The Volokh Conspiracy
Mostly law professors | Sometimes contrarian | Often libertarian | Always independent
Justice Kavanaugh on the Peril of Writing Shadow Docket Opinions
Rushing out opinions can lock in erroneous conclusions and create problematic precedent.
Speaking at the Eighth Circuit Judicial Conference this week, Justice Brett Kavanaugh addressed concerns about the Supreme Court's failure to issue opinions with "shadow docket" orders. While explanatory opinions could be useful, he explained, rushing out opinions could increase the risk of error.
Kavanaugh . . . said there can be a "danger" in writing those opinions. He said that if the court has to weigh a party's likelihood of success on the merits at an earlier stage in litigation, that's not the same as reviewing their actual success on the merits if the court takes up the case.
"So there could be a risk in writing the opinion, of lock-in effect, of making a snap judgment and putting it in writing, in a written opinion that's not going to reflect the final view," Kavanaugh said.
Kavanaugh said members of the court have differing thoughts on when to issue opinions for those cases on the so-called shadow docket, or when parties petition the justices for emergency relief on rulings made by lower courts. He said those cases will "get back to us soon enough."
Adam Liptak of the New York Times reports further:
Justice Kavanaugh said presidents of both parties were to blame. "Executive branches of both parties over the last 20 years have been increasingly trying to issue executive orders and regulations that achieve the policy objectives of the president in power," he said. Those actions give rise to challenges that can race to the Supreme Court. . . .
Emergency applications present the court with difficult issues, Justice Kavanaugh said.
"What is the status of the new regulation or executive order for the next two years?" he asked. "That itself is a very important question, and that's the question we often have to decide: Will the new regulation be in effect or not be in effect in the next two years?" . . .
In opening remarks, without referring to Mr. Trump's attacks on the federal judiciary, Justice Kavanaugh thanked the assembled judges for their service and urged them "to preserve what I think is the crown jewel of our constitutional democracy, which is the independence of the judiciary."
As Liptak also reports, Justice Elena Kagan made the case for explaining such orders at the Ninth Circuit's judicial conference last week.
In a similar appearance last week at the Ninth Circuit's judicial conference, Justice Elena Kagan, who has often dissented from the court's emergency rulings in favor of President Trump, made the opposite case, saying the majority should do more to explain its reasoning.
"I think as we have done more and more on this emergency docket, there becomes a real responsibility that I think we didn't recognize when we first started down this road, to explain things better," Justice Kagan said. "I think that we should hold ourselves, sort of on both sides, to a standard of explaining why we're doing what we're doing."
Editor's Note: We invite comments and request that they be civil and on-topic. We do not moderate or assume any responsibility for comments, which are owned by the readers who post them. Comments do not represent the views of Reason.com or Reason Foundation. We reserve the right to delete any comment for any reason at any time. Comments may only be edited within 5 minutes of posting. Report abuses.
Please
to post comments
Great. How about letting lower court judges do their jobs & not needing to explain why you in an unprincipled and/or slipshod fashion decide not to do so? Win/win.
BTW, Prof. Vladeck has in the past did a good job answering Kavanaugh's selectively applied approach.
At the very least, they should accept that unreasoned or under-reasoned orders aren’t actually precedent and stop expecting lower courts to always follow those orders in completely different cases especially when there is on-point merits precedent that hasn’t actually been overruled.
Someone once observed that at least some of justices on the court view themselves as lording over the constitutional system instead of being part of it. The same is true of its relationship to the judiciary as a whole. It’s obviously the highest and final authority in the system but it still isn’t an all powerful overlord that can simply rearrange the entire legal system on a whim. Other actors in the system have agency and power and don’t just react to sudden whims and trends at the high court. There is an entire body of law that the other actors work off of that existed before this current court and will exist long after.
LawTalkingGuy — Good points, but put it more simply. Let shadow docket orders apply only to the case in question. No precedential authority at all. And the order gets expunged if the case is never heard in full, with a published opinion or opinions.
That would at least reduce the incentive to maximize political influence by avoiding opinions. Seems like the Court now is getting into a habit to just announce how everything is supposed to come out nationwide. Not bothering with opinions speeds the process.
Given the Cases and Controversies clause, no case which has not been considered fully on both the merits and all procedural issues—with an opinion to explain the reasoning—ought to become governing precedent.
That sounds a lot like rationalizing by Kavanaugh. "Oh, if we write an opinion explaining why we think the likelihood of success on the merits favors Trump, we might get locked into that view." Uh huh. But surely it's the finding that the likelihood of success on the merits favors Trump that presents the danger of lock-in.
Kavanaugh's comment would make sense if SCOTUS was declining to reverse a lower court's ruling or injunction. But it makes no sense the other way around, as it is here.
Kavanaugh sees a need, "to preserve what I think is the crown jewel of our constitutional democracy, which is the independence of the judiciary." Before we worry about preserving it, I'd like to see more evidence it still exists.
But I can see why Kavanaugh doesn't want to explain his decisions. "We're trying to put off as long as we can the day Trump defies one of our orders." wouldn't look good in print.
Heavens! Can't have sloppy precedent! Why, that might lock in the bad precedent from Slaughterhouse for, I dunno, 152 years!
Then there's Ohio v. Roberts which established precedent in 1980, Crawford v. Washington overruled it in 2004, and in 2025, two Supreme Court justices suggested the time was coming to overrule that (but one to weaken it, the other to strengthen it). Precedent is precious!
https://reason.com/volokh/2025/03/24/justices-alito-and-gorsuch-would-like-to-reconsider-crawford/
Holy hell. Does he realize that he is a major part of the problem that he is complaining about? He could have written a concurring opinion on any of the shadow docket cases.
He actually does write things. The problem is that doesn’t help, because it’s just his view. And it might even make things more confusing for everyone.
In the NY Times today:
Someone Is Defying the Supreme Court, but It Isn’t Trump
By Adrian Vermeule
https://www.nytimes.com/2025/07/31/opinion/supreme-court-trump-judges-defiance.html
Interesting thread discusing the piece among Vermule,Richard Re, snd Alder
https://x.com/jadler1969/status/1950896105601843319?t=6arfoXFtZvawlV9OQSWq1Q&s=19
SCOTUS has been issuing non-precedential rulings on the shadow docket that apply only to the case at hand and under the specific circumstance. Judges are not bound at all by those decisions in regards to other cases or different circumstances.
If SCOTUS wants the lower courts to follow it's guidance, it needs to make precedential rulings.
Kavanaugh seems to be saying, “We’re sure enough that we’re right to issue orders affecting the rights of the parties, but not sure enough to explain what we’re doing.”
Well ,of course, Pres Trump has become the Walmart of executive Orders, putting them on the shelves as fast as possible. But the revolution by the District Courts in issuing nationwide injunctions has caused immense bad publicity for the Judiciary and problems for the Supreme Court.
Justice Kavanaugh has acquitted himself well in his opinions and leadership, but the imperial district courts are causing a lot of the headaches./