The Volokh Conspiracy
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"The Crisis of the Media Environment"
My essay on the subject, initially presented in late March at a conference at Yale Law School, is now up at Balkinization, together with various other essays from the same conference. Unfortunately, the footnote links don't work with Balkinization's posting software, so I thought I'd include it below; note that I've posted earlier versions of this essay here before.
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The Crisis of the Media Environment
Eugene Volokh
Senior Fellow, Hoover Institution, Stanford; Professor of Law Emeritus, UCLA[1]
The 2024 presidential campaign saw a massive disinformation and misinformation campaign, which likely helped bring the current administration into power. Leading media organizations failed to stop it in time. Indeed, some of them were complicit, through inadequate investigation and perhaps even willful blindness, in the misinformation. We thus face an urgent question, raised by the workshop organizers: "How can and should the media system be reformed?"
I'm speaking, of course, of the campaign to conceal President Biden's mental decline—a campaign that was only conclusively exposed by the June 27, 2024 debate. At that point, little time was left for deciding whether the President should be persuaded to step aside; for the actual persuasion; for the selection of a replacement; and for the replacement's attempt to persuade the people to elect her.
Had the Administration leveled with the public earlier, or had the media exposed the concealment earlier, there would likely have been time for a full primary campaign, in which Democratic voters could have made their choice about whom to run against Donald Trump.[2] Perhaps that candidate would have been more effective than Kamala Harris. Or perhaps the candidate would have still been Harris, but a Harris who was seen as having more legitimacy with the public. "Democracy Dies in Darkness," the Washington Post tells us. It appears that the Democratic Party's prospects died in this particular darkness.[3]
The single most consequential fact of the 2024 Presidential campaign had thus been largely hidden for a long time, including from (and, perhaps unwittingly, by) the media organizations whose job it is to inform us. Indeed, this was a fact not just of immense political significance, but also central to national security: If President Biden was indeed cognitively impaired, that bore on his ability to make decisions as President, not just his ability to be re-elected.[4]
When, for instance, Trump and Vance spread unfounded rumors of Haitian immigrants eating cats and dogs, the media rightly blew the whistle. But when some media outlets tried to point out the evidence of Biden's likely incapacity, others didn't pick up on the investigation—and, indeed, sometimes pooh-poohed the investigation.
As late as mid-June 2024, the White House and many of its supporters characterized videos of Biden apparently freezing up and seeming confused as "cheap fake" disinformation created by his enemies.[5] Indeed, as Nate Silver has noted, "some coverage endorsed the White House party line, particularly in its tendency to characterize claims about Biden's acuity as 'misinformation.'"[6] Only Biden's televised debate performance on June 27, 2024 made it impossible to deny there was something badly wrong. It seems likely that many of the supposed "cheap fakes" actually accurately captured Biden's cognitive slippage, especially since the slippage apparently went back a good deal before the debate.[7]
And even if some particular videos had indeed been disinformation from his enemies, the fact remains that the media failed to adequately identify the disinformation from his friends.[8] Isn't it shocking that so many White House reporters appear to have learned of Biden's decline thanks only to the nationally televised debate and not to their investigative journalism?[9]
Of course, reaching the truth on this question wasn't easy. Biden insiders apparently tried hard to conceal the facts (that's the disinformation part).[10] And indeed it's not surprising that people who are both personally loyal to a President and rely on the President's success for their ongoing careers would want to conceal such facts. In our fallen world, we can't expect much candor from political insiders. And I expect most journalists sincerely believed the reassurances they were getting from the insiders.
But getting sincerely duped isn't a great professional mark for a journalist.[11] Their job was to dig and find out—before things became evident, not after (and indeed some indications of Biden's decline were indeed evident for some time before the debate[12]). Alex Thompson, the coauthor of Original Sin, elaborated on this problem:
"I had one conversation with someone, this was after the election, while we were reporting this book, and this person said, 'Listen, yes, we deserve blame for X, Y, Z. We were hiding him. We were.' But this person also sort of got in my face, and they said, 'Listen, the media deserves some blame, too.' Like we were sort of amazed at some of the stuff we were able to spin and get on," he said.
Thompson admitted there was truth to what the person was saying about the media and its lack of skepticism about Biden's administration.
"They're just like, 'You guys should not have believed us so easily.' And I thought that was like a really interesting, but I also think that's true," he said. "I think the media, . . . in a lot of ways, was not skeptical enough and did not remember the less[on] that, they do it to different degrees, but every White House lies."[13]
Indeed, to the extent that the media's credibility has declined over recent years, such failures of investigation seem likely to only exacerbate this decline:
Undoubtedly, the White House wanted to keep this fact [of Biden's decline] under wraps until Biden was safely over the finish line in November. But media organizations that participated, even unwittingly, in this farce have not only made a subsequent Democratic administration far less likely—they have profoundly undermined their own integrity.[14]
* * *
How could this happen? I hope we will learn more about this in the years to come. But at this point, at least a first cut—informed by our shared knowledge of human nature—is that many in the media likely didn't dig hard because they didn't really wanted to uncover things.[15] It isn't controversial, I think, that most in the mainstream media much preferred President Biden over his challenger, Donald Trump.[16] Indeed, I agree they had good reason to dislike Trump. Certainly Trump himself had done much to stoke that hostility.
"Biden is cognitively impaired" was a standard talking point on the Right. So long as Biden was the nominee, that impairment, if demonstrated, would help Trump.[17] (As I've argued, if knowing of the impairment helped Democrats replace Biden with a better candidate, the knowledge might have hurt Trump, but that would have been a less direct chain of causation.) It's human nature to accept stories that fit one's political preferences than to challenge them. A thought experiment: If the sitting President in 2024 had been a Republican—whether Trump or, say, an older Ron DeSantis—would the media have acted the same way they did? Or would they have worked harder, dug deeper, and uncovered the truth earlier?
Yet of course institutions should be designed to counteract the flaws generated by human nature while working within the constraints created by human nature. (That knowledge was old when Madison was young.) This is true of media institutions as well as governmental ones. There need to be mechanisms to keep reporters' and editors' inevitable ideological predilections from turning into ideological blinders and ideological blunders.
Of course, it's much easier to identify the problem than a suitable solution. One can imagine, for instance, newspapers deliberately seeking out reporters and editors with many different ideological beliefs, hoping that colleagues will fill each others' blind spots (or, in collegial conversations, help each other identify their blind spots). But this may be hard to implement; and, as with preferences based on race and sex, preferences based on politics may be challenged as leading to hiring based on ideology rather than merit. (They may also be defended, as with preferences based on race and sex, as a tool for fighting subconscious bias that keeps meritorious candidates from being fairly considered.) Indeed, hiring that considers applicants' ideological beliefs may violate some states' laws that limit employment discrimination based on political ideology or party affiliation,[18] just as hiring that considers applicants' religious beliefs may violate bans on employment discrimination based on religion.
Newspapers might also return to prohibiting reporters and editors from publicly opining on controversial issues. Of course, realistic readers will recognize that reporters may still be biased. But taking a public stand on an issue may increase such bias: If one has publicly endorsed a position, it might become harder to write fairly about evidence that instead tends to support the rival position. Few of us like writing something that suggests that we were mistaken in the past, or that our critics can interpret as making such a suggestion.
Again, though, in some jurisdictions such public neutrality rules for newspaper employees may violate state employment statutes. One state court held (by a 5–4 vote) that those statutes themselves violate the First Amendment when applied to newspaper reporters or editors.[19] But in AP v. NLRB (1937), the U.S. Supreme Court held (also 5–4) that federal labor law, which bans discrimination based on union membership, didn't violate the Associated Press's rights to select reporters or editors.[20]
Likewise, one can imagine newspapers and magazines deliberately courting a broad ideological mix of readers—not just for the extra revenue, but also to commit themselves to having a base that they will need to be seen as treating fairly. A publication that has many readers on the left, right, and center might feel more pressure to be fair and careful to all sides. Of course, it may be hard these days to acquire such a broad reader base. And there's always the danger that concern about reader reactions may press a newspaper to avoid controversial topics altogether, rather than to try handling them fairly.
Finally, newspapers can just try to recommit themselves to objectivity, fuzzy as the term may sometimes be. (Many commentators have expressly taken the opposite view.[21]) In their news coverage, they may recommit to discussing the best arguments on both sides of contested issues. In choosing what to cover, they may try hard to see what both sides of the aisle view as especially important. On their editorial pages, they may avoid a party line, either instituted top down[22] or by staff revolts.[23] Instead, they may adopt the policy that whatever ideas are shared by at least substantial minorities of the public should be seriously covered, even when editors think that one side is obviously wrong.
Again, though, that's easier said than done (and it's not even that easily said). It will inevitably require hard choices that will leave many observers skeptical about the media organization's fairness —e.g., which sides of a multi-sided issue should be covered, which topics are important enough to cover, which positions are such outliers that they can be set aside, how to allocate scarce space and attention. And it may not do much to solve the problem we began with, which is the ability of media organizations to be massively duped by the side they sympathize with.
Thus, these solutions are likely to be far from perfect. The cures may even be worse than disease.
But there is indeed a disease, "a profoundly broken media system" (to quote the workshop organizers). This system is one that the public has good reason to distrust. Its flaws undermine the media's ability to check government malfeasance. It may have been so captured by the desire to #Resist one movement that it failed to resist the disinformation spread by another. And it may thus have ended up helping the very candidate and movement that it had (understandably) viewed as dangerous.
[1] For an early draft of this article, written before the books cited below came out, see Eugene Volokh, "The 2024 Presidential Campaign Saw a Massive Disinformation and Misinformation Campaign, …["], Volokh Conspiracy, Mar. 31, 2025, https://reason.com/volokh/2025/03/31/the-2024-presidential-campaign-saw-a-massive-disinformation-and-misinformation-campaign/.
[2] See, e.g., Chris Whipple, Uncharted: How Trump Beat Biden, Harris, and the Odds in the Wildest Campaign in History 201 (2025) (quoting Leon Panetta, White House Chief of Staff under Clinton and Secretary of Defense under Obama, as making this point); Jonathan Allen & Amie Parnes, Fight: Inside the Wildest Battle for the White House 86 (2025) (quoting "a Biden ally" as making the same point); id. at 90 (inferring that long-time Democratic Speaker of the House Nancy Pelosi held a similar view); Jake Tapper & Alex Thompson, Original Sin: President Biden's Decline, Its Cover-Up, and His Disastrous Choice to Run Again 6 (2025) ("If history is any guide, a competitive primary and caucus process would have produced a stronger Democratic nominee . . . ."); Josh Barro, This Is All Biden's Fault, N.Y. Times, Nov. 11, 2024; Four Writers on What Democrats Should Do, N.Y. Times, June 30, 2024.
[3] See Tapper & Thompson, supra note 1, at xiii (describing "Democrats inside and outside the White House" who "put blinders on, participating in a charade that delivered the election directly into Trump's hands").
[4] See id. at 9 ("The presidency requires someone who can perform at 2:00 a.m. during an emergency. Cabinet secretaries in his own administration told us that by 2024, he could not be relied upon for this.").
[5] See, e.g., Hanna Panreck, Karine Jean-Pierre Doubles Down on 'Cheap Fake' Biden Videos: 'So Much Misinformation', Fox News, June 19, 2024; see also Bari Weiss, The Great Biden Cover-Up, Honestly (Free Press), May 29, 2025, at 1:16:59, https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wKF_UarIdu0 (remarks of Jake Tapper) ("One of the stories in our, in the book is when at the same time, around the same time, that Annie Linsky and Siobhan Hughes, these great reporters with the Wall Street Journal, right around the time that they break their story and are garroted by the, by the Democratic party and by by journalists and by media critics and by journalism professors and this whole industry of people who, who claim to be nonpartisan assessors of truth.").
[6] Nate Silver, Did the Media Blow It on Biden?, Silver Bulletin, May 15, 2025, https://www.natesilver.net/p/did-the-media-blow-it-on-biden; see also Tapper & Thompson, supra note 1, at 100 (discussing the Biden White House's "modus operandi for attacking any journalists who covered any questions about the president's age, enlisting a corps of social media influencers, progressive reporters, and Democratic operatives to besmirch as unprofessional and biased those in the news media investigating this line of inquiry").
[7] See, e.g., Annie Linskey & Siobhan Hughes, Behind Closed Doors, Biden Shows Signs of Slipping, Wall St. J., June 4, 2024; Michael Williams, George Clooney Says Democrats Need a New Nominee Just Weeks After He Headlined a Major Fundraiser for Biden, CNN, July 10, 2024; Tyler Austin Harper, An Autopsy Report on Biden's In-Office Decline, Atlantic, May 16, 2025; David Gilmour, CNN's Jake Tapper Argues Biden White House Misled Public 'All the Time' With 'Cheap Fake' Spin, Mediaite, May 14, 2025, https://www.mediaite.com/tv/i-look-back-on-it-with-humility-jake-tapper-says-he-covered-bidens-cognitive-issues-but-admits-not-enough/; Oliver Darcy, Straight from the Tapper, Status, May 25, 2025, https://www.status.news/p/jake-tapper-original-sin-book-interview ("Conservative media have been raising questions about Biden's acuity for quite some time. Our reporting, which began in earnest after the election when Democrats were suddenly far more willing to talk, suggests that there was merit to some of that early analysis, regardless of the various motives of any charge in this hyper-partisan era.").
[8] See Tapper & Thompson, supra note 1, at 144 ("Most news media coverage of [Special Counsel Robert Hur's testimony to Congress about his investigation of Biden, and his conclusions about Biden's decline] thus did not acknowledge the president's long, rambling answers; the troubling lapses of memory; and the disruptions in his thought process. Most did not point out that Biden's accusation about Hur bringing up Beau's death was false.").
[9] Zachary Leeman, Alex Thompson Recalls Dem Insider's Shock At How 'Easily' Gullible Media Bought Into Their 'Spin' on Biden's Health, Mediaite, May 21, 2025, https://www.mediaite.com/media/tv/alex-thompson-recalls-dem-insiders-shock-at-how-easily-gullible-media-bought-into-their-spin-on-bidens-health/ (statement from Thompson in embedded video) ("Certainly the media fell short, and the biggest example of that is, if the media was on top of this, then Biden's debate performance should not have been such a shock to so many people."); Tunku Varadarajan, 'Original Sin' Review: A Conspiracy in Plain View, Wall St. J., May 19, 2025 ("the elites of the Democratic Party and the media had their eyes and minds closed and couldn't—or wouldn't—see what the rest of us saw").
[10] See id. at 204 (discussing the "lie" "that millions of Americans now realized they'd been told for months, if not years: the lie that Joe Biden was perfectly fine and up to the task of being president for four more years").
[11] See, e.g., Colby Hall, I Look Back on It With Humility': Jake Tapper Says He Covered Biden's Cognitive Issues, But Admits 'Not Enough', Mediaite, May 14, 2025, https://www.mediaite.com/tv/i-look-back-on-it-with-humility-jake-tapper-says-he-covered-bidens-cognitive-issues-but-admits-not-enough/.
[12] See Silver, supra note 3 (describing many such indications, and noting, "when something is an open secret to the extent Biden's condition was among elites—to the point that many people close to him felt it jeopardized national security—you'd hope for the press to report on it more aggressively"); see also Paul Mirengoff, Joe Biden's Steep Decline: A Tale of Two Coverups, Ringside at the Reckoning, May 16, 2025, https://ringsideatthereckoning.substack.com/p/joe-bidens-steep-decline-a-tale-of.
[13] Zachary Leeman, Alex Thompson Recalls Dem Insider's Shock At How 'Easily' Gullible Media Bought Into Their 'Spin' on Biden's Health, Mediaite, May 21, 2025, https://www.mediaite.com/media/tv/alex-thompson-recalls-dem-insiders-shock-at-how-easily-gullible-media-bought-into-their-spin-on-bidens-health/.
[14] Robby Soave, Why Didn't the Media Notice Joe Biden's 'Jet Lag' Sooner?, Reason, July 3, 2024; see also The Great Biden Cover-Up, supra note 5, at 1:19:13 (remarks of Alex Thompson) ("[T]here's lots of reasons for trust in press being low and some of it is like, you know, online polarization. Some of it's online, you know, fake news or disinformation, whichever word you want to use. But I, I do think that like, you know, we bear some, like we should also look inward.").
[15] See Mirengoff, supra note 6. See also The Great Biden Cover-Up, supra note 5, at 48:06 (remarks of Jake Tapper, though focusing on pundits rather than reporters) ("I think that there was also among the punditry class, very much the Trump question: Oh, you want to help Trump? Is that what you want, you want to help Trump?").
[16] Cf. The American Journalist, Key Findings from the 2022 American Journalist Study (reporting that 51.7% of journalists identified as Independent, 36.4% Democrat, 8.5% Other, and 3.4% Republican). I appreciate that this is an online survey, and one that doesn't specifically ask about views on Trump; but it reinforces what is generally seen as conventional wisdom, and I've seen no data pointing in the opposite direction.
[17] Cf. Tapper & Thompson, supra note 1, at 141 (discussing how "Biden's media allies" dismissed Special Counsel Robert Hur's report that cast doubt on Biden's cognitive capacity as "ageism," and quoting a New Republic writer as saying, "Any news org that puts Biden's memory in the headline is actively rewarding Hur's bad faith and giving the Trump campaign what they want.'").
[18] See Eugene Volokh, Should the Law Limit Private-Employer-Imposed Speech Restrictions?, 2 J. Free Speech L. 269 (2022); Eugene Volokh, Private Employees' Speech and Political Activity: Statutory Protection Against Employer Retaliation, 16 Tex. Rev. of L. & Pol. 295 (2012).
[19] See Nelson v. McClatchy Newspapers, 131 Wash. 2d 523 (1997).
[20] See also Ali v. L.A. Focus Publ'n, 112 Cal. App. 4th 1477, 1488 (2003) (rejecting the claim that a newspaper "has the unfettered right to terminate an employee for any [outside-the-newspaper] speech or conduct that is inconsistent with the newspaper's editorial policies").
[21] See, e.g., Leonard Downie Jr., Newsrooms That Move Beyond 'Objectivity' Can Build Trust, Wash. Post, Jan. 30, 2023.
[22] See, e.g., Washington Post Owner Jeff Bezos Says Opinion Pages Will Defend Free Market And 'Personal Liberties', PBS News, Feb. 26, 2025.
[23] See, e.g., Marc Tracy, James Bennet Resigns as New York Times Opinion Editor, N.Y. Times, June 7, 2020.
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Funny thing is even now with zero stakes. Many refuse to admit they made a mistake while simultaneously knocking Trump for his age and claiming Trump 'saying stuff I disagree with or think is crazy == apparently not having the strength to perform the central Presidential duty of signing bills or being able to walk down a platform unassisted'.
Yes, Biden should have stood down long before he did, preferably in time for the Democrats to have a contested primary. And yes, the Democrats were wrong to have covered it up for as long as they did. And that may well have been what decided the election. All of this is true.
That said, though, once Biden was out of the race, his physical and mental health were no longer an issue. And with all the lies Trump has told over the years -- pretty much every time his lips move -- the idea of voting for him over Harris because she participated in a cover up is ludicrous. Almost as ludicrous as attacking her for her sex life given everything we know about Trump's.
So what we were left with was a healthy, vigorous, middle aged woman who, even if you disagree with her on the issues, at least isn't crazy, versus another old man who is himself obviously in decline (how far remains to be seen) and who is a complete bull in a china shop. Even granting that every word Eugene wrote is probably true, the choice the voters made makes no sense to me.
It wasn't voting for him because she participated in a coverup, though that's an obvious component.
It was voting for him because she was ludicrously underqualified for the job, and having to actually try to win a primary would have exposed that more thoroughly, but it was already exposed enough to kill her prospects. And because she couldn't bring herself to separate herself from everything Biden had screwed up, which told people that she'd just continue it all.
That was their second mistake---DEI. Instead of opening it up for a primary and having them slug it out on a truncated schedule they simply anointed Harris because they could not be seen as passing over a black woman.
This let them pick likely their weakest candidate. I think with a primary where they got Shapiro or Kelly could have caused a very different electoral result. Instead they got a rather vapid candidate who has gotten every one of her positions due to DEI and could not articulate a single thought of her own.
Had there been a primary, I have no doubt the nominee would have been someone other than Harris. After having had four years of on the job training as VP I'm not convinced she would have been as incompetent as you think. But even if she had been, she would have had the good sense to surround herself with people who were competent. She at least listens to advice.
"I have no doubt the nominee would have been someone other than Harris."
It's quite possible, but I am far from convinced it was a no-doubt thing. Biden picked her partially to address something his base wanted. If she were alleged "pushed out of the way," many would be upset about it. She ran a good campaign in various ways & would have provided a continuation of the no-drama competence and success of the Biden Administration.
Big names also might have been wary of challenging her, especially if Biden sent the message he supported her.
"Biden picked her partially to address something his base wanted."
Well, kind of. "I promised a black woman for VP, Harris is a woman, and black if you squint right." Even if you assume the base, (Rather than just the most strident segment of it.) were determined to have a black woman, the fact that Harris had done so badly in her attempt to get the nomination herself suggests they weren't determined to have THAT black woman.
"She ran a good campaign in various ways & would have provided a continuation of the no-drama competence and success of the Biden Administration."
Indeed, if there had been a no-drama competent and successful Biden administration, to continue, I have no doubt at all that we'd be in Harris' first term right now. The problem she faced was that she was promising to provide a continuation of the actual Biden administration, not some fantasy.
Hi, Woman. 50 years of stagnant wages. I asked you if you were a lawyer. Don't be ashamed. All wages have been affected. Immigrants are to impose a permanent one party state as they have in Cuba, Venezuela, and Cali. They suppress wages from laborer to professional to enrich the Marxist Democrat oligarchs. Our nation must defended against this internal enemy, protected and empowered by the lawyer profession.
If by "had there been a primary," you mean, "Had Joe Biden announced in 2023 that he wasn't running," then I think this is probably true.
But if you mean, "had they jerry-built some sort of last minute process in July 2024 when Biden dropped out," (and I don't think logistically it was even possible) I have no doubt that Harris would have been chosen. There was simply no time for anyone else.
"at least isn't crazy"
That's a low bar, but did she actually clear it?
The policy initiatiives of Biden Administration were to my mind self destructive and crazy. The spending, the EV mandates, refusing to allow needed infrastructure like pipelines, and allowing unlimited unvetted immigration.
Those were all policies of the Biden Administration, that Kamala supported and in some cases cast the tiebreaking vote to implement.
But it doesn't stop there, in the 2020 election she ran way to the left of even Joe Biden, her voting record in the Senate was the most far left senator by at least some ratings.
So no Kamala Harris eas not a reasonable persons alternative to Trump, it would just be doubling down on crazy.
"That said, though, once Biden was out of the race, his physical and mental health were no longer an issue."
I disagree. It calls into question the ability and/or veracity of everyone around him who allowed that disaster to go on for who knows how long.
And when questioned, none of them, especially Harris, would admit any fault---they just tried to dismiss it by saying that Joe Biden was no longer running.
The point is that they believed that their 2020 strategy of hiding Biden and making him the nominee could sail him across the finish line in 2024 so that the same unknown backroom cabal could lead the country. And it fostered distrust in the media who let them get away with it.
That's not something you just sweep under the rug. The fact that you are no longer beating your wife anymore does not mean that everything is fine.
You're basically saying vote for Trump because Harris is dishonest. And if Trump were honest you might have a point. But he's not, so the personal integrity issue was at best a wash.
If both candidates suffer from the same affliction, it makes no sense to ignore the issue for one but not the other.
How is Trump dishonest? He is a lot of things--many negative things such that I can understand why people don't like him---but dishonest? If anything he is too honest, yapping on Truth Social about what he will do next and he always does it.
That is really one of the reasons people like Trump. Every president said that they will move our Embassy to Jerusalem. All lies. Trump does it. I don't know how that particular allegation can be made against him.
You're joking, right? You consider someone with multiple felony fraud convictions to be honest? Or who spends four years lying that he won the 2020 election, to the point that a mob went to the Capitol to try to physically prevent the transfer of power? If you consider that honest, I'd hate to imagine what kind of a liar someone would have to be for you to consider them dishonest.
Look, that "multiple felony fraud convictions" isn't even moving the needle, given how bogus they were.
You just keep telling yourself that.
And I will, because it's true. Taking supposed accounting errors that would only be misdemeanors if they were actually crimes, and past the statute of limitations, and pretending they were actually done to conceal an uncharged crime in order to elevate them to felonies, fools nobody.
And then stacking charges for the same supposed offense so that you could say he'd committed multiple felonies!
You'd need better than that in order for somebody who didn't already hate Trump to even raise an eyebrow.
You just keep telling yourself that.
LOL!
NOPE! No way! Multiple Felonies! lalalalalalalalalalalalicanthearyouicanthearyoulalalalalala!
Despite the fact that they're POSITIVE they're the smartest people in the room always, despite the fact that the MSM is their team, despite the fact that the bulk of the legal profession has been captured by them, despite the fact they've completely captured academia, liberals STILL couldn't stop Trump. They bent/broke every norm and law they could but they still couldn't stop him. And now look at them. Who TF is even in charge over there? An absolute shit show. But, hey, "you just keep telling yourself that".
Swede, as much as I disagree with Brett, he at least can put together a coherent sentence.
You should listen to the voters.
They effectively pardoned Trump.
You are one voter in a democracy, you lost. Whether you get over it is up to you, but just trying to relitigate something that was decisively, and permanently settled in a national election is silly.
And when I say that, I'm not saying that Trump is spectacularly honest, because he's not.
He's seriously given to braggadocio, everything he does has to be the best ever, even if it's obviously not. Braggadocio IS a form of lying.
He wasn't so much lying about 2020, as he was in denial, I think. His inflated self opinion said that there was no way he could have really lost to somebody like Biden, there must have been cheating. Denial and delusion aren't exactly the same as lying, but they're not better.
But in terms of political lies? Yeah, he's actually unusually honest, he comes right out and says what he'll try to accomplish if elected, and then sets out to try to accomplish it. That's a remarkably important virtue in a politician, without it democracy is pretty much futile, because the voters have no way to know what they'll get as a result of their vote.
In fact, that's what really pisses off his foes: He's actually trying to do what he ran on, and his foes don't LIKE what he ran on doing, even if a majority of the voters did. They'd much prefer that he'd been a run of the mill Republican who didn't mean any of their campaign promises.
The real problem I see with Trump is that, even as he genuinely sets out to do what he ran on, he's not particularly finicky about HOW he does it. He's rather clumsy about it, and not particularly committed to legally crossing all the 't's and dotting all the 'i's along the way. And at his age he's not learning from experience the way a younger guy would, he keeps repeating the same mistakes.
He really wants to be Milei, I think, the guy who saves the country from a broken system, and is allowed a lot of leeway in doing so because the system IS broken. But while the system IS broken, I don't think the public widely enough agrees that it's broken for him to get cut the amount of slack Milei benefits from. Milei was only possible after things got REALLY bad in Argentina, much worse than here.
But he may be right that things have gotten bad enough on the illegal immigration front that the public will support him cutting corners. We'll have a better idea of that in a couple years.
I mean, I don't know what you get if you cross sealioning with Helen Keller, but it might just be that question.
He may be fertile ground for fact checks, but I think when he advocates a policy, or says he will do something then he actually means it Even if ge fails in the attempt.
“Yes, Biden should have stood down long before he did, preferably in time for the Democrats to have a contested primary.”
People in his position are incapable of making these decisions. You can’t blame an old person because they drive, you have to take their car keys away, put caregivers in their home against their will, etc.
Parties need to have a mechanism to remove people who are no longer fit.
A lot of mainstream Republicans - think Mitch McConnell - wish there had been some mechanism in place to keep Trump from getting the nomination too. Not sure what kind of a mechanism there could be, though. In general, anyone who wants to run is allowed to do so provided they meet minimum qualifications. Any ideas?
Good point. Trump had a few legit primary challenges who could have exposed any weaknesses like Biden had.
It’s hard to believe that no one with a higher profile than Dean Phillips figured out that they could potentially take Biden out of the primary the way Trump took him out of the general.
It might behoove the dems to make sure they don’t penalize that type of thing.
I've said that myself: The lesson of 2024, and both parties ought to learn from it, is to never anoint ANYBODY. Always hold primaries, force the seemingly default candidate to prove their ability to campaign. And, yes, that means you don't punish people for running against the default nominee, you thank them for testing him or her.
Biden had to win primaries to go up against Trump, (And Trump didn't, to go up against Biden!) and he won the general election. The fix was in for both Hillary and Harris, (Though in different ways.) and they both lost to a candidate who'd had to win contested primaries.
The primaries aren't just how you decide who's popular, they're how you test if the popular person actually (still?) has the capacity to campaign effectively.
A lot of mainstream Republicans wish there had been some mechanism to prevent McConnell from running the last couple of times, frankly. McConnell is much more obviously dysfunctional than Trump. When was the last time Trump just froze in public and had to be rebooted?
"Mainstream", or more accurately, establishment opposition to Trump is mostly because the party establishment at the federal level was holding onto control in opposition to the party base, rather than with its support, and Trump was and is an insurgent who threatened that control. Threatened to give control of the party over to the base, who hold views on a whole range of issues that the party establishment doesn't share.
You think it was an accident that Roe didn't get overturned until Trump had filled three seats on the Court? Despite the Court having a majority nominated by Republicans for years prior? It was because establishment Republicans didn't share the base's hostility to Roe!
Likewise on illegal immigration and gun control. The party establishment didn't agree with the party's base on those issues, and were seeing to it that the base never got what they wanted. They were more of a Democratic party lite, rather than an actual Republican party.
They had an entire primary where anyone with working eyes, a brain and a drop of honesty...nevermind we're talking about Democrats.
First, I have no idea why you take seriously the notion that the media were simply insufficiently careful, too easy to fool, rather than complicit. If people with far less access to Biden than the media could see there was a problem, the idea the media didn't know there was a problem is pretty unlikely.
Second, "But this may be hard to implement; and, as with preferences based on race and sex, preferences based on politics may be challenged as leading to hiring based on ideology rather than merit."
Sheesh. How did you think we got where we are now? You really think institution after institution ended up ideological monocultures by accident? Faculties, newsrooms, boardrooms, foundations, just stumbled into being controlled by the left?
Here's the real problem: The left have captured one institution after another, and not by accident. The march through the institutions may not have been centrally dictated, but it was very much deliberate and conscious on the part of the people who pulled it off. It happened too fast to be organic.
And they may regret that the public catching on is costing those institutions legitimacy and influence, but they're not going to let go of them voluntarily.
And there's no good way to reverse it: They could capture those institutions because they weren't defended by people unaware of the threat, but the people who captured them will not passively let them go. And, attempting to use the force of government to wrest them free of the left will either be struck down as unconstitutional, (As it should be!) or if the courts tolerate it, will simply be switched around to finishing the job the moment Democrats are back in power.
The only real answer is to create NEW institutions, consciously conservative and libertarian, to oppose them, to fill the void. Not balanced, because to paraphrase one of Limbaugh's lines, "They won't need balance, they'll BE the balance." Deliberately representing the OTHER sides.
And then defend them against the inevitable efforts to either subvert or destroy them. Because they will be attacked, unrelentingly.
Really, the only legal aspect to this will be blunting those attacks, by defending the right of those new institutions to be self-governing, and protecting them against coordinated attacks like debanking and deplatforming.
The old impartial ecosystem of institutions is dead. A new ecosystem of widely varying biased institutions must be raised to take its place.
Can’t trust no one! Gotta use vibes.
That's your summation of an almost Lathropian length comment?
My position is that the institutions the left have captured are lost, there's no constitutionally acceptable way to pry them loose again, and return them to being significantly impartial. Even trying is likely to backfire.
So the solution is the creation of parallel institutions with different biases, so that a diverse ecosystem of biased institutions can provide the lost balance.
The answer to left-wing media isn't somehow forcing the media to pretend to be objective, which they never were. It's to recreate the right wing media that used to balance them, and this time don't let them be captured.
Look at this and tell me whether this could be a President
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JMFviwDNhq0
Seee !!!
What a dishonest framing. So the misinformation "which likely helped bring the current administration into power" was Democrats in media not holding Democrats to any standards or outright lying for them as if that's on the current administration.
When, for instance, Trump and Vance spread unfounded rumors of Haitian immigrants eating cats and dogs, the media rightly blew the whistle. But when some media outlets tried to point out the evidence of Biden's likely incapacity, others didn't pick up on the investigation—and, indeed, sometimes pooh-poohed the investigation.
The premise of this article seems to be this:
When so many media outlets failed to find and report the truth of Biden's unfitness to perform the job at that time, let alone do it for an additional four years, that made it virtually inevitable that Trump would win.
This premise, if it is what you are thinking, Prof. Volokh, is completely forgetting or ignoring how much the coverage from right-wing media is skewed both against Democrats and for Trump (and Republicans that align with him). Those statements about cat eaters? How do you think Fox and Newsmax and others dealt with that? How much of the easily verifiable facts surrounding the documents case, the Jan. 6 case, or his NY trial do you think those viewers ever saw?
It isn't whataboutism to note the gross asymmetry in this argument that the "MSM's" failures on Biden's health is what cost Democrats the election when the whole right-wing media sphere is built to support keep anything critical of Trump from its audience or turn it into a strength.
A full analysis of all of the biases of all media outlets, where everyone examines their own cognitive biases even before they look for those biases in others, is what it is going to take to improve political journalism. It doesn't take a cynic to think that this won't happen, though. Too much incentive is built into the business of political news coverage to feed people's emotional reactions and partisan* allegiances, Objective political news coverage is a pipe dream as long as a majority of voters consume it as entertainment.
*Really it is not just allegiances by partisan identity, but also racial, ethnic, religious, cultural, and other tribal identifiers.
It was a well-reported thing that Biden was old and showed various signs of some decline. This includes reporting of interviews with a special prosecutor who wrote about his problems answering questions. A book on the subject notes that the Administration still functioned well overall. As noted in a Michelle Goldberg op-ed:
More significantly, from up close, the White House mostly didn’t seem that dysfunctional. Tapper and Thompson, it’s important to note, don’t report that Biden’s addled state led to poor judgment, at least aside from the catastrophic choice to run for re-election. Indeed, they wrote, Biden critics they spoke to “continued to the end to attest to his ability to make sound decisions, if on his own schedule.”
A bad debate, which was a bad idea and ill-timed, exaggerated how bad things was. Nonetheless, even though changing horses in mid-stream is often dangerous, especially when you have someone who has already beaten Trump once, Biden ended his campaign.
It was risky for Biden to run for re-election, but it was an understandable choice balancing everything. The "crisis" cited in the presentation adding much is quite questionable, especially given the evidence we have so far. Of course, people will read the evidence given their priors, including those on this page.
I second Jason's comment overall.
Did the media, the reporting on the absurd cat story, don't change this, evenhandedly report on Trump's decline? We have multiple cases of sane washing of his speeches alone.
And, what about Trump's debates?
His first debate was far from ideal, but Biden's faltering performance crowded out that. VP Harris demolished him in the second debate. It did not matter much at all. We had loads of Biden has to go stories. Where were all the articles about Trump? There was plenty of fodder if they wanted to go there.
But, supposedly, the big news story is that the media covered up Biden's decline. Yes, the media repeatedly report on it in various ways. It was the subject of lots of jokes, even by people like Stephen Colbert, whose go-to bit was some garbled Biden word salad that suggests a faltering old man. They should have done more!
Harris ran an impressive campaign and had a good showing, especially considering the bad hand she was dealt. Again, great debate. But, allegedly, it was a "DEI" hire to go to the vice president, whom the people had already voted for, instead of some other candidate that would do better.
OTOH, since DEI is a good thing (diversity, equity, inclusion), maybe that is a compliment. (I'm kidding.)
The guy who couldn't vote for Harris, voted for the libertarian, and after the election, rather focus on how the Democrats and their enablers are the reason Trump won, choosing this subject is far from surprising. Maybe, Trump won for reasons other than the press not reporting more on something it reported on already?
"But, allegedly, it was a "DEI" hire to go to the vice president, whom the people had already voted for, instead of some other candidate that would do better."
False. Nobody voted for Kamala to be the default presidential replacement candidate in 2024 any more that people voted for J.D. Vance to be VP prior to the election.
Voters voted for Kamala to be VP and take over for Joe if he was unable to continue from 1/20/21 through 1/20/25. Nobody said Kamala was the default presidential candidate in 2024.
I said people voted for her. They did.
I did not say people "said Kamala was the default presidential candidate in 2024."
People very well voted for her with the knowledge that she might have to step in at some point if Biden faltered. I have seen people say that they were not worried about Biden at some point being unable to go on since there was a good, experienced backup.
She had legitimacy in that way that someone else replacing Biden did not have. I did not say something "false."
No, people didn't vote for her. People don't vote for the VP, at best the VP doesn't hurt the Presidential candidate.
She did so badly in the 2016 primaries, in her home state, that she had to drop out of the race. Then she was handed the VP slot without any voting in 2020, and the Presidential nomination without voting in 2024.
People do vote for the VP along with the President because both names are on the ballot, and the Electoral Votes are cast separately in the formal process, even if that isn't going to matter in any real manner.
You want to make an argument that the choice for VP doesn't move the needle significantly in the aggregate among the whole electorate? Fine, I think that is at least mostly true. Even the most notable VP picks in my lifetime weren't likely to have mattered in the final result. So, I don't think many people would disagree enough to bother saying so.
But the VP choice will matter by different amounts for each individual voter. On average, maybe the few voters that might like a VP choice enough that it pushes them to vote for that ticket might be cancelled by those that disliked that VP choice enough to not vote for that ticket. That the overall effect is approximately zero doesn't mean that "people don't vote for the VP." Don't speak for anyone but yourself in such absolute terms like that.
I disagree with this. I think she ran a lousy campaign. To be clear, I generally do not think campaigns matter very much. But whether it mattered or not, I think she ran a poor one. She was running a prevent defense while she was behind, to put it in her mediocre veep choice's vernacular. Every decision she made was "Let's not take any chances of saying anything at all." And everyone could see that she wasn't saying anything at all.
So, the general public lacks the wit to actually compare the opposing sides and favor one policy agenda over another? Just a smelly Walmart shopping basket of deplorables to the democrat establishment. Please don't change course. I'll donate to the democrat party if you promise never to self-correct.
That's not what he's saying.
She was behind, and she was behind because people were very dissatisfied with the way Biden, or anyway his puppet masters, had been governing. She needed to distinguish herself from Biden. Explain how she'd change course to address the voters' concerns.
Instead she gave the voters every reason to believe she'd be a continuation of the Biden administration, and the voters didn't WANT the Biden administration continued.
She could have said, "For four years I've been a loyal VP, and I've studied the Presidency from inside the Oval office. I think I've identified the mistakes my boss made, and here's what I'd do differently."
But she didn't, perhaps because she didn't think Biden had done anything wrong.
Sorry to disagree but I'm going by what he wrote. "To be clear, I generally do not think campaigns matter very much." Campaigns are where the issues are hashed out the voting public decides whose polices they favor and whose they don't. Harris and the democrats' agenda was a resounding don't according to an overwhelming majority of the vote.
I think campaigns count, but in a "must clear this bar" sort of way. That's not usually evident, because winners of contested primaries all have enough campaign chops to clear the bar.
It's only when you get candidates who didn't have to win a contested primary that you ever see campaigns matter, because you get people who can't clear that bar sometimes.
But, yes, her real problem was that the votes didn't like the policies she represented, and we never found out whether she was capable of persuading the public she represented a change of policies, because she never tried to persuade the public of that.
Not realizing she had to could, I suppose, be chalked up to deficient campaigning skills.
Beg to differ again. Although she was inept, she had policies and an agenda, The public disliked her personally but they really loathed her agenda and chose to reject it
To be clear, I generally do not think campaigns matter very much.
Then what does? People's feelings about the candidates that aren't based on anything they say or do during the campaign? Voters' overall feelings about their lives and the country? Built in partisan preferences that don't even depend on who the candidates are? Those things matter a lot, obviously. Maybe they even matter more than campaigns. But that doesn't make campaigns irrelevant.
If campaigns didn't matter, then I can't imagine that corporations and wealthy donors would give billions of dollars away to the candidates' campaigns, their Super PACs, and additional billions to dark money groups. Convincing ordinary people to make smaller donations would depend little on those people thinking that their donation would actually matter. But people don't get rich because they are eager to set large sums of money on fire. Rich people can spend frivolously, sure. But I would be really surprised if a significant number of the big donors would write big checks thinking that their money wasn't at all relevant to the end result. Corporations? There's virtually no chance that they'd put money into campaigns without expecting there to be a possible return on that investment.
I cannot describe blowing over $1.5B in 4 months as running an impressive campaign.
I don't think she had a "mediocre veep choice."
He is a governor, has an impressive overall background, has ordinary guy vibes, and has various other good points. He was at least a fine choice. Veeps don't change the equation too much.
He was fine. It's a cheap shot.
It is overall not very useful to debate details here in this context, but I think you are overcorrecting, even if I am being too positive.
Not sure what she was supposed to be "saying" exactly, but she was saying things. For instance, including by having Liz Cheney there, she was saying Trump was horrible and dangerous.
So, again, I think you are exaggerating.
Yeah, the disinformation and misinformation by and in support of the Biden administration likely contributed to the democrat loss. But to assert that this was the primary cause or even that significant is emblematic of the profoundly arrogant blindness of the democrats and their supporters. Harris lost because the majority of the voting public rejected the failed, divisive, and corrupt policies of the Biden administration. They didn’t want open borders, DEI, lawfare and economy crushing energy policies pushed down their throats, just to name a few examples. An irresponsible foreign policy that lead to the loss of American lives and treasure, and could have escalated to a wider conflict, wasn’t exactly popular either.
The majority of those who voted chose someone other than Donald Trump.
I think we can dismiss this irrelevant and pointless comment by simply noting he won the popular vote and won the majority of states, which is what actually matters in a presidential election. In other words, the majority of this federal union of states rejected democrat policies. But if you want to contend otherwise and deny that reality, I wholeheartedly encourage you. Democrats should never change so they can keep losing.
A larger majority of those who voted chose someone other than Harris.
The majority actually voted for President Trump. Resoundingly.
This is an EV retread. We get a second helping of warmed over, "What about Biden," red meat for conspirators. Lap it up, suckers.
Meanwhile, Trump's nomination of the execrable Emil Bove for a judgeship—and his lying Senate hearing performance—go unmentioned by Volokh.
EV is himself a media publisher, and doing it with little sign of the forthright approach he rightly calls for from others.
Professor Volokh, thanks for the contribution and your continuing focus on free speech (and thought) for many years now. You are doing good. There is much to think about from your article.
My question: Assume there will not be public neutrality rules; given that, is the better path to encourage the rise of more media voices across the ideological spectrum?
I've noticed that with the introduction of changes at the White House, we get more substantive questions from the added alternative media members. That is why I believe adding more voices is a better path than trying to control what media writes.
My question: Assume there will not be public neutrality rules; given that, is the better path to encourage the rise of more media voices across the ideological spectrum?
Encouraging more "media voices" from ever more isolated segments of the political spectrum is not going to improve political discourse. The only thing that will is a public that wants meaningful debate about the actual details of policies. What we have now is a public audience dominated by people that consume political news and commentary the same way and for the same reasons that they consume entertainment - to feel something.
We don't need more people calling themselves journalists from different echo chambers asking questions and putting in their two cents as a way to get enough clicks and followers to make money. We need an audience that puts their attention - by following and liking and clicking - on objective, detailed, and relevant news.
What you seem to want is more people that share your point of view among the reporters asking questions at press conferences, and things like that. How much does that help you understand what is going on? If they have your point of view, they are probably going to be asking questions you have already seen journalists and commentators asking each other on their TV shows and podcasts or in articles that they've written or social media posts that they've made. What is going to give you new information is a question from a reporter that isn't coming from your point of view. Ideally, the reporter wouldn't be representing any point of view, and would be probing for answers that the politician or spokesperson doesn't want to give.
Most of all, though, even getting new information from questions that come from journalists with a different perspective than ours isn't going to matter to us if we automatically dismiss those questions because it is coming from the wrong side. And we'll never see those questions and their answers if we only consume media that shares our perspective, because biased media sources chose what to show based on pleasing a biased audience. They feed them what they want to hear instead of what they need to hear, since hearing what we want feels better than hearing something that might challenge our beliefs and opinions.
Biden has been stupid, lazy, and poorly-spoken his whole public life.
Yes, it might have gotten worse but the fact he never improved in those areas but was getting older should have ruled him out from anybody's vote. If you watch him during the Thomas Hearings you see a nasty pompous egotistical man. Esp when he said to Clarence in front of the whole chambers "You know and I know but these don't ....."
https://www.c-span.org/clip/senate-committee/user-clip-biden-natural-law/4887077
The only people "fooled" by the misinformation and misdirection of the Biden administration were those who relied solely upon the corporate media for their information.
Nothing needs to be done about this. Low-information voters are a feature, not a bug, in any democratic system. Corporate media lies all the time, as is their right. The First Amendment isn't a bulwark against falsehoods, it's a protection against dominance.
People who genuinely care to find out the truth are only a click away from a vast network of competing reporting and analysis.
You can fool all of the people some of the time, and some of the people all of the time, but politics is the art of proving that you can fool enough of the people enough of the time.
You can easily fool anyone that doesn't work to avoid fooling themselves.
People who genuinely care to find out the truth are only a click away from a vast network of competing reporting and analysis.
People that genuinely care to find out the truth also will be skeptical and think critically about any information they find from any source, and they will work to avoid feeding their confirmation biases. The downside of having a "vast network of competing reporting and analysis" is that it is really easy to find sources that will feed us what makes us feel good instead of what is true.
Low-information voters are a feature, not a bug, in any democratic system.
Of course. How many people have the time to be "high-information" voters? How many people want to spend that much time finding information about politics? How many people will put in the additional effort of determining whether the information that they are finding is true?
Take it as a premise that the problem is a news media landscape that is rife with misinformation. Solutions to that problem aren't going to be found that direct energy at the news media. "Corporate media" is looking to boost profits. They do what is profitable. What is profitable is to feed their audience what they want to hear. There is no profit to be had giving voters objective, accurate, and detailed information about policy. That won't change unless voters change.
Regarding the "unfounded rumors," wasn't there a viral video of one cooking a cat?
No. The only viral video I remember was of a disturbed woman that was not an immigrant nor was there video of her "cooking a cat" nor did it happen in the town Trumpists were making claims about (Springfield, Ohio). She was arrested for allegedly killing and eating someone's cat, but I never heard what happened with that after the election.