Coronavirus

Has the Pandemic Finally Peaked in the U.S.?

Recent modeling scenarios cautiously suggest yes.

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The latest Centers for Disease Control and Prevention data suggest that America's summer COVID-19 surge may have peaked. Back in late June, the seven-day average of cases stood at just 12,000, but this ramped up more than 12-fold to 160,000 by early September. The seven-day average is just under 130,000 now.

COVID-19 deaths lag cases by about a month. The seven-day average for deaths dropped to 175 by July 6. Since then, the seven-day average for deaths has risen to more than 2,000 and has not yet begun to fall. (For reference, the seven-day average for cases in the U.S. peaked during the winter surge in early January at around 260,000, and deaths peaked at around 3,300 later that month.)

Will COVID-19 cases and deaths surge again this winter? The combined just-released results of 9 models applied to four different scenarios at COVID-19 Modeling Hub project that diagnosed cases could—using the projections of the more hopeful models—drop to around 9,000 cases per day by March. The scenarios range from the most hopeful, with childhood COVID-19 vaccinations and no new viral variant, to one with no child vaccinations and a new variant.

Daily COVID-19 deaths could fall to fewer than 100 per day by March.

On the other hand, under a worst-case scenario with no rollout of childhood vaccinations and the emergence of a dangerous new variant, cases and deaths could rise by next spring to about the same level as we are currently experiencing.

University of North Carolina epidemiologist Justin Lessler, who helps run the hub, tells NPR that the most likely scenario is that children do get vaccinated and no super-spreading variant emerges.

The good news is that about 55 percent of all Americans (181 million) are now fully vaccinated (64 percent of those age 12 and up). Given that unreported COVID-19 cases are generally thought to be considerably higher than the 42 million diagnosed cases, that suggests perhaps around 100 million Americans have developed natural immunity to the virus.

"The biggest driver is immunity," explained Lessler. "The virus has eaten up the susceptible people. So there are less people out there to infect." The virus is still fighting back, he said, but "immunity always wins out eventually."

Getting more people vaccinated faster would certainly drive down the trends in cases and deaths, and would thus make the happier scenarios more likely.

NEXT: The CDC Made America's Pandemic Worse

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136 responses to “Has the Pandemic Finally Peaked in the U.S.?

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      2. Ok, credit where credit is due.

    1. Close to 8 now.

      And it’s regional epidemics happening at different times. It makes little sense to discuss the US as a whole like this.

      1. Seems to me that this is the obvious way to read the data. Why is it that Bailey remains so bad at doing this?

        1. There’s a reason to look at the data this way. Because the “nation” is where the Federal government are looking when they try to justify their spending and their curtailing of personal liberties.

          Also, the current wave isn’t as regional as people seem to think. California and Florida are pretty close together in the surge and pullback. That national graph int he article? It’s the same as here loooking at local data, but about a week or two behind. The next county over is the same but about a week or two ahead of us.

          You can whine about hwo the data is interpreted, but we sure do need people arguing that we’re on the backside and we shouldn’t be doing MORE emergency BS, but rather less and settling into this being an endemic virus that we live with.

      2. California will peak again in November, just like last year when they were also mocking Texas and Florida for high summer case counts (thanks to people being indoors with the AC cranked up, mostly.)

        1. You’re predicting ANOTHER surge here?

          I mean, most of the state peaked in August for this wave. We’ve been on the downslide for the last couple of weeks.

          1. Everybody gets the winter wave.

  2. The damage is not done by the virus. It is done by the government responses.
    It’s a damn virus.
    Like all viruses, it will infect some, not most.
    Of those who catch it, some will have severe cases, most will not.
    Of those who have a severe case, some will die, most will not.
    Leave the economy alone, and let individuals (and their doctors) determine how best to respond in each INDIVIDUAL case.
    Crazy, right?

    1. Actually, it will infect most, not some. It’s remarkably communicable in the Delta strain.

      You’re not wrong about government response. Crushing people’s livelihoods is far worse than learning to live with an endemic virus, even if some people get sick.

      But.. even if most people will get exposed, it Won’t kill most. Wont’ harm most, especially now that it isn’t coming upon a naive population. But 100 million infections plus a massive vaccination campaign, we’re well past “most” people having antibodies. Which is the whole point of the article, some epidemiologists are thinking we’re getting to the point where even Delta is running low on hosts. Time to claw back what we can after the damage of those emergency measures.

  3. Seriously? We’re going to discuss worst case scenarios that involve a new variant? What’s the point? An asteroid may destroy the earth.

      1. An asteroid may destroy the earth.

        And if it does, the CDC will count that as 8 billion COVID deaths.

        1. It would be a meteorite if it impacted the Earth.

          And it could have a space virus on it. Better off just to stay locked in your meteorite bunker forever.

  4. The good news is that about 55 percent of all Americans (181 million) are now fully vaccinated (64 percent of those age 12 and up). Given that unreported COVID-19 cases are generally thought to be considerably higher than the 42 million diagnosed cases, that suggests perhaps around 100 million Americans have developed natural immunity to the virus.

    Weren’t we at 148 million estimated cases in the late part of 2020? As I recall, the CDC estimated that the undercount was around 4-5 x the official number.

    And all this surging and deaths WITH a vaccine. What does that tell us?

    1. That a whole bunch of dumb people refuse to get vaccinated, making it worse for everyone.

      1. No, it says the vaccines are shit.

      2. Splendid fantastical thinking. Unfortunately you have it completely backwards. Mass-vaccination in the middle of a pandemic puts selective pressure on variants, creating more of them. Watch and learn (Jimmy Dore interviewing Dr. Robert Malone): https://www.bitchute.com/video/HzNd9t3ipfzV/

  5. Every expert given air has been wrong. Believe the opposite.

    1. There can be an opposite of what one or a few experts have said. There is no opposite of what _all_ experts have said.

      1. This is completely disingenuous. “All” experts have not said this.

  6. My bet is that we are in a local minima before a large winter peak.

    1. My guess is that you will get winter peaks in northern, cold-weather states, when people are inside to stay warm. Sort of like how we are getting summer peaks in southern, warm weather states, when people are inside to keep cool.

    2. Exactly.

      And exactly as the ‘seasonality theorists’ said would happen.

  7. So if I look at those graphs the childhood vaccination new variant looks to basically have the same result as no childhood vaccination new variant. Is that correct? If so (I probably already know) why the push for childhood vaccination?

    1. Cult! It is the holy sacrament. Everyone must be baptized.

      1. Pope Fauci of the Vaxican.

    2. Why the push for masking children? Because people have lost their minds

    3. I can’t see any reason for it. But the propaganda seems to be working and more and more people seem to be concerned about children not being vaccinated.

      1. Honestly, it’s might be more of a concern about the schools’ / CDC’s exposure rules than it is over concern for the kids’ well being. My wife is on the fence about getting our kids vaccinated for several obvious reasons, but the fact that we’d have to keep our daughter home for weeks following a positive test in her class if unvaccinated vs. her missing zero time if vaccinated is probably going to force the issue.

        1. Is your school segregating vaccinated kids from unvaccinated? Also, how old are your children. Children under 12 can’t be vaccinated at this time.

          1. My oldest is in kindergarten; I’m assuming the vaccine will be approved momentarily. There’s a complicated rubric published by the district governing exposures of the unvaccinated, for the vaxxed there’s one footnote: vaccinated students only need to quarantine if symptomatic. No tests, no muss, no fuss.

            1. So… now I’m really confused, there are kindergarteners in your school who are vaccinated? Or are you saying this WILL be the policy once the vaccination for toddlers is approved?

              1. The latter. The guidelines cover all students, staff and faculty at all grade levels. Once the vaccine is approved, kindergartners can fall into the “vaccinated” group.

    4. To reduce the reservoir for the virus.

      Kids can get exposed even if they don’t get sick.

      Whether or not that’s a VALID reason is a different debate. But that’s the reason.

      1. Stupid reason.

      2. Stuck – but that doesn’t change the outcome of those predictions so I think your last statement is what I’m thinking.

      3. Except for the fact that even the CDC now admits that vaccination does not prevent infection nor transmission.

  8. You’re retarded if you think this pandemic has peaked. Just wait until flu season gets here and – miraculously – there once again isn’t one single case of the flu but the coronavirus surge is going to be – once again miraculously – exactly the size of a flu surge if there were one. There’s absolutely no goddamn way in hell the government is going to allow anybody to even hint that this pandemic may be over until November 9, 2022.

  9. There will be a new peak in time for the 2022 midterms. Count on it.

  10. I like how we’re still trusting experts and models.

    1. I like how we’re still reading Reason.

      1. Just the comments most days.

      2. You’re not supposed to actually read the articles.

        1. There are articles?

    2. Soon they will need to get models to stand next to their models to get people to pay attention.

      1. Like a bad movie. Nude actresses improve the movie, but still can’t make it a good movie.

        1. Remember movies up through the 1990s, when there would be casual nudity even in a family comedy?

          1. Was that actually a thing that actually stopped? I know it was a thing with children, but it stopped around the 1980s.

  11. “under a worst-case scenario with no rollout of childhood vaccinations”

    Mr Bailey, please stop.

    It is like we are completely forgetting that just 18 months ago all the models were saying, “under the worst-case scenario with no lockdowns” and “under the worst-case scenario with no masking”, then “under the worst-case scenario where schools reopen”.

    How many times to a bunch of data scientists with an agenda and a spreadsheet get to pull this fear-mongering masquerading as health policy? Are we even going to take a second to recall that the models that drove our country off over the cliffs of (totalitarian) insanity were shown to be 100% wrong?

    Mr Bailey, those scenarios are what we call “Begging the Question”. They just assume that Deaths/Cases, Variants and Children sticking needles in their arms are the only variables to be considered here. And that is by design, because they want Journalists (Like you, Mr Bailey) to drive this discussion along those axiomatic lines.

    Mr Bailey, do you want to know what my worst case scenario is? That the government attains and retains the power to lock us in our homes and stick needles into our arms just so long as they can conjure up a sufficiently crisp hockey-stick graph. Do you think you can find someone to graph that?

    1. ong as they can conjure up a sufficiently crisp hockey-stick graph.

      Inoculate the country against climate change? I like the way you think.

    2. >>Mr Bailey, please stop.

      lol nobody believes it’s your first day here.

    3. All models are wrong, some are useful. George box.

      These are not useful.

  12. We will never reach peak pandemic.

    1. Not with that attitude we won’t!

  13. At what point does COVID-19 stop being a pandemic, and just another disease to be dealt with?

    1. We’re already in the endemic phase. We basically have to live for the rest of history with a disease ten times as deadly as the flu. A bad flu season can kill 60,000 Americans. We lost 600,000 Americans to COVID in the space of a year. Heart disease and strokes are still the number one killers in America, but COVID is a respectable third place.

      “Bah, it’s just a bad flu!” — What the guy would have said if he weren’t intubated and fighting for his life.

      1. Are you really do stupid to think that 600,000 will die each year from Covid?

        1. Yes. He is. Don’t show him deaths by age.

      2. We basically have to live for the rest of history with a disease ten times as deadly as the flu.

        What was that? I can’t hear you. Can you take off your mask?

        [cough]

      3. We’re already in the endemic phase.

        Oh, good – looks like you’re back to the world of the san-

        [A] a disease ten times as deadly as the flu. A bad flu season can kill 60,000 Americans. We lost 600,000 Americans to COVID in the space of a year.

        God dammit. Like, seriously? Are you dishonest, in love with your own sense of panic, or just stupid? All three?

      4. should we ignore the fatality rate of 0.05%? How about the median age of death that corresponds very closely to life expectancy? Or how damn near all victims had multiple co-morbidities, making this virus a contributing factor at best. Death and infection rates were wildly inflated. Thanks for playing along with your minders at the CDC and other govt quarters.

        1. When broken down by demographics, roughly 77.3 percent (519,464 deaths) have been people ages 65 and over, while 19.3 percent (129,604 deaths) were those between ages 45 and 64. Ages 45 and below comprised just 3.4 percent (22,953 deaths).

          Within that, the most frequently listed comorbidity was influenza & pneumonia at 47.3 percent (315,419 deaths), followed by hypertension at 19.3 percent (128,505 deaths) deaths and diabetes at 15.7 percent (104,975 deaths). Alzheimer’s and other dementias stood at 12.4 percent (82,464 deaths) while sepsis stood in last at 9.7 percent (64,662 deaths).

      5. I still stand by my assertion that if we tracked regular flu with the same vigor and methodology that we tracked Cornoavirus, you would “discover” 200,000-300,000 “regular flu” deaths.

        In my entire lifetime, I have had exactly zero flu tests.

        How many karen-19 tests have people had on average just in 2020?

        1. And we’ve now been through two full seasons with covid. Yet we’re still counting on the same tally.

          1. And ignoring comorbidities.

      6. “Bah, it’s just a bad flu!” — What the guy would have said if he weren’t intubated and fighting for his life.

        Considering the intubation is likely what killed him, it’s reasonable to question the official numbers.

        1. 10% of all covid tests are from sepsis. Colds don’t cause sepsis. Tearing of lining from intubation does though.

      7. Bad flu seasons are worse than that, go look up the data.

        I believe 2018 somewhere in the neighborhood of 100k deaths AND people then didn’t track flu deaths, unlike Covid, where if you did of something else but had covid that counted as Covid death.

        People are getting natural immunity, which is very strong, and I’d be lasts a lifetime, but we’ll see about that.

        You should take a trip to west africa and bitch to them about how terrible covid is and how much of heroes we are for ‘surviving’ it. Bonus points if you go to a Malaria ward.

    2. About a year ago in a sane world.

  14. The Wunami is behind us?

    1. Not if the Wuhan Clan releases its new CD(C)

  15. Sure that looks good now, but we’re only in September.

    I predicted last spring that we would have a renewed lockdown this winter. Because it will be a new respiratory disease season and we’ll get another panic inducing spike. (Concern is justified, panic never is). The only way we could avoid it is with vaccinations, but we missed that window already.

    This shit isn’t over until next summer. And that’s me being optimistic.

    1. And you will love every minute of it.

    2. Vaccination doesn’t seem to be a very effective way to avoid it either if Israel is anything to go by.

        1. 0% effective after 6-8 months!

      1. I didn’t see this. To me, it seemed the vaccines were still effective, although natural immunity (which daddy government seems to ignore more than the rising debt) is WAY, WAY more effective.

        What did that study say? 27x less likely to get symptoms and 8x less likely to be hospitalized with natural immunity compared to TWO shots of Pfizer? AND natural immunity seems longer lasting (I bet lifetime but we’ll see) and more robust against future variants.

        1. AND natural immunity seems longer lasting (I bet lifetime but we’ll see) and more robust against future variants.

          Eh, there’s people who have supposedly gotten infected more than once, but considering the shitty testing methodologies, I wouldn’t trust any data coming out on that.

          1. Yes its true, there have been reinfections. But very, very few. These There is mounting evidence that natural immunity works pretty darn well, especially since we’ve had since March 2020 to observe re-infections. These new studies (the Israeli study being conducted with tens of thousands of people during this summer with dreaded delta variant) are increasingly providing evidence for the strength of natural immunity.

            Although its a different virus, many people who had Spanish flu were followed the rest of their lives and it was found they never lost immunity to the Spanish flu, and moreover had increased immunity against many other types of flu.

            Sometimes, what doesn’t kill you makes you stronger.

    3. It’s never going to end until somebody finds the political will to stop all of the surveillance measures which results in ululating case figures. 18 months of uncontainable spread and the public health is still measuring itself against a test/trace/isolate metric. It’s bonkers.

      1. And all these spikes and increased deaths WITH a vaccine. It’s a genuine puzzlement.

        1. Why do you continue to ignore the fact that nearly half the people in this country are not vaccinated? It’s like willful ignorance.

          1. Why do you continue to ignore that nearly half the country, per the CDC has already been infected? Why do you continue to ignore the fact that vaccinated people can still catch, carry, and transmit the virus?

            It’s truly a mystery.

          2. Perhaps one of these days you will finally take a basic biology course and understand that vaccinating against a particular strain of a particular virus at mass scale leads to the emergence of strains that escape the vaccinated immunity. It’s called evolution. Viruses evolve so quickly that we can actually watch it happen. If the original strain had only unvaccinated targets available, where is the pressure to evolve? Go back and study natural selection. Isn’t that supposed to be sacrosanct amongst Leftists anyhow?

        2. Your comment reminded me that I get the flu vaccine every year (except for the last two years, because I have not been in the office and the annual office event is where I normally got it).

          One thing to consider: we have a vaccine for the flu. We have flu-specific medications (e.g., Tamiflu). We have some herd immunity to the flu. We do not usually see flu victims overwhelm the medical system. And flu still manages to kill 30-50k people most every year. In 2017/18 60k-90k, perhaps more than 100k–the numbers vary because the CDC doesn’t require reporting of flu deaths–died of the flu.

          We have/had no vaccine for the COVID. We have no COVID-specific medications. We have/had no herd immunity for COVID. COVID was close to overwhelming some parts of the healthcare system.

          And with all that, COVID is only killing 6x more than flu? Punk-ass virus. With our woeful defense against it, COVID ought to be running up the score like Georgia Tech vs Cumberland.

          These thousands of people every year are dying from the flu DESPITE all the advantages we supposedly have over it. But no one has ever cared enough to demand that we wear masks and practice social distancing to save them. And when COVID is “gone” it seems likely that we’ll go back to ignoring their deaths.

          We never did any of this (lockdowns, mask mandates, vaccine mandates) before we had flu shots and tamiflu, by the way.

    4. or maybe it will be that usual disease called the flu. You might remember the flu. It was an annual thing until last year. The panic won’t be over until the ruling class says it’s over, or the people stop blindly complying with idiotic rules.

    5. This will be endemic, like cold and flu season.

      And the government will never relinquish the power it’s been handed.

  16. I haven’t heard anyone on tv say “omega” yet

    1. Lambda lambda lambda and Omega Wu

      1. a nerd asked me out … which one? … I don’t know they all look alike

    2. A co-worker was telling me about the N-U variant. I didn’t even bother to correct her. “Have you heard about the nu variant?” is the start of a tiresome routine.

      I would correct her if she had mentioned the M-U variant, because COVID that makes you sound like a cow is damn funny.

      1. It’s myoo and nyoo not Moo and noo.

        1. I think those are acceptable alternative pronunciation. In Greek it’s moo and noo.

          1. Whether it sounds like a cow or a kitten, still funny.

            It also occurred to me that the gnu variant is good for a chuckle.

    3. I’m still trying to get around the jump from delta to mu.

      1. Have we done Onega yet? My should come after that.

    4. I haven’t heard anyone on tv say “omega” yet

      That’s the one that will kill most of us and turn the rest into albino Zomibies. The Omega Man is the only one with the vaccine to save the world.
      https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6q_fLr7hCZE

      1. love it. the Simpsons riffed that in an early Halloween episode.

  17. The pandemic will continue for as long as authoritarian govts and their wannabe peers say it continues. Or until we tell them to fuck off. You may have noticed protests around the world, events that often make govt look even worse than normal. The former penal colony of Australia apparently will have no shortage of guards for its upcoming quarantine camps where little old ladies can be body-slammed and pepper-sprayed without those pesky smartphone cameras around.

    1. I think the CDC estimated somewhere in the neighborhood of 100k deaths in the 2018 flu season in the U.S.

      That could be a pandemic if the authorities wanted to make it into one, too.

      1. The CDC did declare it an epidemic:

        https://www.cdc.gov/flu/about/season/flu-season-2017-2018.htm

        “ During the 2017-2018 season, the percentage of deaths attributed to pneumonia and influenza (P&I) was at or above the epidemic threshold for 16 consecutive weeks.”

        1. See, more lockdowns are just a sneeze away.

  18. “The virus has eaten up the susceptible people. So there are less people out there to infect.”

    When this whole thing started, I wrote email to my friends…when one wrote something about flattening the curve.

    “Which is why we’re trying to flatten the curve and ease the rate of infections, to keep the death toll down. ”

    No. We tried to flatten the curve for other reasons entirely.

    In our population there exists a subset of people for whom infection by COVID is a death sentence. I’ll call them Group A. Once exposed, there is no amount of medical assistance that is going to save them (e.g., 80% of people who get put on ventilators and in ICU care for this still die). Short of magically knowing who those people are and placing them in sterile bubbles for the rest of their lives, there is likely nothing that we can do to prevent their deaths.

    There exists another subset of people for whom infection with COVID is going to cause severe illness, but with the miracles of modern medicine, ICU care and ventilators, they can eventually recover. Call this Group B.

    There are other groups: those for whom COVID infection results in virtually no detectable symptoms (may be upward of 50% of infections) [Group E]; those for whom COVID infection causes mild flu-like symptoms that they recover from without medical intervention (may be upward of 40% of infections) [Group D]; those for whom COVID infection results in severe illness, perhaps requiring hospitalization but not extraordinary care (no ICU, no ventilators) [Group C]. Let’s ignore these, because except for the small last group, they resolve on their own.

    Because we really cannot separate Group A from Group B until after extraordinary care fails to save them (must have been Group A) or they recover (must have been Group B), we tried to slow down the rate of infection so that we did not overwhelm the hospitals all at once with all the Group A and B people at the same time. Because if we ran out of ventilators, the next person that needed one might be from Group B and might die as a result of not having the ventilator.

    In other words, “flattening the curve” was, by definition, trying NOT to save every life–we know those in Group A are dead anyway–but to hopefully ensure there were enough resources available to save as many Group B people as possible. Maybe a little bit of trying to keep from flooding the hospitals with Group C folks, again to save the Group B people by not overwhelming resources.

    Sadly, the folks in Group A will die from COVID sooner or later, because the virus is in the wild and half-assed lockdowns that let people go the the grocery store, Wal-Mart, and Home Depot will not protect the people in Group A. The virus is in the wild and those folks in Group A will eventually be exposed and they will die from it. Period. The only way we reduce the size of Group A is when they die from something else before they are exposed to COVID.

    Please understand, I am not saying we stop trying to treat people, nor is it that I don’t care about the people in Group A. Because we cannot–again, by definition–know if a very sick COVID patient is in Group A or B until they either die or recover, we MUST treat them all as if they are going to recover and make the best effort we can that is also in accordance with their wishes (i.e., we must honor DNR and similar requests). I am saying that, while the loss of life is tragic, it really is not more tragic to me than the 8000 people who died yesterday of causes NOT named COVID. That is, if my friends or family die for any reason, it’s a personal tragedy and COVID or car wreck I will be affected the same emotionally. OTOH, a stranger dying of COVID 2500 miles away from me is not any more tragic or impactful on me than the same stranger dying of lung cancer or falling off a ladder or drowning or the flu, which is also a contagious disease that kills 10’s of thousands of Americans every winter, which is by the current numbers only slightly less deadly than COVID

    1. We don’t need to magically figure out who is in your ‘Group A’. Sure, we can’t be 100%, but there are some very clear correlations between who dies and bad traits, such as very prominently AGE (which is a known killer), OBESITY (again, no surprises there), and PREEXISTING SEVERE ILLNESS (again, no surprises). It it true there have been tragic deaths in otherwise young healthy people, but these are the exception to the rule.

      This stuff really isn’t that hard to figure out.

      1. That sort of stuff can’t really tell who is group A with any level of accuracy. The 95 year old immunocompromised obese smoker still has a decent chance of getting out of the hospital alive. I’m not sure if it more or less than 50%, but I would be shocked if it was under 10%.

      2. All those things are almost certainly true of my Group B, as well, which is kind of my point.

    2. Good post.

      I’m not sure about this number: (e.g., 80% of people who get put on ventilators and in ICU care for this still die).

      But your point is still well made. (FYI, your number may be 100% correct, I just haven’t looked it up).

      1. As I recall, it was a valid number at the time I originally wrote that text, as were the breakdown of asymptomatic etc. They may have changed since then. I should probably update to current numbers.

        Like most things COVID-related, age has a large impact. It seems that overall about half of all people with COVID who were put on ventilators died, but the percentages for older people (60+) is well over 70%, and for 80+ age group, almost 85%.

  19. Importantly the case load are cased *reported* to the CDC, which should be go without saying that doesn’t represent actual cases.

    Lots of what ifs going on here. Best to look at actual experience. Vast majority of people are doing just fine. Nothing to suggest that will change.

    How about emergence of another deadly disease from another Chinese virology institute?! That could send cases spiking to unprecedented levels! Preemptive lockdowns obviously are the most rational choice when faced with such clear yet uncertain danger.

    1. Bobby don’t worry about that! People like Joe friguy have made the virology institute blameless it’s just the unvaccinated’s fault for everything that went on in that lab.

  20. eventually Fauci will run out of diabetics and Oldie Hawns to kill.

  21. So in this linked news story why are they sure it was an unvaccinated person that infected vaccinated people who died. Btw
    look at the # of vaccinated that died just in one situation, makes the term break through sound disingenuous https://www.kpax.com/news/coronavirus/libby-care-center-confirms-14-covid-19-related-deaths

    1. It has nothing to do with science. The vaccines are failing, so they blame the unvaccinated. Scapegoating as old as time.

  22. Peaked for fall, yes.

    Peaked for the year, no.

    Seasonality keeps trumping anything we do.

    1. You just had to bring Trump into it, didn’t you?

  23. Quit pushing these failed experimental gene drugs. EARLY treatment is the key to strengthen the immune system to build natural immunity. Period. End of discussion.

    1. See the above linked article almost all that died in this instance were vaccinated.

  24. Spanish Flu ran burned itself out after about two years. Probably see another smaller winter wave and we’ll be done.

    1. They didn’t have leaky vaccines or world leaders using it to push a great reset. Covid is never ending, until we end it.

  25. Hey Ronald, you were dead wrong when you wrote the vaccines were 100% effective against death and hospitalization. Instead they brought us this summer surge. Now everyone who survived the death jabs is heading into cold and flu season with a weakened immune system. When it comes time to punish the guilty, media propagandists won’t be given a pass.

  26. The graph Bailey posted shows that we have more daily cases now compared to May 2020, and that when no one vaccinated. And we have more daily cases now compared to June of this year. Delta obviously changed the game, but given that half the country is vaccinated and much of the rest probably have some immunity, you’d think Covid would be less of an issue by now.

    Why should we conclude that Covid has “peaked”? By December vaccination protection may start to wear off, and a new variant may cause havoc still.

    The unfortunate truth is that America is a very fat nation that does a number on their vital organs. And they insist on wearing the useless blue masks. I wear nothing but N95s. I’m a minority who doesn’t smoke AND drink, which makes me a freak occurrence in this country. When you walk into a California Walmart, you know you just walked into Covid buffet zone.

  27. Really?
    Why is the number of cases so important?
    Isn’t the number of people who get COVID and die from it ( i.e. the CFR for COVID) far more important?
    Hasn’t that number been dropping since last year already?