Brian Doherty | November 20, 2008
Over at the Volokh Conspiracy, reason contributor Ilya Somin repeats a pretty consistent call from the more intellectual end of the libertarian movement oh these past 25 years or so: give up on the Libertarian Party as a meaningful vehicle for political/ideological change. An excerpt:
....third party politics simply is not an effective way of promoting libertarianism in the "first past the post" American political system. That system makes it almost impossible for a third party to win any important elected offices. And such a party also can't be an effective tool for public education because the media isn't likely to devote much attention to a campaign with no chance of success.
Libertarians have had some genuine successes over the last 35 years. These include abolition of the draft (heavily influenced by Milton Friedman's ideas), deregulation of large portions of the economy (of which libertarians were the leading intellectual advocates), major reductions in tax rates (facilitated by libertarian economists, libertarian activists, and the legislative efforts of libertarian-leaning Republicans), the increasing popularity of school choice programs, increases in judicial protection for property rights, gun rights, and economic liberties (thanks in large part to advocacy by libertarian legal activists), and heightened respect for privacy and freedom of speech (promoted by libertarians in cooperation with other groups). Libertarian academics and intellectuals have also done much to make libertarian ideas more respectable and less marginal than they were in the 1960s and early 70s.
What all these successes have in common is that they were achieved either by working within the two major parties or by efforts outside the context of party politics altogether. The Libertarian Party didn't play a significant role in any of them.
Libertarians often emphasize that failed enterprises should be liquidated rather than kept going on artificial life support. That enables their resources to be reinvested in other, more successful firms. The point is well taken, and it applies to the Libertarian Party itself. For 35 years, the Party has consumed valuable resources, both financial and human. The money spent on the LP and the time donated by its committed activists could do a lot more to promote libertarianism if used in other ways.
Of course, for some people third party activism is exactly and only how they would care to participate in the game of public ideological change. And for some (including yours truly) getting hooked on the team-sports aspect of an ideological movement through what seems, especially to the young, its only significant action element, political parties running for office, leads them on to other parts of the ol' war for liberty (for better or for worse, I grant).
I wrote on how and why third party politics might be more a consumer good (for its own sake) than a capital good (meant to lead to something else, like political or ideological change, that is meaningful for its own sake) back in 2004.
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Can libertarians do more damage as a party or as a faction within the Republican Party? Only time will tell.
Proposals to eliminate the Libertarian Party would make more
sense if they did not all imply or explicitly state that working in
the Republican Party is the way to promote liberty.
Seriously, that has been tried. But "libertarian" Republicans were
largely unable or unwilling to separate themselves from the Bush
League statists who dominate the GOP. The Republican Liberty Caucus
is smaller than the LP, but with a bigger head, and a greater
willingness to portray pro-goverment politicos as "libertarian" if
they were the GOP label.
In the free market, businesses are not just liquidated. Sometimes
they fall to competition - and the people who propose to liquidate
the Libertarian Party have failed to come up with a strategy that
really does lead to more freedom, without associating us with the
failures of the big government Republicans.
Did Ilya Somin actually fail to read the election returns? The
Republican Party was repudiated. Perhaps the GOP should be
liquidated so that conservatives would have a means of opposing
Democrat statism.
As I'm fond of saying, Friedman pointed out that the most
successful party of the last century was the socialist party. They
may never have gotten more than 5% of the vote, but if you look at
their party platforms from early in the century, they've been
enacted into law virtually in their entirety.
The role of a third party - whether it's the libertarian party,
socialist party, green party or whatever - is to advocate its
ideological message. When that message resonates with voters enough
so that several percent of them will vote for an obvious loser,
then one of the major candidates will co-opt the message in order
to tap into that support.
The libertarian party isn't about having candidates win elections,
it's about spreading a particular political philosophy. They only
field candidates because candidates are vehicles for the
message.
This is an argument I have never understood. If I left the Libertarian Party where would I go? To the No Child Left Behind/Medicaid-Loving/Iraq War fighting/$700 billion bailout/Pro-Life Republicans? Or to the No Child Left Behind/Medicaid-Loving/Iraq War fighting/$700 billion bailout/Pro-Choice Democrats?
Of all people, libertarians should know that a movement can't be
planned. Libertarians of all stripes will continue to try a variety
of means to effect change, and that's the way it should be.
Political free enterprise.
As for the LP, I think it's useful to have around. They don't
really get enough attention to do any harm in their kookier
moments, and they serve a valuable purpose as a touchstone for
activist circles. I think it's possible that once you reach a
critical mass of people identifying explictly as "libertarian",
then the LP will start to take off. And there's always the "Ross
Perot" scenario, where some enterprising famous billionaire or
media personality (Penn/Teller 2012!) swoops in and uses the LP as
a vehicle. As long the billionaire's a libertarian, I have no
problem with that. And no, Barr was not nearly famous (or
well-funded) enough to really test that scenario.
For me the main problem is that both the major parties are so awful nowadays that there is really nowhere else to go than the LP, other than avoiding electoral politics altogether. (Unless a Ron Paul is running, but notice that he was treated like dirt by his own party. Like I say, awful.)
I just noticed that SOFL had already made my point. Probably a lot of people have the same experience.
President Obama, following the Great Panic of 2008/Depression 2.0, should wipe out those gains in deregulation, lower taxes, civil liberties, property rights, freedom of speech and the draft.
I disagree. The LP gives libertarians a place to go, other than
the Democrats, when the Republican social-cons get too
powerful.
Otherwise, libertarians would be chained to the Republicans and
have even less influence. Or be non-voters altogether.
If the LP didn't exist, someone would invent it. It would probably
be getting invented right now, if it didn't exist.
I like the LP, espc in Ca where they often run candidates in
statewide and local office.
The case for liberty needs to be made and there are many fronts to
cover. We need the true believers, the political party, the
writers, the magazines, the think tanks, and the OC Register
editorial page (Review Journal too). We need the pragmatists and
the purists.
There is a place for the LP and there is a place for the Republican
Liberty Caucus. If, at some point, the two can get married, so be
it.
Yeah, because the Dems are such great allies on social issues
even when the GOP is great on economic issues! Our powers combined,
we can turn this sinking ship around and head right back to
port!
Err... as it turns out, they are both an anathema to a fiscal
conservative, social liberal ideal. The problem with the US is
institutionalized, and there is no hope given our current
situation. Sarah Palin
2012!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
The reason the LP does terrible every time is there is too much "this election is just too important, so i'm going to go with team A (which i deem to be .05% better) this time" every fucking election. The parties will never respect you or your ideas if they know you aren't willing to leave, which we won't.
The real problem is with electoral politics, period. The majority of people want government benefits at someone else's expense. People will not be disabused of the notion that they can vote for the impossible until they've already done it and received instead the disastrous possible. And even they often claim it was because the cause was hijacked.
Politically, the rights of life, liberty, and property are a losing proposition. Most people would prefer a platform based on the "right" to a job, health insurance a 40-hour work week, government-mandated vacation, bread, circuses, et al.
Oh, yes, and of course the sacrosanct "right" to vote for whatever insane platform one wants.
Oh, yes, and of course the sacrosanct "right" to vote for
whatever insane platform one wants.
I'm not sure what you are getting at.
"President Obama, following the Great Panic of 2008/Depression
2.0, should wipe out those gains in deregulation, lower taxes,
civil liberties, property rights, freedom of speech and the
draft."
Libertarian is dead! Long live the glorious reign of the
workers*!
*"workers" not necessarily requiring that the individuals denoted
to useful work. Or any work, for that matter.
Boston,
I'm getting at the (highly elitist, I'll admit) idea that the vast
majority of people who vote are about as qualified to exercise the
franchise as a donkey is to design a canal.
If I left the Libertarian Party where would I go? To the
[many bad things] Republicans? Or to the [many bad things]
Democrats?
But this is like asking, If I stopped hitting myself on the foot
with a hammer, what would I do? Hit myself on the head with it, or
on the hand?
How about "Put down the goddam hammer." Seriously, the best
presidential candidate anyone could field this time around was
Bob fergodsake Barr! Doesn't that imply something
about the whole process? The one thing the Libertarian Party
consistently contributes to libertarianism is that every four years
there's a big civil war over who's going to lead the exercise in
futility, and then everybody gets to look and feel like losers for
a while. But everybody troops back four years later to do it again.
And they say that thing about lemmings is a myth.
If the LP poured as much sturm und drang into local
elections as it did into the presidential race, it just might fill
some seats here and there and get people used to the idea. Instead
they ignore fights they have some prayer of winning and gear up to
tilt at that ol' windmill, over and over.
I just don't get what's so compelling about politics. Unless you're
already in the BOYN party, it's a loser's game.
Joel,
Most of us here have strong masochistic tendencies. Otherwise, we
wouldn't pay attention to political events.
nonPaulogist,
Let's not get started on the anarchist thing again. For one thing,
it just confuses people into thinking that we're the asshole that
run around bashing in car hoods to bring down "Teh Man".
I can take any one of you pansies in a gfiht! Ye hear me!???
I don't buy the trope that plurality voting is responsible for the marginalization of the LP. The UK and Canada have plurality voting and healthy third (and fourth, and fifth) parties. There may well be significant structural obstacles to third parties, but the voting system isn't one of them.
I'm all foriquidating the LP, but the end of the draft and other supposed successes of libertarian thought seem like pretty small potatoes in the face of bank nationalizations and the relentless growth of the state. I don't think we're winning.
Skeptic,
You're probably right. The only thing to do now is sit back and
laugh at the idiots who are supporting all of it.
This stuff is so stupid. As I've always said while the
Libertarian movement may not have tons of electoral success they
have a noticeable effect on the public debate and ideas.
And they influence the major parties that way. Anything that makes
the GOP has that is stomachable it has because of its libertarian
leaning members. If the GOP was simply a conservative party we'd
have two parties, one (Dems) that shared liberertarian goals of
increased freedom and liberty but with opposed means (which may or
may not undercut the shared goals) and one that was straight up
authoritarian and loving it. And the latter would be bound to win
sometimes. We can thank the libertarian movement for braking the
GOP from going full Taliban on us.
The reason the LP does terrible every time is there is too
much "this election is just too important, so i'm going to go with
team A (which i deem to be .05% better) this time" every fucking
election.
YEAH. Who is doing that, and why won't they stop?
"The real problem is with electoral politics, period. The
majority of people want government benefits at someone else's
expense. People will not be disabused of the notion that they can
vote for the impossible until they've already done it and received
instead the disastrous possible. And even they often claim it was
because the cause was hijacked."
Yep. And mixed with career politicians, people who have an
emotional and material investment in expanding their own power,
it's a recipe for big-government disaster.
And how could we forget:
1. The self-perpetuating and power-hungry nature of bureaucracies
in general.
2. Big-government control of much of the educational institutions.
Which:
-shift public perceptions over time
-provides legions of left-leaning academics to write the history
books, conduct "studies," and draft government plans
-also educates the government technocrats that carry out and choose
amongst the latter
3. Fabian socialists throughout the entertainment industry, i.e.
literally the best propaganda organs money can buy. Throw in a good
portion of the newpaper reporters and editors that create the first
draft of "history."
4. (The one the utopian libertarians love to hate) Tens of millions
of poor people from societies with no history of limited government
and, from their narrow perspective, every incentive to vote for
that which they mostly aren't paying for. And too few people to
tell them why, in fact, they shouldn't (see 1-3).
Yep, I'm full of sunshine. Just wait till I get started on foreign
affairs.
If the young lack the outlet of the Libertarian Party to apply
their passion for liberty, they will be forced to seek out new,
more effective ways to do so. Ron Paul, for all his faults, has
been more effective than the efforts of all LP officials,
everywhere, combined.
I say, let a dozen Ron Pauls bloom (this time, without newsletter
scandals).
If the LP had any goodwill, I'd say buy its IP portfolio, then
stop all this 3rd party talk. Then recruit libertarian Democrats,
moderate republicans and otherwise competent leaders who can claim
to be for smaller government on at least 3 fiscal issues and 3
social issues. You can even be for gun control, so long as you
believe that gun ownership is a good thing (and I don't mean a
quick goose hunting photo-op).
Somebody needs to claim the center-right position, and at
first blush, the LP seems to fit the bill. Libertarians are
fiscally conservative, socially liberal, and pro-trade in lieu of
war. Kick out the strict ideologues and recruit southern Democrats,
northeastern Republicans, most anybody from the west.
Don't say, "government is the problem." Say "government is the
third best solution." You got a problem with that? Try reading the
Cato policy paper on vertical integration of electricity markets.
Show me where it advocates a zero regulation regime.
OK, so I'm a little out of control here. I'm just tired of
libertarians being unrealistic and impractical. Markets are the
best way to allocate resources, not the only way. Government
regulations screw things up more often than they help, but let's
not pretend that no market anywhere needs oversight. For example,
I'm a lawyer, and I believe that state-run bars are heavy handed
(amounting many times to a protection ring), but free markets and
malpractice suits are not enough to protect people from shitty
lawyers who blow deadlines repeatedly.
Transform the LP from a fringe 3rd party into a reason-based (I'm
already drinking, so can it) party that makes sense. Toll roads are
great, developers should pay for roads that benefit their property,
but privatizing the roads isn't going to get you anywhere.
Milton Friedman is dead. Let's put his ideas in our toolbox, right
at the top. But let's also understand that Keynesian economics can
have benefits, albeit short term and with a cost to the middle
class. Low taxes are great, but deficit spending is irresponsible.
Global trade is imperative, but if you bomb our embassy or target
Americans, there will be nasty repercussions.
Appeal to the part of America that likes their guns, but at the
same time wants science taught in schools and doesn't see Steve and
Roger across town boinking each other as a threat to their
family.
And please, please please please, no more Wayne Allyn Root. I just
don't have the constitution to defend schmucks like that.
Libertarian minded Republicans are asking themselves, "where's the next Barry Goldwater, the next Ronald Reagan to lead the party out of the intellectual darkness after Bush?" The answer, of course, is that he's collecting signatures for a Libertarian school board candidate in Iowa, who will be crushed anyway in the general election.
the libertarian party is an effective political party at the local and state level. if we can get more ballot access and get into more debates we will someday have congressmen and senators with an L next to their name. right now it seems that we have to use the republican label to get access to higher offices but that day will come to an end sooner or later. if the national party would be more coordinated and could take advantage of the Ron Paul revolution, the libertarian party will become more than just the third largest party in the US and will become a serious contender. they need to focus on areas where success is more likely. the national and the state libertarian parties seem disorganized and don't do enough to spread the message and get candidates elected. Bob Barr should have been making stops in areas where other libertarians were running for office in order to bring more press.
There's actually one way that third parties could begin to
matter. Eliminate the electoral college.
A massive part of the problem is that winner-take-all electrol
votes disincentivizes third-party presidential runs.
Ron Paul, for all his faults, has been more effective than
the efforts of all LP officials, everywhere, combined.
OHHHMMM...the cult never dies.
So, the LP might have thrown a Senate race to the Democrats (GA),
but the guy who pulled ~5% and blew through millions of dollars on
a failed primary was more "effective"?
Again, the cult will never die.
Eliminate the electoral college.
Gah! No! This is the one of the few vestiges of federalism left.
You might as well just give the federal government to NY and CA if
you eliminate the EC.
What we need to do is get individual states to apportion their
electors. That would be much better than getting rid of the EC. If
you got rid of the EC, third parties wouldn't stand a chance of
ever gaining a foothold.
the libertarian party is an effective political party at the
local and state level. if we can get more ballot access and get
into more debates we will someday have congressmen and senators
with an L next to their name. right now it seems that we have to
use the republican label to get access to higher offices but that
day will come to an end sooner or later. if the national party
would be more coordinated and could take advantage of the Ron Paul
revolution, the libertarian party will become more than just the
third largest party in the US and will become a serious contender.
they need to focus on areas where success is more likely. the
national and the state libertarian parties seem disorganized and
don't do enough to spread the message and get candidates elected.
Bob Barr should have been making stops in areas where other
libertarians were running for office in order to bring more
press.
The only way the Libertarian Party would ever become a party with
anywhere near the influence of the Democrats or the Republicans
(under current law) would be if it were to replace one of them.
However, to do this, the Libertarian Party would have to become a
catch all party with a vague or non-existent ideology. It could
lean libertarian, but it could never be libertarian. It
would likely become corrupted over time, ceasing to be libertarian
at all after the next shift in the political landscape.
Option two is get the electoral system to change in a manner that
would make it more open to other parties. That is, get Democrats
and Republicans to change the laws that allow them to keep other
parties out.
Lamar:
I can get on board with almost everything you said, except that
part of about Keynesian economics.
Keynesian economics is a pyramid scheme, especially when it
involves deficit spending. It's about pork barrel spending for the
ignorant masses, and corporate welfare for the politically
connected. It's about creating the illusion of prosperity and
kicking the can down the road.
If the United States had proportional representation, the
Libertarian Party would have 3 US Representatives in the 111th
Congress based on the proportion of all votes cast in House races.
There'd be one Green, too.
Just a thought.
TAO:
Apportioning wouldn't work because there's incentives to using
winner-take-all. Swing states that use winner-take-all become more
critical, so more money gets spent there, and more attention is
paid to keeping thier voters happy. Why would any state give up
their enhanced influence just to be more "fair" to third
parties?
I don't see why NY and CA would dominate the presidential vote
either. They'd only have as much influence as their
population.
Pure popular vote counts would make election night a lot more
boring too. Which would do us all a service.
No more red-state vs. blue-state horse race coverage.
But most importantly, you would never have situations like Nader in
Florida where the third party gets blamed for siphoning votes away
from the major party candidate and costing him the state.
Take that out, and the third party can get 5% of the vote an noone
will blink. It allows third parties to grow without making people
afraid that voting for them will undercut one of the other parties
on "their side".
I would also move to enlarge the House of Representatives. There
is no reason we should be stuck on this "zero-sum" number of
435.
The point of the HoR is to represent people at a reasonable
proportion. We have let that get entirely out of control.
Hazel -
Part of what has been fueling Nader is the fact that he did, in
fact, cause the Democrats to lose in 2000. I consider that a *good*
thing.
Also, what happens in the case of a recount? Dear Lord...we
wouldn't have a certified President until March!
Apportioning wouldn't work because there's incentives to using
winner-take-all.
Sure there are, but there are incentives to apportioning, too. If
you're a solid-blue (or red) state, you should consider
apportioning your vote because no one pays attention to your
state.
Think about it: How much advertising and time did the candidates
spend in Kansas this year? Or California? There's no need; those
states are in the bag.
But if you apportioned their votes, all of the sudden every state
is important.
A friend of mine just sent me this:
Mike: Too bad the Libertarians have never figured out how to appeal to vast swaths of people or to run a real campaign.
Best, (name withheld)
Obama-Biden 66,882,230 52.8% 365 electoral votes
McCain-Palin 58,343,671 46.0% 173 electoral votes
Nader-Gonzalez 698,798 0.6% 0 electoral votes
Barr-Root 511,324 0.4% 0 electoral votes
Baldwin-Castle 181,818 0.1% 0 electoral votes
McKinney-Clemente 152,811 0.1% 0 electoral votes
Others 103,418 0.1% 0 electoral votes
Total votes 126,686,145 538 electoral
My response?
Thankfully, I've been drinking.
economist,
Oh, yes, and of course the sacrosanct "right" to vote for
whatever insane platform one wants.
Ain't democracy great?
Too bad every other option man has ever come up with sucks an even
bigger moose.
On another thread somebody suggested that we should add more
members to the House, like one rep for every 30k people. This way
the HR would be too big for anybody to bribe off entirely.
Interesting idea, maybe it'd actually be more representative.
I've thought that maybe we should do away with parties all
together, and turn all elected positions into something like jury
duty. Draw names from a hat, and that's how you get a seat in the
house.
Maybe, we could still let the senate and president be elected, but
I'm not sure why. Or we could do the "republic" thing and elect
somebody who elects *somebody* who elects the president. Then we'd
have a lot more somebody's to bitch about.
Or we could do the ancient Athens, Greece thing, go pure democracy,
and then either banish or hang whatever politician pisses off the
masses. In a country this size, we could have at least one hanging
a day going on somewhere in the continental US.
Which, come to think of it, isn't such a bad idea.
Damn, I'm feeling better already. Now I know what to do
with the Libertarian party. We're gonna be the Vote and Hang
Bunch.
Hazel,
A massive part of the problem is that winner-take-all electrol
votes disincentivizes third-party presidential runs.
That's true.
OTOH, I've read enough French and Italian history that I'm not so
convinced that multi-party politics is really any better. Due to
the existence of multiple parties with inherently opposing
platforms, and each getting its little turn at the steering wheel,
the French for example spent a whole century of never quite
figuring out which damned direction they were going in.
In the end they predominantly became social democrats. Which seems
to be exactly where we're heading.....well gee whiz, that's
different.
Multi-party systems might, maybe, give more people a voice. But
what you'd get is even more bickering which, in politics, means
that you end up with more (and often worse) compromises. Or else
you end up with total incoherence and a new constitution every few
decades. Not that it did the French any good.
If you have a democracy, sooner or later it's going in the ditch.
Because elected politicians have incentives to offer their voters
freebies, and the voters sooner, if not sooner still, will take
them.
I'm one of those weirdos who likes to dog on the 17th Amendment
whenever possible.
I'm a lot of fun at parties.
I don't see why NY and CA would dominate the presidential
vote either. They'd only have as much influence as their
population.
Their population is a lot. I grew up in upstate NY, which leans
Republican. It made no difference in national elections because NYC
is going to vote Democrat sure as the sun rises.
Big cities are where the voter power and influence are. And
predominantly, they lean left wing.
Which has been true to large cities since the beginning of recorded
history. I've never figured out why, I just know it's true.
The first left wing pacifists in recorded history were Chinese,
because the Chinese grew big huge cities sooner than anybody
else.
the Party has consumed valuable resources, both financial and human
I am... "annoyed" I guess is the word, at the point of view that
says, here are a bunch of people who've organized themselves in a
way that promotes their own utiliy, and if they only did what *I*
-- brilliant, all-knowing, clever I -- think they should do, we
would all be so much better off.
That's a game for children and other social engineers.
The Party hasn't just "consumed" resources; it organized them, it
produced them, it earned them.
I mean, I had no idea there was this huge vat in the middle of
Missouri somewhere, labelled "resources for the freedom movement --
take all you want", and it turns out all those jerks in the LP are
elbowing everyone else aside to hog it all to themselves.
Pigs.
Aside from the many other good points that others have offered, I
would add three.
1) Some of us, I don't know why, are just wired to be political in
elections. I have absolutely no respect for government, so I can't
see how I can care about elections, but I'm just programmed to go
vote every election and having the "L" as one of the choices makes
it rebelious rather than completely nauseating.
2) I have made friends for life in the LP. I guess I could have
done that with HnR meet-ups, or anarcho-capitalist bridge clubs,
but Ilya Somin hasn't seen fit to organize those in my area yet, so
I think I'll just remain grateful for the LP.
3) As a practical matter, when you're a political party, you
actually get free goodies from the state. When someone signs up
with your political party, you get that info for free, plus whether
they voted in the primary, etc etc. In an age where working lists
is a big part of any movement, the LP gets state subsidized.
Let a thousand flowers bloom. I hope there will be more libertarian
Republicans. Someone needs to step forward as a libertarian
Democrat, so we can mess with their debates next time. (Not that
I'm not thankful for Gravel!) I'm happy for the anti-party folks,
for the non-voting folks.
If you have a better alternative, sell it to me. Really, I'm open
to it. If your sales pitch starts with insulting my friends,
dismissing my choices, and framing my efforts to build a movement
as just being a loser... well, I think you have something to learn
about salesmanship.
And if your marketing of an alternative is that bad, maybe you
should stay away from the market-driven analogies, too.
I mean, I had no idea there was this huge vat in the middle
of Missouri somewhere, labelled "resources for the freedom movement
-- take all you want", and it turns out all those jerks in the LP
are elbowing everyone else aside to hog it all to themselves.
Pigs.
Geez, neither did I. But I do have a pig sticker. I gotta go find
this vat and take it for myself.
Seriously, if the Libertarian Party didn't exist, libertarians
would probably never manage to invade the fringes of the
Republicans and Democrats. Which means no Ron Paul runs.
That would be a sad thing.
Though I'd like it better if we could find a Ron Paul who didn't
summarily shoot himself in the foot whilst running for
president.
Canada has proportional representation. That helps a
lot.
No it doesn't. The Canadian and British Parliaments both have
regular FPTP voting, and both have third parties with substantial
numbers of MPs, enough to hold the balance of power on many
occasions.
"Lamar:
I can get on board with almost everything you said, except that
part of about Keynesian economics."
Don't get me wrong, pyramids schemes never last and are a poor
substitute for creating wealth, just like Keynesian manipulations.
I only put that in there because of the short term effect. There
does seem to be short term traction under the right conditions.
It's like a credit card. You can't keep using it over and over. You
use it a few times when it really effing matters (and even then,
who knows? But its a tool to try).
Of all people, libertarians should know that a movement
can't be planned.
I don't know why not.
Planning isn't the problem. Good planning, combined with good
marketing, is.
The reason the LP does terrible every time is there is too
much "this election is just too important, so i'm going to go with
team A (which i deem to be .05% better) this time" every fucking
election.
So what? My Team or Bust?
If I had a bumper sticker on my car it would read
Just Say No To Kooks
I do not have such a bumper sticker for fear that everyone would
think I, my very own self, was a kook.
But my own personal line in the sand is that I don't vote for
anybody who's more than 45% kook. Ron Paul was nearer to getting my
vote than anyone, but his kook fraction was running up around
65%.
Face it. The man got on the national stage and in true Barnie Fife
form, shot his left foot whilst trying to draw his six gun. He did
this by blabbering on and on about the gold standard, which utterly
drowned out the validity of his economic message.
This left Ron Paul to hop around on his one good foot. But then,
like Barnie Fife, he proceeded to shoot his own right foot whilst
trying to draw his other six gun. He did this by walking into the
Republican Convention -- at this very moment in history -- and
blasting the Iraq war right out of the water. Any valid point he
might have made, was thus assured to fall upon deaf ears.
Which left our hapless Ron Paul without a proverbial foot to stand
on.
You can blabber all day about "well hey man, he was right you
know". It doesn't change the fact that a good politician would have
packaged his message a bit more subtly. If you start out with a
literal series of blows to the people whom you must depend on for
your support, they're going to blow you off.
In which case you aren't going to have any real impact on
anything.
The thing that really sucks about politics is that it's ultimately
a great big game of compromise. Because the alternative is another
civil war.
Multi-party electoral systems also tend to break down into two
factions, since they too require a majority to create a leadership
position. Two-party and multi-party systems seem to be just
seperate ways to create bi-polar coalitions.
CED,
...one (Dems) that shared liberertarian goals of increased
freedom and liberty...
I'd say that libertarians (that is, liberals) on average have far
different notions of what freedom and liberty mean than what
Democrats do. Which is why the policy proposals of both are quite
different. When Democrats start to across the board (and not just
on one subject or two) about say self-ownership then I'd say there
was some meeting of ideas and purposes. Until then, Democrats and
liberals are generally going to be at cross-purposes and there is
no reason to suggest otherwise.
"OTOH, I've read enough French and Italian history that I'm
not so convinced that multi-party politics is really any
better."
Just remember that our system of unions has been in place for over
a hundred years. Europe has had the predecessors of unions for
close to 1,000. Perhaps that is why "multi-party" politics doesn't
work there....Nothing can.
Give up? Wow, now there's an attitude that will get you where
you want to be.
How 'bout, instead of just punting on libertarianism, the efforts
that go into the Libertarian Party are
redirected into something that would solve the problem?
Two things
A. I didn't mean to say that if people just voted the way that
their policy preferences are that the LP would be a major politcal
force, something like the cato projection of 15% of the electorate.
Just that the LP's numbers wouldn't be abysmal as they are right
now.
B. I don't see why people approach this LP vs. working inside
either party as a zero sum game.
"The thing that really sucks about politics is that it's
ultimately a great big game of compromise. Because the alternative
is another civil war."
Libertarians don't understand this. Most democracies are
centrist.
Nations that attempt to function on rigid, ideological grounds,
usually end up having to maintain their influence through
tyranny.
Even if Lew Rockwell shit sunshine one day, and a Libertarian
candidate was actually elected to office, the country would still
move back toward the center at some point in time, if not soon
after.
So, you can either start becoming a well adjusted, functional
member of the "system," or you can continue to suffer from the
politcal world's version of blue balls.
The Ron Paul campaign has shown that a libertarian candidacy
within a major party results in more attention than the LP
effort.
Reading the comments here, this apparently will require some people
to loosen their ideas of partisanship. That is, to undertstand that
supporting a good candidate in a major party primary doesn't
require that one swear allegiance to the Party in question.
There are some problems. One problem is that too many libertarian
activists get involved in selecting the least bad candidate at the
Presidential level. Huckabee is no good. We should support
Guiliani. No. The idea is to support libertarian campaigns in the
Republican primary.
A related problem is that because the campaign is less of a
longshot, there has traditionally been a tendency for the
candidates to try to downplay their libertarian views to appeal to
primary voters. For libertarian Republicans, that means running as
a fiscal convervative and downplaying personal liberties and
foreign policy. And, the libertarians who have won office often
soon become traditional conservatives.
However, victory is very distant at this time. I think that the
anwer is to just support candidates who run with a libertarian
message (on the federal level, that is all three legs of the
stool--personal liberty, economic freedom, and peace.) If some
candidate starts off with such a message, and then, in subsequent
campaigns runs on a more standard conservative (or liberal) message
to win primary votes--stop supporting that candidate. If they win,
and then, in order to win reelection, supports policies more
consistent with the others in their party. Stop supporting
them.
I don't advocate that people volunteer to do the household chores
in the major parties. Just work on libertarian campaigns.
There is no need to prove party loyalty in the general election
when a conservative (or liberal) wins.
Maybe, one day, when there are a significant number of libertarians
in Congress, it may be time for try for a new party. For example,
if the primary is clearly a stumbling block to reelection for some
libertarians. (Close cals in the primary against, say, a religious
right challenger, then easy victory in the general election even
though the religious right sits on their hands.) Significant
libertarian presence in both major parties. The libertian
Republican Congressman from Idaho wins the primaries in the
mountain west. The libertarian democrat from Oregan does well in
New England and West Coast primaries. Libertarians can't win either
primary, but maybe, a new party combining all 20 of them
libertarian Congressmen..
We are so distant from that world.
At the Presidential level, especially, it is easier to get into
primary debates than general election debates, and the campaign can
focus on early states.
Paul proved that substantial interest can be generated. And while,
he came nowhere close to winning, neither do LP candidates for high
level office.
I think Paul had weaknesses as a candidate and his campaign made
some serious errors. Such is life. But, he did generate a lot of
attention.
"Libertarians don't understand this. Most democracies are
centrist."
This is how illusion gets ya -- the center of a spectrum shifting
to the left means the center is more and more left. All centrism
says is that at any given time people will not go to the present
extremes, yet today's center was yesterday's extreme.
Has liberty no cause greater than the battle for the hearts and
minds of our fellow countryman ?
Is there no place for a frontline battle ? Yea, as I cast a gloomy
eye on those who would preach the cause and never suffer it.
Famous Mortimer,
Libertarians don't understand this. Most democracies are
centrist.
The "center" is at best a moving target.
As I'm fond of saying, Friedman pointed out that the most successful party of the last century was the socialist party. They may never have gotten more than 5% of the vote, but if you look at their party platforms from early in the century, they've been enacted into law virtually in their entirety.
And of course, Friedman missed the point, while
Hoppe got it. The reason why the US has become socialist is
that democracy by its very nature leads to socialism: this change
was inevitable, Socialist Party or no.
So, you can either start becoming a well adjusted,
functional member of the "system," or you can continue to suffer
from the politcal world's version of blue balls.
Well said.
But the point about the eventual shift left also seems to be on
too.
Famous Mortimer,
So, you can either start becoming a well adjusted, functional
member of the "system," or you can continue to suffer from the
politcal world's version of blue balls.
Or you can ignore what is happening in the realm of politics and
basically be as libertarian as possible in your own life (as
millions of other Americans do).
Ironic that Gene Berkman would call libertarian efforts within
the GOP "useless" the very year that we saw the most libertarian
member of Congress ever elected, on the Republican banner: Tom
McClintock of Berkman's home State of California.
Yup, electing McClintock was a failure of the libertarian
Republican strategy alright.
"So, you can either start becoming a well adjusted, functional
member of the "system," or you can continue to suffer from the
politcal world's version of blue balls."
Gee, I could become a socialist who thinks maybe the government
shouldn't regulate as heavily as it does, and occasionally suggests
that the latest nationalization is a bad idea. No thanks, I'll just
laugh at the centrists who, in the end, have nothing to stand for
and will thus for anything as long as it doesn't sound
"extreme".
DOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOONNNNNNNDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEERRRRRROOOOOOOOOOOO!
Barack Obama worked with the New Party in Chicago. They were an
independently-organised party who worked to elect New Party members
and endorsees to the Democratic ticket via the Democratic primary.
Their membership was informal enough that the real rising stars,
like Obama, could deny membership even as his face appeared on all
the New Party literature.
Libertarians should work with proven methods, and the New Party
method is now proven.
For a start the Libertarian Party should pledge not to run
candidates independently, except where the Republicans opt not to
run a candidate at all.
David Ross,
Wouldn't libertarians still have the problem that most Republican
and Democratic candidates are not worth endorsing?
economist, that's why God (or at least his Prophet, Saul
Alinsky) invented community organising.
Recruit a Libertarian candidate, get him (or, less likely, her)
onto the ballot as a Republican (or, less likely, Democrat) and
then there will be a candidate "worth endorsing". Because
s/he's already been selected for that purpose.
David Ross,
That depends on the Republicans accepting a libertarian candidate.
That's about as likely as a libertarian being accepted by the
Democrats (which in its turn is about as likely as the moon
suddenly crashing into the earth).
What the Libertarian Party needs is a figure that people are
interested in, and money. Like I said in another post, if the
walking stiff that is Ron Paul (all the respect in the world to the
guy, but his speaking ability is akin to what I saw in high school
debate class, at best) can garner that much support and money so
rapidly, it suggests to the capitalist in me an untapped
market.
If the Libertarians had a face that motivated people, they would be
in much better shape. I don't really agree with Barrack Obama on
just about anything, but he is an interesting enough person that
you actually do think about him and what he's saying. Once you get
someone actually thinking about what you're saying, well, if you're
a libertarian you have now won your battle.
Trouble is, libertarians do not get people thinking about what they
are saying, they get the worst reception of all, laughed out of the
debate. Too many times I think the "people at large" are laughing
the messenger and not the message out of the room. For the
Democrats and the Republicans, the dynamic works exactly
opposite...love for the messenger even while everyone knows the
message is complete fiction, even their own supporters to a
degree.
Bob Barr was the LP asking to be a punchline again, even if he was
Adam Smith reborn the package that came in was going to sit on the
shelf at the store of ideas. Just the way it is. You need to gussy
up the box your selling your product in or no one is going to buy
it. Getting rid of the LP Party is no way to go though, you just
take your box off the shelf completely. If we libertarians are
competitive by nature and not just thought, then we should be much
more competitive in the marketplace of ideas. We just need better
marketing.
A combinative approach ...
Enlarge the House of Reps to 600 seats.
Introduce proportional representation.
The LP vigorously recruits big money donors (Peter Lewis for
example).
Part of what has been fueling Nader is the fact that he did,
in fact, cause the Democrats to lose in 2000. I consider that a
*good* thing.
Strongly disagree there. I think there were a large number of
liberals who would have voted Green, but for the fear that George
W. Bush would win as a result. Fears repeatedly proven correct
every time a third-party costs someone an election by losing a
bunch of electoral votes in a swing state.
The Naderites getting drubbed by Democrats after the 2000 election
is the reason the Greens never took off. You seem to have forgotten
the vitriol directed their way after that event.
The LP is the same way.
Not sure there's a great advantage to apportioning either. If the
state is dominated by Republicans, there's an incentive to give as
many electoral votes to "their side" as possible. Partisanship
takes over in decidedly "red" or "blue" states. I'm sure people in
CA would say they want all 50 votes to go to the Democrats, and
they'd think you were crazy to demand apportionment when everyone
else isn't. It's like handing free votes to the other side.
So winner-take-all is incentivized no matter what.
I have made friends for life in the LP. I guess I could have
done that with HnR meet-ups, or anarcho-capitalist bridge clubs,
but Ilya Somin hasn't seen fit to organize those in my area yet, so
I think I'll just remain grateful for the LP.
There are HnR meetups, and anarcho-capitalist bridge clubs?
Anyway, we can theorize all day about parliamentary democracy,
but the only thing that stands a chance of ACTUALLY HAPPENING is
eliminating the electoral college.
Apportioning just ain't going to happen, the political hurdles are
too big. Eliminating the electoral college actually stands a chance
of getting enacted.
Gene: The RLC is not an anarchist organization. Do not condemn
it just because it doesn't advocate overthrowing the state. It is
libertarian-lite, which means I have to hold my nose a lot, but it
is still libertarian.
The big-government types in the RLC are leaving in disgust at all
the small-government types taking over. The last eight years were
somewhat painful, when the pro-war Donderoites seized control and
started telling everyone that liberty was about killing brown
people. But those guys have been pushed aside by new blood from the
R3volution. The big problem now is the anti-immigation
protectionism imported from that same R3volution.
The RLC is "big tent" libertarianism. That's heresy in some
quarters, but it's effective in getting the word out. I'm running a
growing RLC meetup. A GOP congressional candidate came last week
and discovered Friedman for the very first time. To my mind that's
a lot more effective than holing up in the LP bunker with a bunch
of hardliners.
p.s. If the Bush years turned you off forever on Republicans, then
there's still the Democratic Freedom Caucus. While too leftist for
my libertarian tastes, they're still an avenue for getting
libertarian ideas into Democrats' heads.
Actually, "first past the post" makes it easier for a third party to win -- you only need 34%. And with barely half the eligible people voting, it's more like 20%.
Most people would prefer a platform based on the "right" to
a job, health insurance a 40-hour work week, government-mandated
vacation, bread, circuses, et al.
I think the push now is for a 35-hour work week, or maybe every
other Friday off.
Three possible strategies:
1. Keep doing what we're doing. It looks hopeless at times (like
every election night), but you never know when the great mass of
voters will suddenly awaken from their stupor and see the light.
There is precedent -- see the fall of the Berlin Wall, or the
ouster of a certain Romanian dictator.
2. Join the Free State Project. Last I checked they were up to
8,000, and need only 12,000 more to get the move to NH started.
Over 500,000 people voted for the LP presidential candidate, so
we're only talking about 2.4% of Libertarians moving. (You go
first.)
3. Go all in on the Republican primaries. Ron Paul earned one
million votes, but a scant seven million more would have secured
the nomination. That's only 3.5% of the eligible voting population.
Most people don't vote in the primaries, so a dedicated 5% movement
(with 100% voter turnout) could subvert democracy and get a good
candidate on the November ballot. Then apathetic voters would vote
for the party label out of habit, and voila.
If the LP didn't exist, a libertarian who doesn't like either
major party candidate in any particular election could simply skip
voting for that office. The amount of influence said voter would
not change; that is, it's zero in both situations.
The place to push libertarian-leaning candidates is in the
primaries, folks. And in both major parties. For
example, I always push Russ Feingold as being a libertarian-leaning
candidate. His voting record on everything other than campaign
finance, taxes, and spending (and he's great on earmarks) is more
libertarian than anybody else in Congress save Ron Paul. Now, if
all you care about is lowering taxes, vote for whatever religious
wingnut the Republicans put up. But if you care about more than
that, at things like Iraq, Gitmo, censorship, warrantless wiretaps,
etc., then you have to look at both major parties. Pick and choose,
because shooting at the moon with the LP means you miss every
single time.
"This is how illusion gets ya -- the center of a spectrum
shifting to the left means the center is more and more left. All
centrism says is that at any given time people will not go to the
present extremes, yet today's center was yesterday's
extreme."
Certainly.
However, it ignores the main point about a Libertarian state being
unable to maintain long term power through democratic
elections.
Just because the center may shift back and forth over time, it
doesn't mean that it will shift dramatically enough to embrace full
on Libertarianism. In fact, it's absurd to even suggest that. It
betrays all understanding of human history, and man's status as
just another social primate.
I understand that it is important to remain positive, even in the
face of insurmountable odds, but I also know that many of you are
smarter than that.
Famous Mortimer,
However, it ignores the main point about a Libertarian state
being unable to maintain long term power through democratic
elections.
A libertarian state would only remain so as long as the culture
remained largely libertarian in outlook. Just about every
libertarian intellectual since I dunno, at least Spooner, has
written something like that in their copious writings.
Economist--
My point is that for the time being, forget about the general
election. Promote libertarian politicies in the primaries. A
libertarian candidate runs in the Republican or Democrat primary on
libertarian policies.
If the "Republicans" won't select a libertarian (that is, the
libertarian loses in the primary,) then there will be no libetarian
in the general election. Do nothing in the general election. Vote
for the lesser evil. Don't vote. Whatever. My view, however, is
that there should be no organized libertarian effort at that point.
(Or, write in a libertarian.)
I disagree with Geotpf. Feingold does have some strength's, of
course. Many poliiticans do on specific issues.
I don't think that libertarians running in primaries should run
"hard core" educational campaigns. I think they should run moderate
libertarian campaigns. They should be trying to get as many votes
as possible in the primary, subject to the limit that they have a
libertarian message-- less government across the board.
The point is, where can the limited resources of libertarian get
the most attention? I think that the Paul effort shows that it is
in the primaries.
This is certainly true at the Presidential level.
Of ocurse, I also think that someone who changes their stated
views chiefly to avoid looking "extreme" is really an unprincipled
hack. Say what you will about those far leftists from the '60s,
they said what they meant*.
*Except for the ones who were high and didn't know what they were
saying.
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