Ted Nordhaus: How Bad Is Climate Change?
Breakthrough Institute co-founder Ted Nordhaus on climate science and climate change anxiety.
How bad is climate change?
People are freaked out by climate change, especially young people. Scientists for Nature conducted a survey of 10,000 16- to 25-year-olds in 2021 and found that 59 percent of them were extremely worried or very worried about climate change, and large majorities reported that climate change made them feel sad, anxious, and/or afraid. On Earth Day this year, President Joe Biden shared a picture on X (formerly Twitter) of himself standing next to Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (D–N.Y.) with the caption, "Young Americans know that the climate crisis is the existential threat of our time. They deserve leaders who believe them."
Today's guest says it's time to stop catastrophizing. Ted Nordhaus is the co-founder and executive director of the environmental nonprofit The Breakthrough Institute. He recently published an essay in The New Atlantis titled "Did Exxon Make it Rain Today?" which argues that while climate change is a real phenomenon affected by human activity, "we're actually safer than ever before." He says a deliberate campaign of fearmongering and exaggeration about the effects of climate change has misled the public and damaged the credibility and effectiveness of the environmentalist movement.
Sources referenced in this conversation:
- "Did Exxon Make It Rain Today?" by Ted Nordhaus
- Global deaths from climate-related disasters
- Number of tropical cyclones globally, 1980–2023
- "Glacier Park's Glaciers Have Shrunk, But They Haven't Disappeared," by Aaron Bolton
- Arctic Sea Ice News and Analysis by the National Snow and Ice Data Center
- Antarctic Daily Image Update by the National Snow and Ice Data Center
- Carbon Brief: "Explainer: Nine 'tipping points' that could be triggered by climate change"
- United Nations 2023 climate change report
- "Climate Change: Global Sea Level," by the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration
- The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC)'s Summary for Policymakers
- How many people die from air pollution? by Our World in Data
- CO2 emissions per country
Timestamps
- 00:00:00—Introduction
- 00:02:50—The Evolution of the Climate Change Narrative
- 00:05:23—The Political and Social Impact of Climate Change Rhetoric
- 00:14:57—Analyzing the Science and Misconceptions of Climate Change
- 00:23:46—The Economic and Societal Resilience to Climate Extremes
- 00:35:30—A Rational Perspective on Climate Change Anxiety
- 00:42:55—Human Migration Toward Climate Risks
- 00:44:50—Revisiting Predictions From An Inconvenient Truth
- 00:50:03—Addressing the Fear of Climate Tipping Points
- 00:55:39—Human Ingenuity and Climate Resilience
- 01:02:35—Carbon Emissions and Economic Growth
- 01:10:36—The Climate Movement and Public Perception
- 01:19:02—A Vision for a Focused Environmental Movement
- Producer: John Osterhoudt
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It is much nicer than the Cryogenian “snowball earth” period.
Have still yet to meet a person in the climate change cult that is also carbon neutral.
All this expanded greenery, plants, and more carbon to require less water for food products has been terrible.
I like the increased carbon - the lumber trees and food crops get bigger faster. An increase in temps could support white oaks growing on the compound.
We’ve never been lead to believe anything that wasn’t true before……
Yeah, The Scientists at Nature conducted a poll and discovered that their future audience is worried about the same “science” that their current audience has been convinced to be worried and read Nature for the latest “science” about.
IME, The Scientists at Nature have no idea the amount of animosity they’re sowing in the younger generations with this self-aggrandizing, patronizing bullshit.
"He says a deliberate campaign of fearmongering and exaggeration about the effects of climate change has misled the public and damaged the credibility and effectiveness of the environmentalist movement."
Well, then ... I'm in FAVOR of fearmongering and exaggeration if it damages the credibility and effectiveness of the environmentalist movement. Misleading the public has damaged the credibility and effectiveness of the only movement worth supporting - namely the liberty movement. Although I am strongly in favor of people doing whatever can reasonably be done to prevent pollution and make the environment healthier and more attractive, environmentalist "movements" are not now, never have been and never will be able to accomplish it. In fact, there is serious doubt that they even intend to accomplish it rather than trying to accomplish vaguely visualized social change using the environment as an excuse.
When it became as plain as the nose on their face that Socialism wasn't going to bring the material wealth and prosperity that it claimed it would, they began attacking that very wealth and prosperity. "It's killing the planet! And it's racist, too!"
Just another cult. None of this shit is ever quantified.
What are the 7 effects of climate change?
Climate change is the single biggest health threat facing humanity. Climate impacts are already harming health, through air pollution, disease, extreme weather events, forced displacement, pressures on mental health, and increased hunger and poor nutrition in places where people cannot grow or find sufficient food.
One part Malthus, one part Luddite, two dashes of self-hate, a dollop of class-envy, and this is what you get.
Did you just describe yourself?
Me too.
Sounds like all the religions out there.
I'm freaked out by the people that are freaked out by climate change and all the plans and programs that go along with all this nonsense.
Somebody owes you reparations.
Ron Bailey is busily sitting at his keyboard as we speak. Tomorrow he will patiently explain that, sadly, this Nordhaus guy is tragically misinformed. I mean 2023 was the hottest year Evah!
Well, except for maybe year zero, when the earth was a flaming ball of molten space stuff.
And yet, repeated surveys of actual adults rank climate change at the very bottom of every survey of problems and worries. Youth are anxious because of irresponsible journalism that catastrophizes, well, everything.
Youth are anxious because of irresponsible journalism that catastrophizes, well, everything.
^
And we wonder why there's a "Youth Mental Health Crisis." Must be because Social Media isn't being regulated hard enough.
Remember the rain forests and the ozone layer?
The more I read about how Nature conducted a survey of 10,000 16-25 yr. olds and the more I think about it, the more it sounds like the data should be disbelieved and the offices of Nature should be burned to the ground.
Why is a body nominally charged with peer review and scientific integrity conducting polls of minors in the first place? Are the 16 yr. olds even aware of what Nature is? Why exactly do we assume these kids, some of whom are minors, aren’t just telling them exactly what they want to hear?
Nature Magazine... Nature is descending into buzzfeed-style journalism.
And we see the usual, "it's not happening and anyway it will be a good thing".
I say let's keep hyping all the multitudes of modern catastrophes, and amping up the teen* angst. If enough of them decide to end it all, then the world will be a saner, quieter place.
*"Teen" is now a state of mind (or chosen identity), not a chronological age. Plenty of people in their 20s or even 30s can still be teens.
“How Bad Is Climate Change?”
Naturally occurring. And as for AGW, it’s about as bad as anything in fiction can be.
Survey shows Commie-Indoctrination camps are 59% effective at brainwashing kids so horribly they won't even believe what their own eyes tell them right outside their front door.
OPEN YOUR F'EN FRONT DOOR! DO YOU SEE A CLIMATE EMERGENCY?
This BS has been going on since the 1970s. All the BS horror predictions have a running record of being 100% BS by the test of time. That's not even close to "science" that is flat-out BS indoctrination against blatant reality.
1. Man cannot destroy this planet.
2. Man cannot "fix" this planet.
If you are religious, that is God's job.
If you are not religious, that is Darwin's job.
(side note: why is it always the Darwinists that want to prevent extinction of any animal except man?)