45th Anniversary

Which Way for Capitalism

The Nobel Prize-winning economist charts two possible futures for American capitalism.

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Credit: Reason

What is the future of capitalism?—by which I mean the future of competitive capitalism—free enterprise capitalism. In a certain sense, every major society is capitalist. Russia has a great deal of capital, but it is under the control of governmental officials who are supposedly acting as agents of the State. That turns capitalism (state capitalism) into a wholly different system from a system under which capital is controlled by individuals in their private capacity as owners and operators of industry. What I want to take up here is the future of private enterprise—of competitive capitalism.

The future of private enterprise capitalism is also the future of a free society. There is no possibility of having a politically free society unless the major part of its economic resources are operated under a capitalistic private enterprise system.

TOWARD COLLECTIVISM

The real question, therefore, is the future of human freedom. The question that I want to consider is whether or not we are going to complete the movement that has been going on for the past 40 or 50 years, away from a free society and toward a collectivist society. Are we going to continue down that path until we have followed Chile by losing our political freedom and coming under the thumb of an all-powerful government? Or are we going to be able to halt that trend, perhaps even reverse it, and establish a greater degree of freedom?

One thing is clear—we cannot continue along the lines that we have been moving. In 1928, less than 50 years ago, government at all levels—federal, state, and local—spent less than 10 percent of the national income. Two-thirds of that was at the state and local level. Federal spending amounted to less than 3 percent of the national income. Today, total government spending at all levels amounts to 40 percent of the national income, and two-thirds of that is at the federal level. So federal government spending has moved in less than 50 years from 3 percent to over 25 percent—total government spending from 10 percent to 40 percent. Now, I guarantee you one thing. In the next 50 years government spending cannot move from 40 percent of the national income to 160 percent. Legislatures cannot repeal the laws of arithmetic.

In judging whether we will keep trying to continue on this path until we have lost our freedom, it's worth considering where we are and how we got there. Let me say at the outset that, with all the problems I am going to talk about, this still remains a predominantly free society. There is no great country in the world (there are some small enclaves, but no great country) that offers as much freedom to the individual as the United States does. But having said that, we ought also to recognize how far we have gone away from the ideal of freedom and the extent to which our lives are restricted by governmental enactments.

In talking about freedom, it is important to distinguish two different meanings, on the economic level, of the concept of free enterprise, for there is no term which is more misused or more misunderstood. The one meaning that is often attached to free enterprise is that enterprises shall be free to do what they want. That is not the meaning that has historically been attached to free enterprise. What we really mean is the freedom of individuals to set up enterprises. It is the freedom of an individual to engage in an activity so long as he uses only voluntary methods of getting other individuals to cooperate with him.

If you want to see how far we have moved from the basic concept of free enterprise, you can consider how free anyone is to set up an enterprise. You are not free to establish a bank or to go into the taxicab business unless you can get a certificate of convenience and necessity from the local, state, or federal authorities. You cannot become a lawyer or a physician or a plumber or a mortician (and you can name many other cases) unless you can get a license from the government to engage in that activity. You cannot go into the business of delivering the mail or providing electricity or providing telephone service unless you get a permit from the government to do so. You cannot raise funds on the capital market and get other people to lend you money unless you go through the SEC and fill out the 400 pages of forms that they require. To take the latest restriction on freedom, you cannot any longer engage in voluntary deals with others or make bets with other people on an organized exchange about the future prices of commodities unless you get the approval of the government.

RISING TAXATION

Another example of the extent to which we have moved away from a free society is the 40 percent of our earnings, on the average, which is coopted by the government. Each and every one of us works from the first of January to late in April or May, in order to pay governmental expenses, before we can start to work for our own expenses.

If you want to look at it still another way, the government owns 48 percent of every corporation in the United States. We talk about ourselves as a free enterprise society. Yet in terms of the fundamental question of who owns the means of production in the corporate sector we are 48 percent socialistic because the corporate tax is 48 percent. Once when I was in Yugoslavia some years ago I calculated that the difference in the degree of socialism in the United States and in Communist Yugoslavia was exactly 18 percentage points, because the US government took 48 percent and the Yugoslav government took 66 percent of the profits of every corporation. And of course, those numbers grossly understate the role of the government because of its effect in regulating business in areas other than taxation.

Let me give you another example of the extent to which we have lost freedom. About a year or so ago, I had a debate in Washington with that great saint of the US consumer, Ralph Nader. I posed the question of state laws requiring people who ride motorcycles to wear helmets. Now I believe that in many ways that law is the best litmus paper to distinguish true believers in individualism from people who do not believe in individualism, because the person riding the motorcycle is risking only his own life. He may be a fool to drive that motorcycle without a helmet, but part of freedom and liberty is the freedom to be a fool!

So I expressed the view that the state laws which make it compulsory for people who are riding motorcycles to wear helmets are against individual freedom and against the principles of a free society. I asked Ralph Nader for his opinion, and he gave the answer I expected. He said, 'Well, that's all very well for a different society. But you must realize that today, if the motorcyclist driving down the road without a helmet splashes himself on the pavement, a government-subsidized ambulance will come to pick him up, they will take him to a government-subsidized hospital, he will be buried in a government-subsidized cemetery, and his wife and children will be supported by government-subsidized welfare. Therefore we can't let him!" What he was saying was that every single one of us bears on our back a stamp that says, "Property of the US government. Do not fold, bend, or mutilate."

That is essentially the fundamental principle that animates the Ralph Naders of our time—the people who want the power to be in government. You see it everywhere. You see it in a law passed a few years ago which requires the Treasury Department to report to the Congress a category called Tax Expenditures—taxes which are not collected from you because of various deductions permitted by the law (such as interest or excess depreciation). The principle is that you are, after all, the property of the US government. You work for the government, and the government lets you keep a little of what you earn in order to be sure that you'll keep working hard for them. But the rest of it is the property of the US government. And if the government allows you to deduct something from your taxes, it's a government expenditure. You have no right to keep it. It's theirs!

FREE SPEECH

We have gone very far indeed along the road to losing freedom. But you may say that I am talking only about economic matters, about whether you can enter a profession or an occupation. What about political freedom? What about the freedom of speech? How many businessmen have you heard in the past 10 years who have been willing to stand up on some public rostrum and take issue with governmental policies? Many a businessman gets up and expresses general sentiments in favor of free enterprise and of competition, but very few get up and criticize particular measures taken by government. And I don't blame them. They would be fools to do it! Because any businessman who has the nerve to do that has to look over one shoulder and see what the IRS is going to do to his books the next day. And he has to look over the other shoulder to see whether the Justice Department is going to launch an antitrust suit. And then he has to find two or three more shoulders to see what the FTC is going to do. You can take any other three letters of the alphabet and you have to ask what they are going to do to you. In fact, a businessman today does not have effective freedom of speech.

But you may say that businessmen don't matter. What about the intellectuals?

Suppose I take a professor from a medical school whose research and training is largely being financed by the National Institutes of Health. Do you suppose he wouldn't think three times before he gives a speech against socialized medicine? Suppose I take one of my colleagues in economics who has been supported by a grant from the National Science Foundation. I personally happen to think there is no justification for the National Science Foundation. (As it happens, I have never received a grant from them, though I might have. It isn't that they have turned me down; I haven't asked them!) But nonetheless, do you suppose my colleagues would not be inhibited in speaking out? In fact, I have often said that about the only people who have any real freedom of speech left are people who are in the fortunate position of myself—tenured professors at major private universities on the verge of retirement!

An even more chilling story about freedom of the press comes from Britain. The London Times was prevented from publishing for one day by the pressmen's unions because the issue would have carried a story that was critical of the policies of the unions.

So there is no way of separating economic freedom from political freedom. The only way you can have the one is to have the other.

FREEDOM IN THE PAST

So much for the present. What about the past? The closest approach to free enterprise we have ever had in the United States was in the 19th century. Yet your children will hear over and over again in their schools and in their classes the myth that that was a terrible period when the robber barons were grinding the poor miserable people under their heels. That's a myth constructed out of whole cloth. The plain fact is that at no other time in human history has the ordinary man improved his condition and benefited his life as much as he did during that period of the 19th century when we were the closest to free enterprise.

Many of us, I venture to say, are beneficiaries of that period. I speak of myself. My parents came to this country in the 1890's. Like millions of others, they came with empty hands. They were able to find a place in this country, to build a life for themselves and to provide a basis on which their children and their children's children could have a better life. There is no saga in history remotely comparable to the saga of the United States during that era, welcoming millions of people from all over the world and enabling them to find a place for themselves and to improve their lives. And it was possible only because there was an essentially free society.

If the laws and regulations that today hamstring industry and commerce had been in effect in the 19th century, our standard of living today would be. below that of the 19th century. It would have been impossible to have absorbed the millions of people who came to this country.

What produced the shift? Why did we move from a situation in which we had an essentially free society to a situation of increasing regimentation by government? In my opinion, the fundamental cause of most government intervention is an unholy coalition between, on the one hand, well-meaning people seeking to do good and, on the other, special interests (meaning you and me) seeking advantage from government.

The great movement toward government has not come about as a result of people with evil intentions trying to do evil. No, it has come about because of good people trying to do good. But they have tried to do good with other people's money, and doing good with other people's money has two basic flaws. In the first place, you never spend anybody else's money as carefully as you spend your own. So a large fraction of that money is inevitably wasted. In the second place, and equally important, you cannot do good with other people's money unless you first get the money away from them, so that force—sending a policeman to take the money from somebody's pocket—is fundamental to the philosophy of the welfare state. That is why the attempt by good people to do good has led to disastrous results.

It was this movement toward welfare statism that produced the phenomenon in Chile which ended with the Allende regime. It is this tendency to try to do good with other people's money that has brought Great Britain—once the greatest nation of the earth, the nation which is the source of our traditions and our values and our beliefs in a free society—to the edge of catastrophe.

When you start on the road to do good with other people's money, it is easy at first. You've got a lot of people to pay taxes and a small number of people for whom you are trying to do good. But the later stages become harder and harder. As the number of people on the receiving end grows, you end up taxing 50 percent of the people to help 50 percent of the people—or really, 100 percent of the people to distribute benefits to 100 percent!

THE FUTURE

Where do we go from here? People may say. "You can't turn the clock back. How can you go back?" But the thing that always amuses me about that argument is that the people who make it, and who accuse me or my colleagues of trying to turn the clock back to the 19th century, are themselves busily at work trying to turn it back to the 18th century.

Adam Smith, in 1776, wrote The Wealth of Nations. It was an attack on the government controls of his time—on mercantilism, on tariffs, on restrictions, on governmental monopoly. But those are exactly the results which the present-day reformers are seeking to achieve.

In any event, that's a foolish question. The real question is not whether you are turning the clock back or forward but whether you are doing the right thing.

Some people argue that technological changes require big government and you can no longer talk in the terms of the 19th century when the federal government only absorbed three percent of the national income.

That's nonsense from beginning to end. Some technological changes no doubt require the government to engage in activities different from those in which it engaged before. But other technological changes reduce the need for government. The improvements in communication and transportation have greatly reduced the possibility of local monopoly which requires government intervention to protect the consumers. Moreover, if you look at the record, the great growth of government has not been in the areas dictated by technological change. The great growth of government has been to take money from some people and to give it to others. The only way technology has entered into that is by providing the computers which make it possible to do so.

Other people will say, "How can you talk about stopping this trend? What about big business? Does it really make any difference whether automobiles are made by General Motors, which is an enormous bureaucratic enterprise employing thousands of people, or by an agency of the United States Government, which is another bureaucratic enterprise?"

The answer to that is very simple. It does make all the difference in the world, because there is a fundamental difference between the two. There is no way in which General Motors can get a dollar from you unless you agree to give it to them. They can only get money from you by providing you with something you value more than the money you give them. If they try to force something on you that you don't want—ask Mr. Henry Ford what happened when they tried to introduce the Edsel.

On the other hand, the government can get money from you without your consent. They can send policemen to take it out of your pocket. General Motors doesn't have that power. And that is all the difference in the world. It is the difference between a society in which exchange is voluntary and a society in which exchange is not voluntary. It's the reason why the government, when it is in the saddle, produces poor quality at high cost, while industry, when it's in the saddle, produces high quality at low cost. The one has to satisfy its customers and the other does not.

TWO SCENARIOS

Where shall we go from here? There are two possible scenarios. The one is that we shall continue in the direction in which we have been going, with gradual increases in the scope of government and government control. If we do continue in that direction, two results are inevitable. One is financial crisis and the other is loss of freedom. Great Britain is a frightening example to contemplate. It moved in this direction earlier than we and has gone much farther. The effects are patent and clear. But at least when Britain moved in this direction and thus lost its power politically and internationally, the United States was there to take over the defense of the free world. But I ask you, if the United States follows the same course, who is going to take over from us? That's one scenario, and I very much fear it's the more likely one.

The other scenario is that we shall, in fact, halt this trend—that we shall call a halt to the apparently increasing growth of government, set a limit, and hold it back. There are many favorable signs from this point of view.

I may say that the greatest reason for hope, in my opinion, is the inefficiency of government. Many people complain about government waste, but I welcome it. I welcome it for two reasons. In the first place, efficiency is not a desirable thing if somebody is doing a bad thing. A great teacher of mine, Harold Hotelling, a mathematical economist, once wrote an article on the teaching of statistics. He said, "Pedagogical ability is a vice rather than a virtue if it is devoted to teaching error." That's a fundamental principle. Government is doing things that we don't want it to do; so the more money it wastes, the better.

In the second place, waste brings home to the public at large the fact that government is not an efficient and effective instrument for achieving its objectives. One of the great causes for hope is a growing disillusionment around the country with the idea that government is the all-wise, all-powerful big brother who can solve every problem that comes along, that if only you throw enough money at a problem it will be resolved.

Several years ago John Kenneth Galbraith wrote an article in which he said that New York City had no problem that could not be solved by an increase in government spending in New York. Well, since that time, the budget in the city of New York has more than doubled and so have the problems of New York. The one is cause and the other effect. The government has spent more, but that meant that the people have less to spend. Since the government spends money less efficiently than individuals spend their own money, as government spending has gone up, the problems have gotten worse. My main point is that this inefficiency, this waste, brings home to the public at large the undesirability of governmental intervention.

There are also many unfavorable signs. It's far easier to enact laws than to repeal them. Every special interest, including you and me, has great resistance to giving up its special privileges. I remember when Gerald Ford became president and called a summit conference to do something about the problems of inflation. I sat at that summit conference and heard representatives of one group after another go to the podium—a representative of business, a representative of the farmers, a representative of labor, you name the group—they all went to the podium and they all said the same things: "Of course, we recognize that in order to stop inflation we must cut down government spending. And I tell you, the way to cut down government spending is to spend more on me." That was the universal refrain.

Many people say that one of the causes or hope is the rising recognition by the business community that the growth of government is a threat to the free enterprise system. I wish I could believe that, but I do not. You must recognize the facts. Business corporations in general are not defenders of free enterprise. On the contrary, they are one of the chief sources of danger.

The two greatest enemies of free enterprise in the United States, in my opinion, have been, on the one hand, my fellow intellectuals and, on the other hand, the business corporations of this country. They are enemies for opposite reasons.

Every one of my fellow intellectuals believes in freedom for himself. He wants free speech. He wants free research. I ask him, "Isn't it a terrible waste that a dozen people are studying the same problem? Oughtn't we to have a central planning committee to decide what research projects various individuals undertake?" He'll look at me as if I'm crazy, and he'll say, "What do you mean? Don't you understand about the value of academic freedom and freedom of research? " But when it comes to business he says, "Oh, that's wasteful competition. That's duplication over there! We must have a central planning board to make those things intelligent, sensible!"

So every intellectual is in favor of freedom for himself and against freedom for anybody else. The businessman and the business enterprises are very different. Every businessman and every business enterprise is in favor of freedom for everybody else, but when it comes to himself, that's a different question. We have to have that tariff to protect us against competition from abroad. We have to have that subsidy. Businessmen are in favor of freedom for everybody else but not themselves. There are many notable exceptions.

There are many business leaders who have been extremely farsighted in their understanding of the problem and will come to the defense of a free enterprise system. But for the business community in general, the tendency is typified by U.S. Steel Company, which takes ads to extol the virtues of free enterprise but then pleads before Congress for an important quota on steel from Japan. The only result of that is for everybody who is fair-minded to say, "What a bunch of hypocrites!" And they're right.

Now don't misunderstand me, I don't blame business enterprise. I don't blame U.S. Steel for seeking to get those special privileges. The heads of U.S. Steel have an obligation to their stockholders, and they would be false to that obligation if they did not try to take advantage of the opportunities to get assistance. I don't blame them. I blame the rest of us for letting them get away with it.

A MATTER OF FAITH?

Where are we going to end up? I do not know. I think that depends upon a great many things.

I am reminded of a story which will illustrate what we may need. It has to do with a young and attractive nun who was out driving a car down a superhighway and ran out of gas. She remembered that a mile back there had been a gas station. She got out of her car, hiked up her habit, and walked back. When she got to the sta­tion, she found that there was only one young man in attendance there. He said he'd love to help her but he couldn't leave the gas station because he was the only one there. He said he would try to find a container in which he could give her some gas. He hunted around the gas station and couldn't find a decent container. The only thing he could find was a little baby's potty that had been left there. So he filled the baby potty with gasoline and gave it to the nun. She took the baby potty and walked the mile down the road to her car. She got to her car and opened the gas tank and started to pour it in. Just at that moment, a great big Cadillac came barreling down at 80 miles an hour. The driver was looking out and couldn't believe what he was seeing. So he jammed on his brakes, stopped, backed up, and opened the window and looked out and said, "Sister, I only wish I had your faith!"

Milton Friedman who was awarded the 1976 Nobel Prize in economics, is widely known both for his monetary theory in economics and for his defense of the efficiency and value of free enterprise. This article is adapted from a speech given by Dr. Friedman at Pepperdine University, by permission of Pepperdine and the author.

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48 responses to “Which Way for Capitalism

  1. But the thing that always amuses me about that argument is that the people who make it, and who accuse me or my colleagues of trying to turn the clock back to the 19th century, are themselves busily at work trying to turn it back to the 18th century.

    This reminds me of progderps talking about how futuristic their idiotic single-payer healthcare and government control are, when really those are all outdated ideas.

    On a related note, the number of people who say “society is so complex now that we need regulation” blows my mind. Wouldn’t the complexity suggest the exact opposite?

    1. Like when Tony and his fellow derptards say that libertarians want to impose liberty on society.

      1. impose liberty

        I still laugh whenever I see this.

        1. Gives a whole new meaning to “live free or die,” doesn’t it?

          1. I think of that picture with bombs dropping in the “obama” red/white/blue with the caption “We’re going to free the fuck out of you.”

            1. Freedom from suffering. Freedom from pain. Freedom from the rat race. Freedom from care. Freedom from life.

              1. As long as you ask permission and do what you’re told, you are in no way responsible for the consequences of your actions.
                Freedom is slavery.

                1. And slavery is freedom.

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  2. There is no way in which General Motors can get a dollar from you unless you agree to give it to them.

    …unless GM gets in cahoots with the aforementioned United States Government…

    1. “There is no way in which General Motors can get a dollar from you unless you agree to give it to them.”

      He clearly lacked foresight on that one. There is always a way. You just need the threat of force.

  3. There is no “future” for capitalism. “Capitalism”, if taken as “free marketeerism”, is the default state of humanity. Whether it’s one kid trading their Oreos for some carrot sticks (I never understood the kids who would trade me cookies for vegetables, but it happened, and regularly), or someone buying weed from a dealer, or buying a used car from a private owner, that’s the norm. What is abnormal is the layers of regulation and distortion caused by government.

    There will always be “capitalism” no matter what delusional shit is put in its way, because trading is basic human nature, and nothing can stop that.

    1. When you stop to think about it, trading foods at lunch time is a really great intro to economics. It teaches you subjective value on a really base level.

      No wonder the government wants to make sure kids don’t bring their own lunches anymore.

  4. Apparently Milton Friedman was against alt-text. Can we possibly trust such a man?

    1. Milton was against centrally planned alt-text.

      Why do you want an alt-text Gosplan ?!?

  5. It’s impossible to read this without hearing Milton Friedman’s voice in your head, I think. Also, fuck Ralph Nader.

    1. Fuck Milton “tax withholding” Friedman.

      1. Fuck Michigan!

  6. Legislatures cannot repeal the laws of arithmetic.

    That hasn’t stopped them from trying.

    Does it really make any difference whether automobiles are made by General Motors, which is an enormous bureaucratic enterprise employing thousands of people, or by an agency of the United States Government, which is another bureaucratic enterprise?

    Kind of ironic that he used GM as his example. What a quaint, simpler time 1978 was.

  7. “General Motors can’t send a policeman to your door.” I remember hearing a white-haired university professor retort a similar statement with “Banks send policeman to evict people who don’t pay their mortgages from their homes.” Oy vey.

  8. He keeps mentioning Chile as an example of a welfare state. Chile today is like #7 on the economic freedom list (ahead of the US).

    Hope?

    Anyone know the quick history? All I get is left wing propaganda on teh Google search.

    1. Well, I think back in the 70s Chile was quite socialist (under Allende and all). And after Pinochet’s coup, it wasn’t initially much better (socialism for me but not for thee), until Pinochet, under the advice of the “Chicago boys” moved the country in a very free market direction, where it has largely stayed.

      1. So how does one convince a population entrenched in socialism to move in a free market direction?

        Interesting. I need to research this some more.

        1. You mostly don’t. Rather, the abject poverty of their condition contributes powerfully to the evolutionary process found in political economy, statecraft, etc.

          Think of the varied results in the former Eastern Bloc.

          1. So you’re sayin we need to hit rock bottom before the population is willing to reject “the common good”?

            Can’t be done prior to total collapse?

            1. No. I am merely saying that, in most respects, “we” won’t be making any significant contribution.

              Again, the Eastern Bloc is instructive: Results have varied widely, in terms of both political frameworks and results within those frameworks (although I think we would all agree that classical liberalism will serve everyone best in the long run).

            2. Exactly Francisco,
              Perhaps we can escape this w/o complete collapse but we have to find a bottom, even for the most basic free market principles to resurface.
              It is too scary to have a decent underground economy in this country because not enough people reject government.

            3. So you’re sayin we need to hit rock bottom before the population is willing to reject “the common good”?

              It applies to the leaders and elites as well. I’d much rather be president of the United States, than the Supreme Leader of North Korea. It’s much better to be a tax collector in a relatively free economy, than managing a bunch of factory drones and farm peasants in a pure dictatorship, with no property rights.

            4. Having an authoritarian to more or less “impose” freedom on a quasi-socialist populace was kind of a component there as well. It’s easier to move society in any given direction when it’s “my way or the highway”. Friedman was a pragmatist – he figured the ends justified the means.

        2. Deny them toilet paper?

  9. But I ask you, if the United States follows the same course, who is going to take over from us?

    Um…

    That’d be China. Whoda thunk?

    1. I would consider that perhaps defending the world from itself is one of those “doing good with other people’s money” things (unless it’s funded on a purely voluntary basis).

      1. Bear in mind the geopolitical environment of the time though. The Cold War was still going on and there was arguably an existential threat in the form of international communism.

  10. China won’t surpass the US any time soon. They are still a fucked up socialist mess. Their problem as well is that their middle class is on the rise and the peasants got a taste during the boom. They have many more uprisings and violent suppressions to go before they sleep. If anything, there is decent evidence that many facets of the global economy will continue to shift away from China as they continue their attempts at massive government controls.

  11. I agree that capitalism is a natural default when everything comes out in the wash. So the real question is, how far do we have to fall to reach bottom. I am afraid the answer lies in getting more people to actually wake up. So far, we have a long way until the sheep start to wonder why everything is so shitty. When the thugs can’t afford to watch football, then you will see some hard core violence and union destruction, then maybe the stupid masses might consider exploring why government sucks so bad.

  12. Did anyone else hear the whole thing in his voice while reading the article? Like he was nararating an episode of “Free to Choose”.

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  22. “General Motors can’t send a policeman to your door.” I remember hearing a white-haired university professor retort a similar statement with “Banks send policeman to evict people who don’t pay their mortgages from their homes.” Oy vey.

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