The Volokh Conspiracy
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Andrew McCarthy on "Why Trump's Section 122 Tariffs Are Illegal"
The prominent conservative legal commentator outlines the case against Trump's latest tariff power grab.

Within hours of the Supreme Court's decision striking down his massive IEEPA tariffs in our case challenging them, Donald Trump issued an executive proclamation invoking Section 122 of the Trade Act of 1974 to impose 10% global tariffs, and then upped the rate to 15%. Prominent conservative legal commentator Andrew McCarthy has an insightful National Review article explaining why these new tariffs are also illegal. McCarthy and I differ over many issues. But we agree on this one. Here's an excerpt:
These new tariffs are even more clearly illegal than Trump's IEEPA tariffs…..
In Section 122, Congress endowed the president with narrow, temporary authority to impose tariffs "to deal with large and serious United States balance-of-payments deficits" (emphasis added). What Trump is complaining about — something he insists is a crisis but is not — is the balance of trade, not of payments. The United States does not have an overall balance of payments deficit, much less a large and serious one.
A trade deficit between the U.S. and a foreign nation occurs, mainly in connection with goods (which is just one aspect of international commerce), when imports are greater than exports. This is not really a problem for a variety of reasons — e.g., a trade deficit results in an investment surplus, the U.S. is a major services economy and often runs exported services surpluses that mitigate the imports deficit in goods, etc.
The balance of payments is a broader concept than the balance of trade. It accounts for all the economic transactions that take place between the United States and the rest of the world. Even without getting into every kind of transaction that entails, suffice it to say that foreign investment in the United States, coupled with the advantages our nation accrues because the dollar is the world's reserve currency, more than make up for the longstanding trade deficit in goods.
Our overall payments are in balance. There is no crisis.
It's vital to understand why Section 122 was enacted. There was a financial crisis in the late 60s and early 70s under the Bretton Woods system, when the dollar was tied to gold. Foreign countries that held dollar reserves could exchange them for gold at a fixed rate. Meanwhile, our government was spending at a high clip due to the Vietnam War and Great Society programs. This and the obligation to pay out gold put enormous pressure on the dollar…
Now, over a half century later, these conditions no longer obtain. The dollar floats and the government does not concern itself with gold parity. The dollar is the global reserve currency, so demand for dollars by foreign nations is robust. We have strong capital inflows and our highly liquid financial markets are the envy of the world. Notwithstanding trade deficits, there is no balance of payments problem.
Nor is it necessary, as Section 122 puts it, to impose temporary tariffs in order "to prevent an imminent and significant depreciation of the dollar in foreign exchange markets[.]"
There is no rationale under Section 122 to impose tariffs. Because President Trump has no unilateral authority to order tariffs, he must meet the preconditions of Section 122 to justify levying them. He cannot. Not even close.
I agree. And I think there are additional reasons why the new Section 122 tariffs are illegal. I will have more to say about them in the coming days.
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America's adversaries have no better friend than Ilya Somin. He has dedicated his professional life to doing everything he can to help them and hurt the country that saved his family from communism.
How is pointing out Trump's illegal actions hurting the country?
I'd used "unconstitutional actions" rather than 'illegal actions' in this context. I'd save "illegal actions" for his countless rapes and sexual assaults, his decades of fraud on helpless merchants, his discrimination against blacks and other POCs, and the 90-odd felonies he was either convicted of or evaded due to abuse of the legal process.
(Let it not be said that we're unfair to Trump, here in the VC comments section.) 🙂
The Supreme Court has tried very hard to find ways of ruling against President Trump without ruling that he failed to meet the factual predicate for a statute. Doing so would require saying that what the President wasn’t true.
I don’t think the Supreme Court can get out of this one. I think that it will have to find some way of saying that Section 122 of the Trade Act of 1974 was designed for a different situation from the one we are currently in.
Professor Somin has gone on record saying that Congress simply can’t delegate its taxing power to the President at all, that such a delegation is unconstitutional. While I think that the statement that all revenue bills must originate in the House may provide some basis for such a position, ai think this time it is incumbent on the Court to first address whether the statue permits President Trump’s actions before deciding whether the Constitution permits the statute, and only reaching the second question if the first question is answered “no.”
Here. I think the courts can address the issue without saying the President is lying. Looking at the terms of the Proclamation, while it states that “fundamental payments problems exist” and gives examples of them, it doesn’t look like it ever actually says that those problems meet one of the three criteria that trigger tariff authority.
Those three criteria are:
(1) large and serious balance of payment deficits, or
(2) an imminent or significant depreciation of the dollar in foreign exchange markets, or
(3) to cooperate with other countries in correcting a balance-of-payments disequilibrium.
I agree that none of those criteria is met. But if the proclamation never actually provides facts SAYING that at least one of those three criteria is met, then the courts can reject the proclamation as legally inadequate without ever having to pass judgment on the truth of the facts it asserts.
As I read the proclamation, while it asserts as a legal conclusion that the United States has a balance-of-payments deficit in Paragraph 13, the previous paragraphs, while asserting difficulties and deficits in various components of the balance-of-payments calculus, never actually find as a fact that the United States has one, taken as a whole
So it seems to me the Proclamation could potentially be invalidated for failing to factually support its legal claim that a deficit exists without ever judicially ruling that any of the facts asserted in the fact-finding portion of the proclamation is false.
I suspect this is the way the Supreme Court will handle it.
Clarification : the proclamation DOES say, in paragraph 13, that the balance of payments deficit condition is met. But it asserts this not as a fact, but as a legal conclusion based on facts. And if you go through the preceding fact-finding paragraphs, it never actually finds this as a fact. It finds various facts involving various components of the balance of payments calculation. But those components don’t add up to the balance of payments as a whole.
https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/2026/02/imposing-a-temporary-import-surcharge-to-address-fundamental-international-payments-problems/
Trump's mindless obsession with tariffs is an embarrassment to the US. He does not even know who pays the tariffs.
What happened to the Wall?? And the funniest thing was the Haitians that came into America in January 2021 when there was a wall!! The wall Trump built was 100 feet inside America and so the wall didn’t prevent them from coming into America!?! So hilarious!
It would be a great mistake to regard anything Trump does as mindless. His competence and skill at acquiring and consolidating power has been demonstrated so clearly that continuing to live under delusions of his inadequacy is downright dangerous.
Hitler’s political opponents uniformly thought of him an incompetent buffoon. He capitalized on this delusion of theirs to such brilliant strategic effect that many of them remained clueless about what he was capable of until the moment the bullet hit their skull.
Sure. Hitler again. *eyeroll.
Trump takes a big leap closer to Hitler by publicly calling justices of the Supreme Court traitors, agents of foreign powers, and traitors to the country.
And the only thing you can muster is an eyeroll? Trump being like Hitler again is just same old, same old, of course he is, everyone knows it, nothing new about it?
That’s pretty lame.
You voted for Bush in 2004…winning an election isn’t a big deal with 100% name recognition.
“The claim that there was no connection between Iraq and al-Qaeda is untrue“
Andrew C McCarthy 3/16/23
Poor Ilya. Just a few days ago he posted a column saying "WE WON."
Wipe the egg off your face Ilya!
Wipe Trump’s jizz off your face.
I'm not usually a fan of McCarthy, but he largely nails it here.
I wonder if Trump, with all his BS about committed investments in the US, understands that large capital inflows - a surplus on the capital account - mean a deficit on the current account.
I'm betting not.