakis and the Individual Voter Applicants (collectively, "Applicants") request a stay of the order of the Supreme Court of the State of New York enjoining state officials from conducting any election under the State's congressional map. The trial court's order has thrown New York's elections into chaos on the eve of the 2026 Congressional Election, which is set to begin on February 24, 2026. Applicants respectfully request emergency relief from this Court by February 23, 2026, so that the election can begin on February 24, under the legislatively adopted congressional map. Applicants presented this stay request to both the New York Appellate Division and Court of Appeals, asking for relief by February 10 so Applicants could give this Court a reasonable opportunity to grant them relief before February 24, if necessary. The New York Court of Appeals yesterday determined it lacks jurisdiction to give relief, and the Appellate Division has not yet acted. Petitioners are keenly aware of how seriously this Court takes the principle that "courts should ordinarily not alter the election rules on the eve of an election," Abbott v. League of United Latin Am. Citizens, 146 S. Ct. 418, 419 (2025) (citation omitted), so they come to this Court before there is any suggestion that the election has begun, which is scheduled to occur on February 24. . . .

This Court is likely to reverse the trial court's order if it were upheld by the New York appellate courts on any of three grounds. First, the decision clearly violates this Court's Equal Protection Clause case law by prohibiting New York from running any congressional elections until it racially gerrymanders CD11 by "adding [enough] Black and Latino voters from elsewhere," until the Black and Latino voters in CD11 control contested primaries and win most general elections. Although Applicants repeatedly told the trial court that racially reconfiguring CD11 would violate this Court's binding strict-scrutiny framework, the trial court ignored this argument. This Court summarily reversed in less egregious circumstances in Wisconsin Legislature v. Wisconsin Elections Commission, 595 U.S. 398 (2002) (per curiam). Second, the trial court's decision violated due process and related party-presentation principles by deciding the case based upon a theory that no party briefed, and that the Williams Respondents did not even present evidence to satisfy. Those are more extreme circumstances than those at issue in this Court's recent summary reversal in Clark v. Sweeney, 607 U.S. 7 (2025) (per curiam). Finally, the trial court violated the Elections Clause under Moore v. Harper, 600 U.S. 1 (2023), by adopting an unbriefed, atextual test to invalidate a legislatively-adopted congressional map.

The timing here supports Malliotakis's application. The nomination process begins on February 24. The lesson from Texas and Cailfornia is not to change maps on the eve of the election. This isn't quite Purcell, but as I noted, the midterm primary date is the relevant deadline.

All equitable considerations call out for an immediate stay. Under New York law, the 2026 Congressional Election begins on February 24, 2026, when nominating petitions can start circulating. Congresswoman Malliotakis and her individual voter supporters who make up the Applicants have a right to begin their election activity for this federal office on that date. Yet, under the trial court's order, the New York Board of Elections cannot take any steps to hold the election under the New York congressional map, unless and until CD11 is racial gerrymandered. At the same time, the trial court's remedial mechanism—requiring New York's Independent Redistricting Commission ("IRC") to racially gerrymander CD11—is automatically stayed by operation of state law. That is a recipe for unconstitutional chaos, with no map in place and uncertainty as to whether nominating petitions can start circulating on February 24, with no end in sight. Applicants and the People of New York have the right to conduct their congressional elections under the lawful map that the New York Legislature adopted starting on February 24, free from a judicial mandate that violates multiple provisions of the United States Constitution. While Applicants had hoped—and still hope—that the New York appellate courts put an end to this unconstitutional mischief, they come to this Court now, so that this Court can provide relief before February 24, if the New York appellate courts do not do so.

I think is it relevant that the New York Court of Appeals dragged their feet after the Supreme Court's GVR in Roman Catholic Diocese of Albany, as well as the Yeshiva University case. This track record does not inspire much confidence that the New York Court system will figure everything out in a few weeks.

The parties did not ask for an administrative stay, so the only thing for Circuit Justice Sotomayor to do is refer the matter to the Court.

Immigration

Lessons of the End of Trump's ICE "Surge" in Minnesota

A combination of legal action and political resistance helped deal Trump a defeat.

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Tom Homan
"Border czar" Tom Homan. (Holden Smith/ZUMAPRESS/Newscom)

 

Earlier today, Trump "border czar" Tom Homan announced that Operation Metro Surge - the massive deployment of some 3000 federal immigration enforcement officers to Minnesota - is about to end. Significantly, it is ending earlier than most expected, and without having achieved the stated goal of forcing Minnesota state and local governments to end their "sanctuary" policies restricting cooperation with federal immigration enforcement.

It seems likely that Trump gave up because the policy met with extensive resistance and has become highly unpopular. His public opinion approval ratings on immigration policy have plummeted. That setback for the administration occurred in large part because of a combination of legal and political resistance.

Courts ruled against the administration on some of its more blatantly illegal detentions, such as those targeting refugees. Federal Judge Katherine Menendez refused to grant a preliminary injunction in a Tenth Amendment suit filed by state and local governments, but made clear that the plaintiffs might well ultimately prevail. Meanwhile, a massive political mobilization helped draw attention to the administration's cruel, abusive, and illegal tactics, increasing public revulsion and opposition.

In a May 2025 article for The UnPopulist, I argued that effective resistance to Trump's many unjust and unconstitutional power grabs requires a combination of litigation and political action, exploiting synergies between the two. Litigation can help block unconstituitional policies, and highlight abuses. That can help stimulate public opposition and mobilization, which can in turn pave the way for more victories in court, as judges will often feel more able to rule against the administration if they believe they will have the backing of public and elite opinion. Judicial victories can then stimulate additional political mobilization, and so on. As noted in my particle, historical examples ranging from the Civil Rights Movement to struggles for constitutional property rights indicate this dynamic can be very effective.

Something like this dynamic seems to been at work in Minnesota. Abuses highlighted by court cases helped stimulate public opposition, and judges may be more willing to rule against abuses, given widespread public support. In particular, litigation likely helped more people realize that Trump's detention deportation efforts were not targeting criminals and the "worst of the worst," but instead primarily going after people who were living and working peacefully, contributing to their communities - including even many who were in the country legally, such as numerous refugees and asylum seekers. The ultimately successful litigation over the heartrending case of 5-year-old Liam Ramos and his family (who had an asylum application pending), was particularly notable in driving these points home.

These dynamics obviously not the only factors in the setback for Trump. But they helped. The shooting of two US citizens by federal agents were also significant.  But the trend towards declining support for Trump's immigration agenda began well before that, with his approval rating on the issue beginning to slip by April of last year. Going forward, advocates for migrant rights and other related causes would do well to learn from the Minnesota experience, and from other examples compiled in my UnPopulist article.

Obviously, the setback for Trump here is unlikely to completely end this administration's often cruel and illegal immigration policies. Nor has it reversed all the massive harm done by Operation Metro Surge. As Judge Menendez noted in her ruling, "Operation Metro Surge has had…. profound and even heartbreaking, consequences on the State of Minnesota, the Twin Cities, and Minnesotans," including the killing of two citizens by federal agents, large-scale "racial profiling, excessive use of force, and other harmful actions," and  "negative impacts…. in almost every arena of daily life." There also has been no accountability for the federal officials responsible for these outrages.

But the dual strategy of litigation and political action has at least mitigated the damage. And it can be used again in at least some situations going forward.

As noted in my UnPopulist article, this kind of strategy does have noteworthy limitations:

It is particularly important to recognize the limits of public attention and knowledge. Survey data shows most voters pay little attention to politics, and often don't know even basic information about government and public policy—including judicial decisions. This makes it hard to attract public attention to more than a few legal battles at any given time. That dynamic limits the number of situations where advocates can count on judicial decisions, even important ones with sympathetic facts, moving public opinion….

Some complex legal issues, moreover, are difficult or impossible to present to the public in a way that enables people to grasp their significance. That doesn't mean litigation in such cases is a bad idea. But it does mean it cannot rely on a boost from mobilizing public opinion.

In addition, while litigation efforts promoting popular results can help mobilize public opinion in support of a cause, litigation promoting unpopular ones can have the opposite effect….

Despite these constraints, utilizing synergies between litigation and political action can often be an effective strategy for curbing abuses of government power and strengthening constitutional protections. Minnesota is a notable additional case in point. We would do well to learn from it, as there are likely to be more opportunities to make use of the lesson.

UPDATE: I have made minor additions to this post.

Free Speech

Judge Preliminarily Blocks Military Disciplinary Measures Against Senator (and Retired Navy Captain) Mark Kelly

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An excerpt from Judge Richard Leon's long (and exclamation-point-filled) opinion today in Kelly v. Hegseth (D.D.C.):

United States Senator Mark Kelly, a retired naval officer, has been censured by Secretary of Defense Pete Hegseth for voicing certain opinions on military actions and policy. In addition, he has been subjected to proceedings to possibly reduce his retirement rank and pay and threatened with criminal prosecution if he continues to speak out on these issues. Secretary Hegseth relies on the well-established doctrine that military servicemembers enjoy less vigorous First Amendment protections given the fundamental obligation for obedience and discipline in the armed forces. Unfortunately for Secretary Hegseth, no court has ever extended those principles to retired servicemembers, much less a retired servicemember serving in Congress and exercising oversight responsibility over the military. This Court will not be the first to do so! …

Defendants boldly argue that Senator Kelly's speech was unprotected [by the First Amendment], citing to a line of precedent establishing that First Amendment protections are more limited in the military context. See, e.g., Parker v. Levy (1974)…. Defendants rest their entire First Amendment defense on the argument that the more limited First Amendment protection for active-duty members of the military extends to a retired naval captain.

To be sure, while soldiers "are not excluded from" the First Amendment's coverage, "the different character of the military community and of the military mission requires a different application of those protections." From Parker onward, the Supreme Court has recognized that "[t]he fundamental necessity for obedience, and the consequent necessity for imposition of discipline, may render permissible within the military that which would be constitutionally impermissible outside it." Therefore, given the countervailing interests at stake in the line of duty, "speech by a member of the military that undermines the chain of command, and the obedience, order, and discipline it is designed to ensure, does not receive First Amendment protection."

However, the cases in this area uniformly involve active-duty servicemembers or speech on military bases. While retired servicemembers have an "ongoing duty to obey military orders" and may be recalled to active duty, Defendants have not identified a single case extending Parker's reasoning outside the context of active-duty soldiers.

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AI in Court

Fifth Circuit Comments on District Judge's Discussion of Using AI in Judicial Decisionmaking

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From La Union del Pueblo Entero v. Abbott, decided today by Judge Edith Jones, joined by Judge Kurt Engelhardt and District Judge Robert Summerhays (W.D. La.):

The district court gave an interview to the Wall Street Journal explaining how he had used artificial intelligence as an adjunct to his work on some aspects of a case "involving Texas[ ] election law." Whether it was this case is uncertain. However, as one distinguished U.S. Senator [Grassley] has commented, AI "must not be a substitute for legal judgment," nor must the public perceive that federal judges outsource our judgment to AI tools.

Thanks to Michael Smith (Smith Appellate Law Firm) for the pointer.

My Debut in The UnPopulist

What the collapses of two communist regimes teach us about the rule of law in the United States

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I published my first piece in The Unpopulist yesterday, and it is accessible here.

In it I argue that the contrast between Czechoslovakia's peaceful Velvet Revolution and Romania's violent regime change offers vital lessons for Americans today about the importance of actively defending legal institutions and norms against authoritarian threats. Enjoy!

Rumblings About Callais

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The Supreme Court heard oral argument in Louisiana v. Callais back on October 15. At the time, there was a broad consensus the Court would severely weaken, if not gut Section 2 of the Voting Rights Act. The only question was when the Court would rule. Depending on how quickly the opinion came out, the Louisiana legislature might be able to hold a special session to redistrict for the midterm.

Fast forward four months to the present, and there is no opinion in Callas. Indeed, the Court also hasn't decided the tariffs case, Slaughter, or anything else of substance yet.

Today, Rick Hasen has a post on the Election Law Blog, titled "A Justice Alito-Authored Majority Opinion in Callais Effectively Killing Off the Voting Rights Act Might Not Get 5 Votes; What Choices Do the Court's Conservatives Have?"

Rick explains that he has "now gone back and read Allen v. Milligan, and in particular Justice Alito's dissent." Rick thinks Justice Alito would write an opinion that "would doom most, if not all, Section 2 cases in the redistricting context." That was certainly how I read the oral argument four months ago. I didn't need to re-read a 2023 case to reach that conclusion.

Then Rick offers some fairly specific speculation about how Justice Alito might not get five votes for that sort of majority opinion.

I could easily see Justice Alito writing an opinion like this. The question is whether he could get a majority to endorse it. Here, counting noses, I'm not sure. This part of the opinion was joined only by Justice Gorsuch, not by Justice Thomas, who has taken the view that these cases should not be nonjusticiable, and not by Justice Barrett, who joined the other parts of Justice Thomas's dissent (but not Alito's) that sees Section 2 as unconstitutional if it means what the majority said it meant. Even if Thomas and Barrett signed on, could they get Roberts or Kavanaugh? That's not clear. The majority opinion written by Roberts, discussing what Alito wrote, says: "JUSTICE ALITO argues that "[t]he Gingles framework should be [re]interpreted" in light of changing methods in statutory interpretation. Post, at 10 (dissenting opinion). But as we have explained, Gingles effectuates the delicate legislative bargain that §2 embodies. And statutory stare decisis counsels strongly in favor of not "undo[ing] . . . the compromise that was reached between the House and Senate when §2 was amended in 1982." Brnovich, 594 U. S., at _ (slip op., at 22)." Kavanaugh in his separate opinion seemed to agree: "I agree with the Court that Alabama's redistricting plan violates §2 of the Voting Rights Act as interpreted in Thornburg v. Gingles, 478 U. S. 30 (1986)."

I don't disagree with anything Rick wrote here. But all of this prognostication could have been made four months ago. The usual workflow is that people write about a case before it is argued, write about a case immediately after it is argued (before the conference), and then let the matter sit until the case is decided. That is, unless something prompts people to write about a pending case.

My ears perk up when people speculate about how a Supreme Court opinion is developing long after oral argument. Back in 2012, there were leaks from the Obamacare litigation. People on both sides of the case tried to sway the Justices one way or the other, as Chief Justice Roberts changed his vote. About a month after Bostock was argued, I wrote a post about a potential leak suggesting that Justice Gorsuch was going to vote with Justice Kagan. Shortly before Politico published the leaked opinion from Dobbs, I speculated that there was leak that the Chief Justice was trying to flip votes. And despite Chief Justice Roberts's NDA, leaks from the Count continue.

I'm not ready to speculate there was a leak in Callais, yet. Rick's post may just be an attempt to grapple with the fact that we still don't have a decision yet. It is certainly likely that a fractured majority opinion will take more time. But if there is another article, in close proximity, about the Justices' inability to form a five member bloc, I'll update my speculation.

Finally, Rick closes with this admonition:

It's possible that one or both of these Justices would throw out Gingles, perhaps citing constitutional avoidance. But it's just as likely given Kavanaugh's concurrence that he would vote to hold Section 2 unconstitutional.

That might make a majority in theory to overturn Section 2 as unconstitutional, but the Court would take a big political hit in an election year. Not sure that Kavanaugh and Alito would want to hurt the Republican Party further in the midterms.

I still believe that the Justices are trying to get the law right, and not trying to help one political party over the other. But we have seen this charge so many times. We heard it while the Affordable Care Act case was pending, while King v. Burwell was pending, while Dobbs was pending, while Trump v. United States was pending, and so on. We are always one year away from a general or midterm election. Is it the case that conservative judges can only do conservative things in odd-numbered years? If the conservatives on the Court wanted to help the Republican party in perpetuity, they would follow Justice Alito's lead. I am not at all convinced that any districts will be swayed in the slightest based on what the Supreme Court does here. Indeed, that is the point of partisan gerrymandering. If Section 2 is gone, swing districts that could be swayed by a Supreme Court decision will fade away. We should not be blind to the asymmetry that the Voting Rights Act helps only one side of the aisle.

Update: Rick replies that I am delusional.

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