The Volokh Conspiracy
Mostly law professors | Sometimes contrarian | Often libertarian | Always independent
Coronavirus Deaths: 6th Day of ~700/Day in Italy, 3rd Day of ~600 in Spain, 3rd Day of ~210 in France, 2nd Day of ~235 in U.S.
(All numbers are plus or minus about 15%.)
Data from WorldoMeter. Good news, such as it is, is that Italy seems to have stabilized, jury still out on the others. Over the last few days, the per capita rate has been highest in Spain.
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Finally the spread appears to be sub-exponential in Italy.
New York has weeks of exponential spread of infection in front of it.
At the risk of quoting Stalin, I must state that one needs to take these numbers in perspective of the (very small) percentages of the populations they come from.
No one has posted about the number that is inconvenient to Trump's latest turn. All posting about transgender women in sports, I guess.
Italy has a population of 60 million.
The 2019 death rate in Italy was 10.7 per 100k (the US, by comparison, was 8.7).
1,750 people die in Italy on an average day.
How are the 700 deaths/day affecting the rare in Italy? Is Italy now experiencing 2,400 deaths/day (increasing the rate to nearly 15 per 100,000)?
That’s about the same rate as Lithuania (14.8).