"Disposition Matrix" Sketched Out on How U.S. Decides to Kill Citizens
Pieced together based on what's known about American counter-terror efforts

As noted on Reason 24/7, a federal judge has summarily dismissed FOIA requests by the New York Times and the ACLU for the legal justification used by the White House to order the killing of U.S. citizens. While officialdom is relatively silent on the workings of America's drone war, the work to piece together how the U.S. might be operating based on what we know it's doing continues. At the Atlantic Daniel Byman and Benjamin Wittes, fellows at the Brookings Institution, put together a "disposition matrix" of how the U.S. might go about deciding which U.S. citizens it suspects of terrorism it could/should kill.

Byman and Wittes note that in fact "the domestic criminal justice system is actually one of the workhorses of American counterterrorism" and so arrest, indictment and prosecution is the most common path along the flow chart (#2 if the target is in the United States). The next terminal point, "prosecution or detention by allied forces" might be better known as rendition. One U.S. citizen sued in 2009 after being captured in Kenya two years earlier. The 2011 National Defense Authorization Act (NDAA) made it easier for the government to rendition U.S. citizens.
The most serious terminal point, "target with lethal force" (#13), has only been reached once, that we know of, by the White House, when Anwar al-Awlaki was targeted in a drone strike in Yemen. Al-Awlaki was alleged by the U.S. government to have been an "operational leader" of Al-Qaeda, and Eric Holder insisted afterward that the U.S. can kill citizens when they present an "imminent threat," though what imminent threat al-Awlaki might have posed has never been revealed. Of note, also, is the death of his teenage son, a U.S. citizen as well, in another air strike two weeks later. At first the government insisted al-Awlaki's son was a 21-year-old Al-Qaeda fighter, but the Washington Post later printed his birth certificate. Robert Gibbs, working for the Obama campaign, suggested the teenager ought to have had "a far more responsible father." There are no indications that the teen was an operational leader or an imminent threat. As for the elder al-Awlaki, he had never been indicted for any terrorism-related charges by the U.S., and the most prominent terrorist act he's been associated with in the press was the shooting at Fort Hood, which the U.S. government does not classify as a terrorist attack but an incident of workplace violence (Major Nidal Hasan is currently on trial in military court for the shooting spree).
The New York Times detailed some of the inner workings of the White House's drone war last year.
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16. GET ME JACK BAUER.
He'll be here within the hour.
Looks like due process to me.
Due process: "A fundamental, constitutional guarantee that all legal proceedings will be fair and that one will be given notice of the proceedings and an opportunity to be heard before the government acts to take away one's life, liberty, or property. Also, a constitutional guarantee that a law shall not be unreasonable, arbitrary, or capricious."
Drone process: An arbitrary and capricious guarantee that the president can kill you, provided that you qualify for death under a secret, totally unreviewable disposition matrix.
I don't understand the difference. What are you trying to say here?
Let me launch the drone of explanation your way.
Do the Due!
Dude process: "I can get away with looking at her tits until her eyes move towards mine."
Dune process: the gom jabbar.
Oh, good one. The doc will prescribe any drug you want as a reward.
11. Is the suspect an operational leader?
You mean like that 16-year-old kid that we killed, you know, the one the evil-bloated Robert Gibbs mocked?
You know, he looked brownish and was wearing a towel on his head. How much evidence do you lily-livered-liberals NEED?
The towel doesn't mean a thing! I just washed my hair after getting back from Koran and a Tan! Oops. (Blammo!)
Members of '80s new wave band the Go-Gos targeted after first album cover mistaken for a satellite image from Yemen.
You're a towel!
Wait, does this mean Towelie is in danger of being drone striked?!?
Didn't the military already try to take out Towelie?
...has only been reached once, that we know of, by the White House, when Anwar al-Awlaki was targeted in a drone strike in Yemen.
Two mitigating factors: First, it was a drone strike, and what happens in a drone kill zone stays in a drone kill zone. Second, he has an un-American sounding name. Third, "that we know of" means that al-Awlaki's targeting could have been one of a number of similar and routine scenarios and this is nothing new, or maybe there's a secret amendment to the Constitution that allows for all of this, in which case we're all getting worked up for nothing.
Obama's disposition matrix:
1. Did Bush do it? -- Yes -- 2. Do it.
Actually, that's not quite right.
1. Did Bush do it or was it physically possible for Bush to have done it even if he didn't do it? Yes?
2. Do it.
Actually, that's not quite right either.
1. Did Bush do it or was it physically possible for Bush to have done it even if he didn't do it or does it seem like something Bush or the Bush caricature would do in a third term in office? Yes?
2. Do it.
We're all wrong:
1. Do it.
King Louis XVI: Come on, you do it. You love to do it. We all do it. You do it.
Mademoiselle Rimbaud: No, I don't!
King Louis XVI: I do it, I love to do it. I just did it and I'm ready to do it again, don't tell me you don't do it!
What's the matrix for how we decide to drone-kill random people who AREN'T citizens?
Seems like...
Is it Tuesday?
Yes: Kill 'em all, let God sort 'em out.
No: Target children, and hope that we get a few terrorists.
They're all future terrorists anyway, so it's no real loss.
Brownish?
Wearing towel-like headwear?
Terrorist! Or future terrorist. Whatever. Fuck you.
They aren't American... therefore future terrorist. And if they are America... if they are brownish/ muslim /distrustful-of-government /hold-views-opposing-the-party-in-control... then they are an imminent threat and must eliminated.
Shorter version: Whatever. Fuck you. (See South Park's Asperger's/Matrix episode.)
Why does this chart seem incredibly, wildly optimistic to me?
Here's the actual disposition matrix: Launch drones and deem whoever is killed by them to be terrorists.
"They're actually terrorist-seeking missiles"
because not every arrow goes directly to box 13.
And there's no step which includes lying and ass-covering. No, this is a very incomplete chart.
Yes, that's a curious omission. There's also nothing about killing to look tough on, well, something. Because killing unarmed people is really fucking tough.
Not tough, but it was a Gutsy Call?.
That's where dupe process comes in.
So you're saying I'm too stupid to understand it?
No, that's crude process.
No, they're just figuring a lot of people are.
Rube process is the term you're looking for.
Substantive dupe process?
Are you saying I'm too stupid to understand it?
Substantive due process is a doctrine invented by the Supreme Court to maneuver around racist precedent.
Substantive dupe process is...
Just leave him hanging. We don't need him sobbing all over the thread.
Tell me!!!
Stop using the glib process, nicole.
Because it's at least as full of horseshit as the FedGov's defense of the agents who murdered a few of Randy Weaver's family for no reason (for example)?
Because if you believe anything the FedGov tells you about why it shoots a few people for the fuck of it, you're a fool?
Lots of reasons.
His wife was holding a weapon of mass destruction (ie a baby). They had to take her down!
Clearly, the baby was a future terrorist.
well, environuts do think babies are weapons of mass destruction on the environment.... CARBON FOOTPRINTZ!!!11!!!one!
The Weavers' cabin was located on potential grizzly bear habitat, after all.
well, it easier than using eminent domain. Much faster too. Don't have to waste time at court. Quick, clean, and nobody will give a shit in 6 months.
That was the EPA's position in Sacket vs. EPA, too.
Two problems. I don't see how al-Awlaki was an imminent threat. And I also don't see how Yemen was an "unreliable government". We work with them all of the time. What reason was there to think they wouldn't have nabbed al-Awlaki if we had asked?
Duh, he was encouraging workplace violence. We can't have that.
al-Awaki was a revenge killing, period.
The other choice would be that al-Alwaki was killed to prevent damaging information regarding Ft Hood from being leaked to the press.
that's probably the biggest reason of all to assassinate someone... to keep damaging information from getting out.
Damaging, or just counter to the preferred narrative?
("Damaging" is not quite as scary, actually...)
There is a difference to the current adminstration?
Good point.
"Damaging" to the Clintons was actually something personally embarrassing. Their disposition matrix looked a bit different, but included the possibility that the target would not be killed, but rather commit suicide. Say, by shooting himself in the head 9 times.
To Obama, "damaging" is simply anything that challenges the narrative decided on.
No one got hurt that didn't know the nature of the game they were playing.
Little Rock, damn. Who knew? So much like Chicago but at least you can get decent hush puppies and BBQ.
This is the likely case. al-Alwaki wasn't shit in a hat box in the command line no matter how much the media tries to puff him up. However, he did meet people who were. Grabbing him could have given valuable intel.
Or, embarrassed people who are compromised. Like Eric Holder.
Incidentally, if you follow the matrix using the name "Eric Holder", you also end up at #13.
Based on his student activities, it is quite logically applied.
Hey, you can't make an omelet with due process.
A disposition matrix is way more cool sounding than a silly old constitution anyway.
Maybe that's the problem with limited government--bad branding.
"FOIA requests by the New York Times and the ACLU for the legal justification used by the White House to order the killing of U.S. citizens."
Wait a minute. Didnt the NYT recently print an Editorial advocating that we ditch the constitution? Now they want legal justification? Heh.
As for the complex chart above if such a thing exists it is just for show. The targeting of the younger al-Awlaki two weeks after the father seems to indicate the decision making process is purely political and vindictive.
he was going to one day seek revenge on the land that killed his father. So we had to take preemptive action. You should have seen enough movies to know what would happen!
"I am not going to spend the rest of my life looking over my shoulder!"
If the suspect is female, do they use a different flowchart?
that one has enough red to cover it... right? Or is more red needed?
I would imagine they have a heavy flowchart for some women, and a light flowchart for others.
what about the no flows?
Epi doesn't even realize that he's going to need the heavy flowcharts and light flowcharts for the same women on different days.
This is why we need Top. Men.
And there will always be more Top. Men. needed. Jobs programs!
That's covered by the Flash Matrix.
don't flash me.
Menstrual jokes. Have you no shame sir?
With that they earned themselves a Number 7. Want to go for a Number 13? Keep it up.
When people talk about rappers having "good flow," I admit to giggling.
Bloody bastard!
No, then they have to get out the binders.
1. Does the current President want him dead?
2. Kill him.
Sounds like a pretty crazy plan to me dude. Wow.
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