The Volokh Conspiracy

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The Volokh Conspiracy

Israel

Compendium of Writings on the October 7 War and Related Issues

Over the last three years, I have written a number of pieces on October 7, its aftermath, and Western reactions to it.

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Today is the third anniversary of the horrific October 7, 2023 Hamas terrorist attack on Israel. Despite various ceasefires and the release of the remaining hostages, the resulting war has never wholly ceased. Fighting between Israel, Hamas, and Hezbollah continues to varying degrees. And now we have the distinct but nonetheless interconnected Iran War. I wish there was something I could say to ease the continuing pain of the victims of the attack and their families. But that task is far beyond my very limited  eloquence.

Still, over the past three years I have written pieces on various aspects of the conflict and the reaction to it in the West, that may be of interest. This post is a compilation of them. I have included links to pieces about the Iran War, because that conflict is connected in various ways to October 7, even if also distinct.

I hold a somewhat unusual combination of views on the conflict, one likely to annoy some on both the right and left, and both critics and supporters of Israel. I am no great fan of the present Israeli government, or of the ideology of Zionism (the latter because of my general opposition to ethno-nationalism). Yet I nonetheless believe Israel has every right to seek the elimination of Hamas and deal a decisive defeat to its other adversaries, as well. I agree with many, though certainly not all of the points, made in this recent interview by Israeli opposition leader Gadi Eisenkot, both in his support of Israel's right to defend itself, and in his condemnation of the present Israeli government (including its treatment of West Bank Palestinians). For all its serious flaws from the standpoint of liberal values, Israel is incomparably superior to its enemies.

A small anecdote can help illustrate the point. I have visited Israel several times, and even been a visiting professor there. One of my acquaintances there is Arab Israeli legal academic Mohammed Wattad; since we first met in 2016, he has become the president of one of the country's major universities.

Can you imagine a Jew leading any major institution under the rule of Hamas, Hezbollah, Iran, or even the Palestinian Authority? The question answers itself. Indeed, a Jew probably could not even remain alive for long under most of these regimes. Hamas and Hezbollah are severely repressive even towards Arab Muslims who dare dissent from the rulers' quasi-medieval theocracy. Iran, of course, represses Muslim dissenters, as well, as we saw earlier this year, when the regime slaughtered thousands of protestors.

As Wattad will likely remind me next time we talk, Arabs face considerable discrimination in Israel. That is wrong, and deserves condemnation. But the rule of Hamas, Hezbollah and the PA is vastly worse. Arabs under Israeli rule not only have more rights than ethnic and religious minorities under the control of Israel's enemies; they even have more rights than do Arab (or Iranian) Muslims under the latter regimes. Things are worse for West Bank Palestinians than Arab Israelis, on which see my recent post here. But even they are unlikely to be better off with a Hamas victory that would put them under the rule of a brutal theocratic dictatorship.

In any conflict, I prefer the victory of the side that better approximates liberal democratic values - at least in situations where there is a meaningful difference between the two. In this case, there is no question that side is Israel, even as we should also recognize Israel's very real flaws.

Without further ado, here are links to my writings on the post-October 7 conflict and related issues. For convenience, I have put them in chronological order, and divided them into one section on the war itself, one on the related Iran War, and one on the Western reaction, including resulting protest movements. Except where otherwise noted, all of these writings are posts published here on the Volokh Conspiracy blog:

Writings on the War and Related Issues

"Those Who Support Israel Against Hamas Should also Back Ukraine Against Russia," Oct. 12, 2023. There are many parallels between the two conflicts. The post is primarily directed at right-wingers who back Israel, but not Ukraine. But most of the points it makes apply equally to leftists who hold the exact opposite combination of views. That latter group has become more significant since I wrote this post.

"Hamas Attack Should Teach Us the Folly of Hostage Deals with Terrorists,"Oct. 17, 2023. This may be one of my most unpopular takes. It may seem like only a cruel and heartless person could possibly oppose deals that release hostages. But, as I point out in the piece, such deals incentivize further terrorism and hostage taking. The October 7 attack itself was masterminded by Yahya Sinwar, a Hamas leader released in the 2011 Shalit deal, in which the Israelis released some 1200 terrorists in exchange for one soldier captured by Hamas. I was one of the few critics of the Shalit deal at the time it happened. Things turned out much worse than even I expected.

"The Moral and Strategic Case for Opening Doors to Gaza Refugees," Oct. 24, 2023. Granting refuge to Palestinian civilians who wish to flee the war and Hamas's repressive rule is both a moral imperative, and a way to make it easier for Israel to crush Hamas. For somewhat different reasons, this view is fiercely opposed by a combination of Western right-wingers, far leftists, and supporters of Palestinian nationalism. This combination of opponents actually increases my confidence that it is right. Interestingly, this is an issue where I find myself largely in agreement with my much more conservative colleague and co-blogger Eugene Kontorovich.

"Biden is Right to Grant Temporary Refuge to Palestinian Migrants Already in US, but Should go Further," Feb. 15, 2024. Trump's policies on this are very different. But Biden was right, and Trump is wrong.

"Why I Don't Buy the Idea that You Can't Kill an Idea," Feb. 24, 2024. It's often said you can't defeat movements like Hamas and Hezbollah by military means, because "you can't kill an idea." This post explains why that ubiquitous claim is wrong. Though I also emphasize that doesn't mean the Israelis should rely on force alone, or that they need not observe any moral constraints on their military measures.

"Another Terrible Hostage Deal," Jan. 19, 2025. The January 2025 hostage exchange deal shows Israel and the US failed to fully learn the lessons of previous terrible hostage deals with terrorists. I would add that the later deal that released the remaining living hostages has similar flaws.

"Reflections on a Visit to Israel," Dec. 30, 2025. Reflections on my time as a visiting professor in Israel in December 2025, including issues related to the war, and Israeli views on it.

"Israeli Settler "Terrorists" Unjustly Expel West Bank Palestinians From Their Land," Aug. 15, 2026. Violent Israeli settlers have been using force to push West Bank Palestinians off their land. In this post I go over this issue, and condemn the violent settlers, and the Israeli government's failure to meaningfully constrain them. On this point, my views are actually pretty similar to Gadi Eisenkot's, noted above. I hope he and his allies defeat Netanyahu and his in the upcoming Israeli election, and crack down on this violence.

Writings on the (Related) Iran War

"Trump's Unauthorized Strikes on Iran Take America's Imperial Presidency to New Heights," UnPopulist, Mar. 1, 2026. My initial explanation of why Trump's Iran war is unconstitutional.

"Why Donald Trump's Iran War is Unconstitutional," The Dispatch, Mar. 5, 2026. More detailed explanation of why the Iran War is unconstitutional. In this article, I also warn about the harmful practical consequences of initiating war in this way; doing so exacerbates the risk of defeat. Those concerns have, I think, been vindicated by later events.

"Trump's Iran War Continues to Violate the Constitution - and Now Also the War Powers Act of 1973," May 1, 2026. Why the Iran War violates the War Powers Act of 1973, as well as the Constitution.

"An Unconstitutional War Results in a Bad Deal," June 14, 2026. Trump's unconstitutional war resulted in a badly flawed ceasefire agreement with Iran. The flaws in the agreement are directly related to Trump's flouting of the Constitution. The agreement has since been periodically breached, at various times. But there is still no evidence that Trump has any good plan for achieving a positive outcome to the war that is any better than the prewar status quo.

Writings on Western Reactions to the War and Protest Movements

"Some Cancellations are Justified," Oct. 15, 2023. Why employers and others are often justified in refusing to hire people who express support for Hamas terrorism. As noted in the post, this is not a new position adopted in response to controversies arising from the October 7 war. It builds on arguments I advanced years before.

"Far-Left Support for Hamas is not an Aberration,"Oct. 30, 2023. Western far-leftists have a long history of supporting repression and mass murder. Thus, we should not be surprised that many of them now support Hamas. As noted in the post, "far left" is not a pejorative term for anyone to the left of me. As used here, it has a far more specific and narrower meaning.

"Student Movements Are Often Wrong," April 26, 2024. The idea that causes espoused by student-led movements are always or almost always right is a myth. Today's student anti-Israel movement is just the most recent of many counterexamples. Obviously, movements led by older people are often misguided, as well.

"Campus Anti-Israel Protests and the Ethics of Civil Disobedience," June 5, 2024. Violence and other lawbreaking perpetrated by many campus anti-Israel protesters can't be justified by theories of civil disobedience.

"Nationalism Is Driving the Neo Right's Virulent Antisemitic Turn," UnPopulist, Dec. 9, 2025. The growth of right-wing nationalist anti-Semitism is only secondarily about Israel. Nonetheless, adherents of this ideology tend to take similar views on the Israeli-Palestinian conflict to those of the anti-Israel far left, discussed in my 2023 post on that subject, linked above.

Free Speech

Alabama Public University Professors Must Now Call Gulf of Mexico "Gulf of America" (Except When Speaking on "Historical" Questions)

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From HB2, which was enacted last month:

Beginning October 1, 2026, all state and local entities and their employees shall be required to do all of the following:

(1) Refer to the body of water that borders the coast of Alabama as the "Gulf of America."

(2) Reflect the "Gulf of America" terminology in all newly created maps, documents, educational materials, websites, official communications, and other resources.

(3) a. Make reasonable efforts to update all pre-existing resources owned by state and local entities, including, but not limited to, official state maps, documents, educational materials, websites, and communications under their jurisdiction to reflect the name change, where practicable.

b. The requirements of paragraph a. shall not apply if compliance would impose an operational or financial burden on the state or local entity and their employees.

Nothing in this section shall prohibit a public K-12 school or public institution of higher education from using the term "Gulf of Mexico" within a larger course of academic instruction when reasonable for historical purposes.

A few thoughts:

[1.] If the statute is interpreted as applying to all speech by employees, or even all speech by employees while at work, including informal conversations with colleagues, it will likely be unconstitutional. Government employees have a First Amendment right to refer to geographical locations however they please in talking to colleagues, unless the reference damages the efficiency of the workplace. It's highly unlikely that a typical conversation in which someone says "Gulf of Mexico" will be viewed as sufficiently harmful to workplace efficiency.

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New in SCOTUSBlog: What Has Changed In 14th Amendment Cases Over The Past Two Decades?

"That status quo would soon be turned upside down, as the next two decades brought a revolution to each facet of 14th Amendment law."

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Randy Barnett and I continue to discuss shifts in our constitutional law casebook over the past two decades. This installment focuses on changes to the 14th Amendment. It is titled, A textbook 14th Amendment revolution. (I love the headline, for which all credit goes to editor Zach Shemtob.)

Here is an excerpt:

With the ascent of the Roberts court, the fifth edition reports a sea change in equal protection clause doctrine. On affirmative action, Bakke remains the seminal case as the court's first foray into the matter, but Grutter, Gratz, and the Fisher pair are gone (along with Justices Sandra Day O'Connor and Kennedy). Instead, Students for Fair Admissions v. President and Fellows of Harvard College is now the court's decisive precedent. The Supreme Court there ruled that schools can use race only in extremely narrow contexts, such as to demonstrate how a person's race presented hardships that they overcame. (Although there is some evidence that institutions continue to test the boundaries of the ruling).

With sex discrimination, we added two new cases concerning transgender rights. United States v. Skrmetti upheld a state prohibition on certain sex-related medical procedures for minors. West Virginia v. B.P.J. ruled that states can exclude "biological[ly] males athletes who identify as female" from participating in women's sports. The laws at issue in these cases would have been unthinkable in 2008, but societal movements changed quickly.

….

The fifth edition, however, would witness a revolution in substantive due process, and in how it is taught. Dobbs v. Jackson Women's Health Organization overruled Roe v. Wade, holding that the due process clause of the 14th Amendment does not protect a right to abortion. But we decided it was not enough to simply add Dobbs as the final case. We trimmed down Griswold v. Connecticut and, for the first time, added Eisenstadt v. Baird, which ruled that unmarried couples also had a right to contraception. Once that right had been established, the marital relations rationale for it quickly dropped away, like a booster rocket that takes a satellite into orbit falls into the sea having done its job.

These older substantive due process cases, once foundational, are nonetheless now vestiges. This is certainly true of abortion, but Kennedy's landmark cases here may also end up withering away. The Obergefell dissents may then prove the most relevant, as a possible signpost for the future. Neither of us could have fathomed in 2008 how this chapter would evolve over 18 years.

Our next installment will focus on the Religion Clauses and the Second Amendment.

Samuel Alito

Justice Alito Gives a Fuller Explanation of His Suncor Recusal

One of several worthwhile tidbits in Justice Alito's Wall Street Journal interview.

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The latest edition of the Wall Street Journal's Potomac Watch podcast is an interview with Justice Samuel Alito (who, if you have not noticed, has a new book to promote).

There are quite a few interesting tidbits in the interview, and it covers some ground not included in Jan Crawford's CBS News interview (and vice versa).

One part of the interview of particular interest to me was Justice Alito's discussion of how he came to recuse in Suncor Energy v. Boulder County. It seems to suggest that the claims made by the petitioners (and their allies) about the potentially catastrophic effects on the oil and gas industry of an adverse ruling in Suncor may have convinced Justice Alito that he needed to recuse, even though he does not own stock in any of the companies that are part of the case. I think such claims are overstated, but they have resulted there being one less justice sitting who is inclined toward preemption arguments of the sort in play here.

From the YouTube transcript (cleaned up only a wee bit):

Well, I I don't think it's something that should be done routinely, and I could go into that, but I'll I'll skip over that. But there are instances where I think it's appropriate and wise for a justice to explainwhy the justice is not recusing in a case and I have done that on a number of prior occasions.

Determining whether to recuse is a very serious responsibility. We have an obligation to sit unless we are disqualified because unlike a court of appeals where the recusal of a judge doesn't change the number of jurists who were sitting on the matter, here it does and it's unfortunate . . .

Now why did I do it in the Suncor case? There are two provisions of our code of conduct--which I support and actually helped to draft--that apply in the situation where the recusal question involves a justice's ownership of stock. The first question that has to be asked is does the justice own or the justice's spouse own stock in a party to the case? Does the justice have an interest in the outcome of this particular case? And the answer to that question in the Suncor case was no. We do not own any stock in any party or affiliate of any party in the case.

Usually that's the end of the matter in cases involving stock ownership. However, there is a second question and that is whether the the justice's financial interest might be
substantially affected by the outcome of the case. Usually when it is, as I said, when it involves the ownership of stock, that's a pretty easy question to say to answer no because it's very very rare for one of our decisions to have an effect on the price of publicly traded stock. And that's why I did not recuse when we decided to take the case.

However, as the date of the argument approaches and I immersed myself in the arguments that were were being made on both sides, I thought through the question again. The question is what would a reasonable person aware of all the relevant circumstances think? And ultimately I came to the conclusion that a reasonable person
aware of the fact that my wife and I have a substantial investment in some companies in the oil and gas field.

And this is a case in which the the petitioner and the petitioners' amici are arguing that a decision against them would start a snowball rolling down a hill which could ultimately lead to devastating consequences for the oil and gas industry. That under those circumstances, the particular circumstances here, the arguments that were being made, I should recuse. I did it reluctantly, but I thought that was what I ought to do under those particular circumstances.

One consequence of Justice Alito's recusal is that the Court could split 4-4 on one more more of the issues in the case. If so, the petitioners could well come to regret Alito's recusal. Note further that insofar as Justice Alito concluded he needed to recuse in this case, the same rationale would apply in any subsequent case raising the same issues, so long as the Alito stock holdings remain unchanged. So a 4-4 split here could mean the Court is split 4-4 on these issues for the foreseeable future.

For what it's worth, the fact that a 4-4 split would generate a stalemate that could not soon be resolved--and that climate tort litigation would continue unabated so long as the 4-4 split persists--suggests to me that at least some of those justices inclined toward finding preemption will (if faced with the prospect of a 4-4 split) seek a compromise, whereby Boulder County's suit would be narrowed, but not preempted. Of course, should either side command five votes at conference, there would be less need for such a compromise.

Video of the Alito interview is below.

For more on Suncor, here are (some of) my posts on the subject (with more to come):

After More Than Three Years, Judge Newman's Case Is Transferred To The Eleventh Circuit

The case was only transferred after Chief Judge Moore extended Newman's suspension for another year.

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Today the Chief Judge of the Eleventh Judicial Circuit released this order:

On March 24, 2023, the Chief Judge of the United States Court of Appeals for the Federal Circuit identified Complaint No. FC-23-90015 against United States Circuit Judge Pauline Newman under the Judicial Conduct and Disability Act of 1980, 28 U.S.C. §§ 351–364, and the Rules for Judicial-Conduct and Judicial-Disability Proceedings of the Judicial Conference of the United States. On August 19, 2026, the Chief Justice of the United States transferred Complaint No. FC-23-90015 and any pending or new complaints relating to the same subject matter to the Eleventh Circuit Judicial Council, where it was assigned Complaint No. 11-26-90237.

Let's review the timeline.

On June 15, 2026, the Supreme Court denied cert in Newman v. Moore. And the period for reconsideration finished 25 days later on July 10. [Update: I incorrectly noted the Federal Circuit's decision was from July 2026 rather than July 2025. I removed that reference.] Then on On August 19, the Chief Justice transferred the case to the Eleventh Circuit. It isn't clear if Judge Moore asked the Chief Justice to reassign the case  or if the Chief Justice simply pulled rank and took the case away from Moore. I lean towards the latter option. If so, kudos to the Chief for taking control. Better late than never, I suppose? But why now? Perhaps the Chief Justice was waiting for all pending litigation to conclude before taking the case away from Chief Judge Moore?

After nearly three years of Chief Judge Moore waiting for Judge Newman to die, the case might actually find a favorable forum in Atlanta. May Judge Newman return to the bench as soon as possible.

Indeed, there is a parallel between Chief Judge Moore and Judge Southwick. Both judges care very much about who sits on their court and they seek to use their own judicial power to control who sits on the court. The judicial ethics mavens apparently see nothing wrong with either of their conduct, but I do. And for what it's worth, Judge Newman could have hand-picked her successor a long time ago, but has made the moral choice to serve until she can serve no longer.

Lurching Through The Audition Trap

Do we rewards judges who audition or who refuse to audition?

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Recently, Judge Ho of the Fifth Circuit issued a concurrence that cited my post, The Audition Trap. The allegations in this case were problematic. The defendant's counsel told the magistrate judge that he had connections to a Texas Senator and other members of government. The counsel warned that he was "consider[ing] asking my Texas friends to write to you and ask why I have to continue waiting" for the resolution of a motion. The magistrate judge, who was seeking a federal district court appointment, agreed to an ex parte hearing with the lawyer.

Judge Ho observed:

Any judge who abuses his office to promote his own interests—including the desire for future appointment—has violated the judicial oath and doesn't belong in his current post, let alone whatever new post he seeks. There are, to be sure, both honorable and dishonorable people on the bench—just as there are in every other segment of life. Just as there are no doubt those on the bench who have strong ambitions for future office, there are others who are happy to be public servants, but who would be just as happy earning their living by some other means. For the outside observer, however, it can be difficult to discern which is which. And therein lies the quandary for the dutiful judge. How should a good judge respond when it's suggested that his exercise of judicial authority might be tainted by his private, personal desire for elevation to another post? . . .

Professor Blackman's point is simple, but important. No one has the power to look into another man's heart and ascertain his actual motivations or ambitions. So the accusation of auditioning is indeed irrefutable. Certain actions may seem like auditioning to some, but to others, it's simply doing the job as the judge best sees fit. There's no solution. So the good judge simply accepts that criticism is a fact of life—and that unrebuttable charges come with the job. The First Amendment guarantees the right of every citizen to criticize public officials—whether the criticism is fair or unfair.

Judge Ho and I are often accused of auditioning. And there's no way to disprove the accusation. Who can look into our hearts to know our true motivations? But as I often remind people, if we are auditioning, we are doing so very poorly. The way to get ahead in the world is to keep your head down, make powerful friends, and avoid doing anything that could prove controversial. Look no further than Todd Butler's nomination to the Fifth Circuit. Fight to overrule Roe v. Wade and you are stuck on the sidelines. Defend municipalities who violate the First Amendment rights of street preachers and you get a circuit court nomination.

The truth is that those who lob the auditioning accusation are those who are most likely to audition in their own careers. I noted in my post:

The fact that everyone auditions demonstrates why this charge is so common. As a general matter, people project onto others the flaws they see in themselves. If you accuse me of auditioning, you can be pretty sure this is something that you have done in the past. Think carefully.

I recently saw some suggestion that I was on some undisclosed payroll. I wish! The truth is that I speak my mind, which is not conducive to any paying client. Folks may recall that I had to resign from a job that offered a regular paycheck on a point of principle. I am grateful some outlets offer me modest honoraria to speak and lecture, but I always retain full control over my message--and I often withdraw works when the editing becomes too intrusive. Indeed, I wrote several posts publicly agonizing about whether to put some of my content behind a paywall as a means to generate some revenue, but I ultimately decided not to so my discretion would remain unfettered. By contrast, as a general matter, managing partners at firms play some role in setting the compensation of their colleagues. Like I said, people project onto others the flaws they see in themselves.

I wish things were different with the judicial selection process. I wish that Presidents would nominate those who were unafraid to challenge political orthodoxies. Steve Calabresi's post today on the 40th anniversary of Justice Scalia's swearing-in provides a flashback to a different time.

On June 14, 1986, Judge Scalia was invited to speak at a conference organized by Attorney General Meese. The timing was "risky" as President Reagan would interview Scalia for the Supreme Court vacancy on June 16.

Scalia could have played things safe, but that was not who Scalia was. Calabresi writes:

Given this, most lawyers would say something mild, uncontroversial, and ingratiating toward the attorney general. But Judge Antonin Scalia was not a normal, cautious lawyer. Indeed, as a law professor, he liked to teach against the views of his class and tell them things that they did not ordinarily want to hear. Or to make a more historical reference, Justice Scalia was the type of person who would speak to King Henry VIII as if he were St. Thomas More. He was temperamentally unable to flatter or to say something that he did not believe to be true.

And Scalia would not flatter the sitting Attorney General. He took the occasion to explain why Meese was wrong to focus on "original intent" and instead should focus on "original public meaning." That speech set the stage for the modern originalist revolution. Scalia took a risk at the most inopportune time, and prevailed. And Attorney General Meese approved:

Ken Cribb, who was then Ed Meese's counselor and chief of staff, cleverly took a name tent card from his table, folded it inside out, wrote "Stipulated" on it, and showed it to Attorney General Meese. Attorney General Meese nodded approvingly, and Cribb put the tent card saying "Stipulated" on the podium in front of Judge Scalia before the judge had even finished speaking.

On June 17, President Reagan nominated Scalia for the seat, and the rest is history.

Calabresi concludes:

Whether one agrees with their views or not, I believe this story shows how open-minded and humble Attorney General Ed Meese was, and how gutsy and principled Judge Antonin Scalia was. That's something worth reflecting on four decades later.

Alas, that was forty years ago. Now we are stuck to Lurch through the audition trap.

Civil Procedure

The "Application for an Extension and the Querulous Opposition Continue the Path of Bikeshedding or … Parkinson's Law of Triviality"

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From Magistrate Judge James M. Wicks (E.D.N.Y.) in Lask v. Sorid last month:

ORDER granting 91 Motion for Extension of Time to File Reply. Plaintiff's application for an extension and the querulous opposition (ECF No. 92) continue the path of bikeshedding or the application of Parkinson's Law of Triviality. Plaintiff's Reply shall now be filed on or before 9/21/2026. No further extensions will be granted.

For more on the subject, see here.

Politics

Amicus Brief Asking Court to Consider Lawyers' Free Speech Rights, in Eastman v. State Bar

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I thought I'd pass along the amicus brief that I just filed yesterday on behalf of Prof. Rebecca Roiphe (an expert in the law governing lawyers), Prof. Nadine Strossen (a free speech scholar and former President of the ACLU), and myself, supporting the cert. petition in Eastman v. State Bar (the decision below is here).

The brief seeks to explain to the Court why the underlying legal issues in this case are important and merit the Court's granting review. Like most other amicus briefs supporting petitions for review, it doesn't seek to argue about the truth or falsity of petitioner's statements: The Court generally grants review to resolve conflicts about what the right legal rule should be, not to resolve factual disputes. (You can also read another amicus brief supporting review, co-signed by our own Randy Barnett, among others.)

* * *

Summary of Argument

The last ten years have seen many attempts to punish or compel professionals' speech in the service of broader ideological goals. This Court rejected two such attempts, in NIFLA v. Becerra, 585 U.S. 755 (2018), and in Chiles v. Salazar, 607 U.S. 627 (2026). It should likewise consider the constitutionality of the punishment in this case—a punishment that, if left unreviewed, portends still more such attempts.

Petitioner John Eastman was disbarred in large part based on his public political statements. The State Bar concluded those statements were false, and therefore sanctionable. This raises an important and unresolved question of First Amendment law: When can lawyers be stripped of their livelihoods based on public political speech that is unrelated to any pending judicial proceeding and that is fully protected when said by ordinary Americans?

That question is especially important because it can arise—and indeed is likely to arise—in many cases in the future. "Tit for tat" may well be part of the nature of humanity. See Robert Axelrod & William D. Hamilton, The Evolution of Cooperation, 211 Science 1390 (1981); Herbert Gintis, Samuel Bowles, Robert Boyd & Ernst Fehr, Explaining Altruistic Behavior in Humans, 24 Evol. & Hum. Beh. 153, 154 (2003). It certainly seems to be part of modern American politics.

The mode of analysis in this case thus seems likely to proliferate in decisions both by deep blue state bars and deep red state bars. It seems likely to arise as to people involved in contentious disputes about federal elections, state candidate elections, state ballot measures, and ideological debates more broadly. In all these contexts, allegations that one's opponents are lying are par for the course: Indeed, another facet of human nature is to assume the worst motivations of one's adversaries and the best motivations of one's allies.

In the past, state bars have sought to punish people they viewed as left-wing extremists who endangered the established constitutional order. See, e.g., James E. Moliterno, Politically Motivated Bar Discipline, 83 Wash. U. L.Q. 725 (2005). This case is a reminder that the same approach is being revived today as to lawyers whom some state bars view as right-wing dangers. And, if the decision endures, it will likely be followed by many other such decisions. It is important that this Court make clear what rules govern this area of the law, so that they can be applied as evenhandedly as possible throughout the country.

To be sure, this case also involves other allegations of impropriety, such as alleged false statements to courts, to Eastman's own client (President Trump) and his team, and to Vice President Pence and his team. This amicus brief does not opine on those matters. As many cases (see Part IV) have made clear, if a government sanction—whether a criminal sentence, civil liability, dismissal from government employment, or disbarment—rests even in part on constitutionally protected speech, it cannot stand unless the government can show that it would have reached the same result absent the protected speech.

For this reason, this Court should grant certiorari to consider when lawyers can be disbarred for their public political speech.

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Samuel Alito

Justice Alito on Originalism

His recent Wall Street Journal column on this subject makes some interesting points, but raises more questions than answers.

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Justice Samuel Alito (CNP/AdMedia/Sipa/Newscom)

 

In a recent Wall Street Journal article, based on his forthcoming book on the same subject, Supreme Court Justice Samuel Alito offers his take on constitutional originalism. But in so doing, he raises more questions than compelling answers. Nonetheless, he makes a number of interesting points, about how to do originalism generally, and about specific constitutional issues. Here, I note a few of particular interest.

There is a longstanding debate among originalists as to whether the proper original meaning courts should apply is that understood by ordinary people at the time of ratification, that understood by lawyers and other well-informed experts, or that understood by hypothetical "reasonable" readers (many advocates of the latter approach assume the "reasonable" reader is highly knowledgeable about legal doctrine and methodology). I call this the divide between "elitist" and "populist" versions of originalism. Alito clearly comes down on the populist side:

When I think about the original public meaning of constitutional provisions, I sometimes envision a scene at a colonial-era tavern. After dinner, travelers and area residents gather around the fireplace and read newspapers that discuss the Bill of Rights. They read the text of the First Amendment and see that it prohibits Congress from making any law that impairs the free exercise of religion. What would they make of that language?

How likely is it that these men had read John Locke's writing on church-state issues? Even if they had some rough awareness of his ideas, how likely is it that they would assume that Congress had incorporated those ideas in the First Amendment? Originalism looks for the original public meaning, not the meaning that the most well-read and philosophically minded men of the day might have adduced.

In taking this position Alito seems to ignore the potential downsides of the populist approach. Among other things, ordinary people may be ignorant about a variety of constitutional issues, and may have particular difficulty interpreting technical legal terms embedded in the Constitution, such as "writ of habeas corpus" or "bill of attainder." Populist approaches to original meaning are also less likely than elitist ones to offer insight on how to deal with issues unanticipated at the time of enactment, such as new technologies, and new information.

Elitist approaches have their own downsides, of course. But those who advocate one or the other should grapple with these issues. I go into the relevant tradeoffs in more detail in my 2012 law review article "Originalism and Political Ignorance" and also in my earlier blog post on this topic. My own view is that it may be best to adopt a hybrid approach, balancing elite and popular understandings. Elite understandings are preferable when it comes to terms that ordinary people are likely to recognize as technical legal phrases that require a lawyer or other expert to understand. But the issue is a difficult one, and originalists need to consider it more. Maybe Alito's book will stimulate new analysis of this crucial issue.

Alito's analysis also elides the distinction, emphasized by many originalists, between original public and original "expected applications." The former is the linguistic meaning of the words, and the latter how they are expected to apply to particular issues. Expected applications depend in part on factual understandings, distinct from the meaning of the words. As facts or our understanding of them change, the same words may have different implications for particular cases, including some that were not and could not be expected at the time of drafting and ratification.

For example, Alito assumes it is obvious that originalism rejects a constitutional right to same-sex marriage, because almost no one expected such a thing back when the Fourteenth Amendment was ratified in 1868. Thus, he doubles down on his view that Obergfell v. Hodges, the 2015 ruling striking down laws banning same-sex marriage, is wrong. But, as discussed in the amicus brief I filed in that case (together with Andrew Koppelman), there is a strong originalist case for Obergefell once you combine the original linguistic understanding of the words with new knowledge about the nature of same-sex relationships. This is particularly true if you accept (as many originalists now do) that the the Fourteenth Amendment bans most, if not all, forms of sex discrimination.

On another Fourteenth Amendment issue, Alito also reiterates his longstanding view that the Due Process Clause, not the Privileges or Immunities Clause, is the proper source of various "unenumerated" rights, including "incorporation" of the Bill of Rights against state governments:

If we simply read the text of the 14th Amendment, the Due Process Clause seems an unlikely home for substantive rights. Another provision, the Privileges or Immunities Clause, declares that no state "shall make or enforce any law which shall abridge the privileges or immunities of citizens of the United States." But in the Slaughter- House Cases (1873), the Supreme Court reduced that clause to minor importance.

In McDonald [v. City of Chicago], prominent scholars filed a brief urging the court to jettison Due Process incorporation and revive Privileges or Immunities. During oral arguments, the attorney representing Otis McDonald latched onto this argument. He didn't get far. Justice Scalia interrupted him and said that while the Privileges or Immunities argument was "the darling of the professoriate," it was contrary to a century of case law. Scalia recommended that the attorney stick to those precedents.

Why did Scalia, a former law professor, say that? Because accepting the Privileges or Immunities argument would have opened a can of worms. Libertarians, social conservatives, progressives, socialists and others could all make a pitch for whatever rights they favored. 

On this issue, Alito differs with fellow conservative originalists Clarence Thomas and Neil Gorsuch, both of whom advocate reviving Privileges or Immunities. It is also ironic that Alito  rejects Privileges or Immunities revival for fear of opening up a "can of worms" that enables judges with different ideologies to "make a pitch for whatever rights they favored." After all, this is exactly the same argument Alito and other conservatives have long deployed against "substantive" due process. It's not clear why Privileges or Immunities Clause would be any worse. If anything, the fact that there's lots of original meaning evidence about what rights qualify as "privileges or immunities" might make it less subject to judicial manipulation than substantive due process is. While Alito is wary of what he calls "academic originalism," the extensive academic work on the meaning of Privileges or Immunities could help guide judicial discretion here. And, again, at the very least, it might be less subjective than the Due Process Clause approach.

Alito also emphasizes "the necessity, except in unusual circumstances, to heed precedent, since overturning it can have unsettling consequences." Despite his distaste for Obergefell, in a recent CBS interview he indicates that it likely should not be overturned because "a great deal had changed in the country as a result of Obergefell [and] [t]here was a lot of reliance in various ways on the decision in Obergefell." Alito is referring here to the hundreds of thousands of same-sex couples who have gotten married and started families in reliance on the Supreme Court's ruling.

Skeptics will note that Alito has in fact voted to overturn a number of longstanding precedents, most notably in the Dobbs case, overturning Roe v. Wade (1973), which had established a constitutional right to abortion. Alito's argument that Roe did not engender significant reliance interests strikes me as unpersuasive. Many women likely did rely on the availability of abortion as way to escape an unwanted or medically dangerous pregnancy. That doesn't necessarily prove Dobbs is wrong. But it does mean that defenders of that decision and other reversals of longstanding precedent need a better theory of how to weigh reliance interests against other considerations.

In fairness, Alito is far from alone among Supreme Court justices in failing to develop a compelling and coherent answer to this question. Other justices - both liberal and cosnervatives - have had trouble with this, as well. I have previously argued  that "Stare decisis will not stop the justices from overturning a precedent they think is badly wrong and causes significant harm" - a point I believe applies to jurists across the political spectrum. Even significant reliance interests might be overcome in a situation where the maintenance of a wrong precedent itself causes grave harm. Jurists of different stripes are willing to reverse precedents that are "egregiously wrong and deeply damaging," as Alito put it in Dobbs. The big disagreement is over which cases fall into that category.

That is one reason why Brown v. Board of Education and later decisions striking down segregation laws were justified, despite the fact that they narrowed or overturned longstanding precedents that many state and local governments had relied on heavily. Segregation laws caused such great harm, that even substantial reliance interests had to be subordinated to the need to end it. Similarly, if you believe - as many pro-lifers do - that abortion is the moral equivalent of murder, Dobbs might be justifiable even if Roe did create substantial reliance interests. But notice that this approach to reliance interests requires courts to engage in a balancing of interests that many might argue is not within judicial competence.

There is more to be said about Alito's Wall Street Journal article, and CBS interview. And, I expect, many of these issues are covered in greater detail in his book. But, for now, I will stop here. I may have more to say after I have had a chance to read the book.

Judicial Ethics

"Federal Judges Receive Life Tenure—Not a Life Sentence"

"Public criticism is not for everyone. But if it's too much to take, you can always resign."

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From Judge James Ho's concurrence Friday in Pittsburgh Logistics Sys., Inc. v. Glen Rose Transp. Mgmt.:

I write separately to address Plaintiff's understandable objections to the magistrate judge's ex parte meeting with Defendant. After all, ex parte meetings are "strongly disfavored" and "often reversible error," as our court rightly observes today.

I get why the magistrate judge felt compelled to engage in an ex parte dialogue, after he received a series of unusual emails from Defendant's corporate representative. It's no fun being criticized for one's life's work.

But "[h]olding office in America is not for the faint of heart." "With leadership comes criticism—whether from citizens of public spirit or personal malice."

[I.] Defendant's corporate representative sent a series of ex parte emails to the magistrate judge. The emails expressed frustration with perceived excessive and unnecessary delays in the judge's resolution of the case.

One of those emails referenced the fact that "I have many friends who are … Texas congressmen, US representatives, and one close U.S. Senator," and that the corporate representative was "consider[ing] asking my Texas friends to write to you and ask why I have to continue waiting."

The email was sent at a time when it was publicly known and reported by the media that the judge was actively being considered and promoted in certain circles for appointment to the district court.

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Tariffs

My New Lawfare Article on Why "The President Doesn't Have Unlimited Power to Impose Import Bans"

Many of the same constitutional and other constraints apply as with tariffs.

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Today, Lawfare published my new article "The President Doesn't Have Unlimited Power to Impose Import Bans." Here is an excerpt:

President Trump recently tried to use Section 338 of the notorious Smoot-Hawley Tariff Act of 1930 to ban several categories of Canadian imports outright, as well as to impose tariffs on others. This led some to fear that Trump has discovered a largely unlimited power for the president to restrict imports.

Courts have thus far constrained Trump's efforts to impose sweeping tariffs, most notably in the Supreme Court's decision in Learning Resources, Inc. v. Trump (a case I helped litigate), which struck down Trump's massive imposition of tariffs under the International Emergency Economic Powers Act of 1977 (IEEPA). But perhaps import bans would be different. Trump himself said after the IEEPA decision that "I can destroy the trade. I'm even allowed to impose a foreign country destroying embargo."

That claim is badly wrong. Like tariffs, import restrictions are a congressional power under the Constitution, not an executive one. Thus, the president cannot impose import bans without congressional authorization. While some statutes delegate import restriction authority to the president, that power is strictly limited. And, as with tariffs, interpreting these authorities in a way that gives the president a blank check to impose import bans would run afoul of the major questions doctrine and constitutional nondelegation.

It remains to be seen whether Trump or a future president might decide to claim sweeping authority to impose import bans at will. But when and if such an effort materializes, courts should strike it down.

The rest of the article goes into the relevant issues in greater detail, including considering several statutes that might potentially be used in any effort to institute sweeping executive-imposed import bans.

Ask Jeeves

How would The Butler vote?

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I think the debate about Todd Butler's nomination to the Fifth Circuit has been revealing. There is no actual argument that Butler bears resemblance to any of the other Fifth Circuit nominees over the past three decades. Instead, the argument goes, he has done enough to meet some arbitrary threshold for a circuit court nomination, and those who disagree are idiots. I don't pretend to be an expert in politics. Indeed, were I someone seeking the favor of those in power, I would just keep my mouth shut. Talk less, smile more, as they say. But I never keep my mouth shut. Instead, I read the decisions of the Fifth Circuit very closely and talk about them.

Friends and those who support the nomination have pointed to a few things in Butler's defense. First, Butler wrote very strong briefs defending qualified immunity on behalf of paying clients. Okay. QI is an issue that divides conservatives. Justices Scalia and Thomas did not agree. Judges Willett and Oldham do not agree. This is not exactly a useful predictor of Judge Butler's jurisprudence. And there is nothing particularly controversial about this work. No one receives a medal of courage for insurance defense work.

Second, Defenders have also pointed to the responsibility of becoming the managing partner of Phelps Dunbar's office in Jackson, Mississippi. Phelps Dunbar has 18 offices and about 500 lawyers. By my count, there are about 30 attorneys in the Jackson office, including one of Butler's most vigorous defenders on social media. Okay. That responsibility is something. I suppose the managing partners of the seventeen other offices are also viable nominees for the Fifth Circuit. Same for the managing partners at each of the offices for all of the other firms on the AmLaw 200.

Third, Defenders declare that Edith Hollan Jones did not have public service experience before being appointed to the Fifth Circuit. Judge Jones was the General Counsel of the Texas GOP from 1982-1983. That year, a Democrat won the Texas Governor's race, and Lloyd Bentsen was serving his third term. Texas was not yet the GOP Powerhouse it became in the 1990s. A young Edith Jones was boldly building the Republican party of Texas. Likewise, Judge Jerry Smith was the City Attorney of Houston, and argued City of Houston v. Hill before the Supreme Court. If anyone is trying to compare Todd Butler, as the nominee, to Smith and Jones in the 1980s, I would gladly have that conversation.

Fourth, the truth also comes out that Butler did in fact attend my 2022 talk to the Jackson Federalist Society chapter. I stand corrected. I distinctly remember meeting several of the dignitaries in the room, but not Butler. But the truth matters. I went back through my archives and found a photograph from the event, and Butler was there. If attendance at a few FedSoc meetings is sufficient to make one a viable Fifth Circuit nominee, I would point out that Scott Stewart was also in the room.

Like I said, there is not much in the "affirmative" column for Butler, and there is quite a bit in the "negative" column. Perhaps the most dispiriting aspect of this process is the message it sends. A current conservative law student who will be clerking on the Fifth Circuit sent me this message:

I wanted to write and thank you for raising awareness about the questionable Todd Butler nomination. As you correctly noted, seats of this magnitude must be reserved for people who have dedicated some portion their life to the Cause/public service. I am eager to see if this turns into another Judge Ozerden situation— time will tell!

Those are willing to risk their lives, fortunes, and sacred honors to promote the rule of law will be passed over for those who simply cash a paycheck. We need to recognize those and reward those who display courage, not those who simply skate by and have friends in high places.

The most useful metric to predict how Judge Butler will vote is Judge Southwick's record. It is clear enough that Judge Southwick chose Butler as his heir apparent. And like most judges who do so, we can safely assume that Southwick has picked someone who will uphold his judicial legacy. So, let's Ask Jeeves: how will the Butler vote?

I searched for recent Fifth Circuit en banc votes. Again, on 17-member Court, the vote often splits 9-8. If a senior judge is on a panel, or there is a recusal, or a conservative member has some idiosyncratic take, the vote usually goes the other way.

Here are cases where Judge Southwick dissented from the en banc court's majority opinion. In many of the cases, Southwick joined a dissent from Judge Higginson.

  1. United States v. Texas (2026) - 24-50149 - Majority upheld Texas law restricting illegal immigration; Judge Southwick joined dissents of Judges Richman and Higginson.
  2. Nathan v. Alamo Heights School District (2026) - 25-50695 - Majority upheld Texas Ten Commandments Law; Judge Southwick wrote a dissenting opinion joined by Judges Richman, Graves, Higginson, Douglas, and Ramirez.
  3. W.M.M. v. Trump (2025) - 25-10534 - The Fifth Circuit voted to rehear en banc the challenge to President Trump's invocation of the Alien Enemies Act; in an unusual move, Judge Southwick dissented from the grant of rehearing en banc. He had written a vigorous panel decision ruling against Trump.
  4. Little v. Llano County (2025) - 23-50224 - Library patrons challenged county for removing books from libraries. Majority ruled for county. Judge Southwick joined Judge Higginson's dissent.
  5. Alliance for Fair Board Recruitment v. Securities and Exchange Commission (2024) - 21-60626 - NASDAQ imposed DEI requirement on directors. Majority declared policy unlawful. Judge Southwick joined Judge Higginson's dissent.
  6. United States v. Abbott (2024) - 23-50632 - Majority upheld Texas's floating barrier installed on Rio Grande River; Judge Southwick joined dissents from Judges Higginson and Douglas.
  7. Consumers' Research v. FCC (2024) - 22-60008 - Majority ruled universal service fund was unconstitutional. Judge Southwick. (The Supreme Court reversed in a 6-3 decision, but I'm with Justices Thomas, Alito, and Gorsuch.)
  8. Wages and White Lion Investments v. FDA (2024) - 21-60766 - Majority granted petition from Vape companies challenging FDA regulations. Judge Southwick joined Judge Haynes's dissent. Here, the Supreme Court reversed unanimously.
  9. Feds for Medical Freedom v. Biden (2023) - 22-40043 - Fifth Circuit allowed challenge to COVID-19 vaccination mandate to proceed. Judge Southwick joined Judge Higginson's dissent.
  10. NetChoice v. Paxton (2022) - 21-511178 - Fifth Circuit upheld Texas social media law. Judge Southwick wrote a partial dissent. The Supreme Court reversed, finding the facial challenge was inappropriate (a decision I still disagree with.)
  11. Cochran v. SEC (2021) - 19-10396 -upheld challenge to SEC ALJ adjudication process. Judge Southwick joined Judge Costa's dissent.

My research here was fairly quick, and I'm sure I missed some relevant cases. But these cases speak to how Judge Southwick votes on the most consequential Fifth Circuit cases. I don't expect that a Judge Butler would vote much different. If there is any evidence that he disagrees with Judge Southwick on these sorts of matters, it should be known before he receives a lifetime commission. And no, I don't care how he votes on cases involving qualified immunity and other lawsuits against municipalities.

I Want It All

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Occasionally, I hear people make arguments in favor of constitutional rights claims by arguing that the Constitution was set up to protect liberty. And it most certainly was—in part.

But I think that it's a mistake to treat this as a goal above all others, as the Preamble to the Constitution itself reflects (and of course the specific provisions within the text of the Constitution and the Amendments—which are part of the Constitution—do as well):

We the People of the United States, in Order to form a more perfect Union, establish Justice, insure domestic Tranquility, provide for the common defence, promote the general Welfare, and secure the Blessings of Liberty to ourselves and our Posterity, do ordain and establish this Constitution for the United States of America.

The Constitution was set up to do many things at once, and I want them all. I would like our government to provide for justice, and protect domestic tranquility, and defend us against our enemies, and make the country wealthier, and protect liberty.

To be sure, these interests are sometimes in tension: For instance, national defense will often undermine liberty to some extent, and liberty will often undermine national defense. On the other hand, the interests often go together: For instance, liberty will generally produce more economic growth, and wealthier countries also generally find it easier to defend themselves. In any event, the Constitution sets up our federal government to try to secure all these benefits, rather than to categorically prioritize one (whether liberty or national security or the general welfare) above the others.

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