Democrats Still Want to Spend Trillions. But They Don't Want To Raise Taxes To Do It.
Plus: In-N-Out fights San Francisco's vaccine mandate, the Vienna Tourism Board gets an OnlyFans, apes protest the DEA, and more...
Democrats' plans to hike taxes to pay for their Build Back Better agenda are being derailed by the opposition of one moderate senator. On Wednesday afternoon, the Wall Street Journal reported that Sen. Kyrsten Sinema (D–Ariz.) was opposed to plans to pay for the massive $3.5 trillion bill by raising taxes on high-income earners, businesses, and capital gains.
House Democrats had proposed raising the top income tax bracket from 37 percent to 39.5 percent. They would also raise corporate taxes from 21 percent to 25 percent. The top capital gains tax rate would go up to 28.8 percent, up from the current 23.8 percent.
President Joe Biden has repeatedly said these tax increases would make the super rich and large corporations pay their "fair share." Critics have argued that they'll actually hit the so-called "working rich" who already pay incredibly high marginal tax rates, the hardest.
The combined effect of all the new spending Democrats have proposed—plus the taxes and debt needed to pay for it—is projected to be a major drag on the economy as well.
This is all apparently now too much for Sinema and could end up leading to a smaller spending bill overall. The Journal reports that the income and corporate tax increases she is opposing would raise $840 billion. Without that revenue, the overall price tag of the Build Back Better bill will likely be closer to $2 trillion.
This "no rate increases" stance seems to be gaining momentum, and its existence is reiterated by the most credible reporters.
This is (a) welcome, (b) a sign that the bill is going to be smaller than $2 trillion. https://t.co/4o4Y2p648C
— Alan Cole (@AlanMCole) October 20, 2021
The shrinking size of Democrats' (still massive) spending bill has set off yet more political wrangling about what exactly to cut. Some more centrist liberal groups have proposed cutting the $300 billion in new spending on housing, among other things, from the legislation. The White House is reportedly considering forgoing a $150 billion clean energy program in an effort to appease Sen. Joe Manchin (D–W.Va.).
There's an endless number of budget gimmicks that lawmakers could include in the bill to reduce its costs on paper while still practically preserving much of the programs and new spending that they want. That could include setting the start date for programs years in advance or establishing expiration dates for them that will be politically difficult to stick to. This all helps lower the Congressional Budget Office's score of how much the bill will cost over a 10-year period.
Engaging in that budgetary trickery would be the most politically convenient thing for Democrats, but there are plenty of reasons to oppose it.
Writing over at Full Stack Economics, economist Alan Cole argues that frontloading the costs of the bill by setting up a bunch of temporary programs that go into effect immediately would end up pouring money on an economy that's already suffering from inflationary pressures.
Reason's Peter Suderman has also criticized these gimmicks as "simultaneously shameless and timid," writing yesterday that they represent "a refusal to acknowledge the necessity of tradeoffs, political or economic. And that, in some sense, is what legislating is—a matter of sifting through options and establishing what's important given the resources and political constraints."
The fact that Democrats' tax plans are in danger is obviously good news. But be wary of any supposed shrinking in the overall cost of the Build Back Better agenda as a result.
FREE MARKETS
A famed California burger chain had its San Francisco location shut down for refusing to play vaccine cop. News surfaced this week that fast-food company In-N-Out had its one restaurant in the city temporarily closed by the San Francisco Department of Public Health (SFDPH) because its employees were not checking customers' vaccination status as required by a local mandate.
"We refuse to become the vaccination police for any government," said Arnie Wensinger, chief legal and business officer for In-N-Out, according to CBS. "It is unreasonable, invasive, and unsafe to force our restaurant associates to segregate customers into those who may be served and those who may not, whether based on the documentation they carry, or any other reason."
The restaurant has since reopened but without indoor dining, prompting some churlish jokes from SFDPH.
In-N-Out(side) #VaccinateSF https://t.co/KnZNC9m0LU
— SFDPH (@SF_DPH) October 20, 2021
Just because you're enforcing an authoritarian and irrational vaccine passport system doesn't mean you can't have a sense of humor about it, right?
FREE MINDS
OnlyFans isn't just for sex workers anymore. The tourism board of Vienna, Austria, has joined the website to post pictures of racy artworks that have been excluded by other social media platforms. The New York Times reports:
The offending artworks include the Venus of Willendorf, a 25,000-year-old limestone figurine of a woman. Facebook removed a photo of it from the Vienna Museum of Natural History's page several years ago for being "pornographic."
There's also "Liebespaar," Koloman Moser's early 20th-century painting, which the Leopold Museum included in a video post celebrating its anniversary in September. The video, which was blocked by the algorithms of Instagram and Facebook, "is a combination of details of the work and written feelings that are evoked by the painting," said Christine Kociu, the museum's social media manager. "It shows a nude couple embracing. It's actually sweet."
QUICK HITS
- Two New York lawyers pleaded guilty to charges stemming from the torching of an empty police car during George Floyd protests last year.
- Some apes established a monolith outside the shuttered DEA museum in D.C. yesterday.
The apes explain their unusual demonstration style to me, and why they believe the DEA itself is the one that needs to "evolve."
Full @N2Sreports video, available to license: https://t.co/yrZWMx1YiN pic.twitter.com/CbGpVknbP3
— Ford Fischer (@FordFischer) October 20, 2021
- Democratic Gov. Gavin Newsom declares a drought emergency in California.
- Los Angeles' clogged ports have left some sailors stranded on their ships for months.
- National Review has a pretty brutal review of former Gen. Stanley McChrystal's new book.
- Biden's handling of the economy is not popular with voters.
- India celebrates 1 billion vaccine doses administered.
