The Volokh Conspiracy
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Is Twitter's Lawsuit Against Elon Musk a "Loser"? (Updated)
Corporate law profs disagree on the merits of Twitter's lawsuit to force Elon Musk to follow through with his offer to buy the company.
In today's Wall Street Journal, J.B. Heaton and Professor Todd Henderson argue that Twitter's lawsuit against Elon Musk, seeking to force him to follow through with his offer to buy the company, is unlikely to prevail. They write:
The merger agreement in this case could be read in a way that permits a court to order Mr. Musk to buy Twitter—he and two entities he controls agreed they would "not oppose" such an order—through a remedy known as "specific performance." Although litigation is always uncertain, it is hard to imagine a court would force the purchase of a $44 billion corporation.
Specific performance is used fleetingly, and for good reason. . . .
Delaware courts have rarely ordered specific performance in merger agreements.
Professor Stephen Bainbridge (incidentally an occasional co-author of Professor Henderson), disagrees. In an earlier post, Professor Bainbridge explained why Musk is unlikely to be able to walk away from the deal. In a second post today, he disagrees with the Heaton-Henderson analysis, pointing out that specific performance is less rare than Heaton and Henderson suggest and reiterating his view that Twitter has a "strong case."
Professor Bainbridge writes:
The number of cases in which Delaware courts have been asked to grant specific performance of a merger agreement is relatively small, but the percentage of those cases in which Delaware courts have granted specific performance against a buyer wrongfully seeking to renege is relatively high . . .
specific performance clauses of the sort at issue here are routine and parties anticipate--apparently correctly--that Delaware courts will enforce them.
Further, Professor Bainbridge notes, the agreement between Musk and Twitter includes a reverse-breakup fee that could cost Musk quite a bit if he refuses to follow through on the deal. Such provisions, imposing a form of liquidated damages, are "presumptively valid" in Delaware courts. Further, Professor Bainbridge adds, it is not as if this was not an agreement between sophisticated parties, well-represented by counsel.
Whomever is right, this is a case to watch -- certainly one for the casebooks of the future.
UPDATE: Henderson and Heaton respond to Bainbridge here.
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Always assuming discovery doesn't turn up the other set of books on real accounts vs. spambots.
Doesn't that seem like information that Musk would 1. have access to and 2. have mentioned when withdrawing from the deal?
He posted a meme of four panels where he is seen laughing even hard in each panel than in the panel before
> They said I couldn't buy twitter
> Then they wouldn't disclose bot info
> Now they want to force me to buy twitter in court
> Now they have to disclose bot info in court
https://twitter.com/elonmusk/status/1546344529460174849?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw
Oh, well if he posted a meme I stand corrected
Why do you assume he would have access to information about spam and bot accounts.
Tech companies are built on false information.
PS. Insomnia sucks.
Not to make light of any unpleasantness you may be suffering from, but Insonmia is one of the greatest dance tracks of all time
Because Twitter already disclosed 49 tebibytes of data to him back in June?
Standard technique: Instead of giving somebody what they want, give them a huge dump of everything BUT what they want, and waste their time futilely searching through it.
The "standard technique" in use here is moving the goalposts with multiple pretextual requests made in bad faith.
Ask for something, if it's given, then ask for something else. Or just ask for something impossible. The point is to be able to claim " I didn't get what I asked for" not to actually get it.
The whole bot thing is a post-hoc manufactured pretext to get out of the deal. Remember when he first started this whole thing, his objective was to "defeat the bots".
He asked for all account info from the get go. They hemmed and hawed, and then limited his rate of access making it impossible to get enough data to meaningfully analyze. Of course, when you realize that the way Twitter's manual spam checking is all of 100 accounts a day, or more precisely 9000 per month since it's possible that they only have 1 person doing it and presumably he doesn't work more than 40 hours per week, you realize that it is virtually certain their spam count is wrong.
I see you have great familiarity with these matters.
Here's the thing, Brett.
You don't just say, "Give me all your data." You ask specific questions.
"What percentage of your users are bots?" might be one example.
By his own account....he did. He asked them to back up their professed claim of bot percentage.
What if he was baked when he post the meme? Would that effect your view?
Musk made his offer without seeking any representation from Twitter regarding its estimates of spam or false accounts. He even sweetened his offer to the Twitter board by expressly withdrawing his prior diligence condition.
He didn't seem concerned with bots, other than his proclamation that he would defeat them;
https://twitter.com/elonmusk/status/1517215066550116354
and authenticate all real humans.
You can't blame the guy for trying to get out of this deal He's trying to avoid taking a multi-billions hit that he would be unlikely to ever recover. The best business move involves trying to get out of the deal, or at least lower the price, even if it involves spinning yarns.
Did Musk actually waive due diligence in the offer -
That would be highly unusual and highly unlikely
Even if he waived due diligence, false financial information , misrepresentations, etc would still leave an out.
Not really true. There are some representations in the agreement that could encompass the bot issue. Musk has obviously been focused on that issue for some time.
And to show how meaningful that is, Twitter's lawyers included that tweet in their lawsuit as evidence of Musk's bad faith.
I could not find a copy of the contract. Would appreciate a link if someone does.
Pig called AOC a big booty Latina. She said this, obviously an adherent of self-help. She is quite correct.
"She then included footage of the incident in a follow-up tweet. "I was actually walking over to deck him because if no one will protect us then I'll do it myself but I needed to catch a vote more than a case today," Ocasio-Cortez wrote. "
What's wrong with big-booty Latinas? That's pretty much all of 'em on Onlyfans, though much is not original equipment.
I appreciate them. They also likely induced the organ size of diverses. A win win.
She is part of the Swamp elite, where real women are a no no. Have to look like a boy tmto get compliments from the gay fashion aristocracy. She is a snob.
https://twitter.com/AOC/status/1547397629260226560
Twitter banned me, but let me in again. I had never posted a Tweet.
Looks like it's here. https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/0001418091/000119312522120461/d310843dex21.htm
Does't Musk waive further disclosure beyond what he already has or any additional required due diligence in the purchase agreement?
Yes.
That is not correct. See Section 6.4 of the Merger Agreement (quoted in pertinent part below):
Section 6.4 Access to Information; Confidentiality. Upon reasonable notice, the Company shall (and shall cause each of its Subsidiaries to) afford to the representatives, officers, directors, employees, agents, attorneys, accountants and financial advisors (“Representatives”) of Parent reasonable access (at Parent’s sole cost and expense), in a manner not disruptive in any material respect to the operations of the business of the Company and its Subsidiaries, during normal business hours and upon reasonable written notice throughout the period commencing on the date of this Agreement until the earlier of the Effective Time and the termination of this Agreement pursuant to Article VIII, to the properties, books and records of the Company and its Subsidiaries and, during such period, shall (and shall cause each of its Subsidiaries to) furnish promptly to such Representatives all information concerning the business, properties and personnel of the Company and its Subsidiaries as may reasonably be requested in writing, in each case, for any reasonable business purpose related to the consummation of the transactions contemplated by this Agreement; provided, however, that [deleted exceptions and restrictions that do not appear relevant].
You ignore (well, gloss over) these words:
It isn't a license for him to get whatever information he wants. It's only about information needed to consummate the deal.
Is verifying accuracy of representations and satisfaction of closing conditions not a reasonable business purpose related to the consummation of the transactions?
If I were Musk, verifying the accuracy of the information in TWTR's public filings is where I would hang my hat.
Giving 6.4 a more restrictive reading would render it a nullity. Musk doesn't need to do anything to close the deal other than show up with a check for $44 billion.
It doesn't matter; this is a red herring. Nothing in the merger agreement makes this "bot" issue relevant. It's just a pretext by Musk to back out of the deal.
David Nieporent
July.14.2022 at 10:36 am
Flag Comment Mute User
"It doesn't matter; this is a red herring. Nothing in the merger agreement makes this "bot" issue relevant. It's just a pretext by Musk to back out of the deal."
Curious if you actually read the "merger agreement" or the purchase document and reviewed the documents provided by twitter and therefore have a factual basis to make your statement or if you are making your typical unfounded allegation
It would be relevant if the related alleged misstatements in the 10-K and 10-Q were so significant that they would cause an MAE.
Isn't that the endgame? Doesn't Twitter sell advertising based on how many accounts that advertising reaches? If the books are cooked due to bots, wouldn't that constitute fraud?
Maybe, by way of mediation, they can consult some high-profile figure from Delaware with experience re large corporations?
Leo Strine might be a good candidate. Former Chancellor of the Delaware Chancery Court, where the case will be heard, and former Chief Justice of the Delaware Supreme Court.
Strine helped shape the legal norms that Musk will test by terminating the agreement, so he probably knows the relevant law as well as anyone.
He's currently in private practice; you could contact him via his firm Wachtell, Lipton, Rosen & Katz LLP. Of course, that firm might just be busy with a certain high profile case at the moment.
Just to be clear, I was making a Biden joke, but your information seems very interesting.
Or, as many speculate, it's just another card in the negotiations, and will never actually be litigated.
The board no doubt doesn't want formal discovery.
Musk no doubt doesn't want the spectacle of being a highly publicized defendant as a flake.
Somewhere in the middle is the actual value of Twitter.
> Musk no doubt doesn't want the spectacle of being a highly publicized defendant as a flake.
Too late there, he's already a laughingstock among those who aren't fanboys or investors.
Adler seems to want to follow a media-style "both sides" frame, but that seems to be an emotional need. If you talk to transactional attorneys, they react more like ATL does:
https://abovethelaw.com/2022/07/twitter-complaint-demonstrates-that-every-lawyer-everywhere-always-is-smarter-than-elon-musk/
The about face on Musk was one of the most abrupt Eastasia/Eurasia moments I've witnessed in years. I mean the media always does this but it was especially stark in this case. He was widely beloved as the techMessiah across the spectrum. There was a little bit of criticism from some corners to be sure mostly good natured ribbing on his eccentricities and hyping but nowhere near what it is now.
Then the moment he reveals/changed his political affiliation and suddenly he's this demonic figure who's evil and incompetent in every way, even mutually contradictory ones kind of like global warming. and antimusk documentaries and deconstructions are suddenly flooding out of every orifice. Sort of reminds me of the journey of Mccain from angel to demon back to angel in the media and similar cases. I have to wonder if even the people doing it are really swallowing all this whiplash. So funny,
Wow, you and I must watch different media. I remember various shows, FOR YEARS, making fun of Musk. (Stephen Colbert's show being the most obvious example.) And when he voiced support for Trump (well, for Trump's right to continue to lie on Twitter and Facebook), those same media continued to make fun of Musk. And now that he and Trump are publicly feuding, according to your theory, the media should have whiplashed back to a pro-Musk stance. But, of course, the media have continued to poke fun at him.
I guess that you had a narrative in your head, and everything you have seen and heard somehow supports that narrative.
I don't think you're being particularly accurate, in this case.
riiight....
https://morningconsult.com/2022/06/23/elon-musk-favorability/
Certainly at least since Trump killed a terrorist leader, and CNN broadcast sob stories of people who missed him.
"Too late there, he's already a laughingstock among those who aren't fanboys or investors."
Hardly a laughingstock. He has had some hits and some misses in his career but he keeps moving forward with new ideas. That is one reason he is the world's richest man. A real laughingstock would be Bill Gates who achieved his wealth peddling defect and virus prone computer software and now thinks he is an expert on living viruses.
He who laugh last laughs best.
Above the Law? Really? That’s an unbiased opinion for damn sure. What a friggin joke.
It’s going to come down to whatever the PSA says. If it gets that far. This might just be a negotiation tactic by one or both parties. If bots are actually a bigger part of Twitter’s user base than they’ve been saying then they’ve got a valuation and credibility problem. They might be open to close on a lower number from Musk.
he's already a laughingstock among those who aren't fanboys or investors.
He's got the socialists freaked out for sure. Until somewhat recently they imagined that he was another Soros or Gates, a rich one of them. I don't think they're laughing though. They're running scared.
Musk says he asked for information as to bots and the company declined to provide it. He’s going to be allowed to do due diligence as part of any purchase agreement, and that means he’s entitled to see virtually everything.
If he’s telling the truth and they denied him access to information then he’s got every right to walk and the lawsuit is garbage. If he’s not, then it depends on the rest of the termination language.
Bevis,
If he asked for information re bots and Twitter said to him, "Um, no. You're not going to see that information." . . . then, why is Musk absolved from what would be a horrific example of failure to perform due diligence?
(Now, if he asked for that info, and Twitter misled him and gave him incomplete and/or inaccurate data, and falsely told him that Twitter had fully complied; then I think Musk has a fair dinkum case.)
If I want to buy an apartment building; one of the questions I always ask, as part of my due diligence, is, "Are there any existing lawsuits re this property, or do you have any information that suggests any future lawsuits are pending or might reasonably be coming?" If the current owner tells me that this is none of my beeswax, then I can (a) walk away from the deal, or (b) lower my purchase price offer accordingly. But I don't think I can get this feedback from the owner, still decide to make a full-value offer, and then later whine about how I didn't know about a really bad lawsuit that a tenant has filed. That's on me, I think, as a so-called savvy businessperson.
In your apartment building example, the apartment is for sale. Twitter wasn’t.
Do in the case of a hostile takeover like Musk was doing, initially the target is not obligated to give the buyer anything. Musk formulated his bid based on only the publicly available information from Twitter’s SEC filings and press releases, etc. When Twitter finally acquiesced, the parties negotiated a Purchase and Sale Agreement that provided for the timing, the tolerances, contained confidentiality provisions and defined cancellation rights and so on. Then the actual due diligence begins. At that point the buyer is entitled to see EVERYTHING. If Twitter either denied him the bot (or any other) information or provided misleading information or if it turns out the bot statistics were materially different than what Musk got from their public filings, then he has the right to walk.
Musk claims he discovered something during due diligence that caused him to overstate Twitter’s value. So he’s walking. The outcome of the lawsuit will rest on how his right to walk juxtaposes against his rights in the PSA.
In your apartment building example, the apartment is for sale. Twitter wasn’t.
I'd suggest some reflection on the nature of a "public offering".
Publicly traded shares are not the same as 100% of the company being for sale.
Of course Twitter was, and is, for sale.
All public companies are for sale, by definition.
There is a covenant un the merger agreement requiring TWTR to provide Musk w information, documents etc. It is subject to some reasonableness-type exceptions, but they don't seem relevant here. Musk seems to be arguing that they have breached this covenant, and failed to cure within a 30-day notice period, and that gives him the right to terminate.
So the question is whether TWTR provided the info or not.
If they did provide the info, Musk's only out on the Bot issue would be if the related misstatements in the 10-K and 10-Q were so significant that they would have a Material Adverse Effect (although it is unclear to me who would have the burden of proof on the MAE question).
I notice the heart of the question is off the table for you, which is did Twitter misrepresent themselves in their SEC filings. You seem to assume this is impossible in which case the executives of Enron are owed an apology for the investigation into an impossibility.
Talking to me? No, I think it’s entirely possible that Twitter understated that data in their public filings. If it’s even an item they disclose. I’ve never owned the stock so I’ve never looked at the metrics they report.
The contract explicitly states that access will be provided at Musk's expense barring a very few exceptions, and the only one that could really stick is the "cause significant competitive harm" clause, but to claim that over the information Musk wants Twitter effectively has to admit that they were outright falsifying reports to the SEC for the last decade.
Musk is lying.
You would think. But that assumes that the purchaser is not a bipolar billionaire who just wants things to happen regardless of whether they make sense, and thus whether he signed a merger agreement that does not provide for due diligence.
No he's not. They artificially limited his rate of access to the information so that no reasonable analysis could be completed before the closing in October.
Complete nonsense.
Heaton and Henderson write: "The merger agreement in this case could be read in a way that permits a court to order Mr. Musk to buy Twitter — he and two entities he controls agreed they would “not oppose” such an order"
What's another way that the merger agreement could be read?
Heaton and Henderson also write: "Specific performance is used fleetingly, and for good reason. It is the ultimate act of coercion."
Why does the contract not overcome coercion?
Heaton and Henderson's analogy to house painting is weak. Completing a purchase is much more akin to a money judgment, which is what courts usually order. If Musk had to specifically perform the painting of all of twitter's buildings, then Heaton and Henderson might be on to something.
Bainbridge also pretty convincingly lays waste to H&H's "arguments", and with quite a bit more hard data and history than H&H used.
This makes sense to me.
If "specific performance" doesn't come into play, then what does? Money damages? Would that be the difference between the offered price and price after the deal collapses, or something less?
Well, if they won the case, that would be an alternative remedy, yes. But most likely is that they settle for an amount of money somewhere between what Musk agreed to pay and the current value. But closer to the former.
You're probably right about that - the parties will most likely reach some monetary settlement without Musk taking ownership (and IMHO, that's probably the best outcome for everyone involved). The specific performance suit is legal hardball to extract as much money from Musk as possible.
Assuming twitter wins and the court orders Musk to pay them $44B, there's still the opportunity to let him walk away for, say, half that amount. If it gets that far - it's possible Musk will settle pre verdict, but I'm not sure that's the smart way to bet.
The way the common law treats specific performance will never stop fascinating me.
The Dutch civil code, on the other hand, states quite simply:
How is that farmers protest going in the Netherlands? Seems to have disappeared from the news.
...and from the streets. It turns out that blocking motorways and intimidating government ministers at their homes isn't a great way to get sympathy for your cause.
Think Dobbs and Bruen protestors in America will get the message?
I suppose it all depends on who you're trying to impress. The Dutch farmers are trying to convince the median voter that their business is more important than building houses to solve the housing crisis or driving 130 km/h on the motorway (both of which also cause lots of NOx emissions).
On the other hand, if you're trying to impress your base for any of a number of reasons (campaign donations, primary elections, say), radicalisation can be quite effective. It might also work if the median voter agrees with you but the median politician doesn't.
The concept of "efficient breach" is the reason specific performance is disfavored.
If it's efficient to breach, the parties should be able to settle on a payment in lieu of performance that both parties prefer to specific performance. I don't see why you should disfavour specific performance to get that.
(Also, common law courts have disfavoured specific performance for centuries, i.e. several centuries before the theory of efficient breach was developed.)
There are many reasons to disfavor specific performance. One is simply that in many cases it's a PITA to enforce. A lot easier for the court to order A to write a check to B than to order A to perform some action for B. (I mean, of course it's easy to order the latter. But then the court has to supervise to make sure A actually does so.)
Why would a court order forcing Musk to write a check for $44B be any harder to enforce than for the court to order A to write a check to B? I mean, aside from the personality involved in the first clause.
I suppose the court would have to supervise the current management at twitter in turning over control of the company, but I'm not seeing that as being all that hard or that there would be much resistance.
No, you're over-reading what I wrote. I said in many cases it's a PITA. This would be a relatively easy one. But let's say that it's painting my house. It's easy to issue an order saying, "Musk must paint David's house." But then the court has to retain jurisdiction to make sure he actually does it, and may end up having to decide whether Musk's painting job is sufficient.
What's unusual about that? If I hire Elon Musk to paint my house, he shows up but does a bad job, and I sue him, the court also has to decide whether Musk's painting job is sufficient. And if it's all too much of a PITA, the plaintiff has every reason not to seek specific performance, but to seek damages and take his money elsewhere.
Prof. Bainbridge, as he freely admits, is bound by the teachings of the Catholic Church whenever they conflict with his opinions as a legal scholar (or as a human being, for that matter). Therefore his analysis depends on whether this is more like a breach of contract (sinful) or an annulment (not).
http://www.professorbainbridge.com/professorbainbridgecom/2003/10/the-la-strikes-and-the-economic-analysis-of-unions.html
"Catholic Social Teaching emphasizes that workers have a natural right both to form unions and to strike. As I read the relevant encyclicals and pastoral letters, this teaching is not a matter of prudential judgment, but rather an authoritative teaching to which faithful Catholics must give religious assent."
Explaining to his readers why, in conflict with his general legal philosophy, he does not object to unions.
Pretty sure Musk ignored everything his counsel advised. That is, if he even bothered to contact them before he made his unsolicited offer and waived due diligence. Doesn’t help his case either that he then immediately and oh-so obviously set out to ruin the deal, costing both Twitter and Tesla buckets of ducats in stock value.
A whole lot of trying to politicize this here and elsewhere, but they had a contract related to this transaction. If what Zmusk did was consistent with the contract, Twitter loses. If not, they win. Damages anyway. Less certain about specific performance.
The thing is, in negotiating the contract Musk asked that it be made "seller friendly" and waived "due diligence". This prompted twitter's attorneys to draft a very one-sided contract that Musk agreed to.
So, yes, it comes down to what's in the contract, but it's a very very bad contract from Musk's perspective. If we were dealing with a "normal" person he'd be negotiating a settlement, but it's Musk so all bets are off.
"Musk asked that it be made "seller friendly" and waived "due diligence"."
Cite required. You keep saying that. You saying it doesn't make it true.
From the filing by twitter's attorneys, paragraph 32:
The following day, on Sunday, April 24, 2022, Musk tried again to force Twitter’s hand. He delivered a letter to the board repeating that his $54.20 per share offer was “best and final,” threatening once more to sell all of his shares if his bid were rejected, and saying he would propose a “seller friendly” merger agreement to be signed before the market opened the next day. Musk’s counsel sent over a draft agreement, reiterated that Musk’s offer was not contingent on any due diligence, and underscored that the form of the proposed agreement was “intended to make this easy on all to get to a deal asap.”
Granted, this is twitter's side of the argument, but I'd be surprised if Wachtell et. al. are simply making this up or lying about it. That's usually a bad idea in an actual filing.
"Granted, this is twitter's side of the argument, but I'd be surprised if Wachtell et. al. are simply making this up or lying about it. That's usually a bad idea in an actual filing."
People frequently make factual claims in civil suit filing that are disputed by the other side.
If Twitter doesn't have that in writing and Musk denies it, it isn't going to be a slam dunk for them.
They have plenty in writing. Musk signed a very one-sided contract. In particular, he agreed to waive any argument that twitter is not entitled to specific performance:
I'm trying to imagine the look on the Chancellor's face when she asks why he's contesting the suit when the contract specifically states that he's waived any right to contest the suit.
He hasn't waived any right to contest the suit.
Actually, both parties did. From the contract:
"Each of the parties hereto agrees that it will not oppose the granting of an injunction, specific performance and other equitable relief on the basis that any other party has an adequate remedy at law or that any award of specific performance is not an appropriate remedy for any reason at law or in equity. "
Or more concisely:
""Each of the parties hereto agrees that it will not oppose the granting of ... specific performance ...on the basis that ... any award of specific performance is not an appropriate remedy for any reason at law or in equity. "
In other words, if Twitter seeks specific performance of the merger agreement, Musk has already agreed not to oppose that effort.*
*Not my words, but Prof. Bainbridge.
They agreed not to contest specific performance as a remedy.
But before you get to the question of remedy, you have to decide on the merits of a cause of action and various defenses that Musk has. They are still arguing about who breached, how and when.
And when you eventually get to the question of remedy, the covenant not to contest specific performance may not hold much water. If a court finds that the specific performance is unenforceable because specific performance is not an appropriate remedy here, then the court would also probably decide that the covenant not to contest specific performance is likewise unenforceable. All in all, I think it's very doubtful a court will order a $44 billion specific performance and I don't think that's ever been done. But even without that remedy there could be damages that are just as bad.
People frequently make factual claims in civil suit filing that are disputed by the other side.
That doesn't mean you assume a claim is made up!
I imagine the contract was made public in one of their filings. Go read it if you want. In my engineer life I had to read or help write more purchase and sale agreements than any one non-lawyer should be forced to. Never gonna look at another one.
Musk also appears to be claiming that TWTR materially misrepresented the proportion of bots among their user base. If true, that might mitigate any due diligence issue Musk may have.
I’m not watching that closely because I don’t have a dog in the hunt. As a free speech guy, I’m unimpressed by Twitter’s censorship and the negative reaction of the media toward someone championing free speech, but there’s not much I can do other than express contempt and refuse to patronize.
bevis the lumberjack
July.14.2022 at 10:29 am
Flag Comment Mute User
"I imagine the contract was made public in one of their filings. Go read it if you want."
I concur with your comments - I likewise dont have a dog in this fight (other than the original offer was probably about $44b over the actual value).
That being said, it seems the vast majority of comments have come from people who neither read the contract nor privy to what documents have or havent been provided and as such have no factual basis to support their analysis on who is right or wrong
as of 7/14/2022 twitter had a market cap of 28b at a 131 p/e ratio
The 10k shows 200m positive cash flow over the last 3 years.
Fair value based on cash flow/earning is probably closer to 2b - certainly not the $44b
No. Musk's entire argument for buying Twitter was that it had too many bots and that he would clean the problem up.
David,
Both can be true. (a) "I've been told by Twitter that they have X number of bots. That's way too many, and I'm gonna buy Twitter, and immediately work to clean up that problem." (b) "Do'h! . . . It turns out that there are actually 9X number of bots. Twitter failing to tell me the actual approximate number is material and grounds for rescission."
I don't have a ton of sympathy for Musk (based on the info so far), but my position can and will change if it turns out that Twitter did engage in intentional or reckless deception.
(p.s. My increasingly negative view of Musk has much more to do with my recent discovery of his history of sexual assault/misconduct with women. And I don't love him fucking every woman he apparently meets and impregnating them. Even if he can pay them off afterwards. I guess that also informs my opinion. Absolutely nothing to do with whether he loves or hates or is indifferent to Trump on any particular day.)
No mainstream analysis was available? Just Federalist Society analysis?
Proposed edit: "Whoever is right," instead of "Whomever is right."
The Heaton-Henderson "analysis" is devoid of legal substance. They just assert that specific performance is rare (it's really not), and then say that it's probably not going to happen.
Bainbridge has a pretty thorough analysis, this one written prior to the Heaton-Henderson "analysis":
https://www.professorbainbridge.com/professorbainbridgecom/2022/07/elon-musk-is-trying-to-get-out-of-the-twitter-deal-my-analysis-of-the-legal-arguments.html
Of course, his rebuttal to the Heaton-Henderson "analysis" (linked above) looks pretty solid too.
Pretty good analysis. I think I disagree with a key part:
"it is harder to prove that a material adverse event occurred than to prove that a representation was materially false."
Yes. But for social media platforms that are valued based on their number of users and the eyeball time they bring, a dent in the number of users could easily be material.
"As Matt Levine explains: . . . If in fact 90% of Twitter’s users are bots, it knows that, and it has been lying to advertisers for years, then, uh, sure, maybe. But in any plausible case, there will not be an MAE, so he still has to close the deal and pay $54.20 per share."
Uh, no. If you had a representation that bots are 5% and it turned out to be 10%, that could easily be "material." This doesn't mean Musk wins as they didn't have a straightforward representation about it, but they have the SEC filings which are qualified with disclaimers saying the numbers may be inaccurate. I would speculate that it seems quite likely that the number of bots is higher than 5% and Twitter knew or easily should have known that, but this is probably hard to prove.
FWIW Matt Levine is essential reading nowadays
"The Heaton-Henderson "analysis" is devoid of legal substance. They just assert"
It's a newspaper op-ed, so you already knew this would be the case necessarily.
Leave it up to attorneys to make all of this harder than it is. This seems like basic contract law. Did Twitter breach their part, or did Elon?
I mean, Musk is the one who got a court to agree that he didn't calling someone a pedophile wasn't an accusation of them being a pedophile, so I'm not sure why you should assume the law (as it applies to the 99%) would matter.
It depends. Did Twitter's SEC filings contain an untrue statement of fact or a misleading omission? If so, is it something that would have a material adverse effect on the company?