Jeremy Horpedahl: Are Millennials and Gen Z Actually Worse Off Than Their Parents?
Economist Jeremy Horpedahl breaks down the economic outlook for Millennials and Gen Z and assesses how the 2024 presidential candidates' policies stack up against reality.
You've probably heard some variation of the notion that Millennials and Gen Z are going to be the first generations of Americans to have lower standards of living than their parents. It's too expensive to go to college, to buy a house, to have kids—you name it, goes this line of thinking. Today's guest has good news: Younger Americans are actually doing better than Gen X was at the same stage, and they are in the same ballpark as Baby Boomers when you adjust for inflation and population.
"Millennials and Gen Z have dramatically more wealth than Gen X had at the same age, and it's growing fast!," writes Jeremy Horpedahl, a libertarian economist trained at George Mason University who teaches at the University of Central Arkansas. His work, which draws on the Census, Bureau of Labor Statistics, and other non-controversial sources, shows that young Americans are doing well and that economic mobility is the rule rather than the exception.
Reason's Nick Gillespie talks with Horpedahl about why politicians and media sources get basic economics wrong, why it's vital to always adjust for inflation and population growth, and how growing up in the Dakotas gives him a different, more optimistic perspective on things than many in the academy. Horpedahl also analyzes the economic plans of former President Donald Trump and Vice President Kamala Harris. His answers are provocative, to say the least, just like his research.
0:00- Introduction
2:46- Adjusted for inflation' & 'per capita'
6:02- Are Millennials & Gen Z really doomed?
12:57- American homeownership rates
15:00- Delayed 'adulting'
18:59- Housing spending trends
22:08- Why is housing so expensive?
29:32- Ad: Lumen
31:10- Why are Millennials so eager to embrace doomerism?
35:20- How economic growth impact living standards
37:09- U.S. economic freedom, growth & living standards compared to Europe
41:40- Measures of mobility
47:50- How post-COVID inflation skewed our perceptions
53:28- Is inflation our new normal?
55:19- Should we be hoping for divided government?
58:00- Attitudes toward immigration in Arkansas
1:01:19- Benefits of living in 'flyover country'
1:05:04- George Mason economics
1:06:44- Do libertarians blame government too much?
1:10:05- Is there room for optimism for the future?
Today's sponsors:
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- Video Editor: Ian Keyser
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Worse off? Likely. If the parents are Boomers, then likely not worse.
Boomers are stingy.
Only due to laziness.
In many urban areas house and automotive ownership are out of reach to 35 year old's working three jobs.
Yes, many millennials and Z are entitled and lazy, but that is irrelevant to the fact that if you didn't get your personal wealth started by 2005 you never will.
Insane housing prices, sky high interest rates, general inflation and wage stagnation are the gift to the next generation from America's gentry class, who are making damn sure they never have to deal with political and economic threats from parvenus arising from the working classes.
Houses with sky high prices are still being purchased, and demand outstrips supply.
Keeping up with the Tiktok Joneses has its opportunity costs.
Gen Z and millennials are not financially worse off than their parents in their personal wealth because, in a major sense, they are less bogged down raising children. Single people and childless couples are going to be better off financially than families with children. Birthrates for millennials and gen Z-ers are much lower than their parent’s generation. Single parent families are not doing as well as their parents.
I worked a temp/gig type job in my thirty’s (for extra income) inside a construction- permanent loan division in an area with double digit economic growth (condos went up everywhere). Long story short- lending to startup, no track record developers is extremely risky, a lot of them go belly up after the excavation is completed and midsize banks get burned with that risk. Big Banks are cautious and increase loan prices for this extreme risk.
Also to note that a lot of these developers move on to easy money (sort of like Miami HOA dues when the internet was heating up), they disappear foreclose the loan and make easy money on margin.
More pro-regime propaganda from an old hack.