Election 2012

Expectations Favor an Obama Win, Even as Polls Split Evenly

You can't see daylight between Mitt's and Barry's numbers, so what's with the forecasts?


Most Americans expect President Barack Obama to win a second term—including more than a quarter of Republican Mitt Romney's supporters, a new Associated Press-GfK poll shows. Still, the race remains a dead heat less than three months out from Election Day.

Overall, registered voters are about evenly split, with 47 percent saying they plan to back Obama and Vice President Joe Biden and 46 percent favoring Romney and Rep. Paul Ryan of Wisconsin. About one in four voters say they are undecided or could change their minds between now and Nov. 6.