Russia and the Global Green Energy Crisis: Live With Michael Shellenberger
A conversation with the author of Apocalypse Never: Why Environmental Alarmism Hurts Us All about what the war in Ukraine means for the push for renewables.
Europe's embrace of renewable energy has made it heavily reliant on Russian gas and oil to fill gaps in the power supply. As Russian President Vladimir Putin's flailing invasion of Ukraine continues, and in the wake of the Nord Stream pipeline ruptures as Europeans approach winter, it's an especially urgent issue. Amid Europe's largest war since World War II, what is happening to the lofty goals of nations around the world to reduce their reliance on fossil fuels?
Watch live as Reason's Nick Gillespie and Zach Weissmueller discuss the status of global green energy Thursday at 1 p.m. Eastern time with Michael Shellenberger, author of Apocalypse Never: Why Environmental Alarmism Hurts Us All.
Join the Facebook event to watch live and submit questions during the show or join us on YouTube.
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It is viciously ironic that being green and woke continues to amplify the power of polluters and bigots. It is almost like the whole thing is a scam being orchestrated by bad actors.
Blinkin had an interview where he said it was great Germany and Europe would be forced to transition earlier after the pipe attacks. Amazing comment.
Yeah, this is right up there with 'let them eat cake' in terms of disconnection with the proletariat.
Something tells me 'let them freeze' will be taken about as well, although in fairness the proletariat are fine with the idea of infinite free energy with no repercussions they just aren't fine with reality.
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"Woke" being disingenuos (at best)? affirmative.
Trying to not boil this planet? um.. unless you get your share from Big Oil I don't get why no longer relying on fuels that brought nothing but trouble is such a terrible thing...
Only leftists talk about reducing reliance on fossil fuels.
Can't argue with that. Though the talk is more about eliminating fossil fuels without a clear understanding of how many other things besides car engines would be affected by that move.
Please, save us from your "rest of the world, is it edible?" crap.
"Europe's embrace of renewable energy has made it heavily reliant on Russian gas and oil to fill gaps in the power supply."
Europe embraced fossil fuel long ago, burned through its coal, gas and oil reserves, now working on Russia's. Until this business in Ukraine proved how the embrace of fossil fuel is a dangerous thing.
They have plenty of fossil fuel reserves. They just ignore them.
"They have plenty of fossil fuel reserves. "
UK and Norway reserves of gas are dwindling. Russia, Iran, Turkmenistan have plenty of gas reserves. They are bad countries, though. Rely of fossil fuels at your peril.
Germany and the UK have plenty of fracking potential.
As for peril ... jeez you ignore reality which DOES rely on fossil fuels in favor of the impossibility of relying on renewables.
"Germany and the UK have plenty of fracking potential."
For fossil fuels. CO2 and methane emissions, in other words. What part of the phrase 'climate change' don't you understand?
So, in other words, your initial argument was nothing more than a smokescreen for your actual argument.
Reliance on burning fossil fuels can be dangerous for more than one reason. There's the CO2 you've heard about, also other by products which are toxic to humans and animals, there's also the fact that areas that rely on extracting fossil fuels become perpetual meat grinders like the Middle East and now Russia has joined the party.
Given that any use at all means that resources are "dwindling" at least a little, I guess your statement is true. It is misleading, however, because the North Sea reserves are still quite large. The most reliable estimates I could quickly find suggest that if drilling were resumed at scale, there are probably 35 years worth of production remaining. It is nowhere close to accurate to say Europe "has burned through" those reserves.
"The most reliable estimates I could quickly find suggest that if drilling were resumed at scale, there are probably 35 years worth of production remaining."
Doesn't it take the Europeans something close to 35 years to build a single nuclear reactor? And that's during economic good times.
Due to environmentalists.
You want quick and dirty nuclear reactors? Forget Europe, China is where the action is.
You snarked about it taking 35 years to build a nuclear plant. I was advising you WHY it takes 35 years. It's not like we do not know how to make safe nuclear reactors.
It's the operators I worry about. Just about every nuclear accident in history has been put down to human error.
"...Just about every nuclear accident in history has been put down to human error..."
Yes, and they are SOOOO dangerous!
"..To put these numbers into perspective, in 70 years and with a total of 667 nuclear power plants that have ever operated, only three major accidents have taken place. Using the official internationally-recognized death statistics for Three Mile Island, Chernobyl and Fukushima, the combined loss of lives from the three major nuclear accidents is 32 people..."
https://www.engineering.com/story/whats-the-death-toll-of-nuclear-vs-other-energy-sources
Fuck off, chicken little
Less so (non-radical) enviromentalist (no quote marks in this case), and more the scientifically uneducated.
Our problem is not enviromentalism, is the "postmodern" bullshit that believes "opinions>facts".
Europe has massive fossil fuel reserves.
The alternative is to return to the pre-industrial age; there is no alternative to fossil fuels at this point.
"The alternative is to return to the pre-industrial age; there is no alternative to fossil fuels at this point."
Socialism is the more likely alternative. China and India, not blessed with an abundance of fossil fuels, but home to half the world's population, and heritage of vegetarianism, will lead the way. You may prefer to return to the caves out of spite, but other voices will prevail.
China and India, not blessed with an abundance of fossil fuels, but home to half the world’s population, and heritage of vegetarianism, will lead the way.
So far they lead the world in CO2 emissions. Why are we expecting that to change?
"So far they lead the world in CO2 emissions."
What part of the phrase 'half the world's population' didn't you understand?
What part of the phrase ‘half the world’s population’ didn’t you understand?
The part that read "Socialism is the more likely alternative."
'There is no alternative' is an idea that provides comfort to many here. I think first enunciated by Thatcher in defense of neo-liberal market fundamentalism.
No, it's a simple, scientific statement: there are two forms of energy generation available as the basis for a modern, industrial society: fossil fuels and nuclear. No other forms of energy generation are available. That's a fact.
Socialism can't change that fact.
Uhhh... relevance? how is having a large population going to change the totalitarian behaviour of the CCP?
If Winnie Pooh decides to go for green it's certainly not happening soon, nor out of good will.
If you think that socialist governments give a sh*t about the environment, you really haven't been paying attention to a century of socialism.
The only reason China talks a lot about "green energy" is because it's a way they can manipulate Western voters like you into economic self-destruction of the West.
China, like all socialist nations, is an environmental disaster area.
"there are two forms of energy generation available ...: fossil fuels and nuclear. No other forms of energy generation are available. That’s an opinion."
-FTFY
Don't get me wrong, I hate the 99% Orwellian regime of the CCP as everyone else, but it's Trump who is closer to being their loyal servant, not the public.
the lofty goals of nations around the world to reduce their reliance on fossil fuels
Lofty as in high as a kite? Lofty as in high-handed? Lofty as in above the peasants?
ETA not meant as a reply; clicked wrong button.
"Lofty as in high as a kite?"
Lofty as in difficult to reach. Replacing fossil fuels with other sources of energy will require an enormous investment in money and commitment of resources. It's not for the faint of heart or the acrophobic.
Lofty as in whooooosh
"Lofty" as in "impossible".
Replacing fossil fuels with nuclear is possible to a significant degree; that doesn't require an "enormous investment", we could do that today.
Beyond that, saying it "requires an enormous investment" starts from the false premise that after you make the investment, you'll end up with energy sources that are as cheap and abundant as fossil and nuclear, and that premise is false.
"Replacing fossil fuels with nuclear is possible to a significant degree; that doesn’t require an “enormous investment”, we could do that today."
You're surely joking. It would take trillions, if not quadrillions of dollars.
"you’ll end up with energy sources that are as cheap and abundant as fossil and nuclear, and that premise is false."
It's cheap and abundant energy sources that are the problem. It's clean energy that is called for, and that's going to cost. Sorry. I never promised you a rose garden.
Do you honestly believe the retard crap that spews out of you?
Honestly and sincerely, for the most part.
So we'll go with "stupid".
What do you think it would cost to replace fossil fuels, any other way?
Are you really that stupid?
Nuclear energy is about the same cost per MWh as fossil fuel, and it would get substantially cheaper as we built more plants. So, it is something we could do today, by replacing aging fossil fuel power plants with nuclear plants.
Nuclear energy is clean energy. Wind and solar, not so much, given the huge amount of wast and land they require, and the environmental destruction that entails.
Hard agree on nuclear, but please stop spewing the crap of the hypocrite of Alan Moore and his "aLl cApItAlIsTZZZ muZt dI3Zz" unscientific nonsense.
You're supposed to be on the far-right, not on the far-left... oh sorry, I forgot the horseshoe effect.
Could be why international free trade is a good thing.
"international free trade is a good thing."
A very good thing for our multinationals. Next to meaningless if you're a German freezing in the dark.
The German government chose to fight Russia and they are paying the price now. They only have themselves to blame.
Blaming yourself won't warm you in the winter.
Neither will windmills.
Humans and animals and plants have been exploiting energy from wind for as long as humans, animals and plants have been around. They continue to do so today. Only a moron would ignore this valuable source for purely ideological reasons.
At a level 1/100th of our current level of prosperity, jackass.
Source? please let it be one other than your anus.
Literally zero biological organisms meet their energy needs from wind.
I love using the wind for transportation: we call that "sailing" and "gliding". But wind energy is not feasible as the basis of a modern industrialized society.
Only a moron would reject nuclear energy as an energy source for purely ideological reasons, and that's what you are.
Soooo, "Heil Putin"?
How in Arceus butt did we got to a society that literally worships bullies this much, oh I forgot, Dragon Ball Z fried your brain with it's GETTING STRONGER IS ALL THAT MATTERS DESTROY AND SUBJUGATE YOUR ENEMIES crap.
You dumb-ass!
Both Denmark and the UK drill for oil in The North Sea and Denmark even has a Sovereign Wealth Fund for it's Citizens funded by oil! (Not that this is a legitimate role of a Libertarian limited government, but it gives an idea of how lucrative and plentiful oil is.)
And before it broke into Continents, the dinosaurs and other beasts from which petroleum derives all lived tens and hundreds of millions of years ago on the single Super-Continental land mass called Pangaea. That means potentially every Continent has petroleum if you drill deep enough!
All of Europe and every other nation should work on finding oil!...And ignore Watermelon Rickshaw Boys like you!
"All of Europe and every other nation should work on finding oil!"
Oil is dirty and burning it causing CO2 emissions. Try to keep up.
The issue here is not whether renewable energy is or is not a good idea. He issue here is whether - and to what extent - governments should set energy policies or promote particular energy goals. Given the fact that governments almost never get it right and don't do a good job even when their policy goals are probably good, the answer is "don't promote renewable energy or discourage fossil fuels!"
"Given the fact that governments almost never get it right and don’t do a good job even when their policy goals are probably good,"
You think letting the oil companies setting energy policy is better? They have an interest is keeping the status quo and continuing to extract, process and sell fossil fuels which inevitably lead to CO2 emissions. I understand throwing your hands up on government, democracy, science, medicine etc, but the idea that our oil companies are going to step up and pull our chestnuts from the fire is naive and slavish.
The markets would be a happy medium there Mr. Truthiness.
Also naive and slavish. Markets left to their own devices would continue to do what our oil companies want done - turning the oceans and atmosphere into a free dumping ground for their unwanted by-products.
Markets do that because that's what the people vote for, both with their dollars and democratically.
And the people vote for that because deep down they realize that carbon emissions and plastic waste are actually not particularly dangerous, but that wrecking the world economy by interfering with energy markets will cost millions of lives every year.
It is people like you who want to impose your bizarre eco-fantasies as policy on the entire world population and you don't care who you kill in the process.
"And the people vote for that because deep down"
Deep down? Are you serious?
Yes: unlike the shallow, uninformed platitudes and propaganda that you like to parrot, most people don't need to think a lot to realize the obvious fact that if we want to continue to have a modern, industrialized society, we need to continue to burn fossil fuels for now.
"Markets do that because that’s what the people vote for, both with their dollars and democratically."
So I must tolerate Wokellywood and the anual FIFAs, MADDENs, and Dragon Ball Quests in videogames because it's "the people's opinion".
You're giving nuke launching codes to those who believe Totalitarianism (ex. Putin or Xinping) is our answer.
I've seen "voting with your wallet" fail in ways so spectacular, that SOCIETY would need a severe Paradigm Shift for me to believe in such idiocy again.
Not true. People are flocking to the new technology because it serves some underlying need they want fulfilled. Also, how can your green world exist without the many products that use oil as a component.
"People are flocking to the new technology because it serves some underlying need they want fulfilled. "
That sounds suspiciously like something an economist might say.
Why else do they buy or buy into products or ideas? If you think the utopian 'greater good' is going to save the world you should revisit your history lessons for some good ole eye openin'.
Or go watch Ready Player One. Dystopia with a virtual utopia. Everyone is happy and you own nothing.
"Why else do they buy or buy into products or ideas? "
Why indeed?
"If you think the utopian ‘greater good’ is going to save the world you should revisit your history lessons for some good ole eye openin’."
The world will be fine. It's human civilization that is at risk. A few pandemics, famines, and wars could do the trick.
“The world will be fine. It’s human civilization that is at risk. A few pandemics, famines, and wars could do the trick.”
So why are we rushing to lower the standard of living and population via socialist state action when events will eventually reset the equation anyway?
Socialists want it now. They are not willing to let nature take its course. That's why they are so keen on weaning society from burning fossil fuels.
"The world will be fine. It’s human civilization that is at risk. A few pandemics, famines, and wars could do the trick."
Scratch an environmentalist and you'll find a Neo-Malthusian Misanthrope.
If people actually ARE "flocking to new technology" then there would be no need for government to encourage the change. Just as people flocked to whale oil from candles and wood stoves; and then flocked to coal; and then to oil and gas; and then to nuclear; if people flock to renewable energy you don't have to ban fossil fuels. So your argument is self-destroying and circular. On the other hand, if people aren't flocking to renewable energy then maybe they're too smart to fall for the green socialist proxy propaganda.
"if people flock to renewable energy you don’t have to ban fossil fuels."
Many are ideologically committed to fossil fuels. Just read the comments here.
No, we are committed to fossil fuels and nuclear because of scientific facts: those are the only energy sources that can support a modern, industrialized economy.
You reject scientific facts and instead promote energy policy based on ideology and fiction.
Couldn't agree more. I see no need for government interference. People can and will decide whether to embrace the new technology or not. Markets and marketing have their role in the process. The result will be a new set of unintended consequences that follow. For example, maybe your skyline is now lined with massive wind turbines or your backyard can't be used because you are forced to fill it with sun panels as part of participation in the existing grid. It will all work towards the greater good, the greater good being not affecting the elites need to not have any of that nonsense in their yards and skylines.
"Markets and marketing have their role in the process. "
Markets have their limits. What are the market forces that prevent us from using the commons as a convenient dumping grounds, for an example. I think your faith in markets to solve the problems we face is naive, slavish and ideologically motivated rather than carefully thought through.
The market solutions to climate change I've heard bruited about are clearly inadequate. We're not going to get rich buying and selling each other our sequestered carbon. It's an absurd notion. This is why the Socialists will eventually have their way if we seriously get to addressing the issue.
"For example, maybe your skyline is now lined with massive wind turbines or your backyard can’t be used because you are forced to fill it with sun panels as part of participation in the existing grid."
If you want electricity should be willing to pay the consequences. Oil drilling rigs spoil the skyline of those who live in oil producing areas as well as other unpleasant factors like noise and pollution. It's naive or disingenuous to demand that renewables ought to be free of those kind of consequences.
If you think that socialists are preventing destruction of the commons, you really haven't been paying attention to more than a century of socialism: socialist governments have been the worst destroyers of the environment, the worst polluters in the history of humanity.
What prevents us from doing that is the fact that our government is allowing this to happen by defining certain areas to be "common".
And in a purely market-driven environment, those kinds of issues would be settled contractually and via arbitration. Instead, under the semi-socialist/semi-fascist government we live under, if the government says that there shall be an oil drilling rig in front of your beach house or a bunch of gigantic windmills behind your home, there will be, and there is nothing you can do about it.
"On the other hand, if people aren’t flocking to renewable energy then maybe they’re too smart to fall for the green socialist proxy propaganda."
I'm green, and I call Marx as less of a scientist as fucking Freud or Wakefield. Hell, I'd rather believe Nostradamus, something something broken clock something.
Or would you prefer me bringing up how the rest of the world (no, it's not edible) sees the USA as a failed state these days, "iF pEoPlE vIlIb iT iT mUzT vI tRu".
I repeat, I would personally punch Marx' shitty face as hard as Hitler's. THIS IS NOT PROPANGANDA, IT'S FUCKING SCIENCE.
“Or would you prefer me bringing up how the rest of the world (no, it’s not edible) sees the USA as a failed state these days.”
The rest of the world are either on the brink of war, freezing to death, or client states in denial.
If the “failed” US stopped all foreign welfare the world economy would collapse.
So bring it up all you want, I need some humor in my life.
Oil companies don't set energy policies, consumers do.
Fucking progressives ignore individuals at our peril. Go study some basic econ 101.
"Oil companies don’t set energy policies, consumers do."
All those oil lobbyists showering money on our politicians are simply laughing at your slavish naivete.
All those oil lobbyists showering money on our politicians
How much money, exactly?
"How much money, exactly?"
Exactly. As Trotsky noted, some questions answer themselves.
As Trotsky noted, some questions answer themselves.
But not the one I asked.
I doubt there is an 'exact answer' to your question. And Trotsky agrees.
Don't be any sillier than you have to be. If oil lobbyists are setting energy policy it's because YOU gave politicians the authority to set energy policy and the oil lobbyists are buying corrupt politicians. The cure for that is to stop letting politicians set energy policy. Then oil lobbyists have no reason to buy politicians and the people will get what they buy. Aside from the fact that I don't believe the global warming - er - I mean "climate change" doom-sayers in the first place, we're right back to the "government is not very good at it" point I made initially.
" The cure for that is to stop letting politicians set energy policy."
Kumbaya, comrade.
"Aside from the fact that I don’t believe the global warming"
Mother nature doesn't care what you believe. You can believe that there is no such thing as the green house effect, and she will carry on regardless.
Exactly. You too can believe that all of this posturing and lifestyle changes will affect global climate warming cooling storming change and Mother Nature will continue to carry on as she always has.
"You too can believe that all of this posturing and lifestyle changes "
The posturing and life style changes are irrelevant to the issue. Concentrate on CO2 content in the atmosphere and oceans. That's where the green house effect comes into play. These gases trap heat and warm the climate.
"...Mother nature doesn’t care what you believe. You can believe that there is no such thing as the green house effect, and she will carry on regardless..."
None of which suggests the 'solutions' you prefer, watermelon.
While it´s true that a lot of alarmism is both misinforming and unhelpfull, to claim it is the entirety of themovement is stright up false.
If YOU were the USA president when 9/11, YOU would have nuked the entire Middle East.
All those green energy and Chinese lobbyists showing money on our politicians are simply laughing at your slavish naivete.
They are also laughing at the fact that the billions of dollars they have spent on propaganda and marketing have gotten fools like you to believe their nonsense.
"Oil companies don’t set energy policies, consumers do."
If people hold so much power, explain why I have to say "Taiwan, China" or "Hong Kong, China" to "not hurt the feelings of the chinese people".
On the other hand, every 20th and 21st century dictaror has been chosen democratically. Society is a scam and YOU know it.
Progressives my ass, it's your DBZtard SOCIETY obssesed with power and believing oneself as "the superior -Aryan- Saiyan" that is killing the individuals.
Oil companies don't "set policy", they offer a product, a product that provides energy cheaply and reliably. If you want their product to disappear from the market, you need to offer energy cheaper than they do. The problem is: nobody can.
You "understand that" because that's what you're doing: you're ignoring basic scientific facts.
Oil companies are "pulling our chestnuts from the fire" by continuing to provide fossil fuels cheaply and reliably, unscientific idiots like you trying to use the jackboot of government against them notwithstanding.
"Oil companies don’t “set policy”,"
I disagree.
"Oil companies are “pulling our chestnuts from the fire”
They are not. They are contributing to CO2 emissions constantly and bigly. They are adding more chestnuts.
"...They are not. They are contributing to CO2 emissions constantly and bigly. They are adding more chestnuts."
Assertions from lefty piles of shit =/= arguments or evidence.
Fuck off and die, watermelon.
Ad hominem attack, their not even bringing the left to that particular response.
Also you yourself are not bringin ANY evidence.
And before you try to smear me as "leftist shit", I repeat that I would punch Marx' face, or any other pseudoscientific maniac for that matter.
Well, you have proven time and again that you live in an alternate reality. But in the US and in Europe, policy is set by our elected representatives. Oil companies lobby them, just like green energy companies, and all sorts of other companies do.
Oil companies are not significantly "contributing to CO2 emissions", they are simply providing fossil fuel. Their customers create CO2 emissions by purchasing their products in favor to other energy sources.
In any case, while I certainly believe that CO2 emissions lead to global warming, it doesn't bother me and I don't care.
1. So this person is wrong in a technicallity, this is far from the worst take they've taken, I don't understand why this is so insidious to you.
2. "Oil companies are not significantly “contributing to CO2 emissions”, they are simply providing fossil fuel"
You've said it yourself: "Well, you have proven time and again that you live in an alternate reality".
3. "In any case, while I certainly believe that CO2 emissions lead to global warming, it doesn’t bother me and I don’t care."
Then why the hell respond in the first place?
And I envy you on it, I'd KILL for not having to worry about this scam called SOCIETY, but no, your "oPiNiOnS" keep screwing me over time and time again.
You wanna know something? If it was by me... if I could, I would rebuild Auschwitz, and put every. single. lifeform. there. I'm TIRED of your bullshit, of ALL of you.
You know who else set “lofty” goals which left Europe in shambles?
Jeezus. Who the fuck can waste one and a half HOURS watching/listening to a youtube? This could be a very interesting topic - connecting different energy sources and their security implications and the transition risks. But since there is no reason ahead of time to assume this time is useful, I ain't gonna bother. Does anyone watch these hour-long shows?
Guess you don’t Lex or Rogan much.
I have a job that allows me to listen to talk shows downloaded to my MP3 player while I work. Otherwise, I wouldn't take the time to listen to such programs.
I read Shellenberger's book. I doubt he's saying anything substantially different in the interview. In the book he advocates rich Western countries to subsidize coal exploitation in Africa so they can become rich and clean, just like us. I shit you not.
"Europe's embrace of renewable energy has made it heavily reliant on Russian gas and oil to fill gaps in the power supply."
Translation from watermelon cant:
"The Euro's magical thinking has bit them in the ass.
As my username suggests, I'm extremely dissapointed in humanity today, people would rather cling on their dogmas, or axioms as they call those nowadays, rather than science and facts... Fuck Postmodernism.
Instead of being:
Left: We're polluting, no more oil.
Right: But what about business and people's livelihoods?
Left: Why not try these alternatives?
Right:Seems right, cheaper even!
Both: Hey goverment, stopt these specific corps doing these specific things, and allow for these other to replace them, but no dictatorships, we're watching you.
Goberment: Ok.
Instead, the Right is still stuck with Left's "Cultural Marxism" and other Conspiretard "theories", and the Left accuses the Right of Dragon Ball Z-tardist obsesion with "Super I'm superior cuz I scrim louder-yan" or whatever.
You're both right, and wrong, can we drop all the retarded bullshit and work on what's actually important now?
Of course no, at best I'll get silenced, at worst some of you would try a hitman... Days like this... make me wish I could hurl Earth on a direct collision with the Sun. Fix the problem at it's root...
Excellent interview.
Shellenberger and Lomborg have delineated how the far left wing environmental extremists are imposing disastrous policies on Europe, America and the rest of the civilized world.
When it will over?