America's Best College Basketball Player Might Earn $2 Million Without Going Pro
Now that the NCAA can't stop student-athletes from making money, it can pay to stay in school.

The best college basketball player in America will stay in school for his senior season and get paid for doing so—thanks to some recent changes to National Collegiate Atheltic Association (NCAA) rules that have opened up markets and opportunities for student-athletes.
For Congolese immigrant and University of Kentucky basketball star Oscar Tshiebwe, those changes mean the potential to earn millions of dollars next year without going pro.
Tshiebwe announced Thursday that he would forgo the upcoming National Basketball Association (NBA) draft to finish his college career at Kentucky. It's the first time since 2008 that the winner of the John R. Wooden Award, which is given out annually to the best college basketball player in the country, has declined to immediately depart for the NBA.
But outstanding student-athletes of the recent past have not had the same financial opportunity that Tshiebwe does, thanks to the NCAA's recent decision to let players cash in on endorsement deals using their name, image, and likeness (usually abbreviated as "NIL"). Though college players are not directly paid for their talents, they are allowed to profit off NIL deals in the same way they've always benefitted from scholarships. For a player like Tshiebwe, these new opportunities can be quite lucrative, as Stadium basketball writer Jeff Goodman notes:
Oscar Tshiebwe will likely earn in the neighborhood of $2 million this season through NIL, source told @Stadium. https://t.co/MHlbaJa7RO
— Jeff Goodman (@GoodmanHoops) April 20, 2022
Prior to NIL deals being legalized, college players with the talent to play professional basketball were foolish not to make the jump to the next level. Coming back for another season at school meant uncompensated work and the risk of an injury that might reduce or eliminate their hopes of playing in the NBA.
The erosion of the NCAA's cartelized control over student-athletic revenue has created a more dynamic set of choices for players like Tshiebwe. Though he was undeniably the best player in college basketball this year—in 34 games, he recorded 28 double-doubles (basketball lingo for games in which a player scores at least 10 points and at least 10 rebounds), including 16 in a row at one point—most experts projected Tshiebwe to be a second-round draft pick, largely due to the different skill sets required to excel in the college and professional versions of the sport.
Staying in school for another year, and getting compensated for it, means Tshiebwe will get to further develop those skills in the hopes of a larger payday in next year's draft. It also means another shot at a national championship, after Kentucky was stunningly eliminated from this year's "March Madness" by Saint Peter's College, the Cinderella story of the tournament.
"That's not how I wanted it to end," Tshiebwe told ESPN. "It's the best motivation."
He's not the only student-athlete getting what they deserve from the NCAA's new rules—which have created some weird and wonderful results. Doug Edert, who became the star of Saint Peter's upset run in March, landed an endorsement deal with Buffalo Wild Wings. A University of Arkansas wide receiver earned a deal for his dog, Blue. An offensive lineman for Ohio State is getting paid to hawk, yes, scented candles. And Louisiana State gymnast Olivia Dunne has reportedly leveraged her massive social media following into NIL deals worth over $1 million.
Even the NCAA—which for years fought the idea of letting players profit off NIL deals as it sold players' likenesses to video game companies and sold jerseys with players' numbers on them—is a winner here. By staying in school, Tshiebwe gives college basketball "a rare win for the sport in the talent tug-of-war with the NBA," writes Sports Illustrated's Pat Forde. "So this is a win-win for college hoops as a whole and Tshiebwe in particular. He has established marketability in a place that loves its college basketball heroes. Put his face on billboards on New Circle Road in Lexington. Let him sign autographs at Keeneland Race Course. If he likes the steaks at Malone's, have him endorse those. Pay the man for being the star Wildcat he is."
Mainly, this is a story about how opening up markets benefits everyone. Well, everyone except perhaps the college teams that end up facing the brunt of Tshiebwe's revenge tour next season.
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How exactly are they 'student' athletes? They are student entertainment.
Technically speaking, the new NCAA rules mean that there's just another tier of professional ball. One in which some players are paid very well while those at the lower end are not. But that brings up a future consideration.... when will they form their own association/union and demand equity for all where the athletes receive at least some sort of remuneration from state-run schools and a "fair share" of the proceeds? Just thinking out loud and taking the absurd to the next logical level.
Why do you think the NCAA caved? Some players were starting to organize to do just that.
I thought African Studies was the most coveted degree?
Now "student" athletes can stay in their Division 1 schools until they earn that coveted communications degree.
As long as it's not gender studies.
That's only for those that identify as WNBA players.
But to what end? Cam Newton spent 8 years going to 3 different universities and graduated with a degree in Sociology, but still can't manage a comprehensible English sentence. He is however the heir apparent to Ru Paul, so there's that.
Odd way to phrase it -- as if the $2M is a bonus for lifetime earnings.
He's got N years of high level basketball earnings ahead of him. The first year can be $2M, or it can be a lot more. The remaining years won't differ.
False. His initial contract will be based on where he is drafted. If he’s drafted higher by staying an extra year he’ll make up that 2 million.
Actually, it can make a big difference.
The rookie contract structure and retention incentives mean that free agency and the big contract is 4 years away for the top picks (if they pan out). So getting to the league sooner is better .... if you are going to be Ja Morant.
But if you are headed to the G league, you might develop better as the top option at a top NCAA program. So instead of coming out as a late second rounder and spending 3 years in the G league before going overseas, maybe you become a mid first round pick and stay in the league.
Or, if you don't become a higher pick, you would not have gotten those endorsement deals. So maybe you net an extra million or two by hanging out in college where you are a star before spending a year or two in the G league and then heading to Estonia to play European ball.
Tldr; it could cut either way.
He’s no Ja Morant.
As a second round pick, he is not leaving any money on the table at $2 million. 2nd round picks don't make that much.
NCAA runner up North Carolina was anticipating losing at least 2 players to early draft entry plus a senior with a year of eligibility left also was thought to be leaving, maybe to Europe.
The best prospect is still exploring options, but ACC player of the year runner up Armando Bacot announced he was returning very quickly. Projected as a second round pick, he stands to make nearly the same money in the high 6 figures. So staying to enjoy college was an easy choice. The senior is also returning for his last year of eligibility.
So NIL means a team that would have returned 1 player averaging more than 5 minutes will possibly return 4 of 5 starters.
That is a pretty major impact on the landscape of college basketball.
What is this "basketball" of which you speak?
Agreed, but other people enjoy it to the point where money is to be made. And there's no reason I can see that the 'minor league' players shouldn't be paid.
How much money? Several years back, got off of a plane in Urumqi and at the end of the jet-way was a back-lighted advertising display featuring Steph Curry. Wanna know why the NBA is silent regarding the Chi Com's treatment of the Uighurs? There's your answer.
It can pay to go to the University of Oregon too (watch out Auburn.)
Just enroll as an athlete/artist/student, then sell NFTs of your original artwork. It's amazing what boosters will pay for your creativity (and let's be honest, your 40-yard dash time and ability to tackle).
In all fairness Kentucky players got paid before this. It was just in the form of cars, blow, and hookers... This just introduces a second step of converting it to money first
If he's the best college player, he likely would be drafted 1st. (Funny how that works). So he's actually risking money (due to an injury) by staying in college, $2 million or not.
So, free market anarchy trumps any rules or restrictions that any sports association wants to set? Why then, shouldn't savvy pro athletes be allowed to bet on their sports to pad their incomes? Or PGA tour pros play in the major amateur tournaments to promote their equipment sponsors? Or let the Washington Generals play real basketball and beat the Globetrotters?
Out in the real business world, there are also many examples of "off the clock" restrictions. Non-compete and morals clauses, restricted activities, anti moonlighting rules and so on.
I believe in ordered liberty and free association. If free Americans want to form a sports league just for amateurs then butt out. If anyone wants to play and get paid too, they can take their ball and start their own league.
"So, free market anarchy trumps any rules or restrictions that any sports association wants to set?.."
"Free market anarchy"?
And then the rest of your false equivalencies suggest you learn what you're posting about before making a public fool of yourself. Again.
Not much question college sports are changing. The real question is if those changes are sustainable. Tshiebwe is far from 'the best player in college basketball' and even after another year developing his skills at UK he may not wind up a first round pick; so lets get that out of the way first thing.
Also have to point out the NIL combined with the transfer portal (which was never mentioned in this article) has resulted in lots of players switching schools based on who was the highest bidder. Reliable reports are that TAM spend upwards of $US30,000,000 in NIL deals resulting in getting the best recruiting class in history. USC (as in Southern Cal) bought a top tier coach and his star QB (along with a few other star players) to jump start it's chances to win it's league. It is now possible for well heeled schools to simply buy the best team.
The problem with this play for pay is that only a very small number of schools can compete. While the revenue for college sports is huge the majority of it only goes to a few schools. Truth be told most schools are in the red in terms of their sports programs. So how long will the huge majority of schools who are losing money stay in a situation where they have no chance to win.
Sure if you have oil money like TAM or Texas or Phil Knights Nike money like Oregon it is all well and good. On the other hand there are dozens and dozens of schools that will simply drop sports. Does anyone thing the TV guys will still pay big bucks to schools/conferences when the only eyeballs watching decline to fans of maybe half a dozen schools.
Bottom line is that the NIL and transfer portal will kill the goose that lays golden eggs.
One little-mentioned value of a college athlete staying in school or a pro athlete staying on one team is it creates an invaluable bond between that athlete and the school or city.
Oscar Tshiebwe will always be a Wildcat. Drew Brees will always be a Saint.
I don't really care but it will ruin NCAA basketball. Obviously the biggest colleges with the most fans offering the chance to earn the most money will get the best athletes. Right now we see a few "Cinderella" teams sneak through in the NCAA Tournament, but with this only a few teams will ever be at the top perennially.
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