Nick Gillespie | July 22, 2009
Columnist Ron Hart writes:
While they try to mask it in coded language that's only understood, like a dog whistle, by the likes of James Carville and Wolf Blitzer, the Democrats are all about abortion. It is hard for them to lead with a slogan like "Democrats: We like abortions and it shows," but it is implied. They would also like to tell you that they are selfless in this endeavor since a vast majority of abortions are sought by the undereducated, urban poor—or better said, the future Democratic voter base. On the other side of the irony coin, the GOP hates having to pay taxes for the underclass Democrat base and say they are about freedom, yet they fight pro-choice issues to their detriment.
When it comes to Supreme Court politics, is abortion the be-all and end-all for Democratic nominees? The cover charge that gets you in the door? Does it work the other way in reverse: Do Rep noms need to be pro-life, or at least vague on the topic (at least during the nomination period)?
Demographic info on who gets abortions from Alan Guttmacher Institute here.
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When it comes to Supreme Court politics, is abortion the
be-all and end-all for Democratic nominees?
When the Congress is Democrat this is the case. Otherwise, it does
not seem to be the biggest thing.
Yes, but by supporting abortions for the uneducated, aren't the Democrats preventing the birth of more Democrats?
[Democrats] are selfless in this endeavor since a vast
majority of abortions are sought by...the future Democratic voter
base
The GOP...fight pro-choice issues to their detriment.
Not that they really deserve the title but doesn't that make the
Republicans more about the principle and the Democrats the
expediency?
Yes, but by supporting abortions for the uneducated, aren't
the Democrats preventing the birth of more Democrats?
Yes, they are preventing the birth of more Democrats.
I believe that is part of their motivation for illegal immigration
amnesty.
Also, I am too lazy to look it up now, but I read an article
stating that if abortion had not been legal, Al Gore would have won
the 2000 election (there would have been more democrats in
Florida).
Didn't some Dems including Joe Biden get in trouble a while back for suggesting aborting more black babies? Anybody else remember that?
Actually the statistics I've seen show college graduates as
fleeing the GOP in droves.
http://www.gallup.com/poll/118528/gop-losses-span-nearly-demographic-groups.aspx
In fact the only groups that seem to be attracted to the GOP (as it
exists today) are religious nuts and hillbillies. Not exactly
"educated" in my opinion.
Both sides use abortion for fundraising and little else.
The vague nature of the procedure--legal but with constant nibbling
away around the edges--serves the coffers of both parties far more
than the outragemunition out-right bans and full
legalization/access would give to their respective opposites.
KTC2,
You poll assumes that the 2008 election's trend will continue
forever into the future. Considering Obama's war on the productive,
that is doubtful. YOu could go back to the 80s and mid 90s when
Republicans were winning elections and find the same dire
predictions for the Democrats' future. Trends hold up until they
don't. You can't just project the past into the future.
"In fact the only groups that seem to be attracted to the GOP (as
it exists today) are religious nuts and hillbillies"
What a wonderfully tolerant and open mind you have.
college graduates as fleeing the GOP in droves
But that is a rejection of big-government neo-conservatism, which
Bush/Cheney effectively blackeyed.
Limited-government-ism seems like it's making a comeback on campus,
e.g. Ron Paul.
From THE STRANGE CASE
OF JUSTICE BREYER AND MR. B:
Back when the Court "over-emphasized the importance of
constitutional protections of property," liberals embraced this
[majoritarian] ideology as a weapon against such "over-emphasis."
However, by 1987, liberals feared -- quite rightly, let there be no
doubt -- that this same weapon would endanger many liberties sacred
to the coalition of advocacy groups that by then defined
"liberalism." Think about it: How many feminists would sacrifice
the "importance of constitutional protections" of privacy
to "the Constitution's protection of the citizen's freedom to
participate in government"? How many would oppose those
"constitutional protections" for women that "denied legislators the
ability to resolve social problems" such as overpopulation or
"population contraction" (take your pick)?
In fact the only groups that seem to be attracted to the GOP
(as it exists today) are religious nuts and hillbillies. Not
exactly "educated" in my opinion.
Yes, but apparently "educated" means having absolutely no knowledge
about the incredible failure that government central planning has
been every single place it has ever been tried.
If being "educated" means knowing things that are not true then
count me with the "hillbillies".
Funny how the "educated" can't make reasonable arguments, only
throw the ad hom. Some "education".
"When it comes to Supreme Court politics, is abortion the be-all
and end-all for Democratic nominees?"
They don't call it the party of death for nothing.
They don't call it the party of death for nothing.
How is it death because the fetus isn't alive unless it is
wanted.
"Considering Obama's war on the productive"
But the productive like him because he can pronounce nuclear like
they do.
We Hillbillies have developed a healthy fear of the state. Unfortunately, today's "educated" class have been taught the opposite.
But that is a rejection of big-government neo-conservatism, which Bush/Cheney effectively blackeyed.
Limited-government-ism seems like it's making a comeback on campus, e.g. Ron Paul.
Boy is that
not what the
polls say at all.
The generation in college and in their twenties right now said
that:
In 2008, the nonpartisan National Election Study asked Americans whether "the free market" or "a strong government" would better handle "today's complex economic problems." By a margin of 78 to 22 percent, Millennials opted for "strong government."
The numbers for people over 30 were very different. Other polls say
exactly the same thing; the younger generation that voted
overwhelmingly for Obama is overwhelmingly in favor of big
government, and by a much greater margin than previous generations
when that age.
People in their twenties in general are pro-gay and don't care
about social issues, though several polls have shown them trending
pro-life.
On the other side of the irony coin, the GOP hates having to pay taxes for the underclass Democrat base and say they are about freedom, yet they fight pro-choice issues to their detriment.
It's not really "irony" if he's arguing here that the GOP is
encouraging more poor people to be born. And obviously the freedom
issue is complicated; depending on what one believes about the
status of a the fetus, abortion is about freedom in the same sense
that allowing slavery is.
Abortion has been the leading issue in selecting supreme court
nominees since Roe v. Wade, for both Republicans and Democrats. Roe
v. Wade did and end run around the amendment process to make
abortion a "constitutional right." There were only two ways to
reign in this right: pass an amendment or get more of your guys on
the court. Neither side has the political capital to pass an
amendment.
Republicans tried to stack the deck, and it looked like PP v. Casey
would reverse the decision but Souter, O'connor, and Kennedy didn't
vote as most anticipated. This close call still raised the stakes
for Pro choicers.
Kennedy is the only swing voter left from the PP v Casey court.
Barring a mass die-off of the other justices, Roe's fate is decided
by his replacement. If he's replaced by a pro-lifer, Roe will
likely be overturned. If he's replaced by a pro-choicer, Roe
stands.
When it comes to Supreme Court politics, is abortion the be-all and end-all for Democratic nominees?
There are other sacred Dem cows, e.g. affirmative action, that are
deal breakers. As Mr. Balko pointed out yesterday, if you go by the
questioning that Ms. Sotomayor was given, the rights of the accused
and limits on police powers aren't on the list.
The long term trend is toward more and more independents as both
major parties lose those groups loyal to them.
I would also note that the more education a person has, the more
(on average) they look like a libertarian (though they may not be
libertarians).
John Thacker,
One election does not make a trend.
But the productive like him because he can pronounce nuclear like they do.
I'm still trying to understand why "nukular" is funny when George
Bush says it but isn't when Jimmy Carter does.
One could be the most perfect Democrat candidate or elected
official, but if they are not for abortion, they are very, very
limited on what they can do or what they can rise to in the
party.
As for SCOTUS nominees, a Democrat who happened to be a pro-life
candidate would never make it to committee.
The other side of the aisle requires defining between
conservatives, and Republicans.
To conservatives, pro-life is a must because to them - right or
wrong - it's a life or death situation. They believe that abortion
is the taking of an innocent life so it stands to reason that
they're going to be more than adamant on the issue.
Ironically their main GOP candidates are agnostic on the matter.
They're still the main candidates for the party, but because of
their stance on abortion (or rather their lack of a strong or
reliable stance) they're not strong enough to pull the party
together and thus we have the present day GOP.
I would just note that Sen. Harry Reid (still Senate Majority Leader) is pro-life: http://www.salon.com/opinion/greenwald/2007/12/20/reid_paul/
Sure, but it is for Republicans, too.
The whole "originalist" movement is based on the desire to overturn
Roe v. Wade. The argument that the constitution says nothing about
abortion (never mind the 9th Amendment, which conservatives agree
is null and void) coupled with the notion that the Framers were all
Christian zealots forming a more perfect Christian Nation Under
Christ for the Blood of Christ in Christ Praise Be Jesus Christ
(which is inconsistent with the express words of the framers who
pretty much universally despised religion, particularly
Christianity), and thus would never intend a right to
abortion.
This reasoning is behind the entire "originalist" doctrine. And
"activist judge" is a term, while meaningless, that at the very
least is used to describe a judge who rules in favor of the right
to abortion. Since, you know, the word abortion doesn't appear in
the wording of the Constitution and the framers were all
Evangelical Christians who wouldn't stand for abortion.
What shocks me is Obama's willingness to nominate an
arch-conservative (despite being a woman and having tan skin)
ex-prosecutor who is Catholic with no clear stated position on
abortion, and who swore under oath that the President never asked
her about her position on abortion. You can believe that Sotomayor
and Obama had a private conversation about her opinion on upholding
or overturning Roe v. Wade, but WE don't know that and I don't
trust Obama at this point to have done that.
Sotomayor will be horrible for protecting our rights under the 4th,
5th, 6th, 8th, and 14th Amendments. The one area where she does
side with the classic liberals is the one place where I adamantly
disagree with them - gun control. She'll happily conclude that the
2nd Amendment is not incorporated into the 14th Amendment and thus
does not apply to the states. If the states can ban guns, that
makes the 2nd Amendment meaningless.
I hate everyone.
Kreel,
My high school Calculus teacher made fun of Carter's pronunciation
of "Nucular" all the time. This was 85-86.
There are lots of very educated people who grew up in Texas who pronounce nuclear just like Bush does. It is a regionalism. Do we consider everyone from New England stupid because they can't pronounce "car" without dropping the "r".
W: "foreign handed foreign policy"
Partisan Dems: IDIOT!
Sotomayor: "eminent"
Partisan Dems: WELL QUALIFIED!
he one area where she does side with the classic liberals is
the one place where I adamantly disagree with them - gun control.
She'll happily conclude that the 2nd Amendment is not incorporated
into the 14th Amendment and thus does not apply to the
states.
Your classical liberals are all in favor of the right to keep and
bear arms.
Its your lefty liberals who want to do away with it.
RC Dean: you're right about the nomenclature, but I think we need to re-do that nomenclature. It's gotten to the point where I'm saying "classic liberals" to mean lefty big-government liberals because that's what I think of as a "classic liberal." I realize "classic liberal" has a specific meaning... but it should no longer mean what it does.
Didn't some Dems including Joe Biden get in trouble a while back
for suggesting aborting more black babies? Anybody else remember
that?
___________________________________________--
I thought Bill Bennett said that
Do we consider everyone from New England stupid because they can't pronounce "car" without dropping the "r".
I do, unless the speaker's last name is Kennedy.
I regard "nucular" roughly the same way I do "Febuary", i.e. sloppy but not life-threatening.
All I can say, then, robc, is that more than likely your high school Calculus teacher was not a Democrat.
This seems all assbackward to me. I get the impression Dems
would love for the abortion issue to go away forever. It's not a
winning cause to be in favor of killing fetuses, however much of a
moral necessity the right to an abortion is.
It's the Repubs who've been salivating for decades at the thought
of getting enough fundie nuts on the court to overturn Roe.
'Didn't some Dems including Joe Biden get in trouble a while
back for suggesting aborting more black babies? Anybody else
remember that?'
Are you thinking of some recent
remarks by Justice Ginsburg in a New York Times
interview?
(of course, Justice Ginsburg is nonpolitical, above the fray of
squabbling parties. That's probably why she talked to the NY
Times)
Tony, Tony, Tony.
Like all highly polarized issues, activists on both sides
definitely don't want the abortion issue to go away. Fundy nuts and
feminazis both use it to motivate their respective bases.
One election does not make a trend.
Sure, but one election and also two or three polls (and I can give
you more) asking general philosophical questions and saying nothing
about candidates? Enough polls does make a trend.
The idea that kids in college are trending libertarian is
incredibly silly and completely belied by the evidence. Kids in
college, and all those in their twenties are incredibly statist.
The difference in economic issues in polling between them and older
cohorts (either now or when polled at a similar age) is much
greater and more statist than the differences on social issues
outside of gay marriage and gay issues in general.
YOu could go back to the 80s and mid 90s when Republicans were winning elections and find the same dire predictions for the Democrats' future.
For an extreme example, you could go back to the 1910's
when Democrats were making the biggest comeback since the Civil
War.
There was a complete reversal of fortunes by the end of that
decade.
One could be the most perfect Democrat candidate or elected official, but if they are not for abortion, they are very, very limited on what they can do or what they can rise to in the party.
How did the abortion lobby take over the Democratic
Party?
The numbers for people over 30 were very different. Other polls say exactly the same thing; the younger generation that voted overwhelmingly for Obama is overwhelmingly in favor of big government, and by a much greater margin than previous generations when that age.
Wait 'till they find out what big government is like.
We all know what big government did to Timothy Cole.
SF coverd the issue well:
Both sides use abortion for fundraising and little else.
The vague nature of the procedure--legal but with constant nibbling away around the edges--serves the coffers of both parties far more than the outragemunition out-right bans and full legalization/access would give to their respective opposites.
In my humble opinion, if:
1. The Dems are willing to give up late term abortions, with late
term being defined as at the point that a fetus is viable on its
own with "heroic care" (we can argue at what week that is*), except
when the need for the abortion is for the health of the
mother.
2. The Dems are willing to agree that parental involvement is
required for children under the age of fourteen, except when
informing the parents might result in physical harm to the child
(physical harm, not just the child being mad that her parents for
taking her cell phone away. We can argue about just how we go about
protecting the child from abuse)
3. If Repubs are willing to accept that there will be abortions, no
matter what the law states
4. If the Repubs are willing to accept that abortions should be
allowed even late term when the need for the abortion is for the
health of the mother.
Then,
Abortion would become a non-issue
However, this will never happen; fund-raising trumps all. See SF
comment above.
* My eldest son was six weeks early, now 24 & a healthy 6'4",
He only needed to be kept warm and put under the sun lamp, hardly
"heroic" medical care - Full-term minus 6 weeks is definitely too
late for an abortion.
The abortion issue gives republicans the ability to seem like
they care about human life while they're off bombing civilians
somewhere.
I've never fully understood the obsession. Religious nuttiness
hasn't held this as an issue historically. Forcing poor mothers to
have children just creates more Democrats. And it's not like
Republicans give a damn about poor children once they're born. I
just don't get why it's always been such a huge deal except as a
wholly fabricated means of distracting people into voting for you,
the whole "values" con.
'Like all highly polarized issues, activists on both sides
definitely don't want the abortion issue to go away. Fundy nuts and
feminazis both use it to motivate their respective bases.'
And as evidence of the insidious, covert power of the
fundantalists, they engineered the *Roe v. Wade* decision just that
they could stimulate fundraising. Just like the Jews engineered
9/11 to encourage American inteference in the Middle East. And how
the libertarians started the Drug War so that they could raise
money from wealthy potheads.
'I get the impression Dems would love for the abortion issue to go
away forever. It's not a winning cause to be in favor of killing
fetuses, however much of a moral necessity the right to an abortion
is.'
You're quite right with respect to sensible, intelligent Democrats,
not to mention Democrats (and there are some) who actually dislike
abortion.
One might think that these Democrats would try to remove the
abortion issue from politics by eliminating Roe v. Wade and
restoring legal protection to the unborn. Presto - the Republicans
wouldn't be able to exploit the issue any more, and the country
could 'move on to the real issues.'
But this brings me to Michael Ejercito's question:
'How did the abortion lobby take over the Democratic Party?'
Kristen Day explains this in
Democrats for Life: Pro-Life Politics and the Silenced
Majority. There have always been pro-lifers in the Democratic
Party; they used to be quite prominent and influential. These
pro-life Democrats saw abortion as an attack on the type of
vulnerable populations that Democratic idealists go into politics
to oppose. Other, less idealistic Democrat politicians saw
opposition to abortion is necessary if you wanted the ethnic
Catholic vote.
A determined pro-abortion lobby took over the Democrats, not only
making abortion the party's official position but deligitimizing
all intra-party dissent on the subject. There was no natural,
inevitable evolution - the pro-aborts simply made the Democratic
Party their headquarters and either wrote off or bought off the
prolife Democrats.
Under these circumstances, a modern Democratic leader would have to
possess a lot of courage to stand up to the pro-aborts in his own
party. It would even take some . . . audacity.
And it's not like Republicans give a damn about poor children once they're born.
How so?
Have any of them argued that people have a right to kill poor
children once they are born?
Mad Max,
There's nothing incongruous about Democrats supporting abortion
rights, however bought off they may be. No one likes abortion but
if it's forbidden then only rich women will have access to it
safely. That's really the argument, and it's perfectly in line with
Democratic party values.
Tony,
No-one likes bribing judges, but if it's forbidden then only rich
people will be able to afford the bribes.
No-one likes people who move to the Bahamas to escape justice, but
if it's forbidden then only rich people will be able to afford
it.
So let us legalize these kinds of behavior, and provide subsidies
to the poor so that they have equal opportunities with the
rich.
Have any of them argued that people have a right to kill poor children once they are born?
Only passively, like through not favoring social services that
could give poor children a greater chance of doing something with
their lives besides getting shot or going to prison. Or denying
them equitable health care. Or enlisting them in the armed forces
to fight bogus wars.
As far as I know the only person advocating the right to abort
children post-womb is me. Until they reach the age of majority,
it's all so arbitrary when they become autonomous agents, so I say
let the mothers have at the little shits.
That abortion kills lots of black and brown babies is a feature, not a bug for most Democrats.
Only passively, like through not favoring social services that could give poor children a greater chance of doing something with their lives besides getting shot or going to prison. Or denying them equitable health care.
And who has argued that parents have the right to neglect their
children?
This is the dumbest argument ever used in any debate
But the productive like him because he can pronounce nuclear
like they do.
But he can't pronounce Orion and he thinks the Austrians speak
Austrian. Anyone who calls Obama smart is showing his own
retardedness.
'Demographic info on who gets abortions from Alan Guttmacher
Institute here.'
Surprise, surprise, it's poor people and minorities.
That means that a poor child in the womb is more likely to be
aborted than some other child.
The abortion issue gives republicans the ability to seem
like they care about human life while they're off bombing civilians
somewhere.
While being pro-"choice" gives liberals the ability to argue that
they believe in the right to do with one's body as one chooses,
provided that it does not include:
Selling your body for sex,
Selling your body parts for fun and profit,
Selling your labor below an arbitrary wage,
Putting drugs in your body,
Drinking, smoking or eating fatty foods,
Having a right to kill yourself.
Tony, social services are going to give people a "greater" chance to do something with their lives? Isn't it more likely they will expect entitlements for the rest of their lives? And why do they deserve a "greater" chance? How about they just be given the the right to life, liberty, and the PURSUIT of happiness?
"While being pro-"choice" gives liberals the ability to
argue that they believe in the right to do with one's body as one
chooses, provided that it does not include:
Selling your body for sex,
Selling your body parts for fun and profit,
Selling your labor below an arbitrary wage,
Putting drugs in your body,
Drinking, smoking or eating fatty foods,
Having a right to kill yourself."
Speaking as a registered democrat (in California no less!) and
liberaltarian, you are 100% correct. It sucks.
Just for the record, the statements
"Abortion should be legal." and
"There is no constitutional right to abortion."
are not contradictory. This is an issue that legislatures, not
judges should be deciding.
I love the way Hart writes. He is in our paper here in California and is a big hit with his PJ O'Rourke like style. He is much needed to spread to message.
The idea that kids in college are trending libertarian is incredibly silly and completely belied by the evidence. Kids in college, and all those in their twenties are incredibly statist. The difference in economic issues in polling between them and older cohorts (either now or when polled at a similar age) is much greater and more statist than the differences on social issues outside of gay marriage and gay issues in general.
Why? Not only is this the answer I never get to statements about
social trends in these comments, it also seems nobody but me here
even seeks answers to those questions. Is that
because they're too hard? Come on, somebody must have some guesses
as to why young people in this country think differently from the
way young people in this country used to about these things.
OK, lemme prime the pump by throwing out some guesses even if
they're stupid shots in the dark. Does it have something to do with
the fall of the Iron Curtain? (Possible mechanism: people here can
now see what eastern European countries and the
USSR were recently like, and conclude that they weren't as bad as
the negative hype about them when they were more mysterious.) Does
it have to do with the much larger amount in student loans this
cohort owes compared to previous ones? (Possible mechanism: a
desire to repudiate debts and thus to fuzz ownership &
obligations generally.)
Seems people here are interested in what people
should think and to some extent in what they
do think, but not in why they
think what they do think. I'm taunting as hard as
I care to in this company.
Tony,
Social services increase the chances that a human subject to the
"services" will become a domesticated human...similar to a wild hog
who is treated to the food "services" of his local friendly
farmer.
The "education" receives from the government will primarily teach
him that it is a honor to be killed in a war and that he should
keep doing mindless busy work until the bell rings.
While I'm a Ron Paul supporter, I also do my best not to look at things with rose-colored glasses. That's how I can read this article and applaud its honesty, even if I don't like the words from my biased perspective. Oh who am I kidding? I actually have my own idea why he lost like he did.
Aside from the reasons listed (since they're good reasons), one reason I didn't see what something that happened at the ABC debates. While I read comments from co-supporters deploring the verbal attack on Paul during the war discussion, they failed to realize that Paul dug himself in a bit in his retorts to the attack. He didn't defend his stance well and I think that was a key factor in the end result.
While I'm a Ron Paul supporter, I also do my best not to look at things with rose-colored glasses. That's how I can read this article and applaud its honesty, even if I don't like the words from my biased perspective. Oh who am I kidding? I actually have my own idea why he lost like he did.
Aside from the reasons listed (since they're good reasons), one reason I didn't see what something that happened at the ABC debates. While I read comments from co-supporters deploring the verbal attack on Paul during the war discussion, they failed to realize that Paul dug himself in a bit in his retorts to the attack. He didn't defend his stance well and I think that was a key factor in the end result.
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