Pennsylvania: Like Waterloo, but with More Abandoned Steel Mills


Less than 24 hours before Pennsylvanians vote in the last mega-state Democratic primary, the race is frozen: Barack Obama has closed a once 25-point poll deficit to single digits, but he can't get it any closer. SurveyUSA, the most accurate pollster of the season (I think they've only been wrong in Missouri), sees a last minute Obama surge over the weekend, but only enough of one to hold Clinton to a small win. If she doesn't rout, this is basically the end of the game: The next few states are too small (Indiana, Kentucky, West Virginia), and some are too pro-Obama (North Carolina, Oregon, South Dakota, Montana) to erase his lead in the larger contest.

The survey concluded that Clinton will finish with 50 percent, 6 percentage points ahead of Obama. The margin of sampling error is 3.8 percent. Looking only at SurveyUSA numbers and ignoring the polls that have been released by 12 competing pollsters in Pennsylvania, Obama gained ground in a week when he was largely on defense and off-message. Last week, SurveyUSA had Clinton ahead by 14 points. Monday, in a poll conducted using the identical methodology, SurveyUSA found Clinton ahead by 6 points.

All this and Clinton's running out of money. Two months from now, if Clinton cuts bait and leaves the race with the same 100-odd delegate deficit she's had since February, I wonder what we'll say the point of the long primary was. Vetting Obama? Full employment for political journalists? (Read Michelle Cottle on the terrifying death rattles of Team Hillary.) Ad revenue for local TV stations?

Meanwhile, Obama surges ahead in the all-important documentary filmmaker primary with a nod from Michael Moore. He broke his silence after she used "the F word" (Farrakhan) in the ABC debate.

You have devoted your life to good causes and good deeds. And now to throw it all away for an office you can't win unless you smear the black man so much that the superdelegates cry "Uncle (Tom)" and give it all to you. But that can't happen. You cast your die when you voted to start this bloody war. When you did that you were like Moses who lost it for a moment and, because of that, was prohibited from entering the Promised Land.

One thing Obama probably isn't worrying about is this bizarre attack from RedState, attacking Obama endorser Larry Lessig for showing a video of Jesus getting hit by a bus.

You Christians who support Obama, given the growing evidence that the body of his supporters look down on you, is this really the guy you want to support?

The whole election's going to be like this, isn't it? Jesus.