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A Conservative Constitutional Argument Against a National Abortion Ban
Conservative legal scholar William Hodes argues that federal restrictions on abortion are beyond the scope of Congressional power.

Since the Supreme Court overruled Roe v. Wade in Dobbs v. Jackson Women's Health Organization last year, many conservatives have begun to advocate the enactment of a federal law banning or restricting abortion. That includes at least three current GOP presidential candidates, and prominent GOP Sen. Lindsey Graham, who has proposed a federal ban on abortions more than 15 weeks into a pregnancy.
In an article published on the Federalist Society website, pro-life conservative legal scholar William Hodes argues that any such federal legislation would be unconstitutional, because it would exceed the scope of congressional power:
There are weighty legal, moral, medical, and political or policy arguments both for and against abortion, at different points during the gestation period and under varying maternal and fetal circumstances. But those are not the stuff of constitutional adjudication. The point of Dobbs, as the Court repeatedly said, was to return those arguments to the political process, meaning "to the people and their elected representatives." Moreover, the Court repeatedly made clear its assumption that those elected representatives would be state legislators….
The chief reason that the proposed federal law cannot survive a constitutional challenge is that Congress lacks power to punish individual abortionists for plying their trade….
The government of the United States is a government of limited, enumerated powers. It has no power under the Fourteenth Amendment to criminalize the actions of individuals unless they are state or local government operatives or can be said to be acting "under color of state law." To be sure, non-government actors can become state actors by conspiring with state or local officials or acting on their behalf, at their direction, or in response to their coercion.
But mere government "facilitation" or "encouragement," such as, perhaps, the payment of Medicaid dollars, is not enough to turn private action into state action, unless it can fairly be said that the action—the abortion—is attributable to the state….
Although the state action doctrine prevents Congress from passing laws regulating or criminalizing private conduct pursuant to its Fourteenth Amendment enforcement power, there are many federal statutes, both criminal and civil, that do directly prohibit private actors from interfering with or violating the federal rights of others. Congressional power to pass those laws is derived from the Necessary and Proper Clause as applied to bankruptcy, federal taxation, patents, the post office, and much more. But the default go-to source of power is the Interstate Commerce Clause—frequently the constitutional elephant in the room…..
In the 1995 case of U.S. v. Lopez, for example, the Supreme Court invalidated the Gun-Free School Zones Act of 1990, which Congress had passed relying solely on the authority of its Commerce Clause power. A narrow majority of the Court held that talismanic invocation of the Commerce Clause was not enough: the mere possession of a firearm near a school could not "affect" any commercial or economic activity, even in the aggregate, although it is easy to list almost endless possible follow-on economic consequences of guns in schools, such as an increase in overall medical costs. But those consequences could just as easily follow from the commission of almost any crime, which demonstrated that the 1990 Act was a "police power" regulation, pure and simple. And the Constitution does not assign police powers to the federal government that it can bring to bear against individual citizens.
For the same reason, the Supreme Court invalidated the part of the Violence Against Women Act of 1994 that allowed a victim of sexual assault to sue her attacker, whether the attack was perpetrated under color of state law or not. In the 2000 case of U.S. v. Morrison, the Court again found that punishing the actor in such situations was beyond the scope of Congress's Commerce Clause power, because the act itself had no economic or commercial element to it.
Perhaps most significant was the 2012 decision in National Federation of Independent Business v. Sebelius, which famously (or infamously) upheld the Affordable Care Act (Obamacare) requirement that individuals buy a certain level of pre-paid health care services as a valid exercise of Congress's power to tax. But the Court only addressed the tax question because it had first held that Congress had exceeded its power under the Commerce Clause.
That initial part of the NFIB decision had major implications for the future development of the Court's approach to the Commerce Clause, because although the economic and commercial impact of the individual mandate could not have been clearer, Chief Justice Roberts cogently explained that Congress was not engaging in any regulation of commerce. It was imposing a health and welfare regulation pursuant to a police power it did not have, and trying to pass it off as regulating commerce simply because so much money was involved.
Put Lopez and Morrison and NFIB together, and the pathway to invalidating a potential federal 15-week abortions restriction as an exercise of the Commerce Clause power is easy to see.
I agree with Hodes' conclusion and with most of his arguments. It's worth noting that, if a federal law banning abortion is beyond the scope of Congress' power, the same is also true of laws proposed by Democrats mandating nationwide protection for abortion rights, overriding contrary state laws. Before Dobbs, such a law might have been defensible as a tool for enforcing individual constitutional rights protected by the Fourteenth Amendment. But under Dobbs, there is little, if any such right, remaining, and therefore Congress could not legislate to protect it using its Section 5 power to enact "appropriate" legislation to enforce the Fourteenth Amendment. There is likely an exception for laws protecting individuals' rights to travel out of state to get an abortion, a right Justice Kavanaugh emphasized remains protected in a key concurring opinion in Dobbs. The same might be true for cases where an abortion is needed to protect the life of the pregnant woman.
I would, however, qualify Hodes' argument in three ways. First, I am not as convinced as he is that Dobbs limits abortion regulation to the states. I think the Court simply did not address the extent to which (if any) Congress has power in this area.
Second, I believe current Supreme Court Commerce Clause precedent (which I believe is badly wrong on some points) leaves more room for federal abortion regulation than Hodes allows, though I also think it likely that the Court might overrule or pare back the relevant precedent if the issue comes up. I covered some of these issues here:
Under cases such as Gonzales v. Raich (2005), the Supreme Court has held that Congress' power to regulate interstate commerce includes the authority to restrict almost any "economic activity," so long as it has a "substantial effect" on interstate trade. And [in Raich] "economic activity" is defined very broadly to include anything that involves the "production, distribution, and consumption of commodities." That definition allowed the Court to use the Commerce Clause to uphold a federal ban on the possession of marijuana that had never crossed state lines or been sold in any market (even an intrastate one). Nearly all abortions involve the "consumption" and "distribution" of commodities, such as medical supplies. In addition, most abortions qualify as "economic" transactions because doctors, nurses, and others are paid to perform them.
One could argue that a federal law banning or severely restricting abortions isn't "really" aimed at regulating interstate commerce. The true motive would be to restrict abortion regardless of whether it involved interstate transactions or not. But much the same can be said for the marijuana ban upheld in Raich, and other federal laws enforcing the War on Drugs. They go far beyond targeting actual interstate trade in drugs, and instead forbid even in-state distribution and possession of illegal narcotics.
If, as is likely, the interstate abortion market expands in the wake of a Supreme Court decision overruling Roe [update: it has indeed done so] Congress could claim that suppression of intrastate abortions is necessary in order to enforce restrictions on those that involve crossing state lines. If abortion is banned in State A, but legal in neighboring State B, that creates an incentive for residents of A to cross into B in order to get abortions—even if the feds enact a ban on such crossing. That ban might be more effectively enforced if abortion were illegal in B as well as A…..
The Commerce Clause rationale for abortion restrictions might not apply to abortions that are performed on a noncommercial basis by staff who provide their services for free. But such cases are only a small percentage of the total. Moreover, in Raich, the Court upheld the ban on Angel Raich's possession of marijuana even though the producers had in fact provided it to her for free. The theory was that even such completely noncommercial production and distribution of an illegal drug could impact the interstate market.
These…. Commerce Clause arguments may strike some readers as the kind of sophistry that gives lawyers a bad name. I sympathize with that reaction! I hate these arguments myself, and have long argued that Raich is a terrible decision that should be overruled. But this is exactly the sort of reasoning that prevailed in Raich, and provides a constitutional rationale for much of the federal War on Drugs.
As Hodes points out, Justice Clarence Thomas (a man not normally considered a champion of abortion rights!) has suggested (in a 2007 concurring opinion) he believes federal abortion restrictions may go beyond the scope of congressional power. And I think there is a good chance Thomas and at least some other conservative justices would vote to invalidate such laws on federalism grounds, if the issue comes before them. It's even possible such a law would be invalidated by a coalition of conservative justices who believe it exceeds the scope of federal power, and liberal ones who vote against on individual rights grounds (because they are willing to overturn or limit Dobbs, a precedent they have little respect for).
Finally, for reasons I summarized here, Congress could potentially use its Spending Clause power to restrict abortion by conditioning federal grants to state and local governments on the latter's willingness to enact abortion restrictions. Of course, states could potentially refuse the grants (and associated conditions), and many blue states might well do exactly that.
Even if a Republican wins the presidency in 2024, it's far from clear that any federal abortion ban will be enacted anytime soon. Such a law would, among other things, likely have to overcome a filibuster in the Senate (or GOP senators would have to change the filibuster rules). But the idea of a federal ban is mainstream enough to be taken seriously. Thus, it's also worth considering the constitutional case against it. Hodes has performed a useful service in summarizing it. And, as a pro-life conservative, he cannot easily be accused of just bending the law to support his policy preferences.
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It's the same argument used by Southern filibusterers in the Senate to block anti-lynching bills: suppression of private violence is the responsibility of the states alone. If the states don't punish lynching, what are ya gonna do? The feds are powerless.
Taking a leaf from the anti-lynching crusaders' playbook, why not impose fines on any county which neglects to punish abortion?
And here we have, precisely, the intended application of the EP clause: It is a violation of that clause on the part of state officers for them to fail to enforce laws against assault or murder just because the victims are black. And Congress can make that failure a violation of federal law.
They were scarcely powerless just because non state actors weren't bound by it.
Brett, the clause reads:
"nor shall any State deprive any person of life, liberty, or property, without due process of law; nor deny to any person within its jurisdiction the equal protection of the laws."
I'm not a fan of this, but all Congress has to do is find that a fetus is a "person" (which is a defensible argument) and then this "person" is denied right to life in violation of the above. If you want to tie it closer to state action, every blue state has lots of regulations *about* abortion, including *licenses* for those who perform them, and I believe the venues as well.
And as cutting off state funds, New Hampshire STILL does not have a seatbelt law...
In the 2000s during the Bush presidency when Republicans were slaughtering innocent Muslims by the thousands Republican activists wanted the Supreme Court to declare babies in the womb as citizens that have rights under the Constitution.
Well, Bush was (slaughtering innocent Muslims by the thousands) that's what happens when you slaughter thousands of our Peoples, and babies in the womb are citizens that have rights under the Constitution.
Well, thats a Surpreme Court Decision, not sure if they can be overturned,
The Supreme Court has repeatedly said that it and only it determines what the word “person” means for 5th and 14th Amendment purposes. Congress cannot simply redefine 5th and 14th Amendment terms to give it authority to enforce something the Supreme Court says wsn’t granted it. It has some flexibility on details, but not on big picture issues. That’s what City of Boerne v. Flores was about.
Nothing in Dobbs disturbed the Supreme Court’s prior rulings that the term “person” as used in the Due Process and Equal Protection clauses lacks prenatal application. So the Federal Goverent’s 14th Amendment enforcement powers simply don’t cover it.
I am familiar with the principles under which the Dodds court acted – they care not whether abortion is voted up or voted down, as Stephen Douglas cared not whether slavery was voted up or voted down.
https://iusetiustitium.com/little-giant-constitutionalism/
His position is basically correct. Even if you think abortion is murder, murder has traditionally not been a matter of federal law, outside special federal areas (e.g., military bases. See 18 U.S. Code §§ 7, 1111)
That said, the Commerce Clause has been stretched far beyond its original intent. And abortion is almost always done for a fee, using equipment that has traveled in interstate commerce. All of which has been used to justify very thorough regulation of the medical field. If the FDA can regulate what medical procedures and equipment hospitals can use, then it (or another federal agency) can regulate abortion. In fact, the FDA already regulates certain abortion drugs, as recent events have demonstrated.
Right. The argument seems plausible but wouldn't it require a sea change in the law as it stands? Seems like the feds easily pick up whatever murders or other crimes they want to, currently. Otherwise this is just another blatant double standard.
I would not be surprised if the current Supreme Court would uphold a federal limitation or ban on abortion rights, and I also would not be surprised if the Supreme Court would strike down a federal law legalizing abortion in every state. I have NO doubt that Clarence Thomas would ignore any previous words he penned on the subject in a case limiting abortion rights. I have NO doubt Samuel Alito would vote to uphold a federal limitation and strike down a federal legalization. Thomas and Alito have proven themselves to be partisan hacks untethered to any legal principle on this subject, or many others. After, all, even the saintly Justice Scalia betrayed his strong belief in federalism in Raich v. Gonzalez when the topic, legalization of marijuana, was revolting to his conservative sensibilities.
“I have NO doubt that Clarence Thomas would [etc.]…I have NO doubt Samuel Alito would [etc.]”
Hypothetical boldfaced outrages are the worst kind.
Of course, if they were true extremist right–wing zealots, they’d take another look at that Fourteenth Amendment language about the right to life and equal protection, as applied in the abortion context.
That argument has not yet come before the court, and if it does, my money is on Alito and Thomas finding a constitutional mandate for a nationwide abortion ban. Do you have any reason to think I'm wrong?
“That argument has not yet come before the court”
https://www.supremecourt.gov/DocketPDF/19/19-1392/185196/20210729093557582_210169a%20Amicus%20Brief%20for%20efiling%207%2029%2021.pdf
“Do you have any reason to think I’m wrong?”
I don’t want you to be wrong, but you’ve been wrong in the past, indeed, you’ve been wrong in the first sentence of your comment, as I noted.
Being raised in an amicus brief in which the argument was unnecessary to decide the case isn’t exactly being before the Court. Unlike the parties, amici are not bound by the question presented. They can, and do, argue whatever they like. Get back to me when the Court grants cert specifically on that issue.
You said the *argument* hadn't come before the Court, yet the argument came before the court in an amicus brief.
The Court relegated abortion to "democratic" procedures, calling the Constitution "neutral" on the issue.
Where's the right-wing extremism when we really need it?
When I said "before the court" I assumed you were smart enough to figure out that I meant "properly" before the court, and amicus overreaching does not put something before the court that wasn't already there.
Thomas and Alito may be extremist nuts, but they are sufficiently loyal to the institution that they're not going to violate the basic principle that court decide cases on the narrowest possible ground, otherwise it's an advisory opinion which is forbidden by Article III. If and when they have a case in which the narrowest possible ground is the question of whether the Fourteenth Amendment mandates a national ban on abortion, they'll be only too happy to find that it does. Whether they can get three of their colleagues to go along with them on that question remains to be seen.
Meantime, the political problem for the fetus-worshippers is that they have little public support. When placed on the ballot, abortion rights wins in red states like Kansas and Kentucky, and will win in Ohio this November, and in Florida next year. I strongly suspect that if there were a mechanism to put abortion rights on the ballot in Texas and Mississippi, it would probably win there too.
If the amicus brief's arguments were not properly before the court, did the Court act improperly by allowing the brief to be filed?
This wasn't a case of the narrowest possible ground - they went out of the way to adopt the principle of the Roman Coliseum, that the vote of the people was what decided the lives of human beings.
Even the Roe court addressed the issue of the rights of the unborn: "The appellee and certain amici argue that the fetus is a "person" within the language and meaning of the Fourteenth Amendment. In support of this, they outline at length and in detail the well known facts of fetal development. If this suggestion of personhood is established, the appellant's case, of course, collapses, for the fetus' right to life would then be guaranteed specifically by the Amendment." The Court then went on to reject the personhood argument, which by your logic wasn't narrow enough to even be discussed.
Are you saying Roe was wrong? I say so as well, but at least they saw which arguments were relevant.
"fetus-worshippers"
It's interesting that people who don't think it should be legal to kill fetuses should be called fetus-worshippers, but there's precedent: people who thought black people shouldn't be enslaved were called "[bleep]-worshippers."
500k embryos are being frozen in perpetuity right now…do they have rights??
Except for the minor detail that there was no real question that blacks were persons; there is a huge and unresolved question as to whether fetuses are.
The argument used to be that fetuses weren’t *human,* an argument which was so easily countered – even mocked – that they went to denying personhood instead.
An affirmation pf personhood is hard to reconcile with saying blacks had “no rights which the white man was bound to respect.”
Most people equate "fetuses are humans" to "fetuses are persons" so the argument has always been (de facto) whether fetuses are persons. If they are, then wouldn't a woman who has an abortion be a first-degree murderer? Ditto the clinician who destroys an embryo in either an IVF clinic or stem-cell research lab?
Slaveholders and Jim Crow proponents didn't even pretend to be logically consistent; neither could be squared with the claim that all men are created equal. Unlike abortion rights advocates who either don't believe the fetus to be a person, or believe that even if it is the rights of the woman to bodily integrity trump it. You may disagree with those arguments but they are internally consistent, unlike the arguments made for slavery or Jim Crow.
"Slaveholders and Jim Crow proponents didn’t even pretend to be logically consistent; neither could be squared with the claim that all men are created equal."
Of course they pretended to be logically consistent, and after the "positive good" school emerged around the 1830s, they denied that all men are created equal.
I think Roe was badly reasoned, and I certainly don't agree with everything in Roe, but I agree with its bottom line that a flat ban on all abortions is unconstitutional. Just like permitting an amicus brief to be filed doesn't mean the Court agrees that everything in it is properly before the court. Sometimes you just throw a bunch of arguments at the court to see what sticks.
I do not believe a fetus is a person, but even if I did, that would not resolve the issue. At that point, you have two persons -- the fetus and the pregnant woman -- with rights in conflict and the court would analyze it the same way it analyzes other cases in which you have rights in conflict. There is a fairly well established framework for deciding how to resolve rights in conflict. My view is that the pregnant woman wins that analysis; I'm sure you would disagree.
And ultimately you've adopted as settled two questions that I think are far from settled: Is the fetus a person, and if so, do its rights trump those of the pregnant woman. You're entitled to make your arguments. You're not entitled to talk as if questions that are in hot dispute are settled questions.
The only question that's settled is that the amicus brief's arguments were properly before the court.
I was suggesting that the Dobbs decision was a throw-them-to-the-crowds-in-the-arena decision, worthy of Senator Stephen Douglas.
The mother has her rights, including the right to life, which is why the child's right to life doesn't mean it can kill its mother.
But once you've gotten beyond these hard cases and enter into the realm of "elective" abortions, the fetus is in a better position as far as rights.
The amicus question may be settled in your mind. It's OK to acknowledge that you were wrong; you don't have to stubbornly hold on to a position once it's been explained to you why you are mistaken.
And it's not a question of the pregnant woman's right to life, but rather her bodily integrity.
I think that the further along a pregnancy has progressed, and the more the fetus has developed, the stronger the argument that it's a person in its own right. In the first trimester it really doesn't matter why a woman wants to abort; in the third trimester it probably does.
"you don’t have to stubbornly hold on to a position once it’s been explained to you why you are mistaken"
Physician, heal yourself.
Just as soon as you get a good quality mirror.
“That argument has not yet come before the court”
Yet the court itself allowed an amicus brief with that argument, and even in Roe specifically replied to arguments on the issue.
In your evaluation of how often it’s been before the court, you’re off by at least 2.
The court wouldn't have to grant cert.
1: Congress passes law mandating abortion OK in all states.
2: Red states sue Federal Govt.
3: Scotus has initial jurisdiction of suits by a state, right?
Yes and no. The recent trend is for the Supreme Court to turn away suits by states unless they involve a boundary dispute. They just simply dismiss the case. But in theory, if the Supreme Court accepted the case, that could work.
The current Court? Sure. This is the reason the modern American mainstream is likely to replace the current Court with a better Court.
Of course Coach/Sandusky-Alex-M/Kirtland is not surprised or understands that the present Jurisprudence on Abortion is not the reason the modern American mainstream is likely to replace the current Court with a better Court.
It's the reason it took so long to replace the current Court with a better Court.
There are plenty of federal agencies empowered to restrict how states manage their food, roads, waters and especially health. Nothing can stop a determined Republican Congress from backing out of their sacred 'state's rights' pledge and going straight for a federal ban. The fact that all you hillbillies would make liars out of yourselves and support such a thing shows the bankruptcy of your party and yourselves.
Careful, there . . . Prof. Volokh dislikes it -- sometimes to the point of imposing censorship -- when commenters describe his conservative fans with words such as that one.
I think there is a good chance Thomas and at least some other conservative justices would vote to invalidate such laws on federalism grounds, if the issue comes before them.
Good old Jonathan. Laugh-a-minute.
The Court's commerce clause jurisprudence is such an offense that, even in a worthy cause like banning abortion, I can't bring myself to endorse its expansion.
However, it would be a bittersweet victory if the Court used the occasion of striking down such a law as an opportunity to start rolling that obscene jurisprudence back.
Which is why the absurd rationale underlying Heller was developed—Republican justices refused to use right to privacy as a foundation for the RKBA.
Dobbs put the abortion question directly to the people to decide for themselves. They are. Some states have more restrictive laws wrt abortion, and others more permissive laws wrt abortion. The world as we know it has not ended.
I was involved in the Tea Party movement and the Republican activists that were around during the Bush years all believed abortion was murder and wanted the Supreme Court to protect the rights of babies in the womb. They would have told you a candidate like DeSantis that signs a 6 week ban is a baby murderer in 2010.
Yes, I was there and you are right.
HOWEVER we never -- ever-- really thought that we'd ever get Roe outright overturned like Dobbs did. I also never thought I would see the Berlin Wall come down -- it had been there all my life and expected it always would be.
Having been around those Republican activists and earlier having been around Federalist Society members…I knew they were serious about overturning Roe. I can tell you most people didn’t believe Republican activists were serious and they also didn’t believe they were sincere Christians but all of the ones I was around were deeply religious and believed all of it.
I mean, I was serious about wanting Roe overturned but didn't think it would happen. Even courts with 6 Catholics or like 8 justices appointed by Republicans didn't overturn it.
Nixon, Ford and even Reagan appointees were not as ideological as current Federalist Society influence has made more recent Republican appointees. And those appointees all had to offer support for stare decisis with varying degrees of sincerity.
I wouldn't say necessarily "less" ideological. More a matter of differently ideological.
It wasn't until the late 90's that conservative voters finally figured out that the party, at least at the national level, was a bait and switch operation, run by people who had no intention on delivering the things they campaigned on. Overturning Roe was just another issue they had no intention of actually winning on.
Less vetted for ideological purity at the time of appointment might express the point better. Consider the appointments of Souter and Kennedy, before the Federalist Society had as much influence on Republican appointees. The current conservative on the Supreme Court who gets the most ire is Roberts, the only one who wasn't a Federalist Society member.
Even Ronaldus Maximus/GJWB/””W” only paid lip service to Pro-Life (See Justices O’Connor/Kenndy/Souter) and even Ronaldus wouldn’t show up on the Surpreme’s steps. Berlin Wall collapse was a surprise (an Unwelcome one for my Mom, now she had no excuse not to visit her family in the DDR) Like Gisueppe Zaluchi said in “the God Father” in my city, we would keep the traffic in the dark people – the colored. They’re animals anyway, so let them lose their souls.” Abortions concentrated in the “Blue” States?? “It is in your nature to destroy yourselves” (HT A, Schwarzenegger)
Frank
Dobbs put the abortion question directly to the people to decide for themselves.
Gerrymandered state legislatures are not "the people."
But they are the closest approximations that we actually have
I mean, really, even if you get the court to narrow the Commerce Clause to something that the Founders could recognize, the potential constitutional barriers to a de facto ban, if not a de jure one, aren't large. Without a recognized constitutional right getting in the way of establishing "undue burdens", you can just slap a very large excise tax on abortion.
I agree with Professor Somin that Congress cannot directly regulate either the practice of medicine or violent crime, then whichever way one regards abortion, the federal government cannot directly regulate.
However, under even a narrow interpretation of Congress’ powers, it can do a great deal indirectly to either inhibit or facilitate abortion.
1. It can regulate abortifaciaents as things in commerce, as it can any drug. It can either expand existing law to ban them outright or replace existing law with a law prohibiting states from banning them.
2. It can use its spending power to influence state policy.
3. It can control the rules on federal territory. This would mostly work to facilitate, as it could make abortion legal in federal enclaves and put an abortion climic in every post office if it wanted to.
And of course, Congress could either prohibit or protect interstate transportation for purposes of facilitating an abortion.
Under current expansive Commerce Clause precedent, it might be able to prohibit use of an instrumentality of interstate commerce, such as a motorized vehicle, for such a purpose, even for purely local transportation.
If, hypothetically, we were actually observing constitutional limits on federal power, #3 would be rather more limited.
Actual federal jurisdiction is supposed to be limited to territory that is purchased with a state legislature's permission; The state is supposed to have voluntarily ceded jurisdiction over the area in question.
But this process has not been routinely followed for a very long time now, and outside of some of the older military bases, in theory anyway, the federal government is just another property owner subject to state law.
Where is the conservative constitutional argument in favor of a "READ MORE" link?
Well, the Internet is an instrumentality of interstate commerce, so it can be regulated by the federal government. But a ban or mandate on Read More links would implicate the First Amendment, and I don't see how it would survive scrutiny.
Blackman's "epicycles of abortion" can work the other way too. Some members of the court will uphold a federal abortion ban by making up ad hoc rules that can only be invoked in opposition to abortion. Principled arguments work better when the court does not care about the case at hand.
A better way to put it is to twist the old adage: "abortion cases make bad law."
If the feds can ban marijuana and machine guns they can ban abortions.
They can just require a tax stamp for an abortion and not issue any stamps.
“Return it to the states? That’s all we ask, and is reasonable!”
Now a national abortion ban. So much for believing the above.
And you on the left brought this on, by declaring everyone should think of themselves primarily as a US citizen, and should look to Washington for fixes, and states were anachronisms, and not just could, but should be overridden by national laws.
Well, popcorn time yet again.
What is the likelihood of abortion advocates arguing against a federal abortion ban on the ground of federalism and enumerated powers?
Pretty good. Similar activists weren't afraid to use state's rights arguments against part of DOMA (and turning around not much later and arguing that state's rights didn't matter to overturn the other part of DOMA.) They care way more about their immediate goals that the process used to get there.