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Donald Trump

Idiocracy Predicted Our World, But Not in the Way You Think

Mike Judge's cult classic turns 20 and remains prescient about how we live today, especially outside of politics.

Nick Gillespie | 8.27.2026 5:10 PM

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Donald Trump next to Terry Crews as President Dwayne Elizondo Mountain Dew Herbert Camacho in "Idiocracy" | Illustration: Adani Samat. Photo: Aaron Schwartz - Pool via CNP / MEGA / Newscom/RSSIL/Newscom/20th Century Studios
(Illustration: Adani Samat. Photo: Aaron Schwartz - Pool via CNP / MEGA / Newscom/RSSIL/Newscom/20th Century Studios)

September 1 marks the 20th anniversary of the release of Mike Judge's cult classic Idiocracy, a time-travel comedy in which a dimwitted and lazy Army librarian named Joe Bauers wakes up 500 years in the future to find himself the smartest man alive in a world gone horribly wrong. As a voiceover intones at the start of the movie, smart people increasingly put off having kids, resulting in a precipitous, uninterrupted, and compounded "dumbing down" of the population. Combined with an emphasis on physical comfort—everyone wears some version of athleisure and then-unknown Crocs for footwear—"the intelligent" became "an endangered species." But Joe eventually saves America by replacing the ubiquitous use of a salty sports drink called Brawndo ("the thirst mutilator!") with water in industrial agriculture.

Despite a tiny budget of around $2.4 million, a rushed production schedule and mixed reviews, the movie, cowritten by Judge and frequent collaborator Etan Cohen, quickly became a shorthand for an America that seemed to be getting dumber and dumber at an accelerating rate, especially in the political arena. By as early as 2008, people on message boards were asking, "Who here thinks we're well on our way to Idiocracy becoming reality?" The November 2008 issue of Reason features a review of the utterly forgotten film Swing Vote titled "Idiocracy Now!", and in 2015 Matt Welch dubbed Donald Trump "the Idiocracy candidate." No explanation in either case was offered, or necessary, a sign of the film's cultural relevance.

Idiocracy is an explicitly political movie, with Joe (played by Luke Wilson) quickly coming to the attention of the former professional wrestler who resides in White House, President Dwayne Elizondo Mountain Dew Herbert Camacho (Terry Crews, clad like a combination of Afroman and the late Hulk Hogan), known to punctuate his press conferences with bursts of machine-gun fire. Despite being released by 20th Century Fox, a running gag is that Fox News is anchored by a buxom babe and topless male bodybuilder who flexes his pecs while reading headlines (shades of Naked News, which went live in 1999, just a few years prior). By the end of the movie, Joe has succeeded President Camacho in the White House. Any sentient being watching the 2024 Republican National Convention—especially the moment in which Hulk Hogan tore off his own shirt and declared "Let Trumpamania run wild, brother!"—would have to compare that spectacle to Idiocracy. The same goes for this summer's UFC Freedom 250 mixed-martial arts event at the White House. And, in all honesty, former President Joe Biden's dementia, former Vice President Kamala Harris' endless word salads, and headlines like this one about former Democratic Senate candidate Graham Platner.

Yet for all that, the deeper reasons that Idiocracy still resonates go beyond politics and into our contemporary culture of fetishizing fertility rates (up or down), branded content, lazy thinking, and general social disinhibition. Not all of these things are always bad, but we live in a world of social mores few would have imagined even two decades ago. In 2022, science vlogger Hank Green, wrote that given the film's opening sequence discussing general intelligence, "Idiocracy is, at minimum, implicitly pro-eugenics." Eh, probably not, especially given how terrible the high-IQ couple who bicker onscreen at the start of the movie come across; Trevor (138 I.Q.) and Carol (141) are as plainly risible as the lower-scoring people with lots of kids. If these are the smart people, we are probably better off with fewer of them, especially compared to midwits like Joe, who is at least a decent human being.

Which isn't to say that the future in which Joe awakens isn't a hellscape of overwhelming corporate sponsorships and blandly repeated slogans that are invoked like religious cliches or cult affirmations. "Welcome to Costco. I love you," say greeters at the warehouse store which has metastasized to infinite proportions. Whenever the sports drink Brawndo, which fully owns the Food and Drug Administration and the Federal Communications Commission, is invoked, someone inevitably follows up with some variation of "it's got electrolytes, what plants crave." Starbucks serves up sexual favors (e.g. Gentlemen's Lattes) alongside coffee drinks, as does H&R Block (which offers "tax returns and relief"). Texas-based Fuddruckers has become Buttfuckers, and the West Coast burger chain Carl's Jr., known for its founder's conservative politics and hyper-sexualized commercials, has changed its tag line from "Don't bother me, I'm eating" to "Fuck you, I'm eating." After being appointed secretary of the interior by President Camacho, Joe earns the devotion of his idiotic fellow cabinet members by invoking the hackneyed catchphrase of Lee Iacocca, who was credited with saving Chrysler from bankruptcy in the late 1970s: "You lead, follow, or get out of the way." And by asserting that he can talk to plants.

The most popular show on TV is Ow! My Balls! (think Jackass or Judge's own Beavis and Butt-Head, but with less subtlety or insight into the human condition), starring Hormel Chavez, who is hardly alone in being named after some kind of brand or product. Beyond President "Mountain Dew" Camacho, there are characters such as Tylenol Jones, Frito Pendejo, Dr. Lexus, and Beef Supreme. Which seems increasingly on the nose in an America in which parents are, according to the Social Security Administration, naming their kids after gun makers such as Wesson, Remington, Colt, Ruger, and Winchester.

Most distressing is not simply the mental dullness of Idiocracy's future, but the open hostility toward any sort of intellectual pretense or even basic literacy. Joel Miller has rightly questioned apocalyptic warnings that we are officially done with reading as a society, but there's no doubt that reading and writing have been downgraded by the culture at large for decades now. When the conservative Wall Street Journal opinion page is defending AI-generated slop on the one hand and progressive academics are defining plagiarism downward because it suits their immediate needs in a given culture-war battle on the other, we're enacting our version of Idiocracy.

Joe's first speech as president hits home in 2026 more than it did in 2006, if only because we're 20 years older and almost certainly dumber as a society. Throughout Idiocracy, the easiest putdown any character can make is to call someone gay—a lazy epithet that has all but vanished from popular discourse except in the far reaches of the manosphere.

"There was a time in this country, a long time ago, when reading wasn't just for fags and neither was writing. People wrote books and movies, movies that had stories so you cared whose ass it was and why it was farting, and I believe that time can come again!"

All crudeness aside, Joe's call for renewal would be welcome from elected officials and culture figures today. Idiocracy explains too much of our world not to take it seriously.

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Nick Gillespie is an editor at large at Reason and host of The Reason Interview With Nick Gillespie.

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  1. Rick James   2 months ago

    Idiocracy Predicted Our World, But Not in the Way You Think

    No, it predicted everything exactly in the way I think...

    1. Don't look at me! ( Is the war over yet?)   2 months ago

      Excellent

    2. Restoring the Dream   2 months ago

      Oooooh, perfect!

  2. Jesse fantasizes about having a 3some with Dave Smith and Maddow   2 months ago

    “Throughout Idiocracy, the easiest putdown any character can make is to call someone gay—a lazy epithet that has all but vanished from popular discourse except in the far reaches of the manosphere.”

    Haha! Most of the deplorable simpletons that comment here still say that and the f word.

    1. Uilleam   2 months ago

      Shut up fag

    2. Don't look at me! ( Is the war over yet?)   2 months ago

      Fucking gay

      1. Jesse fantasizes about having a 3some with Dave Smith and Maddow   2 months ago

        Why so hateful?

        You’re probably just jealous because you’re inferior to me.

        1. Don't look at me! ( Is the war over yet?)   2 months ago

          Sorry you didn’t get the joke.

          1. Jesse fantasizes about having a 3some with Dave Smith and Maddow   2 months ago

            I got it. It was just not funny because it’s so predictable and the comment above you essentially made the same joke.

            Sorry you didn’t get my joke. Perhaps it’s because you’re inferior?

            1. Don't look at me! ( Is the war over yet?)   2 months ago

              Zzzzzz

              1. Jesse fantasizes about having a 3some with Dave Smith and Maddow   2 months ago

                Sorry. I sometimes forget you social conservatives don’t have a sense of humor. You’re just too inferior to understand humor.

                1. Sylvie1   2 months ago

                  It was not conservatives who castrated humor. It was woke Karens of both sexes who kept saying, "That's not funny," to the point that Jerry Seinfeld picks and chooses venues carefully, Dave Chappelle faced cancellation demands, etc., etc., and so forth.

                  1. Jesse fantasizes about having a 3some with Dave Smith and Maddow   2 months ago

                    That’s why there’s virtually no popular conservative comedians or comedic actors?

                    1. msimmons   2 months ago

                      Maybe step outside your echo chamber...

                      https://x.com/MyLordBebo/status/2009370521629016104/video/1

                      More...

                      https://x.com/benbankas

                2. msimmons   2 months ago

                  And normies forget how proggies are morally superior. Thanks for reminding us how you're superior.

    3. JesseAz (RIP CK)   2 months ago

      Does chase know?

  3. Rick James   2 months ago

    Which isn't to say that the future in which Joe awakens isn't a hellscape of overwhelming corporate sponsorships and blandly repeated slogans that are invoked like religious cliches or cult affirmations.

    Next up on Reason, an interview with [techbro high-fiving optimist]!

    1. Rick James   2 months ago

      *rubbing temples*

      It's no wonder Nick Gillespie keeps interviewing this guy...

    2. Eeyore   2 months ago

      Brought to you by Pfizer.
      Safe and effective.
      Brawndo, it's what plants crave.

      1. Rick James   2 months ago

        Sitting around in our post-scarcity, hyper-abundance world, microdosing MDMA and transcendentally communing with the inner gods of our psyche IS the idocracy.

        1. mad.casual   2 months ago

          microdosing MDMA

          Had to read this 3X to be sure it wasn't (supposed to be) "microdosing mRNA".

          1. Eeyore   2 months ago

            Why not both? I didn't actually know people did that with mdna. I know they do that with lsd and mushrooms.

            I've also seen people claim to microdose and then eat an entire handful. Umm, that's not a microdose. Did you mean to say that you megadose?

  4. Don't look at me! ( Is the war over yet?)   2 months ago

    ..blandly repeated slogans that are invoked like religious cliches or cult affirmations

    Like “100% safe and effective with no downsides!”

    1. Jesse fantasizes about having a 3some with Dave Smith and Maddow   2 months ago

      “Let’s go Brandon!”

    2. JesseAz (RIP CK)   2 months ago

      Slogans are all the leftists do.

    3. Horatio Cornblower   2 months ago

      "Trans women ARE women!"

      1. Eeyore   2 months ago

        I'm not a biologist.

  5. TJJ2000   2 months ago

    Yes. The only way to get out of the [Na]tional So[zi]alist RUTS of despair is to find reverse.

  6. Liberty_Belle   2 months ago

    To bad the didn't predict Presidential AI slop, as well.

    1. Eeyore   2 months ago

      Ow my balls! would not be as funny if you knew it was AI.

  7. DesigNate   2 months ago

    Can’t comment, baitin!

    1. Grifhunter   2 months ago

      Winner!!

  8. John Rohan   2 months ago

    Idiocracy sidestepped one big issue that would have made people uncomfortable.

    If you time traveled 500 years into America's future, wouldn't you expect America to be really, really racially mixed? Yet in the film nearly all the actors are clearly white or black with little ambiguity (no Asians in the main cast even). Obviously they REALLY wanted to avoid the implication that racial mixing would result in lower IQs...

    1. BYODB   2 months ago

      That doesn't actually check out in any particular way. You might want to double check how common interracial marriage is.

      The issue the movie actually sidestepped was the inconvenient fact that the rest of the planet exists. The nation depicted in the movie could be conquered by pretty much anyone, and it's not believable that the whole planet would become that stupid that fast.

      Which is fine, because it was a movie. Considering what your takeaway was, I think it says more about you than the art in question.

      1. Don't look at me! ( Is the war over yet?)   2 months ago

        Good response

      2. John Rohan   2 months ago

        You are really out of touch with reality:

        In the 2020 United States census, 33.8 million individuals, or 10.2% of the population, self-identified as multiracial.[2] Estimates based on genetic ancestry suggest the number may be higher.

        The multiracial population is among the fastest growing demographic group in the United States, increasing by 276% between 2010 and 2020.

        https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Multiracial_Americans

        And Idiocracy isn't set 50 years in the future, but 500. Twice as long as the US has existed until now. Yet the film's demographics look the same as the US today. As far as what that says about me, I'm not sure what you are implying other than that I'm observant.

        As far as other nations go, it's safe to assume that in the film the rest of the world is in the exact same boat.

        1. Don't look at me! ( Is the war over yet?)   2 months ago

          Try not be so concerned about skin color.

        2. JesseAz (RIP CK)   2 months ago

          You spoke to a specific set of races, white and black.

          Warren claims to be multi racial, Indian.

          Hispanics claim to be multi racial even if white and Spanish.

          Youre not supporting your claim with that data.

          1. BYODB   2 months ago


            You spoke to a specific set of races, white and black.

            That was exactly my point, and predictably it went over John's head.

            Just like 500 years is too short of a time for humanity to become actually retarded without massive inbreeding, last I checked black people don't have IQ measured in the 70's as some kind of average nor does any other demographic.

            1. John Rohan   2 months ago

              last I checked black people don't have IQ measured in the 70's as some kind of average nor does any other demographic.

              Apparently my point went way over your head. I never said anything about races having lower IQs. I only said that the film wanted to avoid making that implication.

              1. BYODB   2 months ago

                If you hear the dog whistle, you're the dog.

                1. John Rohan   2 months ago

                  So anti-racists are the real racists? I won't argue with that.

          2. John Rohan   2 months ago

            No, I was just pointing out that the FILM generally depicted people of the future who were only white and black.

            I'm saying the people in America 500 years in the future are likely going to be a hell of a lot more multiracial, of all types. Are you seriously arguing against that?

            1. See.More   2 months ago

              No, I was just pointing out that the FILM generally depicted people of the future who were only white and black[...]

              Uh... because in the 500 years that Joe was in cryo, as the dumbing down accelerated, the smart people left. 😛

            2. Brett Bellmore   2 months ago

              Actually, given five hundred years, that's enough generations that you would actually expect that people would be mostly racially homogeneous. Not black, not white, not Asian, just some average of them.

      3. mad.casual   2 months ago

        it's not believable that the whole planet would become that stupid that fast.

        You were in a coma for 2021 and 2022 weren't you?

        Even if you were, I would assert that you're overlooking the fact that TFRs around the world have dropped further, faster than in the US.

        Even if you rationalize the TFRs and IQ with more intelligent, educated, free, and prosperous women having fewer kids as our saviors from a/the American Idiocracy, there's still some Brazil, Iran, Colombia, Greece, Italy, Spain, UK, etc., etc., etc.-sized holes in your theory. That is, are you really arguing that the intelligent, educated, prosperous women of (e.g.) Brazil or Colombia (or Nigeria) are going to liberate us from the oppression of Idiocracy or do you think they're more likely to *continue* to wallowing in their own current Idiocratic state?

        If anything, the micro-to-macrocosmic translation supports, or at least is indifferent to, the movie's premise. The Venn Diagram of countries with the highest TFRs and the countries receiving the majority of Western aid very much overlap.

        Obviously, the film is not our destiny, but as tenuous as the argument that it is may be, the argument that the rest of the world would or could save us is even more idiotic.

      4. JParker   2 months ago

        Much of the rest of the planet probably looks like *Brazil*.

    2. Eeyore   2 months ago

      It's possible they didn't even think about it and just cast who they liked.

      Nowdays they would probably have a committee to make sure the wrong people aren't offended.

  9. Agammamon   2 months ago

    You will notice that Gillespie carefully fails to include comparisons to any except Trump - we will, of course, ignore AOC, Mamdani, and the rest of retarded shitshow the social democrats are.

  10. damikesc   2 months ago

    Oh dear, Gillespie is trying to show how cool and "with it" he is for the kids out there.

    Nick, you're more Potsie than Fonzie.

    1. Jesse fantasizes about having a 3some with Dave Smith and Maddow   2 months ago

      You’re way more cool and hip than him.

      You referenced a 50 year old show!

  11. See.More   2 months ago

    [...] Mike Judge's cult classic Idiocracy, a time-travel comedy tragic documentary sent from the future [...]

    FIFY

    Also observed by Robert A. Heinlein in To Sail Beyond the Sunset, published in July 1987 -- “But there seems to have been an actual decline in rational thinking. The United States had become a place where entertainers and professional athletes were mistaken for people of importance. They were idolized and treated as leaders; their opinions were sought on everything and they took themselves just as seriously — after all, if an athlete is paid a million or more a year, he knows he is important … so his opinions of foreign affairs and domestic policies must be important, too, even though he proves himself to be both ignorant and subliterate every time he opens his mouth. (Most of his fans were just as ignorant and unlettered; the disease was spreading.)”

    1. mad.casual   2 months ago

      In a sort of backhanded rebuttal, the issue isn't with athletes and entertainers as much as it is journalists who fancy themselves as mouthpieces for the intellectual class.

      1. mad.casual   2 months ago

        entertainers

        This clip is actually kind of mind blowing in our current era. This is a decade after "50,000,000 Elvis Fans Can't Be Wrong, Vol. 2" and *The* *King* says, "No. I can't even say that." when asked, "Do you think other entertainers should keep their views to themselves?"

        Imagine Anthony "The Science" Fauci, a decade after reaching 50,000,000 AIDS victims, said, "I've given you the best advice we think we currently have on this disease. Other scientists may differ in their opinion. I can't comment as I don't want things to get too political. Spend time with your loved ones and be safe as best as you can."

  12. Brett Bellmore   2 months ago

    No mention of the fact that the movie was actually an almost complete ripoff of The Marching Morons, by Cyril Kornbluth?

    1. Gorbag   2 months ago

      It's been a long time since I read that, but I think you are absolutely correct.

      And really it doesn't require a decline in general IQ to get this result. Thanks to the industrial revolution, Adam Smith's theories, etc. we know that specialization leads to greater efficiency and productivity. But it also makes us relatively dumb outside our specialties. So we rely on others in those areas. But given we're specialized, we don't actually have any capability to judge the abilities of those others so we end up relying on other kinds of "social markers", like confidence, confirmation bias, etc. Which leads us to trusting celebrities, politicians and even scientists who are less concerned with discovering truth and more interested in manipulating people toward what must be "right" according to their own irrationally acquired biases.

  13. psmoot   2 months ago

    Gotta say, I think Idiocracy is (a) spot on and (b) absolutely hysterical.

    You didn't even mention the intelligence test. "If you have a five gallon bucket..."

  14. mtrueman   2 months ago

    Something called the Flynn Effect accounts for the measured increase in average IQ scores over time.

    Test score increases have been continuous and approximately linear from the earliest years of testing to the present. For example, a study published in the year 2009 found that British children's average scores on the Raven's Progressive Matrices test rose by 14 IQ points from 1942 to 2008.[3] Similar gains have been observed in many other countries in which IQ testing has long been widely used, including other Western European countries, as well as Japan and South Korea.[2] Improvements have also been reported for semantic and episodic memory.[4]

    There are various theories to account for this. I like Rupert Sheldrake's morphic resonance - the same phenomenon that explains how once rats in Australia, say, solve a maze, the speed at which rats solve the maze in other parts of the world measurably increases.

    1. Jim Conley   2 months ago

      Standardized test scores fell several years after they removed lead from the gasoline.

      1. mtrueman   2 months ago

        https://thehill.com/changing-america/sustainability/3716345-how-nascars-switch-to-unleaded-gas-boosted-test-scores-near-racetracks/

        The article claims that scores rose after unleaded gasoline was used.

  15. Warren   2 months ago

    "...the conservative Wall Street Journal opinion page is defending AI-generated slop..."

    Goddmanit Nick. Druckenmiller's op-ed isn't "slop" for precisely the reasons laid out in the article. Just because someone uses AI doesn't make their work product slop by default.

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