Will Barry Join the Carter-GHWB Club?

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During a pre-interview for a television appearence, the booker asked me if, in light of all of these grim poll numbers, Obama would be elected in in 2012. Impossible to say, of course, and while there are plenty of important differences that weaken the comparison, remember that Bill Clinton did rather well in 1996 after his party was stomped in the 1994 midterms. But two years is a very long time in politics. Now a Reuters/Ipso poll asked likely voters the same question: Will Barack Obama will win reelection in 2010? 

Looking ahead to the 2012 presidential election, 52 percent believe Obama will not win re-election, while 35 percent think he will. The Reuters/Ipsos national survey found that 51 percent disapproved of the way Obama is doing his job, while 45 percent approved.

The Obama administration received the worst ratings for its handling of the economy, taxes and the deficit — all key election issues this year. On the Iraq war and the environment, the administration was seen has having made a positive difference, according to the poll.

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