Life expectancy

U.S. Life Expectancy Increases for the First Time in 4 Years

Thanks to the first fall in drug overdose deaths since 1990, plus a continuing decline in cancer deaths

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Average life expectancy in America ascended to 78.9 years in 2014, and then it started declining. By 2017, it had fallen to 78.6 years. But now there's good news: According to the National Center for Health Statistics (NCHS), this downward trend has stopped. In 2018—the latest year for which we have the data—the average life expectancy of Americans ticked back up to 78.7.

In 2017, the Princeton economists Anne Case and Angus Deaton reported that the falling U.S. life expectancy was largely driven by the rising death rate among poor middle-aged whites. They attributed rising mid-life mortality among poor whites to "deaths of despair"—drug overdoses, alcoholic liver disease, and suicides. They also noted that the mortality gap between whites with a college degree and those without was widening.

A 2019 paper in the Journal of the American Medical Association bolstered the deaths-of-despair hypothesis, noting that "the largest relative increases in midlife mortality occurred among adults with less education and in rural areas or other settings with evidence of economic distress or diminished social capital."

Interestingly, the new NCHS report notes that the death rates "for age groups 35–44 and 55–64 did not change significantly between 2017 and 2018."

The two chief reasons for the uptick in life expectancy, according to the NCHS, are the first fall in drug overdose deaths since 1990 and the continuing decline in cancer deaths. Another possible factor: The U.S. population-employment ratio has been increasing, which suggests that as more Americans have success in labor markets they may be less despairing about their life prospects.

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  1. But now there’s good news

    Oh yeah? Where?

    1. Over at the Babylon Bee — they’ve just bought competing satire site CNN.

  2. 1. Most of this alleged increase is from males identifying as female to get better insurance rates.
    2. Time for a deluge of articles about needing to get rid of Social Security before the world ends again.

    1. It’s clearly yet another victory for Trump.

      1. I blame Trump!

  3. If they gave the credit to Trump would the Never Trumpers et al spitefully hara-kiri themselves?

    1. If they gave the credit to Trump would the Never Trumpers et al spitefully hara-kiri themselves?

      Given that we aren’t reading about a massive dip in life expectancy because of people opting out of the rest of their carbon footprint I think you know the answer to that question.

    2. It’s worth a shot

  4. “The U.S. population-employment ratio has been increasing, which suggests that as more Americans have success in labor markets they may be less despairing about their life prospects.”

    If Bailey won’t say it, I will.

    We’re talking about the benefits of Trump’s deregulation and tax cuts, the benefits of which were so powerful, even the trade war couldn’t stop them.

    1. https://www.bls.gov/charts/employment-situation/civilian-unemployment-rate.htm

      Look at the unemployment trend and try to pick out where the Trump policies hit. Hint: the trend is unbroken since 2009. During Obama’s term unemployment fell by over 5 whole percentage points. Trump has lowered it another 1.2%.

      1. You’re looking at the aftermath of a recession. Yes, we pulled out of a recession despite anti-growth policies like ObamaCare, but why did it take so long to recover and why didn’t the recovery extend to unskilled labor until recently?

        1. “Wages for rank-and-file workers are rising at the quickest pace in more than a decade, even faster than for bosses, a sign that the labor market has tightened sufficiently to convey bigger increases to lower-paid employees.

          Gains for those workers have accelerated much of this year, a time when the unemployment rate fell to a half-century low.

          . . . .

          Pay for the bottom 25% of wage earners rose 4.5% in November from a year earlier, according to the Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta. Wages for the top 25% of earners rose 2.9%. Similarly, the Atlanta Fed found wages for low-skilled workers have accelerated since early 2018, and last month matched the pace of high-skill workers for the first time since 2010.

          —WSJ

          https://www.wsj.com/articles/rank-and-file-workers-get-bigger-raises-11577442600

          Are we supposed to pretend that isn’t happening to unskilled workers in a story about why the lives of unskilled workers are improving?

        2. P.S. Requiring employers to provide healthcare for unskilled workers as a condition of employing them was stupid and insane in the aftermath of a recession.

          P.P.S Stupid and insane.

          1. The original comment was about unemployment, but I’ll bite.

            The wage increases are great, but even wsj admits in their opening paragraph that they were driven in large part by minimum wage increases. 21 states increased minimum wage in 2019. https://www.cnbc.com/2019/12/24/more-minimum-wage-increases-expected-in-2020.html .

            Yes, obamacare sucks. Although my rates didn’t really take off until the individual mandate was removed. Now it’s over $1100/mo premium for a healthy, young family of 4. Granted, that’s a low deductible plan.

            1. If you don’t think taking off the requirement to provide health insurance to unskilled workers added to the unemployment rate being lower than it would be otherwise, you’re nuts. If you think increasing the minimum wage made them less expensive to hire added to the 50 year low in the unemployment rate, you’re crazier still.

              Are you saying that because minimum wages increased, that means deregulation and tax cuts didn’t increase the demand for unskilled workers–on both the unemployment and higher pay side–or only that increasing minimum wages was a contributing factor?

              To what extent did minimum wage increases (in your view) contribute to the unemployment rate going down? To what extent did minimum wage increases (in your view) contribute to the increase in wages vis a vis other factors like tax cuts and deregulation?

              Why didn’t wages for unskilled workers increase faster than their management in the past when minimum wages increased during the Obama administration? Why didn’t minimum wage increases during the Obama administration have the same impact on the wages of unskilled workers or their rate of unemployment?

            2. Pedo Jeffy, how do your ‘rates’ increase from Obamacare…….in Toronto? Of course you also claimed to be career military, in which case you wouldn’t need to pay for health coverage.

              Lying little progtard.

      2. So, now you’re admitting that Trump isn’t so bad? That he’s not ruining the nation?

        1. Oh he is. The foundation for a government that serves the people (checks and balances) and for a stable republic (peaceful transitions of power in fair elections) are both gone now. The deficit is near an all time high, and the highest for a peacetime deficit that is not during or after a recession.

          The economy keeps ticking away though.

          1. peaceful transitions of power in fair elections) are both gone now”

            How So Trump was elected peacefully and the only people rioting so far have been Antifa which has started to quite down since they realized they were loosing

            1. There’s only so many places those losers can pull their shit. If Antifa tried to emulate in Spokane what they did in Portland, many of them would be severely injured. Probably many of them dead.

              And they damn well know it too. Nor would the cops look the other way and give them free reign. Like the Mayor of Portland did for them.

          2. for a stable republic (peaceful transitions of power in fair elections) are both gone now.

            He shouldn’t have worn that dress, eh? Now you’re blaming the victim. Oh, it wasn’t *my* fault, your honor, it was that Trump, getting in the way of the Democrat’s power grab.

            “If they hadn’t done what I told ’em not to do, they’d still be alive.”

            1. Pedo Jeffy is such a great libertarian that he suckles at the cock of any progressive in power.

          3. De Oppresso Liber
            January.30.2020 at 2:50 pm
            “The economy keeps ticking away though.”

            And fucking ignoramuses are PISSED!

      3. “Look at the unemployment trend and try to pick out where the Trump policies hit. Hint: the trend is unbroken since 2009. During Obama’s term unemployment fell by over 5 whole percentage points. Trump has lowered it another 1.2%.”

        Posted by an idiot with no concept of growth curves:
        When starting from the bottom, as, oh, Obo did in 2008, and China did in the early ’90s, the curve should be nearly vertical; you have nothing and you have, courtesy of that magic called “trade”, the vehicle for amazing growth! Not even the Chinese matched that econ-idiot Obo in limiting that growth.
        As you approach the top of what current trade will allow (until further innovations), improvement is harder and harder to find; the various curves flatten out.
        The (now seemingly banned) ignoramus turd, and the occasionally obnoxious ignoramus Hihn try to float the same idiocy you do.
        And, like you, fail.
        Fuck off.

        1. Which one of the progtards got banned?

    2. “We’re talking about the benefits of Trump’s deregulation and tax cuts, the benefits of which were so powerful, even the trade war couldn’t stop them.“

      The very power of life and death holds forth The Donald.

      So powerful.

      1. Seek help; you need it.

  5. life better w/o O.

  6. Since we know everything good comes from the hands of our Deity-Presidents (and all the bad stuff is the work of kulaks and wreckers), this means Trump is literally saving lives.

      1. Raising the federal minimum wage, which hasn’t increased in more than a decade,

        Only among low-end Federal employees since over half the states have minimum wages higher than the Federal minimum wage.

  7. So uneducated whites are living longer again? Blame Trump.

    1. It doesn’t make much difference that they’re surviving middle age. We need them to die young before they reproduce.

  8. You’re still going to die and never be resurrected Bailey. I can’t wait until Muslim religious fundamentalists a thousand years from now thaw you out and eat your entrails.

  9. Oh, this must be because they finally banned vaping!

    1. Or, gun control laws have made suicide more difficult.

      1. I hope that’s sarc and not stupidity.

        1. Ask your mommy. Then, stop playing with her phone.

  10. Yay! An extra tenth of a year of existence! I just don’t know what to do with it all! One thing is for sure, I’m not going to waste those extra 5.2 weeks of time! Maybe I will binge watch an entire series that takes 5.2 weeks to watch in its entirety. Or maybe read a few more insightful pieces like this one on reason. I could try skydiving or maybe taking some more naps. If the average american spends 5.2 weeks (lifetime) in line at drive-thru windows, all of that time is free now! But I already said that I’d never get that time back, but now I have it so maybe I will walk inside instead of using the drive-thru. That sounds pretty tiring though, so I’d have to offset that with some extra naps.

  11. I am making a good MONEY (500$ to 700$ / hr )online on my Ipad .Do not go to office.I do not claim to be others,I yoy will call yourself after doing this JOB,It’s a REAL job.Will be very lucky to refer to this …. Read more  

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