Election 2020

It Sure Looks Like Democrats Are Going To Retain Control of the House

It's been a good night for incumbents.

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The balance of power in the U.S. House of Representatives will remain unchanged, but the incoming class of congressmen will include some interesting characters.

It appears increasingly likely that Democrats, as expected, will keep control of Congress and potentially even add to their 35-seat House lead. According to the New York Times results tracker, Democrats and Republicans have both managed to flip two House seats so far.

Former state Rep. Deborah Ross, a Democrat, took the open seat in North Carolina's 2nd Congressional District, which was previously held by retiring Rep. George Holding (R–N.C.). Democrat Kathy Manning also reclaimed North Carolina's 6th Congressional District from the Republicans. The boundaries of both districts were the subject of court-mandated redistricting.

Republicans have, meanwhile, managed to capture two seats in southern Florida. Miami-Dade County Mayor Carlos Gimenez, a Republican, knocked off incumbent Rep. Debbie Mucarsel-Powell (D–Fla.) in the 26th Congressional District. The Associated Press is also reporting that former television anchor Maria Elvira Salazar defeated Democratic incumbent Rep. Donna Shahala.

It's been a good night for young candidates too. Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (D–N.Y.) easily retained her seat. Madison Crawford, the 25-year-old Republican candidate in North Carolina's 11th Congressional District, also coasted to victory.

As of 12 a.m. Eastern Time, The New York Times shows Republicans as having won 145 seats, compared to Democrats' 127.

Business owner Marjorie Taylor Greene gained notoriety for her past endorsements of the QAnon conspiracy theory as well as her Islamophobic comments. Tonight, she won more than 80 percent of the vote for the open House seat in northwest Georgia. The district leans heavily Republican, so her victory was all but a sure thing.

Elsewhere, more mainstream incumbents scored easy reelections. That includes Reps. Dan Crenshaw (R–Texas) and Joaquin Castro (D–Texas), the twin brother of former Democratic presidential candidate Julian Castro.

Ultra-hawk Rep. Liz Cheney (R–Wy.), daughter of former Vice President Dick Cheney, was easily reelected Wyoming's only U.S. representative.

Libertarian-leaning Rep. Thomas Massie (R–Ky.) is also returning to Congress. The Associated Press declared Massie the victor in his safe GOP district at little before 8 p.m. Eastern. ABC reports him earning about 65 percent of the vote against Democratic challenger Alexandra Owensby.

Other gadfly Republican candidates have performed less well. Far-right internet personality and Islamaphobe Laura Loomer was crushed in her attempt to unseat Rep. Lois Frankel (D–Fla.) in her deep blue South Florida district.

Making tonight's results more interesting is the possibility that the House will be called on to break an Electoral College tie in the presidential election. If that happens, Democrats' majority might not be enough to secure victory in that race.

The U.S. Constitution requires each state's House delegation vote as one unit when breaking up an Electoral College tie. Republicans control 26 state delegations compared to Democrats 22, according to the New York Times, with neither party having a majority in Pennsylvania or Michigan.

With final vote tallies still days or even weeks away, it's anyone's guess how it all shakes out.

This post will be updated regularly throughout the evening.

NEXT: Maybe Jo Jorgensen Finishing With 1% Would Actually Be Pretty Good?

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  1. Florida ought to be called for Trump pretty much any minute now, he’s actually doing better in Miami-Dade than he did four years ago.

    1. Let’ s hope so. A dem sweep would release a horror this country , what with all the progs want to do.

  2. “Islamaphobe” as if that means something.

    1. Anything other than calling Islam the “religion of peace”. Vienna on line 1…

      1. Nice to see that gun control and bomb control are working…

        They haven’t even caught most of the attackers, last I checked.

  3. OK, is this the open Election thread?

    Yeah, FL looks pretty good for T$. Good on them for getting over 7/8 counted already.

    Ohio looks like dogshit right now though.

    1. I don’t know about Ohio, but the pattern seems to be that the early vote is pro-Biden and the later vote is pro-Trump.

      We’ll see.

  4. I’m following the New York Times:

    “If Joe Biden wins one of these three states, he is likely to win the presidency.

    If President Trump wins all three, it could be days or more before a winner is declared.”

    https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2020/11/03/us/elections/forecast-president.html?

    They’re saying that if Trump wins Florida, Georgia, and North Carolina, then Trump has a decent chance to win–and they’ve got Florida 95% likely to go for Trump, Georgia 86% likely to go for Trump, and now North Carolina 57% likely to go for Trump?

    I don’t want to get my hopes up, and I thought I’d be sobbin’ in my beer tonight–but if the New York Times is saying things are going well for Trump, who am I to argue?

    1. It’s early. Broward county is likely still going to try and fuck us all. But I’d rather be up 230k with 1/8th left to count, than down 230k.

      Aside, motherfuck all you worthless Californians who moved to Texas and voted for Biden. Gee, why did we move to Texas? Because the jobs are there? Let’s fix that…

      1. That’s a myth!

        The Californians moving to Texas are moving there to escape progressive politics.

        “Only 38 percent of Democrats said they were considering leaving, compared with 55 percent of independents and 71 percent of Republicans. Similarly, those characterizing themselves as “somewhat liberal” were least likely to say that they want to go — fewer than 4 in 10 are considering leaving.

        But 53 percent of moderates, 66 percent of the “somewhat conservative,” and 74 percent of the “very conservative” would like to migrate. Political affiliation, in fact, was more of a predictor of who wants to go or stay than other demographic information, such as race.

        —-Dallas Morning News

        “Don’t count on migrating Californians to bring left-wing politics to their new homes”

        https://www.dallasnews.com/opinion/commentary/2020/01/30/dont-count-on-migrating-californians-to-bring-left-wing-politics-to-their-new-homes/

        1. I’ve seen too many houses with Biden signs, that also have cars with either CA (or Il, or east coast plates), or TX plates with CA dealership markings. Gardena Toyota, San Leandro Mercedes, etc… Shrug.

          You are welcome here, should you wish to take a pay cut and move. Those fuckers need to move to Europe already.

      2. IDK Ken. We’re seeing the same shit here in AZ. Except it’s even worse here, these fuckers are Dodgers fans!!! You go to a Dbacks game and it’s 60% Dodgers fans. And they’re asshats too. They have no class like Cubbie fans. Hell, even Yankee fans are respectable. Dodger fans are the worst.

        1. As a longtime Padres fan, I’m here to tell you that Dodgers fans are detestable.

          Don’t conflate Dodgers fans with California.

          1. What’s wrong with showing up in the 3rd inning, and leaving in the 6th, to beat traffic??

          2. Dude, everybody in AZ loves San Diego. LA and SF can suck it.

    2. Fuck, I knew better to check before 2 am but here i am.

    3. So basically, they’re pretending that some red states, but no blue states, are battleground states. I’m not buying it.

  5. For weeks and weeks on end, the Block Yomommatards in the media have been endlessly telling us that Sleepy Joe was winning going away in a landslide.

    It sure isn’t looking that way to me so far. It’s looking like it’s going to be super close, again.

    1. Yep. T$ is 6 down with 31 left to count in NC.

      Going to be fun.

  6. Looking good so far. Wake Biden up for the concession speech.

  7. I know I’m saying the obvious, but Pennsylvania is gonna be important.

    1. Even if NC, GA, FL and OH break for Trump? I’m still calling MI for Trump too. If Trump nudges the black vote even a couple points, the burbs are going hard for him. Even my non-political sister was out there in September and she said it was 20 to 1 on signage. And not just signs, but flags. Michiganders are crazy weird about signs on their vehicles…dont’ judge me. I moved away when I was 5.

    2. Honestly, I disagree. PA could be the linchpin if Trump wins OH, IA, and AZ but none of MN, WI, MI. But if Trump wins every state he won in 2016 except for PA, he’ll still win with a state or two (depending on the state) to spare. The PA races will probably be in litigation for months after election day and it will be important for state races, but for Trump I think PA will be a moot point long before it’s called.

    3. 600,000 votes for Trump above Biden and counting in PA…

  8. The betting markets are now doing a complete 180 in favor of Trump. Looking more and more like an almost instant replay of four years ago.

  9. Anybody else get a kick out of the Arrested Development episode when George Michael runs for school president and finishes in a tie for 3rd with “Bart Simpson” and “School Sucks”?

    1. **cue up George Michael faux lightsaber video in garage.

  10. HAHA. Until Census 2020 takes House seats away from Blue states and gives them to Red states, like Texas and Georgia.

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