The Doubling of Life Expectancy Is the Greatest Achievement in 100 Years
Science writer Steven Johnson, author of the new book Extra Life, on vaccines, medical breakthroughs, and life after Covid.
HD Download"It took us four years just to identify the virus that caused AIDS in the '80s," says Steven Johnson. "Imagine COVID where it's four years before we even know what is causing the outbreak. That's what would have happened if we just shifted 20 years, 30 years earlier in terms of when this outbreak happened."
Johnson is the author of the new book Extra Life: A Short History of Living Longer, which is also running as a series on PBS (watch online here). The rapid advance in vaccine technology, which is bringing an end to the COVID-19 pandemic, is best understood in the context of a series of innovations that more than doubled the life expectancy of the human race over the last 100 years. Extra Life explores how innovations in epidemiological statistics, artificial fertilizer, toilets, and sanitation systems, along with vaccines and other measures, have allowed billions of people to flourish until old age. By 2016, global life expectancy at birth had reached 72 years, according to the World Health Organization (WHO).
Johnson was a founder of the pioneering website Feed in the 1990s and has authored a shelf full of books about human progress, including best-sellers such as The Ghost Map, which recounted how doctors and researchers ended the threat of cholera in 19th-century London, and Future Perfect, which argues that the modern networked world is far more resilient than previous iterations.
He talks with Nick Gillespie about how we managed to massively increase our lifespans in the 20th century, and whether we can do even better in the 21st.
Produced by Ian Keyser and Isaac Reese; written and narrated by Nick Gillespie; Camera by Kevin Alexander.
Music: Discovery/Kevin Graham/Artlist
Photos: personaldemocracy/Flickr/Attribution-ShareAlike 2.0 Generic (CC BY-SA 2.0); NIAID; Nutopia Ltd; Mirrorpix/MEGA/Newscom/ASLON2/Newscom; BING GUAN/REUTERS/Newscom; IVAN PIERRE AGUIRRE/REUTERS/Newscom; DAVID SWANSON/REUTERS/Newscom; LINDSEY WASSON/REUTERS/Newscom; JOSE LUIS GONZALEZ/REUTERS/Newscom; JIM RUYMEN/UPI/Newscom; JIM RUYMEN/UPI/Newscom
Footage: SinCabeza/Envato; Bokstas/Envato; PBS/BBC
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"The Doubling of Life Expectancy Is the Greatest Achievement in 100 Years"
I disagree, and present air conditioning as a greater achievement.
Nancy Pelosi and Chuck Schumer and Joe Biden are counter arguments to the headline.
The invention of inside. Without inside the ac is useless
Not useless, just more useful.
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Well, it did say last 100 years, and I had to fudge that by a decade.
I would posit that air conditioning is in part what led to a doubling of life expectancy. Not just to prevent people from dying in the annual heat wave we colloquially call "summer", but it's also a part of what we call "refrigeration" and greatly reduces food spoilage and food poisoning.
They had ice boxes for hundreds of years prior.
The cold kills far more than heat dummy. Cheap energy helped solve that issue.
Doubling life expectancy is a ridiculous idea.
And an entire medical industry determined to keep you alive as long as possible at enormous cost.
…for “free.”
Prince Albert, who arguably had access to the best healthcare money could buy in the Empire, died of typhoid about 150 years back.
Modern medicine may be expensive, but at least it exists.
If only he wore is mask.
The sad part is that modern medicine does not need to be expensive. Not even under a free market system.
Full agreement with that, Brandybuck!
In a free market it needs to be cheap enough to appeal to the masses. In the Gov controlled market we currently have it has to be expensive so the Gov can say "see its so expensive that the average person couldn't possibly mange, that's why we deserve totalitarian control over everyone's medical decisions and money"
Is he the one who died in the can?
The doubling of life expectancy is mostly the result of preventing the death of newborns and treatment of childhood illnesses. If you think people on average are actually living longer than the historical norm, a trip to your local cemetery might be illuminating.
File this one under "How to Lie With Statistics".
If we factor in the aborted as zero, the average goes down quite a lot.
Articles like this need to identify the different ways countries define "born". Many countries do not count premature births, some do not count a birth until days or even weeks after a full term normal delivery.
I agree that lower childhood death rates is mostly what doubled life expectancy, but I disagree it's lying with statistics. You seem to want a life expectancy, provided you've survived childhood, which is a different statistic. Life expectancy, doesn't follow the typical normal distribution used in most statistics.
It follows what is known as the bathtub curve, same as other products
Came here to post this. Life expectancy is not the same as life span and they are typically, probably deliberately, confused especially by journalists. If you survive to 20 years old your life span in 2021 will not be any longer than it was 5,000 years ago to any statistically significant degree. But you do get to spend the last 3-4 years of your life making pharmaceutical companies and oncologists a million dollars or so richer.
^This.
Right, if 5 children are born in a family, and two die as newborns, if the other three live to be 100, the average life span of the five is only 60. If you discount infant mortality and childhood deaths from infectious diseases, etc. the average lifespan has no where near doubled.
Fauci tried to reverse the trend.
He's a progressive. Mass murder is kind of their thing.
double it again please and thank you. hurry.
Good idea; we need a lot more workers paying into social security and medicare.
Fun Fact; Google wants me to capitalize "medicare", but not social security. Curious.
social security not in caps always looks weird
What does e e cummings have to say about it?
Or bell hooks?
Why we need immigrants. Seriously. The system was designed with the assumption that there were X number of taxpayers for every beneficiary. As the population ages the system gets unbalanced. Some places have it much worse than we do, like Japan and Italy. Keeping workers out is a bad idea.
Legal or illegal, regardless of orgin, immigrants still pay taxes. If you want old age benefits based on taxation then you need workers paying taxes. If you're worried about them getting on welfare, then get rid of the welfare. I mean, duh.
>>we need immigrants
I'm fine with that. I also want to live to 200.
Except that illegal immigrants typically aren't paying payroll taxes since if they were working above the table and incurring all of the same costs as an American worker the entire raison detre for hiring them wouldn't exist. Payroll taxes are the only ones that are used to pay for Medicare, Medicaid and Social Security. Just FYI. You fucking idiot.
Actually, payroll getting deducted from fake accounts. So many are paying in the income taxes. But that's forgetting the property taxes (which renters pay) and sales taxes and other taxes. Most welfare benefits are NOT from Biden, but from the state and county. Which is where the property and sales taxes come in. Some states don't even have income taxes.
He talks directly about illegal wage workers and you talk about workers with stolen identities, which also has a cost. God damn.
"We" don't need immigrants, because we can live on our own.
"You" do because you want your existence subsidized.
Average Medicare recipient takes put 3x what they put in. Inviting more low wage labor isnt the solution. Social security also pays out more disproportionately to lower wage than higher wages. The system is slightly progressive. Again forcing people into this ponzi scheme doesn't save it.
Have you ever investigated your claims? Or do you just stop with it sounded good in your head?
"we need a lot more workers paying into social security and medicare."
But we need for them to die before they turn 62.
It is a great achievement. One of the greatest achievements in all of human history, and driven almost entirely by the West.
Let's try not to fuck it up, shall we?
Too late.
Life expectancies of U.S. whites drop sharply
Reason magazine always seems to be written for 15 years ago.
Not that that is "white with low education". Colloquially the drop in life expectancy among poor whites is know as the "Here, Hold My Beer Syndrome".
Is that racist of me? Dunno, is it racist to mock a culture that thinks it's okay to date within one's family tree?
...but enough about Europe's nobility, who have not so much family TREES but family POLES.
Royalty. Where inbred is more than a thing to put into a sandwich.
Dunno, is it racist to mock a culture that thinks it’s okay to date within one’s family tree?</i
Who are you talking about, Brandyfuck? Traditional consanguineous marriage in the Muslim world?
You're either being Islamophobic, or, if it's the group I think you're trying to attack, unwarrantedly snobby.
Either way, suddenly incest has nothing to do with declining life expectancy. Progressive policies certainly do.
Learn to use HTML tags properly
That's all you've got, huh?
I didn't press hard enough on the ">" key and you figure that's your out.
Pretty sad.
So whites with low education levels are why California is such a shithole?
Yeah. Youre a bigoted piece of lefty shit.
Dare you to talk about black on black crime like that.
+1
That +1 is to the original post of 11:45.
I think they are calling that white supremacy these days.
I feel the greatest achievement was the creation of the US government, partly because it protected inventors from having all their time and resources invested in a new idea, stolen. As a result, it created incentives for people to invest their time and resources into nearly all the innovations that have doubled life expectancy, and other technical innovations that have made the USA prosperous. Doubling life expectancy is just the result of government protecting our freedoms. AFAIK, all the innovations came from the freest countries, with the US leading.
Life expectancy for American males has actually been dropping lately, so the Western elite are finally fixing the mistakes that led to such an unfortunate rise among the hoi-polloi.
https://www.cbsnews.com/news/life-expectancy-for-american-men-drops-for-a-third-year/
Media outlets have been discussing this, as far back as I could find, around 2017, but all the articles in 2020 and 2021 blame it on Covid. So I guess COVID has magical powers that were so devastating, they killed people in the past.
Just like with Donald Trump, Democrats believe Covid can control the time stream.
Don't forget abortion.
Antibiotics have saved my life more than once.
Gonorrhea is nothing to clap about
Chlamydia, the gift that keeps on giving.
Sorry dude, but freckles don't move. Buy some Nix.
"Imagine COVID where it's four years before we even know what is causing the outbreak."
We would have thought it was just a bad flu season, and we would not have trashed our economy, schools, and social relationships trying to "mitigate" it.
^bingo
Never in human history has illness been so obsessively tracked and measured.
The powers that be could whip up a pandemic at any time just by going through the motions.
Direct, extraordinary experience with covid has been as rare for people as any cold/flu.
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We didn't massively increase lifespan, we massively decreased child mortality, which was driving down the average.
"Imagine COVID where it's four years before we even know what is causing the outbreak."
Pretty sure there were a lot more cases of COVID in the early going than of AIDS, not to mention it was far more obvious that COVID was viral. And there was no stigma around contracting it. And it was far easier to associate symptoms with infection. And...
It's a terrible equivalence.
One of my grandmothers lived the last 3 years of her life as a complete vegetable after a stroke. Another was completely batshit with alzheimer's the last few years. One of my grandfathers could not remotely physically take care of himself the last few years. Only one grandparent lead a remotely dignified life leading up to his death with all his marbles and being spry. All were on massive amounts of pills. That's where most of the focus in healthcare is, delaying death and extending undignified living. I don't think it's worth celebrating.
I think that is basically because newborns' deaths have been dropping in the last few decades, thanks to vaccines
It`s impressive achivement. There are plenty of studies about the reasons and so on (https://ivypanda.com/essays/life-expectancy-and-its-factors-econometric-model/), but your post adds more interesting information to think about.