Matt Welch | August 4, 2009
Ideological shape-shifter and presidential benefit-of-the-doubt-giver Andrew Sullivan types the following words consecutively:
[C]ash-for-clunkers is one example of the government actually doing something right, helpful and popular. It's the kind of pragmatic experimentation that FDR tried repeatedly. So you have a practical, targeted measure that seems to have helped abate a deeper recession in the auto industry, and the right is obsessed with the ideological abstraction of "government."
What conservatives have to do, in my view, is not demonize government, but to champion limited government. If government can do tangible practical things that help everyone, while balancing its budget, it's doing what conservatives think it should. Smart, practical initiatives that address problems that the private sector has failed at: what else is government for? The rest is ideology - and it seems to be all the Republicans have left.
I'm nobody's conservative, but I'm pretty sure if I was telling conservatives how to think I wouldn't admonish them for failing to champion limited government within two sentences of praising FDR's pragmatism. It's like, I dunno, lecturing the Labour Party about demonstrating their pro-union bonafides while praising Margaret Thatcher's centrism. Sounds a bit off.
As for the factual claims, did
cash-for-clunkers indeed "help everyone"? Well, no. Let's take my
favorite example: me. The Welch household owns one car, a 1994 Acura
Integra. While clunky, this 15-year-old car does not qualify
for the program, because it gets too many miles per gallon–around
28, allegedly. So our tax dollars are being redistributed to people
who have made less eco-friendly purchases than we have.
One could counter-argue that monocle-wearing magazine editors such as moi are not the intended audience for this bit of alleged FDRism, and while that actually doesn't make any sense (since no one's checking your pay stubs on the showroom floor), let's roll with it anyway. Here's the problem even then: We bought that pup (for the C-4-Cish price of $4,000, about six years ago), back when we were poor. Hell, I'd bet that the majority of households whose lone car is a 1994 anything ain't exactly swimming in the do-rey-mi. What this program does is take money from the stickshift-driving non-rich, and gives it to anyone with an SUV and/or old beater. Who (again, unlike us) is ready to shell out five figures for a shiny new car.
And wait! It gets worse, from that whole social-justice
angle. What about the
estimated 12 percent of Americans aged 15 years and above who
don't drive, period? What about all the adults who live in the 8
percent of households that don't have a vehicle? What about half
the residents of Manhattan, who took transit planners' decades-old
dream to heart and "got out of their cars"? What about those who
are too poor to drive? The answer: All of these people are
subsidizing whoever turns in an SUV or crappy old $800 K-Car like
the one I used to drive. Not only that, but what do you think
happens to the $800 car market when the guvmint is handing out
$4,500 checks to have the things destroyed? I'll go ahead and state
the obvious: It shrinks, making it more expensive for the truly
poor people, the ones who want to make that daring leap from the
bus system to an awful old bucket of rust.
So no, not "everyone" was helped by cash-for-clunkers. Ah, but what about how it's better for the environment, and therefore "everyone"? Tell it to those smokestack apologists at, uh, The New York Times, The New Republic, and The Guardian.
Sullivan is dead right about one thing: Cash-for-clunkers is indeed very "popular." So is the home mortgage interest deduction, the prescription drug benefit, and any number of federal programs that siphon from the diffuse pool of tax revenue+debt and blast out concentrated benefits to the broad middle class. The standard for judging these things shouldn't be popularity–Richard Nixon's wage-and-price control spasm of 1971, to name one of many historical measures now widely and rightly considered asinine, was hugely popular at the time–but whether they make sense in both the short and long term.
Cash-for-clunkers amounts to a rounding error in Tim Geithner's nose-hair at this point, which is probably why at least some liberals seem so genuinely baffled by the disproportionate criticism it has drawn. But for some of us it's also a nearly perfect symbol of economic statism run amok. The federal government is taking from the many, giving it to the less-than-many, destroying functional cars, funneling money to an auto industry that it already largely owns (at a hefty taxpayer price tag), then taking multiple (and multiply premature) bows for rescuing the economy and the auto industry in the process.
I understand, and even appreciate, that not everyone interprets things this way. But what I don't understand, and ultimately don't respect, is the weird urge to react to yet another Obama administration brainfart by rounding up its opponents and putting them in a metaphorical holding pen marked "ideologically obsessed." Particularly after eight years in which the only detectable ideology was taxcut-and-spend, and otherwise do what parties in power always do: look for creative new ways to bribe the middle class.
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You bought a home that was too expensive finance - here's your check. You bought a car that was too expensive to fuel - here's your check. There should be a cabinet level government department that is dedicated to taking money from people didn't fuck up and giving it to those who did. The Department of Fuck Ups.
Man, it has to be tough being Andrew Sullivan, what with the daily cognitive dissonance and all. Somebody should tap Sully on the shoulder and say "Psst. You're a liberal. LI-BER-AL. And it's not spelled c-o-n-s-e-r-v-a-t-i-v-e".
andrew sullivan and anyone who got their nice little car rebate can suck a fart out of my ass. neither my shitbox nor my wife's are elligible for this ponzi scheme - and i'm kind of happy that is so. i can brag to all of you government largesse receiving motherfuckers at the end of my sorry day that i recieved no such hand out. ha.
So you're saying that because government resources can't be distributed in a totally fair and equitable manner, government shouldn't bother? Neat! In that case, I'm looking forward to my fair share of the defense budget.
"Ideological shape-shifter" is a nice way to put it. How about "unprincipled, incoherent, shallow, attention-whoring gasbag"?
K-cars, crap that they are, don't qualify for the program.
They have too high a mileage rating.
Well, one good thing happened today. They're starting to quit
putting everyone who disagrees with what the administration is
doing in the same "conservative, neo-con, republican" box. Damn, I
was getting tired of that.
They are now saying that it's just a bunch of Astro-turf
Republicans and Libertarians.
That's so refreshing.
The c4c is a great example of not only mission creep, but how
tweaking one thing in the economy (government helping produce cars
people don't want) leads to further intervention. It's like
whack-a-mole.
Politicians (especially dems) love to keep themselves busy so they
can feel important. "Honey, I worked so hard this week, so many
hours, trying to fix all these problems" (that I created in the
first place).
God damn it, everyone is getting money except me. I guess I need some cocksucking lessons.
Here's another look at how this program is a clunker. I had an old SUV on which I put about 1000 miles a year. It ran fine, but it was 15 years old and would just die of old age and rust within a few years. I took the Feds $4500 and bought a new SUV. Does it get better gas mileage? Absolutely! However, since I only put on about 1,000 miles a year, the 'advantage' to the environment on the 20 gallons less a year in gas I'm using is more than outweighed by the energy expended in building my new SUV by perhaps 100 fold! I hurt the environment and added to the budget deficit at the same time. But who turns down free money?? The program is nuts.
I know Andrew Sullivan doesn't care, but that Friday morning, as I saw down to eat my breakfast, I checked the headlines on my cellphone, and upon learning that cash for clunkers began that day, I promptly lost my appetite. It took a good 5 minutes of dry heaving before I could get my delicious food back in my mouth. So fuck everyone who voted for cash for clunkers.
Andrew Sullivan is an ignoramus when it comes to basic
economics? Gee, who could have guessed?
-jcr
So what happens when Congress stops allocating money for this
piece of shit legislation? Will cars continue selling at this pace?
Will this actually produce a lasting effect on the economy? Or will
it actually provide a false sense of Hope, that will end up in a
fiery train wreck when auto sales screech to a halt?
You be the judge.
Andrew Sullivan is a moron.
His basic philosophy these days is to suck Obama's cock at every
opportunity.
Nice biting the hand that feeds you, Welch. Remember that
Sullivan drives a lot of traffic to the Reason website by frequent
mentions and links in his immensely popular and mainstream blog.
And you, Welch, are the beneficiary of that because far more people
read your writings because of Sullivan's mentions than would
otherwise.
Sullivan has arguably done more to advance libertarian thought than
all of Reason combined. No, he's not a libertarian, certainly not a
pure one. But with the massive number of libertarian voters, you
don't need outside help, right? Right?
I'm nobody's conservative, but I'm pretty sure if I was telling
conservatives how to think... Well, since you admitted that
you're not, you invalidated the rest of your argument right there.
And then went and told those conservatives how to think. What utter
dishonest rubbish.
"[T]ypes the following words consecutively..." That's one of the
most childish things I've ever read on this website, including from
the commenters.
Tonio just pooped his diaper and it ended up in that post.
How's that for childish?
Andrew Sullivan is a DC hack who douses his frosted flakes with
cognitive dissonance.
He's an ideological trend whore of the worst variety.
Last week, we traded in a gas inhaling 2003 Suburban for a 2009
Jeep Patriot. We didn't take C4C money, because the trade-in value
of our car was $8,000. However, we happily accepted the $3,500 C4C
Match rebate that the Chrysler Corporation was so generously
offering.
This weekend, I saw a commercial from GM. They are now offering a
similar match program. If you want to get rid of an old car that
doesn't qualify for government money and can find a GM or Chrysler
product that you want, they will give you a $3,500 to $4,500
downpayment towards your new car.
Participating in the program this way allows you to hold your head
up because you didn't waste taxpayers' money and still got a great
deal. I call that win-win.
SoFedUp,
How about accepting a rebate from an automotive manufacturer that
didn't accept government largesse? You know, like Ford or anyone
else?
Participating in the program this way allows you to hold your head up because you didn't waste taxpayers' money and still got a great deal.
You're a fucking idiot.
"If government can do tangible practical things that help
everyone, while balancing its budget,"
Those last four words destroy the rest of his argument. Since we're
nowhere near a balanced budget, that means we shouldn't be doing
this, no?
Bingo- No one else is offering the matching rebate. If they were, we would have looked at them as well.
In the meantime, health care reform is really just another mechanism for the rest of us to subsidize the boomer generations's retirement. They have the voting block to do it, and they will. By the time they are all dead, the country will be bankrupt, but ... they'll be dead.
I am not sure why anyone actually bothers reading Sullivan these
days. When he's not talking about himself, he's usually muddling up
the issues and saying rather dumb things.
He is tedious, self-centered, and not particularly
entertaining.
"[T]ypes the following words consecutively..." That's one of
the most childish things I've ever read on this website, including
from the commenters.
Smelling salts for the lady?
SoFedUp, it looks like you benefited from taxpayer dollars. That's OK, everyone does it. Just try not to do it too much.
From the libertarian perspective, Andrew Sullivan has made one unforgivable mistake: he used "right" (in the sense of correct) and "government" in the same sentence. Burn at the stake, you heretic!
The depreciation on cars with more than 80,000 miles is one of
the most beneficial aspects of the market. Price being typically
around 20 sometimes as low as 10 percent of the original purchase.
With vastly improved engine designe from the late 80's on ward you
could expect several years remaining on your typical used car. C4C,
as pointed out by others, decreases the number of older cars
available for sale, and thus is a burden on those who rely on the
used car market.
So, why does Andrew Sullivan hate the poor?
Nice biting the hand that feeds you, Welch. Remember that
Sullivan drives a lot of traffic to the Reason website by frequent
mentions and links in his immensely popular and mainstream blog.
And you, Welch, are the beneficiary of that because far more people
read your writings because of Sullivan's mentions than would
otherwise.
Jeez, Tonio, are you saying that Matt shouldn't write that he
disagrees with Sullivan because Sullivan might drive some traffic
his way? That's pretty fucked up. If Matt decides to write even if
(and I'm not sure if I agree with you about this) it costs him some
page hits, that speaks to his integrity*.
* I am in no way implying that you actually have any integrity,
Matt.
Ok, the "matching" C4C that Chevy and Dodge and I think Ford are doing is bullshit. All American car manufacturers offer huge rebates for some reason, instead of having somewhat accurate pricing like most of the foreign makes. The big 3 are just renaming their regular rebates as "C4C matching". It's stupid.
Welch. Remember that Sullivan drives a lot of traffic to the
Reason website by frequent mentions and links in his immensely
popular and mainstream blog,
If I were reason, I wouldn't want traffic from
AIDS boy for the very reason he writes stupid shit that Welch
called him out on.
What about half the residents of Manhattan, who took transit planners' decades-old dream to heart and "got out of their cars"?
I appreciate your point, despite the predictable smarm with which
it was delivered. We New Yorkers who don't drive choose
so, inconceivable as the idea may seem, not because transit
planners "told us" to, but because owning a car in NYC is
counterproductive (and a major pain in the ass for all but the
super-rich). Carry on.
To support Rhywun's point, I used to rent in Manhattan. I didn't need a car unless I was going to Connecticut, Maine, or Jersey, so I sold my cars, stopped paying to garage them, and rented when I needed to go anywhere. Much cheaper, and you always have a new car, no maintenance, no insurance, and no garaging. Worked well.
I rent my living quarters and take public transit, so I suppose I deserve to get fucked in every orifice per Obama administration policy.
So I am suppose to support a program that not only gives away my
tax dollars to others but also manages to turn an item which was
worth up to $4,500 into scrap worth maybe a $100 all in the name
that we are all better off. As far as I can see turning large
numbers of items that were worth $4,500 into something worth $100
is making the country poorer.
It does help out the politically connected, the auto industry and
especially the banking industry who manage to get people to get rid
of their paid off cars and go into debt to buy new cars
Sullivan has arguably done more to advance libertarian
thought than all of Reason combined.
What Tonio said libtards!
I couldn't kill my 1984 K-car. I tried all throughout
college...running it without oil, never fixing the brakes, letting
the tie rods fall to crap. Nothing could stop that thing. It was a
tank.
As for Andrew 'Powerglutes' Sullivan, he so wants to have Barack
Obama's baby that he's sold out any limited-government credibility
he once had. He's a liberal Democrat partisan who makes the
occasional libertarian/conservative noise to give him cover with
the rubes. Thanks but no thanks.
"So you have a practical, targeted measure that seems to have
helped abate a deeper recession in the auto industry, and the right
is obsessed with the ideological abstraction of "government."
Cash for Clunkers is a program based entirely on the Broken Windows
Fallacy of economics. Instead of sending people out to break
windows in order to drum up business for the glazing industry, you
are paying people to break their own windows. Of course it's
popular, giving people "free" money is rarely unpopular, but
popular is not a synonym for good economic policy.
I like Andrew Sullivan's definition of conservative: anyone who
agrees with Andrew Sullivan.
It's not accurate, but it's easy to remember.
Well, no. Let's take my favorite example: me.
Didn't qualify for the government cheese, huh? Neither
did I. My 92 Buick Regal wasn't on the list. Now I know, if given
the choice between subsidizing corporations and subsidizing
individuals, Libertarians would choose "None of the Above". But I
think if government is dead set on spending our
tax dollars, there seems to be a hell of a lot more bang for the
buck with c4c than TARP and Stimulus combined.
Personally, I think it's great that government actually did
something to help small businesses, even if it wasn't intended to.
And even if it is limited to car dealerships. It pisses me off to
no end when I hear, mostly Republicans, talk about "helping small
businesses" and do nothing. I heard a sound bite from some southern
Republican saying something like - "well it doesn't help our
chicken farmers, does that mean we need a cash for cluckers
program?" Well, that's productive.
And if it helps the manufacturers, well...
Ford's July sales release shows a 2 percent sales increase from the year ago -- the first month without a decline since November 2007. The automaker gives direct credit to the government's trade-in program, which has proved so popular that it has almost plowed through its original $1 billion in its first few days. The program's goal of getting Americans into more fuel-efficient vehicles also seemed to work: Ford also saw a 323 percent increase in hybrid sales.
How about "unprincipled, incoherent, shallow,
attention-whoring gasbag"?
Sully sold his soul to Obama over torture/infinite detention, and
has no choice but to double down now that Obama's lies on that are
obvious.
If Sarah Palin (and I'm NOT a fan of hers) had predicted Obama
would be doing things like this and nationalizing GM during the
campaign, Sully wouldn't have defended them on the merits; he would
have accused her of slandering a "pragmatic liberal" with wild
accusations of socialist plans.
If you loath this boondoggle, wait till health care "reform" gets under way. The cash for clunkers idea will continue unabated, except now the "clunkers" will be actual human beings whose worth will be measured by bureaucrats. Want to trade in your grandmother for a shiny new Chinese orphan? Think of the money you'll save if Granny just "goes away."
Its been pointed out elsewhere (another Reason comment thread) that nobody has been or will be hired because of this program, because everyone knows its temporary.
because everyone knows its temporary.
Good. It should be temporary. But if it helps keep some
of these dealerships open and paying their bills, for now, then
that's a good thing. Even if they don't hire anybody. That's what
most small businesses are trying to do right now. Stay open and pay
bills. And let me tell you, it ain't fucking easy.
But if it helps keep some of these dealerships open and
paying their bills, for now, then that's a good thing.
What other businesses are closing for lack of business, because
people are spending their money on subsidized cars instead of
something else, like appliances or something?
So you're saying that because government resources can't be
distributed in a totally fair and equitable manner, government
shouldn't bother? Neat! In that case, I'm looking forward to my
fair share of the defense budget.
You already get your fair share of the defense budget.
Unless you can send me a link to a video of a Visigoth raping your
spouse, killing your kids and burning down your house, you have
been Defended. And you've been defended just as much as any other
citizen. Hence the term "defense budget".
And we can tell all we need about Tonio from the fact that he
thinks it's "childish" to point out internal inconsistencies and
contradictions in Sullivan's work. That's called "rational
analysis", Tonio. It's nice to know you consider that childish.
Andrew Sullivan is the bootlicking toady version of the Grand Galactic Inquisitor. IGNORE HIM
"Unless you can send me a link to a video of a Visigoth
raping your spouse, killing your kids and burning down your
house"
Send me that link too.
What other businesses are closing for lack of business,
because people are spending their money on subsidized cars instead
of something else, like appliances or something?
Are you suggesting expanding the cash-for-X program? I'm not the
jealous type. I think it's pretty obvious, the only reason people
are spending money is because of the program. And besides, it is a
limited program. But who knows, maybe the program will stimulate
others (who don't qualify) into spending on other things. It's a
stretch, but people are unpredictable. If someone sees their
neihgbor come home with a shiny new car, maybe they'll think it's
now OK to go out and buy that new washer and dryer.
Unless you can send me a link to a video of a Visigoth
raping your spouse, killing your kids and burning down your house,
you have been Defended. And you've been defended just as much as
any other citizen. Hence the term "defense budget".
Because you are one of the 300 million people "created or saved" by
the defense budget. :-)
Are you suggesting expanding the cash-for-X
program?
No, I'm suggesting you're ignoring the costs of cash-for-X and only
focusing on the benefits to a limited few.
Used car dealers occupy the pantheon of integrity cf to Sullivan, bho, and his likes.
What's your perspective on the used car dealers?
They are a bunch of crooks :)
I actually heard a commercial for one of the dealerships saying
that pre-owned cars qualify. That might just be a
"bait-and-switch".
But I see what you are saying. Instead of buying a used car people
are buying new cars. But there aren't many used car dealerships
around my way anymore, and haven't been for a while. Not since
dealerships started selling pre-owned cars.
No, I'm suggesting you're ignoring the costs of cash-for-X
and only focusing on the benefits to a limited few.
I know, I was kidding.
And the costs are pocket change compared to TARP and Stimulus. But I do think it is interesting how this program turned out. I think it surprised a lot of people.
I think it surprised a lot of people.
If Obama was truly surprised that, when offered a wad of cash, a
bunch of people took it, he has shown himself too economically
incompetent to be President.
Lets have the government spend tax dollars to artificially inflate the price of used cars and car parts. What is not conservative and small government about that? Sullivan is even more pathetic now than he was when he was obsessing over Palin's OBGYN records.
John, I challenge you to name a more contemptible writer
than Sullivan.
John Cole?
If Obama was truly surprised that, when offered a wad of
cash, a bunch of people took it, he has shown himself too
economically incompetent to be President.
I don't think it's so much that people took it, it was
the number of people that took it and how quickly, under the
current economic conditions. I'm sure if they had anticipated this
amount of turn out, they would have allocated more money from the
beginning. The incompetency, is thinking that giving $30 or so
billion to BoA would stimulate them to make loans.
John, I challenge you to name a more contemptible writer
than Sullivan.
Ezra Klein?
I think it's pretty obvious, the only reason people are spending money is because of the program.
No. Some people would have bought a new car anyway, and are just
getting free government money for what they'd do regardless. (And
the dealers get a portion of the money, too, like any program,
thanks to incidence calculations.)
Some people maybe would've bought a car next year, but sped up
their purchases to participate in the program. That's "stimulus,"
but it's not necessarily sustainable. Some people possibly would
have bought a car earlier, but delayed their purchases until the
program hit-- and are now delaying until it's reauthorized or not.
That's anti-stimulus.
You have to measure the marginal effect of the program by comparing
cars bought with the program to cars without the program. Estimates
by Edmunds.com and others suggest that the government is spending
about $20,000 per marginal sale.
That doesn't get into the issue of whether the energy cost of
destroying cars before their time and making new ones is worth the
increase in fuel economy.
Rod McKuen?
Seriously, things'll get much more interesting when "Clunkers for
Cash" kicks in.
I'm sure if they had anticipated this amount of turn out, they would have allocated more money from the beginning. The incompetency, is thinking that giving $30 or so billion to BoA would stimulate them to make loans.
It's the same kind of thinking, Tricky. See some
industry analysis here.
For every extra car sold by this program, about 4-5 cars are sold
to people who would have bought a car now (or shortly before or
after) anyway.
Giving money to people, the vast majority of which goes to
subsidizing what they would have done anyway, is no different from
the mortgage interest deduction or giving money to BoA.
You wouldn't call giving $30 billion to BoA and having them make an
extra $6 billion in loans a success, would you? Then why do you
call Cash For Clunkers a success when only one-fifth of the money
is actually stimulating new car sales as opposed to subsidizing
sales that would have happened now anyway?
Welch is right in pointing out what a tard Sullivan is, but AIDS comments? Easy now, guys.
Thacker is exactly right. People are just buying cars now versus
next year or the year after. If you planned to keep the car
forever, you wouldn't participate in the program. They only people
who did were people who planned to trade in and buy a new one
anyone. At most, the program just got people to buy cars sooner
rather than later. In the end, the positive effects of people
buying cars will be equal to the negative effect of them not buying
cars later.
Worse still, we are destroying assets. Cars in working condition
are assets. We now have fewer working cars and fewer assets because
of this. We are overall poorer. This program is the broken windows
fallacy in action. People like Sullivan and BO's supporters are too
dumb to see that.
This program doesn't even help from an environmental prospective. Let's say have an old car that gets lousy gas mileage and then trade it in on a new one that gets good mileage. The new car will make travel cheaper and less worrisome since I won't have to worry about it breaking down. This is going to make me more likely to drive and travel than I would have otherwise. I am more likely to take the new job with the longer commute. I am more likely to take that Labor day four hour drive to the beach because I now have a reliable care that gets good gas millage that I am paying for anyway. Even from a carbon perspective, we were probably better off with me owning an old car I didn't trust that got lousy mileage.
'Cash for Clunkers,' By the Numbers
http://wheels.blogs.nytimes.com/2009/08/04/cash-for-clunkers-by-the-numbers/
...But there is more to the numbers than the headlines. According
to a survey of car dealerships and 2,200 consumers by CNW Research,
the average fuel economy of vehicles traded in last week was 16.3
miles per than the 18 m.p.g. needed to qualify for a government
rebate of $3,500.
The relatively small differential suggests that consumers have not
been turning in the oldest, dirtiest and least fuel-efficient cars,
but instead have been getting rid of their second and third cars,
according to Art Spinella, who ran the survey....
...He added that the average annual income of those who bought cars
with their rebates was $57,700, just under the $61,000 for all new
car buyers these days. That suggests that consumers with the lowest
incomes who, in theory, need the rebates most, are not benefiting
from the program.
One of the problems, Mr. Spinella said, is that even a $4,500
rebate may not be enough to persuade consumers to turn in their
cars, particularly if they are unable to borrow from cautious auto
dealers.
"Some of the folks who drive a beater all the time are unlikely to
get a new car loan," he said. "That's one of the problems with the
program."
"Some of the folks who drive a beater all the time are unlikely
to get a new car loan," he said. "That's one of the problems with
the program."
So basically it is cash for yuppies to replace their second car. IF
you are poor, you will keep your old car and avoid the car
payment.
That doesn't get into the issue of whether the energy cost
of destroying cars before their time and making new ones is worth
the increase in fuel economy.
I'd like to know how many clunkers are actually being
crushed, how many are being stripped for parts and scrap, and how
many are being re-sold.
But personally, I can tell you, there are very few people spending
any money on anything right now. Especially when it comes to small
businesses. I've talked to people who have been in business for
over 40 years, and say they have never seen it this bad. A
residential builder I know, who has been building for over 40
years, an is a real estate broker, that has a "God like" reputation
can't get financing to build a few shitty townhouses, something
that's actually moving in this market. It makes no sense to me.
Here we have a guy ready to put people to work, put his own
reputation and finances on the line, and the banks say no. WTF is
going on? If the private sector won't help put people to work then
maybe the government needs to step in. Fuck it. I'm getting sick
and tired of this shit. You can analyze it all you want, but at the
end of the day the question that remains is - are the bills getting
paid? And in my case, the answer is barely. Much more of this and
the answer will be no. And if this little bit of "stimulus" helps a
few dealers stay open and pay their bills, then good for them and
good for their creditors and employees. That's all we are trying to
do, is stay alive. And if the government wants to give me a handout
right now, I'll take it. Tomorrow, well, that's a different story.
I've never asked anybody for anything, except for a vehicle loan on
a commercial vehicle and now my business is clinging to life. And
so are many, many others. It sickens me to hear people "say small
businesses are the backbone of this county." But when it comes down
to it, they really mean "tough fucking shit."
http://opiniojuris.org/2009/08/04/the-wto-subsidies-rules-and-cash-for-clunkers/
... According to press reports, more than 70% of the clunkers that
were traded-in were domestic. Moreover, as reported here, consumers
are showing a preference for imported cars when they purchase under
the program, with Toyota (17%) and Honda (14%) leading the way. The
top ten sellers under the program are Ford Focus, Honda Civic,
Toyota Corolla, Toyota Prius, Ford Escape, Toyota Camry, Dodge
Caliber, Hyundai Elantra, Honda Fit, and Chevy Cobalt. In other
words, six of the top ten sellers are foreign cars (although the
Camry is built at home and abroad).
Cash for Clunkers is one of the few government subsidy programs
that I am aware of that clearly has the de facto effect of
promoting imported over domestic goods...
what do you think happens to the $800 car market when the
guvmint is handing out $4,500 checks to have the things destroyed?
I'll go ahead and state the obvious: It shrinks, making it more
expensive for the truly poor people, the ones who want to make that
daring leap from the bus system to an awful old bucket of
rust.
As I pointed out on another thread, it's easy to predict how the
gubmint will address this problem: a big push for "affordable
transportation," involving no-money-down loans, adjustable interest
rates, anything necessary to enable poor people to get into those
$15,000 cars. Then, when the beneficiaries start defaulting on
their car loans, there will be a lot of tut-tutting about, and
government programs to address, the "repossession crisis."
If government can do tangible practical things that help
everyone, while balancing its budget, it's doing what conservatives
think it should.
Jesus- not even Megan McArdle would write something that
stupid.
Unless you can send me a link to a video of a Visigoth
raping your spouse, killing your kids and burning down your
house
I would, but he stole my video camera before he left.
anything necessary to enable poor people to get into those
$15,000 cars.
Hmmmm..... union autoworkers vs. environmentalist lovers of public
transportation. Explain how all this is justified by "the _common_
good" again?
I'd like to know how many clunkers are actually being crushed, how many are being stripped for parts and scrap, and how many are being re-sold.
So, Tricky, you're saying that you consider it a benefit if the
program is not acting according to the law?
And if the government wants to give me a handout right now, I'll take it. Tomorrow, well, that's a different story.
Tomorrow, you're always a day away!
Tricky, you're only convincing me more and more that this is
exactly the type of logic that leads to bank bailouts, mortgage
deductions, agricultural subsidies, and all sorts of other
government programs that become addictive once implemented. I
appreciate that you want your bailout like other people. But Cash
For Clunkers isn't any different than bailing out the banks. Now
you say it's about helping dealers stay open-- just like giving
money to the banks was about helping them stay open.
I'm much too lazy to work through the numbers, but last night I
started wondering if I could trade off my pickup truck for
something (like a Honda Fit) I could re-sell at a profit.
And then buy another, even older, four wheel drive truck.
No one is being hired because of C4C, because it's temporary. You know, much like income tax withholding and a bunch of your other favorite government programs.
Tricky,
The problem is that refusal to allow liquidation to take place only
prolongs the agony.
If some small businesses fail, their remaining customers will go to
other businesses - allowing those businesses to survive.
If some small businesses fail, their assets will be liquidated,
allowing others to employ them to start new, healthier businesses
without the overhang of accumulated debts and legacy costs.
The refusal to allow any business to fail just keeps the
marketplace cluttered by barely-viable zombie businesses.
Bankruptcy and liquidation on a broad scale gives the system as a
whole a fresh start.
Refusing to allow liquidation to occur is also an extraordinarily
regressive policy, since it favors the current owners of failing
assets and creditors [i.e. the upper middle class and the wealthy,
for the most part] over people who don't currently own highly
leveraged assets but who would acquire them and use them
productively if they were cheap enough.
Tricky Pickears about 5 posts back is the only one here who
seems to get what Sully was trying to say. The fuel efficiency
aspect is kind of a scam, the carbon offset by the few cars traded
in here is less than even a drop in the bucket. It just made it
more palateble, plus why not make a requirement to be more fuel
efficient. Each dollar saved is something like $0.70 that doesn't
leave this country to go to some petro dictator like Chavez or the
Saudi's.
The main ponit was to stimulate auto sales and clear out inventory
so that the car manufactures will hire some people (or more likely
not fire more people) to replenish the stock. It is a trade off of
future debt for immediate stimulus. That is exactly what happened.
It was an incredibly successful program. Going forward, I agree
with those who want to stop it. Car inventories are WAY down. The
program worked.
I think what Sully is trying to say is that instead of blindly
following ideology on every issue, take a step back and realize
that sometimes the government gets it right and that is what the
voters want, not no government, but good government...limitted, but
well run.
The main ponit was to stimulate auto sales and clear out
inventory so that the car manufactures will hire some people (or
more likely not fire more people) to replenish the
stock.
Why? Every car bought now is a reduction in future demand, isn't
it?
Car inventories are WAY down. The program worked.
A govt program that explicitly demands cars be destroyed reduces
the number of cars in existence. Color me shocked.....
Don, we all "get" what he was trying to say. However, you, and he, are both wrong. We "get" it, we just don't want it.
The main ponit was to stimulate auto sales and clear out inventory so that the car manufactures will hire some people (or more likely not fire more people) to replenish the stock.
Don N.: Nope. If that were the case, then why would the government
provide exactly enough money to subsidize
normal auto sales (of the qualifying type) during
the intended time period of operation?
Don N., you and Tricky don't get it. Most of the money went to
subsidizing purchases that would have been done anyway. It was
not a great success by the metric of stimulating
sales. 80% of the money was wasted, according to most guesses.
sometimes the government gets it right and that is what the
voters want, not no government, but good government...limitted, but
well run.
You slay me.
Every car bought now is a reduction in future demand, isn't it?
Some of it is even worse. As noted by the Edmunds employee in the
WSJ op-ed, about 100,000 people deliberately
delayed their purchases to wait until the program
started. Even by Keynesian measurements, that's
anti-stimulus
and Don, no offense, but anybody who thinks it's a good idea to
increase deficit spending to purchase perfectly-running cars so we
can pour acid in their engine blocks is a lunatic.
Seriously, only government could come up with something this
blatantly wasteful.
I think what Sully is trying to say is that instead of
blindly following ideology on every issue, take a step back and
realize that sometimes the government gets it right and that is
what the voters want, not no government, but good
government...limitted, but well run.
Since the libertarian "ideology" calls for limited, well-run
government (for the millionth time, libertarians are minarchists,
not anarchists), your point (and Sully's) is a giant exercise in
missing the point.
"So you're saying that because government resources can't be
distributed in a totally fair and equitable manner, government
shouldn't bother? Neat! In that case, I'm looking forward to my
fair share of the defense budget."
{Yawn}
How unoriginal.
After you've thought about that crap that you just spewed for a few
days, come back and tell us ALL why it doesn't make any sense,
coming from such a liberal and "fair" dude, like yourself.
Seriously, you simply do not know how to think.
Small businesses aren't failing because of anything they did.
Allowing small businesses to fail under the current economic
situation doesn't help anyone. Normally, I would agree with most of
what is being said. But these are extremely difficult times for
small businesses across the board. And if you would like to come
down my way I'd be happy to take you on a tour to talk to these
people. But my original point was that subsidizing individuals gets
better results than subsidizing corporations. People spend money,
corporations stick it up their asses. Corporations lobby government
officials with large sums of money to gain competitive advantage
over small businesses. And until that changes, we're all in for a
load of shit.
And I don't care if Every car bought now is a reduction in future
demand, we need the money now! Last year I had four guys working
for me. This year I can barely keep myself busy. And even if I did
fold the business, there is nobody hiring in my field. That's what
is happening to small businesses right now. And if the government
needs to spend a little now, so be it. This program is designed
end. And it should, eventually. And all I'm saying is it is
directly helping small businesses in a time of crisis. Forgive me
for not being forward looking when I can barely pay my bills.
Look, I'm just trying to inject some reality into this
conversation. I'm not crying, but unless you've owned a small
business, you can't understand. The government and the Fed created
this mess, they need to fix it. Then, get the fuck out.
And I don't put much weight on the argument that people put off buying new cars until the program went into effect. People aren't that smart or informed.
Thanks for humoring me and my rant. I know you guys don't necessarily like to hear that stuff. But I'm just trying to make a living at something I enjoy doing.
You know Japan's prime minister shows up to unveilings of new
cars from Japanese car companies. Because this country is infected
to the core with the notion that what's best for it is to let the
random interactions of commerce go on without applying concern to
the national interest, or even the interest of individual people,
even a program such as cfc gets attacked as evil socialism. Why is
it intuitive that unfettering corporations from any concern for the
country that provided the conditions necessary for their emergence
and success is the best possible way? This necessitates that any
official national pride--say, in a car company--and any government
action to rescue it from a collapse that wasn't its fault, is evil.
Why can't we realize that our country has specific resources and
industries and that it's within the scope of governments' role to
intervene in ways that boost our economic interests? Letting
corporations use the country as a market while setting up
headquarters in the Caymans may be good for business, but it's not
good for anything else. And it certainly wasn't too much government
interference (that everpresent, abstract thing that is the cause of
all problems) that led us from being the world's industrial center
to being a nation of underpaid waiters with all of our industry
outsourced.
How big does the catastrophe have to be before government
intervention--even in small ways such as cfc--becomes necessary? Or
is the ideology so much more important than people that even if
half the country were starving, angering the free market gods just
isn't worth it?
Tricky sounds like one of Ayn Rand's panicky bureaucrat
characters: "We just have to seize a little control just this
one time. Just until the 'crisis' has passed." If I didn't
know better I'd think his posts were some kind of performance
art.
My dad spent 20 years paying off the mortgage on his motel while
the rest of his competitors in town were borrowing against the
equity to buy motorboats and vacation homes. Now, he's ready to
survive the depression while they all try to keep the plates
spinning in a falling tourism market. The idea that they're
"blameless" and "it's all the Fed's fault" because they couldn't
see that an historically-unprecedented debt party was going to end
in tears is just stupid. At any rate, there's no rule of business
which says you're entitled not to fail because "you didn't see this
coming." What a load of malarkey.
WTF is going on? If the private sector won't help put people
to work then maybe the government needs to step in.
Because the government is so much better at making micro-economic
decisions?
Repeat after me: Business cycles aren't market failures. To this
extent this business down-cycle has been accelerated and
exaggerated by the bursting of various bubbles, then I think you
need to look at what drove those bubbles. I think after you turn
over a few rocks, you will find various government agencies and
policies.
Because this country is infected to the core with the notion
that what's best for it is to let the random interactions of
commerce go on without applying concern to the national
interest
Yes, we Americans are so "infected" with the notion that fascism is
a bad idea. I cannot possibly imagine why.
government action to rescue it from a collapse that wasn't
its fault
BZZZZT!
Shut the fuck up, Tony.
And it certainly wasn't too much government interference
(that everpresent, abstract thing that is the cause of all
problems) that led us from being the world's industrial center to
being a nation of underpaid waiters with all of our industry
outsourced.
-The Federal Reserve System, constant inflation, and a debt-backed
dollar
-Fannie Mae & Freddie Mac
-Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation
-Social Security (don't save for your retirement, let the
government handle it!)
-Endless deficit spending and Keynesian "stimulus"
-"Bailouts" handing money from the middle class to well-connected
corporate interests
-Regulating the crap out of real business and manufacturing so
thoroughly that the only way to make a lot of money is to speculate
in asset markets
Stop fucking lying, Tony.
Hell, you can add personal and corporate income taxes to that list, since the average American family now pays more in taxes than they do for clothing, shelter, and medical care combined. No wonder they wound up getting chased into borrowing and speculation to try and maintain a middle class lifestyle.
That's great. Good for him. My developer friend, who has been in
business for 40 years doesn't need to build. He's 80 years old. But
due to a sense of civic responsibility, for the most part, wants to
develop some land and put people to work. But he can't get
financing. You want to play the blame game fine. There's shitload
of it to go around. I didn't borrow any money. I put most of my
profits into equipment. And yes, it is the Fed's fault for keeping
interest rates so low, for so long. If you can't understand that,
then you need to take a trip to Austria. This depression is
bullshit. And no one should have to prepare for something like
this. You are the one being ridiculous. I don't want anything for
myself. I just want the fucking work. Give it (handout) to my
potential clients so they can hire me. Then I can hire workers.
Then we can all be happy little clams. Or just give another 2 or 3
trillion to the big 4 banks to shove up their asses.
And I don't know where you are, but around my way local tourism is
doing OK because people can't afford those long get away
vacations.
CFC isn't perfect but you can't argue that it is a failure. It
is in everyone's interest not to have one of our few remaining
domestic industries collapse as a result of the recession.
And whining that you personally don't qualify is to apply the wrong
moral standard. All public distribution schemes reward individuals
in an inequitable way. The point is not to make the individual
program morally pure in this way, but to make it practical, in the
service of a higher standard. It's the same way with social
security and food stamps and everything else. Should I bitch that
I'm not old and so don't get any SS? Or that I'm employed so I
don't get unemployment insurance?
Graphite,
Hang onto your pet theories about what caused the recession but
don't call me a liar for agreeing with what mainstream economists
say are its cause.
Wealth has stagnated for decades for all but a few elites. This is
no accident and it's not the government that did it (except insofar
as government has bowed to the wishes of private corporations).
This recession is on its face an indictment of Reaganomics, and all
you have to throw at me are more Reaganomics talking points.
The government and the Fed created this mess, they need to
fix it. Then, get the fuck out.
You were SO close, Tricky.
Tricky, the Fed "keeping interest rates so low for so long" was
*exactly* the kind of "once off, intervene now and push the
catastrophe off until later" tactic that you're advocating when you
push public deficit spending to funnel money to small businesses.
The Fed was trying to avert a post-equity bubble deflation by
pushing a pantload of credit into the U.S. economy. And hey, it
worked! Maybe not in the long run, and maybe the costs have turned
out to be greater than the benefits, but hey, in the long run we're
all dead anyway, right?
It is not intellectually consistent to criticize the Fed's low
interest rate policy in the 2000s and at the same time support
similar kick-the-can-down-the-road fixes like cash for
clunkers.
You're right Tony, I guess it's just obvious on its face that
none of those interventions I listed actually existed, or had any
distorting effects whatsoever.
All the mainstream economists agree with you though, eh? I guess
that's a nice play on the "50 million chain smokers can't be wrong"
argument. But since "mainstream economics" is a kind of
anti-knowledge I'd rather listen to what any random chain smoker
had to say about the economy anyway.
And by the way, trying to conflate "Reaganomics" and the free market is a nice parlor trick but it won't fly here. Reagan was an enthusiastic deficit spender and bailer outer.
It is cause for despair to reflect on the fact that there are so
many people who think that one path to wealth generation is to
borrow money in order to pay people to destroy productive assets.
You wouldn't get any dumber than this if you were to devote your
entire life to being as stupid as possible.
Hell, why don't we also borrow five grand for each homeowner, in
order to pay them to break every window in their house? Oh, screw
it; let's go for broke. Auction some treasuries to to give a
mortgage pay-off, and a hundred grand, to every homeowner who is
willing to burn down his house! I'm sure a broad interpretation of
the Commerce Clause allows Congress to override all state and local
laws prohibiting arson.
Should I bitch that I'm not old and so don't get any SS? Or
that I'm employed so I don't get unemployment insurance?
Old people and unemployed people were specific, presumed-vulnerable
categories of humans worthy of getting some safety net. The
recipients of this program, on the other hand, are people whose
distinguishing characteristic from me is that they owned a car
(perhaps a second or third car) that gets worse gas mileage than
mine.
"Sullivan has arguably done more to advance libertarian
thought than all of Reason combined."
In no meaningful sense is Sullivan a libertarian (i.e. someone who
wants a great deal less state) or a conservative (i.e. someone who
wants less state when the Republicans are in opposition but not
when they are in power). And a libertarian does not "favour gay
marriage", they favour no state role in marriage.
I rent my living quarters and take public transit, so I
suppose I deserve to get fucked in every orifice per Obama
administration policy.
You already get at least half of your transportation subsidized.
How is getting subsidized the same thing as "getting fucked"? You
are the fuckER, not the fuckEE.
It is in everyone's interest to
not to have one of our few remaining domestic industries collapse as a result of the recession.prevent more productive companies from emerging in one of our few domestic inductries.
Fixed.
I'm just curious as to what will happen when the people buying new cars begin to default on their loans.
The government and the Fed created this mess, they need to
fix it. Then, get the fuck out.
You were SO close, Tricky.
Why is it unreasonable to expect the government to clean up their
mess. OK, maybe their not so good at it. But Jesus Christ throw me
a fucking bone at least, by me dinner first, call me the next day.
Use some anal lube, anything. I'm not that hard to please.
I can't stand this program. I was eyeballing 4 possible cars to
race in the Enduro around here but they got destroyed. Who is going
to sell a junker for 500 bucks when good old Uncle Sam will give
them 4,500 for it? I sure as heck am not buying a new car just to
have it dented to all hell by the second race. Blech...why does
they hate auto racing so much?
Wait till they get the cars running from the last demo derby and
trade those heaps in...what a waste.
OK idiots..... here's how it goes. This is not much different than the school tax we all pay even if we do not have children, the money used from the gas tax to repair roads even if we do not drive.(If you buy gas for a mower then you are contributing). We all contribute something to taxes that is used by some group or another that we do not belong to or benfit from the resources. This is a democracy and sometimes you just to put in faithfully to benefit everyone. Society has become to much of a ME society and it seems as if everyone is out for themselves. People complain of paying the school tax but in reality it helps fund education for those who have kids that will someday be the leaders and members of our society. This indirectly affects you and I and everyone, so this CARS program will in someway indirectly benefit all of us even if we all do not take advantage of the program.
this CARS program will in someway indirectly benefit all of
us even if we all do not take advantage of the program.
*sighs, bangs head on desk*
No, Rick, you slacked-jawed, gibbering, chimp, this is more akin
to paying gas taxes to have non-obsolete, fully functional, roads
and bridges dynamited.
Actually, I apologize to the chimps. They are not known to band
together in a organized effort to throw the bananas in the river.
Nor have they ever been observed developing credit markets with
which to borrow capital to devote to the task.
I remember the good old days when Sullivan made sense. Today he is just a mouth piece for the Obama administration. Makes no sense really. I was totally on his side when he tore Bush to shreads but now that Obama is in office doing virtually the same thing, he praises the man's every move! It's ridiculous! I stopped reading his blog months ago. I couldn't take one more word of him tongue polishing Obama's boots anymore. I'll read an honest blog like this one.
Bribe the people with $4500 and they will buy...
How many of these people were driving these junkers because they
couldn't afford to get a new car?
How many are now saddled with mortgages - oops, I mean car payments
- they cannot afford?
How many dealers and banks jumped at the opportunity to sell a car
in tough economic times and overlooked bad credit?
Now, I am not saying ALL, so don't knot yer knickers... but when
will we see the fallout from this?
All the economic issues aside, I just have a visceral reaction to watching somebody destroy a perfectly good car. What a perfect symbol of this administration: It's not enough to change things, you have to ruin them irrevocably.
andrew sullivan and anyone who got their nice little car
rebate can suck a fart out of my ass.
I'm pretty sure he used to advertise that very service.
What about agriculture? Or education? In comparison to the TARP funds this is a non-issue. They should be building an infrastructure and providing incentives that encourage healthy economy. Instead its a pathetic dog pony show for morons while economy goes down the toilet and our debt goes through the roof.
Would someone PLEASE remind me, during the next boom (if there
is one) to:
Buy a house I cannot afford.
Buy a Hummer or other huge SUV that get's 6 mpg.
Then, we'll just elect the Democrats to power and I'll get my
checks. Shesh! That would have been so easy!
Nooooo... I didn't buy a house at the top of the boom (still
renting) and our only car has 150,000 miles on it, but gets 30
mpg.
I guess I was the sucker. I did things the "right" way.
Good for you for being one of the winner's in life's lottery ster. Now we need to spread your wealth & success around to all the losers who weren't as lucky (read: prudent and far-sighted) as you.
I'm sick of the government taking my hard-earned money to pay for the firefighters who come out to my neighbor's house because he is too stupid to keep the area clear around his heaters!
Matt Welch is right to attack Sullivan on this point, because
cash-for-clunkers is an economically retarded program that only
appears to be a success.
However, he is not right to claim that it shows that the whole of
the GOP or even most conservatives are failing to to be serious
about limiting government
because Andrew Sullivan is not a true conservative or republican,
he is as Matt Welch states, a shape-shifter.
However, there are certainly "conservatives" who are trying to
appease moderates and liberals by endorsing the program (like
Sullivan) and they do strengthen what libertarians and true
conservatives are fighting against: statism.
Seems to me that the best deals on cars will be in about six to eight months when all these people who can no longer afford the car payments that they have recently aquired from c4c are getting them repoed and the banks who loaned the money will once again be in the shitter .Then you go buy one that has already been depreciated . Thanks OMAMMA
You neglect to take into account the amount of money poor people suck out of the system and the miniscule amount of tax revenue they generate. We are already subsidizing them.
At the top, somebody asked for a cabinet-level dept. of eff-ups. We already have one. It combines the three most vivid examples of 'wealth redistribution' from the thrifty to the wasteful-- HEW: Health, Education and Welfare...
I don't want to hear any of this until Reason Foundation renounces its anti-market tax shelter status and starts competing on an even playing field. Until then, all I see is a walking government suckling complaining about subsidies that they don't like as much as the one they're on.
Reading this, it sounds like Matt is against any program that does not benefit every person in the nation equally. That is the most self-centered position that a person can possibly take.
Amen, JK! You have it right! Where's my bailout? I do the right thing by paying off my debt and saving money, and where am I? Paying for other people's benefits and not having any of my own. And thanks to the uneducated tree-huggers in Denver, my husband no longer has a job in Western Colorado. Being American is just awesome these days! *sarcasm*
I'm personally sick of paying for Courtney's husband's unemployment insurance payments. Where are my payments? Damn freeloaders are ruining America.
I for one am pissed that these assholes who spent the last 2
years whining about gas prices and the preceding 4 years bragging
about how their big ugly SUVs were such a smart buy are now getting
further vindicated by my tax dollars. Call it envy if you like. I
still refuse to pay upwards of $25k for a hunk of junk that will
break down repeatedly in the first year I own it, and that's about
the quality level we have in the U.S. car market at this point. Now
people who *don't* care enough about their money or time to either
pay less or invest in a better quality foreign car are being
encouraged with money stolen from the rest of us.
For my part, I'm holding off till the tiny little $5k Chinese cars
hit the U.S. market - legally or otherwise, depending on whether
the auto industry succeeds in passing anti-competitive legislation.
Safety be damned, at that price and for the purposes I intend it,
that's a great deal.
guys whats up with the insane hostility towards andrew? we're all entitled to our opinions, right? this is still america... right?
guys whats up with the insane hostility towards andrew? we're all entitled to our opinions, right? this is still america... right?
How is criticizing people un-American? Have you been listening to
Nancy Pelosi?
I am not behind on my mortgage. In fact I'm prepaying chunks of it. I own 3 cars. All paid for. Two of them are clunkers. The other is well on it's way to being a clunker. I'll be damned if I'm going to go 10k-20k in debt to buy a new car in this economy. So people who are less responsible are getting subsidies while people who are prudent are forced to subsidize the reckless. That sort of incentivizing is a recipe for destroying a society.
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