Election 2012

Composition of Electorate Almost the Same as 2008

Minorities, women, and recent graduates expected to turn out to vote at similar rates


PRINCETON, NJ—The composition of the electorate for the 2012 presidential election is looking quite similar to what it was in 2008 as well as 2004, according to an analysis of the demographics of Gallup's likely voter sample since Oct. 1. Thus, key elements of President Obama's electoral coalition, such as racial minorities, women, young adults, and postgraduates will likely turn out at rates similar to those in 2008.