Donald Trump

One Year Ago Today, Donald Trump Announced He Was Running For President

Now he's the presumptive Republican nominee who's carved out a place in American history, win or lose

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Gage Skidmore/flickr

A year ago today, real estate mogul/reality TV star Donald Trump announced he was running for president. To varying degrees, Trump had been mentioned as a possible presidential candidate on and off since the 1988 election cycle, the first time he said he was considering a run. In 2000, he went through some of the motions of trying to secure the Reform party nomination (its candidate would receive federal matching funds thanks to Ross Perot's performance in 1996), using Pat Buchanan's entry into the party as his excuse. Trump was friends with Jesse Ventura, then the Reform governor of Minnesota, who had urged him to run. Trump called Buchanan, a paleoconservative, "pre-historic" and called him a "Hitler lover" for arguing against U.S. intervention in World War II. When he dropped out of the race, he blamed Buchanan and the kind of people he was attracting to the Reform party. Today, neo-Nazis represent one of the constituencies in the Trump coalition and are among his loudest supporters outline.

The Trump trajectory did not seem obvious to everyone a year ago, to say the least. Many did not think Trump would run in the first place. After all there was the 2000 campaign, and Trump also speculated he'd run in 2004 as well as in 2012, when he topped a few early GOP primary polls. He became a darling in some quarters of the GOP base for being the highest-profile public personality to embrace birtherism, saying he had sent a team of investigators to Hawaii, Obama's place of birth, and taking credit for the president releasing a long-form birth certificate in the summer of 2012. One point against him running is that some commentators did not believe he would make the financial disclosures necessary to run for president. A year ago today he did, although he has yet to release his tax returns.

Some people welcomed Trump into the race a year ago, and not just the anti-immigration crowd in the Republican base who came around to Mitt Romney in 2012 only after he promised to get millions of illegal immigrants to self-deport. Democrats welcomed Trump into the race too. Bill Clinton, to whose foundation Trump donated, and who attended Trump's most recent wedding, said at the time that Trump had been "uncommonly nice to Hillary and me." That's changed. Trump has made Clinton's sexual history as president one of his lines of attack in his campaign, calling Clinton "the worst abuser of women in the history of politics."

The Democratic National Committee (DNC) also welcomed Trump. They said he added "some much-needed seriousness that has previously been lacking from the GOP field" and looked forward "to hearing more about his ideas for the nation." He had by this time already indicated with his rhetoric that illegal immigration would be a major issue. It was in the announcement of his candidacy that he suggested Mexico sent criminals and drug dealers to the U.S. and, he assumed, some good people too. "Careful what you wish for," I wrote of the DNC's comments. At the time, he was at 3 percent in the polls in a field with a dozen candidates. A month later, on July 20, Trump would hit almost 17 percent in the average of polls, overtaking the early frontrunner Jeb Bush, who entered the race a day before Trump. He would never relinquish that lead. As Matt Welch wrote in the Editor's Note of the November issue of Reason, commentators were too busy laughing at Donald Trump to notice his nativist campaign taking off like a rocket.

Throughout the entire campaign he never led with more than half of Republican votes, and only cleared 40 percent when there were just three candidates left in the race. In a crowded field more voters opposed Trump than supported him, but never coalesced around one candidate, even though another early frontrunner, popular Wisconsin Governor Scott Walker, dropped out as early as September, saying he felt called to "clear the field" in order to stop Trump. When Trump finally won the nomination, House Speaker Paul Ryan said that Trump "inherited something special," the Republican party. Trump corrected him. "Wrong, I didn't inherit it," he wrote on Twitter, a primary mode of communication for his campaign. 'I won it with millions of voters!"

In reporting on Trump's June 16 announcement, Brian Doherty noted that "seeking coherence in the political mind of such a man is a mug's game." Trump has since taken many sides of many issues, sometimes in the same context. Doherty described "a certain unbridled American id" at play with the Trump campaign. In July, it still seemed unlikely (to say the least) Trump would be able to sustain a campaign and a lead to the start of the primaries, let alone their end. In September Paul Krugman was cheering that Donald Trump was "right about economics" because he wanted to raise taxes and had a positive view of universal healthcare.

But it was always clear he did not represent a new problem for the Republican party. Donald Trump was part of Republicans' "long love affair with schmucks," unqualified candidates like Sarah Palin, Trump, and Ben Carson. Peter Suderman called Trump's campaign the "latest—and perhaps most egregious—manifestation of the party's willingness to flirt with and temporarily back no-hope crank candidates whose shtick consists largely or entirely of appealing to the lowest common denominator."

By August, as Trump was sustaining a lead, he took credit for illegal immigration being an issue in the Republican primary campaign. If it weren't for him, he argued, "you wouldn't even be talking about illegal immigration" Trump told Chris Wallace, the co-host of an early Fox News presidential debate. Not true, I wrote, "on immigration what he says is what plenty of other Republicans have said too," pointing out that "one of the big reasons Trump has traction in the Republican race is because of his extreme position on immigration." Yet in February, when Jeb Bush had dropped out of the race and a Trump win was becoming far more likely for a lot of people, the Washington Post observed that "no candidate in the race was prepared for GOP voters' opposition to immigration, except for Trump." Yet Mitt Romney only secured the nomination in 2012 after promising to a hard-line on illegal immigration, using "self-deportations," something Trump once called "mean-spirited." When Trump started to talk about deporting all illegal immigration, he said Romney's position was "crazy" instead.

Romney became the highest-profile Republican to speak out against Trump in March, calling him a "phony" and a "fraud" to no avail. Now Romney says he won't be endorsing Trump, and says he would "consider" voting Libertarian in November. Most Republicans have fallen in line. One former Romney fundraiser who's come on board with Trump warned Republican donors that don't that the result, in the case of a Trump win, could mean Puff Daddy as secretary of state or Gary Busey on the Supreme Court. The rapper and the actor are among a number of celebrities who have endorsed Trump. For his part, Trump says he's not interested in politicians who don't support him. He's suggested a "winners' evening" at the Republican National Convention instead, where sports stars who've endorsed him would talk about winning.

Trump's campaign has not just weathered but fed off countless controversial statements. While neither his comments about Mexico and illegal immigrants nor his temporary ban on Muslim immigration nor his comments about women might phase his core supporters, he also doubted 2008 Republican presidential nominee John McCain was a "war hero" because he was a POW in Vietnam (Trump's called the threat of sexually-transmitted disease in his younger days his own "personal Vietnam"). Bill Kristol said if Trump didn't apologize for the comment, made in July of last year, it'd be the end of his campaign. Jesse Walker noted that given Kristol's record, it was "a good reason to expect Trump to stick around a long time." In South Carolina, Trump went after Jeb, and George W., Bush and the Iraq war. It was supposed to hurt in a pro-military state but he won it and most of the early primaries. Ted Cruz said Trump's position, came from the "fever-swamp of the left." For months, Cruz had said it would be "foolish" to criticize Trump and his statements. By May, Trump had suggested Cruz's father was palling around with Lee Harvey Oswald.

Most recently, repeated comments he made about a judge in his Trump University fraud case—comments he first offered completely unprompted—being unable to give him a fair trial because the American-born judge was Mexican. Trump's unfavorables are at new highs, even among the white male voters that are supposed to be his base. He's hit a low of 38.6 percent in the average of head-to-head polling with Hillary Clinton, the presumptive Democratic nominee under FBI investigation, five and a half points behind her. Libertarian Gary Johnson is at 8 percent in the average of three way polls, with about a five and a half point distance between Clinton and Trump. I want to say Trump isn't going to be the next president, that I feel he's not even going to be the Republican nominee. But it's Trump. And it's 2016.

NEXT: Libertarian Gary Johnson on Denying Second Amendment Rights Based on Unadjudicated Suspicion

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  1. Here’s one more reason why accusing the Russians of hacking the DNC for dirt on Trump over a year is total bullshit. One year ago, few individuals other than Donald himself believed he’d ever get anywhere.

  2. Serious question: Will future historians count the beginning of the Trump Era from the announcement of his candidacy, from his inauguration, or from when he sues the Supreme Court for calling his dissolution of Congress illegal?

    1. My first thought is that Obama will do it for him. But to answer your question, the Trump era began with the election of George W. Bush.

    2. Whenever the first case of Trump induced hysteria occurred.

      1. We just need to find the first instance of Trump indicating he’d take advantage of executive privilege.

      2. “Whenever the first case of Trump induced hysteria occurred.”

        Would that include Ivana’s wedding night?

    3. The Trump Era began when he said “We’re going to build a wall”.

    4. “Will future historians count the beginning of the Trump Era from the announcement of his candidacy,…”

      From the first broadcast of The Apprentice. Duh!

  3. I seriously no longer give a shit that Donald Trump “pisses off the right people.” Fuck him. Donald is the personification of the right-wing version of “MUH FEELZ!” and has pushed “bleeding-heart conservatism/nationalism” to the forefront of Republican politics. (Win or lose, his resent-filled voters will stick around.)

    Normally, I wouldn’t give two fucks since, in many ways, the GOP was still the party of Bush, Romney, McCain, Rubio, Weekly Standard, National Review, the hawks, the SoCons, etc. but it really did seem like — for a while anyway — the major opposition to “the older GOP” was a combination of Rand Paul, Justin Amash, Thomas Massie, and so on.

    Then Trump shows up and fucks the whole thing up. So fuck him with a woodchipper.

    1. Feelz are what win elections. Welcome to Earf.

      1. And I’d rather win.

        the major opposition to “the older GOP” was a combination of Rand Paul, Justin Amash, Thomas Massie, and so on.

        And Rand *lost* in the presidential race. He was barely a blip. Did he even get a single delegate?

        I’m happy those guys are in the Senate, but you’re seriously deluded if you think those kind of guys are ever going to provide a voting majority for President.

        Trump can win. And if he thwarts amnesty and open borders, and the millions of big government voters they represent, a Republican *may* win a presidential election again.

        If Trump doesn’t win, welcome to One Party State America. Game over. Big Government Presidents and Supremes til the end of time.

        Winning matters. There is no Libertarian Majority hiding in a closet somewhere. EGOP will amnesty and import Dem voters just as surely as the Dems, just not as quickly. It’s the same Big Government One Party State end game, maybe delayed a decade. With Trump, there’s a chance for a different end game.

    2. I seriously no longer give a shit that Donald Trump “pisses off the right people.”

      I agree.

      If, say, Ted Cruz had gotten the nomination, he’d be “pissing off the right people” as well. He might not be as abrasive as Trump, but he’d provoke the left to display that special brand of hatred they reserve for people who “should” be on their side (because his last name ends in “z”), but aren’t. Plus Cruz actually has some degree of political experience, which is typically expected of a presidential candidate.

      I wouldn’t have voted for Cruz and I think he’d have lost to Hillary too, but still, fuck every idiot Republican voter who basically handed HRC the election by making Trump their nominee.

      1. Pretty much. I maybe could have voted for Cruz if he toned down the social conservatism. He’d certainly be better than Clinton on economics and foreign policy (certain aspects of it anyway).

        1. Cruz should be better than Clinton on Supreme Court picks as well.

  4. A year ago today

    It was a simpler time.

    1. Hey guys, remember Left Shark? Good times, good times.

      1. Pepperidge Farm remembers.

        *Chews Milano cookie wistfully in bunker*

          1. I’m having visions of a year from now. Leave me alone.

          2. He calls his Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles beanbag chair his “bunker.”

            1. No, that’s what I call your Mom.

          3. I think he meant his bunk.

  5. And this is how Hillary packs the court and we lose all rights [1st, 2nd, 5th, etc]

    1. Huh. *Scare tactics.* The favourite tool of socialists on the left and on the right.

      1. Because Hillary won’t appoint justices who will rule in violation of those amendments, right? Even though she has said that will. Idiot.

  6. Now he’s the presumptive Republican nominee who’s carved out a place in American history, win or lose

    Will Harvard “researches” consider this article Positive or Neutral?

  7. “Donald Trump was part of Republicans’ “long love affair with schmucks,” unqualified candidates like Sarah Palin, Trump, and Ben Carson.”

    Well, yeah, that’s true by definition.

    I still don’t know what makes him, or any of them for that matter, unqualified exactly?

    1. How about his authoritarian streak and long history of sacrificing anything on the altar of self promotion? I mean, that standard should make MOST of them unqualified, but there you go.

      1. The author clearly has something fairly specific in mind, I don’t think that’s it.

    2. I still don’t know what makes him, or any of them for that matter, unqualified exactly?

      Only Ruling Class Approved people are qualified to Rule, you silly goose!

  8. Nice piece, but it’s “might faze his core supporters”. A blast from a phaser (“PHoton mASER”) will faze you (if it’s set on “stun”). Lasers were still coming in when Star Trek first aired. Masers (microwave amplification by stimulated emission of radiation”) were more common. Now, obviously, not so much. But, you know, live long and prosper anyway.

    1. This is your greatest comment. You have reached your peak.

      1. Agreed. To continue commenting after this would only tarnish such a sterling achievement.

        1. Alan, Hugh and I – the yin and yang of Reason.com – are in agreement. That is as much of a ringing endorsement as you are going to find around here.

          1. Does this mean he’ll stop? In which case, I’ll love you even more than I did yesterday after that Lisa Loeb pic.

            1. He has to stop, Lorenzo. If he continued he would only produce hollow echoes of his crowning glory. He’ll want his fans to remember him like this, at his peak. Like they remember Kurt Cobain, or Jimi Hendrix, or Janis Joplin, if you take my meaning.

            2. If I left a comment like that not only would I leave Reason forever, I would fly out to Bangkok, find a closet, tie a rope around my neck and dong and leave life forever at my peak, too.

              1. You know who people really remember for their great artistic contributions? Hunter S Thompson, Ernest Hemingway, Robin Williams, and David Foster Wallace.

              2. +1 David Carradine

                1. meant for Crusty

    2. ALAN VANNEMAN

      1. What? No, Delenda est? I am disappoint, Warty.

  9. About the only value I see from election campaigns any more is entertainment value. And The Donald has definitely been a value-add on that front.

    Given the ineptitude of the Republican establishment, I believe that Trump has a better chance of beating Hillary than any of their preferred candidates (Rubio? Jeb? Please. Hillary would have them for an appetizer). But Trump is a catalyst, a wild card. Who knows? He might win.

    And, of course, I’m still not completely convinced Hillary will make it to the election. Or, if she does, she won’t be fatally damaged by any of her latent issues (health, FBI, even the Foundation is starting to surface).

    Getcher popcorn ready.

    1. Foundation is starting to surface

      I don’t like to claim that the Media can make or break a candidate via a ‘conspiracy of silence’, but if everyone but Fox News never covers these issues, then they’re simply not going to get much traction.

    2. The big Obamacare premium hikes in between now and the election are negatives for her and pluses for him.

    3. Skullduggery Rotten’s health is, from what I can see, is the biggest unknown. I’m convinced high doses of benzodiazepines, Adderall, embalming fluid, and pelvic spackle are keeping her erect.

      1. Which is more than I can say for Bill!

        /raises eyebrows, shakes cigar, and waddles off stage

  10. Today, neo-Nazis represent one of the constituencies in the Trump coalition and are among his loudest supporters outline.

    The July issue of The Intelligence Report must have arrived early.

    1. Godwin lives.

    2. The CPUSA support for Obama and Hillary is chopped liver?

      1. Those are the good mass murderers, so nobody worries about them.

    3. “Today, neo-Nazis represent one of the constituencies in the Trump coalition and are among his loudest supporters outline.”

      Citation required.

      1. A google search tells you all you need to know.

    4. Even if that were so, they’d be more than balanced by the Black Nazis Matter.

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  12. Romney became the highest-profile Republican to speak out against Trump in March, calling him a “phony” and a “fraud” to no avail.

    When your former Top. Man. comes out against a guy to no avail, you know you’re in trouble.

    1. Republicans *were* in trouble with Romney as Top Man. Demonstrably. He lost.

  13. Today, neo-Nazis represent one of the constituencies in the Trump coalition and are among his loudest supporters outline

    (((Ed))) is this true or is this some kind of fearmongering?

    1. YOu have to understand that any white man that has the temerity to be proud of his race is a neo-Nazi.

      1. Odd, Hazel was saying that same thing today! And yesterday. And five years ago… Now, any other demography, it’s merely celebratory, congratulatory, and in no way Balkanising.

      2. Proud?

        Any white not *ashamed* of the color of his skin is a Neo-Nazi.

  14. Most republicans tried to ride the fence on the immigration issue. They’ll talk tough to their base, but when to everyone else, they’ll say nice things about Mexican Americans and their contribution to American society, and insist on some “balanced” solution involving border enhancement and facilitating citizenship.

    As far as GOP presidential candidates go, Trump is unrivaled in his anti immigration stance. Neither Romney nor Mccain would dare suggest that Mexico is sending us rapists and criminals. Their handlers and advisers would never allow them to say such things. They might be hawks, but they wouldn’t insist that we can go after family members of terrorists.

    It’s not the GOP’s fault that Trump is where he is now. The blame lies with doofus republican primary voters in white parts of America who bought into Trump’s brand of nationalism. The GOP doesn’t have many non white voters to begin with, and they’re a non factor in the middle parts. So Trumpkins hijacked the primaries with little or no opposition.

    The GOP field had some qualified candidates this year – Rand, Rubio, Cruz, maybe Carson. Imperfect, but certainly within Gary Johnson range. The “establishment” allied with Cruz in previously ways previously unthinkable to mount a last min challenge to Trump. It didn’t work.

    It’s time to dump Trump at the convention. Primaries should be concluded within a week and should be held as close to the convention as possible.

    1. Dump Trump now? No way. Ya have to dance with who brung ya.

    2. The blame lies with doofus republican primary voters in white parts of America who bought into Trump’s brand of nationalism

      Are you English or retarded?

    3. The GOP field had some qualified candidates this year – Rand, Rubio, Cruz, maybe Carson.

      How does being a surgeon qualify anybody to run for President?

      1. Very analytical mind.

        1. Even though I don’t know if Carson managed to apply the “analytical mind” on all aspects of his life.

          1. He analyzed the true purpose of the Egyptian pyramids as purely building to store grains pretty convincingly.

    4. Most republicans tried to ride the fence on the immigration issue. They’ll talk tough to their base, but when to everyone else, they’ll say nice things about Mexican Americans and their contribution to American society, and insist on some “balanced” solution involving border enhancement and facilitating citizenship.

      Which is why Trump was always the only choice for those who want to stop Big Government. EGOP makes noises about *illegal* immigration, but they have no problem with *legally* importing Big Government voters.

      A few more years of importing Big Government voters, and it’s a presidential electoral majority for Big Government til the end of time. Last chance. Get on the Trump Train, or get on the Big Government Train. Those are the options. Be thankful that we have an option.

  15. Attention SF area Reasonoids! We are planning a meetup on July 3rd. Email me at my handle @ gmail.com to get on the list.

  16. And, as the NY Times wrote one year ago today when Trump announced his candidacy, the Canadians were way ahead of the curve in their criticism:

    “Donald Trump wants to rock in the free world, but Neil Young is not having it.
    Mr. Trump, the billionaire businessman, drew Mr. Young’s rebuke on Tuesday when he strode across the stage at Trump Tower to declare his presidential candidacy backed by Mr. Young’s song “Rockin’ in the Free World.””

  17. ‘One Year Ago Today, Donald Trump Announced He Was Running For President”

    Reason staff underwear hit hardest. Torrent of pants shitting floods the office.

    1. I was just criticizing Trump and the voters who carried him this far, but yeah, even I think Shikha has been a little ridiculous.

    2. One year ago today, #NeverTrump was born with Kevin D. Williamson’s classic tale: “A witless ape rides an escalator”

      Donald Trump is in the race.

      Donald Trump may be the man America needs. Having been through four bankruptcies, the ridiculous buffoon with the worst taste since Caligula is uniquely positioned to lead the most indebted organization in the history of the human race.

      Read more at: http://www.nationalreview.com/…..williamson

  18. A year that has been very, very good to Reason pageviews, I wager.

    BTW, here’s some quality writing from Canada’s State Broadcaster:

    A Republican freed the slaves, so how could Trump be racist?

    The success of decades spent rattling the racial insecurities of white voters in national elections has been to corral much of the Republican caucus into the states of the old Confederacy.

    The South is the strongest bloc in their base now. It holds the greatest sway over their political culture.

    And though it has evolved somewhat from its wickedly racist past, the South is still a place that fights to fly the Confederate battle flag atop public buildings and where streets are named for those who concocted their vile intellectual defences of slavery. It is still the place that went to war against the party of Lincoln.

    1. Pssssssst. *whispers* Don’t tell anybody, but Lincoln was racist.

  19. being unable to give him a fair trial because the American-born judge was Mexican

    Trump says the Truths That Must Not Be Named. Everyone knows that most likely, the judge is biased against them.

    No one ever argues that the judge *isn’t* biased against Trump, they only hyperventilate and shriek “Racist!”. Not an argument.

    1. Why would the judge be biased against Trump? Hispanics love Trump and Trump loves Hispanics. Hell, he even had a picture of himself with a taco bowl sitting on his desk. How much more Hispanic could he be?

  20. Ed seems concerned that neo-Nazis are some of Trump’s biggest supporters. Is there a citation for that? Maybe I missed it but where was the outrage by Reason when the American Communist Party supported Obama? Both groups are truly awful but there seems be a double standard when it comes to Trump. It’s as if it’s OK for a politician to say nice things while doing the opposite but if he says outrageous things (because that’s his negotiating style) then oh shit he must be Hitler!

    1. but there seems be a double standard when it comes to Trump.

      “Seems,” madam? Nay, it is; I know not “seems.”

  21. Ed seems concerned that neo-Nazis are some of Trump’s biggest supporters. Is there a citation for that? Maybe I missed it but where was the outrage by Reason when the American Communist Party supported Obama? Both groups are truly awful but there seems be a double standard when it comes to Trump. It’s as if it’s OK for a politician to say nice things while doing the opposite but if he says outrageous things (because that’s his negotiating style) then oh shit he must be Hitler!

  22. Ed seems concerned that neo-Nazis are some of Trump’s biggest supporters. Is there a citation for that? Maybe I missed it but where was the outrage by Reason when the American Communist Party supported Obama? Both groups are truly awful but there seems be a double standard when it comes to Trump. It’s as if it’s OK for a politician to say nice things while doing the opposite but if he says outrageous things (because that’s his negotiating style) then oh shit he must be Hitler!

    1. Damn squirrels!!

      1. Probably Neo-Nazis too!

    2. Yeah, I stopped reading there. WTF?

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  32. The Manchurian Candidate.

    Trump brags that he has “military experience” because he went to a military high school, The New York Military Academy, which apparently never taught him about the Geneva Convention.

    The New York Military Academy went bankrupt in 2015 and was sold to a group of Chinese investors.

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